Harrison Bader — OGILVIE

Harrison BaderLF San Francisco Giants

Age 32 R/R 5'11" / 219 lbs MLB HR -8%H -3% Svc 8.174 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 288 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8091vR 120

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .301 / .407

PA288

HR10

SB9

K%26

BB%6

BABIP298

ISO167

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5510.4%

xwOBA

390.295

POWER50

Barrel%

528.4

Avg EV

2887.4

Bat Spd

6272.7

EYE40

Chase%

4732.2%

SPEED60

Sprint

5027.5

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 984 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

310

674

—

wRC+

107

▶▶R

wOBA

287

325

▶R

ISO

155

150

—

BABIP

270

328

▶▶R

27.1%

23.9%

▶R

BB%

6.8%

5.9%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 8.174 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$4M	+0.4	$1M	-$3M
2027	Ext	$10M	+1.3	$10M	+$0.4M
Totals		$14M		$11M	-$2M

Options · projected decision
2028	MUTUAL OPT	$10.2M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	MUTUAL OPT	$10.0M / $1.5M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	228	212	53	8	2	7	9	61	6	15	6	250	300	406	705	156	317	27	4	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	228	206	62	11	2	9	15	44	6	15	6	301	366	505	870	204	344	19	7	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	3 teams	—	603	555	128	19	6	15	30	193	14	17	15	231	287	368	655	137	322	32	5	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	3 teams	—	603	544	148	21	6	21	41	145	14	17	15	272	339	449	787	176	332	24	7	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA	2 teams	—	571	526	117	16	1	18	29	173	11	17	10	222	277	359	637	137	292	30	5	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA	2 teams	—	571	516	142	21	1	23	39	142	11	17	10	275	339	453	793	178	335	25	7	349	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	427	379	100	20	2	12	31	125	11	15	3	264	337	422	759	158	358	29	7	328	109	+4	+2	+14	+2	+12	3.4
2018	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	427	379	100	20	2	12	31	125	11	15	3	264	337	422	759	158	358	29	7	336	115	+7	+2	+14	+2	+12	3.7
2019	25	MLB	2 teams	—	481	413	87	17	3	17	51	138	14	14	3	211	318	390	708	179	269	29	11	310	96	-2	+2	+9	+2	+14	2.5
2019	25	MLB	2 teams	—	481	410	91	17	3	19	54	133	14	14	3	222	333	417	750	195	277	28	11	335	115	+8	+2	+9	+2	+14	3.5
2020	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	125	106	24	7	2	4	13	40	5	3	1	226	339	443	782	217	317	32	10	343	121	+3	+0	+2	+0	+4	1.0
2020	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	125	106	24	7	2	4	13	40	5	3	1	226	339	443	782	217	317	32	10	346	123	+3	+0	+2	+0	+4	1.0
2021	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	401	367	98	21	1	16	27	85	5	9	4	267	326	460	786	193	306	21	7	332	113	+6	+0	+11	+1	+11	3.0
2021	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	401	367	98	21	1	16	27	85	5	9	4	267	326	460	786	193	306	21	7	346	123	+10	+0	+11	+1	+11	3.5
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	336	314	78	11	3	6	16	66	4	18	3	248	293	360	653	111	295	20	5	288	78	-8	+2	+4	+1	+10	0.9
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	336	313	79	12	3	6	17	65	4	18	3	252	299	367	667	115	299	19	5	298	86	-5	+2	+4	+1	+10	1.2
2023	29	MLB	3 teams	—	383	357	77	12	2	7	18	69	3	21	3	216	259	319	579	104	246	18	5	254	53	-20	+3	+6	+1	+11	0.1
2023	29	MLB	3 teams	—	383	356	79	13	2	7	19	67	3	21	3	222	267	329	596	107	252	17	5	265	61	-17	+3	+6	+1	+11	0.4
2024	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	437	402	95	19	0	12	21	95	8	17	8	236	288	373	661	137	276	22	5	288	79	-10	+0	+7	+2	+12	1.1
2024	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	437	402	95	19	0	12	21	95	8	17	8	236	288	373	661	137	276	22	5	292	82	-9	+0	+7	+2	+12	1.2
2025	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	501	448	121	23	1	16	39	136	11	11	7	270	343	433	776	163	351	27	8	345	122	+12	-1	+3	+2	+14	3.1
2025	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	501	448	124	24	1	17	39	136	11	11	7	277	349	449	798	172	359	27	8	354	129	+16	-1	+3	+2	+14	3.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	MLB	SF	—	134	125	21	5	0	6	6	40	2	1	0	168	218	352	570	184	188	30	4	253	52	-7	+0	-0	+0	+4	-0.3
YTD	32	MLB	SF	—	134	124	22	5	0	7	7	39	2	1	0	177	233	387	620	210	190	29	5	272	66	-5	+0	-0	+0	+4	-0.1
ROS	32	MLB	SF	100%	288	263	63	12	1	10	18	76	5	9	2	240	301	407	708	167	298	26	6	314	99	-0	+1	+2	+1	+8	1.2
ROS	32	MLB	SF	100%	288	263	62	12	1	9	18	76	5	9	2	236	297	392	689	156	292	26	6	295	84	-5	+1	+2	+1	+8	0.7
FULL	32	MLB	SF	—	422	388	83	17	1	15	24	116	7	10	2	214	272	379	651	165	263	27	6	282	74	-13	+1	+2	+2	+12	0.4
TOT	32	MLB	SF	—	422	388	84	17	1	16	24	116	7	10	2	216	274	389	664	173	264	27	6	295	84	-8	+1	+2	+2	+12	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	SF	100%	416	380	91	17	2	14	26	112	7	10	2	239	300	405	706	166	299	27	6	311	96	-2	+1	-1	+1	+12	1.2
2028	34	MLB	SF	100%	370	338	78	14	1	12	23	102	6	7	1	231	292	385	676	154	290	28	6	300	88	-5	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.6
2027	33	MLB	SF	100%	416	380	88	16	2	13	26	112	7	10	2	232	293	387	680	155	293	27	6	292	82	-9	+1	-1	+1	+12	0.5
2028	34	MLB	SF	100%	370	338	76	13	2	11	23	102	6	7	1	225	286	373	659	148	285	28	6	282	74	-11	+1	-2	+1	+10	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4120	3726	905	171	19	121	281	1033	76	131	38	243	309	396	705	154	301	25	7	311	96	-19	+11	+56	+17	+117	18.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	143	27	3	19	44	163	12	21	6	243	309	396	705	153	302	25	7	311	96	-3	+2	+9	+3	+18	2.9
Career	—			—	5567	5060	1210	216	27	166	351	1471	110	183	68	239	303	391	694	152	302	26	6	303	90	-62	+9	+56	+20	+158	18.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	141	25	3	19	41	172	13	21	8	239	302	387	690	149	302	26	6	303	90	-7	+1	+7	+2	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	228	206	62	11	2	9	15	44	6	15	6	301	366	505	870	204	344	19	7	382	151	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2016	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	161	147	34	7	1	3	11	38	3	2	3	231	298	354	652	122	292	24	7	295	84	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.1
2016	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	356	318	90	12	4	16	25	93	10	11	10	283	354	497	851	214	349	26	7	372	143	+17	-2	—	—	+10	2.6
2016	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	86	79	24	2	1	2	5	14	1	4	2	304	353	430	783	127	344	16	6	346	123	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2017	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	92	85	20	3	0	3	5	24	1	2	1	235	286	376	662	141	288	26	5	293	83	-2	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.4
2017	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	479	431	122	18	1	20	34	118	10	15	9	283	349	469	818	186	345	25	7	360	134	+18	-1	—	—	+14	3.2
2018	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	427	379	100	20	2	12	31	125	11	15	3	264	337	422	759	158	358	29	7	336	115	+7	+2	+14	+2	+12	3.7
2019	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	406	347	71	14	3	12	46	117	10	11	3	205	315	366	681	161	268	29	11	308	94	-3	+1	+9	+2	+12	2.1
2019	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	75	63	20	3	0	7	8	16	4	3	0	317	427	698	1.125	381	325	21	11	480	225	+11	+1	—	—	+2	1.4
2020	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	125	106	24	7	2	4	13	40	5	3	1	226	339	443	782	217	317	32	10	346	123	+3	+0	+2	+0	+4	1.0
2021	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	401	367	98	21	1	16	27	85	5	9	4	267	326	460	786	193	306	21	7	346	123	+10	+0	+11	+1	+11	3.5
2022	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	313	292	73	10	3	5	15	62	4	17	3	250	296	356	652	106	300	20	5	292	81	-7	+2	+4	+1	+9	1.0
2022	28	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	23	21	6	2	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	286	348	524	872	238	294	13	9	381	150	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	344	319	74	12	2	7	17	59	3	20	3	232	277	348	625	116	261	17	5	277	70	-12	+3	+6	+1	+10	0.8
2023	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	21	19	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	105	190	105	296		125	14	10	153	-25	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	29	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	18	18	3	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	167	167	222	389	56	231	28	0	172	-10	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	437	402	95	19	0	12	21	95	8	17	8	236	288	373	661	137	276	22	5	292	82	-9	+0	+7	+2	+12	1.2
2025	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	501	448	124	24	1	17	39	136	11	11	7	277	349	449	798	172	359	27	8	354	129	+16	-1	+3	+2	+14	3.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3046	2745	679	130	14	88	214	743	58	105	33	247	315	401	716	154	305	24	7	318	102	+6	+8	+58	+13	+86	17.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jackie Bradley Jr.last yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,192 PA	11	4,192	109	69	225	303	381	+6	+78	17.2	18.6
