Konnor Griffin
SS Pittsburgh Pirates| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | AA/A+/APIT | 563 | .333/.419/.527 | 21 | 65 | 122 | — | .293/.362/.454 |
| 2026 | 20 | AAAPIT | 31 | .375/.516/.500 | 0 | 3 | 153 | — | .346/.452/.462 |
| 2026 | 20 | MLBPIT | 339 | .272/.326/.404 | 6 | 23 | 107 | 1.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 21 | MLBPIT | 370 | .256/.317/.388 | 8 | 25 | 100 | 1.2 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 22 | MLBPIT | 540 | .262/.324/.411 | 14 | 38 | 109 | 2.3 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 23 | MLBPIT | 602 | .268/.330/.434 | 19 | 42 | 117 | 3.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 98 | 83 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 337 | 427 | 542 | 969 | 205 | 404 | 23 | 7 | 421 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 234 | 194 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 46 | 10 | 33 | 7 | 325 | 435 | 510 | 946 | 186 | 392 | 20 | 12 | 418 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 231 | 207 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 338 | 399 | 536 | 935 | 198 | 415 | 23 | 6 | 407 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 339 | 312 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 82 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 272 | 326 | 404 | 730 | 131 | 350 | 24 | 6 | 325 | 107 | +3 | +3 | -2 | +4 | +7 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 20 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 31 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 375 | 516 | 500 | 1.016 | 125 | 500 | 19 | 23 | 457 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 339 | 312 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 82 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 272 | 326 | 404 | 730 | 131 | 350 | 24 | 6 | 325 | 106 | +2 | +3 | -2 | +4 | +7 | 1.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 98 | 85 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 306 | 385 | 471 | 856 | 165 | 395 | 31 | 5 | 376 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 234 | 205 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 61 | 10 | 33 | 7 | 278 | 362 | 429 | 791 | 151 | 352 | 26 | 7 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 231 | 212 | 64 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 72 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 302 | 351 | 472 | 823 | 170 | 400 | 31 | 4 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 339 | 312 | 84 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 82 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 269 | 323 | 397 | 721 | 128 | 350 | 24 | 6 | 326 | 107 | +3 | +3 | -2 | +4 | +7 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 20 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 31 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 346 | 452 | 462 | 913 | 115 | 471 | 23 | 16 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 563 | 501 | 146 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 162 | 22 | 65 | 13 | 291 | 362 | 451 | 813 | 160 | 391 | 29 | 6 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 563 | 484 | 161 | 23 | 4 | 21 | 50 | 122 | 22 | 65 | 13 | 333 | 419 | 527 | 946 | 194 | 403 | 22 | 9 | 414 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 338 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 89 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 275 | 334 | 402 | 737 | 127 | 355 | 24 | 7 | 332 | 111 | +5 | +3 | -2 | +4 | +8 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 20 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 336 | 94 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 88 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 280 | 342 | 411 | 753 | 131 | 361 | 24 | 7 | 336 | 111 | +5 | +3 | -2 | +4 | +8 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 563 | 503 | 146 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 162 | 22 | 65 | 13 | 290 | 362 | 449 | 811 | 159 | 379 | 29 | 6 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 337 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 89 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 276 | 334 | 404 | 738 | 128 | 360 | 24 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 563 | 503 | 146 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 162 | 22 | 65 | 13 | 290 | 362 | 449 | 811 | 159 | 379 | 29 | 6 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 337 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 89 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 276 | 334 | 404 | 738 | 128 | 360 | 24 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | PIT | 100% | 480 | 438 | 112 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 113 | 7 | 33 | 5 | 257 | 318 | 393 | 711 | 136 | 319 | 24 | 7 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +5 | -5 | +5 | +10 | 1.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB CTX | PIT | 100% | 370 | 337 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 87 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 256 | 317 | 388 | 705 | 133 | 320 | 24 | 7 | 314 | 100 | +0 | +3 | -4 | +4 | +8 | 1.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 551 | 500 | 132 | 22 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 127 | 8 | 38 | 6 | 263 | 325 | 417 | 742 | 154 | 321 | 23 | 7 | 329 | 109 | +6 | +5 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 614 | 557 | 149 | 24 | 5 | 20 | 43 | 139 | 9 | 43 | 7 | 269 | 331 | 442 | 773 | 173 | 322 | 23 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +12 | +6 | -6 | +7 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 614 | 557 | 152 | 24 | 5 | 23 | 43 | 137 | 9 | 43 | 6 | 275 | 337 | 464 | 801 | 189 | 324 | 22 | 7 | 352 | 124 | +18 | +6 | -6 | +7 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 603 | 546 | 152 | 24 | 5 | 25 | 43 | 135 | 9 | 42 | 6 | 279 | 341 | 479 | 820 | 200 | 324 | 22 | 7 | 359 | 129 | +21 | +6 | -6 | +6 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 580 | 526 | 147 | 23 | 5 | 25 | 41 | 129 | 8 | 40 | 6 | 280 | 343 | 488 | 830 | 207 | 325 | 22 | 7 | 363 | 132 | +22 | +6 | -6 | +6 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 561 | 508 | 142 | 22 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 126 | 8 | 38 | 6 | 279 | 342 | 485 | 827 | 206 | 324 | 22 | 7 | 361 | 131 | +21 | +5 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 3.9 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 545 | 493 | 136 | 21 | 4 | 23 | 39 | 124 | 8 | 34 | 5 | 278 | 340 | 481 | 820 | 203 | 324 | 23 | 7 | 359 | 129 | +19 | +5 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 3.6 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 530 | 480 | 131 | 20 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 122 | 7 | 29 | 5 | 274 | 336 | 473 | 809 | 199 | 321 | 23 | 7 | 354 | 126 | +16 | +4 | -7 | +6 | +11 | 3.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 515 | 467 | 126 | 19 | 4 | 21 | 36 | 120 | 7 | 24 | 4 | 270 | 332 | 464 | 796 | 194 | 318 | 23 | 7 | 349 | 122 | +14 | +3 | -7 | +6 | +11 | 2.7 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 501 | 455 | 121 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 119 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 266 | 327 | 455 | 782 | 188 | 315 | 24 | 7 | 343 | 118 | +11 | +2 | -8 | +5 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 487 | 445 | 116 | 17 | 4 | 19 | 33 | 118 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 261 | 321 | 442 | 763 | 181 | 312 | 24 | 7 | 336 | 113 | +8 | +2 | -9 | +5 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB MLE | PIT | 98% | 396 | 362 | 92 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 98 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 255 | 314 | 427 | 740 | 172 | 308 | 25 | 7 | 326 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -8 | +4 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB MLE | PIT | 94% | 334 | 305 | 75 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 85 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 304 | 408 | 713 | 162 | 301 | 25 | 7 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -8 | +4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB MLE | PIT | 89% | 266 | 244 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 70 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 294 | 388 | 681 | 150 | 295 | 26 | 6 | 302 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -8 | +3 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 540 | 490 | 129 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 124 | 8 | 38 | 6 | 262 | 324 | 411 | 735 | 149 | 321 | 23 | 7 | 326 | 109 | +6 | +5 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 602 | 546 | 147 | 25 | 5 | 19 | 42 | 136 | 9 | 42 | 6 | 268 | 330 | 434 | 764 | 166 | 322 | 23 | 7 | 337 | 117 | +12 | +6 | -6 | +6 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 602 | 546 | 149 | 25 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 135 | 9 | 42 | 6 | 273 | 335 | 454 | 790 | 181 | 324 | 22 | 7 | 347 | 124 | +17 | +6 | -6 | +6 | +13 | 3.7 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 591 | 535 | 148 | 24 | 5 | 23 | 42 | 132 | 9 | 41 | 6 | 276 | 339 | 468 | 806 | 192 | 324 | 22 | 7 | 354 | 129 | +20 | +6 | -6 | +6 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 568 | 514 | 143 | 23 | 5 | 23 | 41 | 127 | 8 | 39 | 6 | 278 | 340 | 476 | 816 | 198 | 324 | 22 | 7 | 357 | 132 | +21 | +5 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 4.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 550 | 498 | 139 | 23 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 124 | 8 | 37 | 6 | 277 | 339 | 473 | 813 | 197 | 324 | 23 | 7 | 356 | 131 | +20 | +5 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 3.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 534 | 484 | 133 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 38 | 121 | 7 | 33 | 5 | 275 | 337 | 469 | 807 | 194 | 324 | 23 | 7 | 354 | 129 | +18 | +5 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 3.5 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 519 | 470 | 128 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 119 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 272 | 334 | 462 | 796 | 190 | 321 | 23 | 7 | 349 | 126 | +16 | +4 | -7 | +6 | +11 | 3.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 505 | 458 | 123 | 20 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 118 | 7 | 24 | 4 | 268 | 329 | 453 | 782 | 185 | 318 | 23 | 7 | 344 | 122 | +13 | +3 | -7 | +5 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 491 | 448 | 118 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 116 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 264 | 325 | 444 | 769 | 180 | 315 | 24 | 7 | 338 | 118 | +11 | +2 | -8 | +5 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 477 | 436 | 113 | 18 | 3 | 17 | 32 | 115 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 259 | 319 | 432 | 751 | 173 | 312 | 24 | 7 | 331 | 113 | +8 | +2 | -8 | +5 | +10 | 1.7 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB CTX | PIT | 98% | 388 | 354 | 90 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 96 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 252 | 311 | 417 | 729 | 165 | 307 | 25 | 7 | 322 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -8 | +4 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB CTX | PIT | 94% | 312 | 286 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 79 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 302 | 399 | 701 | 155 | 301 | 25 | 6 | 311 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -8 | +3 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB CTX | PIT | 89% | 237 | 218 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 292 | 379 | 671 | 143 | 295 | 26 | 6 | 298 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -7 | +3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 7255 | 6595 | 1767 | 288 | 60 | 253 | 500 | 1686 | 99 | 385 | 60 | 268 | 329 | 445 | 774 | 177 | 323 | 23 | 7 | 340 | 119 | +166 | +53 | -97 | +78 | +157 | 36.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 158 | 26 | 5 | 23 | 45 | 151 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 267 | 329 | 445 | 774 | 178 | 321 | 23 | 7 | 340 | 119 | +15 | +5 | -9 | +7 | +14 | 3.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8400 | 7621 | 2055 | 315 | 68 | 304 | 577 | 1987 | 129 | 485 | 82 | 270 | 332 | 448 | 780 | 179 | 326 | 24 | 7 | 343 | 119 | +169 | +57 | -104 | +84 | +169 | 38.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 159 | 24 | 5 | 24 | 45 | 154 | 10 | 38 | 6 | 269 | 332 | 449 | 781 | 180 | 325 | 24 | 7 | 343 | 119 | +14 | +5 | -9 | +7 | +14 | 3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 31 PAwOBA .447 → .395 (−51)K% 19.4% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 16.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 32.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 14.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .447 → .395; ISO .125 → .113; BABIP .500 → .471. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 234 PAwOBA .409 → .342 (−67)K% 19.7% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.66% | ÷0.994 | ×1.310 | — | — | 25.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷0.980 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.050 | 7.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.27% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 3.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.05% | ÷0.950 | ×0.870 | ×0.971 | ×1.050 | 27.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | ×0.971 | ×1.050 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.025 | ×0.850 | ×0.971 | ×1.050 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.048 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 4.17% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .409 → .342; ISO .186 → .158; BABIP .392 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ABradenton Marauders · 231 PAwOBA .399 → .343 (−57)K% 22.9% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.49% | ÷1.052 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.60% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.82% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.045 | 31.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.045 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.952 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×1.045 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.84% | ÷0.932 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 5.24% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .399 → .343; ISO .198 → .165; BABIP .415 → .400. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAltoona Curve · 98 PAwOBA .418 → .376 (−42)K% 23.5% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.47% | ÷0.947 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 5.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.12% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 5.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 34.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.036 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 2.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.891 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 7.66% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 89, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .418 → .376; ISO .205 → .181; BABIP .404 → .395. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).