Nico Hoerner — OGILVIE

Nico Hoerner2B Chicago Cubs

Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB Svc 6.081 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION420 act + 280 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 151134vR 92

AVG/OBP/SLG.277 / .342 / .372

PA280

HR3

SB11

K%9

BB%8

BABIP295

ISO95

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

903.8%

xwOBA

600.320

POWER35

Barrel%

101.5

Avg EV

1186.2

Bat Spd

1867.9

EYE45

Chase%

7626.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1413 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

333

1080

—

wRC+

157

◀◀L

wOBA

390

306

◀◀L

ISO

149

091

◀◀L

BABIP

366

285

◀◀L

8.1%

9.3%

◀L

BB%

4.5%

7.1%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 6.081 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

NTCDEF 20%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$5M	+0.9	$4M	-$1M
Totals		$5M		$4M	-$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	INTL	3 teams	—	126	111	32	6	3	4	11	5	3	3	1	288	368	505	873	216	272	4	9	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	INTL	3 teams	—	126	116	39	6	5	2	6	17	3	3	1	336	384	526	910	190	378	13	5	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	3 teams	—	397	374	90	15	4	5	17	55	4	8	4	241	281	342	623	102	269	14	4	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	3 teams	—	397	366	106	18	4	6	25	43	4	8	4	290	342	410	752	120	313	11	6	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	126	109	24	4	0	0	12	24	3	3	2	220	315	257	571	37	276	19	10	264	60	-6	-0	+5	+0	+4	0.4
2020	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	126	108	24	4	0	0	12	24	3	3	2	222	315	259	574	37	279	19	10	268	64	-5	-0	+5	+0	+4	0.4
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	—	198	175	51	11	0	0	17	32	5	5	3	291	371	354	725	63	354	16	9	315	99	-0	-0	+9	+1	+6	1.5
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	—	198	175	52	11	0	0	17	31	5	5	3	297	376	360	736	63	359	16	9	337	116	+4	-0	+9	+1	+6	1.9
2022	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	517	481	135	22	5	10	28	57	6	20	2	281	328	410	738	129	300	11	5	317	100	+0	+3	+13	+6	+15	3.7
2022	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	517	481	135	22	5	10	28	57	6	20	2	281	328	410	738	129	300	11	5	328	109	+6	+3	+13	+6	+15	4.3
2023	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	688	619	173	26	4	9	49	83	14	43	7	279	346	378	724	99	308	12	7	323	105	+4	+6	+11	+2	+19	4.4
2023	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	688	619	175	27	4	9	49	83	14	43	7	283	349	383	732	100	312	12	7	329	110	+8	+6	+11	+2	+19	4.8
2024	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	641	582	157	34	1	7	44	66	12	31	6	270	334	368	702	98	293	10	7	313	98	-1	+4	+8	+2	+18	3.2
2024	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	641	582	159	35	1	7	44	66	12	31	6	273	337	373	710	100	297	10	7	321	104	+3	+4	+8	+2	+18	3.6
2025	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	649	599	176	28	4	7	39	49	7	29	6	294	344	389	733	95	309	8	6	325	107	+5	+3	+13	+2	+18	4.3
2025	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	649	599	178	29	4	7	39	49	7	29	6	297	347	394	741	97	313	8	6	332	112	+9	+3	+13	+2	+18	4.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	CHC	—	420	374	87	23	0	4	36	33	5	14	3	233	308	326	635	94	243	8	9	285	76	-11	+2	+2	+1	+12	0.6
YTD	29	MLB	CHC	—	420	374	87	23	0	4	36	33	5	14	3	233	308	326	635	94	243	8	9	288	79	-10	+2	+2	+1	+12	0.7
ROS	29	MLB	CHC	100%	280	253	70	13	1	3	21	24	4	11	2	277	342	372	713	95	297	9	8	326	108	+2	+1	+3	+1	+8	1.6
ROS	29	MLB	CHC	100%	280	253	70	13	1	3	21	24	4	11	2	277	342	372	713	95	298	9	8	318	101	+0	+1	+3	+1	+8	1.4
FULL	29	MLB	CHC	—	700	627	157	36	1	7	57	57	9	25	5	250	322	344	666	94	264	8	8	298	86	-11	+3	+5	+2	+20	2.0
TOT	29	MLB	CHC	—	700	627	157	36	1	7	57	57	9	25	5	250	322	344	666	94	264	8	8	301	89	-9	+3	+5	+2	+20	2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	CHC	100%	660	596	172	32	3	7	50	58	9	24	5	289	353	388	740	99	306	9	8	331	112	+9	+3	+6	+2	+19	3.9
2028	31	MLB	CHC	100%	660	597	169	31	3	6	50	60	8	21	4	283	347	375	722	92	304	9	8	327	108	+6	+3	+5	+2	+19	3.6
2029	32	MLB	CHC	100%	659	596	166	30	3	6	50	62	8	17	4	279	343	369	712	91	300	9	8	320	103	+2	+2	+4	+2	+19	3.0
2030	33	MLB	CHC	100%	568	513	139	24	2	4	43	56	7	12	3	271	336	349	685	78	295	10	8	312	97	-2	+1	+3	+2	+16	2.0
2031	34	MLB	CHC	100%	482	437	115	19	2	3	36	51	6	7	2	263	328	336	664	73	289	11	7	301	89	-6	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.1
2032	35	MLB	CHC	100%	426	387	98	15	2	2	31	48	5	5	1	253	317	318	635	65	281	11	7	290	80	-10	+1	-0	+2	+12	0.4
2033	36	MLB	CHC	100%	366	333	80	12	1	1	26	44	4	2	1	240	303	291	594	51	274	12	7	278	71	-12	+0	-2	+1	+10	-0.2
2027	30	MLB	CHC	100%	660	596	172	32	3	7	50	58	9	24	5	289	353	388	740	99	308	9	8	323	105	+4	+3	+6	+2	+19	3.4
2028	31	MLB	CHC	100%	660	597	171	32	3	7	50	60	8	21	4	286	350	385	735	99	305	9	8	318	102	+1	+3	+5	+2	+19	3.1
2029	32	MLB	CHC	100%	659	596	167	30	3	6	50	62	8	17	4	280	344	371	715	91	301	9	8	312	97	-2	+2	+4	+2	+19	2.5
2030	33	MLB	CHC	100%	568	513	140	25	2	4	43	56	7	12	3	273	337	353	690	80	296	10	8	304	91	-6	+1	+3	+2	+16	1.6
2031	34	MLB	CHC	100%	482	437	115	19	2	3	36	51	6	7	2	263	328	336	664	73	290	11	7	294	83	-9	+1	+1	+2	+14	0.8
2032	35	MLB	CHC	100%	426	387	98	15	2	2	31	48	5	5	1	253	317	318	635	65	283	11	7	282	74	-12	+1	-0	+2	+12	0.1
2033	36	MLB	CHC	100%	366	333	80	12	1	1	26	44	4	2	1	240	303	291	594	51	275	12	7	271	65	-14	+0	-2	+1	+10	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6974	6328	1751	306	32	69	499	718	96	230	48	277	339	368	707	91	302	10	7	314	98	-14	+27	+81	+33	+198	33.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	163	29	3	6	47	67	9	21	4	276	339	366	705	90	302	10	7	314	98	-1	+3	+8	+3	+18	3.1
Career	—			—	7443	6762	1847	322	38	74	524	774	105	241	53	273	335	365	700	92	298	10	7	313	98	-18	+27	+81	+33	+211	34.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	160	28	3	6	46	68	9	21	5	271	333	359	692	88	296	10	7	313	98	-2	+2	+7	+3	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	South Bend Cubs	—	17	15	6	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	400	471	667	1.137	267	385	6	12	493	235	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2018	21	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	15	12	3	1	1	0	2	0	1	2	0	250	400	500	900	250	250	0	13	396	161	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2018	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	94	89	30	4	4	1	2	16	2	1	1	337	366	506	871	169	397	17	2	378	148	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2019	22	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	82	78	22	1	1	3	3	11	0	0	0	282	309	436	745	154	292	13	4	325	107	+1	+0	+3	+4	+2	1.0
2019	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	294	268	76	16	3	3	21	31	4	8	4	284	345	399	744	116	311	11	7	334	113	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.3
2019	22	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	21	20	8	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	400	429	450	879	50	421	5	5	396	161	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2020	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	126	108	24	4	0	0	12	24	3	3	2	222	315	259	574	37	279	19	10	268	64	-5	-0	+5	+0	+4	0.4
2021	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	170	149	45	10	0	0	17	25	3	5	3	302	385	369	754	67	360	15	10	345	122	+4	-0	+9	+1	+5	1.8
2021	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	28	26	7	1	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	269	321	308	629	38	350	21	0	292	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	517	481	135	22	5	10	28	57	6	20	2	281	328	410	738	129	300	11	5	328	109	+6	+3	+13	+6	+15	4.3
2023	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	688	619	175	27	4	9	49	83	14	43	7	283	349	383	732	100	312	12	7	329	110	+8	+6	+11	+2	+19	4.8
2024	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	641	582	159	35	1	7	44	66	12	31	6	273	337	373	710	100	297	10	7	321	104	+3	+4	+8	+2	+18	3.6
2025	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	649	599	178	29	4	7	39	49	7	29	6	297	347	394	741	97	313	8	6	332	112	+9	+3	+13	+2	+18	4.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2873	2616	738	128	15	36	192	315	45	131	26	282	342	384	725	102	307	11	7	326	108	+25	+16	+62	+18	+81	20.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Coco Crisplast yr '16 career totals — 15 seasons, 6,627 PA	15	6,627	130	309	265	327	402	+4	+51	30.8	28.0
	/162	664	13	31	265	327	402	+0.4	+5.1	3.1	pk7: 25
#2Mark Ellislast yr '14 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,728 PA	12	5,728	105	82	262	327	384	+17	+88	27.9	25.4
	/162	664	12	10	262	327	384	+1.9	+10.2	3.2	pk7: 23
#3Omar Vizquellast yr '12 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,125 PA	13	6,125	46	166	269	335	354	+26	+85	25.7	25.0
	/162	664	5	18	269	335	354	+2.8	+9.2	2.8	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	7,805	79	267	276	334	368	+28	+138	25.7	22.9
	/162	664	7	23	276	334	368	+2.4	+11.7	2.2	pk7: 20
#4Adam Kennedylast yr '12 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,945 PA	13	5,945	79	179	272	328	383	+5	+49	23.5	21.8
	/162	664	9	20	272	328	383	+0.6	+5.5	2.6	pk7: 20
#5Craig Counselllast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,702 PA	12	4,702	37	98	255	342	343	+15	+76	20.7	18.5
	/162	664	5	14	255	342	343	+2.1	+10.8	2.9	pk7: 16
#6Ender Inciartelast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,414 PA	8	3,414	42	118	280	333	383	+4	+67	18.2	18.5
	/162	664	8	23	280	333	383	+0.8	+13.0	3.5	pk7: 19

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nico Hoerner (OGILVIE)	29	60	35	60	45	250/322/344	94	264	7	25	8%	8%	89	+2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jason Bartlett 2009 · MLB	29	58→65	38→45	55	49	274/329/365	91	313	4	21	14%	6%	98	+1.6	274/339/389	115	319	8	22	16%	8%	108	+2.3	267/337/375	107	313	7	22	16%	9%	101	+1.7
✕Craig Gentry 2013 · MLB	29	54→56	39→40	57→60	47	256/321/343	87	307	5	29	18%	6%	89	+1.0	256/323/338	82	311	5	33	18%	7%	89	+1.0	249/313/316	67	307	4	37	19%	7%	75	+0.0
●David Eckstein 2004 · MLB	29	56→64	39→40	51→55	53	266/337/351	85	282	6	19	8%	7%	98	+1.6	275/340/354	79	293	5	13	8%	7%	100	+1.7	291/353/368	76	306	4	10	6%	6%	107	+2.2
●Ryan Theriot 2008 · MLB	28	57→65	38→40	58→55	54	269/325/359	90	295	4	26	10%	8%	95	+1.4	281/345/353	72	315	4	20	11%	9%	102	+1.8	284/348/343	59	320	3	19	11%	8%	97	+1.7
✕Mike McCoy 2011 · MLB	30	53→58	39→40	59→60	54	252/322/344	92	300	6	29	18%	9%	90	+1.0	233/315/312	79	283	6	30	18%	10%	79	+0.3	226/313/292	66	275	5	33	18%	11%	71	-0.2
✕Alfredo Amezaga 2008 · MLB	30	55→56	39→40	53→55	54	258/322/350	92	290	5	21	13%	8%	91	+1.1	248/304/350	102	287	7	14	15%	7%	84	+0.6	283/330/368	85	332	6	6	16%	6%	98	+0.8
✕Endy Chavez 2007 · MLB	29	56→63	41→45	56→55	51	267/311/375	108	289	6	21	11%	6%	92	+1.2	265/310/358	93	290	6	16	10%	6%	88	+0.9	280/316/351	71	312	5	4	11%	5%	86	+0.5
●Ryan Freel 2005 · MLB	29	57→59	41→45	60→65	58	269/357/374	105	309	6	32	14%	10%	113	+2.6	265/352/375	110	312	7	37	16%	10%	111	+2.5	262/348/369	107	310	7	41	16%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2012 · MLB	29	52→57	39→40	59→60	54	245/315/339	94	288	5	28	16%	9%	85	+0.7	235/296/311	76	291	4	22	19%	8%	70	-0.3	227/291/283	56	284	2	20	19%	8%	57	-0.7
●Jerry Hairston Jr. 2005 · MLB	29	57→55	40→50	51→55	56	271/345/374	103	294	6	23	10%	8%	108	+2.3	241/311/340	99	270	6	15	13%	7%	85	+0.7	265/324/406	141	284	14	15	12%	7%	104	+1.5
●Julio Lugo 2006 · MLB	30	58→62	42→45	56→60	54	280/345/398	118	315	8	24	14%	8%	114	+2.7	262/326/379	117	297	9	27	14%	8%	101	+1.8	252/320/362	110	287	9	29	15%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Alcides Escobar 2016 · MLB	29	56→64	38→45	55	45	262/297/342	80	294	4	20	12%	4%	78	+0.2	255/289/351	96	292	6	12	14%	4%	77	+0.1	241/285/351	111	294	8	6	20%	4%	74	-0.1
✕Brendan Ryan 2010 · MLB	28	55→61	40	53→55	48	261/312/359	98	299	6	18	15%	6%	89	+1.0	234/295/321	87	276	5	15	16%	7%	73	-0.1	218/287/295	77	262	3	14	17%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Ender Inciarte 2020 · MLB	29	55→63	44→45	52→60	53	265/330/387	122	297	11	20	14%	8%	105	+2.1	230/297/339	109	278	10	14	20%	8%	79	+0.3	213/274/295	82	264	8	14	22%	7%	54	-0.4
✕Andrelton Simmons 2019 · MLB	29	58→62	45	52→50	52	284/333/414	131	295	12	13	9%	6%	112	+2.6	265/315/368	103	286	9	10	11%	6%	93	+1.3	250/302/324	75	276	6	8	11%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Norris Hopper 2008 · MLB	29	64→69	35→30	54→55	49	302/338/362	60	331	2	24	10%	5%	99	+1.7	266/308/319	53	295	2	21	10%	6%	76	+0.1	260/300/292	32	287	0	24	9%	5%	62	-0.7
✕David Fletcher 2023 · MLB	29	55→62	38→45	51→50	48	257/294/335	78	277	5	10	10%	5%	75	-0.0	235/278/308	73	262	6	11	12%	5%	61	-1.0	222/265/281	59	251	4	11	13%	5%	45	-1.2
●Denard Span 2013 · MLB	29	57→64	40→50	55	55	268/328/372	104	297	5	17	12%	8%	99	+1.7	284/337/397	113	314	6	20	11%	7%	109	+2.4	272/340/419	147	300	13	12	14%	9%	115	+2.6
●Coco Crisp 2009 · MLB	29	55→59	43→50	57→65	53	265/326/386	121	299	9	26	15%	8%	102	+1.9	264/331/401	137	294	11	37	13%	9%	108	+2.3	256/335/413	157	270	16	29	12%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Jason Bourgeois 2011 · MLB	29	55→58	39→45	59→65	46	261/301/345	84	294	6	34	14%	5%	81	+0.4	254/294/332	78	285	5	35	12%	5%	74	-0.1	253/291/320	67	282	3	37	11%	5%	67	-0.3