Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar HendersonSS Baltimore Orioles

Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 230 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -5% Svc 3.209 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 5.5 · 2027

wRC+†vL 87123vR 137

AVG/OBP/SLG.276 / .352 / .482

PA652

HR26

SB24

K%22

BB%10

xwOBA.302

Barrel%9.9%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

50→50

SPD

60→60

EYE

56↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.9peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.209 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$8M	+4.7	$38M	+$29M
2027	Arb-2	$19M	+5.5	$45M	+$26M
2028	Arb-3	$29M	+5.5	$47M	+$18M
Totals		$56M		$130M	+$73M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	121	112	20	3	1	1	7	40	1	2	2	.179	.233	.250	.483	.071	.264	33	6	.217	24	-10	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
2021	20	A+	3 teams	463	415	79	20	2	13	40	190	3	16	2	.190	.266	.342	.609	.152	.304	41	9	.268	63	-19	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.1
2022	21	AAA	3 teams	635	548	145	28	8	20	70	175	9	23	4	.265	.357	.454	.812	.190	.346	28	11	.353	128	+20	+3	-0	+2	+18	4.4
2023	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	622	560	142	30	8	27	56	159	3	10	3	.254	.325	.480	.805	.227	.305	26	9	.346	123	+16	+1	+3	+2	+18	4.0
2024	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	719	630	180	35	8	35	78	159	7	21	4	.286	.371	.533	.904	.248	.330	22	11	.389	156	+45	+3	+2	+8	+20	8.0
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	671	596	160	30	6	17	63	142	7	30	5	.268	.345	.424	.770	.156	.324	21	9	.335	115	+11	+4	+1	+7	+19	4.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	119	106	20	4	1	7	11	36	1	4	1	.189	.271	.443	.715	.255	.203	30	9	.307	93	-1	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.4
ROS	25	MLB	BAL	533	472	122	23	5	23	51	127	5	20	4	.258	.337	.475	.812	.216	.302	24	10	.354	129	+18	+2	+1	+6	+15	4.3
TOT	25	MLB	BAL	652	578	142	27	6	30	62	163	6	24	5	.246	.325	.469	.794	.223	.288	25	10	.346	123	+17	+3	+1	+7	+18	4.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB	BAL	652	578	149	28	6	29	63	111	6	24	5	.258	.337	.478	.814	.220	.271	17	10	.356	131	+23	+3	+2	+7	+18	5.3
2028	27	MLB	BAL	647	572	147	28	6	28	64	110	6	24	5	.257	.338	.474	.812	.217	.271	17	10	.356	131	+22	+3	+2	+7	+18	5.3
2029	28	MLB	BAL	639	565	145	27	6	28	63	110	6	23	4	.257	.338	.474	.812	.218	.271	17	10	.355	130	+22	+3	+1	+7	+18	5.1
2030	29	MLB	BAL	627	554	141	26	6	27	62	110	6	21	4	.255	.336	.469	.805	.215	.270	18	10	.353	128	+20	+3	+0	+7	+18	4.8
2031	30	MLB	BAL	615	544	138	26	6	26	61	110	5	19	3	.254	.334	.467	.801	.213	.269	18	10	.350	126	+18	+3	-1	+7	+17	4.5
2032	31	MLB	BAL	600	530	132	25	5	25	60	110	5	16	2	.249	.331	.457	.788	.208	.267	18	10	.346	123	+16	+2	-1	+6	+17	4.1
2033	32	MLB	BAL	581	513	126	23	5	24	58	109	5	13	1	.246	.328	.450	.778	.205	.266	19	10	.341	119	+13	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.6
2034	33	MLB	BAL	551	487	118	22	5	22	54	107	5	10	0	.242	.324	.444	.768	.201	.264	19	10	.335	115	+9	+2	-3	+6	+16	3.0
2035	34	MLB	BAL	503	445	105	19	4	19	49	102	4	8	0	.236	.317	.425	.742	.189	.262	20	10	.328	109	+5	+2	-4	+5	+14	2.3
2036	35	MLB	BAL	446	397	91	16	4	16	43	95	3	6	0	.229	.309	.411	.720	.181	.260	21	10	.320	103	+1	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.6
2037	36	MLB	BAL	385	342	76	14	3	13	37	86	3	5	0	.222	.304	.395	.698	.173	.256	22	10	.310	95	-2	+1	-5	+4	+11	0.9
2038	37	MLB	BAL	320	285	62	11	3	10	30	75	2	3	0	.218	.297	.382	.679	.165	.252	23	9	.299	87	-5	+1	-6	+3	+9	0.2
2039	38	MLB	BAL	250	223	46	8	2	7	23	60	2	2	0	.206	.286	.354	.641	.148	.247	24	9	.288	78	-6	+0	-7	+3	+7	-0.3
2040	39	MLB	BAL	176	157	31	5	1	5	16	43	1	1	0	.197	.276	.338	.613	.140	.241	24	9	.276	69	-6	+0	-8	+2	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10756	9525	2355	447	100	415	1048	2330	94	297	48	.247	.328	.446	.774	.199	.283	22	10	.339	117	+210	+40	-30	+106	+305	64.4
/ 162G	—			650	576	142	27	6	25	63	141	6	18	3	.247	.328	.444	.772	.198	.283	22	10	.339	117	+13	+2	-2	+6	+18	3.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	121	108	28	5	2	1	11	28	1	2	2	.259	.333	.370	.704	.111	.338	23	9	.316	100	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	17	15	3	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	.200	.294	.267	.561	.067	.600	59	12	.264	60	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2021	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	289	243	56	16	3	9	40	87	3	11	1	.230	.346	.432	.778	.202	.313	30	14	.345	122	+7	+2	—	—	+8	1.7
2021	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	157	141	44	11	1	8	14	46	0	5	1	.312	.374	.574	.949	.262	.404	29	9	.407	169	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2022	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	132	116	30	7	1	4	16	34	0	1	1	.259	.348	.440	.788	.181	.333	26	12	.351	127	+4	-0	-0	+2	+4	1.0
2022	21	AAA	Norfolk Tides	295	250	72	13	4	11	38	78	5	10	1	.288	.392	.504	.896	.216	.374	26	13	.393	159	+20	+2	—	—	+8	3.0
2022	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	208	157	49	11	3	8	41	38	4	12	2	.312	.465	.573	1.039	.261	.350	18	20	.440	195	+22	+2	—	—	+6	3.0
2023	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	622	560	143	29	9	28	56	159	3	10	3	.255	.326	.489	.816	.234	.306	26	9	.355	130	+21	+1	+3	+2	+18	4.6
2024	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	719	630	177	31	7	37	78	159	7	21	4	.281	.366	.529	.895	.248	.320	22	11	.389	156	+46	+3	+2	+8	+20	8.0
2025	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	651	577	158	34	5	17	62	137	7	30	5	.274	.351	.438	.790	.165	.329	21	10	.350	126	+19	+4	+1	+7	+18	5.0
2025	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	20	19	5	0	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	.263	.300	.579	.879	.316	.231	20	5	.379	148	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2124	1883	508	101	22	86	212	489	17	62	13	.270	.349	.484	.833	.214	.320	23	10	.365	137	+90	+7	+6	+19	+60	18.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gunnar Henderson (OGILVIE)	25	60	50	60	55	.255/.333/.470	.215	.271	28	25	17%	10%	129	+4.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Francisco Lindor 2019 · MLB	25	52→60	57→65	51→55	55	.273/.341/.480	.207	.280	25	16	14%	9%	134	+4.1	.265/.332/.478	.213	.277	26	16	15%	9%	130	+3.8	.269/.344/.476	.207	.298	26	22	19%	9%	130	+4.4
●Grady Sizemore 2009 · MLB	26	54→58	57→60	57→55	60	.276/.376/.494	.217	.314	23	24	19%	12%	151	+5.3	.249/.339/.437	.188	.289	20	18	20%	11%	122	+3.3	.231/.312/.404	.172	.278	17	11	22%	9%	99	+0.9
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	47→51	58→60	55→60	45	.247/.310/.458	.212	.304	26	24	28%	8%	116	+2.8	.250/.316/.451	.201	.310	27	31	27%	8%	117	+2.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Ozzie Albies 2022 · MLB	25	51→59	57→60	54→55	49	.266/.320/.473	.207	.291	24	15	18%	7%	124	+3.4	.254/.307/.447	.193	.277	23	12	18%	7%	111	+2.5	.251/.312/.418	.167	.268	20	12	15%	7%	103	+1.9
★Kyle Tucker 2023 · MLB	26	50→55	60→65	55	55	.265/.333/.490	.225	.275	28	19	16%	9%	134	+4.1	.274/.363/.504	.230	.284	29	22	15%	12%	149	+5.1	.277/.380/.508	.231	.285	28	25	15%	14%	146	+4.4
●José Ramírez 2019 · MLB	26	55→62	60→70	55→60	61	.287/.368/.522	.235	.287	25	22	11%	11%	155	+5.5	.267/.354/.519	.252	.267	30	24	14%	11%	149	+5.1	.275/.357/.508	.233	.275	27	22	12%	11%	132	+4.4
●Evan Longoria 2011 · MLB	25	54→58	59→65	51→50	55	.279/.359/.505	.226	.319	25	11	21%	10%	147	+5.0	.270/.359/.499	.229	.299	28	6	19%	11%	146	+4.9	.265/.356/.498	.233	.291	30	2	20%	12%	133	+3.7
●Bo Bichette 2022 · MLB	24	57→65	55→60	54→55	45	.289/.334/.477	.188	.334	23	20	21%	6%	131	+3.9	.295/.336/.465	.170	.350	20	12	21%	6%	128	+3.7	.297/.339/.452	.155	.341	16	5	17%	6%	122	+2.8
★Mookie Betts 2018 · MLB	25	54→63	56→65	56→55	55	.278/.340/.476	.198	.282	22	20	12%	8%	132	+4.0	.293/.380/.525	.232	.306	27	21	14%	12%	160	+5.9	.285/.373/.529	.244	.294	29	14	15%	11%	156	+5.8
●Luis Robert Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	53→58	57→60	54→60	41	.270/.321/.470	.201	.338	24	20	27%	6%	124	+3.4	.269/.317/.463	.194	.328	25	18	25%	5%	120	+3.1	.253/.301/.449	.196	.313	26	22	28%	5%	106	+1.7
●Trent Grisham 2022 · MLB	25	47→48	54→60	53→55	53	.241/.325/.426	.186	.286	21	14	23%	10%	114	+2.7	.206/.303/.363	.157	.263	17	12	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.210/.323/.396	.186	.251	24	8	26%	13%	101	+1.3
●Carlos González 2012 · MLB	26	57→63	58→65	56→55	49	.292/.352/.504	.211	.335	24	22	20%	8%	144	+4.8	.282/.347/.491	.209	.334	25	20	22%	9%	139	+4.4	.266/.329/.467	.201	.306	25	2	21%	8%	117	+2.8
●Eric Hinske 2003 · MLB	25	54→55	55→60	53→50	57	.273/.357/.468	.195	.320	22	12	21%	11%	137	+4.3	.254/.333/.427	.173	.300	17	12	20%	10%	117	+2.9	.247/.324/.406	.159	.292	15	11	20%	9%	104	+1.9
★Chase Utley 2006 · MLB	27	53→63	58→65	54→55	54	.275/.350/.492	.218	.295	24	13	16%	9%	141	+4.5	.302/.378/.527	.225	.332	25	12	17%	9%	161	+6.0	.306/.388/.535	.229	.334	25	11	16%	9%	161	+6.8
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	54→60	52→50	56→55	43	.269/.335/.437	.168	.325	19	22	23%	6%	121	+3.2	.254/.315/.386	.132	.295	14	24	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.301/.348	.107	.278	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
●Brian McCann 2009 · MLB	25	57→63	57→60	48→45	55	.292/.355/.501	.208	.300	23	4	12%	8%	145	+4.9	.275/.353/.472	.197	.295	23	5	15%	10%	137	+4.3	.268/.355/.457	.190	.290	24	4	16%	11%	123	+3.0
★Carlos Beltrán 2004 · MLB	27	57→61	57→65	64→60	56	.290/.363/.503	.213	.316	24	31	17%	10%	148	+5.1	.272/.359/.501	.229	.285	27	27	15%	12%	146	+4.9	.274/.372/.529	.255	.282	31	20	16%	13%	149	+5.5
✕Rocco Baldelli 2007 · MLB	25	56→61	53→55	54→55	44	.286/.329/.469	.184	.320	20	15	18%	5%	126	+3.5	.256/.312/.441	.185	.301	22	11	23%	6%	112	+2.6	.227/.295/.401	.174	.268	24	7	25%	7%	92	+0.3
●Trevor Story 2020 · MLB	27	50→54	60→65	52→55	46	.261/.327/.484	.223	.324	28	18	28%	8%	130	+3.8	.255/.325/.460	.205	.313	24	22	25%	9%	122	+3.3	.238/.313/.431	.192	.294	22	23	26%	9%	107	+1.5
●Carlos Correa 2020 · MLB	25	52→62	59→60	48→55	54	.269/.349/.482	.212	.313	26	4	23%	11%	137	+4.3	.269/.347/.454	.185	.315	22	3	21%	10%	130	+3.8	.263/.347/.444	.180	.305	22	0	20%	11%	123	+3.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)