Otto Lopez
SS Miami Marlins| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAAMIA | 49 | .400/.449/.644 | 2 | 0 | 155 | — | .348/.388/.565 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBMIA | 434 | .270/.314/.377 | 6 | 20 | 101 | 2.6 | |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBMIA | 594 | .246/.306/.368 | 15 | 15 | 96 | 2.7 | |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBMIA | 687 | .305/.355/.437 | 11 | 34 | 129 | 5.4 | |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBMIA | 614 | .278/.330/.405 | 12 | 28 | 114 | 3.6 | |
| 2028PROJ | 29 | MLBMIA | 614 | .275/.327/.400 | 12 | 24 | 112 | 3.2 | |
| 2029PROJ | 30 | MLBMIA | 614 | .273/.324/.393 | 11 | 20 | 109 | 2.8 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 203 | 178 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 275 | 361 | 360 | 721 | 84 | 312 | 11 | 9 | 329 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 34 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 364 | 382 | 636 | 1.019 | 273 | 429 | 15 | 0 | 439 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 492 | 447 | 145 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 63 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 324 | 375 | 425 | 800 | 101 | 365 | 13 | 7 | 352 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 50 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 289 | 360 | 311 | 671 | 22 | 361 | 18 | 10 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 66 | 59 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 333 | 322 | 655 | 68 | 306 | 15 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 194 | 173 | 50 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 289 | 353 | 405 | 757 | 116 | 324 | 13 | 7 | 334 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 314 | 278 | 92 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 62 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 331 | 402 | 457 | 859 | 126 | 412 | 20 | 9 | 382 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 69 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 275 | 308 | 583 | 77 | 269 | 17 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 391 | 340 | 101 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 61 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 297 | 381 | 415 | 796 | 118 | 351 | 16 | 10 | 355 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 22 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 136 | 50 | 186 | 62 | 18 | 9 | 105 | -63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 88 | 79 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 304 | 353 | 380 | 733 | 76 | 343 | 10 | 6 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 346 | 318 | 82 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 55 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 258 | 314 | 343 | 657 | 85 | 305 | 16 | 7 | 296 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 94 | 87 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 310 | 355 | 483 | 838 | 172 | 342 | 14 | 6 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 434 | 403 | 109 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 270 | 314 | 377 | 691 | 107 | 318 | 17 | 6 | 307 | 101 | +1 | +2 | +11 | +2 | +9 | 2.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 49 | 45 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 400 | 449 | 644 | 1.093 | 244 | 444 | 14 | 6 | 477 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 594 | 544 | 134 | 21 | 0 | 15 | 44 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 246 | 306 | 368 | 674 | 121 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 303 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +10 | +6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 687 | 627 | 191 | 32 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 89 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 305 | 355 | 437 | 792 | 132 | 335 | 13 | 6 | 348 | 129 | +23 | +5 | +2 | +7 | +15 | 5.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1715 | 1574 | 434 | 76 | 10 | 32 | 109 | 246 | 13 | 69 | 15 | 276 | 328 | 398 | 725 | 122 | 306 | 14 | 6 | 322 | 104 | +8 | +8 | +24 | +15 | +37 | 9.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 203 | 185 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 216 | 282 | 276 | 558 | 59 | 261 | 16 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 34 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 265 | 394 | 659 | 152 | 333 | 21 | 0 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 492 | 457 | 127 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 90 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 278 | 317 | 357 | 673 | 79 | 326 | 18 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 194 | 177 | 47 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 266 | 316 | 362 | 677 | 96 | 300 | 16 | 5 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 314 | 286 | 87 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 76 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 304 | 360 | 406 | 766 | 101 | 398 | 24 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 391 | 354 | 106 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 72 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 299 | 358 | 401 | 759 | 102 | 360 | 18 | 7 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 22 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 91 | 48 | 139 | 56 | 23 | 5 | 75 | -63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 346 | 324 | 78 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 68 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 241 | 285 | 315 | 600 | 74 | 296 | 20 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 434 | 404 | 112 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 277 | 321 | 389 | 710 | 111 | 318 | 17 | 6 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +2 | +11 | +2 | +9 | 2.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 49 | 46 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 348 | 388 | 565 | 953 | 217 | 400 | 16 | 4 | 397 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 594 | 546 | 138 | 23 | 0 | 16 | 42 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 253 | 310 | 383 | 692 | 130 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 309 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +10 | +6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 687 | 628 | 198 | 35 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 89 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 315 | 364 | 460 | 824 | 145 | 335 | 13 | 6 | 358 | 129 | +23 | +5 | +2 | +7 | +15 | 5.4 |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 203 | 185 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 216 | 282 | 276 | 558 | 59 | 258 | 16 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 203 | 178 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 275 | 361 | 360 | 721 | 84 | 312 | 11 | 9 | 329 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 34 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 265 | 394 | 659 | 152 | 308 | 21 | 0 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 34 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 364 | 382 | 636 | 1.019 | 273 | 429 | 15 | 0 | 439 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 505 | 140 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 99 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 277 | 315 | 356 | 672 | 79 | 334 | 18 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 542 | 492 | 158 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 72 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 321 | 373 | 415 | 788 | 93 | 364 | 13 | 7 | 349 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 66 | 59 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 333 | 322 | 655 | 68 | 306 | 15 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 66 | 59 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 333 | 322 | 655 | 68 | 306 | 15 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 577 | 529 | 152 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 123 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 287 | 339 | 388 | 726 | 100 | 363 | 21 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 577 | 516 | 157 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 45 | 100 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 304 | 370 | 421 | 791 | 116 | 363 | 17 | 8 | 352 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 501 | 452 | 130 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 94 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 288 | 347 | 387 | 734 | 100 | 355 | 19 | 7 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 501 | 439 | 126 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 74 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 287 | 365 | 392 | 757 | 105 | 337 | 15 | 10 | 338 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 413 | 100 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 86 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 284 | 315 | 599 | 73 | 300 | 20 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 440 | 405 | 109 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 68 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 269 | 323 | 373 | 695 | 104 | 313 | 15 | 7 | 311 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 450 | 128 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 83 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 284 | 328 | 407 | 734 | 122 | 332 | 17 | 6 | 326 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +11 | +2 | +10 | 3.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 448 | 127 | 28 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 82 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 283 | 328 | 404 | 732 | 121 | 331 | 17 | 6 | 324 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +11 | +2 | +10 | 3.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 594 | 546 | 138 | 23 | 0 | 16 | 42 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 253 | 310 | 383 | 692 | 130 | 271 | 14 | 7 | 309 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +10 | +6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 594 | 544 | 134 | 21 | 0 | 15 | 44 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 246 | 306 | 368 | 674 | 121 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 303 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +10 | +6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 687 | 628 | 198 | 35 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 89 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 315 | 364 | 460 | 824 | 145 | 346 | 13 | 6 | 358 | 129 | +23 | +5 | +2 | +7 | +15 | 5.4 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 687 | 627 | 191 | 32 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 89 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 305 | 355 | 437 | 792 | 132 | 335 | 13 | 6 | 348 | 129 | +23 | +5 | +2 | +7 | +15 | 5.4 |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 203 | 184 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 217 | 282 | 277 | 559 | 60 | 261 | 16 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 34 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 265 | 394 | 659 | 152 | 333 | 21 | 0 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 509 | 140 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 99 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 275 | 315 | 354 | 669 | 79 | 326 | 18 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 577 | 531 | 152 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 123 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 286 | 339 | 386 | 725 | 100 | 361 | 21 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 501 | 455 | 130 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 94 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 286 | 347 | 385 | 731 | 99 | 344 | 19 | 7 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 413 | 100 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 86 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 284 | 315 | 599 | 73 | 296 | 20 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 451 | 128 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 83 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 284 | 328 | 406 | 734 | 122 | 326 | 17 | 6 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 594 | 544 | 138 | 23 | 0 | 16 | 42 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 254 | 310 | 384 | 694 | 131 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 309 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 687 | 634 | 198 | 35 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 89 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 312 | 364 | 456 | 820 | 144 | 335 | 13 | 6 | 358 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 451 | 128 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 83 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 284 | 328 | 406 | 734 | 122 | 326 | 17 | 6 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 594 | 544 | 138 | 23 | 0 | 16 | 42 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 254 | 310 | 384 | 694 | 131 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 309 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 687 | 634 | 198 | 35 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 89 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 312 | 364 | 456 | 820 | 144 | 335 | 13 | 6 | 358 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 100% | 607 | 559 | 161 | 27 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 83 | 6 | 28 | 6 | 287 | 338 | 423 | 762 | 137 | 315 | 14 | 6 | 337 | 114 | +10 | +3 | +1 | +7 | +13 | 3.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 100% | 614 | 564 | 157 | 25 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 84 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 278 | 330 | 405 | 735 | 128 | 306 | 14 | 6 | 327 | 114 | +10 | +3 | +1 | +7 | +13 | 3.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 100% | 614 | 566 | 161 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 86 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 284 | 336 | 417 | 753 | 133 | 315 | 14 | 6 | 334 | 112 | +9 | +3 | -0 | +7 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 100% | 614 | 566 | 159 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 88 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 281 | 332 | 410 | 742 | 128 | 313 | 14 | 6 | 329 | 109 | +7 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIA | 100% | 613 | 566 | 157 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 90 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 277 | 327 | 400 | 727 | 123 | 310 | 15 | 6 | 323 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +13 | 2.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIA | 100% | 590 | 546 | 148 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 90 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 271 | 320 | 387 | 707 | 116 | 307 | 15 | 6 | 315 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIA | 100% | 506 | 468 | 123 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 264 | 312 | 371 | 683 | 107 | 302 | 16 | 6 | 305 | 92 | -5 | -0 | -3 | +5 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB MLE | MIA | 100% | 448 | 417 | 107 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 302 | 352 | 654 | 97 | 295 | 17 | 6 | 293 | 84 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 100% | 614 | 566 | 155 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 86 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 327 | 400 | 727 | 124 | 305 | 14 | 6 | 323 | 112 | +9 | +3 | -0 | +7 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 100% | 614 | 566 | 154 | 24 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 88 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 273 | 324 | 393 | 717 | 120 | 304 | 14 | 6 | 319 | 109 | +7 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIA | 100% | 613 | 566 | 152 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 90 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 268 | 319 | 383 | 702 | 115 | 301 | 15 | 6 | 313 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +13 | 2.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIA | 100% | 590 | 546 | 144 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 90 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 263 | 313 | 371 | 683 | 108 | 297 | 15 | 6 | 305 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIA | 100% | 506 | 468 | 120 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 256 | 305 | 356 | 661 | 100 | 293 | 16 | 6 | 296 | 92 | -5 | -0 | -3 | +5 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB CTX | MIA | 100% | 448 | 417 | 103 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 295 | 338 | 633 | 91 | 286 | 17 | 6 | 284 | 84 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 5100 | 4703 | 1262 | 202 | 37 | 87 | 307 | 754 | 43 | 140 | 35 | 268 | 319 | 383 | 701 | 114 | 302 | 15 | 6 | 313 | 99 | +13 | +14 | +12 | +52 | +110 | 20.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 161 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 96 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 269 | 318 | 384 | 702 | 115 | 302 | 15 | 6 | 313 | 99 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +7 | +14 | 2.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8126 | 7493 | 2066 | 346 | 74 | 121 | 476 | 1298 | 78 | 255 | 78 | 276 | 326 | 390 | 716 | 114 | 317 | 16 | 6 | 314 | 99 | +24 | +17 | +13 | +58 | +124 | 24.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 166 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 104 | 6 | 20 | 6 | 277 | 326 | 394 | 720 | 117 | 319 | 16 | 6 | 314 | 99 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +7 | +14 | 2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 49 PAwOBA .463 → .397 (−66)K% 14.3% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.12% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.95% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 26.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.16% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 11.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.925 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.05% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .463 → .397; ISO .244 → .197; BABIP .444 → .400. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAABuffalo Bisons · 346 PAwOBA .289 → .262 (−27)K% 15.9% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.90% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.65% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.71% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 24.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.42% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 2.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.28% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 2.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.916 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .262; ISO .085 → .073; BABIP .305 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAABuffalo Bisons · 391 PAwOBA .347 → .334 (−13)K% 15.6% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.60% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.97% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.16% | ÷0.960 | ×0.930 | ×1.046 | ×1.048 | 27.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.81% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×1.048 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.149 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×1.048 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.951 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.83% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .347 → .334; ISO .118 → .108; BABIP .351 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADunedin Blue Jays · 22 PAwOBA .103 → .075 (−28)K% 18.2% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 5.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .103 → .075; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .062 → .056. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 314 PAwOBA .374 → .340 (−35)K% 19.7% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.75% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.60% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.63% | ÷1.022 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 29.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.039 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 10.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.14% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .374 → .340; ISO .126 → .111; BABIP .412 → .398. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAABuffalo Bisons · 194 PAwOBA .328 → .294 (−35)K% 13.4% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.40% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.19% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.17% | ÷1.071 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×1.050 | 23.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.44% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.050 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.050 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.36% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.93% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .328 → .294; ISO .116 → .098; BABIP .324 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ALansing Lugnuts · 492 PAwOBA .347 → .291 (−56)K% 12.8% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.80% | ÷0.950 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.91% | ÷1.016 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.95% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 27.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 4.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.050 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.113 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.95% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 94, 2B 96, 3B 110, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .347 → .291; ISO .101 → .078; BABIP .365 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKBluefield Blue Jays · 34 PAwOBA .426 → .306 (−120)K% 14.7% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.995 | 14.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 13.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 5.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .426 → .306; ISO .273 → .188; BABIP .429 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .