Kyle Garlick — OGILVIE

Kyle GarlickLF Reno Aces

Age 34 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .281 / .370

PA350

HR12

K%32

BB%8

ISO162

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 63

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1914.5%

xwOBA

650.325

POWER63

Barrel%

8212.9

Avg EV

5989.7

EYE49

Chase%

4532.7%

SPEED48

Sprint

2226.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-0.1M	-$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	23	A	3 teams	—	258	238	64	15	3	9	11	78	5	2	2	269	315	471	786	202	355	30	4	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A	3 teams	—	258	232	81	21	4	9	16	59	5	2	2	349	402	591	992	241	429	23	6	425	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA	2 teams	—	534	498	121	38	3	15	23	188	10	1	0	243	290	422	712	179	356	35	4	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA	2 teams	—	534	488	143	42	3	19	33	140	10	1	0	293	350	508	858	215	373	26	6	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA	2 teams	—	325	298	52	9	0	10	19	116	5	1	0	174	236	305	541	131	240	36	6	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA	2 teams	—	325	285	70	12	0	18	32	82	5	1	0	246	332	477	809	232	277	25	10	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA	2 teams	—	426	409	72	14	1	14	13	190	2	2	0	176	205	318	523	142	280	45	3	224	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA	2 teams	—	426	402	104	22	2	22	20	138	2	2	0	259	297	488	785	229	336	32	5	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA	2 teams	—	357	327	72	22	1	18	22	124	6	2	1	220	282	459	740	239	289	35	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA	2 teams	—	357	319	97	29	2	26	30	103	6	2	1	304	375	652	1.027	348	370	29	8	437	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	23	22	3	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	136	174	182	356	45	200	30	0	162	-18	-3	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.4
2020	28	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	23	22	3	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	136	174	182	356	45	200	30	0	166	-14	-3	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.4
2021	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	107	99	23	8	0	5	6	32	1	1	0	232	283	465	748	232	286	30	6	319	102	+0	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.2
2021	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	107	99	23	8	0	5	6	32	1	1	0	232	283	465	748	232	286	30	6	324	106	+1	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.3
2022	30	MLB	2 teams	—	208	192	44	4	1	12	12	68	3	0	0	229	285	448	733	219	283	33	6	312	97	-1	+0	-3	-2	+6	-0.0
2022	30	MLB	2 teams	—	208	190	45	4	1	12	14	64	3	0	0	237	300	458	757	221	287	31	7	332	112	+3	+0	-3	-2	+6	0.3
2023	31	AAA	2 teams	—	385	343	64	10	1	13	28	151	8	2	1	187	264	335	599	149	276	39	7	266	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA	2 teams	—	385	326	77	19	1	16	45	121	8	2	1	236	343	448	791	212	313	31	12	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA	Reno Aces	—	623	564	84	15	2	16	47	238	6	1	1	149	222	268	490	119	215	38	8	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA	Reno Aces	—	623	540	128	22	3	28	71	171	6	1	1	237	332	444	777	207	288	27	11	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	34	MLB	ARI	—	350	316	66	12	1	12	27	113	4	3	1	209	280	367	647	158	284	32	8	292	82	-7	+0	-0	-4	+10	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	35	MLB	ARI	6%	475	431	87	15	2	15	36	157	5	3	1	202	271	350	622	148	277	33	8	282	74	-14	+0	-6	-5	+13	-1.2
2028	36	MLB	ARI	0%	414	376	74	12	2	13	31	140	4	1	0	197	265	343	608	146	269	34	7	270	65	-16	+0	-7	-4	+12	-1.6
