Royce Lewis — OGILVIE

Royce Lewis3B Minnesota Twins

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB Svc 3.826 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION323 act + 215 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 111107vR 98

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .314 / .448

PA215

HR10

K%24

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO201

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

679.2%

xwOBA

480.306

POWER50

Barrel%

6610.6

Avg EV

4588.7

Bat Spd

6572.9

EYE45

Chase%

7826.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

5527.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 789 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

243

546

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

308

310

—

ISO

158

196

▶▶R

BABIP

266

258

—

20.2%

22.5%

◀L

BB%

8.6%

7.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.826 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$7M	+2.1	$16M	+$9M
2028	Arb-3	$10M	+1.9	$13M	+$5M
Totals		$18M		$32M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	2 teams	—	239	212	45	6	2	3	17	47	9	18	3	212	298	302	600	90	258	20	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	2 teams	—	239	204	57	8	3	4	25	33	9	18	3	279	382	407	789	127	315	14	10	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	2 teams	—	535	497	120	22	3	9	29	118	4	28	8	241	289	352	641	111	297	22	5	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	2 teams	—	535	483	141	29	3	14	43	84	4	28	8	292	355	451	806	159	326	16	8	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	3 teams	—	661	619	114	26	4	7	30	217	4	27	11	184	227	273	500	89	266	33	5	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	3 teams	—	661	602	152	35	4	15	47	145	4	27	11	252	311	399	710	146	304	22	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	—	194	177	47	12	1	7	13	45	3	12	2	266	326	463	790	198	317	23	7	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	—	194	171	53	16	1	7	19	37	3	12	2	310	389	538	927	228	359	19	10	404	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	2 teams	—	290	264	81	7	0	20	23	71	2	9	2	307	367	561	927	254	351	24	8	399	163	+21	+1	+1	+1	+8	3.3
2023	24	MLB	2 teams	—	290	262	83	8	0	21	25	68	2	9	2	317	381	588	968	271	356	23	9	420	179	+26	+1	+1	+1	+8	3.8
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	356	322	71	17	0	16	29	87	0	1	0	220	285	422	707	202	246	24	8	303	90	-4	+0	+1	+1	+10	0.9
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	356	321	73	18	0	16	30	85	0	1	0	227	293	433	726	206	253	24	8	316	100	+0	+0	+1	+1	+10	1.3
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	436	407	93	19	0	13	26	90	0	12	2	229	275	371	646	143	261	21	6	282	74	-13	+2	+2	+2	+12	0.5
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	436	407	93	19	0	13	26	88	0	12	2	229	275	371	646	143	259	20	6	286	77	-11	+2	+2	+2	+12	0.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	MIN	—	323	290	66	14	0	18	27	85	4	6	0	228	302	462	764	234	254	26	8	333	113	+5	+1	-3	+1	+9	1.4
YTD	27	MLB	MIN	—	323	288	70	15	0	20	29	82	4	6	0	243	321	503	824	260	266	25	9	358	132	+12	+1	-3	+1	+9	2.1
ROS	27	MLB	MIN	100%	215	194	48	9	0	10	17	51	2	4	1	247	314	448	762	201	279	24	8	331	111	+3	+0	+0	+1	+6	1.1
ROS	27	MLB	MIN	100%	215	194	48	9	0	10	17	51	2	4	1	247	315	448	763	201	279	24	8	326	108	+2	+0	+0	+1	+6	1.0
FULL	27	MLB	MIN	—	538	484	114	23	0	28	44	136	6	10	1	236	307	457	764	221	266	25	8	330	111	+7	+2	-2	+2	+15	2.3
TOT	27	MLB	MIN	—	538	484	114	23	0	28	44	136	6	10	1	235	307	456	763	221	266	25	8	332	112	+7	+2	-2	+2	+15	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIN	98%	406	368	91	17	0	19	32	97	3	8	1	247	313	448	761	201	282	24	8	333	113	+6	+1	+0	+1	+12	2.1
2028	29	MLB	MIN	98%	401	363	89	17	0	18	32	97	3	7	1	245	312	441	752	196	281	24	8	331	112	+5	+1	-1	+1	+11	1.9
2029	30	MLB	MIN	98%	397	359	88	17	0	18	32	97	3	6	1	245	312	443	755	198	280	24	8	328	109	+4	+1	-1	+1	+11	1.7
2030	31	MLB	MIN	98%	382	346	83	16	0	17	31	94	2	5	1	240	306	434	740	194	277	25	8	324	106	+3	+1	-2	+1	+11	1.4
2031	32	MLB	MIN	98%	363	329	77	14	0	16	29	91	2	4	1	234	300	422	722	188	273	25	8	318	101	+1	+0	-3	+1	+10	1.0
2032	33	MLB	MIN	98%	333	301	68	12	0	14	27	85	2	3	0	226	294	405	699	179	267	26	8	310	95	-2	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.6
2027	28	MLB	MIN	98%	398	360	88	17	0	18	32	95	3	8	1	244	311	442	753	197	283	24	8	329	110	+4	+1	+0	+1	+11	1.9
2028	29	MLB	MIN	98%	393	355	88	17	0	18	32	95	3	7	1	248	315	448	763	200	282	24	8	327	108	+4	+1	-1	+1	+11	1.7
2029	30	MLB	MIN	98%	389	352	86	16	0	18	31	95	3	6	1	244	311	443	754	199	280	24	8	324	106	+3	+1	-1	+1	+11	1.5
2030	31	MLB	MIN	98%	374	339	81	15	0	17	30	92	2	5	1	239	305	434	738	195	277	25	8	320	103	+1	+1	-2	+1	+11	1.2
2031	32	MLB	MIN	98%	356	322	75	14	0	15	29	89	2	4	1	233	300	416	716	183	273	25	8	314	98	-1	+0	-3	+1	+10	0.9
2032	33	MLB	MIN	98%	326	295	68	12	0	14	26	83	2	3	0	231	297	414	711	183	267	25	8	306	92	-3	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3459	3142	770	145	0	156	271	814	19	55	9	245	309	440	749	195	280	24	8	325	107	+27	+7	-4	+15	+98	14.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	144	27	0	29	51	153	4	10	2	244	309	437	746	193	279	24	8	325	107	+5	+1	-1	+3	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	5208	4758	1115	211	10	187	367	1287	39	144	34	234	295	401	695	166	279	25	7	304	91	-54	+15	-4	+20	+148	12.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	138	26	1	23	46	161	5	18	4	232	293	396	689	163	278	25	7	304	91	-7	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	80	71	21	2	1	1	6	16	2	3	1	296	367	394	761	99	364	20	8	341	119	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2017	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	159	133	36	6	2	3	19	17	7	15	2	271	390	414	803	143	292	11	12	366	138	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2018	19	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	208	188	48	6	3	5	19	35	1	6	4	255	327	399	726	144	291	17	9	326	107	+2	-0	—	—	+6	0.7
2018	19	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	327	295	93	23	0	9	24	49	3	22	4	315	373	485	857	169	349	15	7	374	145	+16	+3	—	—	+9	2.9
2019	20	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	148	134	31	9	1	2	11	33	1	6	2	231	295	358	653	127	287	22	7	290	80	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2019	20	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	418	383	91	17	3	10	27	90	3	16	8	238	293	376	669	138	281	22	6	296	85	-7	+0	—	—	+12	0.5
2019	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	95	85	30	9	0	3	9	22	0	5	1	353	415	565	980	212	443	23	9	425	183	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2022	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	41	40	12	4	0	2	1	5	0	0	0	300	317	550	867	250	303	12	2	376	146	+2	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.6
2022	23	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	153	131	41	12	1	5	18	32	3	12	2	313	408	534	942	221	379	21	12	412	173	+13	+2	—	—	+4	1.9
2023	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	239	217	67	7	0	15	20	55	2	6	1	309	372	548	921	240	354	23	8	403	167	+18	+1	+1	+1	+7	2.8
2023	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	51	45	16	1	0	6	5	13	0	3	1	356	420	778	1.198	422	370	25	10	498	239	+8	+0	—	—	+1	1.0
2024	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	325	292	68	16	0	16	28	74	0	0	0	233	300	452	752	219	251	23	9	326	108	+3	+0	+1	+1	+9	1.5
2024	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	31	29	5	2	0	0	2	11	0	1	0	172	226	241	467	69	278	35	6	215	23	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	403	376	89	18	0	13	25	80	0	12	2	237	284	388	673	152	267	20	6	298	86	-6	+2	+2	+2	+11	1.0
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	33	31	4	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	129	156	161	318	32	167	24	3	142	-33	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1008	925	236	45	0	46	74	214	2	18	3	255	312	453	765	198	283	21	7	335	115	+17	+2	+5	+6	+29	6.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	12	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
	/162	664	21	3	253	305	430	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#3Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#4Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#4Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	3,883	170	66	243	304	435	+14	+9	15.5	13.8
	/162	664	29	11	243	304	435	+2.4	+1.5	2.6	pk7: 12
#5Jedd Gyorkolast yr '20 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,983 PA	8	2,983	121	14	245	310	424	+8	+22	13.4	13.5
	/162	664	27	3	245	310	424	+1.7	+5.0	3.0	pk7: 14
#6Brandon Drurylast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,110 PA	9	3,110	109	5	246	298	425	+4	+2	9.5	10.6
	/162	664	23	1	246	298	425	+0.8	+0.5	2.0	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Royce Lewis (OGILVIE)	27	50	50	45	45	235/307/456	221	266	28	10	25%	8%	112	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Paul DeJong 2021 · MLB	27	46→50	54→60	44→45	50	240/319/421	182	286	22	7	24%	9%	110	+2.4	209/282/386	177	254	24	7	28%	8%	86	+0.8	227/278/404	177	297	25	5	32%	5%	87	+0.6
●Lane Thomas 2023 · MLB	27	47→52	51→55	46→55	49	238/307/401	164	294	18	10	25%	9%	99	+1.7	246/308/421	175	307	20	20	26%	7%	105	+2.1	243/306/418	176	303	21	25	26%	7%	102	+1.4
●Todd Frazier 2013 · MLB	27	46→51	54→60	51→50	43	237/293/421	184	290	21	12	26%	6%	99	+1.7	247/312/431	184	285	23	11	22%	8%	110	+2.4	243/310/454	211	268	30	14	22%	8%	112	+2.9
✕Chris Heisey 2012 · MLB	27	47→52	56→55	50→55	44	247/306/434	187	286	25	11	24%	6%	108	+2.3	239/289/393	154	287	17	11	23%	5%	90	+1.0	233/279/375	142	278	15	11	22%	5%	79	+0.1
●Hiram Bocachica 2003 · MLB	27	45	52→55	46→55	45	233/284/402	169	272	20	12	23%	6%	90	+1.0	228/290/387	159	281	19	14	25%	8%	89	+0.9	242/329/420	178	271	22	22	19%	9%	111	+1.2
●Adam Jones 2013 · MLB	27	53→55	55→60	47→50	44	273/319/457	184	301	23	12	18%	5%	119	+3.1	270/308/459	189	300	25	10	19%	4%	116	+2.8	267/303/454	186	295	25	7	19%	3%	108	+2.5
●Orlando Arcia 2022 · MLB	27	45→55	52→55	45→55	49	234/290/394	159	253	21	9	18%	7%	91	+1.1	242/301/399	157	277	20	4	20%	8%	97	+1.5	237/298/385	147	275	19	1	21%	7%	89	+0.8
●Edward Olivares 2023 · MLB	27	50→55	50→55	45→55	45	254/309/410	156	293	19	13	20%	6%	102	+1.9	255/313/415	160	291	18	16	19%	6%	105	+2.1	255/316/420	165	287	19	18	18%	6%	106	+1.3
✕Brad Miller 2017 · MLB	27	47→56	56→60	48→50	49	246/311/447	202	285	24	9	23%	8%	113	+2.6	232/314/419	187	295	22	7	27%	11%	108	+2.3	231/323/465	234	278	32	5	28%	11%	120	+1.5
●Chas McCormick 2022 · MLB	27	47→51	52→55	48→55	47	243/313/407	164	307	21	11	28%	8%	104	+2.0	245/322/409	164	312	21	14	27%	9%	108	+2.3	239/319/393	154	302	20	17	26%	9%	101	+1.2
✕David Bote 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	53→55	48→45	51	234/322/409	175	295	21	9	27%	10%	108	+2.3	219/293/364	145	278	16	7	26%	8%	85	+0.7	225/292/380	155	289	17	8	27%	7%	85	+0.4
●Renato Núñez 2021 · MLB	27	46→51	56→60	44→30	46	243/308/431	189	288	25	3	26%	8%	108	+2.3	244/314/463	219	292	30	5	27%	7%	120	+3.1	232/307/469	237	267	35	1	28%	7%	116	+2.1
✕Rocco Baldelli 2009 · MLB	27	49→59	55	50→55	44	254/314/442	188	299	23	11	24%	6%	113	+2.6	235/290/391	156	292	20	8	26%	6%	90	+1.0	228/272/370	142	282	19	4	26%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Aaron Altherr 2018 · MLB	27	49→52	54→55	50	48	250/323/442	192	305	21	12	25%	8%	117	+2.9	210/293/366	156	281	17	10	30%	9%	85	+0.7	175/269/307	132	240	15	9	32%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
●Dansby Swanson 2022 · MLB	28	49→55	55	48→55	48	252/319/443	191	305	23	10	25%	8%	115	+2.8	256/322/427	171	319	21	13	25%	8%	112	+2.6	252/322/413	161	314	19	14	25%	9%	106	+2.3
●Chris Young 2010 · MLB	26	45→49	54→60	51→55	51	234/311/430	196	283	21	15	25%	10%	108	+2.3	238/324/422	184	283	20	19	22%	11%	112	+2.6	236/326/419	183	275	21	21	22%	11%	109	+2.2
●Harrison Bader 2022 · MLB	28	48→56	55	50→55	48	250/324/441	191	300	22	14	24%	8%	118	+3.0	240/290/374	134	283	15	24	20%	6%	85	+0.7	242/304/399	157	300	20	16	25%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Dilson Herrera 2021 · MLB	27	39→49	55→50	47→50	41	213/274/394	181	276	23	11	32%	7%	85	+0.7	203/260/354	151	298	19	8	37%	6%	68	-0.5	146/205/283	138	208	20	0	41%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Mike Brosseau 2021 · MLB	27	50→56	55	47→45	44	255/317/443	188	305	22	8	24%	6%	115	+2.8	227/303/389	162	293	21	7	29%	8%	95	+1.4	218/297/354	136	277	20	3	28%	8%	82	+0.2