Bobby Dalbec1B Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 31 R/R 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA
wRC+†vL -32-12vR 37
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .253 / .341
PA350
HR13
SB7
K%40
BB%8
ISO164
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -14.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -6.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -1.10-1.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-1.2-1.52627
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT45
Whiff%
1019.1%
xwOBA
100.220
POWER60
Barrel%
558.9
Avg EV
3387.8
Bat Spd
6973.3
EYE45
Chase%
4632.5%
SPEED45
Sprint
4727.4
Platoon Splits2024 · 93 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
39
54
wRC+
-31
37
▶▶R
wOBA
144
233
▶▶R
ISO
106
BABIP
267
250
L
K%
53.8%
40.7%
▶▶R
BB%
7.7%
9.3%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2020
Service   6.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$0.4M
Totals $0.4M $-0.2M -$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201722 A2 teams 361326 511104 261797 55 156234227461 71326 507 211 20
201722 A2 teams 361311 7716013 411327 55 248348424773 177383 3711 346 123
201823 A+3 teams 633556 9022229 5330615 31 162253365618 203265 488 269 64
201823 A+3 teams 633528 13341335 8120815 31 252367540907 288333 3313 390 156
201924 AA2 teams 562498 9613125 4717914 66 193281373654 181239 328 288 79
201924 AA2 teams 562472 11319227 7313914 66 239358460818 220278 2513 363 136
202025 MLBBoston Red Sox 9280 21308 10392 00 263359600959 337394 4211 399 164 +7 +0 -0 -2 +3 0.8
202025 MLBBoston Red Sox 9280 21308 10392 00 263359600959 337394 4211 413 174 +8 +0 -0 -2 +3 0.9
202126 MLBBoston Red Sox 453417 9819625 281567 20 235294489783 254308 346 332 112 +6 +0 -11 -8 +13 0.1
202126 MLBBoston Red Sox 453417 10021525 281567 20 240299494793 254316 346 345 122 +11 +0 -11 -8 +13 0.6
202227 MLB2 teams 406366 778217 311344 40 210279383662 172273 338 289 79 -10 +1 -3 -7 +12 -0.8
202227 MLB2 teams 406365 809217 321324 40 219289395684 175285 338 302 89 -5 +1 -3 -7 +12 -0.3
202328 AAA2 teams 546481 1019328 4922213 192 210300416716 206312 419 310 96
202328 AAA2 teams 546462 12116334 6819713 192 262372530902 268372 3612 393 159
202429 AAA2 teams 503461 8619117 372192 141 187250343593 156304 447 258 56
202429 AAA2 teams 503444 10222121 541912 141 230316426742 196346 3811 328 110
202530 AAA2 teams 476430 8622219 381896 50 200274393667 193299 408 288 78
202530 AAA2 teams 476420 11228224 481616 50 267350514864 248371 3410 377 147
▸ 2026 Season
202631 MLBKC 350315 5711113 281394 72 181256346603 165265 408 268 63 -15 +1 +1 -6 +10 -1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732 MLBKC 27% 361325 5711113 291454 61 175251335587 160259 408 261 58 -17 +1 -3 -6 +10 -1.6
202732 MLBKC 27% 9990 15303 8401 20 167242300542 133255 408 250 49 -6 +0 -1 -2 +3 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 11641054 22941750 9043014 110 217288412699 194309 378 309 95 -7 +2 -15 -46 +33 -3.3
/ 162G 650589 12823428 502408 60 217288413700 195309 378 309 95 -4 +1 -8 -26 +18 -1.9
Career 47434255 82014819198 376190778 7118 193271376647 183285 408 282 74 -140 +7 -16 -85 +134 -10.1
/ 162G 650583 11220327 5226111 102 192271376647 184284 408 282 74 -19 +1 -2 -12 +18 -1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201722 AGreenville Drive 329284 7015013 361237 45 246346437782 190383 3711 348 125 +9 -1 +9 1.8
201722 ROKGCL Red Sox 3227 7100 590 10 259375296671 37389 2816 319 102 +0 +0 +1 0.1
201823 AAPortland Sea Dogs 124111 29816 6465 00 261328514841 252377 375 362 135 +5 +0 +4 0.9
201823 A+Salem Red Sox 419344 8827226 601308 31 256379573951 317318 3114 405 168 +32 +0 +12 4.5
201823 INTLMesa Solar Sox 9073 16603 15322 00 219367425791 205342 3617 358 132 +3 +0 +3 0.6
201924 AAAPawtucket Red Sox 123113 29407 5293 02 257306478784 221278 244 339 118 +2 -1 +3 0.5
201924 AAPortland Sea Dogs 439359 8415220 6811011 64 234372454826 220278 2515 369 141 +20 -0 +12 3.3
202025 MLBBoston Red Sox 9280 21308 10392 00 263359600959 337394 4211 413 174 +8 +0 -0 -2 +3 0.9
202126 MLBBoston Red Sox 453417 10021525 281567 20 240299494793 254316 346 345 122 +11 +0 -11 -8 +13 0.6
202227 MLBBoston Red Sox 353317 689212 291183 30 215287369656 155293 338 292 81 -7 +1 -3 -7 +10 -0.8
202227 AAAWorcester Red Sox 5348 12005 3141 10 250308562870 312233 266 369 141 +2 +0 +2 0.4
202328 MLBBoston Red Sox 5349 10201 4280 10 204264306570 102450 538 260 57 -3 +0 -1 -10 +2 -1.1
202328 AAAWorcester Red Sox 493413 11114333 6416913 182 269384557941 288364 3413 408 170 +39 +3 +14 5.7
202429 MLBBoston Red Sox 9383 11201 8431 30 133217193410 60256 469 196 8 -10 +1 +0 -9 +3 -1.6
202429 AAAWorcester Red Sox 410361 9120120 461481 111 252338479817 227364 3611 359 133 +15 +2 +12 2.9
202530 MLBChicago White Sox 2118 4100 360 00 222333278611 56333 2914 290 80 -0 +0 +1 -8 +1 -0.8
202530 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 455402 10827224 451556 50 269351525876 256373 3410 381 150 +26 +1 +13 4.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1065964 21438747 8239013 90 222292422714 200314 378 315 99 -1 +2 -14 -44 +30 -2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA
81,7586225238296413-18+33.03.2
/162664239-6.7+1.01.1pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA
61,5065415234298417-6-181.71.7
/162664247-2.8-8.10.8pk7: 2
#3John Mabrylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA
71,560542243309416-15-161.61.6
/162664231-6.5-6.70.7pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,1785211218285418-21-170.50.8
/162664296-11.9-9.80.3pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA
71,740625242294417-17-200.60.6
/162664242-6.5-7.60.2pk7: 1
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA
62,2947319238305421-23-450.00.0
/162664215-6.5-13.20.0pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Bobby Dalbec (OGILVIE) 31 45 60 45 45 178/253/341 163265 137 40% 8% 63 -0.5
Jamie Romak
2017 · MLB
31 41→48 51→55 49→45 40 210/268/369 159293 187 34% 7% 75 -0.0 238/290/430 192314 2411 31% 6% 100 +1.7 243/288/529287290391031%5%120+0.5
Trayce Thompson
2021 · MLB
30 34→44 54→65 49→50 33 190/237/358 168283 2312 41% 5% 59 -1.1 220/298/437 217307 299 36% 9% 106 +2.2 211/299/43522329231737%10%103+1.1
Brandon Snyder
2019 · MLB
32 40→50 53→55 46→45 39 213/272/384 170290 226 34% 6% 81 +0.4 199/258/374 175305 245 42% 6% 73 -0.1 172/237/35017826227244%5%55-0.8
Matt Fields
2015 · AAA
30 36→42 56→60 42→45 31 192/247/377 184309 254 45% 6% 69 -0.4 201/250/334 133341 156 43% 5% 58 -1.2 173/217/270973218246%4%25-1.3
Brad Eldred
2011 · MLB
31 35→40 57→65 46→45 35 202/253/395 193261 277 34% 5% 76 +0.1 222/274/433 211283 2910 32% 5% 95 +1.4 220/275/447227270321031%5%95+0.8
Kyle Jensen
2018 · MLB
30 38→48 52→60 45→40 35 205/254/370 166293 214 37% 5% 69 -0.4 205/250/327 122309 147 36% 5% 56 -1.3 167/206/2609325411038%5%18-1.4
Jose Vargas
2019 · AAA
31 43 57→60 41→40 36 232/271/423 191309 279 34% 5% 91 +1.1 260/297/508 248322 377 31% 4% 125 +3.5 271/303/57330131648231%3%142+2.2
Bryce Brentz
2019 · MLB
30 42→46 54→60 47→40 39 224/271/402 178296 224 32% 6% 85 +0.7 212/278/386 174320 215 38% 7% 84 +0.6 181/261/35317227722041%8%66-0.4
Dusty Coleman
2018 · MLB
31 38→42 48→50 51→50 35 194/248/337 142295 1514 38% 6% 58 -1.2 170/225/296 126336 1412 51% 6% 38 -2.6 106/161/20397243121159%5%-16-3.5
Corey Brown
2017 · AAA
31 35→45 51→60 51→50 34 192/234/349 158282 2013 39% 5% 55 -1.4 238/299/447 209330 2817 35% 8% 108 +2.3 258/332/511253336352132%9%138+3.4
Deven Marrero
2022 · MLB
31 41→48 46→45 48→50 40 209/266/335 126297 158 34% 7% 65 -0.7 222/280/337 115303 1312 29% 7% 71 -0.3 211/274/2867528281527%8%51-0.5
Chris Dominguez
2017 · MLB
30 41→50 49→50 48→50 32 215/247/361 146292 1712 33% 3% 64 -0.8 229/267/366 137308 1513 30% 3% 73 -0.1 229/268/357128309141430%3%69-0.2
Nick Gorneault
2010 · AAA
31 39→48 47→55 45→50 41 203/257/334 132268 1511 30% 6% 61 -1.0 209/259/347 138278 1510 30% 6% 65 -0.7 196/247/34214624917729%6%56-0.8
Clint Coulter
2022 · AAA
29 41→42 54→50 48→40 34 213/261/383 170319 237 40% 6% 76 +0.1 220/285/370 150265 177 24% 5% 83 +0.6 212/285/35514324415520%5%75+0.0
Jaylin Davis
2023 · MLB
29 39→45 48→50 44→45 41 200/272/339 139292 167 36% 8% 69 -0.4 206/284/353 147310 178 36% 8% 79 +0.3 175/274/33616126319338%10%67-0.3
Seth Bynum
2011 · AAA
30 40→44 50→55 50 38 212/255/362 151286 1911 33% 6% 68 -0.5 206/255/336 130295 1511 34% 6% 61 -1.0 194/246/31612127914835%5%48-1.1
Brandon Hicks
2015 · MLB
29 36→41 49→50 46→50 41 187/265/334 147282 187 38% 8% 66 -0.6 188/258/303 115312 138 41% 8% 54 -1.4 165/233/2538829110844%7%27-1.3
D.J. Peterson
2022 · AAA
30 42→46 47→55 50→40 38 212/264/344 132290 1511 32% 5% 67 -0.5 203/278/360 157286 197 34% 8% 77 +0.1 165/252/32115622321135%8%54-0.9
Jorge Bonifacio
2023 · MLB
30 39→49 48→55 48→45 41 200/267/338 138275 169 32% 7% 66 -0.6 222/286/409 187270 258 27% 8% 93 +1.3 217/287/43622023632525%8%100+1.5
Cody Decker
2018 · AAA
31 34→40 49→65 45→30 35 182/237/322 140281 173 41% 6% 50 -1.8 201/267/350 149300 185 37% 8% 70 -0.3 176/256/33716124322036%9%62-0.2