Mark Contreras — OGILVIE

Mark ContrerasOF Worcester Red Sox

Age 31 L/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .275 / .306

PA250

HR4

SB11

K%30

BB%7

ISO102

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

CONTACT29

Whiff%

1018.6%

xwOBA

470.305

POWER35

Barrel%

9031.6

Avg EV

9094.9

EYE48

Chase%

1043.5%

SPEED65

Sprint

7328.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	185	174	33	6	1	3	5	74	4	5	1	190	230	287	517	98	303	40	3	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	185	171	47	9	2	4	8	52	4	5	1	275	322	421	743	146	368	28	4	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	2 teams	—	411	369	67	15	3	6	28	138	9	13	9	182	256	287	543	106	269	34	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	2 teams	—	411	360	82	19	4	9	37	99	9	13	9	228	315	378	693	150	287	24	9	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA	2 teams	—	411	373	57	10	3	9	22	151	9	14	8	153	218	268	486	115	220	37	5	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA	2 teams	—	411	360	67	15	3	10	35	116	9	14	8	186	275	328	603	142	238	28	9	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	3 teams	—	550	495	96	28	4	15	33	204	17	17	6	194	268	358	625	164	288	37	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	3 teams	—	550	474	119	31	4	23	54	163	17	17	6	251	349	479	828	228	328	30	10	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	2 teams	—	484	447	82	15	1	18	25	177	9	24	2	183	241	342	583	159	251	37	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	2 teams	—	484	434	96	22	1	18	38	146	9	24	2	221	297	401	698	180	286	30	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	381	354	79	8	1	8	22	125	5	23	8	223	278	319	597	96	321	33	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	381	340	93	17	1	10	36	99	5	23	8	274	352	418	769	144	359	26	9	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	339	57	14	2	4	28	124	9	25	5	168	250	257	507	88	249	33	7	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	322	64	15	3	5	45	104	9	25	5	199	314	311	624	112	274	28	12	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	BOS	—	250	226	47	9	1	4	18	75	4	11	3	208	278	310	588	102	289	30	7	267	62	-11	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	BOS	27%	361	326	68	13	2	6	26	108	6	13	3	209	279	316	595	107	286	30	7	267	63	-15	+1	-3	+1	+10	-0.5
2027	32	MLB	BOS	27%	99	90	19	4	0	2	7	30	2	4	1	211	283	322	605	111	292	30	7	259	56	-5	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	160	148	26	5	0	5	8	51	3	5	1	176	233	311	544	135	226	32	5	233	37	-11	+1	+2	+2	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	105	20	0	20	32	207	12	20	4	175	231	308	538	133	225	32	5	233	37	-46	+2	+10	+8	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	3411	3103	586	118	18	73	207	1176	72	145	45	189	256	309	565	120	273	34	6	250	50	-193	+11	+1	+12	+97	-7.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	111	22	3	14	39	224	14	28	9	188	254	306	561	118	272	34	6	250	50	-37	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	185	171	47	9	2	4	8	52	4	5	1	275	322	421	743	146	368	28	4	328	109	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2018	23	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	383	335	71	16	4	9	35	92	9	12	9	212	303	364	668	152	263	24	9	300	88	-5	-1	—	—	+11	0.4
2018	23	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	28	25	11	3	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	440	481	560	1.041	120	611	25	7	446	199	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2019	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	314	281	59	12	3	10	23	93	5	9	8	210	282	381	662	171	271	30	7	292	81	-7	-1	—	—	+9	0.1
2019	24	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	97	79	8	3	0	0	12	23	4	5	0	101	253	139	392	38	138	24	12	203	14	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2021	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	394	343	85	26	2	18	34	117	13	12	5	248	338	493	831	245	316	30	9	362	135	+16	+0	—	—	+11	2.8
2021	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	76	67	18	4	1	2	9	22	0	3	0	269	355	448	803	179	372	29	12	357	132	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2021	26	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	80	64	16	1	1	3	11	24	4	2	1	250	392	438	830	188	342	30	14	371	142	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	61	58	7	1	0	3	1	21	1	1	0	121	150	293	443	172	114	34	2	191	5	-7	+0	+3	+2	+2	0.0
2022	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	423	376	89	21	1	15	37	125	8	23	2	237	318	418	736	181	311	30	9	328	109	+4	+4	—	—	+12	2.0
2023	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	381	340	93	17	1	10	36	99	5	23	8	274	352	418	769	144	359	26	9	346	123	+10	+1	—	—	+11	2.3
2024	29	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	378	322	64	15	3	5	45	104	9	25	5	199	314	311	624	112	274	28	12	290	80	-8	+3	—	—	+11	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	61	58	7	1	0	3	1	21	1	1	0	121	150	293	443	172	114	34	2	191	5	-7	+0	+3	+2	+2	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mark Contreras (OGILVIE)	31	29	35	65	48	205/275/306	101	289	4	11	30%	7%	62	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pete Orr 2010 · MLB	31	47→45	41→45	56→55	41	226/268/330	104	276	8	20	21%	4%	63	-0.8	225/268/334	109	275	8	22	21%	4%	65	-0.7	242/269/332	90	309	6	16	23%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Billy Hamilton 2022 · MLB	31	44→54	42→40	61→70	41	212/262/323	111	292	8	32	30%	6%	59	-1.1	191/251/285	94	294	8	32	35%	7%	46	-2.0	134/203/173	39	225	2	52	38%	8%	-6	-1.1
✕Wynton Bernard 2022 · AAA	31	40→50	41→45	60	40	199/249/301	103	264	8	27	28%	5%	48	-1.9	234/284/358	124	291	12	32	23%	6%	78	+0.2	241/291/361	120	296	11	37	22%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Trent Durrington 2007 · MLB	31	48→45	39→40	59→60	44	228/281/311	82	293	6	35	24%	6%	64	-0.8	221/280/306	85	284	6	26	23%	7%	63	-0.9	210/281/264	54	271	2	33	21%	8%	50	-0.7
✕Jack Reinheimer 2023 · AAA	31	46→51	40	55	41	222/271/314	93	299	8	20	28%	6%	61	-1.0	188/232/271	83	274	7	16	32%	5%	33	-2.9	144/183/194	50	198	3	12	28%	5%	-9	-1.3
✕Daniel Nunez 2013 · AAA	31	49→50	40→30	54→50	47	230/316/331	100	315	6	17	27%	8%	85	+0.7	239/308/321	82	302	6	12	22%	7%	79	+0.3	237/304/301	64	299	4	10	20%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Pedro Florimón 2017 · MLB	30	44→52	41→45	57→55	39	214/260/321	107	302	8	21	31%	6%	57	-1.2	218/275/338	120	328	12	9	35%	7%	69	-0.4	206/271/327	121	317	13	4	37%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Elliot Johnson 2015 · MLB	31	42→52	41→45	59→60	45	204/262/305	101	266	8	23	26%	7%	55	-1.4	211/268/332	121	279	11	13	27%	7%	65	-0.7	192/247/313	121	256	11	9	28%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Jeff Salazar 2012 · MLB	31	41→51	45→50	57→55	48	208/273/322	114	252	14	27	23%	8%	65	-0.7	209/267/322	113	265	13	16	25%	7%	62	-0.9	181/229/260	79	227	9	9	24%	5%	26	-1.3
✕Eric Patterson 2013 · MLB	30	41→51	42→50	57→60	47	203/271/310	107	266	9	22	26%	8%	60	-1.0	209/274/302	93	278	8	15	26%	8%	59	-1.1	167/228/191	24	226	0	8	24%	7%	7	-0.9
✕Quintin Berry 2016 · AAA	31	47→57	37→40	58→65	48	220/290/289	68	290	5	33	24%	8%	63	-0.8	216/276/288	72	305	6	32	29%	7%	56	-1.3	216/272/267	50	317	2	44	30%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Jason Repko 2012 · MLB	31	45→48	45→50	53→55	44	227/284/344	117	284	14	21	25%	6%	75	-0.0	216/277/342	126	282	13	14	27%	7%	71	-0.3	187/252/315	128	245	12	10	28%	6%	51	-0.6
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	43→45	54→50	41	184/246/294	109	250	11	13	30%	6%	46	-2.0	193/261/313	120	273	13	13	33%	6%	58	-1.2	153/230/258	105	221	12	16	35%	6%	28	-1.2
✕Kristopher Negrón 2017 · MLB	31	44→51	44→45	54→55	39	218/268/336	118	279	11	19	26%	4%	66	-0.6	221/277/342	121	311	13	15	31%	6%	72	-0.2	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Jack López 2023 · MLB	30	38→46	41→45	54→55	32	188/229/286	98	288	8	19	37%	4%	36	-2.7	205/248/324	119	296	13	15	34%	5%	54	-1.4	203/247/314	111	289	12	15	33%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Anthony Seratelli 2014 · AAA	31	47→49	45	57→55	48	230/299/351	121	288	13	22	24%	8%	83	+0.6	227/296/343	116	311	11	16	28%	8%	79	+0.3	216/293/321	104	315	9	14	32%	9%	70	-0.2
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43	45	57→55	47	207/296/332	126	302	13	28	33%	10%	78	+0.2	215/291/329	114	357	12	21	39%	9%	74	-0.1	187/265/256	69	364	8	20	46%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	46→53	41→45	58→65	44	222/275/316	94	285	9	39	25%	6%	63	-0.8	223/272/305	82	291	6	24	24%	6%	58	-1.2	221/267/269	48	296	1	23	24%	5%	43	-1.6
✕Juan Ciriaco 2015 · AAA	31	46→47	44→45	57→50	45	228/272/343	116	259	12	22	18%	6%	69	-0.4	222/254/319	97	270	8	18	20%	4%	54	-1.4	217/247/306	89	268	7	16	21%	4%	46	-0.8
✕Jeremy Owens 2007 · AA	30	41→37	47→45	54→55	34	204/251/332	128	317	15	20	39%	5%	58	-1.2	209/245/327	118	331	12	18	39%	4%	53	-1.5	217/246/330	113	357	9	21	40%	4%	50	-1.0