Lars Nootbaar
LF Arizona Diamondbacks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/AASTL | 54 | .227/.370/.409 | 2 | 0 | 60 | — | .192/.296/.299 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBSTL | 405 | .244/.344/.417 | 12 | 7 | 116 | 0.9 | |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBSTL | 583 | .234/.326/.361 | 13 | 4 | 97 | -0.1 | |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA/AASTL | 40 | .219/.375/.438 | 2 | 0 | 71 | — | .170/.275/.283 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBARI | 334 | .239/.344/.379 | 8 | 2 | 100 | 0.3 | |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBARI | 363 | .251/.343/.410 | 10 | 3 | 110 | 0.9 | |
| 2028PROJ | 30 | MLBARI | 505 | .246/.339/.400 | 14 | 3 | 107 | 0.8 | |
| 2029PROJ | 31 | MLBARI | 492 | .241/.333/.387 | 13 | 3 | 102 | 0.4 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 110 | 93 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 376 | 312 | 688 | 43 | 347 | 20 | 15 | 320 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 155 | 142 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 275 | 335 | 338 | 674 | 63 | 308 | 13 | 8 | 309 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 122 | 106 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 344 | 443 | 788 | 198 | 239 | 11 | 13 | 351 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 124 | 109 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 320 | 422 | 742 | 183 | 273 | 23 | 10 | 325 | 107 | +1 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 136 | 117 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 308 | 404 | 496 | 900 | 188 | 349 | 18 | 12 | 400 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 87 | 70 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 314 | 442 | 643 | 1.085 | 329 | 333 | 17 | 16 | 460 | 197 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 347 | 290 | 66 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 71 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 345 | 448 | 793 | 221 | 248 | 20 | 15 | 348 | 125 | +10 | +0 | +3 | -5 | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 77 | 63 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 338 | 476 | 814 | 254 | 233 | 25 | 13 | 345 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 503 | 426 | 111 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 72 | 99 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 261 | 369 | 418 | 787 | 157 | 307 | 20 | 14 | 353 | 126 | +15 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 3.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 16 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 467 | 500 | 933 | 1.433 | 467 | 455 | 12 | 6 | 610 | 212 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 405 | 348 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 79 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 244 | 344 | 417 | 761 | 172 | 281 | 20 | 13 | 338 | 116 | +8 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 300 | 235 | 535 | 59 | 231 | 20 | 15 | 259 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 34 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 412 | 519 | 930 | 259 | 312 | 26 | 21 | 410 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 583 | 509 | 119 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 64 | 119 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 234 | 326 | 361 | 688 | 128 | 279 | 20 | 11 | 312 | 97 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +13 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 334 | 285 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 344 | 379 | 723 | 140 | 287 | 21 | 14 | 327 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 23 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 348 | 550 | 898 | 300 | 200 | 13 | 13 | 390 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 17 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 412 | 250 | 662 | 83 | 200 | 12 | 29 | 334 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2296 | 1967 | 475 | 98 | 10 | 66 | 298 | 466 | 9 | 30 | 12 | 241 | 344 | 402 | 746 | 161 | 282 | 20 | 13 | 334 | 112 | +33 | +1 | -1 | -22 | +50 | 6.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 110 | 97 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 321 | 278 | 599 | 41 | 319 | 25 | 11 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 155 | 145 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 228 | 277 | 290 | 567 | 62 | 261 | 18 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 122 | 112 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 196 | 262 | 348 | 611 | 152 | 199 | 14 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 124 | 110 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 311 | 418 | 730 | 182 | 273 | 23 | 10 | 326 | 107 | +1 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 136 | 124 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 282 | 346 | 435 | 781 | 153 | 335 | 23 | 7 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 347 | 291 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 71 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 342 | 454 | 796 | 227 | 248 | 20 | 14 | 352 | 125 | +10 | +0 | +3 | -5 | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 77 | 66 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 270 | 364 | 634 | 182 | 196 | 30 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 503 | 428 | 111 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 70 | 99 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 259 | 365 | 421 | 785 | 161 | 307 | 20 | 14 | 354 | 126 | +15 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 3.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 16 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 438 | 667 | 1.104 | 267 | 392 | 12 | 6 | 481 | 212 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 405 | 350 | 85 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 50 | 79 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 243 | 339 | 420 | 759 | 177 | 281 | 20 | 12 | 339 | 116 | +8 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 56 | 214 | 25 | 10 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 34 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 324 | 345 | 668 | 138 | 265 | 35 | 15 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 583 | 512 | 119 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 61 | 119 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 232 | 321 | 363 | 685 | 131 | 279 | 20 | 10 | 311 | 97 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +13 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 334 | 288 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 329 | 361 | 690 | 132 | 287 | 21 | 13 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 23 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 333 | 594 | 143 | 175 | 17 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 294 | 214 | 508 | 71 | 169 | 12 | 18 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 387 | 354 | 77 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 72 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 218 | 282 | 299 | 582 | 82 | 256 | 19 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 387 | 341 | 90 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 55 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 264 | 350 | 364 | 713 | 100 | 296 | 14 | 12 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 347 | 311 | 81 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 79 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 260 | 331 | 424 | 756 | 164 | 308 | 23 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 347 | 296 | 84 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 68 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 284 | 384 | 503 | 887 | 220 | 318 | 20 | 13 | 388 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 424 | 357 | 79 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 57 | 94 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 221 | 332 | 443 | 774 | 221 | 241 | 22 | 13 | 338 | 115 | +8 | +1 | +3 | -5 | +9 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 424 | 353 | 80 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 61 | 90 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 227 | 344 | 453 | 797 | 227 | 245 | 21 | 14 | 347 | 115 | +8 | +1 | +3 | -5 | +9 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 443 | 118 | 23 | 1 | 17 | 71 | 101 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 266 | 369 | 438 | 807 | 172 | 308 | 19 | 14 | 358 | 128 | +18 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 3.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 519 | 441 | 118 | 24 | 1 | 16 | 73 | 101 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 268 | 373 | 435 | 808 | 168 | 312 | 19 | 14 | 360 | 128 | +18 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 3.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 459 | 397 | 93 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 96 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 234 | 332 | 403 | 735 | 169 | 272 | 21 | 12 | 330 | 109 | +5 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 459 | 392 | 95 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 92 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 242 | 347 | 416 | 763 | 173 | 280 | 20 | 14 | 340 | 109 | +5 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 583 | 512 | 119 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 61 | 119 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 232 | 321 | 363 | 685 | 131 | 275 | 20 | 10 | 311 | 97 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +13 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 583 | 509 | 119 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 64 | 119 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 234 | 326 | 361 | 688 | 128 | 279 | 20 | 11 | 312 | 97 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +13 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 323 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 76 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 326 | 365 | 691 | 139 | 264 | 20 | 13 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 374 | 317 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 54 | 75 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 237 | 348 | 385 | 733 | 148 | 278 | 20 | 14 | 331 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 387 | 352 | 77 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 72 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 219 | 282 | 301 | 584 | 82 | 258 | 19 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 347 | 311 | 81 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 79 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 260 | 331 | 424 | 756 | 164 | 305 | 23 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 424 | 362 | 79 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 57 | 94 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 218 | 332 | 436 | 768 | 218 | 238 | 22 | 13 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 442 | 118 | 23 | 1 | 17 | 71 | 101 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 267 | 369 | 439 | 808 | 172 | 310 | 19 | 14 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 459 | 398 | 93 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 96 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 234 | 332 | 402 | 734 | 168 | 277 | 21 | 12 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 583 | 511 | 119 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 61 | 119 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 233 | 321 | 364 | 685 | 131 | 279 | 20 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 323 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 76 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 326 | 365 | 691 | 139 | 275 | 20 | 13 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 459 | 398 | 93 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 96 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 234 | 332 | 402 | 734 | 168 | 277 | 21 | 12 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 583 | 511 | 119 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 61 | 119 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 233 | 321 | 364 | 685 | 131 | 279 | 20 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 323 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 76 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 326 | 365 | 691 | 139 | 275 | 20 | 13 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | ARI | 100% | 453 | 395 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 53 | 92 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 339 | 402 | 741 | 157 | 284 | 20 | 12 | 331 | 110 | +6 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +10 | 1.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | ARI | 100% | 363 | 315 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 73 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 251 | 343 | 410 | 753 | 159 | 293 | 20 | 12 | 336 | 110 | +4 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +8 | 0.9 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | ARI | 100% | 505 | 439 | 106 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 59 | 104 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 334 | 393 | 727 | 152 | 281 | 21 | 12 | 326 | 107 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB MLE | ARI | 100% | 492 | 430 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 57 | 103 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 328 | 380 | 709 | 145 | 276 | 21 | 12 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB MLE | ARI | 100% | 479 | 419 | 96 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 55 | 102 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 321 | 365 | 686 | 136 | 271 | 21 | 11 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | ARI | 100% | 505 | 439 | 108 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 104 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 246 | 339 | 400 | 739 | 153 | 290 | 21 | 12 | 331 | 107 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB CTX | ARI | 100% | 492 | 430 | 103 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 103 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 333 | 387 | 720 | 146 | 285 | 21 | 12 | 323 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB CTX | ARI | 100% | 479 | 419 | 98 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 102 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 325 | 371 | 696 | 138 | 279 | 21 | 11 | 314 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +10 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3772 | 3255 | 784 | 161 | 14 | 105 | 469 | 775 | 15 | 38 | 14 | 241 | 339 | 396 | 735 | 155 | 283 | 21 | 12 | 329 | 103 | +36 | +2 | -9 | -37 | +82 | 7.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 561 | 135 | 28 | 2 | 18 | 81 | 134 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 241 | 340 | 394 | 734 | 153 | 283 | 21 | 12 | 329 | 103 | +6 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4932 | 4300 | 1021 | 181 | 18 | 145 | 569 | 1019 | 22 | 48 | 22 | 237 | 330 | 389 | 719 | 152 | 277 | 21 | 12 | 321 | 103 | +40 | +2 | -9 | -41 | +90 | 8.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 567 | 134 | 24 | 2 | 19 | 75 | 134 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 236 | 329 | 386 | 715 | 150 | 275 | 21 | 12 | 321 | 103 | +6 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 23 PAwOBA .379 → .290 (−89)K% 13.0% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 16.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 8.09% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .379 → .290; ISO .300 → .211; BABIP .200 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 17 PAwOBA .328 → .253 (−75)K% 11.8% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 29.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 19.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 8.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 8.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .328 → .253; ISO .083 → .075; BABIP .200 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AASpringfield Cardinals · 34 PAwOBA .400 → .285 (−115)K% 26.5% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.47% | ÷0.943 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.59% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 14.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 20.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.940 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.386 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 6.27% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 100, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 89, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .400 → .285; ISO .259 → .154; BABIP .312 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 20 PAwOBA .254 → .209 (−45)K% 20.0% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.953 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 14.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .209; ISO .059 → .053; BABIP .231 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 16 PAwOBA .591 → .481 (−111)K% 12.5% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.040 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 28.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.955 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 11.48% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .591 → .481; ISO .467 → .353; BABIP .455 → .392. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 77 PAwOBA .350 → .275 (−75)K% 24.7% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.68% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.99% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.051 | ×0.930 | ×0.979 | ×1.033 | 12.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×1.033 | 7.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 6.27% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .350 → .275; ISO .254 → .192; BABIP .233 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 136 PAwOBA .383 → .337 (−47)K% 18.4% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.38% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.29% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.35% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 29.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 1.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.04% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .383 → .337; ISO .188 → .150; BABIP .349 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 155 PAwOBA .301 → .245 (−56)K% 12.9% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.90% | ÷1.014 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.39% | ÷0.991 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.87% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 23.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.46% | ÷1.047 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 2.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.60% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 110, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .301 → .245; ISO .063 → .057; BABIP .308 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .