Francisco Cordoba

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1984-06-01

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	39	INTLYaquis de Obr…	118	.219/.330/.344	3	1	87	—
2024	40	INTLNaranjeros de…	54	.200/.245/.220	0	0	31	—
2025	41	INTLMexico Rojo	67	.153/.219/.220	0	2	19	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	23	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	36	34	6	1	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	176	222	206	428	29	231	22	3	201	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	30	27	3	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	111	200	111	311		130	13	10	160	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	282	236	69	14	1	8	39	53	4	1	2	292	401	462	863	169	347	19	14	383	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	115	94	20	6	0	2	18	19	1	2	3	213	345	340	686	128	243	17	16	313	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	317	282	76	16	0	10	24	68	2	3	3	270	331	433	764	163	317	21	8	331	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	283	253	61	10	1	7	24	55	4	1	6	241	317	372	688	130	281	19	8	310	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	408	366	108	14	0	15	33	72	2	0	2	295	357	456	813	161	332	18	8	356	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	419	366	107	25	0	10	33	72	10	1	1	292	367	443	809	150	338	17	8	354	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	327	289	68	7	0	8	24	72	5	1	0	235	305	343	648	107	283	22	7	288	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	55	45	12	1	0	1	6	11	1	0	0	267	365	356	721	89	333	20	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	362	310	78	20	0	5	30	55	7	2	1	252	331	365	696	113	287	15	8	304	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	29	26	3	0	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	115	207	115	322		158	24	7	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	254	223	49	5	0	3	18	46	3	0	0	220	287	283	569	63	261	18	7	254	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	32	30	7	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	233	258	233	491		292	19	3	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	52	46	5	0	0	2	5	13	0	0	1	109	196	239	435	130	94	25	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	418	363	88	14	0	20	39	69	6	0	1	242	325	446	771	204	245	17	9	335	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	94	81	15	0	0	5	7	16	1	0	0	185	258	370	629	185	167	17	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	36	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	79	67	16	4	0	1	9	14	2	1	1	239	346	343	689	104	283	18	11	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	37	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	123	107	22	5	0	3	11	19	4	1	0	206	303	336	640	131	224	15	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	39	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	118	96	21	3	0	3	12	25	4	1	0	219	330	344	674	125	265	21	10	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	40	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	54	50	10	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	200	245	220	465	20	278	26	6	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	41	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	67	59	9	4	0	0	5	17	0	2	0	153	219	220	439	68	205	25	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	23	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	36	34	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	176	222	206	428	29	221	28	3	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	30	28	3	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	1	107	167	107	274		127	17	7	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	282	247	64	12	1	6	28	64	4	1	2	259	344	389	733	130	322	23	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	115	101	18	5	0	1	11	22	1	2	3	178	265	257	523	79	219	19	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	317	291	66	13	0	6	15	88	2	3	3	227	269	333	603	107	284	28	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	283	262	52	8	1	4	15	70	4	1	6	198	253	282	535	84	248	25	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	408	378	100	13	0	12	21	89	2	0	2	265	307	394	701	130	306	22	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	419	379	94	21	0	7	20	92	10	1	1	248	303	359	662	111	296	22	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	327	297	59	5	0	5	16	81	5	1	0	199	252	266	518	67	247	25	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	362	322	70	17	0	4	18	67	7	2	1	217	274	307	581	90	243	19	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	254	230	43	4	0	2	11	56	3	0	0	187	234	230	464	43	224	22	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	418	379	75	11	0	15	24	82	6	0	1	198	257	346	602	148	202	20	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	36	34	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	176	222	206	428	29	250	28	3	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	36	34	6	1	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	176	222	206	428	29	231	22	3	201	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	30	28	3	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	1	107	167	107	274		130	17	7	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	30	27	3	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	111	200	111	311		130	13	10	160	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	282	247	64	12	1	6	28	64	4	1	2	259	344	389	733	130	326	23	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	282	236	69	14	1	8	39	53	4	1	2	292	401	462	863	169	347	19	14	383	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	115	101	18	5	0	1	11	22	1	2	3	178	265	257	523	79	215	19	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	115	94	20	6	0	2	18	19	1	2	3	213	345	340	686	128	243	17	16	313	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	317	291	66	13	0	6	15	88	2	3	3	227	269	333	603	107	299	28	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	317	282	76	16	0	10	24	68	2	3	3	270	331	433	764	163	317	21	8	331	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	283	262	52	8	1	4	15	70	4	1	6	198	253	282	535	84	254	25	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	283	253	61	10	1	7	24	55	4	1	6	241	317	372	688	130	281	19	8	310	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	408	378	100	13	0	12	21	89	2	0	2	265	307	394	701	130	317	22	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	408	366	108	14	0	15	33	72	2	0	2	295	357	456	813	161	332	18	8	356	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	419	379	94	21	0	7	20	92	10	1	1	248	303	359	662	111	307	22	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	419	366	107	25	0	10	33	72	10	1	1	292	367	443	809	150	338	17	8	354	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	382	345	70	6	0	6	19	95	6	1	0	203	257	272	529	70	259	25	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	382	334	80	8	0	9	30	83	6	1	0	240	314	344	658	105	290	22	8	292	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	391	348	75	18	0	4	20	72	8	2	1	216	274	302	576	86	257	18	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	391	336	81	20	0	5	32	62	8	2	1	241	322	345	667	104	278	16	8	294	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	286	259	50	5	0	3	13	63	3	0	0	193	240	247	487	54	241	22	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	286	253	56	5	0	3	19	52	3	0	0	221	284	277	560	55	265	18	7	250	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL MLE	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	52	46	5	0	0	2	5	13	0	0	1	109	196	239	435	130	94	25	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL RAW	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	52	46	5	0	0	2	5	13	0	0	1	109	196	239	435	130	94	25	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	512	461	92	13	0	19	30	100	7	0	1	200	259	351	610	152	211	20	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	512	444	103	14	0	25	46	85	7	0	1	232	313	432	746	200	231	17	9	323	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	36	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	79	67	16	4	0	1	9	14	2	1	1	239	346	343	689	104	283	18	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	36	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	79	67	16	4	0	1	9	14	2	1	1	239	346	343	689	104	283	18	11	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	37	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	123	107	22	5	0	3	11	19	4	1	0	206	303	336	640	131	224	15	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	37	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	123	107	22	5	0	3	11	19	4	1	0	206	303	336	640	131	224	15	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	39	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	118	96	21	3	0	3	12	25	4	1	0	219	330	344	674	125	265	21	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	39	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	118	96	21	3	0	3	12	25	4	1	0	219	330	344	674	125	265	21	10	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	40	INTL MLE	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	54	50	10	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	200	245	220	465	20	278	26	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	40	INTL RAW	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	54	50	10	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	200	245	220	465	20	278	26	6	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	41	INTL MLE	Mexico Rojo	—	67	59	9	4	0	0	5	17	0	2	0	153	219	220	439	68	205	25	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	41	INTL RAW	Mexico Rojo	—	67	59	9	4	0	0	5	17	0	2	0	153	219	220	439	68	205	25	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	36	34	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	176	222	206	428	29	221	28	3	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	30	28	3	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	1	107	167	107	274		127	17	7	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	282	248	64	12	1	6	28	64	4	1	2	258	344	387	731	129	322	23	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	115	102	18	5	0	1	11	22	1	2	3	176	265	255	520	78	219	19	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	317	297	66	13	0	6	15	88	2	3	3	222	269	327	596	104	284	28	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	283	262	52	8	1	4	15	70	4	1	6	198	253	282	535	84	248	25	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	408	382	100	13	0	12	21	89	2	0	2	262	307	390	697	128	306	22	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	419	386	94	21	0	7	20	92	10	1	1	244	303	352	656	109	296	22	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	382	354	70	6	0	6	19	95	6	1	0	198	257	266	522	68	247	25	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	391	360	75	18	0	4	20	72	8	2	1	208	274	292	566	83	243	18	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	286	268	50	5	0	3	13	63	3	0	0	187	240	239	479	52	224	22	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	512	470	92	13	0	19	30	100	7	0	1	196	259	345	604	149	202	20	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3954	3558	773	132	2	77	240	872	58	16	22	217	278	320	598	103	264	22	6	228	40	-281	-6	+0	+71	+86	-13.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	127	22	0	13	39	143	10	3	4	217	278	321	599	104	263	22	6	228	40	-46	-1	+0	+12	+14	-2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 418 PAwOBA .327 → .262 (−65)K% 16.5% → 19.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.51%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	19.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.61%	÷0.966	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.78%
HBP% /PA	1.44%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.27%
Singles /BIP	18.37%	÷0.962	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	15.86%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.990	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	3.57%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.80%	÷0.898	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.98%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 92, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .327 → .262; ISO .204 → .156; BABIP .245 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 254 PAwOBA .250 → .206 (−43)K% 18.1% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.11%	÷0.990	×1.200	—	—	21.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.09%	÷1.047	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.40%
HBP% /PA	1.18%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.05%
Singles /BIP	23.16%	÷0.975	×0.930	×0.967	×0.942	20.14%
Doubles /BIP	2.82%	÷0.960	×0.830	×0.967	×0.942	2.23%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.967	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.69%	÷0.898	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.25%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 98, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .250 → .206; ISO .063 → .049; BABIP .261 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAAcereros del Norte · 362 PAwOBA .299 → .248 (−51)K% 15.2% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.19%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	18.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.01%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×0.952	4.97%
HBP% /PA	1.93%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.73%
Singles /BIP	20.78%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.999	×0.952	18.18%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷1.013	×0.830	×0.999	×0.952	6.11%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.124	×0.920	×0.999	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.96%	÷0.941	×0.700	—	×0.952	1.39%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 125, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .299 → .248; ISO .113 → .090; BABIP .287 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAAcereros del Norte · 327 PAwOBA .283 → .233 (−50)K% 22.0% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.02%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	24.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.34%	÷0.979	×0.690	—	×0.962	4.98%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.38%
Singles /BIP	24.42%	÷0.988	×0.930	×0.994	×0.962	21.97%
Doubles /BIP	3.23%	÷1.051	×0.830	×0.994	×0.962	2.43%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.994	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.69%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.962	2.36%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 113, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .283 → .233; ISO .107 → .074; BABIP .283 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAcereros del Norte · 419 PAwOBA .345 → .288 (−57)K% 17.2% → 22.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.18%	÷0.939	×1.200	—	—	21.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.16%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.65%
HBP% /PA	2.39%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	2.18%
Singles /BIP	24.49%	÷1.019	×0.930	×1.018	×0.972	22.13%
Doubles /BIP	8.50%	÷0.995	×0.830	×1.018	×0.972	7.02%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.018	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.40%	÷0.952	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.43%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .345 → .288; ISO .150 → .117; BABIP .338 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAAcereros del Norte · 408 PAwOBA .347 → .296 (−51)K% 17.6% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	21.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.09%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.14%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.45%
Singles /BIP	26.87%	÷1.004	×0.930	×1.034	×0.982	25.29%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.942	×0.830	×1.034	×0.982	4.26%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.066	×0.920	×1.034	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.10%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×0.982	3.89%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .347 → .296; ISO .161 → .129; BABIP .332 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAAcereros del Norte · 283 PAwOBA .300 → .237 (−62)K% 19.4% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.43%	÷0.946	×1.200	—	—	24.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.77%	÷0.982	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.42%
HBP% /PA	1.41%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.32%
Singles /BIP	21.72%	÷0.994	×0.930	×0.998	×0.992	20.10%
Doubles /BIP	5.05%	÷1.062	×0.830	×0.998	×0.992	3.91%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷1.100	×0.920	×0.998	×0.992	0.42%
Home runs /BIP	3.54%	÷1.173	×0.700	—	×0.992	2.09%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 112, 3B 120, K 89, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .300 → .237; ISO .130 → .085; BABIP .281 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAAcereros del Norte · 317 PAwOBA .325 → .260 (−64)K% 21.5% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.45%	÷0.928	×1.200	—	—	27.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.26%	÷1.083	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.64%
HBP% /PA	0.63%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.59%
Singles /BIP	23.36%	÷0.996	×0.930	×1.004	×1.003	21.96%
Doubles /BIP	7.48%	÷1.016	×0.830	×1.004	×1.003	6.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.004	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.67%	÷1.126	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.91%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 86, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .325 → .260; ISO .163 → .112; BABIP .317 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .