Alexi Amarista

PosSS

B/TL/R

Born1989-04-06

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	35	INTLVenezuela	161	.331/.386/.490	4	0	144	—
2025	36	INTLBravos de Mar…	246	.344/.388/.496	5	5	145	—
2026	37	INTLBravos de Mar…	49	.234/.250/.298	0	0	49	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2017

Speed33

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	18	ROK	DSL Angels	—	273	241	82	14	4	5	25	23	4	16	6	340	411	494	905	154	358	8	9	398	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK	AZL Angels	—	236	202	67	6	4	2	29	20	1	22	14	332	418	431	849	99	359	8	12	377	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	557	477	152	39	10	4	50	61	8	38	20	319	393	468	860	149	356	11	9	368	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	70	65	26	6	3	0	1	4	1	4	2	400	418	585	1.003	185	419	6	1	420	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	213	191	55	2	1	1	13	15	2	4	1	288	340	325	664	37	300	7	6	296	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	323	297	90	19	6	4	19	42	3	17	10	303	351	448	799	145	340	13	6	350	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	INTL	Venezuela	—	252	228	66	14	4	9	15	34	2	6	2	289	339	504	843	215	305	13	6	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	56	52	8	3	1	0	2	8	0	0	0	154	185	250	435	96	178	14	4	187	15	-6	+0	-2	+3	+1	-0.4
2011	22	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	396	363	106	24	5	4	22	56	4	15	8	292	339	419	758	127	333	14	6	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	256	222	61	8	3	8	25	33	5	4	4	275	361	446	807	171	293	13	10	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	300	275	66	15	5	5	17	42	0	8	4	240	284	385	670	145	265	14	6	289	84	-6	+0	-3	+2	+6	0.0
2012	23	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	134	126	35	7	2	1	4	12	0	4	0	278	300	389	689	111	293	9	3	296	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	226	208	55	13	1	3	16	31	0	4	6	264	317	380	697	115	295	14	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	396	368	87	14	4	5	22	57	2	4	2	236	283	337	620	101	267	14	6	277	75	-12	+0	-2	+2	+9	-0.3
2013	24	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	165	142	43	9	1	2	22	14	1	6	2	303	400	423	823	120	325	8	13	373	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	466	423	101	13	2	5	29	69	1	12	1	239	289	314	604	76	271	15	6	267	64	-20	+2	+4	+6	+10	0.3
2014	25	INTL	Venezuela	—	95	84	31	3	2	1	10	6	0	1	0	369	436	488	924	119	390	6	11	408	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	357	324	66	10	4	3	24	55	1	5	1	204	261	287	548	83	232	15	7	245	49	-22	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.9
2015	26	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	71	64	15	3	0	0	4	6	1	2	1	234	290	281	571	47	259	8	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	150	140	36	2	0	0	8	26	0	9	2	257	297	271	569	14	313	17	5	259	57	-8	+1	-2	+1	+3	-0.4
2016	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	55	48	16	3	0	1	4	8	1	1	0	333	396	458	855	125	366	15	7	369	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	127	115	29	2	0	0	8	20	1	2	0	252	306	270	576	17	305	16	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	176	168	40	10	0	3	7	38	0	1	0	238	269	351	620	113	291	22	4	275	65	-7	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.3
2017	28	INTL	Venezuela	—	85	77	21	9	1	2	6	6	0	1	1	273	325	494	819	221	268	7	7	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	173	160	38	3	1	1	11	25	0	2	2	237	287	287	574	50	274	14	6	261	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	INTL	Venezuela	—	174	150	44	12	1	5	14	17	3	1	1	293	365	487	852	193	298	10	8	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	INTL	Venezuela	—	205	189	59	12	0	3	13	15	1	6	1	312	360	423	783	111	326	7	6	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	150	125	34	9	1	1	17	11	4	4	1	272	377	384	761	112	284	7	11	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	231	205	68	20	1	4	19	21	4	1	2	332	399	498	897	166	350	9	8	393	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	244	219	65	9	2	4	21	14	1	0	1	297	361	411	772	114	299	6	9	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	INTL	Venezuela	—	274	253	92	14	3	1	16	15	4	1	4	364	410	455	865	91	382	5	6	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	35	INTL	Venezuela	—	161	145	48	11	0	4	12	8	1	0	1	331	386	490	876	159	326	5	7	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	36	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	246	224	77	17	1	5	12	19	4	5	4	344	388	496	883	152	350	8	5	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	37	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	49	47	11	3	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	234	250	298	548	64	275	16	2	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1901	1750	404	67	16	21	109	295	4	39	10	231	278	323	601	93	264	16	6	266	66	-76	+4	-6	+21	+41	-1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	273	250	57	9	3	2	16	28	4	16	6	228	285	312	597	84	239	10	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	—	236	213	59	5	3	2	18	29	1	22	14	277	336	357	693	80	300	12	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	557	491	148	35	10	3	36	83	8	38	20	301	359	432	791	130	336	15	6	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	70	65	24	5	3	0	1	5	1	4	2	369	388	538	927	169	367	7	1	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	213	195	52	2	1	1	9	17	2	4	1	267	306	303	608	36	272	8	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	323	303	82	16	4	4	13	57	3	17	10	271	307	389	697	119	313	18	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	56	52	8	3	1	0	2	8	0	0	0	154	185	250	435	96	178	14	4	190	15	-6	+0	-2	+3	+1	-0.4
2011	22	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	396	369	96	19	4	3	16	69	4	15	8	260	298	358	656	98	302	17	4	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	300	276	67	16	5	5	16	42	0	8	4	243	284	391	676	149	265	14	5	292	84	-6	+0	-3	+2	+6	0.0
2012	23	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	134	127	31	6	1	1	3	16	0	4	0	244	262	331	592	87	261	12	2	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	396	369	88	15	4	5	21	57	2	4	2	238	283	341	625	103	267	14	5	279	75	-12	+0	-2	+2	+9	-0.3
2014	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	466	428	103	14	2	5	24	69	1	12	1	241	283	318	600	77	271	15	5	263	64	-20	+2	+4	+6	+10	0.3
2015	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	357	328	67	11	4	3	20	55	1	5	1	204	252	290	542	85	232	15	6	240	49	-22	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.9
2016	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	150	142	36	2	0	0	6	26	0	9	2	254	284	268	551	14	313	17	4	253	57	-8	+1	-2	+1	+3	-0.4
2016	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	55	49	14	2	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	286	340	388	727	102	315	20	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	176	168	39	10	0	3	7	38	0	1	0	232	263	345	608	113	291	22	4	265	65	-7	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.3
2018	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	173	163	34	2	1	1	8	31	0	2	2	209	246	252	497	43	250	18	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	273	250	57	9	3	2	16	28	4	16	6	228	285	312	597	84	248	10	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	273	241	82	14	4	5	25	23	4	16	6	340	411	494	905	154	358	8	9	398	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	—	236	213	59	5	3	2	18	29	1	22	14	277	336	357	693	80	311	12	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK RAW	AZL Angels	—	236	202	67	6	4	2	29	20	1	22	14	332	418	431	849	99	359	8	12	377	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	557	491	148	35	10	3	36	83	8	38	20	301	359	432	791	130	355	15	6	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	557	477	152	39	10	4	50	61	8	38	20	319	393	468	860	149	356	11	9	368	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	858	798	224	33	12	7	31	112	8	31	15	281	314	378	693	98	315	13	4	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	858	781	237	41	14	14	48	95	8	31	15	303	350	446	796	142	327	11	6	345	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	708	657	162	34	7	5	29	120	9	19	12	247	288	342	630	96	293	17	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	708	637	175	35	9	12	49	97	9	19	12	275	335	414	750	140	306	14	7	329	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	660	617	150	33	10	9	29	88	0	16	10	243	277	373	650	130	268	13	4	281	77	-18	-1	-3	+2	+14	-0.5
2012	23	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	660	609	156	35	8	9	37	85	0	16	10	256	299	384	683	128	282	13	6	298	77	-18	-1	-3	+2	+14	-0.5
2013	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	561	524	125	21	6	7	30	81	3	10	4	239	284	342	625	103	270	14	5	279	75	-17	+0	-2	+2	+12	-0.4
2013	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	561	510	130	23	5	7	44	71	3	10	4	255	318	361	679	106	284	13	8	305	75	-17	+0	-2	+2	+12	-0.4
2014	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	561	517	123	17	2	6	29	83	1	13	1	238	280	313	593	75	270	15	5	263	64	-24	+2	+4	+6	+12	0.1
2014	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	561	507	132	16	4	6	39	75	1	13	1	260	314	343	658	83	292	13	7	291	64	-24	+2	+4	+6	+12	0.1
2015	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	428	392	81	13	5	4	24	66	2	7	2	207	256	296	552	89	235	15	6	240	49	-26	+1	+0	+5	+9	-1.1
2015	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	428	388	81	13	4	3	28	61	2	7	2	209	266	286	552	77	237	14	7	247	49	-26	+1	+0	+5	+9	-1.1
2016	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	332	309	81	7	0	1	14	60	2	12	2	262	298	294	593	32	319	18	4	268	68	-13	+2	-2	+1	+7	-0.5
2016	27	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	332	303	81	7	0	1	20	54	2	12	2	267	317	300	617	33	319	16	6	279	68	-13	+2	-2	+1	+7	-0.5
2017	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	261	248	57	14	0	4	10	56	0	2	1	230	260	335	594	105	279	21	4	265	65	-11	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.5
2017	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	261	245	61	19	1	5	13	44	0	2	1	249	287	396	683	147	283	17	5	299	65	-11	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.5
2018	29	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	347	319	69	5	2	2	16	62	3	3	3	216	260	263	524	47	259	18	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	347	310	82	15	2	6	25	42	3	3	3	265	325	384	709	119	286	12	7	311	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	INTL MLE	Venezuela	—	205	189	59	12	0	3	13	15	1	6	1	312	360	423	783	111	326	7	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	INTL RAW	Venezuela	—	205	189	59	12	0	3	13	15	1	6	1	312	360	423	783	111	326	7	6	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	150	125	34	9	1	1	17	11	4	4	1	272	377	384	761	112	284	7	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	150	125	34	9	1	1	17	11	4	4	1	272	377	384	761	112	284	7	11	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	231	205	68	20	1	4	19	21	4	1	2	332	399	498	897	166	350	9	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	231	205	68	20	1	4	19	21	4	1	2	332	399	498	897	166	350	9	8	393	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	244	219	65	9	2	4	21	14	1	0	1	297	361	411	772	114	299	6	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	244	219	65	9	2	4	21	14	1	0	1	297	361	411	772	114	299	6	9	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	INTL MLE	Venezuela	—	274	253	92	14	3	1	16	15	4	1	4	364	410	455	865	91	382	5	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	INTL RAW	Venezuela	—	274	253	92	14	3	1	16	15	4	1	4	364	410	455	865	91	382	5	6	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	35	INTL MLE	Venezuela	—	161	145	48	11	0	4	12	8	1	0	1	331	386	490	876	159	326	5	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	35	INTL RAW	Venezuela	—	161	145	48	11	0	4	12	8	1	0	1	331	386	490	876	159	326	5	7	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	36	INTL MLE	Bravos de Margarita	—	246	224	77	17	1	5	12	19	4	5	4	344	388	496	883	152	350	8	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	36	INTL RAW	Bravos de Margarita	—	246	224	77	17	1	5	12	19	4	5	4	344	388	496	883	152	350	8	5	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	37	INTL MLE	Bravos de Margarita	—	49	47	11	3	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	234	250	298	548	64	275	16	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	37	INTL RAW	Bravos de Margarita	—	49	47	11	3	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	234	250	298	548	64	275	16	2	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	273	251	57	9	3	2	16	28	4	16	6	227	285	311	596	84	239	10	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	—	236	215	59	5	3	2	18	29	1	22	14	274	336	353	690	79	300	12	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	557	508	148	35	10	3	36	83	8	38	20	291	359	417	776	126	336	15	6	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	858	812	224	33	12	7	31	112	8	31	15	276	314	372	686	96	305	13	4	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	708	664	162	34	7	5	29	120	9	19	12	244	288	339	627	95	287	17	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	660	626	150	33	10	9	29	88	0	16	10	240	277	367	645	128	264	13	4	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	561	523	125	21	6	7	30	81	3	10	4	239	284	342	626	103	267	14	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	561	526	123	17	2	6	29	83	1	13	1	234	280	308	588	74	271	15	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	428	399	81	13	5	4	24	66	2	7	2	203	256	291	547	88	232	15	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	332	313	81	7	0	1	14	60	2	12	2	259	298	291	589	32	314	18	4	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	261	249	57	14	0	4	10	56	0	2	1	229	260	333	593	104	291	21	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	347	325	69	5	2	2	16	62	3	3	3	212	260	258	519	46	250	18	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1901	1750	404	67	16	21	109	295	4	39	10	231	278	323	601	93	264	16	6	266	34	-76	+4	-6	+21	+41	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	138	23	5	7	37	101	1	13	3	231	276	321	597	90	265	16	6	266	34	-26	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7342	6742	1790	321	68	74	393	979	60	206	104	265	312	366	678	101	298	13	5	218	34	-76	+4	-6	+21	+41	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	158	28	6	7	35	87	5	18	9	265	311	367	678	102	297	13	5	218	34	-26	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 173 PAwOBA .255 → .223 (−33)K% 14.5% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.45%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	18.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.36%	÷0.932	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.62%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.44%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.001	×0.982	22.36%
Doubles /BIP	2.22%	÷0.971	×0.830	×1.001	×0.982	1.87%
Triples /BIP	0.74%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.001	×0.982	0.79%
Home runs /BIP	0.74%	÷0.954	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.64%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .255 → .223; ISO .050 → .045; BABIP .274 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 55 PAwOBA .373 → .311 (−62)K% 14.5% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.55%	÷0.951	×1.290	—	—	19.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.27%	÷1.004	×0.710	—	×1.003	5.16%
HBP% /PA	1.82%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	1.79%
Singles /BIP	30.00%	÷1.026	×0.900	—	×1.003	26.39%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷0.987	×0.810	—	×1.003	6.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.028	×0.810	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷1.160	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.69%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 106, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .373 → .311; ISO .125 → .094; BABIP .366 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAATucson Padres · 134 PAwOBA .295 → .258 (−37)K% 9.0% → 11.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.96%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	11.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.99%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×1.050	2.12%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.93%	÷1.007	×0.900	×0.986	×1.050	20.28%
Doubles /BIP	6.14%	÷1.013	×0.810	×0.986	×1.050	5.08%
Triples /BIP	1.75%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.986	×1.050	1.28%
Home runs /BIP	0.88%	÷1.050	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.68%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .295 → .258; ISO .111 → .089; BABIP .293 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASalt Lake Bees · 396 PAwOBA .326 → .283 (−43)K% 14.1% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.14%	÷1.050	×1.290	—	—	17.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.56%	÷1.007	×0.710	—	×1.050	4.11%
HBP% /PA	1.01%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	1.04%
Singles /BIP	23.78%	÷0.968	×0.900	×0.986	×1.050	22.90%
Doubles /BIP	7.82%	÷1.072	×0.810	×0.986	×1.050	6.12%
Triples /BIP	1.63%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.986	×1.050	1.19%
Home runs /BIP	1.30%	÷1.089	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.98%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 110, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .326 → .283; ISO .127 → .097; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 323 PAwOBA .341 → .301 (−39)K% 13.0% → 17.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.00%	÷0.996	×1.340	—	—	17.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷0.979	×0.710	—	×1.027	3.92%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	0.75%
Singles /BIP	23.92%	÷0.956	×0.910	×0.984	×1.027	23.01%
Doubles /BIP	7.45%	÷0.983	×0.820	×0.984	×1.027	6.28%
Triples /BIP	2.35%	÷1.018	×0.760	×0.984	×1.027	1.78%
Home runs /BIP	1.57%	÷0.924	×0.920	—	×1.027	1.60%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 104, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .341 → .301; ISO .145 → .124; BABIP .340 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAArkansas Travelers · 213 PAwOBA .295 → .270 (−25)K% 7.0% → 8.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.04%	÷1.043	×1.220	—	—	8.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.10%	÷1.084	×0.700	—	×1.050	4.14%
HBP% /PA	0.94%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	0.86%
Singles /BIP	28.98%	÷1.085	×0.920	×1.012	×1.050	26.11%
Doubles /BIP	1.14%	÷0.932	×0.840	×1.012	×1.050	1.09%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.012	×1.050	0.63%
Home runs /BIP	0.57%	÷0.864	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.55%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 117, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 109, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .295 → .270; ISO .037 → .039; BABIP .300 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAASalt Lake Bees · 70 PAwOBA .414 → .370 (−43)K% 5.7% → 7.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.71%	÷0.980	×1.290	—	—	7.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.43%	÷1.016	×0.710	—	×1.050	1.05%
HBP% /PA	1.43%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	1.47%
Singles /BIP	27.87%	÷1.060	×0.900	×0.999	×1.050	24.83%
Doubles /BIP	9.84%	÷0.999	×0.810	×0.999	×1.050	8.36%
Triples /BIP	4.92%	÷1.035	×0.810	×0.999	×1.050	4.04%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.011	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .414 → .370; ISO .185 → .159; BABIP .419 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 557 PAwOBA .361 → .332 (−29)K% 11.0% → 14.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.95%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	14.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.98%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	6.38%
HBP% /PA	1.44%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.15%
Singles /BIP	23.80%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.025	×1.030	23.11%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.025	×1.030	8.21%
Triples /BIP	2.40%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.025	×1.030	2.31%
Home runs /BIP	0.96%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	0.79%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .361 → .332; ISO .149 → .138; BABIP .356 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .