Brett Lawrie
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 24 | MLBTOR | 282 | .247/.304/.421 | 12 | 0 | 102 | 1.2 | |
| 2015 | 25 | MLBOakland Athle… | 602 | .260/.301/.407 | 16 | 5 | 99 | 0.6 | |
| 2016 | 26 | MLBCWS | 384 | .248/.311/.413 | 12 | 7 | 100 | 0.6 | |
| 2017 | 27 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2018 | 28 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2019 | 29 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2020 | 30 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2021 | 31 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2022 | 32 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2023 | 33 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2024 | 34 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2025 | 35 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | |||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 53 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 269 | 283 | 308 | 591 | 38 | 368 | 26 | 0 | 266 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 423 | 372 | 102 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 70 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 274 | 353 | 454 | 807 | 180 | 302 | 17 | 10 | 353 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 609 | 554 | 158 | 36 | 16 | 8 | 47 | 118 | 5 | 30 | 13 | 285 | 347 | 451 | 798 | 166 | 350 | 19 | 8 | 351 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 171 | 150 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 293 | 373 | 580 | 953 | 287 | 318 | 18 | 9 | 407 | 158 | +12 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +4 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 329 | 292 | 103 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 53 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 353 | 417 | 661 | 1.078 | 308 | 383 | 16 | 8 | 457 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 536 | 494 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 86 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 273 | 325 | 405 | 730 | 132 | 311 | 16 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 442 | 401 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 68 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 254 | 317 | 397 | 714 | 142 | 280 | 15 | 7 | 317 | 99 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 282 | 259 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 304 | 421 | 724 | 174 | 260 | 17 | 6 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 602 | 562 | 146 | 29 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 144 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 301 | 407 | 708 | 148 | 320 | 24 | 5 | 311 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 384 | 351 | 87 | 22 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 109 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 248 | 311 | 413 | 724 | 165 | 325 | 28 | 8 | 322 | 100 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 375 | 728 | 62 | 385 | 18 | 0 | 332 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2417 | 2217 | 578 | 112 | 13 | 71 | 153 | 487 | 27 | 41 | 19 | 261 | 316 | 419 | 735 | 158 | 303 | 20 | 6 | 325 | 106 | +17 | +1 | +1 | +10 | +52 | 8.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 53 | 52 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 250 | 264 | 288 | 553 | 38 | 355 | 32 | 0 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 423 | 384 | 92 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 95 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 240 | 300 | 391 | 690 | 151 | 278 | 22 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 609 | 569 | 151 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 32 | 140 | 5 | 30 | 13 | 265 | 310 | 418 | 729 | 153 | 341 | 23 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 171 | 151 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 291 | 367 | 576 | 943 | 285 | 318 | 18 | 9 | 401 | 158 | +12 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +4 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 329 | 299 | 85 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 69 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 284 | 340 | 492 | 831 | 207 | 329 | 21 | 6 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 536 | 494 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 86 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 273 | 325 | 405 | 730 | 132 | 311 | 16 | 6 | 323 | 105 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 442 | 402 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 68 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 254 | 315 | 396 | 711 | 142 | 280 | 15 | 7 | 315 | 99 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 282 | 259 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 304 | 421 | 724 | 174 | 260 | 17 | 6 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 602 | 563 | 147 | 28 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 144 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 261 | 301 | 417 | 718 | 156 | 320 | 24 | 4 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 384 | 353 | 87 | 22 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 109 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 246 | 305 | 411 | 716 | 164 | 325 | 28 | 7 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 312 | 607 | 62 | 356 | 24 | 0 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 436 | 104 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 112 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 239 | 294 | 372 | 665 | 133 | 292 | 24 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 424 | 116 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 84 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 274 | 345 | 436 | 781 | 163 | 309 | 18 | 9 | 344 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 609 | 569 | 151 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 32 | 140 | 5 | 30 | 13 | 265 | 310 | 418 | 729 | 153 | 342 | 23 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | AA RAW | Huntsville Stars | — | 609 | 554 | 158 | 36 | 16 | 8 | 47 | 118 | 5 | 30 | 13 | 285 | 347 | 451 | 798 | 166 | 350 | 19 | 8 | 351 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 450 | 129 | 26 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 100 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 287 | 349 | 520 | 869 | 233 | 327 | 20 | 7 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 500 | 442 | 147 | 32 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 84 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 333 | 402 | 633 | 1.035 | 301 | 361 | 17 | 8 | 440 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 536 | 494 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 86 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 273 | 325 | 405 | 730 | 132 | 311 | 16 | 6 | 323 | 105 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 536 | 494 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 86 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 273 | 325 | 405 | 730 | 132 | 311 | 16 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +3 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 442 | 402 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 68 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 254 | 315 | 396 | 711 | 142 | 279 | 15 | 7 | 315 | 99 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 442 | 401 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 68 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 254 | 317 | 397 | 714 | 142 | 280 | 15 | 7 | 317 | 99 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 282 | 259 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 304 | 421 | 724 | 174 | 260 | 17 | 6 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 282 | 259 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 304 | 421 | 724 | 174 | 260 | 17 | 6 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 602 | 563 | 147 | 28 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 144 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 261 | 301 | 417 | 718 | 156 | 319 | 24 | 4 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB RAW | Oakland Athletics | — | 602 | 562 | 146 | 29 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 144 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 301 | 407 | 708 | 148 | 320 | 24 | 5 | 311 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 369 | 91 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 113 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 247 | 305 | 407 | 712 | 160 | 322 | 28 | 7 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 401 | 367 | 92 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 112 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 251 | 312 | 411 | 724 | 161 | 328 | 28 | 7 | 322 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 439 | 104 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 112 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 237 | 294 | 369 | 663 | 132 | 287 | 24 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 609 | 567 | 151 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 32 | 140 | 5 | 30 | 13 | 266 | 310 | 420 | 730 | 153 | 341 | 23 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 453 | 129 | 26 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 100 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 285 | 349 | 517 | 865 | 232 | 325 | 20 | 7 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 536 | 493 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 86 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 274 | 325 | 406 | 731 | 132 | 311 | 16 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 442 | 403 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 68 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 253 | 315 | 395 | 710 | 141 | 280 | 15 | 7 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 282 | 259 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 304 | 421 | 724 | 174 | 260 | 17 | 6 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 602 | 565 | 147 | 28 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 144 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 301 | 416 | 717 | 156 | 320 | 24 | 4 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 367 | 91 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 113 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 248 | 305 | 409 | 714 | 161 | 326 | 28 | 7 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2417 | 2217 | 578 | 112 | 13 | 71 | 153 | 487 | 27 | 41 | 19 | 261 | 316 | 419 | 735 | 158 | 303 | 20 | 6 | 325 | 103 | +17 | +1 | +1 | +10 | +52 | 8.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 155 | 30 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 131 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 260 | 315 | 416 | 731 | 156 | 303 | 20 | 6 | 325 | 103 | +5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +14 | 2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3848 | 3542 | 923 | 182 | 38 | 102 | 228 | 812 | 44 | 103 | 47 | 261 | 313 | 420 | 733 | 159 | 310 | 21 | 6 | 320 | 103 | +17 | +1 | +1 | +10 | +52 | 8.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 156 | 31 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 137 | 7 | 17 | 8 | 261 | 313 | 418 | 731 | 157 | 311 | 21 | 6 | 320 | 103 | +5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +14 | 2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AABirmingham Barons · 17 PAwOBA .323 → .286 (−37)K% 17.6% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 4.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 27.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.897 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 7.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 79, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .286; ISO .062 → .060; BABIP .385 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAALas Vegas 51s · 329 PAwOBA .445 → .355 (−91)K% 16.1% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.11% | ÷0.992 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.90% | ÷0.998 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.01% | ÷0.974 | ×0.900 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 21.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.04% | ÷1.082 | ×0.810 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 7.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.51% | ÷1.123 | ×0.810 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 1.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.200 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 5.14% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 95, 2B 116, 3B 125, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .445 → .355; ISO .308 → .216; BABIP .383 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAHuntsville Stars · 609 PAwOBA .341 → .315 (−26)K% 19.4% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.38% | ÷1.029 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 5.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.48% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 21.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.26% | ÷0.918 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 8.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.67% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 3.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.108 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.39% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .341 → .315; ISO .166 → .160; BABIP .350 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 423 PAwOBA .348 → .297 (−51)K% 16.5% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×1.045 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.045 | 5.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×1.045 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.60% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .348 → .297; ISO .180 → .151; BABIP .302 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAHuntsville Stars · 53 PAwOBA .259 → .229 (−30)K% 26.4% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.42% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 33.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 2.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .259 → .229; ISO .038 → .033; BABIP .368 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).