Stone GarrettCF Rochester Red Wings
Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 228 lbs AAA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .296 / .359
PA200
HR5
SB8
K%32
BB%8
ISO139
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +5.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024
CONTACT20
Whiff%
1016.5%
xwOBA
620.323
POWER55
Barrel%
599.5
Avg EV
6390.0
Bat Spd
9075.7
EYE36
Chase%
1438.8%
SPEED65
Sprint
7628.5
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$0.4M+0.0$0.0M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Arb-3$1M
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201418 ROKGCL Marlins 156151 26210 4450 41 172194199392 26243 293 174 -9
201418 ROKGCL Marlins 156148 35310 7310 41 236271270541 34297 204 246 47
201620 A2 teams 380358 461024 141924 82 128170201371 73258 514 164 -16
201620 A2 teams 380352 8215313 201154 82 233282403685 170307 305 301 88
201721 A+Jupiter Hammerheads 399376 521513 181812 81 138182207389 69254 455 172 -10
201721 A+Jupiter Hammerheads 399373 792414 211262 81 212258314571 102307 325 256 54
201822 A+2 teams 281269 48936 71234 145 178211301512 123298 442 225 31
201822 A+2 teams 281266 661066 10884 145 248286398684 150347 314 302 89
201923 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp 439418 8316414 121629 157 199237356593 158285 373 253 52
201923 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp 439412 10020414 181279 157 243289413702 170317 294 311 96
202125 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 443421 8013113 141714 175 190223318542 128278 393 235 38
202125 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 443407 11419125 201184 175 280314516830 236332 275 355 130
202226 AAA3 teams 607565 12329331 281877 184 218263444708 227260 315 300 88
202226 AAA3 teams 607539 14032433 421607 184 260315518833 258303 267 354 129
202327 MLBWashington Nationals 271237 631709 26823 31 266346451797 186358 3010 344 122 +7 +0 -1 -3 +8 1.0
202327 MLBWashington Nationals 271234 631709 26823 31 269346457803 188365 3010 348 125 +8 +0 -1 -3 +8 1.1
202428 AAA2 teams 309278 531102 261174 21 191269252521 61319 388 240 42
202428 AAA2 teams 309261 651303 36904 21 249341333674 84367 2912 309 94
202529 AAARochester Red Wings 5147 4200 4250 10 85157128285 43182 498 117 -52
202529 AAARochester Red Wings 5146 4200 5220 10 87176130307 43167 4310 154 -24
▸ 2026 Season
202630 MLBWSH 200179 39805 17642 82 218293346639 128312 328 296 85 -3 +1 +1 -2 +6 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731 MLBWSH 33% 185165 37805 16592 61 224301364664 139310 329 293 82 -4 +1 -2 -2 +5 -0.2
202731 MLBWSH 33% 6054 12202 5191 20 222300370670 148310 328 285 76 -2 +0 -1 -1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 415364 9627015 341285 82 264330462792 198357 318 340 118 +9 +1 -2 -10 +12 0.9
/ 162G 650570 15042023 532008 133 263329458787 195357 318 340 118 +13 +1 -4 -16 +18 1.4
Career 37213464 6541401592 186140841 10430 189239318556 129283 385 243 44 -233 +9 -3 -40 +105 -16.6
/ 162G 650605 11424316 322467 185 188237317555 129282 385 243 44 -41 +2 -1 -7 +18 -2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201418 ROKGCL Marlins 156148 35310 7310 41 236271270541 34297 204 246 47 -9 +0 +4 -0.5
201620 AGreensboro Grasshoppers 212197 42926 11713 12 213265371636 157300 335 282 74 -6 -1 +6 -0.1
201620 INTLSydney Blue Sox 168155 40617 9441 70 258303445748 187314 265 324 106 +1 +1 +5 0.7
201721 A+Jupiter Hammerheads 399373 792414 211262 81 212258314571 102307 325 256 54 -21 +1 +11 -0.8
201822 A+Jupiter Hammerheads 264251 61945 10853 145 243280371651 127348 324 290 80 -6 +1 +7 0.2
201822 ROKGCL Marlins 1715 5121 031 00 3333758671.242 533333 180 484 229 +2 +0 +0 0.3
201923 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp 439412 10020414 181279 157 243289413702 170317 294 311 96 -2 +0 +12 1.1
202125 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 443407 11419125 201184 175 280314516830 236332 275 355 130 +15 +1 +13 3.0
202226 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 8476 21804 3271 31 276301539841 263370 324 352 128 +3 +0 -0 -7 +2 -0.1
202226 AAAReno Aces 440389 10722428 331053 152 275329568898 293302 248 378 147 +23 +2 +12 3.9
202226 INTLTomateros de Culiacan 8374 12201 6283 01 162253230483 68244 347 231 35 -6 -0 +2 -0.4
202327 MLBWashington Nationals 271234 631709 26823 31 269346457803 188365 3010 348 125 +8 +0 -1 -3 +8 1.1
202428 AAARochester Red Wings 274235 581203 29834 11 247333336670 89367 3011 306 92 -2 -0 +8 0.5
202428 AAHarrisburg Senators 3526 7100 770 10 269400308708 38368 2020 331 112 +0 +0 +1 0.2
202529 AAARochester Red Wings 5146 4200 5220 10 87176130307 43167 4310 154 -24 -7 +0 +1 -0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 355310 8425013 291094 62 271335477813 206366 318 349 125 +10 +0 -2 -9 +10 1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jody Gerutlast yr '10
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,992 PA
61,9925930262325433-11+07.37.3
/1626642010-3.6+0.12.4pk7: 7
#2Todd Hollandsworthlast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,060 PA
72,0606538274331455-17-166.96.9
/1626642112-5.5-5.32.2pk7: 7
#3Olmedo Saenzlast yr '07
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,582 PA
71,582622263337465-19-106.06.0
/162664261-8.0-4.22.5pk7: 6
#4Ruben Sierralast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,740 PA
61,7406710264310446-14-104.54.5
/162664264-5.5-3.91.7pk7: 5
#5Shane Spencerlast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,568 PA
51,5684113261325410-12-63.63.6
/162664176-5.3-2.71.5pk7: 4
#6Wil Corderolast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,639 PA
61,639435262325416-17-133.13.1
/162664172-7.0-5.21.2pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2435159257323446-4-31.81.8
/1626642314-5.8-3.92.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Stone Garrett (OGILVIE) 30 20 55 65 36 222/296/359 137312 58 32% 8% 85 +0.2
Tyler Greene
2014 · MLB
30 45→53 47→50 55 39 224/277/362 138309 1420 31% 6% 76 +0.1 226/272/340 114333 1110 34% 5% 68 -0.5 227/271/3291033449735%4%63-0.7
George Lombard
2006 · MLB
30 45→44 50 56→55 42 225/291/386 161312 1719 32% 7% 89 +1.0 226/295/373 147313 1625 31% 8% 87 +0.8 222/298/356134300163730%8%82+0.2
Drew Stubbs
2015 · MLB
30 48→51 47→50 57→60 44 235/297/374 138322 1524 30% 8% 88 +0.9 222/299/354 132324 1422 33% 9% 84 +0.6 204/290/316112307122334%10%68-0.2
Eli White
2023 · MLB
29 44→49 48→50 55→60 46 219/294/353 134297 1624 30% 9% 82 +0.5 236/305/381 145323 1728 30% 8% 94 +1.3 238/302/384146318183130%7%89+0.5
Drew Jackson
2022 · AAA
29 43 45 57→55 47 207/296/332 126302 1328 33% 10% 78 +0.2 215/291/329 114357 1221 39% 9% 74 -0.1 187/265/2566936482046%9%41-0.8
Justin Leone
2008 · AAA
31 42→41 49→50 53→55 49 213/292/360 147273 1715 28% 9% 82 +0.5 196/273/336 140263 1615 30% 9% 69 -0.4 169/251/300130226151431%10%50-1.0
Brent Lillibridge
2014 · MLB
30 43→53 47→50 53→60 39 222/272/352 130290 1624 29% 5% 72 -0.2 212/262/335 123295 1419 32% 5% 63 -0.8 186/237/297111267122234%5%40-1.4
Dairon Blanco
2022 · AAA
29 45→49 46→50 58→70 40 224/279/355 131294 1432 28% 6% 76 +0.0 255/314/393 138332 1563 26% 6% 100 +1.7 267/329/405137352159026%6%106+1.1
Chris Herrmann
2018 · MLB
30 40→48 51→50 55→50 51 212/293/370 157261 1911 26% 10% 85 +0.7 229/309/385 156308 186 29% 10% 96 +1.5 215/297/35914330615032%10%82+0.2
Brooks Conrad
2011 · MLB
31 43→44 52→55 53→50 44 222/284/389 167280 1912 28% 7% 87 +0.8 231/298/418 187310 239 31% 8% 101 +1.8 210/276/40519527327233%8%86+0.3
Jonathan Davis
2022 · MLB
30 40→50 44→45 52→55 48 198/302/313 116269 1119 29% 9% 77 +0.1 225/308/344 119307 1122 28% 9% 85 +0.7 224/306/341117313112229%9%81+0.2
Chris Owings
2023 · MLB
31 38→48 47→50 50→55 44 198/265/333 135266 1512 31% 8% 64 -0.8 203/276/336 133297 1611 35% 8% 70 -0.3 193/272/319126285161136%9%60-0.6
Arismendy Alcántara
2021 · AAA
29 47→48 50→60 58→55 43 236/289/396 160304 1719 28% 7% 90 +1.0 239/288/445 206329 2510 34% 6% 103 +1.9 233/280/49626331333436%6%110+1.0
Michael A. Taylor
2021 · MLB
30 43→53 49→55 52→60 41 217/272/372 154298 1619 32% 7% 77 +0.1 242/298/381 139316 1713 28% 7% 90 +1.0 242/299/384143312191428%7%90+0.8
Trevor Story
2023 · MLB
30 43→49 53→60 55 48 226/300/405 179279 2120 27% 9% 98 +1.6 233/294/394 161303 1924 28% 7% 92 +1.2 241/292/393153309203028%6%88+0.5
Justin Maxwell
2014 · MLB
30 45→44 55→60 52→60 45 231/303/423 192311 2315 32% 8% 104 +2.0 214/278/348 134312 159 34% 7% 73 -0.1 199/263/30810829513635%6%54-0.6
Jason Smith
2007 · MLB
30 44→35 49→55 53→50 39 226/270/375 150295 1614 29% 5% 77 +0.1 205/241/351 146290 178 35% 4% 58 -1.2 178/208/30913125416737%3%31-1.7
Dylan Moore
2023 · MLB
30 44→47 52→50 57→65 52 222/331/394 172292 1935 29% 11% 109 +2.4 216/319/391 175291 1832 30% 11% 103 +1.9 201/303/378176270203731%10%91+0.5
Skye Bolt
2023 · MLB
29 46→39 51→50 54→50 43 236/295/396 160293 2014 26% 6% 93 +1.3 232/300/353 121326 1210 30% 8% 84 +0.6 229/307/327973398532%9%78+0.1
Lane Adams
2018 · MLB
28 47→46 48→50 61→60 40 231/282/370 139319 1634 32% 6% 81 +0.4 198/264/334 136314 1523 39% 7% 64 -0.8 161/237/290129263152042%8%39-1.2