Jason Martin

PosCF

B/TL/R

Born1995-09-05

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	25	AAATEX	161	.248/.390/.543	10	2	110	—	.217/.321/.449
2021	25	MLBTEX	154	.208/.250/.354	6	3	62	-0.8
2022	26	AAAOklahoma City…	544	.285/.377/.564	32	8	103	—	.241/.304/.447
2024	28	AAALAA	306	.286/.366/.517	13	5	86	—	.226/.287/.391
2025	29	No MLB games played
2026	30	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

Speed52

Barrel%43

xwOBA34

Avg EV30

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	17	ROK	GCL Astros	—	214	179	45	8	4	0	29	31	1	11	7	251	359	341	700	89	302	14	14	316	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Greeneville Astros	—	192	164	45	11	6	0	24	30	0	8	6	274	367	415	782	140	331	16	12	343	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	460	396	107	12	7	8	47	74	1	14	15	270	349	396	746	126	311	16	10	325	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	462	400	108	22	7	23	55	108	2	20	12	270	361	532	894	262	310	23	12	385	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	41	31	6	3	0	0	8	4	1	2	0	194	366	290	656	97	222	10	20	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	320	300	82	24	3	11	19	82	1	7	6	273	319	483	802	210	343	26	6	351	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+	Buies Creek Astros	—	198	174	50	11	2	7	20	42	0	9	5	287	361	494	855	207	333	21	10	369	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	234	213	45	5	3	4	17	52	0	5	4	211	270	319	589	108	261	22	7	262	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	289	255	83	13	5	9	28	61	1	7	8	325	394	522	916	196	396	21	10	396	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	40	36	9	2	0	0	4	10	0	2	0	250	325	306	631	56	346	25	10	292	83	-1	+0	-1	-5	+1	-0.5
2019	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	406	370	96	25	5	8	29	79	1	9	6	259	315	419	734	159	307	19	7	321	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	154	144	30	3	0	6	8	41	0	3	1	208	250	354	604	146	245	27	5	266	62	-7	+0	-1	-3	+3	-0.8
2021	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	161	129	32	4	2	10	28	34	2	2	3	248	390	543	933	295	256	21	17	402	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	544	470	134	25	5	32	68	135	1	8	5	285	377	564	940	279	332	25	12	405	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	269	77	17	3	13	31	66	3	5	5	286	366	517	883	230	333	22	10	384	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	194	180	39	5	0	6	12	51	0	5	1	217	266	344	610	128	266	26	6	271	70	-7	+1	-2	-8	+4	-1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	17	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	214	190	38	6	3	0	18	45	1	11	7	200	273	263	536	63	257	21	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	192	172	37	8	5	0	16	43	0	8	6	215	282	320	602	105	273	22	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	460	412	102	10	7	6	31	105	1	14	15	248	302	350	651	102	298	23	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	462	418	83	15	5	16	37	151	2	20	12	199	267	373	640	175	260	33	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	320	306	67	19	3	8	13	102	1	7	6	219	253	379	632	160	304	32	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ MLE	Buies Creek Astros	—	198	181	41	8	1	6	13	63	0	9	5	227	278	381	660	155	293	32	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	234	216	42	4	3	3	14	59	0	5	4	194	243	282	526	88	248	25	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	289	263	81	13	4	8	20	75	1	7	8	308	359	479	838	171	390	26	7	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	40	36	9	2	0	0	4	10	0	2	0	250	325	306	631	56	346	25	10	290	83	-1	+0	-1	-5	+1	-0.5
2019	23	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	406	379	86	23	4	7	20	94	1	9	6	227	268	364	632	137	276	23	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	154	144	30	3	0	6	8	41	0	3	1	208	250	354	604	146	245	27	5	260	62	-7	+0	-1	-3	+3	-0.8
2021	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	161	138	30	4	2	8	19	38	2	2	3	217	321	449	770	232	231	24	12	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	544	494	119	23	5	23	44	160	1	8	5	241	304	447	752	206	301	29	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	279	63	12	2	10	21	82	3	5	5	226	287	391	678	165	276	27	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	214	190	38	6	3	0	18	45	1	11	7	200	273	263	536	63	260	21	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	—	214	179	45	8	4	0	29	31	1	11	7	251	359	341	700	89	302	14	14	316	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	192	172	37	8	5	0	16	43	0	8	6	215	282	320	602	105	282	22	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	—	192	164	45	11	6	0	24	30	0	8	6	274	367	415	782	140	331	16	12	343	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	460	412	102	10	7	6	31	105	1	14	15	248	302	350	651	102	315	23	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	460	396	107	12	7	8	47	74	1	14	15	270	349	396	746	126	311	16	10	325	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	503	454	92	17	6	18	41	164	3	22	12	203	273	385	659	183	267	33	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	503	431	114	25	7	23	63	112	3	22	12	265	361	515	877	251	302	22	13	379	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	487	109	28	4	14	26	165	1	16	11	224	265	384	649	160	304	32	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	518	474	132	35	5	18	39	124	1	16	11	278	335	487	822	209	339	24	8	358	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	523	479	125	17	8	12	34	134	1	12	12	261	311	405	716	144	337	26	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	523	468	128	18	8	13	45	113	1	12	12	274	339	429	768	156	334	22	9	336	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	446	415	95	25	4	7	24	104	1	11	6	229	273	359	632	130	286	23	5	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	446	406	105	27	5	8	33	89	1	11	6	259	316	409	725	150	310	20	7	318	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	315	282	60	7	2	14	27	79	2	5	4	213	286	401	687	188	241	25	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	315	273	62	7	2	16	36	75	2	5	4	227	322	443	765	216	250	24	11	335	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	544	494	119	23	5	23	44	160	1	8	5	241	304	447	752	206	305	29	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	544	470	134	25	5	32	68	135	1	8	5	285	377	564	940	279	332	25	12	405	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	279	63	12	2	10	21	82	3	5	5	226	287	391	678	165	280	27	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	269	77	17	3	13	31	66	3	5	5	286	366	517	883	230	333	22	10	384	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	214	193	38	6	3	0	18	45	1	11	7	197	273	259	532	62	257	21	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	192	174	37	8	5	0	16	43	0	8	6	213	282	316	598	103	273	22	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	460	425	102	10	7	6	31	105	1	14	15	240	302	339	641	99	298	23	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	503	454	92	17	6	18	41	164	3	22	12	203	273	385	659	183	260	33	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	486	109	28	4	14	26	165	1	16	11	224	265	385	649	160	300	32	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	523	483	125	17	8	12	34	134	1	12	12	259	311	402	713	143	326	26	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	446	418	95	25	4	7	24	104	1	11	6	227	273	356	629	129	282	23	5	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	315	283	60	7	2	14	27	79	2	5	4	212	286	399	685	187	238	25	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	544	494	119	23	5	23	44	160	1	8	5	241	304	447	752	206	301	29	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	279	63	12	2	10	21	82	3	5	5	226	287	391	678	165	276	27	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	279	63	12	2	10	21	82	3	5	5	226	287	391	678	165	276	27	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	194	180	39	5	0	6	12	51	0	5	1	217	266	344	610	128	266	26	6	271	81	-7	+1	-2	-8	+4	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	131	17	0	20	40	171	0	17	3	217	266	345	610	128	267	26	6	271	81	-23	+2	-6	-27	+14	-4.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4021	3664	840	153	46	104	282	1081	14	112	83	229	287	381	668	152	293	27	7	288	81	-7	+1	-2	-8	+4	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	136	25	7	17	46	175	2	18	13	230	287	382	669	152	294	27	7	288	81	-23	+2	-6	-27	+14	-4.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAASalt Lake Bees · 306 PAwOBA .374 → .296 (−78)K% 21.6% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.57%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	26.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.48%	÷0.944	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.80%
HBP% /PA	0.98%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.90%
Singles /BIP	21.67%	÷1.030	×0.930	×1.004	×0.982	19.29%
Doubles /BIP	8.37%	÷1.141	×0.830	×1.004	×0.982	6.01%
Triples /BIP	1.48%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.004	×0.982	1.23%
Home runs /BIP	6.40%	÷0.886	×0.700	—	×0.982	4.97%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .374 → .296; ISO .230 → .174; BABIP .333 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 544 PAwOBA .396 → .321 (−76)K% 24.8% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.82%	÷1.009	×1.200	—	—	29.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.073	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.06%
HBP% /PA	0.18%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.17%
Singles /BIP	21.49%	÷1.027	×0.930	×1.031	×1.003	20.12%
Doubles /BIP	7.46%	÷0.958	×0.830	×1.031	×1.003	6.69%
Triples /BIP	1.49%	÷0.955	×0.970	×1.031	×1.003	1.57%
Home runs /BIP	9.55%	÷0.997	×0.700	—	×1.003	6.73%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 91, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .396 → .321; ISO .279 → .216; BABIP .332 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAARound Rock Express · 161 PAwOBA .392 → .331 (−61)K% 21.1% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.12%	÷1.072	×1.200	—	—	23.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.77%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×1.018	12.08%
HBP% /PA	1.24%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.19%
Singles /BIP	16.84%	÷0.999	×0.930	×0.996	×1.018	15.89%
Doubles /BIP	4.21%	÷0.915	×0.830	×0.996	×1.018	3.87%
Triples /BIP	2.11%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.996	×1.018	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	10.53%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×1.018	7.83%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .392 → .331; ISO .295 → .242; BABIP .256 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 406 PAwOBA .314 → .276 (−38)K% 19.5% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.46%	÷1.013	×1.200	—	—	23.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.90%	÷1.010	×0.690	—	×1.048	4.94%
HBP% /PA	0.25%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.24%
Singles /BIP	19.93%	÷1.026	×0.930	×0.950	×1.048	18.00%
Doubles /BIP	8.59%	÷0.901	×0.830	×0.950	×1.048	7.88%
Triples /BIP	1.72%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×1.048	1.44%
Home runs /BIP	2.75%	÷0.953	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.54%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 103, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .314 → .276; ISO .159 → .145; BABIP .307 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAltoona Curve · 289 PAwOBA .386 → .362 (−24)K% 21.1% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.11%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	25.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.00%	÷0.929	×0.700	—	×1.027	6.96%
HBP% /PA	0.35%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.30%
Singles /BIP	28.87%	÷1.035	×0.970	×1.040	×1.027	28.90%
Doubles /BIP	6.70%	÷0.936	×0.860	×1.040	×1.027	6.57%
Triples /BIP	2.58%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.040	×1.027	2.27%
Home runs /BIP	4.64%	÷0.857	×0.780	—	×1.027	4.34%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .386 → .362; ISO .196 → .183; BABIP .396 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 234 PAwOBA .255 → .234 (−22)K% 22.2% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.22%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	25.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.26%	÷0.890	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.91%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.50%	÷0.984	×0.930	×0.970	×1.050	19.73%
Doubles /BIP	3.11%	÷1.040	×0.830	×0.970	×1.050	2.52%
Triples /BIP	1.86%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.970	×1.050	2.04%
Home runs /BIP	2.48%	÷1.041	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.10%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 113, BB 78 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .255 → .234; ISO .108 → .098; BABIP .261 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 320 PAwOBA .341 → .274 (−67)K% 25.6% → 31.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.62%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	31.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.94%	÷1.056	×0.700	—	×1.042	4.10%
HBP% /PA	0.31%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.28%
Singles /BIP	20.18%	÷1.014	×0.920	×0.953	×1.042	18.18%
Doubles /BIP	11.01%	÷0.964	×0.840	×0.953	×1.042	9.53%
Triples /BIP	1.38%	÷0.900	×0.940	×0.953	×1.042	1.43%
Home runs /BIP	5.05%	÷1.035	×0.800	—	×1.042	4.06%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .341 → .274; ISO .210 → .167; BABIP .343 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Buies Creek Astros · 198 PAwOBA .366 → .288 (−78)K% 21.2% → 31.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.21%	÷0.954	×1.420	—	—	31.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.10%	÷0.981	×0.630	—	×1.012	6.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.860	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.73%	÷0.999	×0.940	×0.963	×1.012	20.84%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.990	×0.830	×0.963	×1.012	6.81%
Triples /BIP	1.52%	÷0.984	×0.800	×0.963	×1.012	1.20%
Home runs /BIP	5.30%	÷1.006	×0.900	—	×1.012	4.80%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 97, K 91, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .366 → .288; ISO .207 → .166; BABIP .333 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).