Eric Sogard

Pos2B

B/TL/R

Born1986-05-22

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	33	AAATOR	38	.267/.405/.433	1	0	95	—	.242/.324/.394
2019	33	MLBTB	442	.290/.356/.457	13	8	125	3.3
2020	34	MLBMIL	128	.209/.283/.278	1	0	64	-0.1
2021	35	MLBCHC	180	.249/.287/.314	1	3	64	-0.5
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.7

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

xwOBA33

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	21	A	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	92	83	21	2	0	2	6	13	1	2	2	253	311	349	661	96	275	14	7	294	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	622	536	165	42	3	10	79	62	1	16	7	308	398	453	851	146	330	10	13	378	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	530	457	134	25	3	6	58	47	2	10	6	293	375	400	776	107	311	9	11	343	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	597	514	154	28	6	5	75	68	4	14	9	300	393	407	800	107	336	11	13	361	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	74	70	14	3	0	2	4	13	0	0	0	200	243	329	572	129	218	18	5	256	62	-3	+0	+2	+5	+2	0.5
2011	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	366	315	94	16	2	5	40	34	4	13	3	298	384	410	794	111	319	9	11	353	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	108	102	17	3	1	2	5	17	0	2	0	167	206	275	480	108	181	16	5	214	33	-9	+0	+2	+1	+2	-0.3
2012	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	180	157	52	5	2	5	23	17	0	11	3	331	417	484	901	153	348	9	13	402	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	410	368	98	24	3	2	27	51	5	10	5	266	325	364	689	98	301	12	7	304	90	-5	+0	+4	+1	+9	0.9
2014	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	329	291	65	10	0	1	31	37	1	11	4	223	300	268	568	45	251	11	9	262	63	-14	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.6
2015	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	401	372	92	12	3	1	23	50	2	6	1	247	295	304	598	56	283	12	6	271	69	-15	+1	+4	+1	+9	-0.0
2017	31	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	299	249	68	15	1	3	45	37	4	3	3	273	393	378	770	104	311	12	15	354	125	+9	-1	+3	+1	+6	2.0
2017	31	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	107	91	30	8	0	3	15	12	0	5	0	330	425	516	941	187	351	11	14	413	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	113	97	13	3	0	0	12	23	2	3	0	134	243	165	408	31	173	20	11	201	20	-11	+1	+0	+2	+2	-0.5
2018	32	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	101	89	20	4	0	0	10	16	0	0	1	225	303	270	573	45	267	16	10	263	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	442	396	115	23	2	13	38	63	2	8	0	290	356	457	813	167	316	14	9	356	125	+13	+2	+6	+2	+10	3.3
2019	33	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	38	30	8	2	0	1	7	4	0	0	0	267	405	433	839	167	269	11	18	370	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	128	115	24	5	0	1	11	20	1	0	0	209	283	278	562	70	242	16	9	259	64	-5	+0	+1	+0	+3	-0.1
2021	35	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	180	169	42	6	1	1	9	30	0	3	1	249	287	314	600	65	293	17	5	269	64	-8	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2484	2229	548	104	11	26	205	341	17	46	14	246	314	337	652	92	278	14	8	294	85	-45	+4	+21	+16	+54	5.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	92	85	19	2	0	2	4	18	1	2	2	224	267	318	584	94	246	20	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	622	560	148	35	2	9	55	83	1	16	7	264	331	382	713	118	290	13	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	530	474	125	22	3	5	41	57	2	10	6	264	325	354	679	91	278	11	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	597	538	145	26	6	4	51	85	4	14	9	270	337	362	700	93	309	14	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	74	70	14	3	0	2	4	13	0	0	0	200	243	329	572	129	218	18	5	261	62	-3	+0	+2	+5	+2	0.5
2011	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	366	327	88	15	2	4	28	43	4	13	3	269	334	364	698	95	289	12	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	108	102	17	3	1	2	5	17	0	2	0	167	206	275	480	108	181	16	5	217	33	-9	+0	+2	+1	+2	-0.3
2012	26	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	180	164	50	4	2	4	16	21	0	11	3	305	367	427	793	122	332	12	9	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	410	370	97	23	3	2	25	51	5	10	5	262	318	357	674	95	301	12	6	300	90	-5	+0	+4	+1	+9	0.9
2014	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	329	291	65	10	0	1	31	37	1	11	4	223	300	268	568	45	251	11	9	262	63	-14	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.6
2015	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	401	373	92	12	3	1	22	50	2	6	1	247	292	303	595	56	283	12	5	269	69	-15	+1	+4	+1	+9	-0.0
2017	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	299	251	69	16	1	3	43	37	4	3	3	275	389	382	772	108	311	12	14	353	125	+9	-1	+3	+1	+6	2.0
2017	31	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	107	96	25	6	0	2	10	16	0	5	0	260	330	385	716	125	282	15	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	113	98	13	3	0	0	11	23	2	3	0	133	234	163	397	31	173	20	10	198	20	-11	+1	+0	+2	+2	-0.5
2018	32	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	101	92	16	3	0	0	7	22	0	0	1	174	232	207	439	33	213	22	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	442	398	114	24	2	13	36	63	2	8	0	286	349	455	803	168	316	14	8	353	125	+13	+2	+6	+2	+10	3.3
2019	33	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	38	33	8	2	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	242	324	394	718	152	229	13	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	128	115	24	5	0	1	11	20	1	0	0	209	283	278	562	70	242	16	9	263	64	-5	+0	+1	+0	+3	-0.1
2021	35	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	180	170	42	6	1	1	8	30	0	3	1	247	281	312	593	65	293	17	4	263	64	-8	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.5
2007	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	92	85	19	2	0	2	4	18	1	2	2	224	267	318	584	94	258	20	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A RAW	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	92	83	21	2	0	2	6	13	1	2	2	253	311	349	661	96	275	14	7	294	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	622	560	148	35	2	9	55	83	1	16	7	264	331	382	713	118	293	13	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	622	536	165	42	3	10	79	62	1	16	7	308	398	453	851	146	330	10	13	378	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	530	474	125	22	3	5	41	57	2	10	6	264	325	354	679	91	286	11	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	530	457	134	25	3	6	58	47	2	10	6	293	375	400	776	107	311	9	11	343	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	597	538	145	26	6	4	51	85	4	14	9	270	337	362	700	93	312	14	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	—	597	514	154	28	6	5	75	68	4	14	9	300	393	407	800	107	336	11	13	361	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	440	397	103	18	2	7	32	56	4	13	3	259	321	368	689	108	285	13	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	440	385	108	19	2	7	44	47	4	13	3	281	360	395	755	114	302	11	10	337	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	288	266	68	7	3	7	21	38	0	13	3	256	310	383	694	128	276	13	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	288	259	69	8	3	7	28	34	0	13	3	266	338	402	740	135	284	12	10	331	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	410	370	97	23	3	2	25	51	5	10	5	262	318	357	674	95	296	12	6	300	90	-5	+0	+4	+1	+9	0.9
2013	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	410	368	98	24	3	2	27	51	5	10	5	266	325	364	689	98	301	12	7	304	90	-5	+0	+4	+1	+9	0.9
2014	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	329	291	65	10	0	1	31	37	1	11	4	223	300	268	568	45	251	11	9	262	63	-14	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.6
2014	28	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	329	291	65	10	0	1	31	37	1	11	4	223	300	268	568	45	251	11	9	262	63	-14	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.6
2015	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	401	373	92	12	3	1	22	50	2	6	1	247	292	303	595	56	282	12	5	269	69	-15	+1	+4	+1	+9	-0.0
2015	29	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	401	372	92	12	3	1	23	50	2	6	1	247	295	304	598	56	283	12	6	271	69	-15	+1	+4	+1	+9	-0.0
2017	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	406	347	94	22	1	5	53	53	4	8	3	271	374	383	757	112	307	13	13	344	119	+9	+0	+3	+1	+9	2.4
2017	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	406	340	98	23	1	6	60	49	4	8	3	288	401	415	816	126	322	12	15	369	119	+9	+0	+3	+1	+9	2.4
2018	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	214	190	29	6	0	0	18	45	2	3	1	153	233	184	418	32	196	21	8	198	20	-20	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.3
2018	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	214	186	33	7	0	0	22	39	2	3	1	177	271	215	486	38	220	18	10	231	20	-20	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.3
2019	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	480	431	121	25	2	14	40	68	2	8	0	281	345	445	790	165	303	14	8	349	123	+13	+2	+6	+2	+10	3.4
2019	33	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	480	426	123	25	2	14	45	67	2	8	0	289	359	455	815	167	312	14	9	357	123	+13	+2	+6	+2	+10	3.4
2020	34	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	128	115	24	5	0	1	11	20	1	0	0	209	283	278	562	70	242	16	9	263	64	-5	+0	+1	+0	+3	-0.1
2020	34	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	128	115	24	5	0	1	11	20	1	0	0	209	283	278	562	70	242	16	9	259	64	-5	+0	+1	+0	+3	-0.1
2021	35	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	180	170	42	6	1	1	8	30	0	3	1	247	281	312	593	65	291	17	4	263	64	-8	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.5
2021	35	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	180	169	42	6	1	1	9	30	0	3	1	249	287	314	600	65	293	17	5	269	64	-8	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.5
2007	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	92	87	19	2	0	2	4	18	1	2	2	218	267	310	577	92	246	20	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	622	561	148	35	2	9	55	83	1	16	7	264	331	381	713	118	290	13	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	530	482	125	22	3	5	41	57	2	10	6	259	325	349	673	89	278	11	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	597	537	145	26	6	4	51	85	4	14	9	270	337	363	700	93	309	14	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	440	401	103	18	2	7	32	56	4	13	3	257	321	364	685	107	277	13	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	288	265	68	7	3	7	21	38	0	13	3	257	310	385	695	128	275	13	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	410	377	97	23	3	2	25	51	5	10	5	257	318	350	668	93	301	12	6	300	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	329	294	65	10	0	1	31	37	1	11	4	221	300	265	566	44	251	11	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	401	374	92	12	3	1	22	50	2	6	1	246	292	302	594	56	283	12	5	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	406	346	94	22	1	5	53	53	4	8	3	272	374	384	758	113	303	13	13	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	214	192	29	6	0	0	18	45	2	3	1	151	233	182	416	31	192	21	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	480	435	121	25	2	14	40	68	2	8	0	278	345	441	786	163	309	14	8	349	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	128	115	24	5	0	1	11	20	1	0	0	209	283	278	562	70	242	16	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	35	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	180	170	42	6	1	1	8	30	0	3	1	247	281	312	593	65	293	17	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2484	2229	548	104	11	26	205	341	17	46	14	246	314	337	652	92	278	14	8	294	88	-45	+4	+21	+16	+54	5.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	144	27	3	7	54	89	4	12	4	247	315	340	655	93	279	14	8	294	88	-12	+1	+6	+4	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5117	4607	1172	219	26	59	412	691	29	117	45	254	320	352	671	97	286	14	8	299	88	-45	+4	+21	+16	+54	5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	148	28	3	7	52	88	4	15	6	253	318	347	665	94	285	14	8	299	88	-12	+1	+6	+4	+14	1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAABuffalo Bisons · 38 PAwOBA .362 → .308 (−54)K% 10.5% → 13.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.53%	÷0.968	×1.200	—	—	13.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷0.953	×0.690	—	×0.942	10.77%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.23%	÷1.011	×0.930	—	×0.942	16.66%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.954	×0.830	—	×0.942	6.30%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.909	×0.970	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.85%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.942	3.04%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .362 → .308; ISO .167 → .149; BABIP .269 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 101 PAwOBA .262 → .198 (−64)K% 15.8% → 22.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.84%	÷0.925	×1.290	—	—	22.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.90%	÷0.985	×0.710	—	×0.952	6.79%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.92%	÷1.014	×0.900	×0.963	×0.952	17.83%
Doubles /BIP	5.48%	÷1.014	×0.810	×0.963	×0.952	4.01%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.963	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.124	×0.780	—	×0.952	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 85, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .262 → .198; ISO .045 → .032; BABIP .267 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 107 PAwOBA .406 → .318 (−88)K% 11.2% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.21%	÷0.953	×1.290	—	—	15.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.02%	÷0.995	×0.710	—	×0.962	9.62%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.05%	÷1.018	×0.900	×1.017	×0.962	20.80%
Doubles /BIP	10.13%	÷1.163	×0.810	×1.017	×0.962	6.90%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.017	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.80%	÷0.933	×0.780	—	×0.962	3.06%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .406 → .318; ISO .187 → .142; BABIP .351 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASacramento River Cats · 180 PAwOBA .391 → .349 (−43)K% 9.4% → 11.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.44%	÷1.034	×1.290	—	—	11.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.78%	÷1.064	×0.710	—	×1.018	8.68%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷0.940	×0.900	×1.014	×1.018	28.24%
Doubles /BIP	3.57%	÷1.045	×0.810	×1.014	×1.018	2.86%
Triples /BIP	1.43%	÷1.062	×0.810	×1.014	×1.018	1.13%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷0.925	×0.780	—	×1.018	3.06%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 112, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .391 → .349; ISO .153 → .130; BABIP .348 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASacramento River Cats · 366 PAwOBA .345 → .308 (−37)K% 9.3% → 11.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.29%	÷1.021	×1.290	—	—	11.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.38%	÷0.991	×0.710	—	×1.033	7.68%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	1.11%
Singles /BIP	25.27%	÷0.995	×0.900	×0.979	×1.033	23.10%
Doubles /BIP	5.69%	÷0.916	×0.810	×0.979	×1.033	5.09%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.048	×0.810	×0.979	×1.033	0.56%
Home runs /BIP	1.78%	÷0.936	×0.780	—	×1.033	1.53%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 99, 2B 83, 3B 110, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .345 → .308; ISO .111 → .100; BABIP .319 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAASacramento River Cats · 597 PAwOBA .353 → .312 (−41)K% 11.4% → 14.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.39%	÷1.038	×1.290	—	—	14.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.23%	÷1.067	×0.710	—	×1.048	8.52%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.69%
Singles /BIP	25.78%	÷0.998	×0.900	×0.981	×1.048	23.92%
Doubles /BIP	6.28%	÷0.920	×0.810	×0.981	×1.048	5.68%
Triples /BIP	1.35%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.981	×1.048	1.25%
Home runs /BIP	1.12%	÷0.950	×0.780	—	×1.048	0.96%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 100, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 108, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .353 → .312; ISO .107 → .099; BABIP .336 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AASan Antonio Missions · 530 PAwOBA .338 → .298 (−41)K% 8.9% → 10.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.87%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	10.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.75%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	7.73%
HBP% /PA	0.38%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.34%
Singles /BIP	24.39%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.961	×1.027	22.16%
Doubles /BIP	6.10%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.961	×1.027	5.06%
Triples /BIP	0.73%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.961	×1.027	0.68%
Home runs /BIP	1.46%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.20%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .338 → .298; ISO .107 → .094; BABIP .311 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 622 PAwOBA .370 → .316 (−54)K% 10.0% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.97%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	13.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.22%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.012	8.78%
HBP% /PA	0.16%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	0.13%
Singles /BIP	23.21%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.984	×1.012	21.03%
Doubles /BIP	8.86%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.984	×1.012	7.24%
Triples /BIP	0.63%	÷1.000	×0.760	×0.984	×1.012	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	2.11%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.012	1.96%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .370 → .316; ISO .146 → .127; BABIP .330 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).