Jackson ChourioCF Milwaukee Brewers
Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 199 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 2.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION283 act + 368 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 136131vR 116
AVG/OBP/SLG.271 / .323 / .475
PA368
HR15
SB16
K%23
BB%7
BABIP318
ISO204
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +20.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+21BATRUN: +5.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+6RUNFLD: -0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +18.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+18REPTotal WAR: +4.50+4.5WAR
0.02.55.01.84.74.95.05.15.14.94.64.23.73.2+$239M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
619.8%
xwOBA
600.320
POWER50
Barrel%
609.7
Avg EV
6390.0
Bat Spd
7473.9
EYE40
Chase%
5930.0%
SPEED60
Sprint
8128.7
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 1162 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
325
837
—
wRC+
131
111
◀◀L
wOBA
357
331
◀L
ISO
164
202
▶▶R
BABIP
363
296
◀◀L
K%
20.9%
20.8%
—
BB%
6.8%
5.0%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$4M+1.8$14M+$10M
2027Ext$10M+4.7$35M+$26M
2028Ext$10M+4.9$34M+$25M
2029Ext$10M+5.0$32M+$24M
2030Ext$10M+5.1$30M+$23M
2031Ext$10M+5.1$28M+$22M
Totals $55M $173M +$131M
Options · projected decision
2032CLUB OPT$12.8M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2033CLUB OPT$25.0M / $2.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2034CLUB OPT$25.0M / $2.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2035CLUB OPT$10.2M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2036CLUB OPT$10.2M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROK2 teams — 242217 46615 17573 83 212278318596 106258 247 265 61 — — — — — —
202117 ROK2 teams — 242208 57816 26453 83 274363409772 135317 1911 342 120 — — — — — —
202218 A4 teams — 526492 9824318 262063 176 199244370614 171294 395 263 59 — — — — — —
202218 A4 teams — 526482 13635521 361343 176 282336506842 224347 257 365 137 — — — — — —
202319 AA3 teams — 658614 15835419 341785 4710 257302420722 163329 275 308 94 — — — — — —
202319 AA3 teams — 658597 17531423 511125 4710 293354474828 181325 178 364 136 — — — — — —
202420 MLB2 teams — 595549 15331423 401263 227 279331475806 197323 217 346 123 +15 +2 +3 -6 +17 3.2
202420 MLB2 teams — 595546 15230421 431223 227 278334463798 185323 217 351 127 +18 +2 +3 -6 +17 3.4
202521 MLB3 teams — 645601 16039423 331384 227 266309459768 193307 215 330 111 +8 +2 -0 +2 +18 3.0
202521 MLB3 teams — 645598 16138422 361334 227 269315457772 187310 216 336 115 +11 +2 -0 +2 +18 3.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 MLBMIL — 283261 7417013 20691 81 284337498835 215339 247 359 133 +10 +1 +0 +1 +8 2.1
YTD22 MLBMIL — 283261 7417013 20691 81 284337498835 215339 247 365 138 +12 +1 +0 +1 +8 2.3
ROS22 MLBMIL 100% 368339 9220215 24842 163 271323475798 204316 237 348 124 +10 +2 -1 +1 +10 2.4
ROS22 MLBMIL 100% 368339 9119215 24842 163 268321469790 201313 237 341 119 +8 +2 -1 +1 +10 2.1
FULL22 MLBMIL — 651600 16536228 441533 244 275328482809 207325 247 349 125 +18 +3 -1 +2 +18 4.3
TOT22 MLBMIL — 651600 16637228 441533 244 277329485814 208327 247 353 128 +21 +3 -1 +2 +18 4.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBMIL 100% 648597 16335428 431453 295 273325486811 213314 227 351 127 +20 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.4
202824 MLBMIL 100% 648596 16435428 441433 295 275328488816 213315 227 355 130 +22 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.6
202925 MLBMIL 100% 648596 16535429 441423 295 277330495825 218315 227 358 132 +23 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.8
203026 MLBMIL 100% 648595 16435429 451413 295 276330494824 218315 227 359 133 +24 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.8
203127 MLBMIL 100% 643590 16335429 451413 295 276331497827 220315 227 359 133 +24 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.8
203228 MLBMIL 100% 635582 16034428 451403 274 275330491822 216314 227 358 132 +23 +4 -2 +2 +18 4.6
203329 MLBMIL 100% 623570 15633328 451383 254 274330489820 216314 227 356 131 +22 +3 -3 +2 +18 4.3
203430 MLBMIL 100% 611559 15232327 441373 224 272328485813 213313 227 354 129 +20 +3 -3 +2 +17 4.0
203531 MLBMIL 100% 596545 14731326 431363 183 270327481807 211310 237 350 126 +17 +2 -4 +2 +17 3.6
203632 MLBMIL 100% 577529 13929324 411342 152 263318465783 202307 237 343 121 +14 +2 -5 +2 +16 3.0
203733 MLBMIL 100% 547501 12926322 391302 112 257314453767 196302 247 335 115 +9 +1 -5 +2 +15 2.3
203834 MLBMIL 96% 499459 11322219 351212 71 246302427729 181294 247 325 107 +4 +1 -6 +2 +14 1.5
203935 MLBMIL 91% 443408 9718216 311111 51 238293409702 172286 257 313 97 -1 +1 -6 +2 +13 0.7
204036 MLBMIL 82% 382352 8115213 26991 20 230285395680 165278 267 300 88 -5 +0 -7 +1 +11 0.0
204137 MLBMIL 73% 316291 6311110 21841 10 216272364636 148269 277 286 77 -8 +0 -8 +1 +9 -0.6
202723 MLBMIL 100% 648597 16134427 431453 295 270322476798 206311 227 344 122 +16 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.0
202824 MLBMIL 100% 648596 16234428 441433 295 272325483808 211312 227 348 125 +18 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.2
202925 MLBMIL 100% 648596 16234428 441423 295 272325483808 211312 227 351 126 +19 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.4
203026 MLBMIL 100% 648595 16334429 451413 295 274328491819 217312 227 352 127 +20 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.4
203127 MLBMIL 100% 643590 16134428 451413 295 273328486814 214312 227 352 127 +20 +4 -1 +2 +18 4.4
203228 MLBMIL 100% 635582 15933428 451403 274 273329488817 215311 227 351 127 +19 +4 -2 +2 +18 4.2
203329 MLBMIL 100% 623570 15433327 451383 254 270327481808 211311 227 349 125 +18 +3 -3 +2 +18 3.9
203430 MLBMIL 100% 611559 15032326 441373 224 268325476801 208310 227 347 123 +16 +3 -3 +2 +17 3.6
203531 MLBMIL 100% 596545 14430325 431363 183 264321468789 204308 237 343 120 +14 +2 -4 +2 +17 3.2
203632 MLBMIL 100% 577529 13929324 411342 152 263318465783 202304 237 337 116 +10 +2 -5 +2 +16 2.7
203733 MLBMIL 100% 547501 12826322 391302 112 255312451763 196299 247 329 110 +6 +1 -5 +2 +15 2.0
203834 MLBMIL 96% 477438 10721218 341162 71 244302425726 180292 247 319 102 +1 +1 -6 +2 +14 1.2
203935 MLBMIL 91% 403371 8816215 281011 41 237292412705 175283 257 307 93 -3 +0 -6 +1 +11 0.4
204036 MLBMIL 82% 313288 6612111 21811 20 229284392676 163275 267 295 84 -6 +0 -6 +1 +9 -0.1
204137 MLBMIL 73% 231213 46817 15611 10 216271362632 146267 266 281 73 -7 +0 -6 +1 +7 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 97788986 237449355400 669221244 33663 264318465783 201307 237 339 118 +195 +42 -47 +27 +277 50.4
/ 162G— — 650597 15933427 441473 224 266319471790 204310 237 339 118 +13 +3 -3 +2 +18 3.4
Career— — 1149810582 276358164459 765273156 41082 261314458773 197309 247 336 115 +201 +49 -51 +33 +326 56.9
/ 162G— — 650598 15733426 431543 235 263315462777 199310 247 336 115 +11 +3 -3 +2 +18 3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Brewers 2 — 189159 47715 23283 83 296395447841 151323 1512 371 142 +9 +0 — — +5 1.5
202117 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 5349 10101 3170 00 204250286536 82290 326 240 42 -4 +0 — — +2 -0.2
202218 AABiloxi Shuckers — 2623 2100 2110 21 87160130290 43154 428 138 -36 -4 +0 — — +1 -0.3
202218 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 142127 32608 11312 41 252321488810 236267 228 351 126 +4 +0 — — +4 0.9
202218 ACarolina Mudcats — 271250 8123512 19761 102 324374600974 276423 287 419 179 +24 +1 — — +8 3.4
202218 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 8782 21501 4160 12 256291354644 98308 185 286 77 -2 -1 — — +2 -0.0
202319 AAANashville Sounds — 2421 7300 210 10 333391476867 143333 48 369 141 +1 +0 — — +1 0.2
202319 AABiloxi Shuckers — 559510 14323322 411034 439 280339467805 186311 187 354 129 +18 +5 — — +16 4.0
202319 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 7566 25511 881 31 379453530984 152421 1111 436 192 +8 +0 — — +2 1.0
202420 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 573528 14529421 391213 227 275328464792 189320 217 348 124 +16 +2 +3 -6 +16 3.1
202420 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 2218 7100 410 00 389500444944 56412 518 432 189 +2 +0 — — +1 0.3
202521 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 589549 14835421 301213 217 270311463774 193308 215 336 115 +10 +1 -0 +2 +17 3.1
202521 AAANashville Sounds — 2119 1100 280 00 53143105248 5391 3810 128 -44 -3 +0 — — +1 -0.3
202521 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 3530 12201 441 10 4004865671.052 167440 1111 466 215 +5 +0 — — +1 0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 11621077 29364842 692426 4314 272319463783 191313 216 342 120 +26 +3 +3 -4 +33 6.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Carlos Beltránlast yr '17
ROYAS×9GG×3SS×2HOF
career totals — 18 seasons, 10,245 PA
1810,245413282278352489-36-1370.259.6
/1626642718-2.4-0.84.5pk7: 49
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons
1810,344430365268318473+9+962.147.7
/1626642823+0.6+0.64.0pk7: 33
#2Ian Kinslerlast yr '19
career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA
148,299257243269337440+30+6653.044.3
/1626642119+2.4+5.34.2pk7: 36
#3Alfonso Sorianolast yr '14
career totals — 15 seasons, 8,387 PA
158,387411289270319500-54+147.942.7
/1626643323-4.2+0.13.8pk7: 37
#4Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19
AS×3SS
career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA
158,278344153249337466-10-447.541.9
/1626642812-0.8-0.33.8pk7: 36
#5Torii Hunterlast yr '15
career totals — 16 seasons, 9,251 PA
169,251344185278332465-25-2246.337.8
/1626642513-1.8-1.63.3pk7: 29
#6Mike Cameronlast yr '11
career totals — 12 seasons, 6,303 PA
126,303234209251339451-1+3840.136.5
/1626642522-0.1+4.04.2pk7: 33

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jackson Chourio (OGILVIE) 22 55 50 60 40 277/329/485 208327 2824 24% 7% 128 +4.5 ————————— —————————
●Julio Rodríguez
2023 · MLB 		22 57→56 60 55 45 291/349/506 216356 2824 26% 7% 144 +4.8 280/336/479 199339 2626 24% 7% 132 +4.0 277/333/472195330262724%6%124+3.8
●Michael Harris II
2023 · MLB 		22 55→58 52→60 58→55 42 272/318/450 179339 1924 25% 6% 117 +2.9 272/311/443 171319 2019 21% 5% 112 +2.6 267/300/430164305201820%4%102+1.7
●Corbin Carroll
2023 · MLB 		22 49→54 58→65 62→60 46 249/327/469 221326 2325 30% 9% 125 +3.5 252/333/465 213296 2234 22% 9% 127 +3.6 249/336/472222286233721%10%126+3.9
●Luis Robert Jr.
2022 · MLB 		24 54→57 56→60 54→60 42 274/326/471 197341 2419 26% 6% 126 +3.5 265/312/457 192323 2519 25% 5% 117 +2.9 250/299/444193309262228%5%103+1.6
●Bo Bichette
2022 · MLB 		24 56→62 56→60 55 45 288/333/477 190330 2420 21% 6% 131 +3.9 285/326/453 168336 2011 21% 6% 121 +3.2 288/331/44115332916517%6%116+2.5
●Carlos Correa
2016 · MLB 		21 54→60 52→60 56→55 50 271/334/453 182316 1921 20% 8% 124 +3.4 270/347/453 183320 2111 21% 10% 129 +3.7 262/346/44017830421020%11%122+3.2
★Bobby Witt Jr.
2023 · MLB 		23 48→58 56→65 56→60 42 250/297/447 197293 2425 24% 6% 108 +2.3 293/343/519 226326 2631 18% 7% 145 +4.9 306/361/543236337263417%7%152+6.2
★Rickie Weeks Jr.
2006 · MLB 		23 49→58 53→55 59→55 50 246/338/432 185302 2019 24% 9% 121 +3.2 251/353/417 166310 1623 23% 11% 123 +3.3 259/353/453194315221124%10%129+4.0
★Justin Upton
2010 · MLB 		22 54→59 57→65 53→55 51 273/347/482 210339 2314 26% 10% 137 +4.3 275/354/466 191335 2117 23% 10% 135 +4.2 264/344/505242328321029%10%138+4.6
●Chris Young
2006 · AA 		22 44→49 57→60 55 46 231/302/438 206297 2423 30% 8% 108 +2.3 232/297/432 200270 2320 23% 8% 104 +2.0 239/321/428189289201724%10%109+2.5
●Royce Lewis
2023 · MLB 		24 50→49 54→60 55→50 45 256/314/439 183307 2123 24% 7% 112 +2.6 258/314/460 202301 2814 24% 7% 118 +3.0 245/301/434189280271223%7%103+1.2
●Oneil Cruz
2022 · AAA 		23 48→53 56→60 57→60 40 248/295/447 199326 2421 31% 6% 106 +2.2 237/300/427 190316 2320 31% 8% 103 +1.9 238/321/427189324233432%10%106+1.7
★Yasiel Puig
2014 · MLB 		23 58→63 59→60 50→55 47 294/357/510 216346 2620 22% 7% 149 +5.1 287/357/480 193340 2111 21% 9% 141 +4.5 268/338/487219295291820%9%129+3.4
★Matt Kemp
2007 · MLB 		22 54→64 53→65 58→55 41 271/313/450 179335 2022 25% 5% 115 +2.7 290/334/461 171356 1825 22% 6% 126 +3.5 298/367/539241354322224%9%147+5.1
●Kyle Tucker
2020 · MLB 		23 44→54 59→65 55 44 239/296/448 209281 2723 26% 7% 108 +2.3 257/320/479 222284 2720 20% 8% 125 +3.5 267/372/486219277262515%14%139+4.0
✕Anthony Volpe
2023 · AAA 		22 42→49 54→55 60→55 48 220/301/407 187268 2029 26% 8% 99 +1.7 219/284/372 153274 1624 25% 8% 82 +0.5 216/279/363147269152225%7%76+0.1
●Howie Kendrick
2006 · AA 		23 60→65 53→55 54→50 41 301/337/492 192336 1918 17% 3% 136 +4.2 296/328/448 152346 1315 18% 3% 120 +3.1 285/329/438153328141517%5%114+2.6
★Ronald Acuña Jr.
2020 · MLB 		22 53→63 60→70 55→65 49 272/345/490 217336 2926 27% 9% 138 +4.4 271/369/511 240328 3126 26% 12% 154 +5.4 300/390/529229333294418%11%161+5.5
●B.J. Upton
2008 · MLB 		23 55→60 50→60 55→60 52 268/345/422 154340 1731 25% 10% 121 +3.2 257/345/406 149331 1435 24% 12% 116 +2.8 237/314/436198292233526%10%108+2.4
●Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2022 · MLB 		24 46→50 55→60 54→60 42 238/298/423 185313 2322 31% 7% 102 +1.8 255/317/463 208319 2728 28% 8% 120 +3.1 247/320/444197301283627%9%113+2.3