Kevan Smith

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1988-06-28

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2019	31	MLBLAA	211	.251/.319/.393	5	2	103	0.3
2020	32	MLBTB	38	.258/.368/.452	1	0	133	0.3
2021	33	MLBATL	106	.168/.245/.200	0	0	17	-0.5
2022	34	No MLB games played
2023	35	No MLB games played
2024	36	No MLB games played
2025	37	No MLB games played
2026	38	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

xwOBA51

Avg EV42

Barrel%33

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	23	ROK	Great Falls Voyagers	—	239	203	72	22	3	9	28	30	7	2	2	355	450	626	1.075	271	382	13	12	464	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	86	77	21	4	2	3	5	17	1	0	0	273	325	494	819	221	300	20	6	345	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	379	340	96	26	0	7	25	62	9	0	1	282	348	421	768	138	324	16	7	340	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	442	384	110	26	3	12	38	66	15	4	1	286	373	464	837	177	317	15	9	369	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	449	389	113	21	3	10	46	68	9	1	1	290	378	437	815	147	328	15	10	363	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	50	45	11	4	1	0	3	9	2	0	0	244	320	378	698	133	306	18	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	361	319	83	13	2	6	29	66	5	0	1	260	331	370	700	110	309	18	8	311	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	16	16	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		200	38	0	113	-37	-3	+0	+1	+4	+0	0.2
2016	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	205	183	40	9	0	8	16	36	3	0	0	219	292	399	691	180	229	18	8	304	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	294	276	78	17	0	4	9	46	3	0	0	283	311	388	699	105	323	16	3	307	93	-2	+0	+7	+6	+6	1.7
2017	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	62	53	20	6	0	0	6	9	1	0	0	377	450	491	941	113	435	15	10	408	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	187	171	50	6	0	3	10	18	5	1	0	292	349	380	730	88	311	10	5	330	109	+2	+0	-0	+6	+4	1.2
2018	30	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	124	112	30	4	0	4	8	18	3	0	0	268	333	411	744	143	286	15	6	332	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	211	191	48	12	0	5	16	37	3	2	0	251	319	393	712	141	287	18	8	319	103	+1	+0	-7	+4	+5	0.3
2020	32	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	38	31	8	3	0	1	5	11	1	0	0	258	368	452	820	194	368	29	13	363	133	+1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.3
2021	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	106	95	16	3	0	0	10	31	0	0	0	168	245	200	445	32	250	29	9	213	17	-10	+0	+1	+2	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	852	780	202	41	0	13	50	149	12	3	0	259	312	362	674	103	303	17	6	302	91	-10	+1	+1	+22	+18	3.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	23	ROK MLE	Great Falls Voyagers	—	239	215	57	16	2	7	16	43	7	2	2	265	336	456	792	191	297	18	7	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	86	80	19	3	2	3	2	25	1	0	0	237	265	438	703	200	266	29	2	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	379	350	84	22	0	6	15	83	9	0	1	240	289	354	643	114	288	22	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	442	399	95	20	2	10	23	95	15	4	1	238	304	373	678	135	279	21	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	449	409	109	22	3	8	26	87	9	1	1	267	324	394	718	127	312	19	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	361	329	79	11	2	4	20	82	5	0	1	240	294	322	616	82	296	23	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	16	16	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		200	38	0	113	-37	-3	+0	+1	+4	+0	0.2
2016	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	205	188	37	8	0	7	11	41	3	0	0	197	252	351	604	154	210	20	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	294	277	78	17	0	4	9	46	3	0	0	282	311	386	698	105	323	16	3	306	93	-2	+0	+7	+6	+6	1.7
2017	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	62	55	18	5	0	0	4	11	1	0	0	327	383	418	802	91	386	18	6	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	187	171	50	6	0	3	10	18	5	1	0	292	349	380	730	88	311	10	5	329	109	+2	+0	-0	+6	+4	1.2
2018	30	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	124	115	25	3	0	2	5	22	3	0	0	217	268	296	564	78	251	18	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	211	191	48	12	0	5	16	37	3	2	0	251	319	393	712	141	287	18	8	321	103	+1	+0	-7	+4	+5	0.3
2020	32	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	38	32	8	3	0	1	5	11	1	0	0	250	368	438	806	188	368	29	13	364	133	+1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.3
2021	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	106	99	16	3	0	0	7	31	0	0	0	162	217	192	409	30	250	29	7	193	17	-10	+0	+1	+2	+2	-0.5
2011	23	ROK MLE	Great Falls Voyagers	—	239	215	57	16	2	7	16	43	7	2	2	265	336	456	792	191	301	18	7	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	ROK RAW	Great Falls Voyagers	—	239	203	72	22	3	9	28	30	7	2	2	355	450	626	1.075	271	382	13	12	464	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	465	429	103	25	2	9	18	108	10	0	1	240	287	371	657	131	295	23	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	465	417	117	30	2	10	30	79	10	0	1	281	344	434	778	153	319	17	6	341	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	442	399	95	20	2	10	23	95	15	4	1	238	304	373	678	135	286	21	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	442	384	110	26	3	12	38	66	15	4	1	286	373	464	837	177	317	15	9	369	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	499	454	121	25	3	9	29	96	11	1	1	267	326	394	720	128	318	19	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	499	434	124	25	4	10	49	77	11	1	1	286	372	431	803	145	326	15	10	358	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	361	329	79	11	2	4	20	82	5	0	1	240	294	322	616	82	306	23	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	361	319	83	13	2	6	29	66	5	0	1	260	331	370	700	110	309	18	8	311	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	221	204	39	8	0	7	11	47	3	0	0	191	243	333	576	142	212	21	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	221	199	42	9	0	8	16	42	3	0	0	211	280	377	657	166	227	19	7	290	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	356	332	96	22	0	4	13	57	4	0	0	289	324	392	715	102	333	16	4	315	99	-0	+0	+7	+6	+8	2.1
2017	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	356	329	98	23	0	4	15	55	4	0	0	298	335	404	739	106	342	15	4	324	99	-0	+0	+7	+6	+8	2.1
2018	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	311	286	75	9	0	5	15	40	8	1	0	262	317	346	663	84	288	13	5	302	91	-3	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.9
2018	30	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	311	283	80	10	0	7	18	36	8	1	0	283	343	392	735	110	302	12	6	331	91	-3	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.9
2019	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	211	191	48	12	0	5	16	37	3	2	0	251	319	393	712	141	287	18	8	321	103	+1	+0	-7	+4	+5	0.3
2019	31	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	211	191	48	12	0	5	16	37	3	2	0	251	319	393	712	141	287	18	8	319	103	+1	+0	-7	+4	+5	0.3
2020	32	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	38	32	8	3	0	1	5	11	1	0	0	250	368	438	806	188	350	29	13	364	133	+1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.3
2020	32	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	38	31	8	3	0	1	5	11	1	0	0	258	368	452	820	194	368	29	13	363	133	+1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.3
2021	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	106	99	16	3	0	0	7	31	0	0	0	162	217	192	409	30	235	29	7	193	17	-10	+0	+1	+2	+2	-0.5
2021	33	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	106	95	16	3	0	0	10	31	0	0	0	168	245	200	445	32	250	29	9	213	17	-10	+0	+1	+2	+2	-0.5
2011	23	ROK MLE	Great Falls Voyagers	—	239	214	57	16	2	7	16	43	7	2	2	266	336	458	794	192	297	18	7	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	465	434	103	25	2	9	18	108	10	0	1	237	287	366	653	129	284	23	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	442	401	95	20	2	10	23	95	15	4	1	237	304	372	676	135	279	21	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	499	456	121	25	3	9	29	96	11	1	1	265	326	393	718	127	312	19	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	361	333	79	11	2	4	20	82	5	0	1	237	294	318	612	81	296	23	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	221	205	39	8	0	7	11	47	3	0	0	190	243	332	575	141	209	21	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	356	336	96	22	0	4	13	57	4	0	0	286	324	387	711	101	334	16	4	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	311	285	75	9	0	5	15	40	8	1	0	263	317	347	665	84	287	13	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	211	190	48	12	0	5	16	37	3	2	0	253	319	395	714	142	287	18	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	38	32	8	3	0	1	5	11	1	0	0	250	368	438	806	188	368	29	13	364	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	106	98	16	3	0	0	7	31	0	0	0	163	217	194	411	31	250	29	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	852	780	202	41	0	13	50	149	12	3	0	259	312	362	674	103	303	17	6	302	85	-10	+1	+1	+22	+18	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	154	31	0	10	38	114	9	2	0	259	312	361	673	103	303	18	6	302	85	-7	+0	+1	+17	+14	2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3249	2970	737	154	11	61	173	647	67	10	6	248	304	369	673	121	296	20	5	294	85	-10	+1	+1	+22	+18	3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	147	31	2	12	35	129	13	2	1	247	304	367	671	120	295	20	5	294	85	-7	+0	+1	+17	+14	2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAACharlotte Knights · 124 PAwOBA .326 → .262 (−64)K% 14.5% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.52%	÷0.986	×1.200	—	—	17.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.45%	÷1.030	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.20%
HBP% /PA	2.42%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	2.21%
Singles /BIP	23.40%	÷1.030	×0.930	×1.043	×0.972	21.42%
Doubles /BIP	4.26%	÷1.077	×0.830	×1.043	×0.972	3.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.043	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.26%	÷1.319	×0.840	—	×0.972	2.63%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .326 → .262; ISO .143 → .094; BABIP .286 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAACharlotte Knights · 62 PAwOBA .411 → .360 (−51)K% 14.5% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.52%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	18.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.68%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.51%
HBP% /PA	1.61%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.49%
Singles /BIP	31.82%	÷1.012	×0.930	—	×0.982	28.71%
Doubles /BIP	13.64%	÷0.958	×0.830	—	×0.982	11.61%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.077	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 115, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .411 → .360; ISO .113 → .100; BABIP .435 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 205 PAwOBA .297 → .263 (−35)K% 17.6% → 20.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.56%	÷1.053	×1.200	—	—	20.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.80%	÷0.990	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.40%
HBP% /PA	1.46%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.36%
Singles /BIP	15.65%	÷1.031	×0.930	×1.050	×0.992	14.69%
Doubles /BIP	6.12%	÷0.974	×0.830	×1.050	×0.992	5.43%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.926	×0.970	×1.050	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.44%	÷0.950	×0.840	—	×0.992	4.77%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .297 → .263; ISO .180 → .162; BABIP .229 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 361 PAwOBA .305 → .268 (−37)K% 18.3% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.28%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	22.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.03%	÷1.017	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.47%
HBP% /PA	1.39%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.31%
Singles /BIP	24.51%	÷0.973	×0.930	×1.033	×1.003	24.27%
Doubles /BIP	5.14%	÷0.993	×0.830	×1.033	×1.003	4.45%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.033	×1.003	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	2.37%	÷1.306	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.53%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .305 → .268; ISO .110 → .083; BABIP .309 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AABirmingham Barons · 449 PAwOBA .352 → .315 (−37)K% 15.1% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.14%	÷0.955	×1.220	—	—	19.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.13%	÷1.057	×0.680	—	×0.988	5.80%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	1.66%
Singles /BIP	24.61%	÷1.021	×0.920	×1.050	×0.988	23.00%
Doubles /BIP	6.54%	÷0.903	×0.910	×1.050	×0.988	6.84%
Triples /BIP	0.93%	÷1.065	×0.880	×1.050	×0.988	0.80%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷0.967	×0.800	—	×0.988	2.55%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 104, 2B 81, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .352 → .315; ISO .147 → .136; BABIP .328 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 442 PAwOBA .362 → .291 (−71)K% 14.9% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.93%	÷0.985	×1.420	—	—	21.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.60%	÷1.001	×0.630	—	×0.978	5.29%
HBP% /PA	3.39%	—	×0.860	—	×0.978	2.85%
Singles /BIP	21.70%	÷1.040	×0.940	×1.050	×0.978	20.14%
Doubles /BIP	8.18%	÷1.077	×0.830	×1.050	×0.978	6.47%
Triples /BIP	0.94%	÷1.150	×0.800	×1.050	×0.978	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	3.77%	÷1.083	×0.900	—	×0.978	3.07%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 108, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .362 → .291; ISO .177 → .138; BABIP .317 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AKannapolis Intimidators · 379 PAwOBA .335 → .278 (−56)K% 16.4% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.36%	÷1.002	×1.340	—	—	21.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.60%	÷1.060	×0.660	—	×0.980	4.03%
HBP% /PA	2.37%	—	×0.770	—	×0.980	1.79%
Singles /BIP	22.66%	÷1.039	×0.920	×1.045	×0.980	20.57%
Doubles /BIP	9.35%	÷0.983	×0.820	×1.045	×0.980	8.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×1.045	×0.980	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.52%	÷0.917	×0.820	—	×0.980	2.21%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .335 → .278; ISO .138 → .118; BABIP .324 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 86 PAwOBA .344 → .288 (−56)K% 19.8% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.77%	÷0.974	×1.420	—	—	28.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.65%	÷1.016	×0.630	—	×0.988	2.85%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.860	—	×0.988	0.99%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.034	×0.940	×1.020	×0.988	18.32%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.958	×0.830	×1.020	×0.988	5.82%
Triples /BIP	3.33%	÷1.030	×0.800	×1.020	×0.988	2.61%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷0.960	×0.900	—	×0.988	4.63%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 106, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .344 → .288; ISO .221 → .188; BABIP .300 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .