Denard Span

PosCF

B/TL/L

Born1984-02-27

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2016	32	MLBSF	637	.266/.332/.381	11	12	104	1.1
2017	33	MLBSF	542	.272/.330/.427	12	12	117	1.2
2018	34	MLBSEA	501	.261/.346/.419	11	9	117	1.0
2019	35	No MLB games played
2020	36	No MLB games played
2021	37	No MLB games played
2022	38	No MLB games played
2023	39	No MLB games played
2024	40	No MLB games played
2025	41	No MLB games played
2026	42	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2016-2018

xwOBA67

Speed55

Avg EV11

Barrel%10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	304	267	76	6	5	0	22	41	8	10	8	285	357	345	701	60	333	13	7	315	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	212	186	61	3	3	1	21	25	1	13	4	328	399	392	792	65	373	12	10	354	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	597	536	153	16	6	2	40	78	5	24	11	285	341	349	690	63	330	13	7	306	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	548	487	130	20	7	3	40	90	0	25	14	267	323	355	678	88	322	16	7	295	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	411	347	102	16	7	6	50	60	4	18	7	294	389	432	821	138	339	15	12	361	127	+13	+1	+2	-6	+9	1.9
2008	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	184	156	53	11	1	3	26	36	0	15	8	340	434	481	915	141	427	20	14	405	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	676	578	180	16	10	8	70	89	10	23	10	311	395	415	810	104	353	13	10	357	126	+21	+1	-5	+2	+15	3.4
2010	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	705	629	166	24	10	3	60	74	4	26	4	264	332	348	680	84	294	10	9	305	92	-6	+4	+9	+3	+15	2.5
2011	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	311	284	75	11	5	2	27	36	0	6	1	264	328	359	687	95	297	12	9	311	97	-1	+1	+9	+1	+7	1.7
2011	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	40	39	8	1	0	0	0	5	0	3	0	205	205	231	436	26	235	12	0	190	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	568	516	146	38	4	4	47	62	0	17	6	283	343	395	738	112	315	11	8	329	109	+6	+1	+7	+2	+12	2.9
2013	29	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	662	610	170	28	11	4	42	77	2	20	6	279	327	380	708	102	313	12	6	314	102	+1	+2	+11	+2	+14	3.1
2014	30	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	668	610	184	39	8	5	50	65	2	31	7	302	356	416	773	115	330	10	7	343	120	+16	+3	-0	+2	+14	3.6
2015	31	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	275	246	74	17	0	5	25	26	1	11	0	301	368	431	799	130	318	9	9	354	125	+8	+2	-2	+1	+6	1.5
2015	31	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	16	14	4	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	286	375	500	875	214	231	0	12	387	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	15	13	8	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	615	667	846	1.513	231	583	0	13	654	243	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	637	572	152	23	5	11	53	79	4	12	7	266	332	381	713	115	291	12	8	318	104	+3	-0	-7	+2	+14	1.1
2017	33	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	542	497	135	31	5	12	40	69	3	12	7	272	330	427	756	155	295	13	7	335	117	+11	-0	-12	+2	+12	1.2
2018	34	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	501	437	114	22	7	11	51	79	6	9	4	261	346	419	765	158	291	16	10	338	117	+10	+0	-6	-5	+11	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5956	5326	1498	265	72	71	515	716	36	185	59	281	349	398	747	117	313	12	9	332	111	+76	+13	+5	+7	+129	23.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	304	273	82	6	5	0	16	50	8	10	8	300	357	359	716	59	353	16	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	212	191	60	3	3	1	16	35	1	13	4	314	370	377	747	63	368	17	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	597	547	163	15	6	2	29	95	5	24	11	298	339	358	697	60	346	16	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	548	499	136	19	8	3	28	108	0	25	14	273	311	361	672	88	325	20	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	411	350	102	16	7	6	47	60	4	18	7	291	382	429	810	137	339	15	11	356	127	+13	+1	+2	-6	+9	1.9
2008	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	184	164	54	10	1	3	18	43	0	15	8	329	396	457	853	128	426	23	10	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	676	581	180	16	10	8	67	89	10	23	10	310	391	413	804	103	353	13	10	354	126	+21	+1	-5	+2	+15	3.4
2010	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	705	629	166	24	10	3	60	74	4	26	4	264	332	348	680	84	294	10	9	305	92	-6	+4	+9	+3	+15	2.5
2011	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	311	284	75	11	5	2	27	36	0	6	1	264	328	359	687	95	297	12	9	311	97	-1	+1	+9	+1	+7	1.7
2011	27	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	40	39	8	1	0	0	0	6	0	3	0	205	205	231	436	26	220	15	0	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	568	516	146	38	4	4	47	62	0	17	6	283	343	395	738	112	315	11	8	329	109	+6	+1	+7	+2	+12	2.9
2013	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	662	610	172	28	13	4	42	77	2	20	6	282	330	390	720	108	313	12	6	319	102	+1	+2	+11	+2	+14	3.1
2014	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	668	611	185	38	10	5	49	65	2	31	7	303	356	422	779	119	330	10	7	345	120	+16	+3	-0	+2	+14	3.6
2015	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	275	246	74	17	0	5	25	26	1	11	0	301	368	431	799	130	318	9	9	353	125	+8	+2	-2	+1	+6	1.5
2015	31	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	16	15	4	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	267	312	467	779	200	215	0	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	15	14	7	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	500	533	714	1.248	214	473	0	7	527	243	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	637	574	155	23	5	12	51	79	4	12	7	270	334	390	724	120	291	12	8	321	104	+3	-0	-7	+2	+14	1.1
2017	33	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	542	497	137	31	5	13	40	69	3	12	7	276	333	437	770	161	295	13	7	341	117	+11	-0	-12	+2	+12	1.2
2018	34	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	501	437	114	22	7	11	51	79	6	9	4	261	346	419	765	158	291	16	10	341	117	+10	+0	-6	-5	+11	1.0
2005	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	516	464	142	9	8	1	32	86	9	23	12	306	362	366	729	60	371	17	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	516	453	137	9	8	1	43	66	9	23	12	302	374	364	738	62	350	13	8	331	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	597	547	163	15	6	2	29	95	5	24	11	298	339	358	697	60	357	16	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA RAW	New Britain Rock Cats	—	597	536	153	16	6	2	40	78	5	24	11	285	341	349	690	63	330	13	7	306	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	548	499	136	19	8	3	28	108	0	25	14	273	311	361	672	88	343	20	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	548	487	130	20	7	3	40	90	0	25	14	267	323	355	678	88	322	16	7	295	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	595	514	156	26	8	9	65	103	4	33	15	304	386	438	824	134	364	17	11	359	129	+21	+1	+2	-6	+13	3.1
2008	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	595	503	155	27	8	9	76	96	4	33	15	308	403	447	850	139	365	16	13	374	129	+21	+1	+2	-6	+13	3.1
2009	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	676	581	180	16	10	8	67	89	10	23	10	310	391	413	804	103	351	13	10	354	126	+21	+1	-5	+2	+15	3.4
2009	25	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	676	578	180	16	10	8	70	89	10	23	10	311	395	415	810	104	353	13	10	357	126	+21	+1	-5	+2	+15	3.4
2010	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	705	629	166	24	10	3	60	74	4	26	4	264	332	348	680	84	294	10	9	305	92	-6	+4	+9	+3	+15	2.5
2010	26	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	705	629	166	24	10	3	60	74	4	26	4	264	332	348	680	84	294	10	9	305	92	-6	+4	+9	+3	+15	2.5
2011	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	351	323	83	12	5	2	27	42	0	9	1	257	314	344	658	87	290	12	8	295	86	-6	+1	+9	+1	+8	1.4
2011	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	351	323	83	12	5	2	27	41	0	9	1	257	314	344	658	87	289	12	8	297	86	-6	+1	+9	+1	+8	1.4
2012	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	568	516	146	38	4	4	47	62	0	17	6	283	343	395	738	112	315	11	8	329	109	+6	+1	+7	+2	+12	2.9
2012	28	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	568	516	146	38	4	4	47	62	0	17	6	283	343	395	738	112	315	11	8	329	109	+6	+1	+7	+2	+12	2.9
2013	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	662	610	172	28	13	4	42	77	2	20	6	282	330	390	720	108	317	12	6	319	102	+1	+2	+11	+2	+14	3.1
2013	29	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	662	610	170	28	11	4	42	77	2	20	6	279	327	380	708	102	313	12	6	314	102	+1	+2	+11	+2	+14	3.1
2014	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	668	611	185	38	10	5	49	65	2	31	7	303	356	422	779	119	331	10	7	345	120	+16	+3	-0	+2	+14	3.6
2014	30	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	668	610	184	39	8	5	50	65	2	31	7	302	356	416	773	115	330	10	7	343	120	+16	+3	-0	+2	+14	3.6
2015	31	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	306	275	85	17	0	7	27	26	1	12	0	309	373	447	820	138	320	8	9	360	130	+11	+2	-2	+1	+7	1.9
2015	31	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	306	273	86	17	0	7	29	26	1	12	0	315	383	454	837	139	326	8	9	371	130	+11	+2	-2	+1	+7	1.9
2016	32	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	637	574	155	23	5	12	51	79	4	12	7	270	334	390	724	120	295	12	8	321	104	+3	-0	-7	+2	+14	1.1
2016	32	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	—	637	572	152	23	5	11	53	79	4	12	7	266	332	381	713	115	291	12	8	318	104	+3	-0	-7	+2	+14	1.1
2017	33	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	542	497	137	31	5	13	40	69	3	12	7	276	333	437	770	161	298	13	7	341	117	+11	-0	-12	+2	+12	1.2
2017	33	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	—	542	497	135	31	5	12	40	69	3	12	7	272	330	427	756	155	295	13	7	335	117	+11	-0	-12	+2	+12	1.2
2018	34	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	501	437	114	22	7	11	51	79	6	9	4	261	346	419	765	158	291	16	10	341	117	+10	+0	-6	-5	+11	1.0
2018	34	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	—	501	437	114	22	7	11	51	79	6	9	4	261	346	419	765	158	291	16	10	338	117	+10	+0	-6	-5	+11	1.0
2005	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	516	470	142	9	8	1	32	86	9	23	12	302	362	362	724	60	359	17	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	597	558	163	15	6	2	29	95	5	24	11	292	339	351	690	59	346	16	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	548	515	136	19	8	3	28	108	0	25	14	264	311	350	661	85	325	20	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	595	521	156	26	8	9	65	103	4	33	15	299	386	432	818	132	366	17	11	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	676	594	180	16	10	8	67	89	10	23	10	303	391	404	795	101	353	13	10	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	705	635	166	24	10	3	60	74	4	26	4	261	332	345	677	83	294	10	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	351	321	83	12	5	2	27	42	0	9	1	259	314	346	660	87	288	12	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	568	516	146	38	4	4	47	62	0	17	6	283	343	395	738	112	315	11	8	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	662	613	172	28	13	4	42	77	2	20	6	281	330	388	719	108	313	12	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	668	612	185	38	10	5	49	65	2	31	7	302	356	422	778	119	330	10	7	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	306	275	85	17	0	7	27	26	1	12	0	309	373	447	820	138	320	8	9	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	637	577	155	23	5	12	51	79	4	12	7	269	334	388	722	120	291	12	8	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	542	494	137	31	5	13	40	69	3	12	7	277	333	439	773	162	295	13	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	501	439	114	22	7	11	51	79	6	9	4	260	346	417	763	157	291	16	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5956	5326	1498	265	72	71	515	716	36	185	59	281	349	398	747	117	313	12	9	332	107	+76	+13	+5	+7	+129	23.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	164	29	8	8	56	78	4	20	6	282	349	401	750	119	313	12	9	332	107	+8	+1	+1	+1	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7872	7077	2020	318	99	84	615	1054	50	276	104	285	347	394	741	109	324	13	8	326	107	+76	+13	+5	+7	+129	23.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	166	26	8	7	51	87	4	23	9	284	346	392	738	108	323	13	8	326	107	+8	+1	+1	+1	+14	2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAHarrisburg Senators · 16 PAwOBA .376 → .317 (−60)K% 0.0% → 0.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	0.00%	÷1.018	×1.220	—	—	0.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.940	7.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷0.962	×0.970	—	×0.940	20.31%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.070	×0.860	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.916	×0.950	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.986	×0.780	—	×0.940	5.31%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 92, 2B 114, 3B 83, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .376 → .317; ISO .214 → .168; BABIP .231 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AHagerstown Suns · 15 PAwOBA .636 → .527 (−110)K% 0.0% → 0.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	0.00%	÷0.971	×1.340	—	—	0.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷1.054	×0.660	—	×0.940	7.85%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	53.85%	÷1.047	×0.920	—	×0.940	44.47%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.992	×0.820	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷0.979	×0.820	—	×0.940	6.06%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .636 → .527; ISO .231 → .193; BABIP .583 → .473. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAARochester Red Wings · 40 PAwOBA .185 → .171 (−14)K% 12.5% → 15.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷0.950	×1.200	—	—	15.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.024	×0.690	—	×1.003	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.59%	÷0.980	×0.930	—	×1.003	19.60%
Doubles /BIP	2.94%	÷1.004	×0.830	—	×1.003	2.44%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .185 → .171; ISO .026 → .021; BABIP .235 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAARochester Red Wings · 184 PAwOBA .393 → .368 (−25)K% 19.6% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.57%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	23.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.59%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.048	9.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	31.67%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.050	×1.048	32.41%
Doubles /BIP	9.17%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×1.048	8.37%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×1.048	0.89%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.20%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .393 → .368; ISO .141 → .132; BABIP .427 → .426. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAARochester Red Wings · 548 PAwOBA .287 → .282 (−4)K% 16.4% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.42%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	19.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.12%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.16%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.19%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.050	×1.050	25.83%
Doubles /BIP	5.04%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×1.050	4.61%
Triples /BIP	1.76%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×1.050	1.89%
Home runs /BIP	0.76%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	0.67%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .287 → .282; ISO .088 → .088; BABIP .322 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 597 PAwOBA .299 → .300 (+2)K% 13.1% → 15.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.07%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.70%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.042	4.89%
HBP% /PA	0.84%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	0.74%
Singles /BIP	28.17%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×1.042	29.89%
Doubles /BIP	3.49%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.050	×1.042	3.29%
Triples /BIP	1.31%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.050	×1.042	1.36%
Home runs /BIP	0.44%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.042	0.35%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .299 → .300; ISO .063 → .062; BABIP .330 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 304 PAwOBA .308 → .313 (+4)K% 13.5% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.49%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	16.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.91%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.050	5.08%
HBP% /PA	2.63%	—	×0.850	—	×1.050	2.35%
Singles /BIP	28.76%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×1.050	30.76%
Doubles /BIP	2.65%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.050	×1.050	2.52%
Triples /BIP	2.21%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.050	×1.050	2.32%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .308 → .313; ISO .060 → .062; BABIP .333 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 212 PAwOBA .347 → .323 (−24)K% 11.8% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.79%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	16.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.91%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×1.027	7.63%
HBP% /PA	0.47%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	0.45%
Singles /BIP	33.54%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	33.27%
Doubles /BIP	1.86%	÷1.000	×0.960	×1.050	×1.027	1.93%
Triples /BIP	1.86%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.050	×1.027	1.63%
Home runs /BIP	0.62%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.027	0.56%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .347 → .323; ISO .065 → .059; BABIP .373 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).