Gunnar Henderson
SS Baltimore Orioles| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | MLBBAL | 719 | .281/.366/.529 | 37 | 21 | 146 | 6.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBBAL | 651 | .274/.351/.438 | 17 | 30 | 115 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBBAL | 702 | .225/.310/.403 | 24 | 10 | 96 | 1.9 |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBBAL | 614 | .260/.339/.463 | 25 | 25 | 120 | 3.4 |
| 2028PROJ | 27 | MLBBAL | 614 | .259/.338/.461 | 24 | 25 | 119 | 3.3 |
| 2029PROJ | 28 | MLBBAL | 614 | .258/.336/.456 | 24 | 22 | 117 | 3.0 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 121 | 108 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 259 | 333 | 370 | 704 | 111 | 338 | 23 | 9 | 316 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 600 | 59 | 12 | 264 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 289 | 243 | 56 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 87 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 230 | 346 | 432 | 778 | 202 | 313 | 30 | 14 | 345 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 157 | 141 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 312 | 374 | 574 | 949 | 262 | 404 | 29 | 9 | 407 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 132 | 116 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 259 | 348 | 440 | 788 | 181 | 333 | 26 | 12 | 351 | 117 | +3 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 295 | 250 | 72 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 78 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 288 | 392 | 504 | 896 | 216 | 374 | 26 | 13 | 393 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 208 | 157 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 312 | 465 | 573 | 1.039 | 261 | 350 | 18 | 20 | 440 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 622 | 560 | 143 | 29 | 9 | 28 | 56 | 159 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 255 | 326 | 489 | 816 | 234 | 306 | 26 | 9 | 355 | 123 | +17 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 719 | 630 | 177 | 31 | 7 | 37 | 78 | 159 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 281 | 366 | 529 | 895 | 248 | 320 | 22 | 11 | 389 | 146 | +40 | +3 | +2 | +8 | +16 | 6.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 651 | 577 | 158 | 34 | 5 | 17 | 62 | 137 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 274 | 351 | 438 | 790 | 165 | 329 | 21 | 10 | 350 | 115 | +12 | +4 | +1 | +7 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 20 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 579 | 879 | 316 | 231 | 20 | 5 | 379 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 702 | 623 | 140 | 27 | 6 | 24 | 67 | 156 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 225 | 310 | 403 | 713 | 178 | 261 | 22 | 10 | 318 | 96 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +15 | 1.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2826 | 2506 | 648 | 128 | 28 | 110 | 279 | 645 | 27 | 72 | 18 | 259 | 339 | 464 | 803 | 205 | 305 | 23 | 10 | 353 | 125 | +85 | +7 | +5 | +27 | +61 | 18.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 121 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 179 | 233 | 250 | 483 | 71 | 273 | 33 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 188 | 364 | 62 | 588 | 71 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 289 | 253 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 117 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 174 | 269 | 320 | 589 | 146 | 271 | 40 | 10 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 157 | 145 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 255 | 303 | 448 | 752 | 193 | 369 | 39 | 6 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 132 | 117 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 341 | 436 | 777 | 179 | 333 | 26 | 11 | 341 | 117 | +3 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 295 | 262 | 70 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 92 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 267 | 345 | 435 | 780 | 168 | 370 | 31 | 9 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 208 | 168 | 50 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 47 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 298 | 416 | 512 | 928 | 214 | 340 | 23 | 14 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 622 | 561 | 140 | 27 | 9 | 28 | 55 | 159 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 250 | 320 | 480 | 799 | 230 | 306 | 26 | 9 | 350 | 123 | +17 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 719 | 631 | 174 | 29 | 7 | 37 | 77 | 159 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 276 | 361 | 520 | 881 | 244 | 320 | 22 | 11 | 385 | 146 | +40 | +3 | +2 | +8 | +16 | 6.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 651 | 583 | 155 | 33 | 5 | 16 | 56 | 137 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 266 | 337 | 422 | 759 | 156 | 329 | 21 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +12 | +4 | +1 | +7 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 368 | 618 | 158 | 227 | 25 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 702 | 626 | 137 | 26 | 6 | 23 | 64 | 156 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 219 | 301 | 390 | 691 | 171 | 261 | 22 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 121 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 179 | 233 | 250 | 483 | 71 | 264 | 33 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Orioles | — | 121 | 108 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 259 | 333 | 370 | 704 | 111 | 338 | 23 | 9 | 316 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 414 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 191 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 196 | 273 | 348 | 621 | 152 | 319 | 41 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 463 | 399 | 103 | 28 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 143 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 258 | 354 | 476 | 830 | 218 | 352 | 31 | 12 | 363 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 635 | 547 | 147 | 28 | 8 | 18 | 71 | 173 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 269 | 362 | 448 | 810 | 179 | 354 | 27 | 11 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 635 | 523 | 151 | 31 | 8 | 23 | 95 | 150 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 289 | 407 | 511 | 917 | 222 | 358 | 24 | 15 | 400 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 622 | 561 | 140 | 27 | 9 | 28 | 55 | 159 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 250 | 320 | 480 | 799 | 230 | 297 | 26 | 9 | 350 | 123 | +17 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.7 |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 622 | 560 | 143 | 29 | 9 | 28 | 56 | 159 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 255 | 326 | 489 | 816 | 234 | 306 | 26 | 9 | 355 | 123 | +17 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 719 | 631 | 174 | 29 | 7 | 37 | 77 | 159 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 276 | 361 | 520 | 881 | 244 | 312 | 22 | 11 | 385 | 146 | +40 | +3 | +2 | +8 | +16 | 6.9 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 719 | 630 | 177 | 31 | 7 | 37 | 78 | 159 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 281 | 366 | 529 | 895 | 248 | 320 | 22 | 11 | 389 | 146 | +40 | +3 | +2 | +8 | +16 | 6.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 671 | 602 | 160 | 33 | 5 | 18 | 57 | 142 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 266 | 336 | 427 | 763 | 161 | 318 | 21 | 8 | 337 | 114 | +11 | +4 | +1 | +7 | +15 | 3.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 671 | 596 | 163 | 34 | 5 | 19 | 63 | 141 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 273 | 350 | 443 | 793 | 169 | 327 | 21 | 9 | 351 | 114 | +11 | +4 | +1 | +7 | +15 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 702 | 626 | 137 | 26 | 6 | 23 | 64 | 156 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 219 | 301 | 390 | 691 | 171 | 254 | 22 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 702 | 623 | 140 | 27 | 6 | 24 | 67 | 156 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 225 | 310 | 403 | 713 | 178 | 261 | 22 | 10 | 318 | 96 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 121 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 179 | 233 | 250 | 483 | 71 | 273 | 33 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 416 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 191 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 195 | 273 | 346 | 619 | 151 | 316 | 41 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 635 | 550 | 147 | 28 | 8 | 18 | 71 | 173 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 267 | 362 | 445 | 807 | 178 | 353 | 27 | 11 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 622 | 559 | 140 | 27 | 9 | 28 | 55 | 159 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 250 | 320 | 481 | 801 | 231 | 306 | 26 | 9 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 719 | 629 | 174 | 29 | 7 | 37 | 77 | 159 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 277 | 361 | 521 | 882 | 245 | 320 | 22 | 11 | 385 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 671 | 602 | 160 | 33 | 5 | 18 | 57 | 142 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 266 | 336 | 427 | 763 | 161 | 326 | 21 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 702 | 622 | 137 | 26 | 6 | 23 | 64 | 156 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 220 | 301 | 392 | 694 | 172 | 261 | 22 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 719 | 629 | 174 | 29 | 7 | 37 | 77 | 159 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 277 | 361 | 521 | 882 | 245 | 320 | 22 | 11 | 385 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 671 | 602 | 160 | 33 | 5 | 18 | 57 | 142 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 266 | 336 | 427 | 763 | 161 | 326 | 21 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 702 | 622 | 137 | 26 | 6 | 23 | 64 | 156 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 220 | 301 | 392 | 694 | 172 | 261 | 22 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 648 | 575 | 148 | 27 | 6 | 25 | 60 | 141 | 8 | 27 | 6 | 256 | 334 | 451 | 786 | 196 | 295 | 22 | 9 | 346 | 120 | +15 | +3 | -5 | +7 | +14 | 3.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 614 | 545 | 142 | 26 | 5 | 25 | 56 | 134 | 8 | 25 | 5 | 260 | 339 | 463 | 802 | 203 | 300 | 22 | 9 | 352 | 120 | +15 | +3 | -5 | +7 | +13 | 3.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 614 | 544 | 138 | 25 | 5 | 23 | 57 | 135 | 8 | 25 | 5 | 255 | 333 | 449 | 782 | 194 | 295 | 22 | 9 | 344 | 119 | +14 | +3 | -5 | +7 | +13 | 3.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 614 | 545 | 138 | 25 | 5 | 23 | 56 | 136 | 8 | 22 | 5 | 253 | 331 | 444 | 776 | 191 | 294 | 22 | 9 | 342 | 117 | +13 | +2 | -5 | +7 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 614 | 546 | 136 | 25 | 5 | 22 | 56 | 138 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 251 | 329 | 438 | 767 | 188 | 293 | 22 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +11 | +2 | -6 | +7 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 614 | 546 | 135 | 24 | 5 | 22 | 56 | 140 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 247 | 325 | 430 | 756 | 183 | 291 | 23 | 9 | 334 | 112 | +9 | +1 | -7 | +7 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 592 | 527 | 128 | 23 | 5 | 20 | 53 | 137 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 243 | 320 | 420 | 740 | 177 | 288 | 23 | 9 | 328 | 108 | +6 | +1 | -7 | +6 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 569 | 508 | 120 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 50 | 135 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 237 | 314 | 407 | 720 | 169 | 283 | 24 | 9 | 320 | 102 | +2 | +0 | -8 | +6 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 482 | 432 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 42 | 117 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 306 | 390 | 696 | 160 | 278 | 24 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -2 | -0 | -8 | +5 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 426 | 383 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 106 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 295 | 370 | 665 | 149 | 270 | 25 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -6 | -0 | -8 | +5 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 614 | 544 | 141 | 26 | 5 | 24 | 57 | 135 | 8 | 25 | 5 | 259 | 338 | 461 | 798 | 201 | 299 | 22 | 9 | 351 | 119 | +14 | +3 | -5 | +7 | +13 | 3.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 614 | 545 | 140 | 26 | 5 | 24 | 56 | 136 | 8 | 22 | 5 | 258 | 336 | 456 | 792 | 198 | 299 | 22 | 9 | 348 | 117 | +13 | +2 | -5 | +7 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 614 | 546 | 138 | 25 | 5 | 23 | 56 | 138 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 255 | 333 | 450 | 783 | 195 | 298 | 22 | 9 | 344 | 115 | +11 | +2 | -6 | +7 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 614 | 546 | 138 | 25 | 5 | 23 | 56 | 140 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 252 | 329 | 442 | 771 | 190 | 296 | 23 | 9 | 340 | 112 | +9 | +1 | -7 | +7 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 592 | 527 | 131 | 24 | 5 | 21 | 53 | 137 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 248 | 324 | 431 | 755 | 184 | 292 | 23 | 9 | 334 | 108 | +6 | +1 | -7 | +6 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 569 | 508 | 123 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 50 | 135 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 242 | 318 | 417 | 735 | 176 | 288 | 24 | 9 | 325 | 102 | +2 | +0 | -8 | +6 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 482 | 432 | 100 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 117 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 309 | 400 | 709 | 166 | 282 | 24 | 9 | 315 | 96 | -2 | -0 | -8 | +5 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 426 | 383 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 106 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 225 | 299 | 380 | 678 | 155 | 274 | 25 | 8 | 302 | 87 | -6 | -0 | -8 | +5 | +9 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 7351 | 6537 | 1645 | 307 | 63 | 274 | 685 | 1689 | 79 | 169 | 43 | 252 | 330 | 444 | 774 | 192 | 297 | 23 | 9 | 342 | 111 | +130 | +17 | -49 | +75 | +159 | 33.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 146 | 27 | 6 | 24 | 61 | 149 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 253 | 331 | 445 | 776 | 192 | 299 | 23 | 9 | 342 | 111 | +12 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +14 | 3.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 9072 | 8069 | 1976 | 366 | 79 | 317 | 834 | 2198 | 100 | 234 | 55 | 245 | 323 | 428 | 751 | 183 | 296 | 24 | 9 | 333 | 111 | +145 | +20 | -54 | +82 | +173 | 37.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 142 | 26 | 6 | 23 | 60 | 157 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 246 | 324 | 431 | 755 | 185 | 296 | 24 | 9 | 333 | 111 | +12 | +2 | -4 | +7 | +14 | 3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 20 PAwOBA .367 → .301 (−66)K% 20.0% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.945 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 10.35% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .367 → .301; ISO .316 → .235; BABIP .231 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAANorfolk Tides · 295 PAwOBA .386 → .338 (−48)K% 26.4% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.44% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.88% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷0.952 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 26.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.130 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 2.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.40% | ÷0.970 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.85% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 126, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .386 → .338; ISO .216 → .175; BABIP .374 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABowie Baysox · 208 PAwOBA .442 → .395 (−48)K% 18.3% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.27% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.71% | ÷0.998 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 14.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.69% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 23.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.24% | ÷1.055 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 7.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.52% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 2.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.170 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.71% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .442 → .395; ISO .261 → .225; BABIP .350 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 289 PAwOBA .339 → .259 (−80)K% 30.1% → 40.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.10% | ÷1.002 | ×1.350 | — | — | 40.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.84% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 10.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.026 | ×0.910 | ×0.979 | ×1.042 | 16.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.26% | ÷0.989 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×1.042 | 8.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.979 | ×1.042 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 4.79% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .339 → .259; ISO .202 → .148; BABIP .313 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 157 PAwOBA .400 → .314 (−87)K% 29.3% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.30% | ÷1.027 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.92% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.26% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×1.030 | 24.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.58% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.030 | 9.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.035 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×1.030 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.42% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 6.71% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 107, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .400 → .314; ISO .262 → .193; BABIP .404 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABowie Baysox · 17 PAwOBA .258 → .166 (−92)K% 58.8% → 73.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 58.82% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 73.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.065 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 40.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 18.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.258 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .166; ISO .067 → .040; BABIP .600 → .588. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Orioles · 121 PAwOBA .311 → .221 (−89)K% 23.1% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 20.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .311 → .221; ISO .111 → .076; BABIP .338 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).