Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar HendersonSS Baltimore Orioles

Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 230 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 3.209 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION439 act + 275 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 98136vR 151

AVG/OBP/SLG.268 / .341 / .480

PA275

HR11

SB8

K%22

BB%9

BABIP314

ISO211

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

817.8%

xwOBA

830.347

POWER50

Barrel%

579.3

Avg EV

8991.8

Bat Spd

7974.3

EYE55

Chase%

9021.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1498 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

459

1039

—

wRC+

102

150

▶▶R

wOBA

318

381

▶▶R

ISO

164

235

▶▶R

BABIP

293

325

▶R

25.1%

21.3%

▶▶R

BB%

9.8%

9.5%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.209 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+1.2	$10M	+$7M
2027	Arb-2	$18M	+5.2	$39M	+$23M
2028	Arb-3	$27M	+5.2	$36M	+$14M
Totals		$48M		$84M	+$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	121	112	20	3	1	1	7	40	1	2	2	179	233	250	483	71	264	33	6	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	121	108	28	5	2	1	11	28	1	2	2	259	333	370	704	111	338	23	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	3 teams	—	463	415	78	20	2	12	40	190	3	16	2	188	264	333	597	145	303	41	9	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	3 teams	—	463	399	103	28	4	17	56	143	3	16	2	258	354	476	830	218	352	31	12	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AAA	3 teams	—	635	550	147	27	8	20	68	174	9	23	4	267	357	455	812	187	349	27	11	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AAA	3 teams	—	635	523	151	31	8	23	95	150	9	23	4	289	407	511	917	222	358	24	15	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	622	560	137	27	9	26	56	159	3	10	3	245	317	464	781	220	294	26	9	339	118	+12	+1	+3	+2	+18	3.7
2023	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	622	560	143	29	9	28	56	159	3	10	3	255	326	489	816	234	306	26	9	355	130	+21	+1	+3	+2	+18	4.6
2024	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	719	630	170	29	7	34	78	159	7	21	4	270	357	500	857	230	308	22	11	372	143	+35	+3	+2	+8	+20	6.9
2024	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	719	630	177	31	7	37	78	159	7	21	4	281	366	529	895	248	320	22	11	389	156	+46	+3	+2	+8	+20	8.0
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	671	596	158	32	5	18	63	142	7	30	5	265	342	426	769	161	317	21	9	330	110	+8	+4	+1	+7	+19	4.0
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	671	596	163	34	5	19	63	141	7	30	5	273	350	443	793	169	327	21	9	351	127	+20	+4	+1	+7	+19	5.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	BAL	—	439	397	89	16	2	17	34	99	6	7	4	224	295	403	698	179	254	23	8	305	92	-4	-0	-1	+5	+12	1.2
YTD	25	MLB	BAL	—	439	397	89	16	2	17	34	99	6	7	4	224	295	403	698	179	254	23	8	310	96	-2	-0	-1	+5	+12	1.4
ROS	25	MLB	BAL	100%	275	246	66	13	3	11	24	61	3	8	2	268	341	480	820	211	308	22	9	354	129	+9	+1	-2	+3	+8	1.9
ROS	25	MLB	BAL	100%	275	246	66	13	3	11	24	61	3	8	2	268	341	480	820	211	313	22	9	351	127	+8	+1	-2	+3	+8	1.8
FULL	25	MLB	BAL	—	714	643	155	29	5	28	58	160	9	15	6	241	313	432	745	191	277	22	8	323	105	+4	+1	-3	+8	+20	3.1
TOT	25	MLB	BAL	—	714	643	155	29	5	28	58	160	9	15	6	241	313	432	745	191	277	22	8	324	106	+5	+1	-3	+8	+20	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	BAL	100%	660	590	162	32	7	26	57	146	8	19	6	275	347	485	831	210	320	22	9	362	135	+26	+1	-5	+7	+19	5.0
2028	27	MLB	BAL	100%	660	589	160	32	6	26	58	147	8	19	6	272	345	479	824	207	320	22	9	363	136	+27	+1	-5	+7	+19	5.0
2029	28	MLB	BAL	100%	660	589	160	32	6	26	58	148	8	18	6	272	345	479	824	207	319	22	9	362	135	+26	+1	-5	+7	+19	4.9
2030	29	MLB	BAL	100%	660	588	160	32	6	26	59	149	8	17	5	272	347	480	826	207	319	23	9	360	134	+25	+1	-6	+7	+19	4.7
2031	30	MLB	BAL	100%	651	580	156	31	6	25	58	148	8	15	5	269	344	472	816	203	318	23	9	357	131	+23	+1	-7	+7	+18	4.4
2032	31	MLB	BAL	100%	638	568	151	30	6	24	57	148	8	13	4	266	341	467	808	201	315	23	9	353	128	+20	+1	-7	+7	+18	4.0
2033	32	MLB	BAL	100%	625	558	145	28	6	23	55	147	7	10	3	260	334	455	789	195	312	24	9	347	124	+17	+1	-8	+7	+18	3.5
2034	33	MLB	BAL	100%	547	488	124	24	5	19	48	131	6	7	2	254	328	441	769	186	307	24	9	339	118	+11	+1	-8	+6	+15	2.5
2035	34	MLB	BAL	100%	499	447	109	20	4	17	44	123	5	5	1	244	319	421	739	177	300	25	9	329	110	+6	+1	-8	+5	+14	1.8
2036	35	MLB	BAL	100%	443	397	93	16	4	14	38	113	5	3	1	234	309	401	710	166	292	26	9	318	101	+1	+0	-9	+5	+13	1.0
2037	36	MLB	BAL	100%	382	342	77	13	3	11	33	100	4	2	0	225	301	377	678	152	284	26	9	306	92	-3	+0	-9	+4	+11	0.3
2038	37	MLB	BAL	100%	316	284	63	10	3	9	26	85	3	1	0	222	294	373	667	151	275	27	8	293	82	-6	+0	-9	+3	+9	-0.3
2039	38	MLB	BAL	100%	247	223	46	7	2	6	20	68	2	0	0	206	278	336	614	130	267	28	8	280	72	-8	+0	-9	+3	+7	-0.8
2027	26	MLB	BAL	100%	660	590	164	33	6	27	57	146	8	19	6	278	350	492	841	214	325	22	9	359	133	+25	+1	-5	+7	+19	4.8
2028	27	MLB	BAL	100%	660	589	163	33	6	27	58	147	8	19	6	277	350	491	840	214	325	22	9	360	133	+25	+1	-5	+7	+19	4.8
2029	28	MLB	BAL	100%	660	589	163	33	6	27	58	148	8	18	6	277	350	491	840	214	324	22	9	359	133	+24	+1	-5	+7	+19	4.7
2030	29	MLB	BAL	100%	660	588	163	33	6	27	59	149	8	17	5	277	351	491	843	214	324	23	9	357	131	+23	+1	-6	+7	+19	4.5
2031	30	MLB	BAL	100%	651	580	159	32	6	26	58	148	8	15	5	274	348	484	833	210	323	23	9	354	129	+22	+1	-7	+7	+18	4.2
2032	31	MLB	BAL	100%	638	568	154	31	6	25	57	148	8	13	4	271	346	479	825	208	320	23	9	350	126	+19	+1	-7	+7	+18	3.8
2033	32	MLB	BAL	100%	625	558	148	29	6	24	55	147	7	10	3	265	339	468	806	203	317	24	9	344	122	+15	+1	-8	+7	+18	3.3
2034	33	MLB	BAL	100%	547	488	126	24	5	20	48	131	6	7	2	258	332	451	783	193	311	24	9	336	116	+10	+1	-8	+6	+15	2.4
2035	34	MLB	BAL	100%	499	447	111	21	4	17	44	123	5	5	1	248	323	427	750	179	304	25	9	326	108	+4	+1	-8	+5	+14	1.6
2036	35	MLB	BAL	100%	443	397	96	17	4	15	38	113	5	3	1	242	316	418	734	176	296	26	9	315	99	-0	+0	-9	+5	+13	0.8
2037	36	MLB	BAL	100%	382	342	79	13	3	12	33	100	4	2	0	231	306	392	698	161	288	26	9	302	90	-4	+0	-9	+4	+11	0.2
2038	37	MLB	BAL	100%	316	284	63	10	3	9	26	85	3	1	0	222	294	373	667	151	279	27	8	289	80	-7	+0	-9	+3	+9	-0.4
2039	38	MLB	BAL	100%	247	223	46	7	2	6	20	68	2	0	0	206	278	336	614	130	270	28	8	276	70	-8	+0	-9	+3	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	9387	8372	2209	430	88	359	847	2203	100	199	54	264	339	465	804	201	316	23	9	346	123	+244	+18	-93	+97	+266	54.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	153	30	6	25	59	153	7	14	4	264	340	466	805	202	316	24	9	346	123	+17	+1	-6	+7	+18	3.8
Career	—			—	10494	9352	2382	458	99	374	947	2578	113	239	61	255	331	445	775	190	311	25	9	340	118	+215	+23	-93	+103	+297	55.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	147	28	6	23	59	160	7	15	4	254	330	442	772	188	310	25	9	340	118	+13	+1	-6	+6	+18	3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	121	108	28	5	2	1	11	28	1	2	2	259	333	370	704	111	338	23	9	316	100	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	17	15	3	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	200	294	267	561	67	600	59	12	264	60	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2021	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	289	243	56	16	3	9	40	87	3	11	1	230	346	432	778	202	313	30	14	345	122	+7	+2	—	—	+8	1.7
2021	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	157	141	44	11	1	8	14	46	0	5	1	312	374	574	949	262	404	29	9	407	169	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2022	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	132	116	30	7	1	4	16	34	0	1	1	259	348	440	788	181	333	26	12	351	127	+4	-0	-0	+2	+4	1.0
2022	21	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	295	250	72	13	4	11	38	78	5	10	1	288	392	504	896	216	374	26	13	393	159	+20	+2	—	—	+8	3.0
2022	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	208	157	49	11	3	8	41	38	4	12	2	312	465	573	1.039	261	350	18	20	440	195	+22	+2	—	—	+6	3.0
2023	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	622	560	143	29	9	28	56	159	3	10	3	255	326	489	816	234	306	26	9	355	130	+21	+1	+3	+2	+18	4.6
2024	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	719	630	177	31	7	37	78	159	7	21	4	281	366	529	895	248	320	22	11	389	156	+46	+3	+2	+8	+20	8.0
2025	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	651	577	158	34	5	17	62	137	7	30	5	274	351	438	790	165	329	21	10	350	126	+19	+4	+1	+7	+18	5.0
2025	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	20	19	5	0	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	263	300	579	879	316	231	20	5	379	148	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2124	1883	508	101	22	86	212	489	17	62	13	270	349	484	833	214	320	23	10	365	137	+90	+7	+6	+19	+60	18.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Utleylast yr '18 AS×6SS×4 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,863 PA	16	7,863	259	154	275	358	465	+28	+107	67.8	60.2
	/162	664	22	13	275	358	465	+2.4	+9.1	5.7	pk7: 53
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 19 projected seasons	19	10,265	383	229	261	332	458	+91	+46	67.3	53.5
	/162	664	25	15	261	332	458	+5.9	+3.0	4.4	pk7: 40
#2Evan Longorialast yr '23 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,206 PA	16	8,206	342	58	264	333	471	+29	+110	61.2	51.8
	/162	664	28	5	264	333	471	+2.4	+8.9	4.9	pk7: 42
#3Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	14	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.3
	/162	664	21	19	269	337	440	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#4Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	14	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
	/162	664	18	2	267	329	423	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#5Brandon Phillipslast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA	13	7,896	210	209	276	320	422	+28	+83	41.5	36.8
	/162	664	18	18	276	320	422	+2.4	+7.0	3.5	pk7: 32
#6Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gunnar Henderson (OGILVIE)	25	60	50	60	55	241/313/432	191	277	28	15	22%	8%	106	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Trent Grisham 2021 · MLB	24	46→50	55→60	54→55	53	239/324/429	190	289	23	14	25%	11%	114	+2.7	226/317/403	177	281	20	13	26%	11%	105	+2.1	221/330/419	198	244	27	6	22%	13%	112	+1.6
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	53→54	53→55	57→60	43	268/313/448	180	323	20	24	24%	6%	114	+2.7	251/293/403	152	296	18	32	21%	5%	94	+1.3	247/286/384	137	285	15	39	19%	4%	81	+0.4
●Kyle Tucker 2022 · MLB	25	50→54	61→65	56→55	52	266/330/501	235	287	28	18	19%	9%	135	+4.2	265/345/486	221	276	27	22	15%	11%	137	+4.3	267/372/486	219	277	26	25	15%	14%	139	+4.0
★Francisco Lindor 2019 · MLB	25	53→61	59→65	50→55	55	276/344/494	218	281	26	16	14%	9%	139	+4.4	266/333/476	210	280	26	16	16%	9%	130	+3.8	263/343/476	213	287	27	26	19%	9%	132	+4.6
★Curtis Granderson 2008 · MLB	27	56→60	55→65	63→50	48	276/337/487	211	340	19	16	24%	8%	134	+4.1	266/340/475	209	306	22	15	20%	10%	132	+4.0	246/334/471	225	277	28	18	22%	11%	125	+3.7
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	49→50	59→60	55→60	45	255/317/472	218	314	27	24	28%	8%	123	+3.3	253/319/455	202	313	27	31	27%	8%	119	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Ozzie Albies 2022 · MLB	25	51→59	58→60	55	48	266/319/481	215	291	25	15	19%	7%	125	+3.5	261/314/459	198	284	24	12	17%	7%	118	+3.0	255/316/425	170	273	20	12	15%	7%	107	+2.1
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	55→60	51→50	56→55	43	272/338/433	162	329	18	21	22%	6%	121	+3.2	251/311/378	127	291	13	24	18%	5%	95	+1.4	238/299/349	111	274	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
●Jason Heyward 2013 · MLB	23	51→60	55	51→50	54	259/339/449	190	304	22	15	22%	10%	125	+3.5	266/344/422	156	306	16	14	18%	10%	120	+3.1	272/353/410	138	309	13	16	16%	10%	116	+2.7
●Carlos González 2012 · MLB	26	52→56	56→60	56→55	49	267/329/462	195	303	23	22	20%	8%	124	+3.4	253/321/436	183	301	21	20	22%	9%	115	+2.7	245/315/429	184	293	21	20	23%	9%	102	+1.4
●Luis Robert Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	54→57	56→60	54→60	42	274/326/471	197	341	24	19	26%	6%	126	+3.5	265/312/457	192	323	25	19	25%	5%	117	+2.9	250/299/444	193	309	26	22	28%	5%	103	+1.6
★Grady Sizemore 2006 · MLB	23	55→58	53→60	54→55	50	277/339/462	185	319	18	16	19%	8%	128	+3.7	281/370/493	212	328	21	21	20%	11%	148	+5.1	277/380/497	220	320	23	25	20%	12%	144	+6.0
●Troy Tulowitzki 2011 · MLB	26	53→57	57→60	49→50	56	275/350/482	208	292	24	13	16%	10%	138	+4.4	260/336/447	187	274	23	9	14%	10%	124	+3.4	274/356/450	176	308	22	1	18%	10%	125	+2.7
●Eric Hinske 2003 · MLB	25	54→55	55→60	53→50	57	274/358/470	196	321	22	12	21%	12%	137	+4.3	253/331/423	170	299	16	12	20%	10%	115	+2.7	247/324/406	159	292	15	11	20%	9%	104	+1.9
★José Ramírez 2018 · MLB	25	59→64	54→65	53→60	54	298/353/499	201	307	19	18	11%	8%	144	+4.8	275/362/526	251	275	29	23	13%	11%	154	+5.5	272/355/502	230	273	27	22	12%	11%	129	+4.2
✕Rocco Baldelli 2007 · MLB	25	57→61	54→55	55	44	289/331/479	190	325	20	14	18%	5%	130	+3.8	253/311/437	184	299	22	11	23%	6%	111	+2.5	227/295/401	173	269	24	7	25%	7%	92	+0.3
●Alex Verdugo 2021 · MLB	25	57→58	50	50→45	50	283/337/441	158	319	17	9	17%	7%	121	+3.2	269/327/406	137	304	13	6	16%	8%	108	+2.3	263/323/396	133	296	12	4	15%	7%	100	+1.8
●Kelly Johnson 2007 · MLB	25	52→58	52→55	52→50	55	259/339/434	175	297	18	11	19%	10%	121	+3.2	268/346/437	169	316	15	10	19%	10%	124	+3.4	265/340/443	178	310	17	11	19%	10%	121	+3.0
✕Daulton Varsho 2022 · MLB	26	46→49	57→60	55→50	50	242/308/445	203	271	24	14	22%	8%	111	+2.5	227/294/415	188	267	23	15	24%	8%	98	+1.6	218/290/402	184	257	23	15	25%	8%	91	+1.1
●Derek Norris 2014 · MLB	25	44→54	53→55	51→50	51	230/311/404	174	281	21	11	26%	10%	102	+1.9	250/322/404	154	309	17	7	23%	9%	106	+2.2	241/312/393	152	301	17	6	24%	9%	95	+1.1