Jack López

2B Tacoma Rainiers

Age 34 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AAA K +7%HR -5% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

AAAROOKIEExt / FA-dealFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	30	AAA/INTL2 orgs	558	.274/.332/.435	14	19	78	—	.227/.268/.378
2024	31	AAA/INTL2 orgs	550	.254/.316/.375	12	20	53	—	.217/.267/.321
2024	31	MLBLAA	71	.254/.286/.343	1	0	76	-0.2
2025	32	AAA/INTL2 orgs	552	.247/.291/.365	11	19	48	—	.190/.224/.261
2026	33	No MLB games played
2027PROJ14% MLB	34	MLBSEA	46	.204/.244/.300	1	1	53	-0.1
2028PROJ10% MLB	35	MLBSEA	24	.198/.237/.286	0	0	47	-0.1
2029PROJMLE	36	MLBSEA	1	.191/.231/.272	0	0	41	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service6.000First FA2028

2027Ext / FA-deal$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

Speed79

Z-Con%51

Max EV36

Whiff%35

K%27

BB%13

CompsEd Rogers (age 34) · Jorge Velandia (age 33) · Juan Ciriaco (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .244 / .300

PA46

HR1

K%28

BB%4

BABIP274

ISO91

MLB%14%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2021-2024

CONTACT

xAVG

100.160

POWER

Barrel%

173.9

Avg EV

2186.9

Bat Spd

4971.2

SPEED

Sprint

5227.6

Platoon Splits2024 · 71 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

262

286

▶R

ISO

—

120

—

BABIP

400

387

◀L

35.0%

35.3%

—

BB%

5.0%

2.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2021

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$-0.5M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	19	A	Kane County Cougars	—	288	261	58	9	2	0	14	43	4	14	4	222	272	272	544	50	265	15	5	243	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	15	13	5	0	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	385	467	538	1.005	154	417	7	13	442	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	536	478	110	10	6	4	36	89	10	27	11	230	298	301	599	71	275	17	7	270	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	141	129	34	6	1	3	7	23	1	6	1	264	307	395	702	132	301	16	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	443	405	87	19	2	1	27	66	6	23	9	215	274	279	553	64	254	15	6	252	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	156	141	32	6	0	0	10	27	0	5	2	227	278	270	548	43	281	17	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	487	429	102	15	1	6	32	88	7	13	10	238	301	319	621	82	284	18	7	274	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	290	267	50	7	1	6	14	60	2	9	4	187	233	288	522	101	218	21	5	231	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	INTL	Tiburones de Aguadilla	—	159	145	39	3	2	0	7	25	2	7	5	269	312	317	629	48	322	16	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	67	62	9	2	0	0	4	18	0	1	1	145	197	177	374	32	205	27	6	175	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	398	363	102	12	2	5	20	86	8	19	7	281	332	366	699	85	357	22	5	312	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	57	53	16	1	0	1	3	4	0	1	0	302	339	377	717	75	306	7	5	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	424	395	99	10	3	8	14	106	3	14	6	251	282	352	633	101	319	25	3	276	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	134	119	42	10	4	0	9	16	3	3	2	353	412	504	916	151	404	12	7	396	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	390	359	98	16	0	12	19	91	6	9	2	273	320	418	738	145	331	23	5	324	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	151	128	30	6	0	0	15	24	5	4	3	234	338	281	619	47	288	16	10	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	58	45	9	4	0	0	7	11	5	3	2	200	368	289	657	89	265	19	12	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	16	13	2	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	154	214	308	522	154	286	38	6	204	12	-2	+0	-0	+1	+0	0.0
2021	28	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	252	223	61	14	1	3	19	54	7	15	2	274	349	386	735	112	343	21	8	330	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	21	19	8	3	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	421	476	737	1.213	316	500	19	10	521	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	130	115	19	2	1	3	12	26	3	6	0	165	262	278	540	113	186	20	9	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	311	293	49	13	2	6	12	118	2	11	2	167	205	287	492	119	253	38	4	217	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	153	137	31	3	1	0	11	36	1	7	1	226	289	263	551	36	304	24	7	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	380	347	96	18	6	13	26	89	4	10	6	277	334	476	810	199	337	23	7	353	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	178	157	42	5	2	1	9	30	5	9	0	268	327	344	671	76	318	17	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	71	67	17	3	0	1	2	25	1	0	1	254	286	343	629	90	390	35	3	279	76	-2	-0	-3	+2	+2	-0.2
2024	31	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	432	387	106	15	3	12	31	111	5	15	7	274	336	421	757	147	351	26	7	331	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	118	106	19	3	0	0	7	30	2	5	2	179	243	208	451	28	250	25	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	396	357	83	14	0	9	20	111	3	13	0	232	279	347	626	115	306	28	5	271	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	156	141	40	8	2	2	3	32	5	6	2	284	322	411	733	128	349	21	2	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	87	80	19	5	0	1	3	31	1	0	1	237	274	338	611	100	375	36	3	265	66	-4	-0	-3	+4	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	19	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	288	265	55	8	2	0	10	58	4	14	4	208	247	253	500	45	253	20	3	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	15	14	5	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	357	400	500	900	143	332	7	7	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	536	491	104	8	5	4	23	124	10	27	11	212	261	273	534	61	264	23	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	443	417	85	18	2	1	15	89	6	23	9	204	242	264	506	60	252	20	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	487	443	93	13	1	7	18	126	7	13	10	210	252	291	543	81	259	26	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	290	272	45	6	1	5	9	71	2	9	4	165	198	250	448	85	196	24	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	67	63	8	2	0	0	3	22	0	1	1	127	167	159	325	32	187	33	4	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	398	370	86	9	2	3	13	108	8	19	7	232	274	292	566	59	312	27	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	424	399	86	9	3	5	10	136	3	14	6	216	240	291	531	75	294	32	2	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	390	366	81	13	0	11	12	115	6	9	2	221	258	347	605	126	279	29	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	16	13	2	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	154	214	308	522	154	286	38	6	186	12	-2	+0	-0	+1	+0	0.0
2021	28	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	252	229	56	12	1	2	13	64	7	15	2	245	305	332	637	87	313	25	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	21	20	6	2	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	300	333	550	883	250	409	24	5	403	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	311	297	39	10	2	4	8	141	2	11	2	131	160	219	378	88	214	45	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	380	357	81	15	6	9	16	106	4	10	6	227	268	378	646	151	293	28	4	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	71	67	17	3	0	1	2	25	1	0	1	254	286	343	629	90	390	35	3	281	76	-2	-0	-3	+2	+2	-0.2
2024	31	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	432	396	86	10	2	9	22	137	5	15	7	217	267	321	588	104	297	32	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	396	364	69	11	0	5	13	129	3	13	0	190	224	261	485	71	256	33	3	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	303	280	60	8	3	0	10	59	4	15	4	214	252	264	516	50	270	19	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	303	274	63	9	3	0	16	44	4	15	4	230	282	285	567	55	273	15	5	253	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	677	622	131	10	6	5	28	157	11	33	12	211	257	270	527	59	273	23	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	677	607	144	16	7	7	43	112	11	33	12	237	300	321	621	84	280	17	6	277	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	599	563	114	24	2	1	20	121	6	28	11	202	238	258	495	55	256	20	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	599	546	119	25	2	1	37	93	6	28	11	218	275	277	552	59	261	16	6	250	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	487	443	93	13	1	7	18	126	7	13	