Jason Martin — OGILVIE

Jason MartinCF Salt Lake Bees

Age 30 L/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .304 / .406

PA250

HR9

SB5

K%27

BB%8

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2019-2021

CONTACT35

Whiff%

2913.3%

xwOBA

340.290

POWER50

Barrel%

437.2

Avg EV

3087.6

EYE58

Chase%

6628.6%

SPEED56

Sprint

5227.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$2M
Totals		$3M		$0.1M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	GCL Astros	—	214	190	38	6	3	0	18	45	1	11	7	200	273	263	536	63	260	21	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK	GCL Astros	—	214	179	45	8	4	0	29	31	1	11	7	251	359	341	700	89	302	14	14	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Greeneville Astros	—	192	173	37	8	5	0	15	43	0	8	6	214	277	318	595	104	280	22	8	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Greeneville Astros	—	192	164	45	11	6	0	24	30	0	8	6	274	367	415	782	140	331	16	12	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	460	413	98	8	8	6	30	109	1	14	15	237	291	339	630	102	305	24	7	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	460	396	107	12	7	8	47	74	1	14	15	270	349	396	746	126	311	16	10	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+	2 teams	—	503	457	85	15	6	14	38	171	3	22	12	186	253	337	590	151	256	34	8	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+	2 teams	—	503	431	114	25	7	23	63	112	3	22	12	265	361	515	877	251	302	22	13	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA	2 teams	—	518	488	104	27	4	14	25	176	1	16	11	213	253	371	624	158	298	34	5	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA	2 teams	—	518	474	132	35	5	18	39	124	1	16	11	278	335	487	822	209	339	24	8	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	2 teams	—	523	477	119	17	7	14	36	135	1	12	12	249	304	403	706	153	318	26	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	2 teams	—	523	468	128	18	8	13	45	113	1	12	12	274	339	429	768	156	334	22	9	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA	2 teams	—	446	416	93	27	3	7	23	103	1	11	6	224	266	353	619	130	277	23	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA	2 teams	—	446	406	105	27	5	8	33	89	1	11	6	259	316	409	725	150	310	20	7	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	315	281	62	7	2	16	28	77	2	5	4	221	296	431	726	210	242	24	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	315	273	62	7	2	16	36	75	2	5	4	227	322	443	765	216	250	24	11	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	544	496	114	22	5	25	42	171	1	8	5	230	291	446	737	216	293	31	8	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	544	470	134	25	5	32	68	135	1	8	5	285	377	564	940	279	332	25	12	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	277	59	10	2	12	23	90	3	5	5	213	281	394	674	181	266	29	8	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	269	77	17	3	13	31	66	3	5	5	286	366	517	883	230	333	22	10	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	LAA	—	250	224	53	10	1	9	21	68	3	5	2	237	310	411	721	174	293	27	8	317	101	+0	+0	+0	-3	+7	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	LAA	36%	341	307	72	13	2	12	28	92	3	6	2	235	305	407	712	173	291	27	8	314	99	-1	+0	-3	-4	+10	0.3
2028	32	MLB	LAA	51%	322	289	67	12	2	11	27	87	3	4	2	232	304	401	705	170	288	27	8	309	95	-2	+0	-3	-3	+9	0.0
2027	31	MLB	LAA	36%	122	110	26	5	1	4	10	33	1	2	1	236	306	409	715	173	290	27	8	305	91	-1	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	32	MLB	LAA	51%	164	147	34	6	1	5	14	44	2	2	1	231	307	388	695	156	287	27	9	300	88	-2	+0	-2	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	480	437	99	16	2	15	36	128	3	9	3	227	290	375	665	149	283	27	8	290	80	-11	+1	-4	-11	+14	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	134	22	3	20	49	173	4	12	4	226	290	375	665	149	283	27	8	290	80	-15	+1	-6	-15	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	4934	4488	1001	182	50	140	354	1367	23	127	89	223	283	379	663	156	285	28	7	288	79	-119	-10	-8	-53	+140	-5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	132	24	7	18	47	180	3	17	12	223	284	379	663	156	286	28	7	288	79	-16	-1	-1	-7	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	GCL Astros	—	214	179	45	8	4	0	29	31	1	11	7	251	359	341	700	89	302	14	14	316	100	-0	-1	—	—	+6	0.6
2014	18	ROK	Greeneville Astros	—	192	164	45	11	6	0	24	30	0	8	6	274	367	415	782	140	331	16	12	343	121	+5	-1	—	—	+5	0.9
2015	19	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	460	396	107	12	7	8	47	74	1	14	15	270	349	396	746	126	311	16	10	325	107	+3	-3	—	—	+13	1.3
2016	20	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	462	400	108	22	7	23	55	108	2	20	12	270	361	532	894	262	310	23	12	385	153	+28	-1	—	—	+13	4.1
2016	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	41	31	6	3	0	0	8	4	1	2	0	194	366	290	656	97	222	10	20	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2017	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	320	300	82	24	3	11	19	82	1	7	6	273	319	483	802	210	343	26	6	351	127	+10	-1	—	—	+9	1.8
2017	21	A+	Buies Creek Astros	—	198	174	50	11	2	7	20	42	0	9	5	287	361	494	855	207	333	21	10	369	140	+9	-0	—	—	+6	1.5
2018	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	234	213	45	5	3	4	17	52	0	5	4	211	270	319	589	108	261	22	7	262	59	-11	-1	—	—	+7	-0.5
2018	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	289	255	83	13	5	9	28	61	1	7	8	325	394	522	916	196	396	21	10	396	161	+20	-2	—	—	+8	2.7
2019	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	40	36	9	2	0	0	4	10	0	2	0	250	325	306	631	56	346	25	10	292	82	-1	+0	-1	-5	+1	-0.5
2019	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	406	370	96	25	5	8	29	79	1	9	6	259	315	419	734	159	307	19	7	321	104	+2	-1	—	—	+12	1.3
2021	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	154	144	30	3	0	6	8	41	0	3	1	208	250	354	604	146	245	27	5	266	62	-7	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.7
2021	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	161	129	32	4	2	10	28	34	2	2	3	248	390	543	933	295	256	21	17	402	165	+12	-1	—	—	+5	1.6
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	544	470	134	25	5	32	68	135	1	8	5	285	377	564	940	279	332	25	12	405	168	+42	-0	—	—	+15	5.8
2024	28	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	306	269	77	17	3	13	31	66	3	5	5	286	366	517	883	230	333	22	10	384	152	+18	-1	—	—	+9	2.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	194	180	39	5	0	6	12	51	0	5	1	217	266	344	610	128	266	26	6	271	66	-8	+1	-2	-8	+5	-1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	465	17	8	225	283	385	-1	-2	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	24	11	225	283	385	-1.3	-2.6	0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jason Martin (OGILVIE)	30	35	50	56	58	234/304/406	173	293	9	5	27%	8%	101	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	40→48	51→50	55→50	51	212/293/370	157	261	19	11	26%	10%	85	+0.7	229/309/385	156	308	18	6	29%	10%	96	+1.5	215/297/359	143	306	15	0	32%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB	30	48	48→45	53→50	55	239/325/383	144	296	16	11	24%	11%	102	+1.9	225/298/335	110	290	11	12	25%	8%	79	+0.3	217/287/307	90	281	9	11	25%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	43→44	52→55	53→50	44	222/284/389	167	280	19	12	28%	7%	87	+0.8	231/298/418	187	310	23	9	31%	8%	101	+1.8	210/276/405	195	273	27	2	33%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB	30	40→44	53→55	50	47	215/284/382	167	268	21	7	28%	9%	85	+0.7	225/282/392	167	291	22	5	30%	7%	87	+0.8	217/273/380	163	279	23	2	31%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Justin Maxwell 2014 · MLB	30	45→44	55→60	52→60	45	231/303/423	192	311	23	15	32%	8%	104	+2.0	214/278/348	134	312	15	9	34%	7%	73	-0.1	199/263/308	108	295	13	6	35%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Eric Munson 2008 · MLB	30	44→43	51→60	43→40	50	229/295/391	161	254	20	3	19%	8%	92	+1.2	214/290/354	140	256	16	3	22%	9%	81	+0.4	197/283/334	137	237	16	0	24%	9%	71	-0.1
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→48	52→55	43→45	47	220/295/386	166	285	21	6	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/278/363	155	281	19	6	32%	8%	78	+0.2	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2022 · MLB	30	43	55→50	42→30	53	228/314/412	184	273	23	3	25%	11%	105	+2.1	227/315/379	152	301	18	4	29%	11%	97	+1.5	216/313/352	135	294	17	2	30%	12%	88	+0.5
✕DJ Stewart 2023 · MLB	29	44→47	54→60	49→50	54	228/332/403	175	289	23	6	28%	12%	111	+2.5	211/314/395	184	266	25	6	29%	11%	102	+1.9	184/295/360	177	228	25	5	31%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Brian Goodwin 2021 · MLB	30	48→53	55→60	51→50	47	244/315/438	194	319	22	12	30%	9%	113	+2.6	228/306/381	153	292	17	9	26%	10%	94	+1.3	209/294/339	131	263	16	4	26%	11%	76	+0.1
✕Rafael Ortega 2022 · MLB	31	49→54	53→55	49→55	49	254/317/429	176	298	21	17	23%	8%	111	+2.5	232/319/365	133	283	14	20	22%	11%	95	+1.4	217/315/340	123	267	13	24	22%	12%	85	+0.4
✕Jake Cave 2023 · MLB	30	44→54	52→55	54→50	41	227/288/398	171	302	19	10	31%	7%	91	+1.1	231/289/395	164	299	17	9	28%	7%	90	+1.0	230/287/390	160	293	17	7	27%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	42→40	55→65	47→45	41	223/287/406	183	274	23	7	28%	6%	93	+1.3	203/268/336	133	258	16	6	27%	6%	66	-0.6	166/235/261	96	210	12	0	27%	7%	32	-1.0
✕Cameron Rupp 2019 · MLB	30	40→48	55→60	48→30	42	215/279/397	183	294	23	3	35%	8%	88	+0.9	204/276/359	155	296	19	6	36%	8%	76	+0.1	154/240/282	128	225	16	0	37%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Michael McKenry 2015 · MLB	30	49→47	51→55	41→40	50	248/317/406	158	293	19	6	22%	8%	105	+2.1	212/305/350	138	280	14	6	27%	11%	86	+0.8	174/283/294	120	243	11	3	30%	12%	61	-0.4
✕John Rodriguez 2008 · MLB	30	49→47	51→55	51→40	48	244/321/412	168	301	18	6	24%	8%	108	+2.3	226/298/378	152	283	17	4	26%	7%	91	+1.1	213/287/362	149	262	17	1	25%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Jason Grabowski 2005 · MLB	29	45	52→50	47→40	50	236/308/403	167	287	21	5	26%	10%	101	+1.8	231/301/379	148	268	17	6	20%	9%	91	+1.1	218/289/352	134	247	16	2	19%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	46→39	51→50	54→50	43	236/295/396	160	293	20	14	26%	6%	93	+1.3	232/300/353	121	326	12	10	30%	8%	84	+0.6	229/307/327	97	339	8	5	32%	9%	78	+0.1