Orlando Arcia — OGILVIE

Orlando ArciaSS St. Paul Saints

Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 187 lbs AAA BB +3% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†vL 5372vR 58

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .279 / .358

PA419

HR11

K%21

BB%7

xwOBA.240

Barrel%2.5%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

40→40

SPD

35→35

EYE

44↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2026

Barrel%

102.5

xwOBA

100.240

Avg EV

2887.4

Whiff%

430.117

Chase%

260.363

Speed

1025.5

Bat Spd

4370.6

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+0.5	$2M	-$3M
Totals		$5M		$2M	-$3M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	16	ROK	DSL Brewers	254	231	52	12	1	5	17	29	4	13	4	.225	.290	.351	.640	.126	.236	11	7	.278	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2013	18	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	486	455	103	11	4	3	22	52	6	20	9	.226	.271	.288	.559	.062	.249	11	5	.251	50	-27	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.8
2014	19	A+	2 teams	802	743	195	44	7	5	45	144	4	34	13	.262	.308	.361	.669	.098	.318	18	6	.289	79	-19	+2	+0	+9	+23	1.4
2015	20	AA	2 teams	682	641	177	43	9	9	24	119	6	25	9	.276	.308	.413	.722	.137	.324	17	4	.303	90	-8	+1	+0	+7	+19	2.1
2016	21	AAA	3 teams	764	715	150	27	5	12	39	174	4	26	8	.210	.255	.312	.567	.102	.259	23	5	.248	48	-45	+2	+2	+8	+22	-1.2
2017	22	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	548	506	142	18	2	14	36	100	1	14	7	.281	.330	.407	.737	.126	.324	18	7	.314	98	-1	+0	+8	+6	+16	2.9
2018	23	MLB	3 teams	546	515	129	24	1	5	25	127	2	9	5	.250	.288	.330	.618	.080	.321	23	5	.272	66	-21	-0	+7	+6	+15	0.8
2019	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	546	494	111	16	1	15	43	109	1	8	5	.225	.288	.352	.640	.128	.255	20	8	.271	65	-21	-0	-2	+6	+15	-0.2
2020	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	189	173	45	10	1	5	14	32	1	2	0	.260	.319	.416	.735	.156	.292	17	7	.322	105	+1	+0	+2	+2	+5	1.1
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	411	378	88	16	0	17	28	65	1	6	3	.233	.287	.410	.698	.177	.237	16	7	.296	85	-7	+0	-0	-4	+12	-0.0
2022	27	MLB	3 teams	355	315	73	13	0	11	33	83	3	2	0	.232	.311	.378	.688	.146	.276	23	9	.302	89	-4	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.6
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	599	547	140	27	0	18	44	115	4	1	1	.256	.316	.404	.720	.148	.293	19	7	.316	100	-0	-0	+6	+6	+17	2.9
2024	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	602	551	121	23	0	18	41	128	2	2	0	.220	.276	.359	.635	.140	.250	21	7	.278	71	-20	+0	+6	+6	+17	1.1
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	266	253	47	8	1	4	12	58	0	0	1	.186	.223	.273	.495	.087	.224	22	5	.221	27	-22	-0	+2	+3	+8	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	AAA	St. Paul Saints	88	81	15	4	1	2	7	22	0	1	1	.185	.250	.333	.583	.148	.228	25	8	.272	66	-3	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	31	MLB	MIN	331	304	67	14	1	9	23	72	1	2	1	.220	.277	.362	.639	.141	.254	22	7	.282	74	-10	+0	+2	+4	+9	0.5
TOT	31	MLB	MIN	419	385	82	18	2	11	30	94	1	3	2	.213	.272	.356	.627	.143	.252	22	7	.280	72	-13	-0	+2	+4	+12	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB 20%	MIN	400	365	81	17	1	11	31	72	1	1	1	.222	.285	.364	.649	.142	.245	18	8	.289	79	-9	-0	-1	+4	+11	0.5
2028	33	MLB 33%	MIN	370	338	74	15	1	10	28	69	1	0	0	.219	.281	.358	.639	.139	.243	19	8	.283	75	-11	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.2
2029	34	MLB 43%	MIN	325	297	63	13	1	8	24	63	1	0	0	.212	.273	.343	.617	.131	.241	19	7	.276	70	-11	+0	-3	+3	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8476	7821	1858	351	36	179	529	1611	43	165	67	.238	.290	.360	.650	.123	.276	19	6	.283	75	-244	+6	+25	+79	+240	11.0
/ 162G	—			650	600	143	27	3	14	41	124	3	13	5	.238	.290	.363	.654	.125	.277	19	6	.283	75	-19	+1	+2	+6	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	16	ROK	DSL Brewers	254	218	64	16	1	6	30	20	4	13	4	.294	.389	.459	.848	.165	.299	8	12	.376	146	+13	+1	—	—	+7	2.2
2013	18	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	486	442	111	14	5	4	35	40	6	20	9	.251	.315	.333	.647	.081	.268	8	7	.294	83	-9	+0	—	—	+14	0.5
2014	19	A+	Brevard County Manatees	546	498	144	29	5	4	42	65	2	31	11	.289	.347	.392	.738	.102	.326	12	8	.330	111	+7	+2	—	—	+15	2.5
2014	19	INTL	Venezuela	256	227	59	13	2	7	21	38	2	3	2	.260	.328	.427	.755	.167	.283	15	8	.328	110	+3	-0	—	—	+7	1.0
2015	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	552	512	157	37	7	8	30	73	3	25	8	.307	.349	.453	.802	.146	.343	13	5	.351	127	+17	+2	—	—	+16	3.5
2015	20	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	130	109	34	6	2	1	14	15	3	0	1	.312	.405	.431	.836	.119	.344	12	11	.366	138	+6	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2016	21	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	216	201	44	10	3	4	15	47	0	8	0	.219	.273	.358	.631	.139	.267	22	7	.282	74	-6	+2	+2	+8	+6	1.1
2016	21	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	440	404	108	19	6	8	29	77	3	15	8	.267	.321	.403	.725	.136	.312	18	7	.321	103	+2	-0	—	—	+12	1.4
2016	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	108	99	26	3	0	2	6	18	1	3	0	.263	.311	.354	.665	.091	.300	17	6	.296	84	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2017	22	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	548	506	140	17	2	15	36	100	1	14	7	.277	.326	.407	.733	.130	.317	18	7	.325	107	+4	+0	+8	+6	+16	3.4
2018	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	366	348	82	16	0	3	15	87	1	7	4	.236	.269	.307	.577	.072	.305	24	4	.260	57	-18	-0	+7	+6	+10	0.6
2018	23	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	96	85	29	5	1	2	10	15	1	2	1	.341	.417	.494	.911	.153	.397	16	10	.405	168	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2018	23	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	84	72	24	6	0	1	10	5	0	0	0	.333	.415	.458	.873	.125	.338	6	12	.383	151	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2019	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	546	494	110	16	1	15	43	109	1	8	5	.223	.286	.350	.636	.128	.253	20	8	.283	75	-15	-0	-2	+6	+15	0.4
2020	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	189	173	45	10	1	5	14	32	1	2	0	.260	.319	.416	.735	.156	.292	17	7	.326	108	+2	+0	+2	+2	+5	1.1
2021	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	89	81	16	3	0	2	7	19	0	1	0	.198	.261	.309	.570	.111	.230	21	8	.257	55	-5	+0	-0	-4	+3	-0.7
2021	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	322	287	81	16	0	17	31	38	1	5	3	.282	.354	.516	.870	.233	.272	12	10	.378	147	+17	-0	—	—	+9	2.7
2022	27	MLB	Atlanta Braves	234	209	51	9	0	9	21	51	2	0	0	.244	.319	.416	.735	.172	.278	22	9	.326	108	+2	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.8
2022	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	16	13	3	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	.231	.375	.308	.683	.077	.429	38	19	.324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	27	INTL	Venezuela	105	91	19	2	0	2	11	20	1	2	0	.209	.301	.297	.598	.088	.239	19	10	.273	67	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2023	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	533	488	129	25	0	17	39	102	3	1	0	.264	.323	.420	.743	.156	.301	19	7	.330	110	+6	+0	+6	+6	+15	3.4
2023	28	INTL	Leones del Caracas	66	58	14	3	0	2	6	6	1	0	1	.241	.323	.397	.720	.155	.240	9	9	.319	103	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	602	551	120	24	0	17	41	128	2	2	0	.218	.274	.354	.628	.136	.249	21	7	.279	71	-19	+0	+6	+6	+17	1.1
2025	30	MLB	Colorado Rockies	214	203	41	7	1	3	10	47	0	0	1	.202	.239	.291	.530	.089	.247	22	5	.238	40	-14	-0	+2	+3	+6	-0.4
2025	30	INTL	Leones del Caracas	52	49	12	3	0	2	3	7	0	0	0	.245	.288	.429	.717	.184	.250	13	6	.316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3537	3254	778	137	8	90	241	722	11	43	17	.239	.294	.369	.663	.130	.279	20	7	.295	84	-64	+2	+29	+40	+100	11.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Orlando Arcia (OGILVIE)	31	40	40	35	50	.223/.279/.358	.135	.261	11	2	21%	7%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2018 · MLB	30	45	47→45	37→40	42	.226/.271/.359	.133	.262	14	3	20%	4%	73	-0.1	.227/.286/.345	.118	.263	12	4	18%	6%	76	+0.1	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Nick Green 2010 · MLB	31	44→47	48→50	40→45	40	.224/.272/.362	.138	.282	16	5	26%	5%	75	-0.0	.212/.262/.336	.124	.264	12	5	24%	5%	63	-0.8	.209/.257/.338	.128	.255	12	3	23%	4%	59	-0.6
✕Henry Blanco 2003 · MLB	31	44	47→50	39→40	53	.218/.292/.358	.140	.254	13	4	20%	9%	82	+0.5	.212/.271/.345	.133	.236	14	3	17%	7%	70	-0.3	.256/.311/.393	.137	.293	14	0	18%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Dustin Garneau 2019 · MLB	31	39→38	50	41→45	44	.205/.268/.357	.152	.248	18	4	25%	7%	72	-0.2	.208/.285/.373	.165	.267	19	4	29%	8%	84	+0.6	.172/.264/.349	.177	.216	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Deibinson Romero 2017 · AAA	30	44→46	46→50	41→40	49	.220/.288/.355	.135	.259	13	4	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.234/.294/.353	.119	.267	14	6	18%	7%	82	+0.5	.246/.308/.339	.093	.276	12	2	15%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	45	43→30	44	.212/.270/.334	.122	.272	12	4	26%	7%	66	-0.6	.213/.286/.364	.151	.271	16	6	26%	9%	82	+0.5	.184/.291/.331	.147	.224	15	0	25%	13%	76	+0.0
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2012 · AAA	30	46	47→50	40	44	.230/.289/.366	.135	.274	15	3	22%	6%	83	+0.6	.223/.275/.354	.131	.278	16	7	25%	6%	74	-0.1	.221/.272/.330	.110	.295	13	3	29%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Juan Castro 2003 · MLB	31	46	43→50	42→40	47	.228/.276/.339	.111	.262	11	4	18%	6%	69	-0.4	.241/.281/.371	.130	.274	13	4	17%	5%	79	+0.3	.245/.277/.374	.129	.274	12	2	15%	4%	75	+0.0
✕Steve Holm 2011 · MLB	31	46	43→50	40	47	.222/.286/.335	.113	.269	9	4	21%	7%	73	-0.1	.199/.262/.296	.097	.257	8	6	25%	7%	53	-1.5	.150/.213/.195	.046	.208	2	0	27%	6%	4	-1.6
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB	30	47	45→50	39→30	47	.233/.299/.350	.117	.289	13	3	24%	8%	83	+0.6	.239/.318/.393	.154	.299	18	5	25%	9%	102	+1.9	.216/.315/.356	.139	.285	17	0	28%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Francisco Cordoba 2015 · AAA	31	49→53	47→45	36→40	42	.246/.293/.376	.130	.298	15	3	23%	5%	87	+0.8	.227/.277/.332	.105	.278	12	4	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.210/.264/.330	.119	.239	16	1	20%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Cody Clark 2012 · AAA	30	44	45	43→40	44	.220/.268/.342	.121	.254	12	5	19%	5%	67	-0.5	.189/.232/.274	.085	.237	8	4	23%	5%	34	-2.8	.157/.197/.212	.055	.200	6	0	24%	4%	0	-1.9
✕Chad Moeller 2006 · MLB	31	44	47→50	41→30	47	.224/.283/.361	.137	.266	15	3	22%	7%	79	+0.3	.209/.267/.325	.116	.260	13	3	24%	6%	63	-0.8	.207/.260/.300	.092	.257	5	0	21%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB	30	45→37	42→45	41→40	46	.219/.274/.320	.101	.276	9	5	24%	7%	63	-0.8	.218/.270/.342	.124	.289	14	5	29%	6%	68	-0.5	.219/.269/.342	.123	.294	15	0	30%	4%	67	-0.2
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2013 · AAA	31	44	47→50	41→50	41	.223/.277/.359	.136	.290	14	3	28%	6%	76	+0.0	.219/.267/.328	.109	.285	10	4	26%	5%	63	-0.8	.208/.248/.310	.102	.275	10	1	27%	4%	46	-0.8
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	40	49→50	44→45	38	.209/.270/.352	.143	.267	18	6	29%	4%	72	-0.2	.213/.276/.337	.124	.297	14	8	32%	6%	70	-0.3	.172/.245/.252	.080	.248	10	0	33%	6%	37	-0.5
✕Justin Leone 2007 · MLB	30	41	47→50	43→55	46	.211/.283/.343	.132	.274	16	6	28%	8%	75	-0.0	.206/.284/.351	.145	.269	16	16	28%	9%	78	+0.2	.187/.272/.333	.146	.244	16	19	29%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Iker Franco 2012 · AAA	31	46→47	50	39→40	50	.237/.296/.388	.151	.257	19	3	17%	7%	92	+1.2	.238/.295/.363	.125	.283	16	3	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.256/.311/.344	.088	.308	10	1	20%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Nick Hundley 2015 · MLB	31	43→45	47→55	41→40	43	.222/.273/.350	.128	.274	15	4	25%	6%	72	-0.2	.257/.303/.413	.156	.310	17	5	22%	6%	100	+1.7	.260/.304/.426	.166	.311	18	3	22%	6%	98	+0.9
✕Carlos Rivero 2019 · AAA	31	42→52	48→50	44→45	41	.219/.258/.355	.136	.264	16	5	24%	5%	66	-0.6	.254/.300/.410	.156	.299	19	4	21%	6%	98	+1.6	.266/.311/.426	.160	.307	21	0	20%	6%	105	+1.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)