Elvis Andrus

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1988-08-26

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2021	32	MLBOakland Athle…	541	.243/.296/.320	3	12	72	0.9
2022	33	MLBCWS	577	.249/.303/.404	17	18	98	2.6
2023	34	MLBCWS	406	.251/.305/.358	6	12	86	1.0
2024	35	No MLB games played
2025	36	No MLB games played
2026	37	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 4.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023

xwOBA38

Avg EV32

Speed30

Bat Spd22

Barrel%11

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	16	ROK	Danville Braves	—	213	184	54	7	1	3	23	32	4	8	4	293	384	391	775	98	338	15	11	351	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	17	A	Rome Braves	—	478	437	116	25	4	3	36	91	2	23	15	265	324	362	686	96	328	19	8	308	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A+	Bakersfield Blaze	—	563	495	127	22	3	5	54	107	8	40	15	257	339	343	683	87	317	19	10	311	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	535	482	142	19	2	4	38	91	6	54	16	295	354	367	721	73	351	17	7	323	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	541	480	128	17	8	6	40	77	6	33	6	267	331	373	704	106	305	14	7	309	95	-3	+4	+18	+6	+12	3.8
2010	21	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	674	588	156	15	3	0	64	96	5	32	15	265	342	301	643	36	317	14	9	293	79	-17	+0	+8	+7	+15	1.3
2011	22	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	665	587	164	27	3	5	56	74	5	37	12	279	347	361	708	82	312	11	8	315	93	-6	+3	+14	+7	+14	3.3
2012	23	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	711	629	180	31	9	3	57	96	5	21	10	286	350	378	729	92	332	14	8	321	96	-3	+0	+13	+8	+15	3.5
2012	23	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	76	64	15	4	0	1	9	9	2	3	3	234	347	344	690	109	255	12	12	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	698	620	168	17	4	4	52	97	4	42	8	271	331	331	662	60	312	14	7	294	79	-17	+5	+10	+7	+15	2.1
2014	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	685	619	163	35	1	2	46	96	3	27	15	263	317	333	650	69	305	14	7	289	76	-20	-1	+8	+7	+15	1.0
2015	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	661	596	154	34	2	7	46	78	2	25	9	258	314	357	671	99	283	12	7	296	79	-17	+1	+9	+7	+14	1.5
2016	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	568	506	153	31	7	8	47	70	4	24	8	302	366	439	805	136	333	12	8	353	115	+10	+2	+0	+6	+12	3.1
2017	28	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	689	643	191	44	4	20	38	101	3	25	10	297	339	471	810	174	325	15	6	355	118	+15	+1	+9	+7	+15	4.8
2018	29	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	428	395	101	20	3	6	28	66	3	5	3	256	310	367	677	111	292	15	7	304	85	-8	-0	+3	+5	+9	1.0
2018	29	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	19	18	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	56	105	56	161		62	11	5	84	-71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	648	600	165	27	4	12	34	96	4	31	8	275	318	393	712	118	305	15	5	314	91	-7	+3	+11	+7	+14	2.9
2020	31	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	111	103	20	5	0	3	8	15	0	3	1	194	252	330	582	136	200	14	7	262	61	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2021	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	541	497	121	25	2	3	31	81	6	12	2	243	296	320	616	76	283	15	6	277	72	-18	+2	+8	+6	+12	0.9
2022	33	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	577	535	133	32	0	17	39	92	3	18	4	249	303	404	707	155	272	16	7	315	98	-1	+2	+6	+6	+13	2.6
2023	34	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	406	374	94	20	1	6	25	71	4	12	4	251	305	358	663	107	294	17	6	298	86	-7	+1	+6	+2	+9	1.0
2023	34	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	15	14	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	357	400	571	971	214	333	7	7	427	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	8603	7772	2091	380	51	102	611	1206	57	347	115	269	327	370	697	101	305	14	7	309	95	-47	+23	+124	+90	+186	38.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	16	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	213	192	46	5	1	2	15	45	4	8	4	240	308	307	615	68	295	21	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	17	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	478	449	109	22	4	2	24	122	2	23	15	243	284	323	607	80	325	26	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	563	508	119	19	2	5	41	144	8	40	15	234	302	309	611	75	311	26	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	535	492	142	18	2	3	28	111	6	54	16	289	335	352	686	63	351	21	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	541	480	128	17	8	6	40	77	6	33	6	267	331	373	704	106	305	14	7	309	95	-3	+4	+18	+6	+12	3.8
2010	21	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	674	588	154	14	3	0	64	96	5	32	15	262	339	296	635	34	317	14	9	284	79	-17	+0	+8	+7	+15	1.3
2011	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	665	587	161	25	3	5	56	74	5	37	12	274	343	353	695	78	312	11	8	305	93	-6	+3	+14	+7	+14	3.3
2012	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	711	629	177	29	9	3	57	96	5	21	10	281	346	370	716	89	332	14	8	310	96	-3	+0	+13	+8	+15	3.5
2013	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	698	621	166	16	4	4	51	97	4	42	8	267	327	325	652	58	312	14	7	285	79	-17	+5	+10	+7	+15	2.1
2014	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	685	620	160	33	1	2	46	96	3	27	15	258	312	324	637	66	305	14	7	280	76	-20	-1	+8	+7	+15	1.0
2015	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	661	597	151	32	2	7	45	78	2	25	9	253	307	348	656	95	283	12	7	285	79	-17	+1	+9	+7	+14	1.5
2016	27	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	568	508	150	29	7	8	45	70	4	24	8	295	357	427	784	132	333	12	8	338	115	+10	+2	+0	+6	+12	3.1
2017	28	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	689	643	186	41	4	19	38	101	3	25	10	289	332	454	786	165	325	15	6	343	118	+15	+1	+9	+7	+15	4.8
2018	29	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	428	395	100	19	3	6	28	66	3	5	3	253	308	362	670	109	292	15	7	294	85	-8	-0	+3	+5	+9	1.0
2018	29	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	19	18	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	56	105	56	161		55	16	5	64	-71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	648	601	162	25	4	12	33	96	4	31	8	270	312	384	696	115	305	15	5	303	91	-7	+3	+11	+7	+14	2.9
2020	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	111	103	20	5	0	3	8	15	0	3	1	194	252	330	582	136	200	14	7	259	61	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2021	32	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	541	499	120	24	2	3	29	81	6	12	2	240	290	315	605	74	283	15	5	275	72	-18	+2	+8	+6	+12	0.9
2022	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	577	535	133	32	0	17	39	92	3	18	4	249	303	404	707	155	272	16	7	313	98	-1	+2	+6	+6	+13	2.6
2023	34	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	406	375	94	20	1	6	24	71	4	12	4	251	303	357	660	107	294	17	6	295	86	-7	+1	+6	+2	+9	1.0
2023	34	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	15	14	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	357	400	571	971	214	291	7	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	16	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	213	192	46	5	1	2	15	45	4	8	4	240	308	307	615	68	299	21	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	16	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	—	213	184	54	7	1	3	23	32	4	8	4	293	384	391	775	98	338	15	11	351	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	17	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	478	449	109	22	4	2	24	122	2	23	15	243	284	323	607	80	328	26	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	17	A RAW	Rome Braves	—	478	437	116	25	4	3	36	91	2	23	15	265	324	362	686	96	328	19	8	308	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	563	508	119	19	2	5	41	144	8	40	15	234	302	309	611	75	316	26	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A+ RAW	Bakersfield Blaze	—	563	495	127	22	3	5	54	107	8	40	15	257	339	343	683	87	317	19	10	311	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	535	492	142	18	2	3	28	111	6	54	16	289	335	352	686	63	362	21	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	535	482	142	19	2	4	38	91	6	54	16	295	354	367	721	73	351	17	7	323	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	541	480	128	17	8	6	40	77	6	33	6	267	331	373	704	106	305	14	7	309	95	-3	+4	+18	+6	+12	3.8
2009	20	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	541	480	128	17	8	6	40	77	6	33	6	267	331	373	704	106	305	14	7	309	95	-3	+4	+18	+6	+12	3.8
2010	21	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	674	588	154	14	3	0	64	96	5	32	15	262	339	296	635	34	313	14	9	284	79	-17	+0	+8	+7	+15	1.3
2010	21	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	674	588	156	15	3	0	64	96	5	32	15	265	342	301	643	36	317	14	9	293	79	-17	+0	+8	+7	+15	1.3
2011	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	665	587	161	25	3	5	56	74	5	37	12	274	343	353	695	78	306	11	8	305	93	-6	+3	+14	+7	+14	3.3
2011	22	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	665	587	164	27	3	5	56	74	5	37	12	279	347	361	708	82	312	11	8	315	93	-6	+3	+14	+7	+14	3.3
2012	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	787	696	195	32	9	3	63	106	7	24	13	280	346	365	711	85	325	13	8	310	96	-4	-0	+13	+8	+17	3.5
2012	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	787	693	195	35	9	4	66	105	7	24	13	281	350	375	725	94	325	13	8	320	96	-4	-0	+13	+8	+17	3.5
2013	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	698	621	166	16	4	4	51	97	4	42	8	267	327	325	652	58	308	14	7	285	79	-17	+5	+10	+7	+15	2.1
2013	24	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	698	620	168	17	4	4	52	97	4	42	8	271	331	331	662	60	312	14	7	294	79	-17	+5	+10	+7	+15	2.1
2014	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	685	620	160	33	1	2	46	96	3	27	15	258	312	324	637	66	299	14	7	280	76	-20	-1	+8	+7	+15	1.0
2014	25	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	685	619	163	35	1	2	46	96	3	27	15	263	317	333	650	69	305	14	7	289	76	-20	-1	+8	+7	+15	1.0
2015	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	661	597	151	32	2	7	45	78	2	25	9	253	307	348	656	95	276	12	7	285	79	-17	+1	+9	+7	+14	1.5
2015	26	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	661	596	154	34	2	7	46	78	2	25	9	258	314	357	671	99	283	12	7	296	79	-17	+1	+9	+7	+14	1.5
2016	27	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	568	508	150	29	7	8	45	70	4	24	8	295	357	427	784	132	325	12	8	338	115	+10	+2	+0	+6	+12	3.1
2016	27	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	568	506	153	31	7	8	47	70	4	24	8	302	366	439	805	136	333	12	8	353	115	+10	+2	+0	+6	+12	3.1
2017	28	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	689	643	186	41	4	19	38	101	3	25	10	289	332	454	786	165	317	15	6	343	118	+15	+1	+9	+7	+15	4.8
2017	28	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	689	643	191	44	4	20	38	101	3	25	10	297	339	471	810	174	325	15	6	355	118	+15	+1	+9	+7	+15	4.8
2018	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	447	413	101	19	3	6	29	69	3	5	3	245	299	349	648	104	279	15	6	284	78	-12	-0	+3	+5	+10	0.6
2018	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	447	413	102	20	3	6	29	68	3	5	3	247	301	354	655	107	282	15	6	294	78	-12	-0	+3	+5	+10	0.6
2019	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	648	601	162	25	4	12	33	96	4	31	8	270	312	384	696	115	298	15	5	303	91	-7	+3	+11	+7	+14	2.9
2019	30	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	648	600	165	27	4	12	34	96	4	31	8	275	318	393	712	118	305	15	5	314	91	-7	+3	+11	+7	+14	2.9
2020	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	111	103	20	5	0	3	8	15	0	3	1	194	252	330	582	136	200	14	7	259	61	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2020	31	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	111	103	20	5	0	3	8	15	0	3	1	194	252	330	582	136	200	14	7	262	61	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2021	32	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	541	499	120	24	2	3	29	81	6	12	2	240	290	315	605	74	279	15	5	275	72	-18	+2	+8	+6	+12	0.9
2021	32	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	541	497	121	25	2	3	31	81	6	12	2	243	296	320	616	76	283	15	6	277	72	-18	+2	+8	+6	+12	0.9
2022	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	577	535	133	32	0	17	39	92	3	18	4	249	303	404	707	155	272	16	7	313	98	-1	+2	+6	+6	+13	2.6
2022	33	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	577	535	133	32	0	17	39	92	3	18	4	249	303	404	707	155	272	16	7	315	98	-1	+2	+6	+6	+13	2.6
2023	34	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	421	389	98	20	1	6	25	72	4	13	4	252	304	355	659	103	294	17	6	296	86	-7	+1	+6	+2	+9	1.1
2023	34	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	421	388	99	20	1	7	26	72	4	13	4	255	309	366	675	111	296	17	6	302	86	-7	+1	+6	+2	+9	1.1
2005	16	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	213	192	46	5	1	2	15	45	4	8	4	240	308	307	615	68	295	21	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	17	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	478	449	109	22	4	2	24	122	2	23	15	243	284	323	607	80	325	26	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	563	509	119	19	2	5	41	144	8	40	15	234	302	308	610	75	311	26	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	535	496	142	18	2	3	28	111	6	54	16	286	335	349	683	62	351	21	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	541	490	128	17	8	6	40	77	6	33	6	261	331	365	696	104	305	14	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	674	600	154	14	3	0	64	96	5	32	15	257	339	290	629	33	317	14	9	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	665	599	161	25	3	5	56	74	5	37	12	269	343	346	688	77	312	11	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	787	711	195	32	9	3	63	106	7	24	13	274	346	357	703	83	332	13	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	698	638	166	16	4	4	51	97	4	42	8	260	327	317	644	56	312	14	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	685	631	160	33	1	2	46	96	3	27	15	254	312	319	631	65	305	14	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	661	609	151	32	2	7	45	78	2	25	9	248	307	342	649	94	283	12	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	568	514	150	29	7	8	45	70	4	24	8	292	357	422	779	130	333	12	8	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	689	643	186	41	4	19	38	101	3	25	10	289	332	454	786	165	325	15	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	447	412	101	19	3	6	29	69	3	5	3	245	299	350	648	104	282	15	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	648	606	162	25	4	12	33	96	4	31	8	267	312	381	693	114	305	15	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	111	102	20	5	0	3	8	15	0	3	1	196	252	333	586	137	200	14	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	541	501	120	24	2	3	29	81	6	12	2	240	290	313	604	74	283	15	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	577	530	133	32	0	17	39	92	3	18	4	251	303	408	711	157	272	16	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	421	389	98	20	1	6	25	72	4	13	4	252	304	355	659	103	294	17	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	8603	7772	2091	380	51	102	611	1206	57	347	115	269	327	370	697	101	305	14	7	309	87	-47	+23	+124	+90	+186	38.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	159	29	4	8	46	91	4	26	9	271	328	375	702	104	307	14	7	309	87	-4	+2	+9	+7	+14	2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	10502	9521	2501	428	60	113	719	1642	79	476	168	263	320	356	676	93	305	16	7	297	87	-47	+23	+124	+90	+186	38.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	155	26	4	7	45	102	5	29	10	263	321	357	677	93	306	16	7	297	87	-4	+2	+9	+7	+14	2.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 15 PAwOBA .414 → .320 (−94)K% 6.7% → 8.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.67%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	8.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷1.078	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.01%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.77%	÷0.967	×0.930	—	×0.940	27.82%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.830	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.996	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.152	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.39%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .414 → .320; ISO .214 → .124; BABIP .333 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 19 PAwOBA .083 → .064 (−19)K% 10.5% → 13.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.53%	÷0.922	×1.220	—	—	13.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.021	×0.700	—	×0.948	3.42%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.988	×0.920	—	×0.948	5.52%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.993	×0.840	—	×0.948	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.088	×0.800	—	×0.948	0.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .083 → .064; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .062 → .055. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 535 PAwOBA .318 → .301 (−17)K% 17.0% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.01%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	20.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.10%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.050	5.22%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	1.02%
Singles /BIP	29.92%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.050	30.35%
Doubles /BIP	4.86%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.050	×1.050	4.50%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×1.050	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	1.02%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.86%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .318 → .301; ISO .073 → .066; BABIP .351 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 563 PAwOBA .304 → .270 (−34)K% 19.0% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.01%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	25.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.59%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.050	7.15%
HBP% /PA	1.42%	—	×0.790	—	×1.050	1.18%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×1.050	25.08%
Doubles /BIP	5.67%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.050	5.13%
Triples /BIP	0.77%	÷1.000	×0.760	×1.050	×1.050	0.65%
Home runs /BIP	1.29%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.050	1.24%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .304 → .270; ISO .087 → .076; BABIP .317 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 ARome Braves · 478 PAwOBA .300 → .268 (−33)K% 19.0% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.04%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	25.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.32%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.050	5.07%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.770	—	×1.050	0.34%
Singles /BIP	24.28%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.050	24.62%
Doubles /BIP	7.23%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.050	6.53%
Triples /BIP	1.16%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×1.050	1.20%
Home runs /BIP	0.87%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.050	0.75%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .300 → .268; ISO .096 → .084; BABIP .328 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 ROKDanville Braves · 213 PAwOBA .345 → .279 (−67)K% 15.0% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.02%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	21.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.80%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×1.038	7.17%
HBP% /PA	1.88%	—	×0.740	—	×1.038	1.44%
Singles /BIP	28.29%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.026	×1.038	25.28%
Doubles /BIP	4.61%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.026	×1.038	3.63%
Triples /BIP	0.66%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.026	×1.038	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	1.97%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.038	1.64%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 19.5 → +3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .345 → .279; ISO .098 → .078; BABIP .338 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .