Otto Lopez — OGILVIE

Otto LopezSS Miami Marlins

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 2.634S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION410 act + 273 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 4160vR 110

AVG/OBP/SLG.271 / .317 / .401

PA273

HR6

SB11

K%15

BB%5

BABIP302

ISO130

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

906.3%

xwOBA

670.328

POWER45

Barrel%

376.5

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE45

Chase%

9023.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1138 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

360

778

—

wRC+

114

▶▶R

wOBA

254

334

▶▶R

ISO

086

138

▶▶R

BABIP

256

314

▶▶R

16.4%

15.0%

▶R

BB%

4.7%

7.2%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.634 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.2	$18M	+$18M
2027	Arb-2	$5M	+2.6	$19M	+$14M
2028	Arb-3	$9M	+2.3	$16M	+$9M
2029	Arb-4	$11M	+2.0	$13M	+$4M
Totals		$26M		$66M	+$45M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	203	185	40	4	2	1	12	33	5	7	3	216	282	276	558	59	258	16	6	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	203	178	49	6	3	1	19	23	5	7	3	275	361	360	721	84	312	11	9	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	34	33	8	3	1	0	0	7	1	1	0	242	265	394	659	152	308	21	0	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	34	33	12	5	2	0	0	5	1	1	0	364	382	636	1.019	273	429	15	0	439	194	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	2 teams	—	542	506	139	18	4	3	25	105	2	20	17	275	311	344	655	69	337	19	5	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	2 teams	—	542	492	158	21	5	5	39	72	2	20	17	321	373	415	788	93	364	13	7	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	66	59	15	4	0	0	6	10	1	3	1	254	333	322	655	68	306	15	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	66	59	15	4	0	0	6	10	1	3	1	254	333	322	655	68	306	15	9	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	3 teams	—	577	529	142	31	4	5	32	131	9	23	4	268	321	371	692	102	343	23	6	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	3 teams	—	577	516	157	34	4	6	45	100	9	23	4	304	370	421	791	116	363	17	8	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	—	501	455	130	22	6	4	32	93	6	17	7	286	341	387	728	101	349	19	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	—	501	439	126	25	6	3	48	74	6	17	7	287	365	392	757	105	337	15	10	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	440	413	94	9	6	3	21	89	3	16	4	228	270	300	570	73	282	20	5	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	440	405	109	14	8	4	29	68	3	16	4	269	323	373	695	104	313	15	7	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	483	450	128	28	1	8	27	83	2	20	5	284	328	404	732	120	332	17	6	323	106	+3	+2	+11	+2	+14	3.2
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	483	448	127	28	1	8	28	82	2	20	5	283	328	404	732	121	331	17	6	324	106	+3	+2	+11	+2	+14	3.3
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	594	544	139	22	0	16	44	82	3	15	6	256	315	384	699	129	274	14	7	307	93	-5	+1	+10	+6	+17	3.0
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	594	544	134	21	0	15	44	82	3	15	6	246	306	368	674	121	264	14	7	303	90	-7	+1	+10	+6	+17	2.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	MIA	—	410	380	127	26	6	9	20	58	4	17	3	334	374	505	879	171	370	14	5	378	147	+22	+2	+2	+4	+12	4.3
YTD	27	MLB	MIA	—	410	380	127	26	6	9	20	58	4	17	3	334	374	505	879	171	370	14	5	382	150	+23	+2	+2	+4	+12	4.5
ROS	27	MLB	MIA	100%	273	254	69	13	1	6	15	41	2	11	2	271	317	401	718	130	300	15	5	319	102	+1	+1	-0	+3	+8	1.3
ROS	27	MLB	MIA	100%	273	254	67	12	1	6	15	41	2	11	2	264	310	390	700	126	295	15	5	308	94	-2	+1	-0	+3	+8	1.0
FULL	27	MLB	MIA	—	683	634	194	38	7	15	35	99	6	28	5	306	348	459	807	153	340	14	5	350	126	+20	+4	+2	+7	+19	5.4
TOT	27	MLB	MIA	—	683	634	196	39	7	15	35	99	6	28	5	309	351	463	814	154	343	14	5	354	129	+23	+4	+2	+7	+19	5.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIA	100%	660	613	159	29	2	15	37	99	5	26	5	259	307	387	693	127	287	15	6	308	94	-4	+3	-1	+7	+19	2.4
2028	29	MLB	MIA	100%	656	609	157	29	2	14	37	100	5	24	5	258	306	381	687	123	286	15	6	307	93	-5	+3	-2	+7	+19	2.2
2029	30	MLB	MIA	100%	643	596	154	28	2	14	37	99	5	21	4	258	307	383	690	124	285	15	6	304	91	-7	+3	-2	+7	+18	1.9
2030	31	MLB	MIA	100%	630	584	148	27	1	13	36	99	5	18	3	253	302	370	672	116	283	16	6	300	88	-9	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.5
2031	32	MLB	MIA	100%	618	574	143	26	1	12	35	100	4	15	3	249	297	361	658	111	280	16	6	294	83	-12	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.1
2032	33	MLB	MIA	100%	533	494	120	21	1	10	30	89	4	10	2	243	292	350	642	107	276	17	6	286	77	-14	+1	-4	+6	+15	0.4
2033	34	MLB	MIA	96%	450	419	101	17	1	8	25	78	3	6	1	241	289	344	632	103	275	17	6	281	73	-14	+1	-5	+5	+13	-0.0
2034	35	MLB	MIA	91%	380	354	83	13	1	6	21	69	2	4	1	234	281	328	609	93	271	18	6	272	67	-14	+0	-6	+4	+11	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	MIA	100%	660	613	157	29	2	14	37	99	5	26	5	256	304	378	682	122	282	15	6	298	86	-10	+3	-1	+7	+19	1.8
2028	29	MLB	MIA	100%	656	609	155	28	2	14	37	100	5	24	5	255	303	376	679	122	281	15	6	296	85	-11	+3	-2	+7	+19	1.6
2029	30	MLB	MIA	100%	643	596	150	27	2	13	37	99	5	21	4	252	301	369	670	117	280	15	6	294	83	-12	+3	-2	+7	+18	1.3
2030	31	MLB	MIA	100%	630	584	145	26	1	13	36	99	5	18	3	248	298	363	661	115	278	16	6	290	80	-14	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.0
2031	32	MLB	MIA	100%	618	574	140	25	1	12	35	100	4	15	3	244	292	354	646	110	275	16	6	284	75	-17	+2	-4	+7	+18	0.5
2032	33	MLB	MIA	100%	533	494	118	20	1	10	30	89	4	10	2	239	288	344	632	105	271	17	6	277	70	-18	+1	-4	+6	+15	-0.0
2033	34	MLB	MIA	96%	430	400	95	16	1	7	24	74	3	6	1	237	286	335	621	98	271	17	6	272	66	-16	+1	-5	+5	+12	-0.4
2034	35	MLB	MIA	91%	346	322	74	12	1	5	19	63	2	3	1	230	277	320	597	90	267	18	5	264	60	-16	+0	-5	+4	+10	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5817	5393	1344	239	13	115	339	921	39	169	36	249	298	362	661	113	280	16	6	291	81	-128	+19	-5	+59	+165	11.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	150	27	1	13	38	103	4	19	4	249	298	362	659	113	280	16	6	291	81	-14	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	8283	7671	1969	344	36	138	472	1407	67	257	73	257	305	365	670	108	297	17	6	294	83	-156	+22	-7	+85	+235	18.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	155	27	3	11	37	110	5	20	6	257	305	367	673	110	298	17	6	294	83	-12	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	203	178	49	6	3	1	19	23	5	7	3	275	361	360	721	84	312	11	9	329	110	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	34	33	12	5	2	0	0	5	1	1	0	364	382	636	1.019	273	429	15	0	439	194	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2019	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	492	447	145	20	5	5	34	63	2	20	15	324	375	425	800	101	365	13	7	352	128	+16	-2	—	—	+14	2.8
2019	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	50	45	13	1	0	0	5	9	0	0	2	289	360	311	671	22	361	18	10	313	97	-0	-1	—	—	+1	0.0
2020	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	66	59	15	4	0	0	6	10	1	3	1	254	333	322	655	68	306	15	9	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	194	173	50	8	3	2	13	26	4	15	1	289	353	405	757	116	324	13	7	334	114	+3	+3	—	—	+5	1.1
2021	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	314	278	92	24	1	3	28	62	5	7	3	331	402	457	859	126	412	20	9	382	150	+18	+0	—	—	+9	2.7
2021	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	69	65	15	2	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	231	275	308	583	77	269	17	6	265	61	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	391	340	101	19	6	3	41	61	5	14	5	297	381	415	796	118	351	16	10	355	130	+13	+1	—	—	+11	2.5
2022	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	50	136	50	186		62	18	9	105	-62	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	23	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	88	79	24	6	0	0	5	9	1	3	2	304	353	380	733	76	343	10	6	321	104	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	346	318	82	9	6	2	23	55	3	13	4	258	314	343	657	85	305	16	7	296	85	-6	+1	—	—	+10	0.5
2023	24	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	94	87	27	5	2	2	6	13	0	3	0	310	355	483	838	172	342	14	6	365	137	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	434	403	109	23	1	6	25	75	1	20	4	270	314	377	691	107	318	17	6	307	93	-3	+2	+11	+2	+12	2.5
2024	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	49	45	18	5	0	2	3	7	1	0	1	400	449	644	1.093	244	444	14	6	477	223	+7	-0	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	594	544	134	21	0	15	44	82	3	15	6	246	306	368	674	121	264	14	7	303	90	-7	+1	+10	+6	+17	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1028	947	243	44	1	21	69	157	4	35	10	257	310	372	681	115	287	15	7	305	91	-10	+3	+21	+8	+29	5.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Orlando Cabreralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 7,543 PA	12	7,543	112	207	273	318	388	+48	+79	34.1	32.1
	/162	664	10	18	273	318	388	+4.2	+7.0	3.0	pk7: 30
#2Alexei Ramirezlast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 5,505 PA	9	5,505	115	143	270	307	392	+55	+70	25.4	25.0
	/162	664	14	17	270	307	392	+6.7	+8.5	3.1	pk7: 25
#3Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	6,620	136	201	260	305	380	+65	+76	20.1	18.5
	/162	664	14	20	260	305	380	+6.6	+7.7	2.0	pk7: 17
#4Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#5Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Cristian Guzmanlast yr '10 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,329 PA	10	5,329	61	116	275	311	392	+23	+24	16.8	16.7
	/162	664	8	14	275	311	392	+2.9	+3.0	2.1	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Otto Lopez (OGILVIE)	27	60	45	60	45	309/351/463	154	343	15	28	14%	5%	129	+5.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Berroa 2004 · MLB	27	54→56	48→55	56→50	46	270/325/423	153	301	15	18	16%	5%	112	+2.6	259/302/382	123	296	11	12	16%	4%	92	+1.2	254/297/421	167	303	20	5	23%	4%	99	+1.0
●Jean Segura 2017 · MLB	27	58→63	46→50	56→60	45	283/325/416	133	316	12	25	15%	5%	110	+2.4	296/340/431	135	329	12	20	13%	5%	120	+3.1	294/338/421	127	323	11	17	12%	5%	113	+2.7
✕Amed Rosario 2023 · MLB	27	57→60	45→50	56→55	43	276/311/402	126	323	11	14	18%	4%	100	+1.7	271/307/392	121	324	9	16	19%	5%	96	+1.5	271/307/388	117	325	8	16	19%	4%	93	+0.7
●Josh Harrison 2015 · MLB	28	59→64	48→55	55	44	289/326/452	163	325	13	20	16%	4%	120	+3.1	281/322/410	129	323	10	17	16%	4%	107	+2.2	276/323/397	121	317	9	16	16%	4%	102	+1.6
✕Desmond Jennings 2014 · MLB	27	49→59	49→50	57→60	53	246/323/405	159	288	16	24	20%	10%	107	+2.2	235/308/375	140	281	14	16	20%	9%	93	+1.3	225/299/356	131	269	13	15	21%	9%	82	+0.3
●Rafael Furcal 2005 · MLB	27	57→63	46→50	57→60	55	279/339/416	137	300	12	23	12%	8%	115	+2.8	282/347/417	135	309	11	29	12%	9%	119	+3.1	282/349/406	124	310	10	31	12%	9%	113	+3.0
✕Hernán Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	51→55	50→55	55	43	260/295/410	150	298	18	21	20%	5%	96	+1.5	243/287/397	154	298	19	16	24%	6%	90	+1.0	239/283/364	126	302	16	24	26%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Victor Reyes 2022 · MLB	27	57→58	47→50	54→55	42	278/317/424	146	341	13	17	22%	5%	108	+2.3	256/296/390	134	329	12	8	25%	5%	91	+1.1	254/291/381	127	329	12	4	26%	4%	84	+0.5
✕Tommy Edman 2021 · MLB	26	54→57	47→50	56→55	45	264/314/407	143	311	14	17	20%	6%	103	+1.9	259/312/396	137	296	12	25	16%	6%	100	+1.7	257/312/392	135	291	12	29	16%	6%	96	+1.5
✕Elvis Andrus 2018 · MLB	29	58→61	47→50	53→60	50	284/333/432	148	311	13	22	14%	7%	118	+3.0	263/310/391	128	296	12	19	15%	6%	98	+1.6	247/300/359	112	282	10	17	16%	6%	82	+0.4
●Cameron Maybin 2013 · MLB	26	53→60	44→50	59→55	49	256/317/382	126	313	11	29	21%	8%	98	+1.6	244/305/363	119	295	11	21	20%	8%	88	+0.9	259/332/373	114	311	10	30	19%	9%	99	+1.4
●Kevin Pillar 2016 · MLB	27	55→60	45→55	54→55	44	272/306/403	131	305	12	22	16%	4%	98	+1.6	259/298/394	135	293	12	16	16%	5%	93	+1.3	256/292/423	167	279	18	14	16%	4%	96	+1.5
●Ian Desmond 2013 · MLB	27	54→61	50→60	53→55	44	270/314/431	161	317	17	21	21%	6%	110	+2.4	264/316/436	172	328	20	19	25%	7%	112	+2.6	253/310/418	165	322	19	18	26%	7%	103	+2.1
●Coco Crisp 2007 · MLB	27	56→59	47→50	52→65	51	277/325/419	143	302	14	20	14%	7%	111	+2.5	262/326/387	125	296	10	26	14%	9%	102	+1.9	256/335/413	157	270	16	29	12%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Jose Aguilar 2016 · AAA	26	56→61	44→45	51→55	49	273/331/398	125	302	11	16	14%	6%	108	+2.3	250/304/361	111	291	11	19	17%	6%	88	+0.9	256/316/361	105	306	8	23	18%	6%	89	+0.6
●Thairo Estrada 2023 · MLB	27	54→59	51→55	51→55	48	271/331/433	163	301	19	18	17%	6%	118	+3.0	259/304/404	145	304	16	15	20%	5%	98	+1.6	254/293/388	134	301	15	14	21%	4%	87	+0.6
✕Erick Aybar 2012 · MLB	28	56→64	43→50	57→60	49	270/317/389	119	296	9	23	12%	6%	99	+1.7	275/313/396	121	300	9	18	11%	5%	99	+1.7	276/314/389	113	299	7	16	10%	5%	94	+1.3
●Ryan Theriot 2007 · MLB	27	59→65	39→40	58→55	51	276/328/371	95	310	4	25	12%	7%	98	+1.6	278/341/357	79	310	4	23	11%	9%	101	+1.8	281/348/351	71	312	3	22	10%	9%	100	+1.8
✕Alex Presley 2012 · MLB	27	57→63	46→50	55	44	279/318/420	141	330	11	19	19%	5%	108	+2.3	263/308/395	132	312	12	17	19%	6%	97	+1.5	255/302/378	123	301	12	15	19%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Fernando Rios 2006 · AAA	27	55	45→40	55→50	48	270/316/393	123	282	13	15	10%	5%	101	+1.8	251/304/351	100	287	8	13	15%	6%	85	+0.7	246/304/323	77	286	4	8	15%	7%	75	-0.0