Tommy Edman — OGILVIE

Tommy Edman2B Los Angeles Dodgers

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 31 S/R 5'10" / 193 lbs MLB HR +15%K -3% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 1.6 · 2027

wRC+†vL 131109vR 63

AVG/OBP/SLG.261 / .318 / .418

PA169

HR5

SB5

K%17

BB%7

xwOBA.321

Barrel%4.5%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

40→40

SPD

60→60

EYE

42↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.3peak

2027

Barrel%

214.5

xwOBA

610.321

Avg EV

3988.3

Whiff%

820.077

Chase%

440.329

Speed

7328.4

Bat Spd

3970.2

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+1.0	$8M	-$4M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+1.6	$13M	+$1M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+1.2	$10M	-$1M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+0.7	$3M	-$8M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+0.2	$0.9M	-$12M
Totals		$60M		$35M	-$24M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$24M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	AA	3 teams	495	456	104	19	7	4	26	93	4	13	5	.228	.276	.327	.602	.099	.275	19	5	.261	58	-24	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.7
2018	23	AA	3 teams	625	577	154	22	4	6	32	123	5	35	6	.267	.311	.350	.661	.083	.325	20	5	.288	79	-15	+5	+0	+2	+18	1.0
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	567	528	147	28	8	18	26	104	9	24	1	.278	.323	.464	.787	.186	.316	18	5	.340	118	+12	+4	+8	+2	+16	4.3
2020	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	227	204	53	8	1	5	16	48	5	2	4	.260	.329	.382	.711	.123	.314	21	7	.311	96	-1	-1	+3	+1	+6	0.8
2021	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	691	641	165	39	3	12	38	95	6	30	5	.257	.305	.384	.689	.126	.284	14	5	.304	91	-7	+4	+10	+2	+20	3.0
2022	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	630	577	153	32	5	12	46	111	5	32	3	.265	.325	.400	.725	.135	.310	18	7	.319	102	+1	+5	+16	+7	+18	4.9
2023	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	528	479	118	27	4	13	35	84	7	27	4	.246	.307	.401	.708	.154	.272	16	7	.307	93	-4	+4	+8	+6	+15	2.9
2024	29	MLB	3 teams	210	188	44	6	1	7	18	45	1	7	0	.234	.304	.388	.693	.154	.266	21	9	.300	88	-3	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.7
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	394	361	81	12	1	11	21	64	6	3	1	.224	.278	.355	.633	.130	.241	16	5	.279	72	-12	+0	+7	+1	+11	0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	LAD	169	154	40	7	1	5	11	28	2	5	1	.260	.317	.416	.733	.156	.290	17	7	.328	109	+2	+1	+2	+1	+5	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB	LAD	357	327	84	15	2	10	23	62	4	9	2	.257	.314	.407	.720	.150	.289	17	6	.323	106	+2	+1	-0	+1	+10	1.5
2028	33	MLB	LAD	327	299	76	13	2	9	21	59	4	7	1	.254	.312	.401	.713	.147	.287	18	6	.317	101	+0	+1	-1	+1	+9	1.1
2029	34	MLB	LAD	283	260	65	11	2	7	18	54	3	5	1	.250	.306	.388	.695	.138	.286	19	6	.311	96	-1	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.6
2030	35	MLB	LAD	231	211	52	9	1	6	15	46	3	4	0	.246	.306	.384	.690	.137	.284	20	6	.302	90	-3	+1	-3	+1	+7	0.2
2031	36	MLB	LAD	175	160	38	6	1	4	11	37	2	3	0	.237	.295	.362	.657	.125	.281	21	6	.293	82	-3	+1	-5	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5909	5422	1374	254	43	129	357	1053	66	206	34	.253	.307	.387	.695	.134	.291	18	6	.305	92	-57	+28	+44	+29	+167	21.7
/ 162G	—			650	596	151	28	5	14	39	116	7	23	4	.253	.307	.388	.694	.134	.291	18	6	.305	92	-6	+3	+5	+3	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	239	219	54	12	2	2	16	34	1	5	2	.247	.301	.347	.648	.100	.281	14	7	.289	79	-6	+0	—	—	+7	0.1
2017	22	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	82	70	18	2	1	1	7	18	2	0	1	.257	.342	.357	.699	.100	.327	22	9	.308	94	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2017	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	174	155	44	8	5	2	15	19	1	8	2	.284	.351	.439	.790	.155	.309	11	9	.345	122	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.0
2018	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	76	66	21	0	1	1	8	11	0	3	0	.318	.392	.394	.786	.076	.357	14	11	.348	125	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2018	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	498	452	135	23	3	6	35	76	3	27	5	.299	.353	.403	.756	.104	.345	15	7	.335	114	+8	+3	—	—	+14	2.6
2018	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	51	39	9	2	0	0	9	7	2	5	1	.231	.400	.282	.682	.051	.273	14	18	.327	108	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2019	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	349	326	99	17	7	11	16	61	7	15	1	.304	.350	.500	.850	.196	.346	17	5	.373	144	+17	+3	+8	+2	+10	4.1
2019	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	218	197	60	12	4	7	15	33	2	9	0	.305	.360	.513	.873	.208	.333	15	7	.375	145	+11	+2	—	—	+6	2.0
2020	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	227	204	51	7	1	5	16	48	5	2	4	.250	.320	.368	.688	.118	.301	21	7	.309	95	-1	-1	+3	+1	+6	0.8
2021	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	691	641	168	41	3	11	38	95	6	30	5	.262	.309	.387	.696	.125	.291	14	5	.309	95	-4	+4	+10	+2	+20	3.3
2022	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	630	577	153	31	4	13	46	111	5	32	3	.265	.325	.400	.725	.135	.308	18	7	.324	106	+4	+5	+16	+7	+18	5.2
2023	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	528	479	119	25	4	13	35	84	7	27	4	.248	.309	.399	.708	.150	.275	16	7	.312	97	-2	+4	+8	+6	+15	3.1
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	153	139	33	5	1	6	11	30	1	6	0	.237	.298	.417	.715	.180	.257	20	7	.313	98	-0	+1	+1	+1	+4	0.7
2024	29	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	23	17	5	0	0	1	6	2	0	1	0	.294	.478	.471	.949	.176	.286	9	26	.430	187	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	29	AA	Springfield Cardinals	34	29	6	1	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	.207	.303	.241	.544	.034	.286	26	12	.253	52	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	377	346	78	13	1	13	19	61	6	3	1	.225	.278	.382	.659	.156	.235	16	5	.290	80	-9	+0	+7	+1	+11	1.1
2025	30	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	17	14	4	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	.286	.412	.286	.697	.000	.333	12	18	.336	115	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2955	2712	701	139	21	72	181	490	37	115	18	.258	.314	.405	.719	.146	.290	17	6	.318	102	+5	+16	+54	+20	+84	18.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tommy Edman (OGILVIE)	31	55	40	60	50	.261/.318/.418	.157	.290	5	5	17%	7%	109	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Villar 2022 · MLB	31	51→58	50	54→65	49	.255/.323/.410	.155	.320	18	25	25%	9%	108	+2.3	.231/.288/.367	.136	.299	15	20	26%	7%	82	+0.5	.212/.258/.326	.114	.279	11	25	27%	6%	54	-0.9
✕David Newhan 2005 · MLB	31	58→63	47→50	58→55	49	.284/.338/.425	.141	.330	13	15	18%	7%	118	+3.0	.253/.314/.385	.132	.293	13	17	18%	7%	98	+1.6	.256/.306/.403	.147	.301	15	16	20%	6%	96	+0.6
✕Will Venable 2014 · MLB	31	51→56	52→55	61→60	47	.256/.313/.434	.178	.304	18	27	22%	7%	110	+2.4	.235/.296/.363	.128	.294	13	19	23%	8%	85	+0.7	.216/.282/.309	.093	.277	9	16	24%	8%	60	-0.7
✕Dioner Navarro 2015 · MLB	31	54→61	47→50	46→45	50	.270/.320/.401	.131	.293	16	4	14%	7%	104	+2.0	.240/.297/.367	.127	.274	15	4	18%	7%	86	+0.8	.208/.275/.313	.105	.245	12	1	20%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Kolten Wong 2023 · MLB	32	52→60	49→50	51→55	52	.260/.337/.419	.159	.294	15	16	17%	8%	117	+2.9	.224/.298/.352	.128	.266	13	12	20%	8%	83	+0.6	.183/.254/.261	.078	.227	8	8	22%	7%	41	-0.7
●Rene Reyes 2009 · AAA	31	54→64	50→55	53→50	47	.271/.316/.427	.156	.300	18	17	17%	6%	110	+2.4	.280/.331/.436	.156	.314	16	14	16%	7%	118	+3.0	.282/.337/.441	.159	.314	17	12	16%	7%	121	+2.4
✕Jace Peterson 2021 · MLB	31	48→57	47→50	55	53	.236/.314/.383	.147	.285	14	19	22%	10%	98	+1.6	.235/.321/.376	.141	.299	15	18	24%	11%	98	+1.6	.224/.316/.346	.123	.287	12	20	25%	11%	82	+0.3
✕Alejandro De Aza 2015 · MLB	31	53→61	46→50	52→55	48	.259/.322/.395	.136	.316	12	19	21%	8%	103	+1.9	.241/.311/.378	.137	.301	12	13	23%	8%	95	+1.4	.242/.306/.359	.117	.291	10	10	20%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Eduardo Núñez 2019 · MLB	32	55→62	48→50	53→60	45	.274/.306/.413	.139	.294	15	22	14%	4%	102	+1.8	.242/.275/.362	.120	.268	13	13	15%	4%	75	-0.0	.212/.229/.289	.077	.237	9	16	15%	2%	33	-0.9
✕Robbie Grossman 2022 · MLB	32	48→57	51→45	52→50	60	.243/.349/.412	.168	.287	18	16	21%	13%	120	+3.1	.224/.329/.359	.135	.287	13	10	24%	13%	98	+1.6	.212/.320/.319	.107	.281	9	5	25%	13%	80	+0.2
●Jose Castillo 2012 · AAA	31	55→59	46→50	51→50	47	.271/.307/.401	.130	.283	14	17	11%	5%	98	+1.6	.280/.307/.420	.140	.298	18	13	13%	4%	104	+2.0	.282/.308/.421	.138	.303	18	10	13%	3%	103	+1.4
●Ángel Pagán 2012 · MLB	31	56→63	44→55	59→60	52	.270/.325/.399	.129	.302	10	30	14%	8%	105	+2.1	.275/.328/.405	.130	.311	9	24	14%	7%	108	+2.3	.286/.336/.412	.127	.323	8	23	13%	7%	108	+1.8
●Daniel Descalso 2018 · MLB	31	48→54	48→50	51→45	56	.237/.325/.382	.146	.282	15	7	21%	11%	102	+1.9	.224/.326/.382	.158	.287	16	5	25%	13%	103	+1.9	.202/.317/.357	.155	.263	16	2	27%	14%	88	+0.5
✕Darnell McDonald 2011 · MLB	32	51→56	49→55	56→55	44	.255/.302/.417	.162	.313	15	15	24%	6%	101	+1.8	.231/.292/.375	.144	.280	15	11	22%	7%	86	+0.8	.205/.271/.320	.115	.246	12	9	21%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Rafael Ortega 2022 · MLB	31	48→54	53→55	49→55	49	.246/.310/.423	.177	.290	21	16	23%	8%	106	+2.2	.231/.317/.368	.137	.280	15	20	22%	11%	95	+1.4	.216/.314/.341	.125	.264	13	24	22%	12%	84	+0.4
✕Carlos Colmenares 2017 · AAA	31	53→54	47→40	60→50	44	.258/.301/.419	.161	.318	11	16	22%	6%	100	+1.7	.240/.282/.353	.113	.289	9	15	19%	5%	76	+0.0	.251/.287/.330	.079	.297	4	17	16%	5%	68	-0.1
●Jose Guadalupe Chavez 2016 · AAA	31	49→57	44→45	49→55	50	.239/.301/.356	.117	.283	12	9	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.267/.339/.377	.110	.314	8	10	16%	9%	105	+2.1	.283/.360/.370	.087	.330	4	9	14%	10%	110	+1.3
●Kazuo Matsui 2007 · MLB	31	53→60	42→45	55→60	47	.254/.304/.365	.111	.298	9	15	18%	6%	88	+0.9	.265/.318/.381	.116	.307	8	26	16%	7%	98	+1.6	.266/.322/.379	.113	.305	8	30	15%	7%	96	+1.1
✕Greg Dobbs 2009 · MLB	31	54→56	49→55	50	47	.271/.318/.427	.157	.308	16	10	18%	6%	110	+2.4	.249/.297/.397	.148	.287	17	6	19%	6%	94	+1.3	.260/.307/.357	.097	.304	9	3	17%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jon Berti 2021 · MLB	31	55→59	45	58→60	52	.263/.346/.393	.130	.330	13	30	23%	9%	113	+2.6	.240/.325/.352	.112	.306	10	31	23%	10%	94	+1.3	.259/.328/.356	.097	.323	8	39	21%	9%	90	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)