Mark Contreras — OGILVIE

Mark ContrerasCF Worcester Red Sox

Age 31 L/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%5

BABIP296

ISO53

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

CONTACT29

Whiff%

1018.6%

xAVG

100.196

POWER34

Barrel%

9031.6

Avg EV

9094.9

EYE49

Chase%

1043.5%

SPEED65

Sprint

7328.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	185	171	47	9	2	4	8	52	4	5	1	275	322	421	743	146	368	28	4	328	108	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2018	23	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	383	335	71	16	4	9	35	92	9	12	9	212	303	364	668	152	263	24	9	300	89	-5	-1	—	—	+8	0.2
2018	23	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	28	25	11	3	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	440	481	560	1.041	120	611	25	7	446	188	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2019	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	314	281	59	12	3	10	23	93	5	9	8	210	282	381	662	171	271	30	7	292	83	-6	-1	—	—	+7	-0.1
2019	24	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	97	79	8	3	0	0	12	23	4	5	0	101	253	139	392	38	138	24	12	203	24	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2021	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	394	343	85	26	2	18	34	117	13	12	5	248	338	493	831	245	316	30	9	362	131	+15	+0	—	—	+9	2.4
2021	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	76	67	18	4	1	2	9	22	0	3	0	269	355	448	803	179	372	29	12	357	128	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2021	26	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	80	64	16	1	1	3	11	24	4	2	1	250	392	438	830	188	342	30	14	371	137	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	61	58	7	1	0	3	1	21	1	1	0	121	150	293	443	172	114	34	2	191	16	-6	+0	+3	+2	+1	0.0
2022	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	423	376	89	21	1	15	37	125	8	23	2	237	318	418	736	181	311	30	9	328	108	+4	+4	—	—	+9	1.7
2023	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	381	340	93	17	1	10	36	99	5	23	8	274	352	418	769	144	359	26	9	346	120	+9	+1	—	—	+8	1.9
2024	29	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	322	64	15	3	5	45	104	9	25	5	199	314	311	624	112	274	28	12	290	82	-8	+3	—	—	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	61	58	7	1	0	3	1	21	1	1	0	121	150	293	443	172	114	34	2	191	16	-6	+0	+3	+2	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	185	174	33	6	1	3	5	74	4	5	1	190	230	287	517	98	287	40	3	218	34	-15	+1	—	—	+4	-1.0
2018	23	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	383	344	58	13	3	7	26	129	9	12	9	169	245	285	530	116	241	34	7	237	47	-24	-1	—	—	+8	-1.8
2018	23	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	28	26	9	2	0	0	1	10	0	1	0	346	370	423	793	77	550	36	4	355	126	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2019	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	314	289	50	8	3	8	15	111	5	9	8	173	227	304	531	131	233	35	5	228	40	-22	-1	—	—	+7	-1.7
2019	24	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	97	83	7	3	0	0	8	35	4	5	0	84	200	120	320	36	136	36	8	166	-1	-12	+1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2021	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	394	355	68	21	2	11	22	143	13	12	5	192	264	355	619	163	269	36	6	269	68	-15	+0	—	—	+9	-0.6
2021	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	76	69	15	3	1	1	7	27	0	3	0	217	289	333	623	116	340	36	9	280	76	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	61	58	7	1	0	3	1	21	1	1	0	121	150	293	443	172	114	34	2	189	14	-6	+0	+3	+2	+1	0.0
2022	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	423	388	73	15	1	11	25	153	8	23	2	188	252	317	569	129	271	36	6	252	57	-22	+4	—	—	+9	-0.9
2023	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	381	353	79	10	1	7	23	122	5	23	8	224	281	317	598	93	319	32	6	263	64	-16	+1	—	—	+8	-0.7
2024	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	338	56	13	2	3	29	124	9	25	5	166	250	243	493	77	249	33	8	231	42	-26	+3	—	—	+8	-1.5
2017	22	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	185	174	33	6	1	3	5	74	4	5	1	190	230	287	517	98	303	40	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	Elizabethton Twins	—	185	171	47	9	2	4	8	52	4	5	1	275	322	421	743	146	368	28	4	328	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	411	369	68	16	3	7	28	139	9	13	9	184	259	301	559	117	271	34	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	411	360	82	19	4	9	37	99	9	13	9	228	315	378	693	150	287	24	9	310	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	411	372	57	11	3	8	23	145	9	14	8	153	220	263	484	110	219	35	6	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	411	360	67	15	3	10	35	116	9	14	8	186	275	328	603	142	238	28	9	271	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	550	495	96	28	3	14	33	199	17	17	6	194	268	347	615	154	286	36	6	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	550	474	119	31	4	23	54	163	17	17	6	251	349	479	828	228	328	30	10	363	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	484	446	80	16	1	14	26	174	9	24	2	179	239	314	553	135	253	36	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	484	434	96	22	1	18	38	146	9	24	2	221	297	401	698	180	286	30	8	310	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	381	353	79	10	1	7	23	122	5	23	8	224	281	317	598	93	321	32	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	—	381	340	93	17	1	10	36	99	5	23	8	274	352	418	769	144	359	26	9	346	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	338	56	13	2	3	29	124	9	25	5	166	250	243	493	77	249	33	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	322	64	15	3	5	45	104	9	25	5	199	314	311	624	112	274	28	12	290	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	185	174	33	6	1	3	5	74	4	5	1	190	230	287	517	98	287	40	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	411	371	68	16	3	7	28	139	9	13	9	183	259	299	558	116	262	34	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	411	376	57	11	3	8	23	145	9	14	8	152	220	261	481	109	210	35	6	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	550	495	96	28	3	14	33	199	17	17	6	194	268	347	615	154	280	36	6	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	484	446	80	16	1	14	26	174	9	24	2	179	239	314	553	135	251	36	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	381	350	79	10	1	7	23	122	5	23	8	226	281	320	601	94	319	32	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	337	56	13	2	3	29	124	9	25	5	166	250	243	493	77	249	33	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	381	350	79	10	1	7	23	122	5	23	8	226	281	320	601	94	319	32	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	337	56	13	2	3	29	124	9	25	5	166	250	243	493	77	249	33	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	31	MLB MLE	BOS	10%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	211	250	263	513	53	290	30	5	266	66	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.5
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	31	MLB CTX	BOS	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						296	50	0	256	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	BOS	27%	361	325	67	13	2	5	27	107	6	13	3	206	279	305	584	98	287	30	7	266	66	-14	+1	-3	+1	+8	-0.7
2027	32	MLB CTX	BOS	27%	99	90	18	4	0	1	7	29	2	4	1	200	273	278	551	78	292	29	7	257	66	-4	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	160	148	25	5	0	4	8	50	3	5	1	169	226	284	510	115	221	31	5	232	53	-10	+1	+2	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	101	20	0	16	32	203	12	20	4	168	224	281	506	113	220	31	5	232	53	-41	+2	+10	+8	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3181	2891	540	114	16	61	195	1090	68	135	42	187	255	301	555	114	272	34	6	247	53	-21	+2	+0	+3	+10	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	109	23	3	12	40	223	14	28	9	184	253	294	547	110	269	34	6	247	53	-31	+3	+0	+5	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mark Contreras (OGILVIE)	31	29	34	65	49	205/277/300	96	290	3	11	30%	7%	66	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pete Orr 2010 · MLB	31	47	40→45	56→55	41	225/267/324	99	275	7	20	21%	4%	65	-1.2	224/269/328	104	275	7	22	21%	4%	68	-1.0	239/268/327	88	307	5	16	23%	3%	63	-0.9
✕Billy Hamilton 2022 · MLB	31	44→54	42→40	61→70	41	212/263/324	112	292	8	32	30%	6%	64	-1.3	192/252/287	95	295	8	32	35%	7%	53	-2.1	136/205/175	39	227	2	52	38%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Trent Durrington 2007 · MLB	31	48→45	38→40	59→60	44	228/282/309	81	293	6	35	24%	6%	68	-1.0	221/283/305	84	285	6	26	23%	7%	68	-1.0	210/281/261	52	270	2	33	21%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Jack Reinheimer 2023 · AAA	31	45→52	40	55	42	216/270/304	88	292	7	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	189/237/271	82	273	7	16	32%	5%	42	-2.9	143/181/190	47	196	3	12	28%	4%	1	-1.3
✕Pedro Florimón 2017 · MLB	30	44→52	40→45	57→55	40	212/262/311	99	303	6	21	31%	6%	61	-1.5	220/280/332	112	330	10	9	34%	7%	73	-0.6	212/277/321	110	322	11	4	35%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Wynton Bernard 2022 · AAA	31	43→53	41→45	61→60	41	209/261/314	105	275	8	27	27%	6%	61	-1.5	244/293/373	129	301	12	32	22%	6%	87	+0.4	250/298/375	125	305	12	37	21%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Quintin Berry 2016 · AAA	31	46→56	37→40	58→65	48	217/289/282	64	290	5	33	25%	8%	65	-1.2	219/281/289	70	306	5	32	28%	7%	63	-1.3	221/278/269	48	317	2	44	29%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jeff Salazar 2012 · MLB	31	41→51	43→50	57→55	48	206/273/311	105	252	12	27	23%	8%	66	-1.1	207/268/314	107	265	11	16	25%	7%	65	-1.2	177/227/251	74	224	8	9	24%	6%	32	-1.4
✕Elliot Johnson 2015 · MLB	31	42→52	41→45	59→60	45	206/264/305	99	271	7	23	26%	7%	61	-1.5	211/272/328	117	281	10	13	27%	7%	70	-0.9	190/249/301	111	256	9	9	28%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Kristopher Negrón 2017 · MLB	31	43→50	43→45	54→55	39	214/266/324	110	277	10	19	26%	5%	66	-1.1	225/284/350	125	313	13	15	31%	6%	79	-0.2	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	49→50	58→55	44	224/297/374	150	307	16	25	31%	8%	90	+0.6	226/293/360	134	323	14	23	32%	8%	85	+0.2	217/284/314	98	312	10	32	32%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Jason Repko 2012 · MLB	31	45→48	44→50	52→55	44	226/284/338	112	284	13	21	25%	6%	76	-0.4	216/278/342	126	281	13	14	27%	7%	75	-0.5	185/249/315	130	240	12	10	27%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Clete Thomas 2013 · MLB	29	39→49	45	56→55	36	200/243/327	127	284	13	20	34%	5%	58	-1.7	216/277/333	117	296	11	14	29%	8%	72	-0.7	216/286/323	107	293	10	12	28%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	42→45	54→50	42	185/250/290	106	250	10	13	30%	7%	53	-2.1	190/262/302	112	274	11	13	33%	7%	61	-1.5	142/221/231	89	212	10	16	36%	6%	28	-1.5
✕Daniel Nunez 2013 · AAA	31	50→52	40→30	54→50	49	234/325/334	101	319	6	17	26%	9%	91	+0.7	243/315/321	78	305	5	12	21%	7%	84	+0.1	244/311/305	61	304	3	10	19%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Jack López 2023 · MLB	30	38→46	40→45	54→55	33	187/229/281	94	289	8	19	37%	4%	42	-2.9	208/251/323	115	302	12	15	34%	5%	60	-1.6	207/250/316	109	295	12	15	33%	4%	56	-1.4
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43→45	44→45	57→55	47	208/299/326	119	302	12	28	33%	10%	80	-0.1	215/294/327	112	353	11	21	38%	9%	78	-0.3	184/262/253	69	352	8	20	46%	8%	45	-0.9
✕Jeremy Owens 2007 · AA	30	42→39	45	55	35	206/252/327	121	311	13	20	37%	5%	61	-1.5	207/243/318	111	327	11	18	38%	4%	56	-1.9	215/243/320	105	355	8	21	40%	4%	53	-1.3
✕Eric Patterson 2013 · MLB	30	43→53	41→50	57→60	48	207/276/312	104	269	8	22	25%	8%	67	-1.1	213/280/305	92	279	8	15	25%	8%	68	-1.0	175/236/200	25	232	0	8	22%	7%	24	-0.8
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2014 · AAA	30	46	38→40	51→55	40	221/264/299	78	303	5	19	28%	5%	59	-1.7	226/263/306	80	321	7	11	30%	5%	60	-1.6	203/257/269	67	300	7	11	33%	6%	48	-0.6