Bobby Wilson

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1983-04-08

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	34	AAAOklahoma City…	275	.243/.321/.428	11	0	49	—	.182/.236/.308
2018	35	AAAWSH	45	.125/.186/.150	0	0	-32	—	.098/.140/.122
2018	35	MLBMIN	151	.178/.245/.281	2	0	45	0.6
2019	36	AAADET	101	.244/.327/.433	5	0	65	—	.181/.238/.319
2019	36	MLBDET	47	.091/.130/.114	0	0	-35	-0.2
2020	37	No MLB games played
2021	38	No MLB games played
2022	39	No MLB games played
2023	40	No MLB games played
2024	41	No MLB games played
2025	42	No MLB games played
2026	43	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2016-2019

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

Avg EV10

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	501	466	135	32	1	14	30	61	2	2	1	290	335	453	788	163	307	12	6	347	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	418	374	107	26	0	9	33	47	5	1	6	286	352	428	780	142	306	11	8	344	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	141	132	39	13	1	3	8	18	0	1	0	295	336	477	813	182	324	13	6	355	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	204	181	49	9	0	6	22	26	0	5	3	271	350	420	770	149	287	13	11	344	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	298	260	81	20	0	4	29	45	4	0	0	312	389	435	824	123	362	15	10	365	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	381	353	97	19	1	8	23	56	1	0	0	275	321	402	723	127	308	15	6	320	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	106	96	22	6	0	4	8	23	0	0	0	229	288	417	705	188	261	22	8	306	94	-1	+0	+4	+2	+2	0.8
2011	28	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	127	111	21	8	0	1	10	16	0	0	2	189	256	288	544	99	208	13	8	238	45	-8	-1	+3	+2	+3	-0.1
2012	29	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	201	171	36	5	0	3	15	33	1	0	0	211	278	292	570	82	243	16	7	245	52	-11	+0	+14	+4	+4	1.0
2013	30	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	253	216	45	12	0	7	32	38	1	0	0	208	313	361	674	153	220	15	13	303	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA	Reno Aces	—	299	270	72	11	0	3	23	45	1	0	2	267	327	341	667	74	308	15	8	300	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	147	132	25	5	0	1	11	39	1	0	1	189	257	250	507	61	258	27	7	232	38	-11	-0	+8	+4	+3	0.4
2015	32	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	55	49	9	1	0	0	6	11	0	0	0	184	273	204	477	20	237	20	11	231	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	251	228	54	6	0	7	11	64	1	0	0	237	275	355	630	118	292	25	4	270	69	-9	+0	+3	+4	+5	0.4
2017	34	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	275	243	59	12	0	11	25	55	3	0	0	243	321	428	749	185	267	20	9	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	35	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	151	135	24	8	0	2	12	37	0	0	0	178	245	281	526	104	224	25	8	235	45	-10	+0	+9	+4	+3	0.6
2018	35	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	45	40	5	1	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	125	186	150	336	25	179	29	7	155	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	47	44	4	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	91	130	114	244	23	121	23	4	115	-35	-8	+0	+2	+3	+1	-0.2
2019	36	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	101	90	22	2	0	5	11	25	0	0	0	244	327	433	760	189	283	25	11	339	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1030	917	186	39	0	18	69	223	3	0	3	203	261	304	565	101	245	22	7	247	53	-57	-1	+43	+22	+22	2.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	501	474	123	27	1	13	22	82	2	2	1	259	295	403	698	143	283	16	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	418	385	100	23	0	8	22	57	5	1	6	260	308	382	690	122	277	14	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	141	135	34	11	1	2	5	23	0	1	0	252	279	393	671	141	291	16	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	204	188	45	8	0	5	15	32	0	5	3	239	296	362	657	122	258	16	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	298	268	73	17	0	3	21	58	4	0	0	272	334	369	704	97	323	19	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	381	359	86	16	1	6	17	72	1	0	0	240	276	340	616	100	280	19	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	106	96	22	6	0	4	8	23	0	0	0	229	288	417	705	188	261	22	8	308	94	-1	+0	+4	+2	+2	0.8
2011	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	127	112	21	8	0	1	9	16	0	0	2	188	248	286	534	98	208	13	7	235	45	-8	-1	+3	+2	+3	-0.1
2012	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	201	171	36	5	0	3	15	33	1	0	0	211	278	292	570	82	243	16	7	245	52	-11	+0	+14	+4	+4	1.0
2013	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	253	227	41	10	0	6	21	45	1	0	0	181	253	304	557	123	189	18	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	299	279	58	8	0	2	14	60	1	0	2	208	248	258	506	50	250	20	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	147	132	25	5	0	1	11	39	1	0	1	189	257	250	507	61	258	27	7	224	38	-11	-0	+8	+4	+3	0.4
2015	32	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	55	52	8	1	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	154	200	173	373	19	201	24	5	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	251	228	53	6	0	7	11	64	1	0	0	232	271	351	622	118	292	25	4	269	69	-9	+0	+3	+4	+5	0.4
2017	34	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	275	253	46	8	0	8	15	71	3	0	0	182	236	308	544	126	209	26	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	35	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	151	135	24	8	0	2	12	37	0	0	0	178	245	281	526	104	224	25	8	235	45	-10	+0	+9	+4	+3	0.6
2018	35	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	45	41	4	1	0	0	2	16	0	0	0	98	140	122	261	24	150	36	4	121	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	47	44	4	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	91	130	114	244	23	121	23	4	116	-35	-8	+0	+2	+3	+1	-0.2
2019	36	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	101	94	17	1	0	4	7	28	0	0	0	181	238	319	557	138	228	28	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	501	474	123	27	1	13	22	82	2	2	1	259	295	403	698	143	288	16	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	A+ RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	501	466	135	32	1	14	30	61	2	2	1	290	335	453	788	163	307	12	6	347	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	418	385	100	23	0	8	22	57	5	1	6	260	308	382	690	122	286	14	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	418	374	107	26	0	9	33	47	5	1	6	286	352	428	780	142	306	11	8	344	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	345	323	79	19	1	7	20	55	0	6	3	245	289	375	663	130	275	16	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	345	313	88	22	1	9	30	44	0	6	3	281	344	444	788	163	303	13	9	348	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	298	268	73	17	0	3	21	58	4	0	0	272	334	369	704	97	335	19	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	298	260	81	20	0	4	29	45	4	0	0	312	389	435	824	123	362	15	10	365	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	381	359	86	16	1	6	17	72	1	0	0	240	276	340	616	100	285	19	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	381	353	97	19	1	8	23	56	1	0	0	275	321	402	723	127	308	15	6	320	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	106	96	22	6	0	4	8	23	0	0	0	229	288	417	705	188	261	22	8	308	94	-1	+0	+4	+2	+2	0.8
2010	27	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	106	96	22	6	0	4	8	23	0	0	0	229	288	417	705	188	261	22	8	306	94	-1	+0	+4	+2	+2	0.8
2011	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	127	112	21	8	0	1	9	16	0	0	2	188	248	286	534	98	206	13	7	235	45	-8	-1	+3	+2	+3	-0.1
2011	28	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	127	111	21	8	0	1	10	16	0	0	2	189	256	288	544	99	208	13	8	238	45	-8	-1	+3	+2	+3	-0.1
2012	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	201	171	36	5	0	3	15	33	1	0	0	211	278	292	570	82	243	16	7	245	52	-11	+0	+14	+4	+4	1.0
2012	29	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	201	171	36	5	0	3	15	33	1	0	0	211	278	292	570	82	243	16	7	245	52	-11	+0	+14	+4	+4	1.0
2013	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	253	227	41	10	0	6	21	45	1	0	0	181	253	304	557	123	197	18	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	253	216	45	12	0	7	32	38	1	0	0	208	313	361	674	153	220	15	13	303	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	299	279	58	8	0	2	14	60	1	0	2	208	248	258	506	50	256	20	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	299	270	72	11	0	3	23	45	1	0	2	267	327	341	667	74	308	15	8	300	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	202	184	32	5	0	1	14	52	1	0	1	174	236	217	454	43	235	26	7	209	28	-17	-0	+8	+4	+4	-0.2
2015	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	202	181	34	6	0	1	17	50	1	0	1	188	261	238	499	50	252	25	8	232	28	-17	-0	+8	+4	+4	-0.2
2016	33	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	251	228	53	6	0	7	11	64	1	0	0	232	271	351	622	118	286	25	4	269	69	-9	+0	+3	+4	+5	0.4
2016	33	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	251	228	54	6	0	7	11	64	1	0	0	237	275	355	630	118	292	25	4	270	69	-9	+0	+3	+4	+5	0.4
2017	34	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	275	253	46	8	0	8	15	71	3	0	0	182	236	308	544	126	215	26	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	275	243	59	12	0	11	25	55	3	0	0	243	321	428	749	185	267	20	9	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	35	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	196	176	28	9	0	2	14	53	0	0	0	159	221	244	465	85	210	27	7	209	27	-17	+0	+9	+4	+4	-0.1
2018	35	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	196	175	29	9	0	2	15	50	0	0	0	166	232	251	483	86	214	26	8	217	27	-17	+0	+9	+4	+4	-0.1
2019	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	148	138	22	3	0	4	9	39	0	0	0	159	211	268	479	109	189	26	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	148	134	26	3	0	5	13	36	0	0	0	194	265	328	594	134	226	24	9	268	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	501	472	123	27	1	13	22	82	2	2	1	261	295	405	700	144	283	16	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	418	388	100	23	0	8	22	57	5	1	6	258	308	379	687	121	277	14	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	345	322	79	19	1	7	20	55	0	6	3	245	289	376	664	130	271	16	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	298	271	73	17	0	3	21	58	4	0	0	269	334	365	700	96	323	19	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	381	360	86	16	1	6	17	72	1	0	0	239	276	339	615	100	280	19	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	106	97	22	6	0	4	8	23	0	0	0	227	288	412	701	186	261	22	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	127	117	21	8	0	1	9	16	0	0	2	179	248	274	521	94	208	13	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	201	183	36	5	0	3	15	33	1	0	0	197	278	273	551	77	243	16	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	253	229	41	10	0	6	21	45	1	0	0	179	253	301	554	122	189	18	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	299	282	58	8	0	2	14	60	1	0	2	206	248	255	504	50	250	20	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	202	185	32	5	0	1	14	52	1	0	1	173	236	216	452	43	243	26	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	251	237	53	6	0	7	11	64	1	0	0	224	271	338	608	114	292	25	4	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	275	255	46	8	0	8	15	71	3	0	0	180	236	306	542	125	209	26	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	35	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	196	180	28	9	0	2	14	53	0	0	0	156	221	239	460	83	207	27	7	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	148	138	22	3	0	4	9	39	0	0	0	159	211	268	479	109	194	26	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1030	917	186	39	0	18	69	223	3	0	3	203	261	304	565	101	245	22	7	247	65	-57	-1	+43	+22	+22	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	117	25	0	11	44	141	2	0	2	202	261	302	563	100	245	22	7	247	65	-36	-1	+27	+14	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4001	3673	820	170	3	75	232	780	20	9	15	223	273	332	606	109	262	19	6	264	65	-57	-1	+43	+22	+22	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	133	28	0	12	38	127	3	1	2	223	273	330	603	107	262	20	6	264	65	-36	-1	+27	+14	+14	1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 101 PAwOBA .330 → .264 (−66)K% 24.8% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.75%	÷1.056	×1.200	—	—	28.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.89%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.04%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.013	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	18.92%
Doubles /BIP	3.08%	÷0.995	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	2.29%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.096	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷0.888	×0.840	—	×0.940	6.84%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .330 → .264; ISO .189 → .166; BABIP .283 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAARochester Red Wings · 45 PAwOBA .155 → .121 (−34)K% 28.9% → 35.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.89%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	35.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.29%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.81%	÷1.023	×0.930	—	×0.940	12.66%
Doubles /BIP	3.70%	÷1.009	×0.830	—	×0.940	2.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.879	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .155 → .121; ISO .025 → .019; BABIP .179 → .150. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 275 PAwOBA .321 → .241 (−80)K% 20.0% → 25.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	25.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.36%	÷1.017	×0.710	—	×0.940	5.49%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	1.00%
Singles /BIP	19.15%	÷0.978	×0.900	×0.958	×0.940	15.87%
Doubles /BIP	6.38%	÷1.038	×0.810	×0.958	×0.940	4.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.958	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.85%	÷0.989	×0.780	—	×0.940	4.34%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .321 → .241; ISO .185 → .134; BABIP .267 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAADurham Bulls · 55 PAwOBA .217 → .171 (−47)K% 20.0% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.025	×1.200	—	—	23.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷1.148	×0.690	—	×0.952	5.20%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.05%	÷1.025	×0.930	—	×0.952	18.19%
Doubles /BIP	2.63%	÷1.062	×0.830	—	×0.952	1.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.039	×0.840	—	×0.952	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 105, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .217 → .171; ISO .020 → .016; BABIP .237 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAReno Aces · 299 PAwOBA .293 → .226 (−67)K% 15.1% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.05%	÷0.965	×1.290	—	—	20.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.36%	÷1.049	×0.710	—	×0.962	4.79%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.32%
Singles /BIP	25.78%	÷1.047	×0.900	×1.002	×0.962	21.36%
Doubles /BIP	4.89%	÷1.047	×0.810	×1.002	×0.962	3.64%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.002	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.33%	÷1.116	×0.780	—	×0.962	0.90%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .293 → .226; ISO .074 → .052; BABIP .308 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 253 PAwOBA .297 → .244 (−53)K% 15.0% → 17.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.02%	÷1.010	×1.200	—	—	17.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.65%	÷1.015	×0.690	—	×0.972	8.36%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.36%
Singles /BIP	14.61%	÷0.971	×0.930	×0.978	×0.972	13.30%
Doubles /BIP	6.74%	÷1.026	×0.830	×0.978	×0.972	5.19%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.978	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.93%	÷0.976	×0.840	—	×0.972	3.29%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 100, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .297 → .244; ISO .153 → .130; BABIP .220 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAASalt Lake Bees · 381 PAwOBA .311 → .265 (−46)K% 14.7% → 19.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.70%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	18.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.04%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.018	4.36%
HBP% /PA	0.26%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.26%
Singles /BIP	23.23%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.021	×1.018	21.73%
Doubles /BIP	6.40%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.021	×1.018	5.38%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.021	×1.018	0.28%
Home runs /BIP	2.69%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.14%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .311 → .265; ISO .127 → .102; BABIP .308 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAASalt Lake Bees · 298 PAwOBA .357 → .307 (−50)K% 15.1% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.10%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	19.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.40%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.033	6.89%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	1.36%
Singles /BIP	26.51%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.991	×1.033	24.43%
Doubles /BIP	9.30%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.991	×1.033	7.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.991	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.86%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.033	1.50%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .357 → .307; ISO .123 → .101; BABIP .362 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).