Christian Bethancourt

C Indianapolis Indians

Age 35 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AAA HR -15%K -5% Svc 2.767S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAAArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	32	AAACHC	40	.205/.225/.231	0	1	-6	—	.179/.200/.205
2024	32	MLBCHC	147	.209/.241/.367	5	3	66	0.4
2025	33	AAA/INTL2 orgs	257	.176/.219/.324	7	2	10	—	.130/.163/.240
2026	34	AAAPIT	266	.259/.307/.466	14	5	51	—	.198/.235/.333
2027PROJ10% MLB	35	MLBPIT	15	.222/.258/.365	0	0	74	0.0
2028PROJMLE	36	MLBPIT	1	.211/.244/.340	0	0	63	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.767First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.2M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2024

Barrel%58

Bat Spd55

Avg EV53

Speed50

xwOBA33

CompsChad Mottola (age 35) · Scott McClain (age 35) · Pedro Swann (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7774vR 64

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .258 / .365

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%7

BABIP274

ISO71

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT

xAVG

230.229

POWER

Barrel%

589.4

Avg EV

5389.3

Bat Spd

5571.9

SPEED

Sprint

5027.5

Platoon Splits2024 · 147 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

300

249

◀◀L

ISO

200

135

◀◀L

BABIP

286

222

◀◀L

25.5%

24.0%

▶R

BB%

2.0%

4.2%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2014

Service 2.767 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	16	ROK	DSL Braves	—	131	116	31	6	3	0	11	25	1	1	0	267	336	371	707	103	330	19	8	312	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	187	166	46	14	1	4	17	38	1	8	1	277	348	446	794	169	331	20	9	347	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	A	Rome Braves	—	420	399	100	19	2	3	14	62	2	11	3	251	280	331	610	80	286	15	3	271	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	175	166	45	6	0	1	3	35	0	3	2	271	284	325	609	54	328	20	2	264	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A	Rome Braves	—	235	221	67	10	3	4	8	27	1	6	3	303	330	430	760	127	323	11	3	330	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	74	72	22	3	0	5	2	17	0	3	0	306	324	556	880	250	340	23	3	383	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	289	269	65	5	1	2	11	45	2	8	6	242	277	290	567	48	280	16	4	252	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	61	58	13	3	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	224	250	276	526	52	241	8	3	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	388	358	99	21	0	12	16	57	2	11	7	277	311	436	747	159	294	15	4	320	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	58	53	12	3	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	226	281	340	620	113	268	21	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	117	113	28	3	0	0	3	26	1	1	1	248	274	274	548	27	322	22	3	250	55	-6	-0	-3	+9	+3	0.2
2014	22	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	365	343	97	17	1	8	13	61	2	7	1	283	313	408	721	125	318	17	4	315	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	160	155	31	8	0	2	5	33	0	1	1	200	225	290	515	90	242	21	3	231	39	-12	-0	-1	+7	+3	-0.3
2015	23	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	218	202	66	19	0	4	12	31	0	5	0	327	364	480	845	153	365	14	6	367	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	204	193	44	9	0	6	10	56	0	1	2	228	266	368	634	140	288	27	5	281	78	-5	-1	+3	+4	+4	0.6
2017	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	18	18	5	1	0	1	0	6	0	0	0	278	278	500	778	222	364	33	0	338	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	33	31	11	1	1	0	1	9	0	0	0	355	375	452	827	97	478	27	3	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	418	391	116	22	0	20	20	76	1	6	1	297	333	506	839	210	319	18	5	362	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	15	12	2	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	1	167	286	250	536	83	250	33	13	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	94	87	24	4	1	2	6	15	0	0	1	276	323	414	736	138	310	16	6	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	70	68	11	3	0	1	2	18	0	1	1	162	186	250	436	88	204	26	3	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	363	331	93	18	1	14	28	73	2	4	1	281	341	468	809	187	321	20	8	356	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	INTL	Panama	—	144	140	32	5	1	2	3	31	0	0	0	229	245	321	566	93	280	22	2	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	333	318	80	17	0	11	12	80	2	5	1	252	283	409	692	157	304	24	4	305	93	-3	+1	+8	+7	+7	2.1
2022	30	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	21	19	5	2	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	263	333	684	1.018	421	231	19	10	430	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	50	44	13	3	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	295	354	364	718	68	361	18	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	332	315	71	16	0	11	13	91	0	1	0	225	256	381	637	156	278	27	4	278	75	-10	+0	+5	+7	+7	0.9
2023	31	INTL	Panama	—	35	30	6	2	0	1	3	4	1	1	0	200	294	367	661	167	200	11	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	147	139	29	7	0	5	5	36	1	3	0	209	241	367	608	158	245	24	3	265	66	-6	+1	+3	+3	+3	0.4
2024	32	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	40	39	8	1	0	0	1	13	0	1	0	205	225	231	456	26	308	32	2	208	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	214	196	34	10	0	7	11	56	1	2	1	173	221	332	553	158	200	26	5	239	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL	Panama	—	43	42	8	2	1	0	1	10	0	0	0	190	209	286	495	95	250	23	2	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	266	247	64	9	0	14	14	58	3	5	1	259	307	466	772	206	286	22	5	337	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1293	1233	283	60	0	35	48	322	4	12	5	230	261	363	624	134	282	25	4	276	73	-42	+0	+16	+36	+28	3.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	131	119	21	4	2	0	8	31	1	1	0	176	234	244	478	67	212	24	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	187	172	35	10	1	3	11	54	1	8	1	203	255	326	581	122	260	29	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	420	405	91	16	2	3	8	86	2	11	3	225	243	296	540	72	271	20	2	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	175	167	41	5	0	1	2	49	0	3	2	246	254	293	548	48	312	28	1	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	235	224	63	9	3	4	5	37	1	6	3	281	300	402	702	121	301	16	2	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	289	273	61	5	1	2	7	57	2	8	6	223	248	271	519	48	264	20	2	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	388	364	92	21	0	10	10	72	2	11	7	253	277	393	669	140	274	19	3	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	117	113	28	3	0	0	3	26	1	1	1	248	274	274	548	27	322	22	3	249	55	-6	-0	-3	+9	+3	0.2
2014	22	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	365	347	89	15	1	6	9	75	2	7	1	256	279	357	637	101	296	21	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	160	156	31	8	0	2	4	33	0	1	1	199	219	288	507	90	242	21	2	225	39	-12	-0	-1	+7	+3	-0.3
2015	23	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	218	207	62	17	0	3	7	39	0	5	0	300	322	425	748	126	345	18	3	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	204	193	45	10	0	6	10	56	0	1	2	233	271	378	649	145	288	27	5	284	78	-5	-1	+3	+4	+4	0.6
2017	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	18	18	4	1	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	222	222	444	667	222	309	44	0	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	418	396	90	16	0	13	15	106	1	6	1	227	257	366	623	139	269	25	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	363	342	80	15	1	9	17	91	2	4	1	234	274	363	637	129	289	25	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	333	318	79	17	0	11	12	80	2	5	1	248	280	406	686	157	304	24	4	306	93	-3	+1	+8	+7	+7	2.1
2022	30	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	21	20	3	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	150	190	350	540	200	172	24	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	332	315	70	16	0	11	13	91	0	1	0	222	253	378	631	156	278	27	4	279	75	-10	+0	+5	+7	+7	0.9
2024	32	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	147	139	29	7	0	5	5	36	1	3	0	209	241	367	608	158	245	24	3	266	66	-6	+1	+3	+3	+3	0.4
2024	32	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	40	39	7	1	0	0	1	16	0	1	0	179	200	205	405	26	269	40	2	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	214	200	26	7	0	5	7	68	1	2	1	130	163	240	403	110	156	32	3	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	266	252	50	7	0	9	9	70	3	5	1	198	235	333	568	135	234	26	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	131	119	21	4	2	0	8	31	1	1	0	176	234	244	478	67	231	24	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	16	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	131	116	31	6	3	0	11	25	1	1	0	267	336	371	707	103	330	19	8	312	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	187	172	35	10	1	3	11	54	1	8	1	203	255	326	581	122	271	29	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	—	187	166	46	14	1	4	17	38	1	8	1	277	348	446	794	169	331	20	9	347	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	420	405	91	16	2	3	8	86	2	11	3	225	243	296	540	72	274	20	2	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	A RAW	Rome Braves	—	420	399	100	19	2	3	14	62	2	11	3	251	280	331	610	80	286	15	3	271	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	484	463	122	16	3	6	9	102	1	12	5	263	279	350	629	86	319	21	2	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	484	459	134	19	3	10	13	79	1	12	5	292	313	412	725	120	327	16	3	314	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	350	332	73	6	1	2	8	69	2	9	6	220	243	262	505	42	268	20	2	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	350	327	78	8	1	2	13	50	2	9	6	239	272	287	559	49	272	14	4	249	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	446	419	107	25	0	12	11	83	3	11	7	255	279	401	680	146	286	19	2	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	446	411	111	24	0	13	19	69	3	11	7	270	307	423	731	153	291	15	4	315	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	460	116	17	1	6	12	101	3	8	2	252	276	333	608	80	306	21	2	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	482	456	125	20	1	8	16	87	3	8	2	274	303	375	678	101	319	18	3	299	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	378	363	93	24	0	6	11	72	0	6	1	256	278	372	650	116	302	19	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	378	357	97	27	0	6	17	64	0	6	1	272	305	398	703	126	314	17	4	309	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	204	193	45	10	0	6	10	56	0	1	2	233	271	378	649	145	295	27	5	284	78	-5	-1	+3	+4	+4	0.6
2016	24	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	204	193	44	9	0	6	10	56	0	1	2	228	266	368	634	140	288	27	5	281	78	-5	-1	+3	+4	+4	0.6
2017	25	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	51	50	10	2	0	2	0	22	0	0	0	200	200	360	560	160	296	43	0	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	51	49	16	2	1	1	1	15	0	0	0	327	340	469	809	143	441	29	2	349	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	433	410	95	17	0	14	15	110	1	6	2	232	261	376	636	144	276	25	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	433	403	118	23	0	20	22	81	1	6	2	293	331	499	830	206	317	19	5	358	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL MLE	Estrellas Orientales	—	94	87	24	4	1	2	6	15	0	0	1	276	323	414	736	138	310	16	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL RAW	Estrellas Orientales	—	94	87	24	4	1	2	6	15	0	0	1	276	323	414	736	138	310	16	6	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL MLE	Estrellas Orientales	—	70	68	11	3	0	1	2	18	0	1	1	162	186	250	436	88	204	26	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL RAW	Estrellas Orientales	—	70	68	11	3	0	1	2	18	0	1	1	162	186	250	436	88	204	26	3	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	507	478	111	21	1	12	24	127	2	4	1	232	272	356	627	123	290	25	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	507	471	125	23	2	16	31	104	2	4	1	265	313	425	738	159	309	21	6	326	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	404	384	94	21	0	14	15	97	2	5	1	245	277	409	686	164	292	24	4	305	92	-4	+1	+8	+7	+9	2.2
2022	30	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	404	381	98	22	0	13	18	93	2	5	1	257	294	417	712	160	308	23	4	313	92	-4	+1	+8	+7	+9	2.2
2023	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	367	347	79	18	0	13	14	101	1	2	0	228	260	392	652	164	280	28	4	279	75	-11	+0	+5	+7	+8	0.9
2023	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	367	345	77	18	0	12	16	95	1	2	0	223	260	380	639	157	270	26	4	279	75	-11	+0	+5	+7	+8	0.9
2024	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	187	178	36	8	0	5	6	52	1	4	0	202	232	331	564	129	256	28	3	243	51	-11	+1	+3	+3	+4	0.0
2024	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	187	178	37	8	0	5	6	49	1	4	0	208	238	337	575	129	258	26	3	253	51	-11	+1	+3	+3	+4	0.0
2025	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	257	241	31	8	0	6	9	82	1	2	1	129	163	237	400	108	161	32	4	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	257	238	42	12	1	7	12	66	1	2	1	176	219	324	543	147	210	26	5	236	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	266	252	50	7	0	9	9	70	3	5	1	198	235	333	568	135	237	26	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	266	247	64	9	0	14	14	58	3	5	1	259	307	466	772	206	286	22	5	337	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	131	121	21	4	2	0	8	31	1	1	0	174	234	240	474	66	212	24	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	187	173	35	10	1	3	11	54	1	8	1	202	255	324	579	121	260	29	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	420	407	91	16	2	3	8	86	2	11	3	224	243	295	538	71	271	20	2	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	484	471	122	16	3	6	9	102	1	12	5	259	279	344	623	85	306	21	2	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	350	337	73	6	1	2	8	69	2	9	6	217	243	258	501	42	264	20	2	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	446	429	107	25	0	12	11	83	3	11	7	249	279	392	671	142	274	19	2	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	464	116	17	1	6	12	101	3	8	2	250	276	330	606	80	302	21	2	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	378	364	93	24	0	6	11	72	0	6	1	255	278	371	649	115	301	19	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	204	192	45	10	0	6	10	56	0	1	2	234	271	380	651	146	288	27	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	51	51	10	2	0	2	0	22	0	0	0	196	200	353	553	157	309	43	0	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	433	414	95	17	0	14	15	110	1	6	2	229	261	372	633	143	269	25	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	507	476	111	21	1	12	24	127	2	4	1	233	272	357	629	124	289	25	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	404	384	94	21	0	14	15	97	2	5	1	245	277	409	686	164	296	24	4	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	367	349	79	18	0	13	14	101	1	2	0	226	260	390	649	163	278	28	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	187	178	36	8	0	5	6	52	1	4	0	202	232	331	564	129	250	28	3	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	257	245	31	8	0	6	9	82	1	2	1	127	163	233	396	106	156	32	4	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	266	252	50	7	0	9	9	70	3	5	1	198	235	333	568	135	234	26	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	187	178	36	8	0	5	6	52	1	4	0	202	232	331	564	129	250	28	3	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	257	245	31	8	0	6	9	82	1	2	1	127	163	233	396	106	156	32	4	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	266	252	50	7	0	9	9	70	3	5	1	198	235	333	568	135	234	26	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	35	MLB MLE	PIT	10%	246	233	52	9	1	8	9	65	2	4	1	224	259	372	632	149	273	26	4	278	74	-7	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	35	MLB CTX	PIT	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	222	258	365	623	143	274	27	7	275	74	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	PIT	1%	112	106	22	4	0	3	4	31	1	1	0	212	246	347	592	135	262	28	4	262	63	-5	+0	-6	+2	+2	-0.7
2028	36	MLB CTX	PIT	1%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	211	244	340	584	129	263	0	0	258	63	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1294	1234	283	60	0	35	48	322	4	12	5	229	260	363	624	134	281	25	4	276	59	-42	+0	+16	+36	+28	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	620	142	30	0	18	24	162	2	6	3	229	260	365	625	135	281	25	4	276	59	-21	+0	+8	+18	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5983	5672	1298	247	12	130	198	1419	26	100	36	229	258	345	604	117	279	24	3	255	59	-52	+1	+9	+41	+34	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	616	141	27	1	14	22	154	3	11	4	229	259	344	604	115	279	24	3	255	59	-22	+0	+4	+17	+14	1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 266 PAwOBA .328 → .244 (−84)K% 21.8% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.80%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	26.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.41%
HBP% /PA	1.13%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.00%
Singles /BIP	21.69%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.984	×0.940	18.65%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.984	×0.940	3.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.984	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.41%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.87%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .328 → .244; ISO .206 → .137; BABIP .286 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAABuffalo Bisons · 214 PAwOBA .235 → .176 (−59)K% 26.2% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.17%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	31.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.14%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.39%
HBP% /PA	0.47%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.41%
Singles /BIP	12.14%	÷1.007	×0.930	×0.972	×0.940	10.24%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.098	×0.830	×0.972	×0.940	4.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.986	×0.970	×0.972	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷0.847	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.89%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 101, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .235 → .176; ISO .158 → .117; BABIP .200 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAIowa Cubs · 40 PAwOBA .202 → .159 (−44)K% 32.5% → 39.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.50%	÷0.998	×1.200	—	—	39.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.50%	÷0.949	×0.690	—	×0.942	1.71%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷0.994	×0.930	—	×0.942	23.74%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷0.962	×0.830	—	×0.942	3.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.079	×0.700	—	×0.942	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .202 → .159; ISO .026 → .019; BABIP .308 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 21 PAwOBA .417 → .287 (−130)K% 19.0% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.05%	÷1.009	×1.200	—	—	22.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.52%	÷0.992	×0.690	—	×0.962	6.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.995	×0.930	—	×0.962	5.99%
Doubles /BIP	13.33%	÷1.088	×0.830	—	×0.962	9.78%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	13.33%	÷1.075	×0.700	—	×0.962	8.35%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .417 → .287; ISO .421 → .273; BABIP .231 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 363 PAwOBA .348 → .274 (−73)K% 20.1% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.11%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	25.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.71%	÷1.100	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.70%
HBP% /PA	0.55%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.50%
Singles /BIP	23.26%	÷1.011	×0.930	×1.048	×0.972	21.79%
Doubles /BIP	6.98%	÷0.986	×0.830	×1.048	×0.972	5.98%
Triples /BIP	0.39%	÷0.914	×0.920	×1.048	×0.972	0.40%
Home runs /BIP	5.43%	÷1.096	×0.700	—	×0.972	3.37%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .348 → .274; ISO .187 → .129; BABIP .321 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 418 PAwOBA .357 → .270 (−87)K% 18.2% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.18%	÷0.925	×1.290	—	—	25.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.78%	÷0.985	×0.710	—	×1.003	3.46%
HBP% /PA	0.24%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.24%
Singles /BIP	23.49%	÷1.014	×0.900	×0.989	×1.003	20.68%
Doubles /BIP	6.98%	÷1.014	×0.810	×0.989	×1.003	5.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.989	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.35%	÷1.124	×0.780	—	×1.003	4.42%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 85, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .357 → .270; ISO .210 → .143; BABIP .319 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 18 PAwOBA .327 → .230 (−97)K% 33.3% → 42.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.33%	÷1.005	×1.290	—	—	42.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.921	×0.710	—	×1.018	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.040	×0.900	—	×1.018	22.03%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.983	×0.810	—	×1.018	6.99%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.049	×0.810	—	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷1.087	×0.780	—	×1.018	6.09%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 110, K 101, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .327 → .230; ISO .222 → .144; BABIP .364 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAGwinnett Braves · 218 PAwOBA .359 → .327 (−31)K% 14.2% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.22%	÷0.940	×1.200	—	—	18.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.59%	÷1.103	×0.690	—	×1.048	3.01%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.15%	÷0.996	×0.930	×1.001	×1.048	24.63%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.988	×0.830	×1.001	×1.048	9.80%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.988	×0.970	×1.001	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.34%	÷1.014	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.03%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 88, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .359 → .327; ISO .153 → .135; BABIP .365 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Brian Johnson'94-'01 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	49	1	237*	279*	395*	+26	-0	3.5	3.7
/162	664	21	0	+11.1	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.0	1,309	36	12	231	259	366	+23	+13	1.6	1.6
/162	664	18	6	+11.8	+6.4	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Bob Melvin'85-'94 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,095 PA	3.2	2,095	35	4	231*	266*	358*	+33	+0	1.1	1.6
/162	664	11	1	+10.4	+0.2	0.3	pk7: 2
#5Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Bethancourt (OGILVIE)	35	—	—	—	—	222/257/369	147	273	5	3	26%	4%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chad Mottola 2007 · MLB	35	40→41	49→50	47→45	39	211/248/355	144	254	17	7	25%	4%	67	-1.1	220/262/368	148	262	17	9	23%	5%	75	-0.5	213/253/365	152	243	18	7	21%	4%	69	-0.7
✕Scott McClain 2007 · MLB	35	37→42	53→55	43→40	43	204/253/369	165	232	22	6	24%	6%	72	-0.7	215/275/386	171	248	23	5	23%	7%	84	+0.2	213/276/389	176	239	25	3	23%	8%	84	+0.2
✕Pedro Swann 2006 · MLB	35	44	49→50	53→45	40	228/279/381	153	275	17	7	24%	4%	84	+0.2	233/280/364	131	292	12	11	24%	5%	80	-0.1	234/279/355	121	296	10	12	24%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Mike Coolbaugh 2006 · AAA	34	41→39	52→55	53→50	41	218/266/379	160	262	21	10	26%	6%	79	-0.2	211/277/349	138	265	16	9	26%	7%	77	-0.3	171/258/278	106	213	13	4	26%	9%	52	-1.0
✕Shawn Wooten 2007 · MLB	35	42	43→45	47→30	41	210/254/317	107	250	12	3	22%	4%	60	-1.6	201/252/285	84	249	8	5	22%	6%	52	-2.2	175/230/219	43	218	4	0	20%	5%	27	-1.2
✕Cody Ransom 2011 · MLB	35	40→39	51→55	48→50	43	212/270/375	162	264	19	8	28%	7%	80	-0.2	216/286/399	183	290	23	8	32%	8%	92	+0.7	206/286/402	196	277	25	6	34%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Jason Wood 2006 · AAA	36	46	49→45	46→40	46	237/294/378	140	274	18	7	21%	6%	89	+0.5	228/276/336	108	284	12	4	23%	6%	72	-0.7	220/267/305	85	278	8	2	23%	5%	61	-0.9
✕Mike Hessman 2012 · MLB	34	37→35	54→65	47→45	42	202/270/381	179	260	22	5	32%	7%	82	-0.0	189/243/375	186	238	26	3	33%	6%	71	-0.8	185/246/365	180	222	24	3	30%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Brandon Snyder 2021 · AAA	34	36→46	54→55	47→45	32	195/248/364	169	301	23	6	42%	5%	70	-0.9	202/273/351	149	293	19	7	36%	7%	76	-0.4	151/236/285	134	205	20	0	37%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Matt Carson 2015 · MLB	34	43→50	45→60	51→50	39	215/264/334	119	286	14	14	30%	5%	68	-1.0	207/268/322	115	270	12	13	27%	6%	68	-1.0	161/232/243	82	201	8	11	24%	6%	35	-1.1
✕Nick Green 2013 · MLB	34	42→46	46→50	42→45	41	215/261/349	134	257	14	5	23%	4%	70	-0.8	201/249/317	116	260	13	6	27%	5%	59	-1.7	161/207/246	84	213	10	1	29%	4%	24	-2.9
✕Matt McBride 2019 · MLB	34	38→48	51→55	42→40	45	204/261/364	161	235	18	4	23%	6%	74	-0.5	214/266/385	171	257	22	7	26%	6%	81	-0.1	174/211/355	181	185	29	0	27%	3%	51	-0.6
✕Pedro Diaz 2015 · AAA	36	42→47	47→45	44→45	37	219/240/348	129	256	16	4	23%	2%	62	-1.4	218/249/334	116	265	14	4	23%	3%	61	-1.5	221/251/336	116	263	14	0	22%	3%	60	-0.8
✕Mike Rivera 2012 · MLB	35	39	43→55	44→45	43	195/264/303	108	264	10	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	211/270/317	106	285	11	7	29%	6%	66	-1.1	194/245/256	62	262	7	0	28%	4%	40	-0.8
✕Abraham Valencia 2014 · AAA	34	44→50	47→45	43→45	41	227/283/359	132	269	16	4	23%	5%	82	-0.0	232/294/334	102	282	10	7	21%	5%	79	-0.2	237/301/296	59	285	5	3	18%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Cory Aldridge 2014 · AAA	35	37→47	51→55	45	36	194/249/342	148	306	21	9	42%	7%	65	-1.2	239/302/400	161	312	22	5	29%	8%	98	+1.2	250/319/434	185	295	29	1	25%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Jantzen Witte 2024 · AAA	34	42→52	47→45	44→45	42	217/269/353	136	280	15	8	28%	6%	74	-0.5	214/273/354	140	279	16	8	28%	7%	76	-0.4	187/251/323	136	227	18	0	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Bobby Wilson 2019 · MLB	36	37→47	45→50	46→40	43	194/247/310	116	242	13	3	26%	6%	56	-1.9	204/261/333	129	257	15	6	26%	7%	67	-1.1	161/213/276	115	189	18	0	27%	6%	33	-0.9
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2014 · AAA	35	41→51	50	47→40	43	212/283/363	151	291	19	4	33%	8%	82	+0.0	208/287/344	136	290	16	6	32%	9%	80	-0.2	193/279/309	116	266	14	4	31%	9%	68	-0.4
✕Jonathan Aceves 2013 · AAA	35	43	47→50	42→30	42	220/269/354	135	276	15	6	26%	6%	75	-0.5	211/264/333	122	256	14	4	23%	6%	68	-1.0	228/295/332	104	273	11	1	20%	7%	78	-0.2

Christian Bethancourt

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps