Jackson Chourio

CF Milwaukee Brewers
Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 199 lbs MLB HR +10%K +6% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420MLBMIL573.275/.328/.46421221192.5
202521AAA/INTL2 orgs56.265/.357/.38811108—.050/.095/.100
202521MLBMIL589.270/.311/.46321211142.7
202622MLBMIL573.291/.352/.48725231324.0
2027PROJ23MLBMIL561.276/.331/.46724321233.3
2028PROJ24MLBMIL580.278/.333/.47325331253.6
2029PROJ25MLBMIL589.279/.334/.47526331263.7
Last 3 seasons WAR 9.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 10.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractCONFIRMED
Control thru2031Service3.000First FA2032
2027Ext$9M2028Ext$11M2029Ext$13M2030Ext$15M2031Ext$16M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed90
Bat Spd74
Avg EV66
xwOBA65
Barrel%62
Form.285/.341/.482 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .278/.330/.466
CompsJulio Rodríguez (age 23) · Corbin Carroll (age 23) · Bobby Witt Jr. (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 126123vR 112
AVG/OBP/SLG.276 / .331 / .467
PA561
HR24
SB32
K%23
BB%7
BABIP322
ISO190
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +15.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+15BATRUN: +6.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+6RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +12.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +3.70+3.7WAR
0.02.04.03.73.63.73.73.627282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$82M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
600.260
POWER50
Barrel%
629.9
Avg EV
6690.2
Bat Spd
7473.9
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%·22% over 121 PA (60d) · proj 23%
BB%8%▲8% over 121 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.197·.209 over 110 AB (60d) · proj .188
HR/BB6.4%·7.1% over 84 BBE (60d) · proj 5.8%
BABIP.332▲.385 over 78 BIP (60d) · proj .327
SLASH.285/.341/.482▲proj .278/.330/.466
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 1162 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
325
837
—
wRC+
127
110
◀L
wOBA
357
331
◀L
ISO
164
202
▶▶R
BABIP
363
296
◀◀L
K%
20.9%
20.8%
—
BB%
6.8%
5.0%
◀◀L
Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2024
Service   3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$9M+3.7$38M+$29M
2028Ext$11M+3.6$34M+$24M
2029Ext$13M+3.7$33M+$23M
2030Ext$15M+3.7$31M+$20M
2031Ext$16M+3.6$27M+$17M
Totals $64M $163M +$112M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKDSL Brewers 2 — 189159 47715 23283 83 296395447841 151323 1512 371 49 — — — — — —
202117 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 5349 10101 3170 00 204250286536 82290 326 240 48 — — — — — —
202218 AABiloxi Shuckers — 2623 2100 2110 21 87160130290 43154 428 138 -38 — — — — — —
202218 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 142127 32608 11312 41 252321488810 236267 228 351 86 — — — — — —
202218 ACarolina Mudcats — 271250 8123512 19761 102 324374600974 276423 287 419 90 — — — — — —
202218 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 8782 21501 4160 12 256291354644 98308 185 286 80 — — — — — —
202319 AAANashville Sounds — 2421 7300 210 10 333391476867 143333 48 369 134 — — — — — —
202319 AABiloxi Shuckers — 559510 14323322 411034 439 280339467805 186311 187 354 97 — — — — — —
202319 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 7566 25511 881 31 379453530984 152421 1111 436 181 — — — — — —
202420 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 573528 14529421 391213 227 275328464792 189320 217 348 119 +13 +2 +3 -6 +12 2.5
202420 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 2218 7100 410 00 389500444944 56412 518 432 179 — — — — — —
202521 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 589549 14835421 301213 217 270311463774 193308 215 336 114 +10 +1 -0 +2 +13 2.7
202521 AAANashville Sounds — 2119 1100 280 00 53143105248 5391 3810 128 -49 — — — — — —
202521 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 3530 12201 441 10 4004865671.052 167440 1111 466 202 — — — — — —
202622 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 573522 15227025 471342 235 291352487839 195348 238 369 132 +22 +3 +0 +2 +12 4.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 17351599 44591867 1163768 6619 278330471801 193324 227 351 123 +48 +6 +3 -2 +38 9.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 189166 31412 16363 83 187270259529 72207 198 240 49 — — — — — —
202218 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 2624 2100 1140 21 83120125245 42144 544 112 -38 — — — — — —
202218 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 142129 28507 9402 41 217279419697 202237 286 295 86 — — — — — —
202218 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 271256 621748 131061 102 242281434715 191371 395 301 90 — — — — — —
202319 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 2422 7300 110 10 318348455802 136324 44 366 134 — — — — — —
202319 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 559522 13626317 291364 439 261305420724 159316 245 311 97 — — — — — —
202420 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 573532 14631420 351213 227 274323461783 186320 216 345 119 +13 +2 +3 -6 +12 2.5
202521 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 589550 14937420 291213 217 271311462773 191308 215 337 114 +10 +1 -0 +2 +13 2.7
202521 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 2120 1100 190 00 5095100195 5081 435 96 -49 — — — — — —
202622 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 573527 15429024 421342 235 292347484831 192348 237 364 132 +22 +3 +0 +2 +12 4.0
202117 ROK MLE2 teams — 242214 39513 20463 83 182262257519 75213 198 240 49 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAW2 teams — 242208 57816 26453 83 274363409772 135317 1911 342 49 — — — — — —
202218 A MLE4 teams — 526490 10827418 281913 176 220267402669 182316 365 288 81 — — — — — —
202218 A RAW4 teams — 526482 13635521 361343 176 282336506842 224347 257 365 81 — — — — — —
202319 AA MLE3 teams — 658614 16132319 341555 4710 262306417723 155319 245 313 98 — — — — — —
202319 AA RAW3 teams — 658597 17531423 511125 4710 293354474828 181325 178 364 98 — — — — — —
202420 MLB MLE2 teams — 595553 15232421 361263 227 275323461784 186321 216 345 119 +14 +2 +3 -6 +13 2.6
202420 MLB RAW2 teams — 595546 15230421 431223 227 278334463798 185323 217 351 119 +14 +2 +3 -6 +13 2.6
202521 MLB MLE3 teams — 645602 15940421 321384 227 264306449754 184307 215 329 109 +7 +2 -0 +2 +14 2.5
202521 MLB RAW3 teams — 645598 16138422 361334 227 269315457772 187310 216 336 109 +7 +2 -0 +2 +14 2.5
202622 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 573527 15429024 421342 235 292347484831 192350 237 364 132 +22 +3 +0 +2 +12 4.0
202622 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 573522 15227025 471342 235 291352487839 195348 238 369 132 +22 +3 +0 +2 +12 4.0
202117 ROK MLE2 teams — 242217 39513 20463 83 180262253515 74207 198 240 49 — — — — — —
202218 A MLE4 teams — 526490 10827418 281913 176 220267402669 182314 365 288 81 — — — — — —
202319 AA MLE3 teams — 658614 16132319 341555 4710 262306417723 155316 245 313 98 — — — — — —
202420 MLB MLE2 teams — 595551 15232421 361263 227 276323463785 187320 216 345 119 — — — — — —
202521 MLB MLE3 teams — 645604 15940421 321384 227 263306447753 184300 215 329 109 — — — — — —
202622 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 573524 15429024 421342 235 294347487833 193348 237 364 132 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 MLB MLE2 teams — 595551 15232421 361263 227 276323463785 187320 216 345 119 — — — — — —
202521 MLB MLE3 teams — 645604 15940421 321384 227 263306447753 184300 215 329 109 — — — — — —
202622 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 573524 15429024 421342 235 294347487833 193348 237 364 132 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEMIL 100% 616565 15729125 431403 356 278333466799 188327 237 350 123 +17 +5 -1 +2 +13 3.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXMIL 100% 561515 14224124 391282 326 276331467798 191322 237 350 123 +15 +4 -1 +2 +12 3.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEMIL 100% 580532 14927124 411312 336 280335471806 191328 237 353 125 +17 +4 -1 +2 +13 3.6
202925 MLB MLEMIL 100% 589540 15228125 421332 336 281336474810 193328 237 354 126 +18 +4 -1 +2 +13 3.7
203026 MLB MLEMIL 100% 589539 15228125 431332 336 281336473809 193327 237 354 126 +18 +4 -1 +2 +13 3.7
203127 MLB MLEMIL 100% 580531 14827124 421312 326 280335471806 191327 237 353 125 +17 +4 -1 +2 +13 3.6
203228 MLB MLEMIL 100% 566518 14426123 411292 285 278333466799 188326 237 350 123 +16 +4 -2 +2 +12 3.3
203329 MLB MLEMIL 100% 551504 13925122 401282 244 274329459788 184323 237 346 120 +13 +3 -2 +2 +12 2.9
203430 MLB MLEMIL 100% 536491 13324121 381262 194 270325450774 179320 247 340 116 +10 +2 -3 +2 +12 2.4
203531 MLB MLEMIL 100% 517475 12623020 361231 143 264318438756 173315 247 333 111 +7 +2 -4 +2 +11 1.8
203632 MLB MLEMIL 100% 494456 11821018 341201 82 259312424736 166311 247 324 106 +3 +1 -4 +2 +11 1.3
203733 MLB MLEMIL 100% 459424 10618016 311141 42 251303408711 156305 257 314 99 -1 +0 -5 +2 +10 0.6
203834 MLB MLEMIL 100% 401372 9015013 261030 01 242293388680 145297 266 301 90 -5 -0 -5 +1 +9 -0.0
202824 MLB CTXMIL 100% 580532 14725125 411312 336 278333473806 195323 237 353 125 +17 +4 -1 +2 +13 3.6
202925 MLB CTXMIL 100% 589540 15126126 421332 336 279334475809 196323 237 354 126 +18 +4 -1 +2 +13 3.7
203026 MLB CTXMIL 100% 589539 15126126 431332 336 279334475809 196323 237 354 126 +18 +4 -1 +2 +13 3.7
203127 MLB CTXMIL 100% 580531 14725125 421312 326 278333472806 195322 237 353 125 +17 +4 -1 +2 +13 3.6
203228 MLB CTXMIL 100% 566518 14224124 411292 285 276331468799 192321 237 350 123 +16 +4 -2 +2 +12 3.3
203329 MLB CTXMIL 100% 551504 13824123 401282 244 272327460788 188319 237 345 120 +13 +3 -2 +2 +12 2.9
203430 MLB CTXMIL 100% 536491 13222122 381262 194 268323451774 183315 247 340 116 +10 +2 -3 +2 +12 2.4
203531 MLB CTXMIL 100% 517475 12521021 361231 143 263317439756 177310 247 332 111 +7 +2 -4 +2 +11 1.8
203632 MLB CTXMIL 100% 494456 11619019 341201 82 257310426736 169306 247 324 106 +3 +1 -4 +2 +11 1.3
203733 MLB CTXMIL 100% 459424 10617017 311141 42 250302409710 159300 257 314 99 -1 +0 -5 +2 +10 0.6
203834 MLB CTXMIL 100% 401372 9014014 261030 01 241291389680 148293 266 301 90 -5 -0 -5 +1 +9 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 75976981 189033415309 530174725 29464 271324456780 185318 237 342 113 +164 +33 -25 +19 +165 36.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 16129126 451492 255 270322452775 183318 237 342 113 +14 +3 -2 +2 +14 3.1
Career— MLE — 96628897 237345324360 645228939 39989 267319444763 178319 247 335 113 +179 +37 -26 +21 +177 39.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650599 15930224 431543 276 265318442761 177318 247 335 113 +14 +3 -2 +2 +14 3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAANashville Sounds · 21 PAwOBA .125 → .096 (−29)K% 38.1% → 45.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.10%÷1.010×1.200——45.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.52%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0506.90%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷0.983×0.930—×1.0500.00%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷0.973×0.830—×1.0508.15%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.111×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .125 → .096; ISO .053 → .043; BABIP .091 → .081. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 559 PAwOBA .346 → .311 (−35)K% 18.4% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.43%÷0.924×1.220——24.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.33%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0505.24%
HBP% /PA0.72%—×0.840—×1.0500.63%
Singles /BIP23.34%÷0.988×0.920×1.015×1.05023.15%
Doubles /BIP5.65%÷0.827×0.910×1.015×1.0506.63%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷0.900×0.880×1.015×1.0500.77%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷1.055×0.800—×1.0504.30%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .346 → .311; ISO .186 → .161; BABIP .311 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANashville Sounds · 24 PAwOBA .375 → .366 (−9)K% 4.2% → 5.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA4.17%÷0.978×1.200——5.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.33%÷0.995×0.690—×1.0506.07%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.953×0.930—×1.05020.50%
Doubles /BIP15.00%÷0.971×0.830—×1.05013.46%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.905×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .375 → .366; ISO .143 → .137; BABIP .333 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ACarolina Mudcats · 271 PAwOBA .408 → .301 (−107)K% 28.0% → 39.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.04%÷0.977×1.360——39.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.64%÷0.975×0.690—×1.0504.94%
HBP% /PA0.37%—×0.780—×1.0500.30%
Singles /BIP23.56%÷1.034×0.920×0.997×1.05021.96%
Doubles /BIP13.22%÷1.036×0.830×0.997×1.05011.09%
Triples /BIP2.87%÷1.150×0.910×0.997×1.0502.38%
Home runs /BIP6.90%÷1.136×0.800—×1.0505.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 107, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .408 → .301; ISO .276 → .188; BABIP .423 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 142 PAwOBA .346 → .295 (−50)K% 21.8% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.83%÷0.977×1.270——28.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.75%÷0.944×0.710—×1.0506.12%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.790—×1.0501.17%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.083×0.920×1.025×1.05017.14%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.049×0.810×1.025×1.0505.19%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×1.025×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷0.885×0.800—×1.0507.91%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .346 → .295; ISO .236 → .208; BABIP .267 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 26 PAwOBA .140 → .112 (−28)K% 42.3% → 52.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA42.31%÷0.976×1.220——52.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷1.027×0.680—×1.0505.35%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP8.33%÷1.060×0.920—×1.0507.59%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷0.973×0.910—×1.0508.19%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.012×0.800—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .140 → .112; ISO .043 → .039; BABIP .154 → .144. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Brewers 2 · 189 PAwOBA .367 → .240 (−127)K% 14.8% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.81%÷0.956×1.220——18.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.64%÷1.008×0.700—×1.0228.27%
HBP% /PA1.59%—×0.700—×1.0221.14%
Singles /BIP25.95%÷0.985×0.680×0.950×1.02217.40%
Doubles /BIP5.34%÷0.998×0.600×0.950×1.0223.12%
Triples /BIP0.76%÷0.990×0.600×0.950×1.0220.45%
Home runs /BIP3.82%÷1.029×0.470—×1.0221.78%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 98, K 91, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .367 → .240; ISO .151 → .080; BABIP .323 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .