LaMonte Wade Jr.

1B Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 33 L/L 5'11" / 215 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 4.572 · Ctrl thru 2028
Overview
AAA40-MANArb-2FA 2029
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202430MLBSF401.260/.383/.381821190.6
202531MLBLAA242.167/.272/.2542152-2.0
202632AAAHOU214.241/.417/.4207283—.196/.318/.318
202632MLBHOU146.205/.308/.3464088-0.5
2027PROJ45% MLB33MLBHOU99.215/.324/.3472192-0.0
2028PROJ34MLBHOU180.206/.314/.3264084-0.8
Last 3 seasons WAR -2.0  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2028Service4.572First FA2029
2027Arb-2$1M2028Arb-3$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA57
Avg EV56
Barrel%39
Bat Spd38
Speed13
Form.213/.304/.360 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .212/.320/.343
CompsA.J. Ellis (age 34) · Ramón Vázquez (age 33) · Elias Díaz (age 33)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8192vR 96
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .324 / .347
PA99
HR2
K%24
BB%13
BABIP271
ISO118
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: -0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
xAVG
190.226
POWER45
Barrel%
396.8
Avg EV
5689.5
Bat Spd
3870.0
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED40
Sprint
1325.7
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%26%▼29% over 31 PA (60d) · proj 24%
BB%11%▼▼3% over 31 PA (60d) · proj 13%
ISO.147▲.233 over 30 AB (60d) · proj .131
BABIP.265·.211 over 19 BIP (60d) · proj .266
SLASH.213/.304/.360·proj .212/.320/.343
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 643 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
72
571
—
wRC+
82
93
▶R
wOBA
290
306
▶R
ISO
053
114
▶▶R
BABIP
264
291
▶R
K%
15.3%
24.0%
◀◀L
BB%
13.9%
12.8%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2019
Service   4.572 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-2$1M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Arb-3$1M———
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201521 ACedar Rapids Kernels — 1614 2000 121 00 143250143393 167 126 203 -3 — — — — — —
201521 ROKElizabethton Twins — 284231 72859 46343 121 312432506939 195330 1216 411 93 — — — — — —
201622 A+Fort Myers Miracle — 127110 35814 10174 11 318395518913 200337 138 394 124 — — — — — —
201622 ACedar Rapids Kernels — 261207 58634 44275 53 280418396814 116298 1017 368 88 — — — — — —
201723 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 519424 1242237 76715 92 292406408814 116328 1415 361 103 — — — — — —
201723 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 7763 15312 9103 12 238360413773 175245 1312 341 117 — — — — — —
201824 AAARochester Red Wings — 294253 58934 38543 51 229337336673 107277 1813 311 64 — — — — — —
201824 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 201171 51217 26202 52 298397444841 146301 1013 375 95 — — — — — —
201925 MLBMinnesota Twins — 6956 11212 1192 01 196348375723 179200 1316 332 111 +1 -0 -2 +2 +1 0.1
201925 AAARochester Red Wings — 334264 651215 56489 72 246395356751 110280 1417 346 82 — — — — — —
201925 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 2421 5300 330 00 238333381714 143278 1212 323 57 — — — — — —
201925 ACedar Rapids Kernels — 1815 2000 350 00 133278133411 200 2817 217 -8 — — — — — —
202026 MLBMinnesota Twins — 4439 9300 491 11 231318308626 77300 209 291 83 -1 -0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
202127 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 381336 8517318 33895 61 253329482811 229289 239 350 128 +13 +1 -1 -5 +8 1.6
202127 AAASacramento River Cats — 5945 11203 14130 01 244424489913 244276 2224 407 103 — — — — — —
202228 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 251217 45718 26515 10 207306359666 152233 2010 300 94 -2 +0 -2 -3 +5 -0.2
202228 AAASacramento River Cats — 5844 11402 1062 00 250411477888 227237 1017 384 112 — — — — — —
202329 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 519429 11014217 76956 20 256376417793 161290 1815 354 128 +17 +0 -7 -9 +11 1.3
202430 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 401331 861608 62904 21 260383381764 121331 2215 348 119 +9 +0 -5 -7 +9 0.6
202531 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 242209 35822 27583 10 167272254526 86220 2411 246 52 -14 +0 -7 -4 +5 -2.0
202632 MLBHouston Astros — 146127 26604 19360 00 205308346655 142253 2513 300 88 -2 +0 +0 -6 +3 -0.5
202632 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys — 214162 39807 47492 20 241417420837 179296 2322 378 83 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 20531744 40773959 25843726 134 233341387728 154276 2113 327 107 +18 +1 -25 -34 +44 0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201521 A MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 1614 2000 131 00 143250143393 153 196 164 -3 — — — — — —
201521 ROK MLEElizabethton Twins — 284248 58647 29483 121 234321375696 141254 1710 305 93 — — — — — —
201622 A+ MLEFort Myers Miracle — 127112 32714 8254 11 286355473828 188308 206 352 124 — — — — — —
201622 A MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 261222 53533 29375 53 239340329669 90257 1411 298 88 — — — — — —
201723 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 519447 1192036 53865 92 266350365715 98297 1710 320 103 — — — — — —
201824 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 294265 55834 26663 51 208286306591 98257 229 263 64 — — — — — —
201824 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 201181 46216 16252 52 254322376697 122261 128 309 95 — — — — — —
201925 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 6956 11212 1192 01 196348375723 179200 1316 332 111 +1 -0 -2 +2 +1 0.1
201925 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 334284 631015 36589 72 222328317645 95251 1711 290 82 — — — — — —
201925 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 2422 4200 240 00 182250273523 91236 178 253 57 — — — — — —
201925 A MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 1816 2000 270 00 125222125347 177 3911 157 -8 — — — — — —
202026 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 4439 9300 491 11 231318308626 77300 209 291 83 -1 -0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
202127 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 381337 8717319 32895 61 258332496827 237289 238 358 128 +13 +1 -1 -5 +8 1.6
202127 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 5950 10202 9150 01 200322360682 160239 2515 320 103 — — — — — —
202228 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 251217 46719 26515 10 212310378688 166233 2010 307 94 -2 +0 -2 -3 +5 -0.2
202228 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 5848 11402 672 00 229339438777 208213 1210 333 112 — — — — — —
202329 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 519432 11214218 73956 20 259374426800 167290 1814 357 128 +17 +0 -7 -9 +11 1.3
202430 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 401336 881609 57904 21 262375390765 128331 2214 344 119 +9 +0 -5 -7 +9 0.6
202531 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 242210 35822 26583 10 167268252520 86220 2411 245 52 -14 +0 -7 -4 +5 -2.0
202632 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 146127 26604 19360 00 205308346655 142253 2513 298 88 -2 +0 +0 -6 +3 -0.5
202632 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 214179 35705 30592 20 196318318636 123251 2814 291 83 — — — — — —
201521 ROK MLE2 teams — 300262 60647 30514 121 229318363680 134256 1710 297 87 — — — — — —
201521 ROK RAW2 teams — 300245 74859 47364 121 302422486908 184320 1216 400 87 — — — — — —
201622 A MLE2 teams — 388334 841247 37619 64 251342374716 123281 1610 316 100 — — — — — —
201622 A RAW2 teams — 388317 931448 54449 64 293411438849 145311 1114 376 100 — — — — — —
201723 AA MLE2 teams — 596511 1372337 61998 104 268355366721 98311 1710 320 103 — — — — — —
201723 AA RAW2 teams — 596487 1392549 85818 104 285400409809 123317 1414 359 103 — — — — — —
201824 AAA MLE2 teams — 495446 10110410 42915 103 226300334634 108262 188 282 77 — — — — — —
201824 AAA RAW2 teams — 495424 10911411 64745 103 257361380741 123287 1513 337 77 — — — — — —
201925 AAA MLE4 teams — 445378 791427 517711 73 209320312633 103242 1711 289 82 — — — — — —
201925 AAA RAW4 teams — 445356 831727 736511 73 233380351731 118265 1516 338 82 — — — — — —
202026 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 4439 9300 491 11 231318308626 77300 209 291 83 -1 -0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
202026 MLB RAWMinnesota Twins — 4439 9300 491 11 231318308626 77300 209 291 83 -1 -0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
202127 MLB MLE2 teams — 440387 9719322 411045 62 251330486816 235284 249 353 125 +13 +0 -1 -5 +10 1.7
202127 MLB RAW2 teams — 440381 9619321 471025 62 252342483825 231287 2311 358 125 +13 +0 -1 -5 +10 1.7
202228 MLB MLE2 teams — 309265 5711110 32587 10 215316377693 162235 1910 312 97 -1 +0 -2 -3 +7 0.0
202228 MLB RAW2 teams — 309261 5611110 36577 10 215326379705 165234 1812 316 97 -1 +0 -2 -3 +7 0.0
202329 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 519432 11214218 73956 20 259374426800 167291 1814 357 128 +17 +0 -7 -9 +11 1.3
202329 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 519429 11014217 76956 20 256376417793 161290 1815 354 128 +17 +0 -7 -9 +11 1.3
202430 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 401336 881609 57904 21 262375390765 128329 2214 344 119 +9 +0 -5 -7 +9 0.6
202430 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 401331 861608 62904 21 260383381764 121331 2215 348 119 +9 +0 -5 -7 +9 0.6
202531 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 242210 35822 26583 10 167268252520 86219 2411 245 52 -14 +0 -7 -4 +5 -2.0
202531 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 242209 35822 27583 10 167272254526 86220 2411 246 52 -14 +0 -7 -4 +5 -2.0
202632 AAA MLE2 teams — 360306 611309 49952 20 199314330644 131255 2614 294 85 — — — — — —
202632 AAA RAW2 teams — 360289 6514011 66852 20 225373388760 163277 2418 346 85 — — — — — —
201521 ROK MLE2 teams — 300263 60647 30514 121 228318361679 133249 1710 297 87 — — — — — —
201622 A MLE2 teams — 388339 841247 37619 64 248342369711 121274 1610 316 100 — — — — — —
201723 AA MLE2 teams — 596522 1372337 61998 104 262355358713 96297 1710 320 103 — — — — — —
201824 AAA MLE2 teams — 495445 10110410 42915 103 227300335635 108259 188 282 77 — — — — — —
201925 AAA MLE4 teams — 445380 791427 517711 73 208320311631 103239 1711 289 82 — — — — — —
202026 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 4439 9300 491 11 231318308626 77300 209 291 83 — — — — — —
202127 MLB MLE2 teams — 440391 9719322 411045 62 248330481811 233282 249 353 125 — — — — — —
202228 MLB MLE2 teams — 309267 5711110 32587 10 213316375690 161229 1910 312 97 — — — — — —
202329 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 519435 11214218 73956 20 257374423797 166290 1814 357 128 — — — — — —
202430 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 401337 881609 57904 21 261375389764 128331 2214 344 119 — — — — — —
202531 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 242211 35822 26583 10 166268251519 85220 2411 245 52 — — — — — —
202632 AAA MLE2 teams — 360306 611309 49952 20 199314330644 131252 2614 294 85 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202430 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 401337 881609 57904 21 261375389764 128331 2214 344 119 — — — — — —
202531 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 242211 35822 26583 10 166268251519 85220 2411 245 52 — — — — — —
202632 AAA MLE2 teams — 360306 611309 49952 20 199314330644 131252 2614 294 85 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202733 MLB MLEHOU 45% 331282 601317 43803 21 213322344666 131266 2413 304 92 -3 +0 -0 -6 +7 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202733 MLB CTXHOU 45% 9985 18402 13241 10 215324347671 131271 2413 306 92 -1 +0 -0 -2 +2 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202834 MLB MLEHOU 100% 180154 31604 23451 00 203312323635 120258 2513 292 84 -4 +0 -5 -3 +4 -0.8
202834 MLB CTXHOU 100% 180154 33714 23451 00 206314326640 120262 2513 294 84 -4 +0 -5 -3 +4 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22331898 440801063 28148227 134 232339384723 152276 2213 324 98 +14 +1 -30 -38 +48 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650552 12823318 821408 41 232340382722 150276 2213 324 98 +4 +0 -9 -11 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 49394248 99116326117 55498668 6220 233331367698 133274 2011 312 98 +12 +1 -30 -42 +53 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650559 12921315 731309 83 231329360689 129271 2011 312 98 +3 +0 -8 -11 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 214 PAwOBA .371 → .291 (−80)K% 22.9% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.90%÷1.000×1.200——27.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.50%÷1.000×0.690—×0.95214.12%
HBP% /PA0.93%—×0.940—×0.9520.84%
Singles /BIP21.24%÷1.000×0.930×1.002×0.95218.84%
Doubles /BIP7.08%÷1.000×0.830×1.002×0.9525.61%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.002×0.9520.00%
Home runs /BIP6.19%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9524.13%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .371 → .291; ISO .179 → .137; BABIP .296 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAASacramento River Cats · 58 PAwOBA .377 → .333 (−44)K% 10.3% → 12.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.34%÷0.986×1.200——12.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.79%÷0.984×0.690—×0.9929.60%
HBP% /PA3.45%—×0.940—×0.9923.22%
Singles /BIP13.16%÷0.968×0.930—×0.99212.54%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷0.967×0.830—×0.9928.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×0.9920.00%
Home runs /BIP5.26%÷0.989×0.700—×0.9923.70%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .377 → .333; ISO .227 → .197; BABIP .237 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 59 PAwOBA .392 → .320 (−72)K% 22.0% → 25.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.03%÷1.034×1.200——25.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.03%÷0.956×0.690—×1.00315.96%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.049×0.930—×1.00316.67%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷0.916×0.830—×1.0035.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.920—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP9.38%÷0.995×0.700—×1.0036.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 107, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .392 → .320; ISO .244 → .196; BABIP .276 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAARochester Red Wings · 334 PAwOBA .341 → .290 (−52)K% 14.4% → 17.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.37%÷0.999×1.200——17.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.77%÷1.095×0.690—×1.03310.91%
HBP% /PA2.69%—×0.940—×1.0332.62%
Singles /BIP21.76%÷0.982×0.930×0.950×1.03320.22%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.063×0.830×0.950×1.0334.26%
Triples /BIP0.46%÷1.150×0.970×0.950×1.0330.38%
Home runs /BIP2.31%÷0.958×0.840—×1.0332.10%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 96, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .341 → .290; ISO .110 → .099; BABIP .280 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 24 PAwOBA .315 → .253 (−62)K% 12.5% → 14.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷1.027×1.220——14.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷1.028×0.680—×0.9988.25%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP11.11%÷0.970×0.920—×0.99810.52%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷1.160×0.910—×0.99813.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 94, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 105, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .315 → .253; ISO .143 → .115; BABIP .278 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 18 PAwOBA .213 → .157 (−56)K% 27.8% → 39.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.78%÷0.968×1.360——39.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷0.960×0.690—×0.97011.62%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9700.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.007×0.920—×0.97017.72%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.976×0.830—×0.9700.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.045×0.910—×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.997×0.800—×0.9700.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 109, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .213 → .157; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAARochester Red Wings · 294 PAwOBA .302 → .263 (−40)K% 18.4% → 22.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.37%÷0.978×1.200——22.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.59%÷1.008×0.690—×1.0489.02%
HBP% /PA1.02%—×0.940—×1.0481.01%
Singles /BIP21.11%÷1.023×0.930×0.994×1.04819.99%
Doubles /BIP4.52%÷1.009×0.830×0.994×1.0483.88%
Triples /BIP1.51%÷1.150×0.970×0.994×1.0481.33%
Home runs /BIP2.01%÷0.879×0.840—×1.0482.01%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .302 → .263; ISO .107 → .098; BABIP .277 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 201 PAwOBA .368 → .309 (−59)K% 10.0% → 12.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.95%÷0.961×1.220——12.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.44%÷1.078×0.680—×1.0127.94%
HBP% /PA1.00%—×0.840—×1.0120.85%
Singles /BIP27.15%÷1.072×0.920×0.997×1.01223.51%
Doubles /BIP1.32%÷0.979×0.910×0.997×1.0121.24%
Triples /BIP0.66%÷0.900×0.880×0.997×1.0120.65%
Home runs /BIP4.64%÷0.975×0.800—×1.0123.85%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 114, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 92, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .368 → .309; ISO .146 → .130; BABIP .301 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).