Masataka YoshidaLF Boston Red Sox
Age 33 L/R 5'8" / 192 lbs MLB H +3% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION201 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 57113vR 134
AVG/OBP/SLG.273 / .338 / .405
PA134
HR3
K%13
BB%7
BABIP294
ISO132
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -1.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: -3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +9.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.01.42.80.40.1-$22M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
904.6%
xwOBA
620.322
POWER45
Barrel%
265.0
Avg EV
4588.8
Bat Spd
4170.4
EYE55
Chase%
9021.8%
SPEED45
Sprint
2626.3
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 669 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
140
529
wRC+
51
126
▶▶R
wOBA
252
350
▶▶R
ISO
081
136
▶▶R
BABIP
206
320
▶▶R
K%
10.0%
12.5%
◀◀L
BB%
7.1%
6.6%
L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$7M+0.4$1M-$6M
2027Ext$18M+0.1$0.4M-$16M
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $25M $2M -$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202330 MLBBoston Red Sox 580537 14929415 34817 80 277329430759 153302 146 332 112 +8 +2 -10 -6 +16 1.0
202330 MLBBoston Red Sox 580537 15533315 34817 80 289339445784 156316 146 347 124 +16 +2 -10 -6 +16 1.8
202431 MLBBoston Red Sox 421378 10219010 275214 20 270341399741 130289 126 328 109 +4 +0 -0 -5 +12 1.2
202431 MLBBoston Red Sox 421378 10621010 275214 20 280351415766 135302 126 344 121 +10 +0 -0 -5 +12 1.8
202532 MLBBoston Red Sox 205188 481004 10243 30 255303372676 117268 125 293 83 -4 +1 -0 -2 +6 -0.0
202532 MLBBoston Red Sox 205188 501104 10243 30 266313388702 122280 125 309 94 -1 +1 -0 -2 +6 0.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD33 MLBBOS 201178 471013 19233 20 264345382727 118288 119 325 107 +2 +0 -1 -2 +6 0.5
YTD33 MLBBOS 201178 471013 19233 20 264345382727 118288 119 328 110 +2 +0 -1 -2 +6 0.5
ROS33 MLBBOS 100% 134121 33703 10172 20 273338405743 132303 137 339 118 +3 +0 -1 -1 +4 0.5
ROS33 MLBBOS 100% 134121 35803 10172 20 289353430783 140311 137 332 112 +2 +0 -1 -1 +4 0.4
FULL33 MLBBOS 335299 821816 29405 40 274348401750 127298 129 328 109 +3 +1 -2 -4 +9 0.9
TOT33 MLBBOS 335299 801716 29405 40 268342391734 124290 129 331 111 +4 +1 -2 -4 +9 0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734 MLBBOS 82% 290262 711416 21395 21 271337401738 130297 137 329 110 +3 +0 -7 -3 +8 0.1
202734 MLBBOS 82% 238215 611315 17324 20 284347423771 140304 137 322 104 +1 +0 -6 -3 +7 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 15781439 40786437 9820630 170 283341425767 142307 136 336 115 +28 +3 -17 -17 +45 4.3
/ 162G 650593 16735215 408512 70 282339423762 142306 136 336 115 +11 +1 -7 -7 +18 1.8
Career 16301486 40379538 10221331 171 271331408739 137293 136 326 108 +14 +3 -18 -17 +46 2.8
/ 162G 650593 16132215 418512 70 272331408739 137294 136 326 108 +6 +1 -7 -7 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202330 MLBBoston Red Sox 580537 15533315 34817 80 289339445784 156316 146 347 124 +16 +2 -10 -6 +16 1.8
202431 MLBBoston Red Sox 421378 10621010 275214 20 280351415766 135302 126 344 121 +10 +0 -0 -5 +12 1.8
202532 MLBBoston Red Sox 205188 501104 10243 30 266313388702 122280 125 309 94 -1 +1 -0 -2 +6 0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 12061103 31165329 7115724 130 282339425764 143305 136 340 118 +25 +3 -10 -13 +34 3.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Lamblast yr '08
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,907 PA
82,907696279336421-18-129.19.6
/162664161-4.0-2.82.1pk7: 10
#2B.J. Surhofflast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,256 PA
62,2564224285336409-19+17.17.1
/162664127-5.4+0.42.1pk7: 7
#3Todd Hollandsworthlast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,060 PA
72,0606538274331455-17-166.96.9
/1626642112-5.5-5.32.2pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
61,9804521278336417-21-216.36.3
/162664157-7.1-7.22.1pk7: 6
#4Danny Bautistalast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,689 PA
51,6893722290338432-14-204.44.4
/162664159-5.6-7.81.7pk7: 4
#5Ryan Spilborghslast yr '11
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,765 PA
61,7654231271345423-12-294.04.0
/1626641612-4.5-11.11.5pk7: 4
#6Allen Craiglast yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,013 PA
62,0135911276333435-29-333.13.1
/162664194-9.7-10.81.0pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Masataka Yoshida (OGILVIE) 33 55 45 45 55 268/342/391 124290 64 12% 9% 111 +0.9
Gabe Kapler
2008 · MLB
33 51→60 45→55 47→55 52 250/316/379 130276 128 15% 8% 98 +1.6 258/321/429 171288 1810 17% 8% 112 +2.6 254/322/42417128117916%9%109+0.8
Denard Span
2018 · MLB
34 57→64 47→50 49→55 54 279/338/424 146300 1313 12% 8% 118 +3.0 263/336/422 159295 1511 15% 9% 117 +2.9 262/346/423162296141116%10%119+2.6
Mark Kotsay
2009 · MLB
33 54→63 42→50 42→50 54 260/316/373 114279 85 11% 8% 95 +1.4 257/314/378 121275 116 11% 8% 95 +1.4 258/317/37311527410610%8%88+0.4
Timo Perez
2008 · MLB
33 55→60 46→50 46→50 48 268/307/408 139283 1310 11% 5% 101 +1.8 261/308/391 130277 1215 11% 6% 97 +1.5 257/308/377120272121610%6%91+0.7
Austin Nola
2023 · MLB
33 53→54 42→45 43→45 53 256/330/365 108290 104 15% 8% 99 +1.7 207/278/297 90256 84 21% 8% 61 -1.0 171/241/239682196024%7%28-0.9
Greg Dobbs
2012 · MLB
34 51→58 46→55 46→50 45 254/298/385 131297 144 20% 6% 91 +1.1 256/303/361 105302 105 18% 6% 86 +0.8 250/298/335852967417%5%68-0.2
Todd Hollandsworth
2006 · MLB
33 52→56 48→55 42→50 50 256/317/410 154299 157 20% 8% 105 +2.1 245/294/407 162291 176 21% 6% 95 +1.4 243/276/42518128718022%4%89+0.4
David DeJesus
2012 · MLB
32 55→62 46→50 43→45 54 269/342/410 141303 126 15% 9% 116 +2.8 253/335/398 145292 117 16% 10% 110 +2.4 250/337/39414428911616%10%107+1.6
Jose Espinoza
2007 · AAA
33 56→57 43→45 40→45 52 272/333/392 120310 106 16% 8% 107 +2.2 267/328/373 106313 98 17% 7% 100 +1.7 269/328/361923208818%7%94+0.8
Kevan Smith
2021 · MLB
33 51→55 47→50 49→40 50 251/319/388 137288 147 18% 8% 102 +1.8 223/297/340 117295 118 26% 9% 79 +0.3 167/245/198312460029%9%4-0.9
Mike Lamb
2009 · MLB
33 54→61 46→60 41→40 54 262/323/395 133284 123 13% 8% 104 +2.0 243/287/354 111261 102 11% 5% 78 +0.2 246/286/35410826210011%4%74-0.0
Danny Bautista
2004 · MLB
32 56→59 46→50 48→45 50 277/330/413 136310 139 15% 7% 111 +2.5 272/324/398 126298 128 13% 7% 105 +2.1 284/332/39811430711611%6%105+2.0
Mike Kinkade
2006 · MLB
33 49→59 48→50 44→45 44 245/320/397 152280 158 18% 5% 105 +2.1 265/331/395 130310 128 18% 5% 108 +2.3 291/354/4111203389716%4%120+1.8
Michael Tucker
2005 · MLB
34 51→52 49→55 48→55 57 253/337/412 160296 1511 20% 11% 115 +2.7 234/325/368 134279 129 19% 11% 98 +1.6 216/314/33511826110920%11%82+0.3
Skip Schumaker
2013 · MLB
33 57→64 38→45 43→50 53 269/329/356 87309 54 14% 8% 95 +1.4 251/314/338 87301 55 17% 8% 85 +0.7 245/308/321762973417%8%76+0.0
Marco Scutaro
2008 · MLB
32 53→63 44→45 48→45 58 256/330/378 122279 116 13% 10% 102 +1.9 265/343/375 110289 108 11% 10% 107 +2.2 298/352/39395314657%7%112+2.4
Mike Fontenot
2013 · MLB
33 53→59 43→50 45 49 254/314/369 115304 97 19% 8% 93 +1.3 230/284/316 86290 57 21% 6% 67 -0.5 226/279/298732873621%6%58-0.9
Corban Joseph
2021 · MLB
32 53→57 47→50 48→45 48 261/309/403 142287 135 15% 6% 100 +1.7 243/298/367 124283 128 18% 7% 86 +0.8 260/319/3641032949014%8%91+0.2
Dioner Navarro
2016 · MLB
32 52→61 48→50 47→45 51 262/317/401 139285 174 15% 8% 103 +1.9 227/288/357 130268 145 20% 7% 79 +0.3 198/263/295972429122%7%52-0.6
Melky Cabrera
2018 · MLB
33 58→68 47→50 44→50 50 285/329/429 144302 143 12% 6% 115 +2.8 279/321/413 134303 135 12% 6% 108 +2.3 282/322/40612430910412%5%102+1.2