10	210	252	291	543	81	275	26	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	487	429	102	15	1	6	32	88	7	13	10	238	301	319	621	82	284	18	7	274	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	449	419	69	9	1	8	14	110	4	16	9	165	199	248	447	84	201	24	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	449	412	89	10	3	6	21	85	4	16	9	216	261	299	559	83	257	19	5	247	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	522	488	106	12	2	4	17	146	8	21	8	217	255	275	530	57	301	28	3	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	522	478	127	15	2	6	27	108	8	21	8	266	316	343	659	77	332	21	5	295	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	524	113	11	4	7	13	179	6	17	8	216	243	292	535	76	309	32	2	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	558	514	141	20	7	8	23	122	6	17	8	274	313	387	700	113	342	22	4	305	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	541	504	111	17	0	15	17	160	11	13	5	220	261	343	605	123	288	30	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	541	487	128	22	0	12	34	115	11	13	5	263	325	382	707	119	319	21	6	314	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	INTL MLE	Puerto Rico	—	58	45	9	4	0	0	7	11	5	3	2	200	368	289	657	89	265	19	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	INTL RAW	Puerto Rico	—	58	45	9	4	0	0	7	11	5	3	2	200	368	289	657	89	265	19	12	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	419	382	91	23	1	3	22	108	10	21	2	238	297	327	624	89	321	26	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	419	370	90	21	2	7	34	90	10	21	2	243	324	368	691	124	301	21	8	311	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	464	441	55	14	2	5	12	210	3	18	3	125	154	200	353	75	219	45	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	464	430	80	16	3	6	23	154	3	18	3	186	232	279	512	93	272	33	5	228	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	515	119	22	9	13	24	155	9	19	6	231	277	384	662	153	302	28	4	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	558	504	138	23	8	14	35	119	9	19	6	274	332	435	767	161	331	21	6	335	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	621	571	129	17	3	12	29	200	8	20	10	226	273	329	602	103	322	32	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	621	560	142	21	3	13	40	166	8	20	10	254	312	371	684	118	335	27	6	302	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	552	503	97	16	0	7	18	179	8	19	2	193	233	266	499	74	278	32	3	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	552	498	123	22	2	11	23	143	8	19	2	247	291	365	657	118	319	26	4	282	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	303	286	60	8	3	0	10	59	4	15	4	210	252	259	510	49	257	19	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	677	633	131	10	6	5	28	157	11	33	12	207	257	265	523	58	264	23	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	599	568	114	24	2	1	20	121	6	28	11	201	238	255	493	55	252	20	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	487	459	93	13	1	7	18	126	7	13	10	203	252	281	533	78	259	26	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	449	428	69	9	1	8	14	110	4	16	9	161	199	243	442	82	196	24	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	522	492	106	12	2	4	17	146	8	21	8	215	255	272	528	57	294	28	3	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	534	113	11	4	7	13	179	6	17	8	212	243	287	530	75	294	32	2	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	541	508	111	17	0	15	17	160	11	13	5	219	261	341	602	122	279	30	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	419	384	91	23	1	3	22	108	10	21	2	237	297	326	623	89	318	26	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	464	446	55	14	2	5	12	210	3	18	3	123	154	197	351	74	214	45	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	520	119	22	9	13	24	155	9	19	6	229	277	381	658	152	293	28	4	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	621	579	129	17	3	12	29	200	8	20	10	223	273	325	598	102	310	32	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	552	521	97	16	0	7	18	179	8	19	2	186	233	257	490	71	256	32	3	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	31	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	621	579	129	17	3	12	29	200	8	20	10	223	273	325	598	102	310	32	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	552	521	97	16	0	7	18	179	8	19	2	186	233	257	490	71	256	32	3	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	34	MLB MLE	SEA	14%	425	401	83	14	1	8	17	125	4	11	3	206	246	304	550	98	276	29	4	246	53	-24	+1	+1	+2	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	34	MLB CTX	SEA	14%	46	44	8	1	0	1	2	13	0	1	0	204	244	300	544	96	274	28	4	244	53	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	SEA	10%	251	237	48	8	1	4	10	75	2	3	1	199	239	290	529	91	269	30	4	238	47	-16	+0	-5	+1	+5	-1.5
2029	36	MLB MLE	SEA	1%	194	183	35	5	1	3	8	59	1	1	1	193	232	276	508	83	264	30	4	229	41	-14	-0	-6	+1	+4	-1.5
2030	37	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	148	140	26	4	0	2	6	45	1	0	0	186	225	262	487	76	257	30	4	220	35	-11	+0	-7	+1	+3	-1.5
2031	38	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	106	100	18	3	0	1	4	33	1	0	0	181	220	250	469	69	252	31	4	213	30	-9	+0	-8	+0	+2	-1.4
2032	39	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	80	76	13	2	0	1	3	25	1	0	0	176	214	239	454	63	246	31	4	206	26	-7	+0	-8	+0	+2	-1.4
2028	35	MLB CTX	SEA	10%	24	23	4	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	198	237	286	523	89	267	29	4	235	47	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
2029	36	MLB CTX	SEA	1%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	191	231	272	503	81	262	0	0	227	41	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
2030	37	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	185	224	259	483	74	255	—	—	218	35	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
2031	38	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	180	218	247	465	67	250	—	—	211	30	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
2032	39	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	175	213	237	450	62	245	—	—	204	26	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	112	104	23	6	0	1	4	38	1	0	1	221	257	308	565	87	338	34	4	259	42	-5	-0	-4	+4	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	134	35	0	6	23	221	6	0	6	222	258	310	567	88	340	34	4	259	42	-30	-2	-21	+22	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7915	7345	1501	233	37	104	293	2254	109	268	96	204	246	289	534	84	278	28	4	230	42	-79	+0	-36	+8	+26	-8.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	124	19	3	9	24	185	9	22	8	206	247	292	539	86	278	28	4	230	42	-43	+0	-20	+4	+14	-4.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 396 PAwOBA .267 → .209 (−58)K% 28.0% → 32.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.03%	÷1.035	×1.200	—	—	32.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.05%	÷1.023	×0.690	—	×0.942	3.21%
HBP% /PA	0.76%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.67%
Singles /BIP	24.39%	÷1.019	×0.930	×1.003	×0.942	21.03%
Doubles /BIP	5.69%	÷0.985	×0.830	×1.003	×0.942	4.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.017	×0.970	×1.003	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.66%	÷1.204	×0.700	—	×0.942	2.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .267 → .209; ISO .115 → .074; BABIP .306 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAASalt Lake Bees · 432 PAwOBA .325 → .257 (−68)K% 25.7% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.69%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	31.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.18%	÷0.944	×0.690	—	×0.952	4.99%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.04%
Singles /BIP	27.54%	÷1.030	×0.930	×1.030	×0.952	24.37%
Doubles /BIP	5.43%	÷1.141	×0.830	×1.030	×0.952	3.88%
Triples /BIP	1.09%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.030	×0.952	0.90%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷0.886	×0.700	—	×0.952	3.27%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .325 → .257; ISO .147 → .108; BABIP .351 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAASalt Lake Bees · 380 PAwOBA .344 → .277 (−67)K% 23.4% → 27.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.42%	÷1.010	×1.200	—	—	27.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.58%	÷1.005	×0.690	—	×0.962	4.35%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.95%
Singles /BIP	22.87%	÷1.058	×0.930	×1.032	×0.962	19.97%
Doubles /BIP	6.98%	÷0.967	×0.830	×1.032	×0.962	5.95%
Triples /BIP	2.33%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.032	×0.962	2.49%
Home runs /BIP	5.04%	÷1.003	×0.700	—	×0.962	3.38%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .344 → .277; ISO .199 → .154; BABIP .337 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 311 PAwOBA .210 → .156 (−54)K% 37.9% → 45.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.94%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	45.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.54%	÷0.964	×0.690	—	×0.972	2.46%
HBP% /PA	0.64%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.59%
Singles /BIP	16.00%	÷1.015	×0.930	×0.999	×0.972	14.23%
Doubles /BIP	7.43%	÷1.015	×0.830	×0.999	×0.972	5.90%
Triples /BIP	1.14%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.999	×0.972	0.94%
Home runs /BIP	3.43%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.27%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .210 → .156; ISO .119 → .080; BABIP .253 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 252 PAwOBA .325 → .275 (−50)K% 21.4% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.43%	÷1.021	×1.200	—	—	25.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.54%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.07%
HBP% /PA	2.78%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	2.56%
Singles /BIP	25.44%	÷0.974	×0.930	×1.013	×0.982	24.17%
Doubles /BIP	8.28%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.013	×0.982	6.90%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷1.023	×0.920	×1.013	×0.982	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	1.78%	÷1.318	×0.700	—	×0.982	0.93%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 105, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .325 → .275; ISO .112 → .081; BABIP .343 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 21 PAwOBA .507 → .403 (−103)K% 19.0% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.05%	÷1.025	×1.220	—	—	22.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.52%	÷1.078	×0.690	—	×0.958	5.84%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷1.047	×0.940	—	×0.958	22.93%
Doubles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.064	×0.870	—	×0.958	15.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	—	×0.958	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.67%	÷0.900	×0.780	—	×0.958	5.54%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 105, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .507 → .403; ISO .316 → .255; BABIP .500 → .409. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 390 PAwOBA .319 → .260 (−59)K% 23.3% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.33%	÷0.948	×1.200	—	—	29.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.87%	÷1.047	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.22%
HBP% /PA	1.54%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.45%
Singles /BIP	26.12%	÷1.038	×0.930	×0.950	×1.003	22.31%
Doubles /BIP	5.97%	÷0.963	×0.830	×0.950	×1.003	4.90%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.48%	÷0.899	×0.840	—	×1.003	4.19%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .319 → .260; ISO .145 → .125; BABIP .331 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 424 PAwOBA .271 → .229 (−42)K% 25.0% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.007	×1.290	—	—	32.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.30%	÷1.018	×0.710	—	×1.018	2.35%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.71%
Singles /BIP	26.99%	÷1.020	×0.900	×1.036	×1.018	25.13%
Doubles /BIP	3.46%	÷0.936	×0.810	×1.036	×1.018	3.16%
Triples /BIP	1.04%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.036	×1.018	0.99%
Home runs /BIP	2.77%	÷1.101	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .271 → .229; ISO .101 → .078; BABIP .319 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#3Hector Torres'68-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	18	7	215*	262*	312*	+16	+3	-2.1	-0.9
/162	664	6	2	+5.7	+1.2	-0.7	pk7: 0
#4Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	0.7	476	6	2	197	232	274	-5	-6	-2.4	-1.2
/162	664	9	3	-7.6	-8.6	-3.3	pk7: -0
#5Jim Mason'71-'79 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	12	2	204*	262*	306*	+18	-14	-4.1	-2.9
/162	664	5	1	+6.7	-5.3	-1.6	pk7: -2
#6Jackie Hernandez'65-'73 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,609 PA	2.4	1,609	12	25	212*	258*	298*	+16	-16	-5.1	-3.5
/162	664	5	10	+6.6	-6.8	-2.1	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack López (OGILVIE)	34	—	—	—	—	204/244/302	97	276	6	8	29%	4%	53	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ed Rogers 2013 · AAA	34	44→50	41→40	49→50	43	215/267/315	100	261	8	11	21%	5%	64	-1.3	235/289/337	102	286	11	12	21%	6%	78	-0.3	245/292/305	60	291	9	12	19%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Jorge Velandia 2008 · MLB	33	47→51	41→40	46→45	42	229/268/327	98	282	8	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	212/267/298	86	274	8	7	24%	6%	61	-1.5	192/254/234	42	250	4	3	23%	6%	38	-1.9
✕Juan Ciriaco 2017 · AAA	33	44→48	40→45	52→50	42	217/251/311	94	260	8	17	20%	4%	57	-1.8	217/257/321	104	274	9	14	24%	5%	61	-1.5	202/235/293	91	255	8	14	24%	4%	45	-1.2
✕Elliot Soto 2024 · AAA	34	40→50	38→40	56→50	40	192/250/273	80	279	5	16	32%	6%	49	-2.4	194/260/274	80	280	6	19	30%	8%	53	-2.1	173/245/230	57	248	4	23	30%	8%	35	-2.7
✕Raul Chavez 2006 · MLB	33	43	39→40	45→30	41	207/247/290	83	254	6	5	21%	4%	51	-2.3	212/247/294	82	241	7	4	15%	4%	51	-2.2	220/252/306	86	244	8	1	13%	3%	55	-0.7
✕John McDonald 2009 · MLB	34	48	38→40	50	46	225/266/308	83	253	5	11	14%	5%	61	-1.5	235/271/359	124	255	13	7	14%	4%	76	-0.4	235/265/358	123	252	13	4	13%	3%	74	-0.2
✕Jed Hansen 2006 · AAA	33	39→37	44→45	51→50	39	197/259/317	120	272	11	14	31%	6%	63	-1.4	204/261/317	113	259	11	13	25%	6%	63	-1.4	187/243/285	97	229	11	12	23%	5%	47	-1.7
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2021 · AAA	33	43→49	41→40	46→50	45	210/269/306	96	272	8	9	26%	7%	63	-1.4	209/258/335	126	279	14	8	29%	5%	66	-1.1	176/219/292	116	227	14	2	29%	4%	39	-1.1
✕Craig Gentry 2018 · MLB	34	44→54	39→40	52→60	46	213/273/296	83	271	6	21	23%	7%	62	-1.4	236/296/338	102	295	8	23	22%	7%	80	-0.1	265/317/340	75	326	3	43	18%	7%	88	+0.1
✕Wil Nieves 2012 · MLB	34	43→53	39→40	48→40	44	207/249/286	79	241	7	5	18%	5%	51	-2.3	243/273/333	90	293	8	5	19%	4%	70	-0.8	264/287/344	79	323	6	2	20%	3%	78	-0.1
✕Trinidad Robles 2007 · AAA	34	49	42→40	49→45	43	238/291/342	103	297	9	12	23%	6%	79	-0.2	216/270/303	87	266	7	7	21%	6%	63	-1.4	210/265/282	72	256	6	3	20%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Robert Andino 2017 · MLB	33	41→51	44→45	50	38	209/248/322	112	275	12	8	28%	5%	58	-1.7	215/258/341	126	290	14	9	30%	5%	67	-1.1	188/222/301	114	246	15	2	30%	4%	41	-1.0
✕Michael Martinez 2017 · MLB	34	48→52	39→45	46→50	43	228/267/321	93	278	6	10	20%	5%	65	-1.2	227/269/320	93	288	6	10	22%	5%	65	-1.2	226/260/293	67	290	0	8	21%	4%	53	-1.0
✕Carlos Orrantia 2016 · AAA	34	49→54	39→45	47→55	41	233/275/316	83	290	6	10	22%	4%	67	-1.1	224/263/301	77	282	7	9	22%	5%	59	-1.7	219/248/272	53	273	5	8	21%	4%	43	-1.0
✕Anthony Bemboom 2024 · MLB	34	42	43→40	48→45	46	210/273/318	108	268	11	6	25%	7%	68	-1.0	209/279/316	107	280	9	7	27%	8%	70	-0.9	171/253/255	85	235	5	0	27%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Pete Kozma 2021 · MLB	33	43→47	43→45	50	46	211/265/327	116	247	10	8	19%	6%	66	-1.1	201/248/289	88	257	6	8	24%	5%	51	-2.2	182/225/251	69	236	3	6	23%	4%	30	-3.1
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2019 · AAA	35	46	39→40	49→55	43	218/276/297	79	299	6	11	28%	7%	63	-1.3	207/259/340	133	322	16	10	39%	6%	68	-1.0	127/163/250	124	192	20	5	47%	4%	9	-1.0
✕Ken Huckaby 2006 · MLB	35	44	39→30	47→40	44	212/258/297	85	264	7	6	23%	6%	56	-1.9	206/235/267	61	277	5	6	27%	3%	40	-3.1	199/220/233	34	273	2	4	28%	2%	23	-2.0
✕Brendan Ryan 2016 · MLB	34	44→54	38→40	43→55	43	209/265/294	85	272	5	5	24%	6%	59	-1.7	199/253/275	76	266	5	9	25%	6%	50	-2.3	184/238/243	59	245	3	9	25%	6%	34	-2.0
✕Drew Maggi 2023 · AAA	34	38→48	40→45	54→60	41	185/260/274	89	272	7	23	33%	7%	53	-2.1	190/250/286	96	261	9	15	29%	6%	52	-2.2	155/205/234	78	202	9	9	28%	4%	20	-1.0

Jack López

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps