Aledmys Díaz — OGILVIE

Aledmys DíazSS Criollos de Caguas

Age 35 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs INTL H +4%HR -3% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.2 · 2026

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .285 / .337

PA226

HR4

K%20

BB%6

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

PWR

41→41

SPD

56→56

EYE

40→40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.2	$0.8M	-$0.2M
Totals		$1M		$0.8M	-$0.2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	23	AA	2 teams	179	163	40	9	1	4	7	46	4	7	2	.245	.293	.387	.680	.141	.313	26	4	.286	77	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2015	24	AA	3 teams	549	512	120	27	2	11	28	105	5	8	7	.234	.281	.359	.640	.125	.274	19	5	.282	74	-16	-1	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2016	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	460	404	120	28	3	17	41	60	7	4	4	.297	.372	.507	.879	.210	.309	13	9	.371	142	+22	-1	-5	+5	+13	3.5
2017	26	MLB	2 teams	488	459	110	23	1	11	20	80	4	7	4	.240	.277	.366	.643	.126	.266	16	4	.277	70	-16	-0	+1	+5	+14	0.4
2018	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	452	422	111	25	0	17	23	62	3	3	4	.263	.306	.443	.749	.180	.271	14	5	.323	105	+3	-1	+0	+5	+13	2.0
2019	28	MLB	2 teams	264	226	59	12	1	9	27	32	5	2	0	.261	.353	.442	.795	.181	.262	12	10	.340	119	+6	+0	+0	-5	+7	0.9
2020	29	MLB	Houston Astros	59	58	14	5	0	3	1	12	0	0	0	.241	.254	.483	.737	.241	.256	20	2	.320	103	+0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
2021	30	MLB	2 teams	336	308	78	19	0	8	19	66	9	0	1	.253	.315	.393	.708	.140	.299	20	6	.306	93	-3	-0	+6	+1	+10	1.4
2022	31	MLB	Houston Astros	327	305	72	13	0	12	18	53	2	1	1	.236	.283	.397	.680	.161	.248	16	6	.295	84	-6	-0	+2	-4	+9	0.2
2023	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	344	315	71	17	1	4	17	66	7	1	0	.225	.280	.324	.604	.098	.269	19	5	.266	61	-15	+0	-1	+4	+10	-0.3
2024	33	MLB	3 teams	82	76	10	1	0	1	5	17	0	0	0	.132	.185	.184	.369	.053	.153	21	6	.182	-3	-10	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.7
2025	34	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	49	44	6	1	0	0	5	6	0	1	0	.136	.224	.159	.384	.023	.158	12	10	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	35	MLB	HOU	226	207	47	10	1	4	14	45	3	2	1	.227	.286	.343	.629	.116	.272	20	6	.282	74	-7	+0	-0	+2	+6	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	36	MLB 7%	HOU	161	148	33	7	1	2	10	34	2	1	0	.223	.281	.324	.606	.101	.269	21	6	.273	67	-6	+0	-7	+2	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3976	3647	891	197	11	103	235	684	51	37	24	.244	.299	.389	.688	.145	.272	17	6	.297	85	-67	-2	-5	+25	+113	6.5
/ 162G	—			650	596	146	32	2	17	38	112	8	6	4	.245	.299	.391	.690	.146	.273	17	6	.297	85	-11	-0	-1	+4	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	125	117	34	8	1	3	2	24	2	6	2	.291	.314	.453	.767	.162	.341	19	2	.327	109	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2014	23	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	54	44	10	2	0	2	7	10	2	1	0	.227	.358	.409	.768	.182	.242	19	13	.343	121	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2015	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	58	50	19	3	0	3	6	5	1	0	1	.380	.456	.620	1.076	.240	.372	9	10	.462	211	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2015	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	409	375	99	25	2	10	29	62	4	6	5	.264	.324	.421	.745	.157	.294	15	7	.331	112	+5	-1	—	—	+12	1.6
2015	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	82	73	23	8	1	4	7	12	0	2	1	.315	.375	.616	.991	.301	.328	15	9	.416	177	+7	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2016	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	460	404	121	28	3	17	41	60	7	4	4	.300	.374	.510	.884	.210	.312	13	9	.383	151	+26	-1	-5	+5	+13	4.0
2017	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	301	286	74	17	0	7	13	42	0	4	1	.259	.291	.392	.683	.133	.282	14	4	.301	89	-4	+0	+1	+5	+9	1.2
2017	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	187	170	43	9	1	4	10	30	4	3	3	.253	.310	.388	.698	.135	.281	16	5	.308	94	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.4
2018	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	452	422	111	26	0	18	23	62	3	3	4	.263	.306	.453	.758	.190	.269	14	5	.331	112	+6	-1	+0	+5	+13	2.4
2019	28	MLB	Houston Astros	247	210	57	12	1	9	26	28	5	2	0	.271	.365	.467	.832	.195	.268	11	11	.361	135	+10	+0	+0	-5	+7	1.3
2019	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	.125	.176	.125	.301	.000	.154	18	6	.148	-29	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2020	29	MLB	Houston Astros	59	58	14	5	0	3	1	12	0	0	0	.241	.254	.483	.737	.241	.256	20	2	.318	102	+0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
2021	30	MLB	Houston Astros	319	294	76	19	0	8	16	62	9	0	1	.259	.317	.405	.721	.146	.304	19	5	.323	106	+2	-0	+6	+1	+9	1.8
2021	30	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	17	13	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	.154	.353	.154	.507	.000	.200	18	24	.271	65	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2022	31	MLB	Houston Astros	327	305	74	13	0	12	18	53	2	1	1	.243	.289	.403	.693	.161	.256	16	6	.306	92	-3	-0	+2	-4	+9	0.5
2023	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	344	315	72	20	1	4	17	66	7	1	0	.229	.283	.337	.620	.108	.273	19	5	.277	70	-12	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.1
2024	33	MLB	Houston Astros	34	33	3	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	.091	.118	.091	.209	.000	.125	26	3	.100	-65	-6	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.5
2024	33	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	32	26	4	1	0	1	6	5	0	0	0	.154	.312	.308	.620	.154	.150	16	19	.293	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	33	ROK	FCL Astros	16	15	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	.333	.333	.400	.733	.067	.333	6	0	.306	93	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	34	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	49	44	6	1	0	0	5	6	0	1	0	.136	.224	.159	.384	.023	.158	12	10	.190	3	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2543	2327	602	140	5	78	156	394	33	15	11	.259	.314	.424	.738	.165	.279	15	6	.325	107	+20	-1	+2	+13	+72	10.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aledmys Díaz (OGILVIE)	35	—	41	56	40	.226/.285/.337	.111	.272	4	2	20%	6%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Recker 2018 · MLB	34	42→48	47→50	49→45	44	.210/.284/.344	.134	.285	14	5	30%	8%	76	+0.0	.215/.278/.370	.155	.292	18	5	31%	7%	79	+0.3	.196/.261/.371	.175	.257	22	0	32%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Chad Moeller 2010 · MLB	35	44	42→50	43→30	43	.215/.267/.323	.107	.265	9	4	22%	6%	62	-0.9	.219/.274/.333	.114	.268	9	6	21%	6%	68	-0.5	.200/.257/.297	.097	.249	4	0	20%	5%	47	-0.4
✕Drew Butera 2019 · MLB	35	45	46→40	47→40	47	.224/.287/.351	.127	.274	13	4	23%	8%	78	+0.2	.204/.274/.319	.115	.273	11	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	.174/.252/.278	.105	.246	11	5	32%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Trinidad Robles 2008 · AAA	35	49	44→40	47→45	46	.241/.294/.360	.119	.288	12	10	21%	6%	83	+0.6	.219/.273/.304	.085	.272	7	7	21%	6%	59	-1.1	.220/.277/.248	.028	.287	0	0	21%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Francisco Cordoba 2019 · AAA	35	44→53	41→45	46→40	43	.215/.264/.306	.092	.259	9	5	21%	5%	56	-1.3	.226/.281/.395	.169	.250	24	5	21%	6%	88	+0.9	.214/.273/.396	.182	.222	28	0	20%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Eddie Pérez 2003 · MLB	35	46	41→50	48→30	45	.223/.272/.329	.106	.267	8	7	20%	6%	66	-0.6	.247/.290/.386	.139	.270	15	3	15%	5%	88	+0.9	.252/.293/.389	.137	.271	15	0	13%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Charlie Culberson 2023 · MLB	34	49→52	45	48→50	44	.241/.290/.371	.130	.302	12	13	24%	6%	84	+0.6	.225/.273/.339	.114	.313	12	12	30%	6%	69	-0.4	.176/.203/.217	.041	.286	5	14	39%	3%	7	-0.8
✕Iker Franco 2016 · AAA	35	49→47	41→50	47→40	48	.237/.290/.328	.091	.282	10	4	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.248/.302/.355	.107	.306	12	5	22%	7%	85	+0.7	.248/.301/.357	.109	.307	15	0	23%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Koyie Hill 2012 · MLB	33	45→43	40→45	50→40	46	.218/.280/.313	.095	.290	7	5	26%	8%	65	-0.7	.198/.247/.284	.086	.262	7	4	26%	6%	43	-2.2	.185/.233/.257	.072	.245	5	1	26%	6%	27	-1.4
✕Pedro Mere 2006 · AAA	36	46→49	43→40	46→40	45	.228/.272/.340	.112	.264	11	7	18%	5%	68	-0.5	.236/.283/.334	.098	.265	9	5	14%	5%	72	-0.2	.239/.289/.324	.085	.269	8	3	14%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2019 · AAA	35	48	39→40	50→55	42	.226/.283/.307	.081	.312	7	12	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.210/.258/.350	.140	.324	17	10	39%	6%	66	-0.6	.140/.178/.291	.151	.208	25	5	47%	4%	14	-0.8
✕Fernando Rios 2013 · AAA	34	49	41→40	49→50	47	.238/.287/.331	.094	.273	9	9	17%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.274/.321	.094	.265	9	10	18%	5%	64	-0.8	.232/.273/.270	.038	.262	3	4	12%	5%	48	-0.4
✕Gary Bennett 2007 · MLB	35	46	42→40	44→40	52	.225/.292/.326	.101	.256	10	4	16%	8%	74	-0.1	.235/.289/.351	.116	.255	12	6	13%	7%	79	+0.3	.242/.283/.323	.081	.259	7	4	9%	5%	63	-0.2
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2019 · MLB	35	40→44	42→45	44→40	44	.200/.262/.306	.106	.254	9	3	25%	6%	56	-1.3	.200/.266/.306	.106	.274	10	6	29%	6%	58	-1.2	.153/.231/.224	.071	.219	10	0	34%	6%	20	-0.8
✕José Yépez 2015 · AAA	34	46	38→40	46→30	46	.217/.274/.296	.079	.253	5	5	16%	5%	58	-1.2	.205/.250/.286	.081	.252	7	8	21%	5%	45	-2.1	.163/.198/.194	.031	.202	4	4	21%	4%	-2	-1.3
✕Mike DiFelice 2003 · MLB	34	44	45→50	45→30	46	.222/.280/.350	.128	.267	13	4	22%	7%	75	-0.0	.228/.289/.365	.137	.269	13	5	20%	7%	82	+0.5	.220/.284/.348	.129	.267	13	2	22%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Robinson Cancel 2011 · MLB	35	48	40→45	49→50	47	.229/.270/.324	.096	.254	7	13	14%	5%	63	-0.9	.249/.300/.355	.106	.299	10	15	19%	6%	83	+0.6	.263/.316/.366	.103	.317	10	16	20%	7%	89	+0.6
✕Sergio Palafox 2015 · AAA	35	48	38→40	49→45	43	.230/.268/.308	.078	.270	6	11	17%	4%	57	-1.2	.229/.272/.323	.094	.271	8	11	18%	5%	63	-0.8	.228/.269/.299	.071	.264	5	5	15%	4%	53	-0.2
✕Carlos Orrantia 2017 · AAA	35	49→55	39→45	43→55	42	.234/.276/.319	.085	.288	7	8	21%	5%	64	-0.8	.233/.270/.319	.086	.297	8	10	24%	5%	61	-1.0	.253/.281/.303	.050	.329	5	9	24%	4%	57	-0.5
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2016 · AAA	34	45	43→50	46→40	40	.222/.272/.332	.110	.300	12	5	29%	6%	66	-0.6	.216/.263/.315	.099	.304	10	5	31%	5%	58	-1.2	.195/.241/.294	.099	.274	12	2	33%	5%	40	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)