Deven Marrero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 449 | .241/.319/.404 | 15 | 10 | 43 | — | .185/.239/.301 | |
| 2021 | 30 | AAAMIA | 207 | .215/.300/.337 | 5 | 0 | 41 | — | .186/.246/.282 | |
| 2021 | 30 | MLBMIA | 19 | .188/.316/.375 | 1 | 1 | 104 | 0.3 | ||
| 2022 | 31 | AAANYM | 166 | .229/.323/.326 | 3 | 5 | 45 | — | .199/.262/.272 | |
| 2023 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 85 | 72 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 236 | 329 | 236 | 565 | 293 | 19 | 12 | 263 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 376 | 332 | 85 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 60 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 256 | 341 | 334 | 676 | 78 | 307 | 16 | 11 | 311 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 202 | 186 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 210 | 261 | 285 | 546 | 75 | 255 | 18 | 6 | 246 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 307 | 268 | 78 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 57 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 291 | 375 | 433 | 808 | 142 | 349 | 19 | 11 | 359 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 70 | 58 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 328 | 443 | 414 | 857 | 86 | 487 | 27 | 16 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 56 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 268 | 283 | 551 | 57 | 333 | 34 | 5 | 252 | 56 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 419 | 375 | 96 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 87 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 256 | 320 | 344 | 664 | 88 | 315 | 21 | 8 | 296 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 388 | 363 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 90 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 198 | 246 | 242 | 489 | 44 | 259 | 23 | 6 | 225 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 188 | 171 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 61 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 211 | 262 | 333 | 596 | 123 | 296 | 32 | 6 | 261 | 58 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 194 | 183 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 240 | 268 | 361 | 629 | 120 | 315 | 27 | 3 | 274 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 125 | 301 | 167 | 24 | 6 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 85 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 167 | 226 | 205 | 431 | 38 | 232 | 27 | 7 | 200 | 18 | -8 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 76 | 66 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 301 | 364 | 665 | 136 | 304 | 26 | 9 | 288 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 431 | 383 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 100 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 245 | 323 | 415 | 738 | 170 | 294 | 23 | 10 | 327 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 125 | 347 | 250 | 44 | 11 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 375 | 691 | 188 | 222 | 32 | 16 | 315 | 104 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 207 | 181 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 215 | 300 | 337 | 638 | 122 | 291 | 29 | 10 | 286 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 166 | 144 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 229 | 323 | 326 | 650 | 97 | 280 | 20 | 12 | 296 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 348 | 318 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 109 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 201 | 257 | 296 | 553 | 94 | 282 | 31 | 7 | 248 | 54 | -19 | +2 | -0 | +5 | +8 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 85 | 75 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 240 | 305 | 240 | 545 | 296 | 24 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 376 | 349 | 75 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 86 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 215 | 269 | 278 | 547 | 63 | 277 | 23 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 202 | 190 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 236 | 268 | 505 | 68 | 249 | 22 | 4 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 307 | 279 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 71 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 262 | 322 | 376 | 699 | 115 | 333 | 23 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 56 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 268 | 283 | 551 | 57 | 333 | 34 | 5 | 251 | 56 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 419 | 385 | 93 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 109 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 242 | 288 | 319 | 607 | 78 | 310 | 26 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 388 | 369 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 110 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 187 | 223 | 228 | 450 | 41 | 260 | 28 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 188 | 171 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 61 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 205 | 257 | 322 | 578 | 117 | 296 | 32 | 6 | 254 | 58 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 194 | 185 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 211 | 232 | 303 | 534 | 92 | 292 | 32 | 2 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 85 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 167 | 226 | 205 | 431 | 38 | 232 | 27 | 7 | 195 | 18 | -8 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 76 | 68 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 247 | 309 | 555 | 118 | 256 | 34 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 431 | 399 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 136 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 185 | 239 | 301 | 540 | 115 | 245 | 32 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 375 | 691 | 188 | 222 | 32 | 16 | 322 | 104 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 207 | 188 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 246 | 282 | 528 | 96 | 266 | 35 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 166 | 151 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 262 | 272 | 534 | 73 | 256 | 25 | 8 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 423 | 93 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 105 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 220 | 278 | 272 | 550 | 52 | 286 | 23 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 461 | 404 | 102 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 52 | 76 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 252 | 339 | 317 | 656 | 64 | 305 | 16 | 11 | 302 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 579 | 534 | 126 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 132 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 236 | 288 | 328 | 616 | 92 | 302 | 23 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 579 | 512 | 136 | 35 | 2 | 6 | 57 | 113 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 266 | 344 | 377 | 721 | 111 | 327 | 20 | 10 | 324 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 438 | 105 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 128 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 240 | 285 | 315 | 600 | 75 | 321 | 27 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 475 | 428 | 108 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 106 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 252 | 313 | 336 | 650 | 84 | 317 | 22 | 8 | 291 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 388 | 369 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 110 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 187 | 223 | 228 | 450 | 41 | 262 | 28 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 388 | 363 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 90 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 198 | 246 | 242 | 489 | 44 | 259 | 23 | 6 | 225 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 399 | 372 | 77 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 130 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 207 | 244 | 317 | 561 | 110 | 293 | 33 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 399 | 370 | 82 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 117 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 222 | 262 | 338 | 599 | 116 | 300 | 29 | 5 | 263 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 146 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 178 | 236 | 253 | 489 | 75 | 255 | 30 | 7 | 207 | 26 | -14 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 161 | 144 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 194 | 261 | 278 | 539 | 83 | 265 | 27 | 8 | 242 | 26 | -14 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 416 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 141 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 183 | 236 | 293 | 529 | 111 | 248 | 31 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 449 | 399 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 108 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 241 | 319 | 404 | 723 | 163 | 292 | 24 | 10 | 321 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 226 | 204 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 252 | 289 | 541 | 103 | 273 | 35 | 8 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 226 | 197 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 66 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 302 | 340 | 642 | 127 | 286 | 29 | 11 | 288 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 166 | 151 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 262 | 272 | 534 | 73 | 262 | 25 | 8 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Mets | — | 166 | 144 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 229 | 323 | 326 | 650 | 97 | 280 | 20 | 12 | 296 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 424 | 93 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 105 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 219 | 278 | 271 | 549 | 52 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 579 | 535 | 126 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 132 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 236 | 288 | 327 | 615 | 92 | 300 | 23 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 444 | 105 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 128 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 236 | 285 | 311 | 596 | 74 | 313 | 27 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 388 | 368 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 110 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 188 | 223 | 228 | 451 | 41 | 260 | 28 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 399 | 378 | 77 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 130 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 204 | 244 | 312 | 556 | 108 | 294 | 33 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 149 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 174 | 236 | 248 | 484 | 74 | 243 | 30 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 417 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 141 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 182 | 236 | 293 | 529 | 110 | 245 | 31 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 226 | 206 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 184 | 252 | 286 | 539 | 102 | 262 | 35 | 8 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 166 | 152 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 197 | 262 | 270 | 532 | 72 | 256 | 25 | 8 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 348 | 318 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 109 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 201 | 257 | 296 | 553 | 94 | 282 | 31 | 7 | 248 | 50 | -19 | +2 | -0 | +5 | +8 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 594 | 120 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 204 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 202 | 259 | 296 | 555 | 94 | 283 | 31 | 7 | 248 | 50 | -36 | +3 | -0 | +8 | +14 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3304 | 3053 | 640 | 112 | 10 | 39 | 196 | 916 | 11 | 94 | 27 | 210 | 260 | 291 | 551 | 82 | 284 | 28 | 6 | 243 | 50 | -19 | +2 | -0 | +5 | +8 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 126 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 180 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 210 | 261 | 293 | 553 | 83 | 283 | 28 | 6 | 243 | 50 | -36 | +3 | -0 | +8 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAASyracuse Mets · 166 PAwOBA .289 → .234 (−55)K% 20.5% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.48% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.05% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 7.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.55% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×0.952 | 22.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×0.952 | 0.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×0.952 | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.73% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 91, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .289 → .234; ISO .097 → .072; BABIP .280 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 207 PAwOBA .280 → .229 (−51)K% 29.0% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.99% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.31% | ÷0.971 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×0.962 | 20.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.79% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×0.962 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.13% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.14% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 122, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .280 → .229; ISO .122 → .095; BABIP .291 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 431 PAwOBA .318 → .234 (−84)K% 23.2% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.20% | ÷0.950 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.74% | ÷1.085 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.55% | ÷0.971 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 18.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷0.952 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.30% | ÷1.100 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.69% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .318 → .234; ISO .170 → .117; BABIP .294 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAReno Aces · 76 PAwOBA .284 → .220 (−64)K% 26.3% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷0.991 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.21% | ÷1.069 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | ×1.038 | ×0.992 | 17.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.117 | ×0.810 | ×1.038 | ×0.992 | 6.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.038 | ×0.992 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.044 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 105, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .284 → .220; ISO .136 → .099; BABIP .304 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 194 PAwOBA .269 → .231 (−39)K% 26.8% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.80% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.09% | ÷0.937 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.37% | ÷0.987 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 20.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.92% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 8.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.106 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .269 → .231; ISO .120 → .096; BABIP .315 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 388 PAwOBA .220 → .200 (−20)K% 23.2% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.20% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.67% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.61% | ÷0.957 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×1.018 | 21.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.03% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×1.018 | 3.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷0.912 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×1.018 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.37% | ÷0.994 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.32% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 82, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .220 → .200; ISO .044 → .040; BABIP .259 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 419 PAwOBA .291 → .266 (−25)K% 20.8% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.76% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.88% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×1.033 | 25.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.51% | ÷0.867 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.033 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.033 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.012 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.79% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 73, 3B 102, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .291 → .266; ISO .088 → .080; BABIP .315 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 307 PAwOBA .354 → .310 (−43)K% 18.6% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.57% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.07% | ÷1.041 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.64% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 24.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.860 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 7.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.37% | ÷0.959 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.95% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 103, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 95, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .354 → .310; ISO .142 → .123; BABIP .349 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .