James Outman — OGILVIE

James OutmanCF Detroit Tigers

Age 29 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 2.041 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 6280vR 86

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .286 / .421

PA21

HR1

K%38

BB%10

BABIP283

ISO211

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT30

Whiff%

5110.8%

xAVG

100.173

POWER55

Barrel%

589.4

Avg EV

2787.3

Bat Spd

5271.5

EYE50

Chase%

9020.2%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%36%▼38% over 34 PA (60d) · proj 35%

BB%7%▼▼0% over 34 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.178·.188 over 32 AB (60d) · proj .176xISO .111 vs .173 prior

BABIP.275·.353 over 17 BIP (60d) · proj .273xBABIP .220 vs .220 prior

SLASH.200/.266/.377·proj .198/.280/.373

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 307 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

265

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

172

252

▶▶R

ISO

103

162

▶▶R

BABIP

150

200

▶▶R

42.9%

37.7%

▶R

BB%

7.1%

9.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.041 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-0.9M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	237	208	55	8	3	11	24	56	4	12	2	264	352	490	842	226	310	24	10	369	136	+10	+2	—	—	+5	1.7
2019	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	442	100	15	4	19	56	128	8	20	10	226	324	407	731	181	272	25	11	327	107	+4	+0	—	—	+11	1.6
2021	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	187	166	48	9	1	9	18	51	3	2	2	289	369	518	887	229	368	27	10	390	150	+11	-0	—	—	+4	1.5
2021	24	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	304	248	62	12	8	9	45	88	10	21	2	250	386	472	858	222	349	29	15	380	144	+16	+3	—	—	+7	2.6
2021	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	83	67	19	7	1	3	15	23	1	2	1	284	422	552	974	269	390	28	18	425	174	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	16	13	6	2	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	462	562	846	1.409	385	1.000	44	12	593	288	+4	+0	-0	-6	+0	-0.2
2022	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	252	212	62	14	6	15	32	63	4	6	1	292	394	627	1.021	335	343	25	13	431	178	+23	+1	—	—	+5	3.0
2022	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	307	261	77	17	1	16	38	89	6	7	3	295	397	552	948	257	386	29	12	412	165	+24	+0	—	—	+7	3.1
2023	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	120	16	3	23	68	181	12	16	3	248	355	437	792	188	343	32	12	353	125	+17	+2	+5	+2	+12	3.9
2024	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	156	136	20	4	0	4	16	55	4	2	1	147	256	265	521	118	208	35	10	246	53	-9	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.3
2024	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	319	265	74	15	2	17	44	81	6	11	1	279	392	543	936	264	335	25	14	405	160	+23	+2	—	—	+7	3.2
2025	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	148	134	18	5	1	6	12	63	2	1	0	134	216	321	537	187	185	43	8	242	50	-9	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.5
2025	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	390	335	94	22	4	23	45	120	5	17	3	281	374	576	950	296	360	31	12	406	161	+28	+2	—	—	+8	4.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	887	766	164	27	4	34	98	306	19	19	4	214	318	393	711	179	302	34	11	320	103	+3	+2	+5	-1	+19	3.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	237	218	39	5	2	8	14	81	4	12	2	179	242	330	572	151	235	34	6	245	52	-14	+2	—	—	+5	-0.7
2019	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	461	80	12	3	14	37	168	8	20	10	174	247	304	551	130	232	33	7	244	51	-30	+0	—	—	+11	-1.9
2021	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	187	172	40	7	1	7	12	64	3	2	2	233	294	407	701	174	333	34	6	305	93	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2021	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	304	262	48	9	5	7	31	117	10	21	2	183	294	336	630	153	292	38	10	281	76	-9	+3	—	—	+7	0.1
2022	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	16	13	6	2	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	462	562	846	1.409	385	1.000	44	12	591	286	+4	+0	-0	-6	+0	-0.2
2022	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	252	224	50	11	5	12	21	81	4	6	1	223	301	478	779	254	275	32	8	326	107	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2022	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	307	273	64	13	1	12	26	112	6	7	3	234	315	421	736	187	341	36	8	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+7	0.8
2023	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	121	16	4	22	68	181	12	16	3	251	357	437	794	186	343	32	12	351	124	+16	+2	+5	+2	+12	3.9
2024	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	156	136	20	4	0	4	16	55	4	2	1	147	256	265	521	118	208	35	10	246	53	-9	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.3
2024	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	319	280	61	12	1	14	30	106	6	11	1	218	307	418	725	200	288	33	9	321	103	+1	+2	—	—	+7	1.0
2025	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	148	134	18	5	1	6	12	63	2	1	0	134	216	321	537	187	185	43	8	239	48	-9	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.5
2025	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	390	351	76	18	3	13	29	145	5	17	3	217	286	396	682	179	314	37	7	297	87	-6	+2	—	—	+8	0.5
2018	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	237	218	39	5	2	8	14	81	4	12	2	179	242	330	572	151	238	34	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Ogden Raptors	—	237	208	55	8	3	11	24	56	4	12	2	264	352	490	842	226	310	24	10	369	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	461	80	12	3	14	37	168	8	20	10	174	247	304	551	130	234	33	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	442	100	15	4	19	56	128	8	20	10	226	324	407	731	181	272	25	11	327	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	574	509	104	19	7	17	50	212	14	25	5	204	293	369	663	165	310	37	9	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	574	481	129	28	10	21	78	162	14	25	5	268	386	499	885	231	361	28	14	390	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	575	510	119	26	5	24	49	199	11	13	4	233	314	445	759	212	325	35	9	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	575	486	145	33	7	32	72	159	11	13	4	298	400	593	993	294	377	28	13	425	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	121	16	4	22	68	181	12	16	3	251	357	437	794	186	349	32	12	351	124	+16	+2	+5	+2	+12	3.9
2023	26	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	120	16	3	23	68	181	12	16	3	248	355	437	792	188	343	32	12	353	124	+16	+2	+5	+2	+12	3.9
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	416	82	16	1	18	46	161	10	13	2	197	292	370	663	173	267	34	10	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	475	401	94	19	2	21	60	136	10	13	2	234	347	449	796	214	296	29	13	353	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	485	94	23	4	19	41	208	7	18	3	194	266	375	642	181	285	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	538	469	112	27	5	29	57	183	7	18	3	239	330	503	833	264	317	34	11	361	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	237	217	39	5	2	8	14	81	4	12	2	180	242	332	573	152	235	34	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	459	80	12	3	14	37	168	8	20	10	174	247	305	552	131	232	33	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	574	505	104	19	7	17	50	212	14	25	5	206	293	372	665	166	308	37	9	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	575	510	119	26	5	24	49	199	11	13	4	233	314	445	759	212	330	35	9	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	482	121	16	4	22	68	181	12	16	3	251	357	438	795	187	343	32	12	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	416	82	16	1	18	46	161	10	13	2	197	292	370	663	173	262	34	10	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	485	94	23	4	19	41	208	7	18	3	194	266	375	642	181	278	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	482	121	16	4	22	68	181	12	16	3	251	357	438	795	187	343	32	12	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	416	82	16	1	18	46	161	10	13	2	197	292	370	663	173	262	34	10	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	485	94	23	4	19	41	208	7	18	3	194	266	375	642	181	278	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	DET	—	224	203	35	6	2	7	13	94	7	7	4	172	247	325	572	153	272	42	6	249	55	-12	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	DET	—	170	157	27	4	2	5	10	71	3	6	3	172	235	318	554	146	272	42	6	250	55	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
YTD	29	AAA RAW	DET	—	54	44	8	2	0	2	5	19	4	1	1	182	321	364	684	182	250	35	9	311	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB RAW	DET	—	170	157	27	4	2	5	10	71	3	6	3	172	235	318	554	146	272	42	6	250	55	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
ROS	29	MLB MLE	DET	100%	21	19	4	1	0	1	2	8	0	1	0	211	286	421	707	211	288	38	10	286	80	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	DET	100%	21	19	4	1	0	1	2	8	0	1	0	211	286	421	707	211	283	38	10	265	80	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	DET	—	191	176	31	5	2	6	12	79	3	7	3	176	241	330	570	153	275	41	6	251	57	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
TOT	29	MLB MLE	DET	—	245	222	39	7	2	8	15	102	7	8	4	176	250	333	583	158	274	42	6	253	57	-13	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	DET	82%	509	453	88	15	2	17	40	192	11	18	5	194	276	349	625	155	284	38	8	281	76	-15	+2	-2	+2	+11	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	DET	82%	417	372	71	12	2	14	33	157	9	15	4	191	273	347	620	156	279	38	8	260	76	-12	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1325	1157	239	40	6	49	133	471	28	35	8	207	303	379	682	172	295	36	10	300	85	-10	+4	+4	+1	+29	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	118	20	3	24	65	231	14	17	4	208	304	380	685	173	297	36	10	300	85	-5	+2	+2	+1	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4005	3554	731	133	28	140	347	1410	77	136	34	206	290	377	667	171	291	35	9	294	85	-12	+4	+3	+1	+31	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	120	22	5	23	56	229	12	22	6	208	291	383	674	175	295	35	9	294	85	-6	+2	+2	+1	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.7	1,808	65	55	201	290	371	+6	+5	3.2	3.2
/162	664	24	20	+2.4	+1.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
James Outman (OGILVIE)	29	30	55	60	50	196/276/359	163	288	12	14	37%	8%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	42→38	54→55	52→50	40	221/278/398	178	293	22	16	32%	6%	88	+0.5	215/282/373	158	296	17	14	31%	8%	84	+0.1	194/268/357	163	263	17	13	32%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	202/280/375	174	267	22	14	33%	9%	84	+0.2	216/288/391	175	306	21	17	34%	9%	91	+0.6	206/276/393	187	291	21	20	35%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	42→50	50→55	60	41	205/279/361	156	329	18	34	41%	9%	80	-0.1	188/261/313	125	340	15	24	45%	8%	63	-1.4	149/230/245	96	290	14	23	50%	9%	35	-1.5
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→48	53→50	55→65	49	212/304/387	175	269	21	29	29%	10%	96	+1.0	217/326/388	171	292	18	33	30%	11%	105	+1.7	207/330/379	172	285	16	41	30%	12%	101	+0.7
✕Carlos Peguero 2016 · MLB	29	40→45	55→60	48→50	37	209/270/391	182	319	24	11	41%	7%	84	+0.1	226/286/377	151	330	18	11	35%	7%	86	+0.3	223/271/338	115	323	15	10	34%	6%	72	-0.2
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	49→50	58→55	44	224/297/374	150	307	16	25	31%	8%	90	+0.6	226/293/360	134	323	14	23	32%	8%	85	+0.2	217/284/314	98	312	10	32	32%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	47→41	50	54→50	44	240/301/394	154	301	19	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	229/299/343	114	320	11	10	29%	8%	83	+0.1	221/298/307	86	323	6	5	31%	9%	73	-0.2
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	50→60	55→60	45	214/296/366	152	320	18	27	36%	10%	88	+0.4	224/295/404	180	318	22	15	34%	8%	96	+1.0	216/286/387	172	309	20	12	35%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	40→39	56→60	53→50	36	220/259/409	189	280	25	17	32%	4%	84	+0.1	222/285/364	142	319	16	10	33%	7%	83	+0.1	226/303/342	116	338	11	5	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Jordan Qsar 2023 · AAA	27	39→37	52→55	52→50	38	195/268/363	168	324	20	13	44%	8%	77	-0.3	205/286/348	143	334	16	15	40%	9%	80	-0.1	183/285/318	135	294	16	20	39%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Drew Robinson 2021 · MLB	29	48→42	47→55	50	42	220/296/358	139	360	14	15	40%	9%	86	+0.3	196/267/317	121	405	13	11	50%	8%	65	-1.2	79/163/156	77	218	10	5	64%	9%	-10	-1.2
✕Bradley Zimmer 2023 · MLB	30	44→51	45→50	51→60	41	209/305/329	119	321	13	20	36%	8%	84	+0.1	203/284/320	117	333	13	22	40%	7%	74	-0.6	169/255/258	89	305	10	32	44%	7%	47	-1.3
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	43→41	55	52→50	42	225/287/412	187	306	23	12	34%	8%	95	+1.0	218/281/379	161	300	18	11	32%	7%	85	+0.2	200/265/356	156	273	16	8	32%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Corey Brown 2014 · MLB	28	43→48	51→55	50	40	218/274/379	161	305	19	14	34%	7%	82	+0.0	198/245/345	147	287	18	13	36%	6%	63	-1.3	201/259/370	168	288	21	17	37%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	42	49→50	56→55	44	214/290/357	143	288	17	23	31%	8%	84	+0.1	208/287/335	127	289	15	21	31%	9%	78	-0.3	192/278/307	115	267	14	21	31%	9%	66	-0.5
✕Jonathan Van Every 2007 · AAA	27	41→43	52→55	51→50	39	210/276/377	167	312	19	13	37%	7%	83	+0.1	228/294/393	165	355	18	9	38%	8%	93	+0.8	214/286/372	158	342	18	7	40%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Jason Smith 2007 · MLB	30	44→35	48→55	53→50	40	225/270/371	147	295	15	14	29%	6%	78	-0.3	205/242/351	146	290	17	8	35%	4%	63	-1.3	178/208/309	131	254	16	7	37%	3%	39	-1.7
✕Austin Hedges 2022 · MLB	29	34→40	49→60	46→45	42	188/244/326	137	230	19	5	28%	6%	59	-1.6	181/242/276	95	225	12	6	25%	6%	47	-2.6	190/263/292	101	234	13	4	24%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Pete Laforest 2007 · MLB	29	41	53→60	46→40	35	213/261/381	168	315	21	6	38%	5%	78	-0.3	210/288/397	187	281	27	6	34%	10%	93	+0.8	184/277/396	211	212	35	3	33%	11%	86	+0.2
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2021 · AAA	29	47→49	47→55	57→55	43	232/286/375	143	307	15	19	29%	7%	85	+0.2	231/281/413	182	329	22	10	35%	6%	93	+0.8	218/264/437	219	305	27	4	37%	6%	89	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps