Tommy Edman

2B Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 32 S/R 5'10" / 193 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -8% Svc 7.663 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202429AAA/AA2 orgs57.239/.375/.3261164—.206/.302/.289
202429MLBLAD153.237/.298/.417661010.7
202530MLBLAD377.225/.278/.382133841.0
202631AAALAD57.275/.351/.3921162—.245/.298/.358
202631MLBLAD331.247/.330/.385871071.2
2027PROJ32MLBLAD258.244/.316/.386751010.9
2028PROJ33MLBLAD227.237/.308/.36962940.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 2.9  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service7.663First FA2028Options2
2027Ext$15M2028Ext$15M2029Ext$15M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed63
xwOBA47
Bat Spd39
Avg EV33
Barrel%22
Form.250/.319/.386 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .248/.317/.391
CompsKevan Smith (age 32) · Dioner Navarro (age 32) · Garrett Stubbs (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 101101vR 101
AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .316 / .386
PA258
HR7
SB5
K%20
BB%7
BABIP284
ISO138
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +0.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+0BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +5.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +1.00+1.0WAR
0.01.22.41.00.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$21M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
490.251
POWER40
Barrel%
224.6
Avg EV
3387.8
Bat Spd
3970.2
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
6328.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%18%▲17% over 109 PA (60d) · proj 20%
BB%7%·6% over 109 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.136·.125 over 96 AB (60d) · proj .143
HR/BB3.8%·3.8% over 78 BBE (60d) · proj 3.7%
BABIP.285▼.227 over 75 BIP (60d) · proj .290
SLASH.250/.319/.386·proj .248/.317/.391
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 530 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
158
372
—
wRC+
127
68
◀◀L
wOBA
356
268
◀◀L
ISO
280
110
◀◀L
BABIP
251
236
◀L
K%
17.7%
16.9%
▶R
BB%
3.2%
6.7%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2019
Service   7.663 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$15M+1.0$8M-$7M
2028Ext$15M+0.1$0.4M-$13M
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $30M $8M -$20M
Options · projected decision
2030CLUB OPT$14.8M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2031CLUB OPT$13.0M / $3.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201722 AASpringfield Cardinals — 239219 541222 16341 52 247301347648 100281 147 289 57 — — — — — —
201722 A+Palm Beach Cardinals — 8270 18211 7182 01 257342357699 100327 229 308 72 — — — — — —
201722 APeoria Chiefs — 174155 44852 15191 82 284351439790 155309 119 345 79 — — — — — —
201823 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 7666 21011 8110 30 318392394786 76357 1411 348 94 — — — — — —
201823 AASpringfield Cardinals — 498452 1352336 35763 275 299353403756 104345 157 335 86 — — — — — —
201823 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 5139 9200 972 51 231400282682 51273 1418 327 107 — — — — — —
201924 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 349326 9917711 16617 151 304350500850 196346 175 373 141 +17 +3 +8 +2 +8 3.8
201924 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 218197 601247 15332 90 305360513873 208333 157 375 97 — — — — — —
202025 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 227204 51715 16485 24 250320368688 118301 217 309 98 -1 -1 +3 +1 +5 0.7
202126 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 691641 16841311 38956 305 262309387696 125291 145 309 95 -4 +4 +10 +2 +15 2.8
202227 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 630577 15331413 461115 323 265325400725 135308 187 324 105 +4 +5 +16 +7 +14 4.7
202328 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 528479 11925413 35847 274 248309399708 150275 167 312 98 -1 +4 +8 +6 +11 2.8
202429 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 153139 33516 11301 60 237298417715 180257 207 313 101 +0 +1 +1 +1 +3 0.7
202429 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club — 2317 5001 620 10 294478471949 176286 926 430 124 — — — — — —
202429 AASpringfield Cardinals — 3429 6100 490 00 207303241544 34286 2612 253 24 — — — — — —
202530 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 377346 7813113 19616 31 225278382659 156235 165 290 84 -7 +0 +7 +1 +8 1.0
202530 AAAOklahoma City Comets — 1714 4000 320 00 286412286697 333 1218 336 79 — — — — — —
202631 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 331291 721228 226714 73 247330385715 137295 207 321 107 +3 +0 +0 +1 +7 1.2
202631 AAAOklahoma City Comets — 5751 14111 6160 10 275351392743 118382 2811 335 62 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 32863003 7731512380 20355751 12221 257315403718 146291 176 318 102 +6 +16 +54 +21 +71 17.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201722 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 239224 511121 11421 52 228267308575 80267 185 252 57 — — — — — —
201722 A+ MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 8272 17211 5252 01 236304333637 97320 306 275 72 — — — — — —
201722 A MLEPeoria Chiefs — 174161 40752 9251 82 248292391684 143264 145 285 79 — — — — — —
201823 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 7668 19011 6150 30 279338353691 74324 208 307 94 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 498463 1272134 24933 275 274314359673 84327 195 295 86 — — — — — —
201924 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 349326 9916712 16617 151 304350506856 202346 175 376 141 +17 +3 +8 +2 +8 3.8
201924 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 218201 521046 11432 90 259304438742 179292 205 312 97 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 227204 51715 16485 24 250320368688 118301 217 312 98 -1 -1 +3 +1 +5 0.7
202126 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 691642 16739312 37956 305 260307386693 126291 145 308 95 -4 +4 +10 +2 +15 2.8
202227 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 630579 15330414 441115 323 264322402724 138308 187 324 105 +4 +5 +16 +7 +14 4.7
202328 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 528480 11924414 34847 274 248307402709 154275 166 313 98 -1 +4 +8 +6 +11 2.8
202429 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 153139 33516 11301 60 237298417715 180257 207 318 101 +0 +1 +1 +1 +3 0.7
202429 AAA MLEOklahoma City Baseball Club — 2319 5001 420 10 263391421812 158263 917 352 124 — — — — — —
202429 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 3430 5100 3120 00 167242200442 33251 359 204 24 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 377346 7914112 19616 31 228280379659 150235 165 293 84 -7 +0 +7 +1 +8 1.0
202530 AAA MLEOklahoma City Comets — 1715 4000 220 00 267353267620 317 1212 285 79 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 331291 741328 226714 73 254336395732 141295 207 327 107 +3 +0 +0 +1 +7 1.2
202631 AAA MLEOklahoma City Comets — 5753 13111 4190 10 245298358657 113337 337 260 62 — — — — — —
201722 AA MLE3 teams — 495456 1061974 26924 135 232280331611 99279 195 267 67 — — — — — —
201722 AA RAW3 teams — 495444 1162285 38714 135 261325381706 119298 148 312 67 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLE3 teams — 625576 1602355 331175 356 278322361684 83336 195 297 87 — — — — — —
201823 AA RAW3 teams — 625557 1652547 52945 356 296362393755 97341 158 336 87 — — — — — —
201924 MLB MLE2 teams — 567527 152271118 271049 241 288334484818 195329 185 352 124 +16 +4 +8 +2 +12 4.4
201924 MLB RAW2 teams — 567523 159291118 31949 241 304353505858 201341 175 374 124 +16 +4 +8 +2 +12 4.4
202025 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 227204 51715 16485 24 250320368688 118301 217 312 98 -1 -1 +3 +1 +5 0.7
202025 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 227204 51715 16485 24 250320368688 118301 217 309 98 -1 -1 +3 +1 +5 0.7
202126 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 691642 16739312 37956 305 260307386693 126288 145 308 95 -4 +4 +10 +2 +15 2.8
202126 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 691641 16841311 38956 305 262309387696 125291 145 309 95 -4 +4 +10 +2 +15 2.8
202227 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 630579 15330414 441115 323 264322402724 138305 187 324 105 +4 +5 +16 +7 +14 4.7
202227 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 630577 15331413 461115 323 265325400725 135308 187 324 105 +4 +5 +16 +7 +14 4.7
202328 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 528480 11924414 34847 274 248307402709 154272 166 313 98 -1 +4 +8 +6 +11 2.8
202328 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 528479 11925413 35847 274 248309399708 150275 167 312 98 -1 +4 +8 +6 +11 2.8
202429 MLB MLE3 teams — 210188 44617 18441 70 234304388693 154264 219 303 91 -2 +1 +1 +1 +5 0.6
202429 MLB RAW3 teams — 210185 44617 21411 70 238319395713 157264 2010 316 91 -2 +1 +1 +1 +5 0.6
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 394361 8314112 21636 31 230284374657 144244 165 292 84 -7 +0 +7 +1 +9 1.0
202530 MLB RAW2 teams — 394360 8213113 22636 31 228284378661 150239 166 292 84 -7 +0 +7 +1 +9 1.0
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 388344 841338 268614 83 244323369692 125303 227 317 101 +0 +0 +0 +1 +8 1.1
202631 MLB RAW2 teams — 388342 861339 288314 83 251333386719 135307 217 323 101 +0 +0 +0 +1 +8 1.1
201722 AA MLE3 teams — 495462 1061974 26924 135 229280327607 97275 195 267 67 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLE3 teams — 625582 1602355 331175 356 275322357680 82327 195 297 87 — — — — — —
201924 MLB MLE2 teams — 567526 152271118 271049 241 289334485819 196326 185 352 124 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 227204 51715 16485 24 250320368688 118301 217 312 98 — — — — — —
202126 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 691643 16739312 37956 305 260307386692 126291 145 308 95 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 630576 15330414 441115 323 266322405726 139308 187 324 105 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 528482 11924414 34847 274 247307400708 154275 166 313 98 — — — — — —
202429 MLB MLE3 teams — 210189 44617 18441 70 233304386691 153257 219 303 91 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 394364 8314112 21636 31 228284371654 143238 165 292 84 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 388345 841338 268614 83 243323368691 125301 227 317 101 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202429 MLB MLE3 teams — 210189 44617 18441 70 233304386691 153257 219 303 91 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLE2 teams — 394364 8314112 21636 31 228284371654 143238 165 292 84 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 388345 841338 268614 83 243323368691 125301 227 317 101 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202732 MLB MLELAD 100% 368330 8213210 247411 72 248320391711 143290 207 318 101 +1 +1 +2 +1 +8 1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202732 MLB CTXLAD 100% 258232 56917 17527 51 244316386702 142284 207 314 101 +0 +1 +2 +1 +6 0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202833 MLB MLELAD 100% 227204 50816 15476 21 240311373685 133284 217 307 94 -2 +0 -3 +1 +5 0.1
202833 MLB CTXLAD 100% 227204 48716 15476 21 237308369676 132278 217 304 94 -2 +0 -3 +1 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 35133207 8211582486 21860457 12422 256315401715 145290 176 317 96 +5 +16 +51 +22 +76 17.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 15129416 4011211 234 255314398712 143288 176 317 96 +1 +3 +9 +4 +14 3.2
Career— MLE — 52404793 122721943112 31494375 18834 256312390702 134295 186 310 96 +5 +17 +53 +23 +82 18.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650595 15227514 391179 234 255311388699 133295 186 310 96 +1 +3 +9 +4 +14 3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 57 PAwOBA .327 → .260 (−67)K% 28.1% → 33.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.07%÷1.000×1.200——33.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.53%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9626.99%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9620.00%
Singles /BIP31.43%÷1.000×0.930—×0.96228.12%
Doubles /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9622.28%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.970—×0.9622.67%
Home runs /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9621.92%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .327 → .260; ISO .118 → .089; BABIP .382 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 17 PAwOBA .329 → .285 (−44)K% 11.8% → 13.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.76%÷1.015×1.200——13.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷1.083×0.690—×0.97210.93%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9720.00%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.951×0.930—×0.97231.67%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.969×0.830—×0.9720.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×0.9720.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.956×0.700—×0.9720.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 90, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 103, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .329 → .285; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AASpringfield Cardinals · 34 PAwOBA .255 → .204 (−51)K% 26.5% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.47%÷0.943×1.220——34.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷0.992×0.700—×0.9587.95%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×0.9580.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.998×0.920—×0.95822.07%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷0.940×0.840—×0.9584.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940—×0.9580.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.386×0.800—×0.9580.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 100, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 89, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .255 → .204; ISO .034 → .029; BABIP .286 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club · 23 PAwOBA .420 → .352 (−69)K% 8.7% → 10.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.70%÷0.990×1.200——10.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA26.09%÷1.021×0.690—×0.98217.31%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9820.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷0.977×0.930—×0.98224.93%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.930×0.830—×0.9820.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.126×0.970—×0.9820.00%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷0.896×0.700—×0.9825.11%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 125, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .420 → .352; ISO .176 → .150; BABIP .286 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 218 PAwOBA .369 → .312 (−56)K% 15.1% → 19.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.14%÷0.986×1.290——19.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.88%÷1.035×0.710—×1.0484.95%
HBP% /PA0.92%—×0.980—×1.0480.94%
Singles /BIP22.56%÷1.014×0.900×0.950×1.04819.94%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷0.917×0.810×0.950×1.0486.44%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷0.900×0.810×0.950×1.0482.19%
Home runs /BIP4.27%÷0.982×0.780—×1.0483.55%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .369 → .312; ISO .208 → .176; BABIP .333 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AASpringfield Cardinals · 498 PAwOBA .329 → .295 (−33)K% 15.3% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.26%÷1.003×1.220——18.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.03%÷1.026×0.700—×1.0274.92%
HBP% /PA0.60%—×0.870—×1.0270.54%
Singles /BIP27.39%÷1.014×0.920×1.027×1.02726.22%
Doubles /BIP6.12%÷0.973×0.840×1.027×1.0275.57%
Triples /BIP0.80%÷0.900×0.940×1.027×1.0270.88%
Home runs /BIP1.60%÷1.215×0.800—×1.0271.08%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .329 → .295; ISO .104 → .088; BABIP .345 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 76 PAwOBA .349 → .307 (−42)K% 14.5% → 19.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.47%÷0.975×1.290——19.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.53%÷0.960×0.710—×1.0508.17%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP34.55%÷0.984×0.900×0.950×1.05031.50%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.957×0.810×0.950×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷0.984×0.810×0.950×1.0501.49%
Home runs /BIP1.82%÷0.909×0.780—×1.0501.64%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .349 → .307; ISO .076 → .066; BABIP .357 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AASpringfield Cardinals · 239 PAwOBA .284 → .252 (−32)K% 14.2% → 17.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.23%÷0.990×1.220——17.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.69%÷1.048×0.700—×1.0424.66%
HBP% /PA0.42%—×0.870—×1.0420.38%
Singles /BIP20.54%÷0.992×0.920×1.015×1.04220.14%
Doubles /BIP6.49%÷1.009×0.840×1.015×1.0425.71%
Triples /BIP1.08%÷1.093×0.940×1.015×1.0420.98%
Home runs /BIP1.08%÷1.315×0.800—×1.0420.69%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .284 → .252; ISO .100 → .082; BABIP .281 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .