James Outman — OGILVIE

James OutmanCF Detroit Tigers

Age 29 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 2.041 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION180 act + 170 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL -1531vR 48

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .280 / .355

PA170

HR5

SB8

K%37

BB%8

BABIP306

ISO151

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT30

Whiff%

4411.6%

xwOBA

100.257

POWER55

Barrel%

609.7

Avg EV

2787.4

Bat Spd

5271.5

EYE50

Chase%

9021.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 307 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

265

—

wRC+

-10

▶▶R

wOBA

172

252

▶▶R

ISO

103

162

▶▶R

BABIP

150

200

▶▶R

42.9%

37.7%

▶R

BB%

7.1%

9.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.041 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$0.9M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	237	218	39	5	2	8	14	81	4	12	2	179	242	330	572	151	238	34	6	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	237	208	55	8	3	11	24	56	4	12	2	264	352	490	842	226	310	24	10	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	462	82	13	3	14	36	163	8	20	10	177	249	310	559	132	236	32	7	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	442	100	15	4	19	56	128	8	20	10	226	324	407	731	181	272	25	11	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	3 teams	—	574	511	106	19	7	20	48	218	14	25	5	207	293	389	683	182	314	38	8	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	3 teams	—	574	481	129	28	10	21	78	162	14	25	5	268	386	499	885	231	361	28	14	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	3 teams	—	575	510	121	26	6	26	49	209	11	13	4	237	318	465	782	227	339	36	9	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	3 teams	—	575	486	145	33	7	32	72	159	11	13	4	298	400	593	993	294	377	28	13	425	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	124	17	3	24	68	181	12	16	3	257	362	453	816	197	355	32	12	357	131	+20	+2	+5	+2	+16	4.7
2023	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	120	16	3	23	68	181	12	16	3	248	355	437	792	188	343	32	12	353	128	+18	+2	+5	+2	+16	4.4
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	475	417	85	17	1	20	45	162	10	13	2	204	297	393	690	189	273	34	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	475	401	94	19	2	21	60	136	10	13	2	234	347	449	796	214	296	29	13	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	538	486	97	25	4	18	40	210	7	18	3	200	270	379	649	179	300	39	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	538	469	112	27	5	29	57	183	7	18	3	239	330	503	833	264	317	34	11	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	DET	—	180	166	26	7	2	3	13	74	1	9	3	157	222	277	499	120	258	41	7	225	30	-14	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
YTD	29	MLB	DET	—	180	166	26	7	2	3	13	74	1	9	3	157	222	277	499	120	258	41	7	227	32	-14	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
ROS	29	MLB	DET	100%	170	152	31	6	1	5	14	63	2	8	2	204	280	355	635	151	297	37	8	286	77	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
ROS	29	MLB	DET	100%	170	152	30	5	1	5	14	63	2	8	2	197	274	342	616	145	292	37	8	272	66	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
FULL	29	MLB	DET	—	350	318	56	12	3	8	27	137	3	17	5	176	247	308	555	132	276	39	8	248	48	-21	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.8
TOT	29	MLB	DET	—	350	318	57	13	3	8	27	137	3	17	5	179	250	314	564	135	282	39	8	255	53	-19	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	DET	82%	509	455	93	17	3	16	43	189	6	21	5	204	282	360	642	156	301	37	8	286	77	-13	+2	-2	+2	+14	0.4
2027	30	MLB	DET	82%	417	374	74	13	2	13	35	155	5	17	4	198	275	348	623	150	296	37	8	272	66	-16	+2	-1	+1	+12	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1474	1292	268	45	7	52	147	524	26	44	10	207	301	374	675	166	299	36	10	301	88	-19	+5	+4	+2	+42	3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	118	20	3	23	65	231	11	19	4	207	300	374	674	167	298	36	10	301	88	-9	+2	+2	+1	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	4154	3694	778	145	30	151	357	1476	74	146	36	211	293	389	682	178	300	36	9	299	87	-62	+15	+4	+7	+118	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	123	23	5	24	56	231	12	23	6	213	296	394	690	182	303	36	9	299	87	-10	+2	+1	+1	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	237	208	55	8	3	11	24	56	4	12	2	264	352	490	842	226	310	24	10	369	141	+11	+2	—	—	+7	2.0
2019	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	442	100	15	4	19	56	128	8	20	10	226	324	407	731	181	272	25	11	327	108	+5	+0	—	—	+14	2.0
2021	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	187	166	48	9	1	9	18	51	3	2	2	289	369	518	887	229	368	27	10	390	157	+12	-0	—	—	+5	1.7
2021	24	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	304	248	62	12	8	9	45	88	10	21	2	250	386	472	858	222	349	29	15	380	149	+17	+3	—	—	+9	3.0
2021	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	83	67	19	7	1	3	15	23	1	2	1	284	422	552	974	269	390	28	18	425	183	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	16	13	6	2	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	462	562	846	1.409	385	1.000	44	12	593	312	+4	+0	-0	-6	+0	-0.2
2022	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	252	212	62	14	6	15	32	63	4	6	1	292	394	627	1.021	335	343	25	13	431	188	+25	+1	—	—	+7	3.4
2022	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	307	261	77	17	1	16	38	89	6	7	3	295	397	552	948	257	386	29	12	412	174	+26	+0	—	—	+9	3.5
2023	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	120	16	3	23	68	181	12	16	3	248	355	437	792	188	343	32	12	353	128	+18	+2	+5	+2	+16	4.4
2024	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	156	136	20	4	0	4	16	55	4	2	1	147	256	265	521	118	208	35	10	246	47	-9	+0	+1	+2	+4	-0.2
2024	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	319	265	74	15	2	17	44	81	6	11	1	279	392	543	936	264	335	25	14	405	168	+25	+2	—	—	+9	3.6
2025	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	148	134	18	5	1	6	12	63	2	1	0	134	216	321	537	187	185	43	8	242	43	-9	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.4
2025	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	390	335	94	22	4	23	45	120	5	17	3	281	374	576	950	296	360	31	12	406	169	+30	+2	—	—	+11	4.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	887	766	164	27	4	34	98	306	19	19	4	214	318	393	711	179	302	34	11	320	103	+3	+2	+5	-1	+25	3.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,774	63	56	203	291	373	+6	+5	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	23	21	203	291	373	+2.4	+1.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
James Outman (OGILVIE)	29	30	55	60	50	179/250/314	135	282	8	17	39%	8%	53	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	41→48	50→55	60	40	199/273/355	156	329	19	34	43%	9%	74	-0.1	188/261/317	129	343	16	24	46%	8%	59	-1.1	158/241/269	111	299	17	23	49%	9%	37	-1.1
✕Mark Contreras 2023 · MLB	28	37	51→50	55	36	198/257/358	160	281	20	20	36%	6%	69	-0.4	204/266/321	117	295	13	26	33%	6%	62	-0.9	196/263/289	93	286	10	32	33%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	34→44	52→55	54→55	46	190/270/352	162	253	20	14	33%	9%	72	-0.2	207/279/371	164	297	19	17	35%	9%	80	+0.4	194/264/366	172	280	19	20	36%	9%	70	-0.2
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	41→37	57→60	52→50	39	222/276/420	198	292	26	16	33%	6%	92	+1.2	211/277/371	160	292	18	14	33%	8%	79	+0.3	187/262/347	160	256	17	13	33%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Clete Thomas 2013 · MLB	29	40→50	48→50	56→55	36	207/249/352	145	287	16	20	33%	5%	62	-0.9	220/279/347	127	296	13	14	28%	7%	73	-0.1	219/290/337	118	293	12	12	28%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→47	54→50	55→65	49	214/305/392	178	271	21	29	29%	10%	98	+1.6	219/328/394	175	294	18	33	30%	11%	108	+2.3	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	50	58→55	44	226/298/385	159	307	18	25	31%	8%	92	+1.2	227/291/365	138	323	15	23	32%	7%	83	+0.6	220/287/329	109	314	12	32	32%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→49	48→50	55→60	46	219/294/353	134	297	16	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	236/305/381	145	323	17	28	30%	8%	94	+1.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	46→39	51→50	54→50	43	236/295/396	160	293	20	14	26%	6%	93	+1.3	232/300/353	121	326	12	10	30%	8%	84	+0.6	229/307/327	97	339	8	5	32%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/387	168	324	21	27	37%	10%	93	+1.3	222/292/401	179	318	21	15	35%	8%	94	+1.3	212/281/377	165	309	19	12	36%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2021 · AAA	29	47→48	50→60	58→55	43	236/289/396	160	304	17	19	28%	7%	90	+1.0	239/288/445	206	329	25	10	34%	6%	103	+1.9	233/280/496	263	313	33	4	36%	6%	110	+1.0
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	47→40	57→55	48	204/301/338	134	290	15	26	32%	10%	82	+0.5	218/311/327	109	288	9	16	25%	10%	82	+0.5	212/323/302	89	272	5	13	21%	12%	80	+0.2
✕Bradley Zimmer 2023 · MLB	30	45→51	45→50	51→60	41	210/305/330	120	322	13	20	36%	8%	82	+0.5	206/287/330	124	332	14	22	39%	8%	74	-0.1	174/262/275	101	304	13	32	43%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	41→40	50	56→55	43	212/287/361	149	289	18	23	32%	8%	82	+0.5	205/283/343	138	285	17	21	32%	8%	76	+0.0	187/271/314	127	259	16	21	33%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Brewer Hicklen 2023 · AAA	27	39→43	53→55	61→60	37	196/272/363	168	322	22	32	44%	8%	76	+0.1	203/283/375	172	293	22	34	37%	8%	84	+0.6	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Drew Robinson 2021 · MLB	29	49→40	48→55	50	42	222/296/366	143	362	15	15	40%	9%	85	+0.7	198/266/326	128	393	14	11	48%	8%	63	-0.9	89/175/185	96	222	13	5	62%	10%	-12	-1.1
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	50→55	51→55	40	215/269/364	149	295	19	17	33%	7%	74	-0.1	218/288/394	176	284	24	23	31%	9%	90	+1.0	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43	45	57→55	47	207/296/332	126	302	13	28	33%	10%	78	+0.2	215/291/329	114	357	12	21	39%	9%	74	-0.1	187/265/256	69	364	8	20	46%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA	28	35→44	50	55	34	191/244/342	151	278	19	19	38%	5%	58	-1.2	209/264/336	127	285	14	21	31%	5%	64	-0.8	207/263/321	115	277	12	24	29%	5%	57	-0.8
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA	27	45→44	48→50	63→65	43	215/292/362	146	324	15	31	36%	9%	83	+0.6	213/293/343	130	319	12	37	34%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/324	120	306	11	45	34%	9%	69	-0.3