Carlos Correa — OGILVIE

Carlos CorreaSS Houston Astros

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 31 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs MLB H +4%HR -3% Svc 11.000 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 2.9 · 2027

wRC+†vL 140116vR 117

AVG/OBP/SLG.271 / .338 / .428

PA227

HR7

K%19

BB%9

xwOBA.357

Barrel%8.3%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

EYE

53↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.6peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 11.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

NTCDEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$22M	+1.7	$14M	-$8M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$20M	+2.9	$24M	+$3M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$20M	+2.3	$20M	-$0.5M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+1.7	$15M	-$10M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$20M	+1.1	$10M	-$10M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+0.5	$2M	-$13M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	—	—	—
Totals		$132M		$84M	-$48M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$48M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	17	ROK	2 teams	256	244	47	12	2	3	9	78	1	7	2	.193	.224	.295	.519	.102	.270	30	4	.223	29	-21	+1	+0	+3	+7	-1.0
2013	18	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	519	470	130	30	2	7	38	102	8	10	10	.277	.341	.394	.735	.117	.339	20	7	.326	108	+4	-2	+0	+6	+15	2.3
2014	19	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	293	259	74	14	5	5	26	63	5	20	4	.286	.362	.436	.798	.151	.356	22	9	.341	119	+6	+2	+0	+3	+8	2.1
2015	20	MLB	3 teams	678	611	168	39	4	29	58	130	2	32	5	.275	.340	.494	.834	.219	.303	19	9	.352	127	+21	+4	-2	+7	+19	5.1
2016	21	MLB	Houston Astros	660	577	160	37	3	20	75	139	5	13	3	.277	.365	.456	.821	.179	.333	21	11	.352	128	+21	+1	-8	+7	+19	4.0
2017	22	MLB	2 teams	497	436	139	26	1	24	54	97	2	2	1	.319	.396	.548	.945	.229	.359	20	11	.399	164	+36	+0	+0	+5	+14	5.7
2018	23	MLB	2 teams	486	419	99	22	1	15	54	118	2	3	0	.236	.326	.401	.727	.165	.283	24	11	.309	94	-3	+1	+17	+5	+14	3.4
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	345	302	84	19	1	20	37	81	2	1	0	.278	.361	.546	.907	.268	.312	23	11	.388	155	+22	+0	+10	+4	+10	4.6
2020	25	MLB	Houston Astros	221	201	54	9	0	5	16	49	3	0	0	.269	.332	.388	.720	.119	.331	22	7	.315	100	-0	+0	+5	+2	+6	1.4
2021	26	MLB	Houston Astros	640	555	153	34	0	25	75	116	4	0	0	.276	.366	.472	.838	.196	.305	18	12	.363	136	+26	+0	+13	+7	+18	6.5
2022	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	590	522	148	24	1	20	61	121	3	0	1	.284	.362	.448	.810	.165	.332	21	10	.355	130	+20	-0	+1	+6	+17	4.4
2023	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	580	514	121	29	2	20	59	131	4	0	0	.235	.319	.416	.735	.181	.276	23	10	.320	103	+2	+0	+2	+6	+16	2.8
2024	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	367	320	95	19	2	14	40	61	3	0	0	.297	.380	.500	.880	.203	.325	17	11	.369	141	+17	+0	+5	+4	+10	3.7
2025	30	MLB	Houston Astros	584	537	144	29	0	13	45	113	1	0	0	.268	.326	.395	.721	.127	.318	19	8	.323	105	+3	+0	+2	+6	+17	2.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	MLB	Houston Astros	101	88	25	6	0	1	12	17	0	1	0	.284	.370	.386	.756	.102	.338	17	12	.330	111	+1	+0	+2	+1	+3	0.8
ROS	31	MLB	HOU	126	113	31	7	0	3	12	24	0	1	0	.274	.344	.416	.760	.142	.320	19	10	.343	121	+3	+0	+1	+1	+4	0.9
TOT	31	MLB	HOU	227	201	56	13	0	4	24	41	0	2	0	.279	.356	.403	.759	.124	.329	18	11	.337	116	+4	+0	+3	+2	+6	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB	HOU	485	435	118	25	1	12	46	77	1	0	0	.271	.342	.416	.758	.145	.304	16	9	.338	117	+9	+0	-0	+5	+14	2.8
2028	33	MLB	HOU	455	408	110	23	1	11	43	75	1	0	0	.270	.341	.412	.752	.142	.302	16	9	.332	113	+6	+0	-1	+5	+13	2.4
2029	34	MLB	HOU	409	367	97	20	1	9	38	71	1	0	0	.264	.335	.398	.733	.134	.300	17	9	.326	107	+3	+0	-2	+4	+12	1.8
2030	35	MLB	HOU	354	317	82	17	1	7	33	65	1	0	0	.259	.330	.385	.715	.126	.298	18	9	.318	101	+1	+0	-3	+4	+10	1.1
2031	36	MLB	HOU	295	265	66	13	0	6	27	57	1	0	0	.249	.321	.366	.687	.117	.296	19	9	.308	94	-2	+0	-4	+3	+8	0.5
2032	37	MLB	HOU	232	209	50	10	0	4	21	47	0	0	0	.239	.309	.344	.653	.105	.292	20	9	.298	86	-4	+0	-5	+2	+7	0.0
2033	38	MLB	HOU	164	149	34	7	0	2	14	35	0	0	0	.228	.294	.315	.610	.087	.287	21	9	.287	78	-4	+0	-7	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9236	8230	2204	465	28	274	881	1850	50	89	26	.268	.342	.431	.773	.163	.313	20	10	.337	116	+167	+7	+23	+99	+262	57.0
/ 162G	—			650	579	155	33	2	19	62	130	4	6	2	.268	.343	.430	.773	.162	.313	20	10	.337	116	+12	+0	+2	+7	+18	4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	17	ROK	Greeneville Astros	204	190	49	14	2	3	12	44	1	6	1	.258	.305	.400	.705	.142	.322	22	6	.312	97	-1	+1	—	—	+6	0.6
2012	17	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	52	49	10	2	0	0	2	15	0	1	1	.204	.235	.245	.480	.041	.294	29	4	.215	23	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2013	18	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	519	450	144	33	3	9	58	83	8	10	10	.320	.407	.467	.874	.147	.375	16	11	.389	156	+33	-2	—	—	+15	4.6
2014	19	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	293	249	81	16	6	6	36	45	5	20	4	.325	.421	.510	.931	.185	.373	15	12	.408	170	+23	+2	—	—	+8	3.5
2015	20	MLB	Houston Astros	432	387	108	22	1	22	40	78	1	14	4	.279	.348	.512	.860	.233	.296	18	9	.373	144	+21	+1	-2	+7	+12	4.1
2015	20	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	113	98	27	6	1	3	12	14	0	3	1	.276	.355	.449	.804	.173	.286	12	11	.348	124	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2015	20	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	133	117	45	15	2	7	15	25	1	15	0	.385	.459	.726	1.185	.342	.447	19	11	.506	245	+22	+3	—	—	+4	2.9
2016	21	MLB	Houston Astros	660	577	158	36	3	20	75	139	5	13	3	.274	.362	.451	.813	.177	.328	21	11	.361	134	+26	+1	-8	+7	+19	4.6
2017	22	MLB	Houston Astros	481	422	133	25	1	24	53	92	2	2	1	.315	.394	.550	.944	.235	.352	19	11	.410	172	+39	+0	+0	+5	+14	6.0
