Aledmys Díaz — OGILVIE

Aledmys DíazSS Criollos de Caguas

Age 35 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs INTL HR +6% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 222 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .281 / .336

PA222

HR4

K%21

BB%6

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractPOW 41

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT—

Whiff%

5210.8%

xwOBA

320.287

POWER41

Barrel%

204.3

Avg EV

2587.2

Bat Spd

2768.9

EYE40

Chase%

2137.4%

SPEED56

Sprint

5227.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	23	AA	2 teams	—	179	163	41	9	1	5	7	47	4	7	2	252	299	411	710	160	319	26	4	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	2 teams	—	179	161	44	10	1	5	9	34	4	7	2	273	328	441	769	168	315	19	5	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA	3 teams	—	549	512	122	28	2	10	28	107	5	8	7	238	284	359	644	121	282	19	5	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA	3 teams	—	549	498	141	36	3	17	42	79	5	8	7	283	345	470	815	187	307	14	8	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	460	404	121	28	3	17	41	60	7	4	4	300	374	510	884	210	312	13	9	370	141	+22	-1	-5	+5	+13	3.5
2016	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	460	404	121	28	3	17	41	60	7	4	4	300	374	510	884	210	312	13	9	383	151	+26	-1	-5	+5	+13	4.0
2017	26	MLB	2 teams	—	488	459	110	24	1	10	20	80	4	7	4	240	277	362	639	122	268	16	4	276	70	-17	-0	+1	+5	+14	0.3
2017	26	MLB	2 teams	—	488	456	117	26	1	11	23	72	4	7	4	257	298	390	688	134	281	15	5	304	91	-5	-0	+1	+5	+14	1.5
2018	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	452	422	110	26	0	18	23	62	3	3	4	261	304	450	754	190	266	14	5	323	106	+3	-1	+0	+5	+13	2.0
2018	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	452	422	111	26	0	18	23	62	3	3	4	263	306	453	758	190	269	14	5	331	112	+6	-1	+0	+5	+13	2.4
2019	28	MLB	2 teams	—	264	226	57	11	1	8	27	32	5	2	0	252	345	416	761	164	255	12	10	332	112	+4	+0	+0	-5	+7	0.7
2019	28	MLB	2 teams	—	264	226	59	12	1	9	27	31	5	2	0	261	353	442	795	181	260	12	10	348	124	+7	+0	+0	-5	+7	1.1
2020	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	59	58	14	5	0	3	1	12	0	0	0	241	254	483	737	241	256	20	2	304	90	-1	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.0
2020	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	59	58	14	5	0	3	1	12	0	0	0	241	254	483	737	241	256	20	2	318	102	+0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
2021	30	MLB	2 teams	—	336	308	76	18	0	8	19	66	9	0	1	247	310	383	693	136	291	20	6	301	89	-4	-0	+6	+1	+10	1.2
2021	30	MLB	2 teams	—	336	307	78	19	0	8	20	65	9	0	1	254	318	394	713	140	299	19	6	321	104	+1	-0	+6	+1	+10	1.8
2022	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	327	305	72	12	0	11	18	53	2	1	1	236	283	384	667	148	251	16	6	295	84	-6	-0	+2	-4	+9	0.2
2022	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	327	305	74	13	0	12	18	53	2	1	1	243	289	403	693	161	256	16	6	306	92	-3	-0	+2	-4	+9	0.5
2023	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	344	315	73	21	1	4	17	66	7	1	0	232	286	343	629	111	277	19	5	275	68	-12	+0	-1	+4	+10	-0.0
2023	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	344	315	72	20	1	4	17	66	7	1	0	229	283	337	620	108	273	19	5	277	70	-12	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.1
2024	33	MLB	3 teams	—	82	75	10	1	0	1	6	17	0	0	0	133	198	187	384	53	155	21	7	183	-2	-9	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.7
2024	33	MLB	3 teams	—	82	74	12	2	0	1	7	15	0	0	0	162	235	230	464	68	186	18	9	216	23	-7	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.5
2025	34	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	49	44	6	1	0	0	5	6	0	1	0	136	224	159	384	23	158	12	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	49	44	6	1	0	0	5	6	0	1	0	136	224	159	384	23	158	12	10	190	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	35	MLB	HOU	—	222	203	46	10	1	4	14	46	3	3	1	227	286	345	631	118	272	21	6	279	72	-7	+0	-2	+2	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	36	MLB	HOU	100%	157	145	31	7	1	2	9	34	2	1	0	214	269	317	586	103	264	22	6	267	62	-7	+0	-7	+2	+4	-0.8
2027	36	MLB	HOU	100%	157	145	32	7	1	2	9	34	2	1	0	221	276	324	600	103	266	22	6	260	57	-8	+0	-7	+2	+4	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2700	2472	634	147	6	80	165	428	35	16	11	256	312	418	730	161	279	16	6	321	104	+12	-1	-6	+14	+76	9.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	152	35	1	19	40	103	8	4	3	255	311	413	724	158	278	16	6	321	104	+3	-0	-1	+3	+18	2.3
Career	—			—	3968	3639	889	201	11	101	235	688	51	38	24	244	299	389	688	145	273	17	6	296	85	-68	-2	-7	+25	+112	6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	146	33	2	17	38	113	8	6	4	245	299	393	691	148	274	17	6	296	85	-11	-0	-1	+4	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	125	117	34	8	1	3	2	24	2	6	2	291	314	453	767	162	341	19	2	327	109	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2014	23	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	54	44	10	2	0	2	7	10	2	1	0	227	358	409	768	182	242	19	13	343	121	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2015	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	58	50	19	3	0	3	6	5	1	0	1	380	456	620	1.076	240	372	9	10	462	211	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2015	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	409	375	99	25	2	10	29	62	4	6	5	264	324	421	745	157	294	15	7	331	112	+5	-1	—	—	+12	1.6
2015	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	82	73	23	8	1	4	7	12	0	2	1	315	375	616	991	301	328	15	9	416	177	+7	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2016	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	460	404	121	28	3	17	41	60	7	4	4	300	374	510	884	210	312	13	9	383	151	+26	-1	-5	+5	+13	4.0
2017	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	301	286	74	17	0	7	13	42	0	4	1	259	291	392	683	133	282	14	4	301	89	-4	+0	+1	+5	+9	1.2
2017	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	187	170	43	9	1	4	10	30	4	3	3	253	310	388	698	135	281	16	5	308	94	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.4
2018	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	452	422	111	26	0	18	23	62	3	3	4	263	306	453	758	190	269	14	5	331	112	+6	-1	+0	+5	+13	2.4
2019	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	247	210	57	12	1	9	26	28	5	2	0	271	365	467	832	195	268	11	11	361	135	+10	+0	+0	-5	+7	1.3
2019	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	176	125	301		154	18	6	148	-29	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2020	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	59	58	14	5	0	3	1	12	0	0	0	241	254	483	737	241	256	20	2	318	102	+0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
2021	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	319	294	76	19	0	8	16	62	9	0	1	259	317	405	721	146	304	19	5	323	106	+2	-0	+6	+1	+9	1.8
2021	30	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	154	353	154	507		200	18	24	271	65	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2022	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	327	305	74	13	0	12	18	53	2	1	1	243	289	403	693	161	256	16	6	306	92	-3	-0	+2	-4	+9	0.5
2023	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	344	315	72	20	1	4	17	66	7	1	0	229	283	337	620	108	273	19	5	277	70	-12	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.1
2024	33	MLB	Houston Astros	—	34	33	3	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	91	118	91	209		125	26	3	100	-65	-6	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.5
2024	33	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	32	26	4	1	0	1	6	5	0	0	0	154	312	308	620	154	150	16	19	293	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	33	ROK	FCL Astros	—	16	15	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	333	333	400	733	67	333	6	0	306	93	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	34	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	49	44	6	1	0	0	5	6	0	1	0	136	224	159	384	23	158	12	10	190	3	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2543	2327	602	140	5	78	156	394	33	15	11	259	314	424	738	165	279	15	6	325	107	+20	-1	+2	+13	+72	10.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Barrettlast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,358 PA	9	3,358	88	11	259	316	419	+31	+23	16.6	17.0
	/162	664	17	2	259	316	419	+6.0	+4.6	3.3	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	2,888	84	19	256	309	416	+30	+8	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	19	4	256	309	416	+6.9	+1.8	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Brandon Drurylast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,110 PA	9	3,110	109	5	246	298	425	+4	+2	9.5	10.6
	/162	664	23	1	246	298	425	+0.8	+0.5	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Josh Bardlast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,958 PA	9	1,958	38	1	252	318	381	+33	+24	10.4	10.5
#3Josh Bardlast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,958 PA	/162	664	13	0	252	318	381	+11.1	+8.0	3.5	pk7: 11
#4Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
	/162	664	21	1	241	303	410	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#5Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	7	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
	/162	664	19	7	254	303	396	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#6Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aledmys Díaz (OGILVIE)	35	—	41	56	40	223/281/336	112	272	4	3	21%	6%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trinidad Robles 2008 · AAA	35	49	44→40	46→45	46	240/294/359	119	286	12	10	20%	6%	82	+0.5	216/271/300	84	268	7	7	21%	6%	57	-1.2	220/277/248	28	287	0	0	21%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Mike DiFelice 2004 · MLB	35	48	45→50	48→30	47	234/291/366	131	274	11	5	19%	6%	83	+0.6	223/289/360	137	268	14	5	22%	7%	82	+0.5	217/280/328	111	281	13	1	26%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2019 · AAA	35	46	39→40	49→55	42	221/276/304	83	305	7	11	29%	6%	60	-1.0	209/256/348	139	330	17	10	40%	6%	64	-0.8	135/173/276	142	208	24	5	49%	4%	8	-0.8
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2018 · MLB	34	41→45	43→45	47→40	44	204/264/311	108	255	10	4	24%	6%	58	-1.2	196/264/298	102	261	9	4	27%	7%	55	-1.4	171/246/256	85	231	6	0	27%	7%	35	-0.9
✕Eddie Pérez 2003 · MLB	35	46	41→50	48→30	45	222/271/326	104	268	7	6	20%	6%	64	-0.8	246/290/387	141	269	15	3	15%	5%	88	+0.9	252/293/389	137	271	15	0	13%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Robinson Cancel 2011 · MLB	35	47	40→45	49→50	46	227/268/321	95	253	7	13	14%	5%	61	-1.0	252/301/362	110	304	11	15	20%	6%	86	+0.8	265/317/370	106	321	10	16	20%	7%	91	+0.7
✕Alberto Castillo 2004 · MLB	34	43	46→30	48→30	43	216/269/345	128	267	13	8	25%	6%	69	-0.4	237/313/348	111	278	9	6	17%	10%	88	+0.9	235/311/307	73	284	2	2	17%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Matt Treanor 2011 · MLB	35	44	43→40	42→40	51	218/294/320	102	251	11	5	18%	8%	73	-0.1	214/315/320	106	261	11	7	21%	11%	82	+0.5	195/317/276	82	246	8	5	22%	13%	69	-0.1
✕Mike Rivera 2012 · MLB	35	41	43→55	44→45	45	203/276/315	112	274	11	6	29%	8%	65	-0.7	216/275/322	106	293	11	7	29%	6%	66	-0.6	205/260/263	57	283	6	0	28%	4%	40	-0.6
✕Francisco Cordoba 2019 · AAA	35	44→53	41→45	46→40	43	216/264/311	94	262	10	6	22%	5%	57	-1.2	235/290/419	184	258	26	5	21%	6%	98	+1.6	225/285/426	200	231	31	0	20%	6%	96	+1.0
✕Fernando Rios 2013 · AAA	34	47	41→40	49→50	46	230/279/324	95	270	9	10	19%	6%	67	-0.5	228/275/324	96	269	9	10	18%	5%	65	-0.7	234/274/269	35	267	3	4	13%	4%	48	-0.4
✕José Molina 2010 · MLB	35	46	40→45	45	46	223/278/315	92	265	7	4	19%	6%	64	-0.8	241/302/369	128	288	14	6	21%	7%	89	+1.0	241/302/375	134	288	16	6	22%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jeff Mathis 2018 · MLB	35	46	43→50	51→45	42	223/277/337	115	301	10	5	28%	6%	69	-0.4	199/261/297	98	289	8	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	173/236/239	66	262	4	1	33%	8%	23	-1.4
✕Keith Osik 2003 · MLB	34	44	45→40	50	51	217/291/337	120	248	13	7	18%	8%	76	+0.1	226/302/322	96	271	8	5	18%	9%	77	+0.1	249/342/324	75	297	4	0	16%	11%	92	+0.6
✕Gary Bennett 2007 · MLB	35	46	42→40	43→40	52	225/291/327	101	256	10	4	17%	8%	73	-0.1	236/291/356	120	254	13	7	13%	7%	80	+0.4	242/283/323	81	259	7	4	9%	5%	63	-0.2
✕Charlie Culberson 2023 · MLB	34	48→49	45	47→50	44	238/287/366	127	298	12	13	24%	6%	81	+0.4	226/275/342	116	315	12	12	30%	6%	70	-0.3	182/208/225	43	295	5	14	39%	3%	11	-0.8
✕Pedro Mere 2006 · AAA	36	46→49	43→40	45→40	45	228/272/338	110	263	11	7	18%	5%	67	-0.5	237/284/334	97	267	9	5	14%	5%	72	-0.2	239/289/324	85	269	8	3	14%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Humberto Quintero 2015 · MLB	35	49	45	42→40	38	243/273/370	127	295	11	5	22%	3%	76	+0.1	234/265/339	105	294	11	7	24%	3%	65	-0.7	237/260/320	83	293	11	3	23%	2%	53	-0.8
✕Iker Franco 2016 · AAA	35	51→47	41→50	47→40	47	245/297/336	90	291	9	4	19%	7%	77	+0.1	255/307/363	108	314	12	5	22%	7%	89	+0.9	262/313/368	106	323	14	0	23%	7%	91	+0.3
✕Pete Kozma 2021 · MLB	33	44→47	45	50	46	217/270/340	124	250	12	8	19%	6%	68	-0.5	199/244/294	95	253	7	8	24%	5%	44	-2.1	178/221/256	78	228	5	6	24%	4%	21	-3.1