Colin Moran

Pos3B

B/TL/R

Born1992-10-01

Age (2027)34

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	28	AAAPIT	29	.200/.286/.520	2	0	50	—	.154/.214/.346
2021	28	MLBPIT	359	.258/.337/.390	10	1	109	-0.1
2022	29	AAACIN	213	.249/.313/.415	7	0	45	—	.196/.242/.302
2022	29	MLBCIN	128	.211/.312/.376	5	0	87	-0.6
2023	30	AAASEA	158	.257/.361/.397	5	0	67	—	.217/.291/.308
2024	31	No MLB games played
2025	32	No MLB games played
2026	33	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.6

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

xwOBA66

Avg EV65

Barrel%60

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	20	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	175	154	46	8	1	4	15	25	1	1	0	299	365	442	806	143	323	14	9	350	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	99	87	20	3	0	0	12	18	0	0	0	230	323	264	588	34	290	18	12	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	123	112	34	6	0	2	9	23	0	0	1	304	355	411	766	107	360	19	7	339	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	392	361	106	21	0	5	28	53	0	1	2	294	344	393	738	100	330	14	7	330	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	417	366	112	25	2	9	43	79	4	1	0	306	385	459	844	153	365	19	10	374	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	MLB	Houston Astros	—	25	23	3	1	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	130	200	174	374	43	200	32	4	181	7	-3	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.1
2016	23	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	511	459	119	18	1	10	47	124	2	3	2	259	331	368	699	109	332	24	9	316	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	302	93	15	1	18	31	55	2	0	3	308	376	543	919	235	323	16	9	399	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	465	415	115	19	1	11	39	82	4	0	2	277	345	407	752	130	316	18	8	333	110	+5	-1	-6	+2	+10	1.1
2019	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	503	466	129	30	1	13	30	117	3	0	1	277	325	429	754	152	341	23	6	332	109	+5	-0	-6	+2	+11	1.1
2020	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	200	178	44	10	0	10	19	52	2	0	0	247	327	472	799	225	291	26	10	350	128	+7	+0	+0	-4	+4	0.8
2021	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	359	318	82	12	0	10	36	87	2	1	0	258	337	390	727	132	321	24	10	326	109	+4	+0	-6	-7	+8	-0.1
2021	28	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	29	25	5	2	0	2	3	7	0	0	0	200	286	520	806	320	176	24	10	335	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	128	109	23	3	0	5	16	30	0	0	0	211	312	376	688	165	234	23	12	305	87	-2	+0	-0	-6	+3	-0.6
2022	29	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	213	193	48	11	0	7	18	54	0	0	0	249	313	415	727	166	306	25	8	321	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	158	136	35	4	0	5	19	33	3	0	0	257	361	397	758	140	306	21	12	345	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1680	1509	396	75	2	49	141	376	12	1	3	262	330	412	743	150	315	22	8	329	109	+18	-1	-19	-11	+36	2.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	20	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	175	158	42	7	1	3	11	35	1	1	0	266	318	380	697	114	303	20	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	123	116	34	6	0	2	5	28	0	0	1	293	322	397	719	103	356	23	4	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	392	370	98	21	0	4	19	79	0	1	2	265	301	354	655	89	321	20	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	417	379	104	23	2	7	30	100	4	1	0	274	334	401	735	127	345	24	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	25	23	3	1	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	130	200	174	374	43	200	32	4	178	7	-3	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.1
2016	23	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	511	472	103	14	1	7	34	160	2	3	2	218	274	297	570	78	308	31	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	313	83	13	1	15	20	72	2	0	3	265	313	457	770	192	289	21	6	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	465	419	115	18	1	12	35	82	4	0	2	274	336	408	744	134	316	18	8	330	110	+5	-1	-6	+2	+10	1.1
2019	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	503	470	129	29	1	14	26	117	3	0	1	274	317	430	746	155	341	23	5	329	109	+5	-0	-6	+2	+11	1.1
2020	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	200	178	45	10	0	11	19	52	2	0	0	253	332	494	826	242	291	26	10	357	128	+7	+0	+0	-4	+4	0.8
2021	28	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	359	318	82	11	0	11	36	87	2	1	0	258	337	396	733	138	321	24	10	330	109	+4	+0	-6	-7	+8	-0.1
2021	28	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	29	26	4	2	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	154	214	346	560	192	144	31	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	128	109	23	3	0	5	16	30	0	0	0	211	312	376	688	165	234	23	12	296	87	-2	+0	-0	-6	+3	-0.6
2022	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	213	199	39	9	0	4	12	68	0	0	0	196	242	302	543	106	266	32	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	158	143	31	4	0	3	12	39	3	0	0	217	291	308	599	91	274	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	274	251	66	11	2	4	17	55	1	1	0	263	312	371	683	108	315	20	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	274	241	66	11	1	4	27	43	1	1	0	274	349	378	727	104	312	16	10	324	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	486	132	28	0	6	24	108	0	1	3	272	306	366	672	95	334	21	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	515	473	140	27	0	7	37	76	0	1	3	296	347	397	745	101	337	15	7	332	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	417	379	104	23	2	7	30	100	4	1	0	274	334	401	735	127	351	24	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	417	366	112	25	2	9	43	79	4	1	0	306	385	459	844	153	365	19	10	374	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	536	495	106	15	1	7	35	168	3	3	2	214	270	291	561	77	307	31	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	536	482	122	19	1	10	48	132	3	3	2	253	325	359	683	106	327	25	9	309	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	313	83	13	1	15	20	72	2	0	3	265	313	457	770	192	297	21	6	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	302	93	15	1	18	31	55	2	0	3	308	376	543	919	235	323	16	9	399	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	465	419	115	18	1	12	35	82	4	0	2	274	336	408	744	134	310	18	8	330	110	+5	-1	-6	+2	+10	1.1
2018	25	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	465	415	115	19	1	11	39	82	4	0	2	277	345	407	752	130	316	18	8	333	110	+5	-1	-6	+2	+10	1.1
2019	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	503	470	129	29	1	14	26	117	3	0	1	274	317	430	746	155	335	23	5	329	109	+5	-0	-6	+2	+11	1.1
2019	26	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	503	466	129	30	1	13	30	117	3	0	1	277	325	429	754	152	341	23	6	332	109	+5	-0	-6	+2	+11	1.1
2020	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	200	178	45	10	0	11	19	52	2	0	0	253	332	494	826	242	293	26	10	357	128	+7	+0	+0	-4	+4	0.8
2020	27	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	200	178	44	10	0	10	19	52	2	0	0	247	327	472	799	225	291	26	10	350	128	+7	+0	+0	-4	+4	0.8
2021	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	388	344	86	13	0	12	38	96	2	1	0	250	328	392	721	142	308	25	10	323	105	+2	+0	-6	-7	+8	-0.2
2021	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	388	343	87	14	0	12	39	94	2	1	0	254	333	399	733	146	311	24	10	327	105	+2	+0	-6	-7	+8	-0.2
2022	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	341	308	61	12	0	8	28	98	0	0	0	198	265	315	580	117	256	29	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	341	302	71	14	0	12	34	84	0	0	0	235	312	401	713	166	280	25	10	315	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	158	143	31	4	0	3	12	39	3	0	0	217	291	308	599	91	277	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	158	136	35	4	0	5	19	33	3	0	0	257	361	397	758	140	306	21	12	345	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	274	254	66	11	2	4	17	55	1	1	0	260	312	366	678	106	303	20	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	486	132	28	0	6	24	108	0	1	3	272	306	366	672	95	329	21	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	417	380	104	23	2	7	30	100	4	1	0	274	334	400	734	126	345	24	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	536	493	106	15	1	7	35	168	3	3	2	215	270	292	562	77	303	31	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	313	83	13	1	15	20	72	2	0	3	265	313	457	770	192	289	21	6	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	465	423	115	18	1	12	35	82	4	0	2	272	336	404	740	132	316	18	8	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	503	469	129	29	1	14	26	117	3	0	1	275	317	431	747	156	341	23	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	200	177	45	10	0	11	19	52	2	0	0	254	332	497	829	243	291	26	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	388	345	86	13	0	12	38	96	2	1	0	249	328	391	719	142	308	25	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	341	310	61	12	0	8	28	98	0	0	0	197	265	313	578	116	254	29	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	158	142	31	4	0	3	12	39	3	0	0	218	291	310	601	92	274	25	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1680	1509	396	75	2	49	141	376	12	1	3	262	330	412	743	150	315	22	8	329	93	+18	-1	-19	-11	+36	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	153	29	1	19	55	145	5	0	1	262	331	413	744	151	314	22	8	329	93	+7	-0	-7	-4	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4135	3786	958	176	8	99	284	987	24	7	11	253	309	382	691	129	313	24	7	305	93	+18	-1	-19	-11	+36	2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	151	28	1	16	45	155	4	1	2	254	311	385	695	131	314	24	7	305	93	+7	-0	-7	-4	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAATacoma Rainiers · 158 PAwOBA .334 → .267 (−67)K% 20.9% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.89%	÷1.024	×1.200	—	—	24.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.39%	÷1.013	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.47%
HBP% /PA	1.90%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.72%
Singles /BIP	25.24%	÷0.989	×0.930	×1.019	×0.962	23.26%
Doubles /BIP	3.88%	÷0.940	×0.830	×1.019	×0.962	3.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.019	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.85%	÷1.157	×0.700	—	×0.962	2.82%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .334 → .267; ISO .140 → .091; BABIP .306 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAALouisville Bats · 213 PAwOBA .315 → .235 (−81)K% 25.4% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.35%	÷0.958	×1.200	—	—	31.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.45%	÷1.023	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.54%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.58%	÷0.996	×0.930	×1.001	×0.972	19.63%
Doubles /BIP	7.91%	÷0.955	×0.830	×1.001	×0.972	6.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.001	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.04%	÷1.282	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.67%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .315 → .235; ISO .166 → .102; BABIP .306 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 29 PAwOBA .337 → .242 (−96)K% 24.1% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.14%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	30.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.34%	÷1.100	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.011	×0.930	—	×0.982	5.02%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.986	×0.830	—	×0.982	9.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.914	×0.920	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	11.11%	÷1.096	×0.700	—	×0.982	6.97%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .337 → .242; ISO .320 → .222; BABIP .176 → .144. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 338 PAwOBA .389 → .330 (−59)K% 16.3% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.27%	÷0.992	×1.290	—	—	21.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.28%	÷1.028	×0.710	—	×1.033	5.91%
HBP% /PA	0.59%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.60%
Singles /BIP	23.89%	÷0.978	×0.900	×0.964	×1.033	21.89%
Doubles /BIP	6.07%	÷0.926	×0.810	×0.964	×1.033	5.29%
Triples /BIP	0.40%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.964	×1.033	0.28%
Home runs /BIP	7.29%	÷0.963	×0.780	—	×1.033	6.10%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .389 → .330; ISO .235 → .195; BABIP .323 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 511 PAwOBA .308 → .255 (−53)K% 24.3% → 31.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.27%	÷0.996	×1.290	—	—	31.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.00%	÷1.008	×0.710	—	×1.048	6.65%
HBP% /PA	0.39%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.40%
Singles /BIP	26.87%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.018	×1.048	25.80%
Doubles /BIP	5.37%	÷1.061	×0.810	×1.018	×1.048	4.38%
Triples /BIP	0.30%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.018	×1.048	0.22%
Home runs /BIP	2.99%	÷1.040	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.35%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 100, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .308 → .255; ISO .109 → .081; BABIP .332 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 417 PAwOBA .367 → .320 (−46)K% 18.9% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.94%	÷0.964	×1.220	—	—	23.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.07%	÷1.003	×0.700	—	×1.027	7.22%
HBP% /PA	0.96%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.86%
Singles /BIP	26.48%	÷1.022	×0.920	×1.032	×1.027	25.28%
Doubles /BIP	8.71%	÷0.963	×0.840	×1.032	×1.027	8.06%
Triples /BIP	0.70%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.032	×1.027	0.77%
Home runs /BIP	3.14%	÷1.059	×0.800	—	×1.027	2.43%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .367 → .320; ISO .153 → .131; BABIP .365 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 392 PAwOBA .323 → .289 (−34)K% 13.5% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.52%	÷0.951	×1.420	—	—	20.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.89%	÷1.079	×0.750	—	×1.012	4.85%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.97%	÷1.013	×0.920	×1.034	×1.012	24.69%
Doubles /BIP	6.82%	÷0.944	×0.960	×1.034	×1.012	7.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.914	×0.810	×1.034	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.62%	÷0.983	×0.880	—	×1.012	1.47%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 90, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .323 → .289; ISO .100 → .095; BABIP .330 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 123 PAwOBA .329 → .315 (−15)K% 18.7% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.70%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	23.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.69%	÷0.991	×0.700	—	×1.042	4.19%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.00%
Singles /BIP	29.21%	÷1.022	×0.920	×1.050	×1.042	28.76%
Doubles /BIP	6.74%	÷0.890	×0.840	×1.050	×1.042	6.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.050	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.25%	÷0.956	×0.800	—	×1.042	1.96%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .329 → .315; ISO .107 → .103; BABIP .360 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).