Austin Nola — OGILVIE

Austin NolaC Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 36 R/R 6'0" / 197 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 162 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .277 / .306

PA162

HR2

K%22

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2025

CONTACT43

Whiff%

905.7%

xwOBA

410.298

POWER35

Barrel%

101.9

Avg EV

4088.3

Bat Spd

2768.9

EYE65

Chase%

8524.9%

SPEED38

Sprint

1625.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	205	181	33	9	0	0	18	43	1	5	2	182	260	232	492	50	237	21	9	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	205	175	38	10	0	1	24	26	1	5	2	217	315	291	606	74	248	13	12	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	489	424	81	18	3	1	43	126	8	6	3	191	278	255	533	64	268	26	9	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	489	413	96	22	3	1	54	92	8	6	3	232	333	308	640	75	295	19	11	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	2 teams	—	654	575	137	24	5	1	58	131	14	10	5	238	323	303	626	64	304	20	9	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	2 teams	—	654	546	143	25	6	1	87	96	14	10	5	262	377	335	712	73	313	15	13	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA	2 teams	—	534	480	108	20	2	1	32	120	6	0	1	225	282	281	563	56	290	22	6	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA	2 teams	—	534	463	112	24	2	1	49	90	6	0	1	242	322	309	631	67	291	17	9	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	2 teams	—	435	405	95	25	1	6	19	73	2	4	1	235	272	346	618	111	272	17	4	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	2 teams	—	435	394	103	24	1	6	30	57	2	4	1	261	317	373	690	112	292	13	7	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AA	2 teams	—	302	272	56	11	0	2	20	57	3	3	2	206	268	268	536	62	251	19	7	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AA	2 teams	—	302	257	60	11	0	3	35	42	3	3	2	233	332	311	643	78	266	14	12	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	262	233	55	16	0	2	20	50	7	2	0	236	315	330	646	94	290	19	8	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	262	226	63	16	0	2	27	43	7	2	0	279	373	376	749	97	333	16	10	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB	3 teams	—	563	505	135	27	2	18	48	131	6	5	2	267	338	436	774	168	326	23	9	336	115	+10	+0	-3	-10	+16	1.3
2019	29	MLB	3 teams	—	563	498	143	30	2	17	55	119	6	5	2	287	365	458	823	171	345	21	10	364	137	+23	+0	-3	-10	+16	2.7
2020	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	184	161	46	10	1	8	18	34	3	0	0	286	368	509	877	224	314	18	10	367	139	+8	+0	+6	+3	+5	2.3
2020	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	184	161	44	9	1	7	18	34	3	0	0	273	357	472	829	199	303	18	10	364	137	+8	+0	+6	+3	+5	2.3
2021	31	MLB	2 teams	—	233	207	57	13	0	3	18	28	6	0	1	275	351	382	732	106	303	12	8	324	106	+2	-0	+5	+4	+7	1.8
2021	31	MLB	2 teams	—	233	206	57	13	0	3	19	26	6	0	1	277	355	383	738	107	302	11	8	334	113	+4	-0	+5	+4	+7	2.0
2022	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	397	347	89	16	0	4	34	60	6	2	1	256	333	337	671	81	291	15	9	297	86	-7	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.7
2022	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	397	347	87	15	0	4	34	60	6	2	1	251	328	329	657	78	284	15	9	295	84	-7	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.7
2023	33	MLB	2 teams	—	184	158	24	4	0	1	20	42	2	0	0	152	256	196	452	44	200	23	11	214	22	-16	+0	-2	+3	+5	-1.0
2023	33	MLB	2 teams	—	184	157	24	4	0	1	21	39	2	0	0	153	261	197	459	45	197	21	11	220	27	-15	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.9
2024	34	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	191	167	26	5	0	4	11	57	2	0	0	156	217	257	474	102	206	30	6	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	191	161	28	5	0	5	17	45	2	0	0	174	261	298	559	124	205	24	9	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	AAA	2 teams	—	148	137	33	6	1	1	8	25	1	0	0	241	288	321	609	80	286	17	5	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	AAA	2 teams	—	148	133	40	8	1	1	12	19	1	0	0	301	363	398	762	98	342	13	8	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	36	MLB	COL	—	162	147	32	6	1	2	12	36	2	1	0	218	286	313	599	95	268	22	7	267	63	-7	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	37	MLB	COL	1%	80	73	15	3	0	1	6	18	1	0	0	205	275	288	563	82	259	22	8	254	52	-4	+0	-8	+1	+2	-0.9
2027	37	MLB	COL	1%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						277	0	0	263	60	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1238	1088	268	52	2	24	109	212	20	3	2	246	326	364	690	118	282	17	9	309	95	-7	-0	+2	+10	+35	4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	141	27	1	13	57	111	11	2	1	247	327	366	693	119	282	17	9	309	95	-4	+0	+1	+5	+18	2.2
Career	—			—	5023	4472	1022	213	16	55	385	1031	70	38	18	229	300	320	620	92	282	21	8	273	67	-185	+0	-8	+70	+142	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	133	28	2	7	50	133	9	5	2	230	301	321	622	92	284	20	8	273	67	-24	+0	-1	+9	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	205	175	38	10	0	1	24	26	1	5	2	217	315	291	606	74	248	13	12	277	70	-7	+0	—	—	+6	-0.1
2013	23	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	489	413	96	22	3	1	54	92	8	6	3	232	333	308	640	75	295	19	11	291	81	-11	+0	—	—	+14	0.3
2014	24	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	595	499	129	21	5	1	77	94	12	8	5	259	371	327	697	68	313	16	13	323	105	+3	-0	—	—	+17	2.0
2014	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	59	47	14	4	1	0	10	2	2	2	0	298	441	426	866	128	311	3	17	396	161	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2015	25	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	238	207	58	11	1	0	22	40	3	0	1	280	358	343	701	63	343	17	9	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+7	0.6
2015	25	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	296	256	54	13	1	1	27	50	3	0	0	211	294	281	575	70	249	17	9	259	57	-15	+0	—	—	+8	-0.6
2016	26	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	407	372	97	23	1	6	24	56	2	4	1	261	309	376	685	116	293	14	6	301	88	-5	+0	—	—	+12	0.7
2016	26	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	28	22	6	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	273	429	318	747	45	286	4	21	357	131	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2017	27	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	105	89	18	4	0	1	10	16	1	0	0	202	290	281	571	79	233	15	10	254	53	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2017	27	AA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	197	168	42	7	0	2	25	26	2	3	2	250	354	327	681	77	284	13	13	314	99	-0	-0	—	—	+6	0.5
2018	28	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	262	226	63	16	0	2	27	43	7	2	0	279	373	376	749	97	333	16	10	341	119	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.4
2019	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	267	238	64	12	1	10	23	63	4	1	0	269	343	454	797	185	325	24	9	352	127	+8	+0	-3	-10	+8	0.3
2019	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	229	196	64	15	1	7	29	40	2	4	1	327	419	520	939	194	377	17	13	412	173	+19	+0	—	—	+6	2.6
2019	29	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	67	64	15	3	0	0	3	16	0	0	1	234	269	281	550	47	312	24	4	251	50	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2020	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	184	161	44	9	1	7	18	34	3	0	0	273	357	472	829	199	303	18	10	364	137	+8	+0	+6	+3	+5	2.3
2021	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	194	173	47	12	0	2	14	19	5	0	1	272	344	376	719	104	292	10	7	324	106	+1	-0	+5	+4	+5	1.6
2021	31	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	39	33	10	1	0	1	5	7	1	0	0	303	410	424	834	121	360	18	13	380	149	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	397	347	87	15	0	4	34	60	6	2	1	251	328	329	657	78	284	15	9	295	84	-7	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.7
2023	33	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	154	130	19	3	0	1	18	31	2	0	0	146	260	192	452	46	184	20	12	218	25	-13	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.8
2023	33	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	30	27	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	185	267	222	489	37	263	27	10	233	37	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	34	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	191	161	28	5	0	5	17	45	2	0	0	174	261	298	559	124	205	24	9	243	44	-12	+0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2025	35	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	41	38	7	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	184	225	211	436	26	212	12	5	198	10	-4	+0	-1	+3	+1	-0.1
2025	35	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	107	95	33	7	1	1	10	14	1	0	0	347	415	474	889	126	395	13	9	394	159	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1237	1087	268	52	2	24	109	212	20	3	2	247	326	364	691	118	282	17	9	309	95	-7	-0	+2	+10	+35	4.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Omar Narváezlast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,298 PA	9	2,298	53	0	251	334	374	+41	+15	12.6	12.9
	/162	664	15	0	251	334	374	+11.9	+4.3	3.6	pk7: 13
#2Josh Bardlast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,958 PA	9	1,958	38	1	252	318	381	+33	+24	10.4	10.5
#2Josh Bardlast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,958 PA	/162	664	13	0	252	318	381	+11.1	+8.0	3.5	pk7: 11
#3A.J. Ellislast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,290 PA	9	2,290	44	2	240	342	354	+41	-16	8.9	9.1
#3A.J. Ellislast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,290 PA	/162	664	13	1	240	342	354	+11.9	-4.7	2.6	pk7: 9
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	7	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
	/162	664	19	7	254	303	396	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,213	24	3	247	324	367	+22	+1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	13	2	247	324	367	+11.8	+0.4	2.8	pk7: 5
#5Brendan Harrislast yr '13 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,819 PA	6	1,819	31	5	256	313	380	+18	-14	4.3	4.3
	/162	664	11	2	256	313	380	+6.6	-5.2	1.6	pk7: 4
#6Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Nola (OGILVIE)	36	43	35	38	65	213/277/306	93	268	2	1	22%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Treanor 2012 · MLB	36	44	41→40	39→40	56	214/314/309	95	255	10	6	19%	11%	80	+0.4	221/314/343	122	273	12	8	22%	11%	89	+0.9	175/283/283	108	219	10	5	24%	11%	50	-0.3
✕Gary Bennett 2007 · MLB	35	46	42→40	43→40	52	225/291/327	101	256	10	4	17%	8%	73	-0.1	236/291/356	120	254	13	7	13%	7%	80	+0.4	242/283/323	81	259	7	4	9%	5%	63	-0.2
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2019 · MLB	35	40→45	41→45	43→40	45	198/262/301	103	253	8	3	25%	7%	55	-1.4	203/269/312	109	278	10	7	29%	6%	61	-1.0	152/228/223	71	219	10	0	34%	5%	19	-0.9
✕Chad Moeller 2010 · MLB	35	44	42→50	43→30	43	215/266/321	106	263	8	4	22%	5%	61	-1.0	220/276/335	115	271	10	7	22%	6%	69	-0.4	196/254/289	94	246	4	0	21%	5%	44	-0.4
✕Drew Butera 2020 · MLB	36	42	43→40	49→40	47	206/276/317	110	270	11	5	27%	8%	65	-0.7	193/264/307	114	266	12	8	30%	7%	57	-1.2	149/232/256	107	209	12	7	34%	7%	29	-1.5
✕Jamie Burke 2008 · MLB	36	50→48	43→45	40→30	46	245/294/358	114	271	11	3	15%	5%	82	+0.5	228/277/321	93	268	8	5	17%	5%	66	-0.6	209/258/272	63	253	4	1	19%	5%	43	-0.5
✕Pedro Mere 2006 · AAA	36	46→49	43→40	45→40	45	228/272/338	110	263	11	7	18%	5%	67	-0.5	237/284/334	97	267	9	5	14%	5%	72	-0.2	239/289/324	85	269	8	3	14%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Alberto Castillo 2007 · MLB	37	49	37→30	41→30	52	232/300/312	80	281	4	5	18%	9%	72	-0.2	237/299/336	99	288	8	5	19%	8%	78	+0.2	236/305/309	73	283	8	0	18%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Wil Nieves 2014 · MLB	36	53→56	40	42→40	43	254/287/342	88	302	8	4	19%	4%	74	-0.1	240/281/336	96	305	8	6	23%	5%	70	-0.3	238/264/322	84	309	4	4	24%	1%	57	-0.3
✕Paul Bako 2008 · MLB	36	46	38→45	42→40	47	217/284/287	71	298	6	4	28%	8%	59	-1.1	229/301/337	108	303	11	4	26%	9%	80	+0.4	226/301/327	102	298	11	0	26%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Doug Bernier 2016 · MLB	36	50→54	38→40	43→45	46	237/292/316	79	294	6	6	21%	6%	69	-0.4	230/282/327	97	296	10	7	25%	6%	69	-0.4	227/280/323	95	296	11	5	26%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Hector Estrada 2006 · AAA	37	44	42→40	43→40	45	218/266/321	103	255	10	5	19%	6%	61	-1.0	218/269/327	109	250	12	7	18%	6%	64	-0.8	200/249/286	87	213	11	3	12%	4%	42	-0.6
✕Carlos Orrantia 2017 · AAA	35	46→53	39→45	43→55	41	224/266/305	81	282	7	8	23%	4%	56	-1.3	235/271/325	90	300	9	10	24%	4%	63	-0.9	261/286/315	54	335	6	9	23%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Raul Chavez 2010 · MLB	37	49	42→40	44→30	44	237/273/337	100	263	9	5	14%	4%	67	-0.5	203/236/288	85	231	7	4	15%	4%	39	-2.5	174/200/232	58	199	4	0	15%	2%	6	-1.9
✕Ryan Hanigan 2017 · MLB	36	44→54	41→40	47→40	51	215/296/311	96	260	9	4	21%	9%	72	-0.2	219/288/307	88	284	8	5	24%	8%	67	-0.5	219/293/272	52	303	5	0	27%	8%	57	-0.4
✕Sean Kazmar Jr. 2021 · AAA	36	45→54	45	45	44	222/268/344	122	249	13	5	17%	5%	68	-0.5	207/247/335	128	240	16	9	21%	5%	56	-1.3	172/207/281	109	188	16	6	20%	4%	23	-1.7
✕Hector Guizar 2006 · AAA	36	49	40	38→30	45	232/267/320	88	258	7	5	14%	4%	60	-1.0	228/265/316	88	247	8	5	11%	4%	58	-1.2	226/260/289	63	238	6	0	8%	4%	46	-1.1
✕Octavio Sandoval 2009 · AAA	36	52	40	39→45	42	250/275/339	89	281	9	6	15%	3%	68	-0.5	231/261/315	84	264	5	8	14%	4%	56	-1.3	231/259/301	71	263	1	5	12%	3%	47	-0.8
✕Edgar Vega 2008 · AAA	36	47	38→30	46→30	41	226/259/305	79	274	6	5	20%	4%	52	-1.6	219/252/319	100	260	9	7	19%	4%	53	-1.5	225/249/344	118	241	11	4	12%	3%	53	-0.3
✕Paul Hoover 2010 · MLB	34	45	40→45	43→45	41	218/269/312	94	299	7	5	29%	6%	59	-1.1	225/281/324	99	306	7	6	27%	6%	67	-0.5	229/287/321	92	312	4	0	26%	6%	62	-0.5