Kevin McGonigle — OGILVIE

Kevin McGonigleSS Detroit Tigers

Age 21 L/R 5'9" / 187 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION413 act + 275 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†139

AVG/OBP/SLG.283 / .380 / .444

PA275

HR7

SB7

K%15

BB%13

BABIP317

ISO161

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 70 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT70

xwOBA

900.366

POWER57

Barrel%

477.8

Avg EV

3588.0

Bat Spd

5271.5

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED53

Sprint

6628.1

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2026 · 113 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

135

172

▶▶R

wOBA

362

411

▶R

ISO

046

213

▶▶R

BABIP

368

371

—

11.5%

13.8%

◀◀L

BB%

11.5%

13.8%

▶▶R

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.1	$17M	+$17M
2027	Ext	$3M	+5.8	$43M	+$41M
2028	Ext	$9M	+6.4	$44M	+$37M
2029	Ext	$18M	+6.7	$43M	+$30M
2030	Ext	$23M	+6.8	$40M	+$25M
2031	Ext	$24M	+6.8	$37M	+$23M
2032	Ext	$25M	+6.6	$34M	+$20M
2033	Ext	$25M	+6.4	$30M	+$18M
2034	Ext	$25M	+6.1	$27M	+$16M
Totals		$150M		$314M	+$227M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	2 teams	—	93	80	22	3	0	1	11	15	1	8	5	275	370	350	720	75	323	16	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	2 teams	—	93	73	23	4	0	1	18	10	1	8	5	315	457	411	867	96	349	11	19	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	328	287	76	10	3	4	31	38	1	22	2	265	339	362	701	98	285	12	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	328	272	84	16	4	5	46	28	1	22	2	309	411	452	863	143	320	9	14	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	4 teams	—	487	430	112	33	2	23	48	74	3	13	8	260	339	507	846	247	263	15	10	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	4 teams	—	487	400	126	36	4	24	78	58	3	13	8	315	430	605	1.035	290	315	12	16	442	197	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	MLB	DET	—	413	350	99	18	3	8	60	56	3	11	0	283	392	420	812	137	318	14	15	364	137	+17	+2	-2	+1	+12	3.1
YTD	21	MLB	DET	—	413	350	99	18	3	8	60	56	3	11	0	283	392	420	812	137	318	14	15	368	140	+19	+2	-2	+1	+12	3.3
ROS	21	MLB	DET	100%	275	236	67	13	2	7	35	41	2	7	1	283	380	444	825	161	316	15	13	367	139	+12	+1	-1	+1	+8	2.2
ROS	21	MLB	DET	100%	275	236	66	13	2	7	35	41	2	7	1	280	377	441	818	161	311	15	13	357	131	+10	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.9
FULL	21	MLB	DET	—	688	586	165	31	5	15	95	97	5	18	1	282	386	428	815	147	316	14	14	361	134	+27	+3	-2	+2	+19	5.1
TOT	21	MLB	DET	—	688	586	166	31	5	15	95	97	5	18	1	283	388	430	817	147	318	14	14	365	138	+29	+3	-2	+2	+20	5.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	DET	100%	660	565	164	32	5	19	85	96	5	17	2	290	388	465	853	175	317	15	13	376	146	+34	+3	-1	+2	+19	5.8
2028	23	MLB	DET	100%	660	564	167	33	5	21	86	92	5	17	2	296	394	484	878	188	318	14	13	386	154	+40	+3	-1	+2	+19	6.3
2029	24	MLB	DET	100%	648	553	165	32	4	23	85	89	5	17	2	298	397	495	892	197	319	14	13	393	159	+43	+3	-1	+2	+18	6.6
2030	25	MLB	DET	100%	635	541	162	31	4	23	84	86	5	16	2	299	398	499	897	200	320	14	13	397	162	+44	+2	-1	+2	+18	6.7
2031	26	MLB	DET	100%	622	529	160	31	4	23	83	84	5	16	2	302	402	507	909	204	320	14	13	399	164	+45	+2	-1	+2	+18	6.7
2032	27	MLB	DET	100%	610	519	157	30	4	23	82	83	4	16	2	303	402	509	910	206	320	14	13	399	164	+44	+2	-1	+2	+17	6.6
2033	28	MLB	DET	100%	598	508	152	29	4	22	81	82	4	15	2	299	400	502	902	203	320	14	14	398	163	+43	+2	-2	+2	+17	6.3
2034	29	MLB	DET	100%	586	497	149	28	4	22	80	81	4	13	1	300	401	505	906	205	319	14	14	397	162	+41	+2	-3	+2	+17	6.0
2035	30	MLB	DET	100%	574	487	146	28	4	21	78	81	4	12	1	300	401	503	904	203	319	14	14	394	160	+39	+2	-3	+2	+16	5.7
2036	31	MLB	DET	100%	562	477	141	27	3	20	76	81	4	10	1	296	397	491	887	195	317	14	14	390	157	+36	+2	-4	+2	+16	5.3
2037	32	MLB	DET	100%	551	467	135	25	3	19	75	82	4	8	1	289	392	478	869	188	314	15	14	385	153	+33	+1	-5	+2	+16	4.8
2038	33	MLB	DET	100%	492	419	119	22	3	16	67	76	3	6	1	284	387	465	852	181	310	15	14	378	147	+26	+1	-5	+2	+14	3.8
2039	34	MLB	DET	96%	445	379	105	18	3	14	60	71	3	4	0	277	380	451	831	174	305	16	13	368	140	+20	+1	-6	+2	+13	3.0
2040	35	MLB	DET	91%	390	333	89	15	2	12	52	65	2	2	0	267	370	432	802	165	299	17	13	358	132	+14	+0	-6	+1	+11	2.1
2041	36	MLB	DET	82%	330	281	73	12	2	9	44	58	2	1	0	260	364	413	777	153	293	18	13	346	123	+9	+0	-7	+1	+9	1.3
2042	37	MLB	DET	73%	266	228	56	8	1	7	35	49	1	1	0	246	348	382	730	136	285	18	13	334	114	+4	+0	-8	+1	+8	0.5
2043	38	MLB	DET	59%	197	169	41	6	1	5	25	37	1	0	0	243	344	379	722	136	278	19	13	321	104	+1	+0	-8	+1	+6	-0.1
2044	39	MLB	DET	45%	124	106	25	3	1	3	16	24	1	0	0	236	341	368	709	132	270	19	13	309	95	-1	+0	-9	+0	+4	-0.6
2027	22	MLB	DET	100%	660	565	160	31	5	18	85	96	5	17	2	283	382	451	833	168	312	15	13	365	137	+28	+3	-1	+2	+19	5.1
2028	23	MLB	DET	100%	660	564	164	32	5	20	86	92	5	17	2	291	389	472	861	181	313	14	13	374	145	+33	+3	-1	+2	+19	5.7
2029	24	MLB	DET	100%	648	553	163	31	5	22	85	89	5	17	2	295	393	488	882	193	314	14	13	381	150	+36	+3	-1	+2	+18	5.9
2030	25	MLB	DET	100%	635	541	159	30	4	22	84	86	5	16	2	294	394	486	880	192	314	14	13	385	153	+38	+2	-1	+2	+18	6.0
2031	26	MLB	DET	100%	622	529	156	30	4	22	83	84	5	16	2	295	395	491	887	197	314	14	13	387	154	+38	+2	-1	+2	+18	6.0
2032	27	MLB	DET	100%	610	519	153	29	4	22	82	83	4	16	2	295	395	493	888	198	314	14	13	387	154	+37	+2	-1	+2	+17	5.9
2033	28	MLB	DET	100%	598	508	149	28	4	21	81	82	4	15	2	293	395	488	883	195	314	14	14	386	154	+36	+2	-2	+2	+17	5.7
2034	29	MLB	DET	100%	586	497	147	28	4	21	80	81	4	13	1	296	398	495	893	199	314	14	14	385	153	+35	+2	-3	+2	+17	5.4
2035	30	MLB	DET	100%	574	487	143	27	4	20	78	81	4	12	1	294	395	489	884	195	313	14	14	382	151	+33	+2	-3	+2	+16	5.1
2036	31	MLB	DET	100%	562	477	137	26	3	19	76	81	4	10	1	287	390	474	863	187	311	14	14	379	148	+30	+2	-4	+2	+16	4.7
2037	32	MLB	DET	100%	551	467	133	25	3	18	75	82	4	8	1	285	388	467	855	182	309	15	14	373	144	+27	+1	-5	+2	+16	4.2
2038	33	MLB	DET	100%	492	419	117	21	3	16	67	76	3	6	1	279	382	458	841	179	305	15	14	367	139	+22	+1	-5	+2	+14	3.3
2039	34	MLB	DET	96%	425	362	99	17	3	13	57	68	3	4	0	273	377	445	822	171	300	16	13	358	132	+15	+1	-6	+2	+12	2.5
2040	35	MLB	DET	91%	355	303	79	13	2	10	47	60	2	2	0	261	364	416	779	155	294	17	13	348	124	+10	+0	-6	+1	+10	1.6
2041	36	MLB	DET	82%	271	231	59	9	2	7	36	48	2	1	0	255	361	403	763	147	288	18	13	337	116	+5	+0	-6	+1	+8	0.8
2042	37	MLB	DET	73%	194	166	41	6	1	5	25	35	1	0	0	247	349	386	735	139	281	18	13	325	107	+2	+0	-6	+1	+5	0.2
2043	38	MLB	DET	59%	116	99	24	3	1	3	15	22	1	0	0	242	348	384	732	141	274	19	13	313	98	-0	+0	-5	+0	+3	-0.1
2044	39	MLB	DET	45%	56	49	10	1	0	1	7	11	0	0	0	204	304	286	589	82	266	20	12	301	89	-1	+0	-4	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	8890	7572	2159	400	59	287	1184	1298	63	177	20	285	386	467	853	182	310	15	13	373	143	+434	+27	-63	+32	+252	69.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	157	29	4	21	87	95	5	13	1	283	386	464	850	181	308	15	13	373	143	+32	+2	-5	+2	+18	5.1
Career	—			—	10133	8655	2483	469	64	337	1319	1485	69	221	35	287	385	473	858	186	311	15	13	378	147	+544	+30	-75	+36	+287	83.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	555	159	30	4	22	85	95	4	14	2	286	385	474	859	187	310	15	13	378	147	+35	+2	-5	+2	+18	5.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	48	40	14	2	0	1	7	5	0	2	2	350	447	475	922	125	371	10	15	406	169	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	45	33	9	2	0	0	11	5	1	6	3	273	467	333	800	61	321	11	24	385	153	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	19	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	57	42	9	1	1	1	11	4	1	2	0	214	389	357	746	143	200	7	19	330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	271	230	75	15	3	4	35	24	0	20	2	326	415	470	885	143	343	9	13	387	154	+17	+3	—	—	+8	2.8
2025	20	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	206	169	43	10	2	12	33	26	0	7	2	254	376	550	927	296	230	13	16	394	160	+14	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2025	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	171	145	54	19	0	7	23	19	2	3	5	372	465	648	1.113	276	392	11	13	478	224	+24	-1	—	—	+5	2.8
2025	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	20	17	4	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	235	350	353	703	118	250	5	15	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	90	69	25	5	2	5	19	12	1	3	1	362	506	710	1.216	348	377	13	21	509	248	+15	+0	—	—	+3	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons	18	9,698	321	197	291	386	479	+82	-25	95.7	72.6
	/162	664	22	14	291	386	479	+5.6	-1.7	6.6	pk7: 50
#1Chipper Joneslast yr '12 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,228 PA	13	7,228	315	67	304	404	529	-3	-13	72.6	61.6
	/162	664	29	6	304	404	529	-0.3	-1.2	6.7	pk7: 51
#2Joe Mauerlast yr '18 MVPAS×6GG×3SS×5HOF career totals — 15 seasons, 7,960 PA	15	7,960	143	52	306	388	439	+39	+74	67.6	59.8
	/162	664	12	4	306	388	439	+3.2	+6.2	5.6	pk7: 52
#3Derek Jeterlast yr '14 ROYAS×14GG×5SS×5HOF career totals — 15 seasons, 9,716 PA	15	9,716	197	272	307	374	432	+69	+4	71.4	58.4
	/162	664	13	19	307	374	432	+4.7	+0.3	4.9	pk7: 45
#4Robinson Canólast yr '22 AS×8GG×2SS×5 career totals — 17 seasons, 9,550 PA	17	9,550	335	51	301	351	488	+34	+8	70.0	58.2
	/162	664	23	4	301	351	488	+2.4	+0.6	4.9	pk7: 47
#5David Wrightlast yr '16 AS×7GG×2SS×2 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,869 PA	13	6,869	242	196	296	376	491	+25	-8	58.1	52.4
	/162	664	23	19	296	376	491	+2.4	-0.8	5.6	pk7: 47
#6Jorge Posadalast yr '11 AS×5SS×5 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,065 PA	12	6,065	240	18	277	379	483	+52	+3	53.9	49.3
	/162	664	26	2	277	379	483	+5.7	+0.4	5.9	pk7: 45

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin McGonigle (OGILVIE)	21	61→70	51→57	51→53	63	283/388/430	147	318	15	18	14%	14%	138	+5.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Joe Mauer 2006 · MLB	23	58→68	46→50	54→50	59	285/361/423	138	308	13	13	12%	10%	127	+3.6	312/395/453	141	337	11	8	10%	12%	148	+5.1	336/419/495	159	354	15	2	9%	12%	156	+5.7
●Jason Heyward 2011 · MLB	21	55→60	51→55	50	57	274/361/447	174	320	17	10	20%	11%	133	+4.0	256/340/436	180	301	20	13	21%	11%	122	+3.3	264/344/426	162	305	18	15	19%	10%	118	+2.9
★Mookie Betts 2015 · MLB	22	56→64	47→70	57→55	54	275/340/423	148	305	14	25	15%	9%	118	+3.0	280/338/461	181	297	19	21	13%	8%	128	+3.6	288/381/555	267	299	33	11	16%	12%	166	+6.6
★Adrian Beltré 2001 · MLB	22	55→64	53→65	48→50	56	280/350/460	180	298	21	12	14%	10%	132	+4.0	260/313/425	165	284	19	10	16%	7%	108	+2.3	313/369/508	195	324	25	1	12%	7%	142	+5.0
★Grady Sizemore 2006 · MLB	23	55→58	53→60	54→55	50	277/339/462	185	319	18	16	19%	8%	128	+3.7	281/370/493	212	328	21	21	20%	11%	148	+5.1	277/380/497	220	320	23	25	20%	12%	144	+6.0
★Juan Soto 2019 · MLB	20	56→61	59→65	47→50	59	289/374/507	219	325	26	7	20%	12%	154	+5.4	295/414/544	249	328	29	10	18%	17%	178	+7.1	274/409/534	260	289	33	16	18%	18%	165	+7.4
●Carlos Correa 2016 · MLB	21	54→60	52→60	56→55	50	271/334/453	182	316	19	21	20%	8%	124	+3.4	270/347/453	183	320	21	11	21%	10%	129	+3.7	262/346/440	178	304	21	0	20%	11%	122	+3.2
★Corey Seager 2015 · AA	21	52→62	55→65	49→45	41	261/308/453	192	331	21	7	27%	6%	114	+2.7	283/336/477	194	334	21	5	21%	7%	131	+3.9	293/355/490	197	339	22	4	20%	8%	137	+4.7
●Jeremy Hermida 2006 · MLB	22	50→59	55	56→50	60	256/361/452	196	307	22	19	23%	13%	134	+4.1	260/342/426	166	320	17	9	23%	10%	120	+3.1	266/345/430	165	323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
●Julio Rodríguez 2022 · AA	21	57→56	52→60	53→55	43	282/335/454	172	358	20	18	26%	6%	125	+3.5	285/341/488	203	352	26	25	25%	7%	137	+4.3	282/340/481	199	345	27	27	25%	7%	129	+3.9
★Buster Posey 2010 · MLB	23	54→64	50→60	48→45	51	269/336/430	160	309	17	6	19%	8%	119	+3.1	304/370/486	182	341	20	4	16%	9%	147	+5.0	322/393/516	193	346	22	1	13%	10%	156	+5.6
★David Wright 2006 · MLB	23	58→66	58→60	49→55	55	296/368/511	215	322	25	14	17%	10%	154	+5.4	306/388/524	218	340	25	19	17%	11%	163	+6.1	308/396/529	221	340	25	20	16%	12%	160	+6.9
★Christian Yelich 2015 · MLB	23	58→66	45→70	53→55	52	277/349/413	136	356	11	17	24%	10%	119	+3.1	297/370/448	151	366	14	14	21%	10%	137	+4.3	317/405/576	259	363	32	21	20%	12%	176	+7.5
★Francisco Lindor 2017 · MLB	23	57→61	46→65	52→55	50	277/331/410	132	312	13	17	16%	7%	111	+2.5	277/340/488	211	289	25	16	14%	8%	135	+4.2	275/340/509	235	279	29	18	14%	8%	134	+4.8
●Austin Kearns 2003 · MLB	23	60→64	52→60	48→45	59	296/386/476	179	346	18	9	19%	12%	150	+5.2	265/354/460	195	318	23	7	23%	11%	134	+4.1	259/351/447	188	303	20	4	20%	11%	124	+3.6
★Ryan Zimmerman 2007 · MLB	22	58→60	52→65	42→45	50	288/343/469	182	327	18	8	18%	8%	131	+3.9	276/338/464	188	308	21	5	17%	8%	128	+3.7	293/370/493	200	322	24	3	17%	10%	141	+4.4
●Wander Franco 2022 · MLB	21	55→57	48→55	49→55	52	271/325/431	160	290	14	9	13%	7%	114	+2.7	271/329/439	168	291	16	20	13%	8%	118	+3.0	275/337/446	171	292	17	27	12%	8%	118	+2.2
●Adam Eaton 2012 · AA	23	57→65	43→45	54→55	51	271/357/391	119	329	9	21	19%	8%	118	+3.0	279/348/386	107	335	6	23	17%	7%	111	+2.5	285/357/412	127	339	9	15	17%	8%	119	+3.3
★Brandon Belt 2011 · AAA	23	57→61	58→65	53→50	53	287/363/510	223	347	23	14	23%	10%	150	+5.2	276/356/458	182	349	18	12	24%	11%	134	+4.1	278/381/496	218	349	21	4	24%	14%	148	+4.7
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2019 · AAA	20	58→63	52→65	44→45	51	295/350/467	173	320	20	6	15%	7%	134	+4.1	285/352/483	198	310	24	4	16%	9%	139	+4.4	280/360/503	223	290	30	5	16%	10%	141	+5.3