2027	35	MLB	ARI	6%	26	24	5	1	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	208	269	375	644	167	279	35	8	276	70	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	36	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		271	—	—	265	61	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	401	372	83	18	0	20	23	126	5	1	0	223	278	433	711	210	276	31	6	311	97	-2	+0	-6	-12	+11	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	134	29	0	32	37	204	8	2	0	222	277	430	706	207	276	31	6	311	97	-3	+0	-9	-19	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	4485	4113	826	175	17	152	275	1602	60	19	7	201	261	363	624	162	282	36	6	273	67	-167	+1	-19	-48	+127	-10.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	119	25	2	22	40	232	9	3	1	200	260	359	620	159	280	36	6	273	67	-24	+0	-3	-7	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	61	54	21	4	0	5	4	20	1	0	0	389	441	741	1.181	352	516	33	7	491	234	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2015	23	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	162	147	48	12	2	4	10	35	4	2	2	327	383	517	900	190	407	22	6	395	161	+11	-0	—	—	+5	1.6
2015	23	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	35	31	12	5	2	0	2	4	0	0	0	387	424	677	1.102	290	414	11	6	445	199	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2016	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	319	292	83	29	2	8	18	83	6	1	0	284	339	479	818	195	368	26	6	357	131	+11	+0	—	—	+9	2.1
2016	24	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	215	196	60	13	1	11	15	57	4	0	0	306	367	551	918	245	383	27	7	401	165	+16	+0	—	—	+6	2.2
2017	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	305	268	64	9	0	17	30	78	4	1	0	239	325	463	787	224	267	26	10	345	122	+8	+0	—	—	+9	1.7
2017	25	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	20	17	6	3	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	353	450	706	1.156	353	417	20	10	494	236	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2018	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	341	324	82	18	2	17	14	105	2	2	0	253	288	478	767	225	320	31	4	333	113	+5	+0	—	—	+10	1.5
2018	26	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	85	78	22	4	0	5	6	33	0	0	0	282	333	526	859	244	415	39	7	370	142	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2019	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	53	48	12	4	0	3	5	19	0	0	0	250	321	521	842	271	346	36	9	366	138	+2	+0	-0	-4	+2	-0.0
2019	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	304	271	85	25	2	23	25	84	6	2	1	314	384	675	1.059	362	373	28	8	450	202	+35	+0	—	—	+9	4.5
2020	28	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	23	22	3	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	136	174	182	356	45	200	30	0	166	-14	-3	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.4
2021	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	107	99	23	8	0	5	6	32	1	1	0	232	283	465	748	232	286	30	6	324	106	+1	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.3
2022	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	162	150	35	3	0	9	8	48	3	0	0	233	286	433	719	200	277	30	5	316	100	-0	+0	-3	-2	+5	-0.1
2022	30	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	46	40	10	1	1	3	6	16	0	0	0	250	348	550	898	300	333	35	13	388	155	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	31	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	30	28	5	1	0	2	2	11	0	0	0	179	233	429	662	250	200	37	7	288	79	-1	+0	-1	-4	+1	-0.5
2023	31	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	355	298	72	18	1	14	43	110	8	2	1	242	352	450	802	208	322	31	12	352	128	+11	+0	—	—	+10	2.2
2024	32	AAA	Reno Aces	—	623	540	128	22	3	28	71	171	6	1	1	237	332	444	777	207	288	27	11	342	120	+14	-0	—	—	+18	3.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	375	347	78	17	0	19	21	117	5	1	0	225	279	438	717	213	277	31	6	314	98	-1	+0	-6	-12	+11	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	797	32	3	214	275	391	-9	-5	-0.6	0.1
	/162	664	26	2	214	275	391	-7.1	-4.5	-0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Garlick (OGILVIE)	34	20	63	48	49	210/281/370	160	284	12	3	32%	8%	82	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Hessman 2012 · MLB	34	37→36	54→65	47→45	42	205/275/385	180	266	22	5	32%	7%	83	+0.6	198/251/394	196	250	28	3	33%	6%	76	+0.0	198/259/397	199	237	27	3	30%	7%	78	+0.2
✕Brad Eldred 2012 · MLB	32	38→40	54→65	47→45	38	209/262/384	175	267	23	10	31%	5%	77	+0.1	234/286/466	232	303	32	11	33%	6%	109	+2.4	231/284/555	324	279	48	9	37%	6%	129	+1.8
✕Mike Coolbaugh 2006 · AAA	34	43→41	53→55	53→50	42	228/277/396	168	275	22	10	26%	6%	86	+0.8	218/284/360	142	274	17	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	182/274/295	113	227	14	4	26%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Cody Ransom 2010 · MLB	34	41→42	52→55	49→50	46	214/281/385	171	267	19	11	28%	8%	85	+0.7	222/285/402	180	293	22	8	31%	7%	91	+1.1	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Brandon Snyder 2021 · AAA	34	38→48	55	47→45	31	201/254/376	176	316	24	6	43%	5%	72	-0.2	210/280/377	167	304	22	7	37%	7%	83	+0.6	167/254/334	167	223	26	0	37%	7%	59	-0.4
✕Chad Mottola 2007 · MLB	35	42→44	50→55	47→45	40	220/258/372	151	266	18	7	25%	4%	71	-0.3	228/269/382	154	272	18	9	23%	5%	79	+0.3	226/268/387	161	258	19	7	21%	5%	76	+0.1
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	33	40→42	50→55	46→40	38	207/270/354	148	299	19	4	36%	7%	72	-0.2	208/261/317	109	306	12	4	34%	6%	58	-1.2	209/258/315	106	305	11	1	34%	5%	54	-0.9
●Scott McClain 2007 · MLB	35	39→45	54→55	43→40	43	214/263/387	173	244	23	6	24%	6%	78	+0.2	226/287/405	179	261	24	5	23%	8%	92	+1.2	225/292/412	187	254	26	3	23%	8%	95	+1.3
✕Valentino Pascucci 2013 · AAA	34	42→45	52→55	39→45	47	212/295/377	165	304	21	2	35%	10%	89	+0.9	224/311/403	179	320	24	5	35%	10%	102	+1.9	209/318/409	199	282	31	0	36%	11%	103	+0.9
✕Donnie Murphy 2015 · MLB	32	38→40	52→65	44→45	41	206/269/365	160	256	20	6	29%	6%	76	+0.0	209/275/331	122	266	13	7	26%	7%	68	-0.5	188/262/268	80	240	7	0	23%	7%	44	-0.6
●Cory Aldridge 2013 · AAA	34	37→47	53→55	46→45	38	200/255/367	167	284	23	9	38%	7%	69	-0.4	229/291/395	166	327	24	6	35%	8%	92	+1.2	245/315/420	175	330	27	1	33%	9%	107	+1.0
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	41→37	48→50	45	46	208/290/355	147	272	16	5	29%	8%	81	+0.4	196/274/370	174	253	22	6	31%	7%	79	+0.3	152/237/329	176	180	24	1	32%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Matt McBride 2019 · MLB	34	40→50	53→55	42→40	46	215/275/393	179	247	21	4	23%	7%	85	+0.7	222/273/412	190	263	26	7	26%	6%	89	+1.0	191/231/411	221	195	37	0	27%	4%	68	-0.1
✕Martín Maldonado 2023 · MLB	36	34→44	50	46→40	46	189/270/336	147	240	20	2	30%	9%	69	-0.4	188/250/330	142	252	19	3	33%	7%	58	-1.2	171/229/303	132	232	19	0	35%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Graham Koonce 2007 · AAA	32	40→41	55	44→30	47	218/289/396	178	266	23	4	28%	8%	92	+1.2	215/286/389	174	275	22	6	29%	8%	89	+0.9	184/266/367	183	225	24	0	30%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Sean Rodríguez 2019 · MLB	34	41→49	52→60	47→50	49	211/306/377	165	285	21	6	32%	11%	94	+1.3	227/318/400	173	312	21	8	32%	10%	104	+2.0	212/318/405	193	292	25	3	34%	11%	103	+0.6
✕Jason Smith 2009 · MLB	32	39→35	51→55	47→50	33	208/242/365	157	291	19	5	35%	4%	63	-0.9	188/224/302	114	275	13	12	36%	4%	38	-2.6	138/170/206	68	206	8	18	37%	3%	-12	-3.1
✕Cody Decker 2019 · AAA	32	37→40	48→65	46→30	36	189/248/328	139	295	17	4	40%	6%	56	-1.3	213/281/366	153	303	18	7	34%	8%	79	+0.3	163/254/336	173	206	23	0	33%	11%	61	-0.2
✕Brooks Conrad 2015 · MLB	35	40→44	56→55	38→50	41	218/274/407	189	278	25	3	32%	7%	88	+0.9	194/254/316	122	264	14	6	31%	6%	56	-1.3	143/210/219	76	201	7	3	31%	6%	10	-2.3
✕Joe Hudson 2023 · MLB	32	36	50→45	48→40	42	196/258/342	146	266	20	6	34%	8%	64	-0.8	200/290/341	141	308	18	9	38%	10%	78	+0.2	186/300/317	131	286	17	10	37%	12%	74	-0.0