2017	22	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	16	14	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	.286	.333	.286	.619	.000	.364	25	6	.270	65	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2018	23	MLB	Houston Astros	468	402	96	20	1	15	53	111	2	3	0	.239	.330	.405	.736	.167	.282	24	11	.323	106	+3	+1	+17	+5	+13	4.0
2018	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	18	16	3	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	.188	.278	.438	.715	.250	.200	28	11	.315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2019	24	MLB	Houston Astros	321	280	78	16	1	21	35	75	2	1	0	.279	.363	.568	.931	.289	.303	23	11	.399	163	+23	+0	+10	+4	+9	4.7
2019	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	24	21	7	3	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	.333	.417	.476	.893	.143	.438	21	12	.399	163	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2020	25	MLB	Houston Astros	221	201	53	9	0	5	16	49	3	0	0	.264	.327	.383	.710	.119	.324	22	7	.320	103	+1	+0	+5	+2	+6	1.4
2021	26	MLB	Houston Astros	640	555	155	34	1	26	75	116	4	0	0	.279	.369	.485	.854	.205	.308	18	12	.375	145	+32	+0	+13	+7	+18	7.2
2022	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	590	522	152	24	1	22	61	121	3	0	1	.291	.369	.467	.836	.176	.339	21	10	.369	141	+27	-0	+1	+6	+17	5.2
2023	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	580	514	118	29	2	18	59	131	4	0	0	.230	.314	.399	.713	.169	.272	23	10	.318	102	+1	+0	+2	+6	+16	2.7
2024	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	367	319	99	20	2	14	40	61	3	0	0	.310	.391	.517	.908	.207	.343	17	11	.396	161	+25	+0	+5	+4	+10	4.6
2025	30	MLB	Houston Astros	584	537	148	29	0	13	45	113	1	0	0	.276	.333	.402	.735	.127	.328	19	8	.329	110	+7	+0	+2	+6	+17	3.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			5344	4716	1298	264	13	200	552	1086	30	33	9	.275	.355	.464	.819	.189	.316	20	10	.360	134	+205	+3	+46	+61	+151	47.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Correa (OGILVIE)	31	60	45	45	50	.273/.344/.421	.148	.305	6	1	15%	9%	121	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dioner Navarro 2015 · MLB	31	54→61	47→50	46→45	50	.270/.320/.401	.131	.293	16	4	14%	7%	104	+2.0	.240/.297/.367	.127	.274	15	4	18%	7%	86	+0.8	.208/.275/.313	.105	.245	12	1	20%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Ryan Doumit 2012 · MLB	31	51→61	50→55	47→45	51	.259/.322/.417	.158	.289	18	4	18%	8%	110	+2.4	.255/.313/.420	.165	.292	18	2	19%	7%	107	+2.2	.246/.303/.405	.160	.283	18	1	20%	7%	92	+0.8
✕Gio Urshela 2023 · MLB	31	54→62	48→55	49→40	48	.269/.321/.416	.146	.315	16	3	20%	7%	108	+2.3	.266/.310/.383	.117	.312	12	4	18%	6%	95	+1.4	.260/.301/.356	.096	.305	8	2	17%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Logan Forsythe 2018 · MLB	31	53→57	48→50	43→50	55	.259/.349/.407	.148	.320	15	7	23%	11%	118	+3.0	.233/.324/.339	.106	.303	9	5	24%	11%	91	+1.1	.226/.316/.313	.087	.295	7	4	23%	11%	76	+0.0
●Marco Scutaro 2007 · MLB	31	53→62	45	50→45	54	.257/.318/.390	.133	.284	10	6	14%	8%	100	+1.7	.261/.338/.375	.114	.287	10	8	12%	10%	105	+2.1	.272/.348/.388	.116	.292	10	8	10%	10%	109	+2.4
●John Jaso 2016 · MLB	32	55→56	48→50	44→45	57	.269/.355/.424	.155	.314	14	5	18%	11%	125	+3.5	.253/.342/.418	.165	.296	16	4	19%	11%	118	+3.0	.242/.340/.409	.167	.282	16	1	19%	12%	111	+1.5
●Todd Walker 2004 · MLB	31	58→61	47→55	39→45	54	.286/.341/.431	.145	.304	13	4	11%	8%	121	+3.2	.279/.342/.435	.156	.293	15	3	10%	9%	122	+3.3	.279/.349/.433	.154	.290	15	1	10%	9%	118	+2.3
●José A. Martínez 2019 · MLB	31	57→67	51→55	45→50	51	.284/.341/.445	.161	.325	19	6	19%	8%	125	+3.5	.270/.337/.427	.157	.323	18	5	21%	9%	118	+3.0	.277/.349/.422	.146	.334	17	6	21%	10%	121	+2.1
✕Shea Hillenbrand 2007 · MLB	32	57→62	51→55	45→40	46	.287/.331/.450	.163	.301	18	4	12%	4%	122	+3.3	.255/.291/.385	.130	.275	15	4	14%	4%	88	+0.9	.243/.262/.321	.078	.264	9	0	12%	2%	54	-0.8
✕Jason Michaels 2007 · MLB	31	56→55	45→50	43→45	55	.272/.347/.398	.126	.320	11	8	18%	10%	115	+2.7	.253/.319/.388	.135	.298	13	7	19%	8%	101	+1.8	.240/.309/.382	.142	.283	15	5	20%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Aledmys Díaz 2022 · MLB	31	50→58	50→55	44→45	49	.252/.317/.410	.159	.282	17	4	18%	7%	106	+2.2	.234/.287/.370	.136	.267	15	4	18%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.279/.354	.126	.259	14	2	18%	5%	73	-0.1
●David Freese 2014 · MLB	31	55→58	49→55	40	51	.273/.346/.421	.148	.326	16	3	21%	9%	121	+3.2	.262/.333/.405	.143	.329	15	3	23%	8%	111	+2.5	.271/.359/.413	.142	.352	16	0	25%	10%	117	+2.1
✕Tommy La Stella 2021 · MLB	32	54→55	51→55	46→50	57	.274/.343/.435	.161	.274	19	4	9%	9%	123	+3.3	.248/.315/.394	.146	.264	15	3	12%	8%	101	+1.8	.236/.299/.365	.129	.257	13	0	14%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Michael McKenry 2016 · MLB	31	48→46	51→55	43→40	52	.243/.324/.407	.163	.293	18	7	23%	10%	108	+2.3	.212/.307/.346	.134	.289	13	6	29%	11%	85	+0.7	.181/.285/.291	.110	.257	10	2	31%	12%	61	-0.4
✕Daniel Nava 2014 · MLB	31	54→61	46→50	44→45	54	.261/.347/.394	.132	.308	13	5	19%	10%	115	+2.7	.254/.336/.359	.105	.312	10	6	20%	9%	101	+1.8	.249/.341/.329	.080	.310	6	4	20%	10%	93	+0.5
●Mark DeRosa 2007 · MLB	32	55→61	48→55	40	51	.271/.333/.419	.148	.311	14	5	18%	8%	115	+2.7	.280/.356/.441	.161	.325	16	4	18%	10%	130	+3.8	.272/.354/.438	.166	.312	19	3	18%	10%	125	+3.4
●Joe Randa 2001 · MLB	31	58→61	47→50	47→40	50	.287/.333/.423	.136	.301	14	7	11%	6%	115	+2.8	.272/.327/.411	.139	.292	13	4	12%	7%	110	+2.4	.279/.340/.431	.152	.303	14	0	13%	7%	117	+2.8
✕Juan Encarnacion 2007 · MLB	31	53→58	51→55	43→50	48	.268/.321/.432	.164	.295	18	7	16%	6%	113	+2.6	.260/.310/.413	.153	.288	17	7	16%	6%	103	+1.9	.253/.301/.395	.142	.281	15	4	15%	6%	93	+0.8
✕Mike Kinkade 2005 · MLB	32	50→60	50	42→45	49	.252/.353/.411	.160	.293	17	8	20%	7%	123	+3.3	.261/.332/.400	.139	.301	13	8	17%	5%	110	+2.4	.273/.341/.408	.135	.316	12	7	17%	4%	114	+1.9
✕Oscar Salazar 2010 · MLB	32	55→56	52→55	43→45	47	.278/.317/.454	.177	.301	19	5	15%	6%	118	+3.0	.248/.298/.385	.137	.279	15	8	17%	7%	91	+1.1	.214/.271/.305	.091	.252	11	7	20%	7%	55	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)