Kevin McGonigle — OGILVIE

Kevin McGonigleSS Detroit Tigers

Age 21 L/R 5'9" / 187 lbs MLB HR +5%H +3% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 5.5 · 2031

wRC+†147

AVG/OBP/SLG.269 / .347 / .450

PA250

HR8

K%14

BB%10

xwOBA.426

Barrel%13.0%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

61↗71

PWR

50↗58

SPD

50↗53

FLD

42↗50

EYE

57↗63

trajectory · 10 yrs

6.0peak

2031

Contract

CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$16M	+$15M
2027	Pre-Arb	$3M	+4.1	$34M	+$31M
2028	Pre-Arb	$9M	+4.6	$39M	+$30M
2029	Arb-1	$18M	+5.0	$44M	+$26M
2030	Arb-2	$23M	+5.4	$49M	+$26M
2031	Arb-3	$24M	+5.5	$51M	+$27M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+5.5	$53M	+$28M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+5.2	$51M	+$26M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+5.0	$51M	+$26M
Totals		$151M		$387M	+$236M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	2 teams	93	79	21	3	0	1	12	15	1	8	5	.266	.370	.342	.711	.076	.312	16	13	.320	103	+0	-0	+0	+0	+3	0.3
2024	19	A	2 teams	328	285	77	12	4	4	33	39	1	22	2	.270	.348	.382	.730	.112	.292	12	10	.323	105	+2	+4	+0	+1	+9	1.6
2025	20	AA	4 teams	487	429	111	32	2	22	49	72	3	13	8	.259	.339	.497	.835	.238	.261	15	10	.354	129	+16	-1	+0	+2	+14	3.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	MLB	Detroit Tigers	108	94	30	10	2	1	14	14	0	1	0	.319	.407	.500	.907	.181	.367	13	13	.397	162	+8	+0	-2	+0	+3	1.0
ROS	21	MLB	DET	142	125	35	9	1	4	15	20	1	3	1	.280	.362	.464	.826	.184	.306	14	11	.363	136	+6	+0	-0	+1	+4	1.0
TOT	21	MLB	DET	250	219	65	19	3	5	29	34	1	4	1	.297	.382	.479	.861	.183	.331	14	12	.378	147	+13	+0	-2	+1	+7	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB	DET	552	487	136	32	5	17	57	77	3	12	2	.279	.358	.470	.829	.191	.296	14	10	.361	135	+22	+2	-1	+2	+16	4.0
2028	23	MLB	DET	575	506	143	33	5	20	61	81	3	13	3	.283	.363	.486	.849	.204	.297	14	11	.369	140	+26	+1	-2	+2	+16	4.5
2029	24	MLB	DET	588	517	147	33	5	22	63	81	3	13	3	.284	.365	.495	.861	.211	.298	14	11	.376	146	+30	+1	-2	+2	+17	5.0
2030	25	MLB	DET	593	520	149	34	5	23	65	81	3	14	2	.287	.369	.504	.873	.217	.299	14	11	.380	149	+33	+2	-2	+2	+17	5.3
2031	26	MLB	DET	593	519	149	34	5	23	66	81	3	13	2	.287	.371	.505	.876	.218	.300	14	11	.383	151	+34	+2	-2	+2	+17	5.4
2032	27	MLB	DET	588	514	148	33	5	23	66	80	3	13	2	.288	.372	.506	.878	.218	.300	14	11	.383	151	+34	+2	-2	+2	+17	5.4
2033	28	MLB	DET	580	506	146	33	5	23	66	81	3	12	2	.289	.374	.510	.884	.221	.300	14	11	.382	150	+33	+2	-2	+2	+16	5.2
2034	29	MLB	DET	568	495	141	32	4	22	65	80	3	11	1	.285	.371	.499	.870	.214	.300	14	11	.380	149	+31	+2	-3	+2	+16	5.0
2035	30	MLB	DET	556	484	137	31	4	21	64	81	3	9	1	.283	.370	.494	.864	.211	.299	15	12	.377	147	+30	+1	-4	+2	+16	4.6
2036	31	MLB	DET	541	471	133	30	4	20	62	81	3	6	0	.282	.369	.490	.860	.208	.299	15	11	.374	144	+27	+1	-4	+2	+15	4.2
2037	32	MLB	DET	522	455	127	28	4	19	60	81	2	4	0	.279	.366	.484	.849	.204	.298	16	11	.370	141	+24	+1	-5	+2	+15	3.8
2038	33	MLB	DET	492	431	117	26	3	17	56	79	2	2	0	.271	.358	.464	.822	.193	.297	16	11	.364	137	+20	+0	-5	+2	+14	3.2
2039	34	MLB	DET	445	390	105	23	3	15	50	76	2	1	0	.269	.355	.459	.814	.190	.296	17	11	.358	132	+16	+0	-6	+2	+13	2.5
2040	35	MLB	DET	390	341	89	19	3	12	44	70	2	0	0	.261	.349	.440	.789	.179	.295	18	11	.350	126	+11	+0	-7	+1	+11	1.8
2041	36	MLB	DET	330	290	74	16	2	10	36	63	1	0	0	.255	.339	.428	.767	.172	.294	19	11	.341	119	+7	+0	-7	+1	+9	1.1
2042	37	MLB	DET	266	234	58	12	2	7	29	53	1	0	0	.248	.333	.406	.739	.158	.291	20	11	.331	111	+3	+0	-8	+1	+8	0.4
2043	38	MLB	DET	197	173	42	9	1	5	21	41	1	0	0	.243	.328	.393	.721	.150	.287	21	11	.320	103	+1	+0	-8	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9426	8251	2285	514	72	330	1040	1413	47	169	34	.277	.361	.477	.838	.200	.298	15	11	.366	138	+408	+20	-68	+34	+267	67.4
/ 162G	—			650	569	157	35	5	23	72	97	3	12	2	.276	.360	.476	.837	.200	.296	15	11	.366	138	+28	+2	-5	+2	+18	4.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	48	40	14	2	0	1	7	5	0	2	2	.350	.447	.475	.922	.125	.371	10	15	.406	169	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	45	33	9	2	0	0	11	5	1	6	3	.273	.467	.333	.800	.061	.321	11	24	.385	153	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	19	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	57	42	9	1	1	1	11	4	1	2	0	.214	.389	.357	.746	.143	.200	7	19	.330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	271	230	75	15	3	4	35	24	0	20	2	.326	.415	.470	.885	.143	.343	9	13	.387	154	+17	+3	—	—	+8	2.8
2025	20	AA	Erie SeaWolves	206	169	43	10	2	12	33	26	0	7	2	.254	.376	.550	.927	.296	.230	13	16	.394	160	+14	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2025	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	171	145	54	19	0	7	23	19	2	3	5	.372	.465	.648	1.113	.276	.392	11	13	.478	224	+24	-1	—	—	+5	2.8
2025	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	20	17	4	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	.235	.350	.353	.703	.118	.250	5	15	.324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	90	69	25	5	2	5	19	12	1	3	1	.362	.506	.710	1.216	.348	.377	13	21	.509	248	+15	+0	—	—	+3	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin McGonigle (OGILVIE)	21	61→71	50→58	50→53	63	.278/.359/.459	.181	.294	7	5	11%	11%	136	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Carlos Correa 2017 · MLB	22	54→62	53→60	55	54	.273/.346/.458	.186	.318	20	18	20%	10%	131	+3.9	.275/.353/.474	.199	.324	24	8	22%	11%	137	+4.3	.263/.347/.444	.180	.305	22	0	20%	11%	123	+3.4
★Adrian Beltré 2001 · MLB	22	55→64	53→65	48→50	56	.279/.349/.458	.180	.297	21	12	14%	10%	131	+3.9	.262/.315/.427	.165	.286	19	10	16%	7%	109	+2.4	.313/.369/.514	.201	.324	26	1	12%	7%	142	+5.0
●Jason Heyward 2011 · MLB	21	54→60	51→55	49→50	55	.268/.349/.437	.169	.311	18	10	19%	10%	126	+3.5	.253/.339/.431	.178	.296	20	12	21%	11%	120	+3.1	.262/.343/.427	.164	.302	19	15	19%	10%	117	+2.8
★Corey Seager 2017 · MLB	23	56→63	55→65	47→45	46	.286/.335/.483	.198	.332	21	5	21%	6%	133	+4.0	.290/.356/.479	.189	.340	21	4	20%	9%	140	+4.5	.285/.367/.517	.232	.308	30	2	18%	11%	140	+3.8
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2019 · AAA	20	57→62	51→65	45	51	.286/.345/.449	.163	.311	18	7	15%	8%	128	+3.6	.287/.353/.479	.192	.314	23	4	16%	9%	139	+4.4	.288/.367/.508	.221	.301	30	5	16%	10%	146	+5.7
★Juan Soto 2020 · MLB	21	54→61	60→65	51→50	64	.281/.384/.509	.228	.314	27	9	20%	14%	158	+5.8	.290/.421/.527	.237	.316	28	10	17%	18%	176	+7.0	.270/.405/.529	.260	.284	33	16	18%	18%	163	+7.2
●Wander Franco 2022 · MLB	21	54→57	48→55	48→55	52	.267/.323/.419	.152	.286	13	10	12%	7%	110	+2.4	.273/.331/.437	.164	.295	15	18	13%	8%	118	+3.0	.281/.342/.449	.168	.301	16	27	12%	8%	120	+2.2
★Mookie Betts 2015 · MLB	22	56→63	48→65	57→55	54	.276/.340/.426	.150	.304	14	25	14%	9%	119	+3.1	.281/.338/.461	.180	.298	19	21	13%	8%	128	+3.6	.288/.382/.518	.231	.298	26	21	13%	13%	152	+6.0
●Bo Bichette 2020 · MLB	22	54→64	50→60	52→55	44	.267/.314/.431	.165	.324	15	20	22%	6%	110	+2.4	.282/.326/.461	.179	.337	20	19	22%	6%	123	+3.3	.305/.346/.482	.177	.358	22	13	20%	5%	135	+4.6
★Joe Mauer 2005 · MLB	22	52→62	57→50	51→50	55	.270/.339/.478	.208	.279	25	9	14%	9%	133	+4.0	.301/.381/.445	.144	.326	13	11	11%	11%	140	+4.5	.335/.419/.495	.161	.352	16	2	9%	12%	155	+5.7
●Julio Rodríguez 2022 · AA	21	55→56	51→60	51→55	43	.271/.327/.437	.166	.345	19	15	26%	6%	117	+2.9	.282/.339/.478	.196	.350	25	25	26%	7%	134	+4.1	.280/.337/.471	.191	.344	26	27	25%	7%	125	+3.7
★Grady Sizemore 2005 · MLB	22	49→58	50→60	53→55	51	.246/.328/.404	.158	.294	16	10	22%	9%	109	+2.4	.280/.355/.481	.201	.328	20	18	20%	9%	140	+4.5	.277/.380/.497	.220	.320	23	25	20%	12%	144	+6.0
●Brandon Belt 2011 · AAA	23	57→60	55→65	53→50	53	.281/.357/.487	.205	.341	21	14	23%	10%	141	+4.6	.268/.350/.446	.178	.338	18	12	24%	11%	128	+3.7	.262/.368/.475	.212	.325	22	4	24%	14%	136	+3.9
★Buster Posey 2010 · MLB	23	53→63	50→60	48→45	51	.267/.334/.427	.159	.308	17	6	19%	8%	118	+3.0	.289/.356/.462	.173	.323	20	4	16%	9%	135	+4.2	.311/.383/.501	.190	.332	22	1	13%	10%	147	+5.0
●Austin Kearns 2003 · MLB	23	60→64	52→60	48→45	58	.294/.383/.472	.179	.343	18	9	19%	12%	149	+5.1	.267/.357/.461	.194	.319	23	7	22%	11%	135	+4.2	.259/.351/.447	.188	.303	20	4	20%	11%	124	+3.6
●Alejandro Kirk 2019 · A	20	52→59	48→50	50→40	52	.263/.322/.404	.141	.286	16	5	15%	8%	106	+2.2	.249/.323/.388	.139	.281	13	4	16%	9%	102	+1.9	.271/.356/.402	.130	.288	15	0	11%	11%	117	+1.9
★David Wright 2006 · MLB	23	57→66	58→60	49→55	54	.295/.366/.510	.215	.320	25	14	17%	9%	152	+5.3	.306/.386/.523	.217	.340	25	18	17%	11%	163	+6.1	.308/.396/.529	.221	.340	25	20	16%	12%	160	+6.9
●Jeremy Hermida 2006 · MLB	22	50→59	55	56→50	59	.256/.359/.454	.198	.307	22	18	23%	13%	134	+4.1	.259/.342/.427	.168	.319	17	10	23%	10%	121	+3.2	.266/.345/.430	.165	.323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
★Ryan Zimmerman 2007 · MLB	22	58→61	52→65	41→45	50	.288/.342/.469	.180	.328	18	8	18%	8%	131	+3.9	.277/.338/.464	.187	.311	20	5	17%	8%	128	+3.7	.294/.371/.494	.201	.324	24	3	17%	10%	142	+4.5
●Howie Kendrick 2006 · AA	23	59→64	53→55	54→50	42	.295/.332/.482	.187	.330	19	18	17%	4%	131	+3.9	.295/.328/.452	.157	.343	13	15	18%	3%	121	+3.2	.283/.327/.442	.159	.325	15	15	17%	5%	114	+2.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)