	/162	664	17	11	225	303	381	+1.0	+12.3	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Franklin Gutierrezlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,333 PA	11	3,333	97	78	257	311	408	-10	+73	16.9	16.7
	/162	664	19	16	257	311	408	-2.1	+14.5	3.4	pk7: 16
#3Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	11	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
	/162	664	17	16	256	294	407	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Geoff Blumlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,208 PA	12	4,208	91	18	251	310	382	+6	+31	12.1	11.2
	/162	664	14	3	251	310	382	+1.0	+4.8	1.9	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	4,365	132	139	243	305	399	+4	+76	11.3	10.8
	/162	664	20	21	243	305	399	+0.7	+11.5	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#6Peter Bourjoslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,241 PA	8	2,241	42	66	241	298	382	-0	+38	7.4	7.5
	/162	664	12	20	241	298	382	-0.1	+11.3	2.2	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Harrison Bader (OGILVIE)	32	45	50	60	40	216/274/389	173	264	16	10	27%	6%	84	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	55→60	54→50	40	235/281/421	186	278	23	18	25%	5%	95	+1.4	242/288/413	171	301	20	13	26%	5%	95	+1.4	240/287/394	155	303	17	11	26%	5%	86	+0.6
✕Jake Marisnick 2023 · MLB	32	45→52	47→60	53→55	38	224/281/361	137	313	14	17	32%	5%	78	+0.2	216/287/369	153	299	16	18	32%	7%	83	+0.6	207/287/375	168	285	18	20	32%	8%	82	+0.2
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	50	58→55	44	226/298/385	159	307	18	25	31%	8%	92	+1.2	227/291/365	138	323	15	23	32%	7%	83	+0.6	220/287/329	109	314	12	32	32%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Drew Stubbs 2017 · MLB	32	46→51	48→50	58→60	47	223/301/364	141	318	16	26	33%	10%	88	+0.9	220/296/336	116	326	12	16	33%	9%	78	+0.2	207/285/298	91	317	9	13	34%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Hernán Pérez 2023 · MLB	32	47→55	46→55	55	40	234/275/356	122	293	14	23	25%	5%	74	-0.1	221/267/355	134	280	16	16	27%	6%	70	-0.3	207/256/341	134	259	17	14	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Jason Repko 2012 · MLB	31	45→48	45→50	53→55	44	227/284/344	117	284	14	21	25%	6%	75	-0.0	216/277/342	126	282	13	14	27%	7%	71	-0.3	187/252/315	128	245	12	10	28%	6%	51	-0.6
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	46→48	51→50	55→60	42	236/299/401	164	296	18	20	26%	6%	96	+1.5	216/283/342	126	308	12	24	32%	7%	74	-0.1	198/270/306	108	299	9	29	34%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Dewayne Wise 2010 · MLB	32	48→40	50→60	56→55	42	243/288/410	167	282	16	22	21%	5%	94	+1.3	244/282/407	163	297	16	21	23%	4%	90	+1.0	248/283/416	169	302	17	27	24%	4%	90	+0.5
✕Justin Leone 2009 · AAA	32	40→41	50	52→55	50	209/290/363	154	264	18	18	27%	10%	83	+0.6	194/263/323	129	274	14	13	32%	8%	61	-1.0	130/199/223	93	194	9	6	37%	8%	8	-1.9
✕Chad Huffman 2017 · AAA	32	47→52	53→55	49→45	49	241/318/422	181	279	21	12	22%	8%	110	+2.4	227/303/386	159	280	18	6	25%	8%	95	+1.4	213/295/363	151	265	18	1	26%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Kevin Kiermaier 2021 · MLB	31	44→54	49→55	58→55	47	224/290/384	161	270	16	21	24%	8%	88	+0.9	243/308/386	143	312	13	17	25%	8%	95	+1.4	248/311/389	141	317	12	17	24%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2019 · MLB	32	48→50	47→45	56→60	45	237/298/376	139	300	14	23	25%	7%	89	+1.0	202/266/327	125	291	14	16	34%	7%	63	-0.8	150/219/244	93	230	11	15	38%	6%	20	-2.3
✕Darnell McDonald 2011 · MLB	32	51→56	49→55	56→55	44	255/303/418	163	313	15	15	23%	6%	102	+1.8	225/288/365	140	272	15	10	22%	8%	82	+0.5	202/268/314	113	243	12	9	22%	8%	59	-0.5
✕J.C. Linares 2017 · AAA	32	47→52	50→55	51→40	47	240/306/396	156	288	17	9	23%	7%	98	+1.6	229/291/373	144	265	16	10	20%	7%	85	+0.7	214/289/367	153	224	20	3	16%	9%	82	+0.1
✕Damon Hollins 2006 · MLB	32	50	50→55	50→45	49	253/309/409	157	283	18	13	18%	7%	102	+1.9	229/283/398	169	257	21	8	20%	7%	89	+0.9	202/260/366	165	225	21	4	22%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Chris Aguila 2010 · MLB	31	45→54	53→55	49→50	44	235/291/404	169	290	22	12	27%	7%	94	+1.3	224/282/377	153	295	17	7	29%	7%	82	+0.5	219/280/366	147	290	17	5	29%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Mario Lisson 2016 · AAA	32	47→49	49→55	48→55	43	239/296/379	140	296	18	9	25%	6%	89	+1.0	219/287/358	139	293	16	8	29%	8%	80	+0.4	201/279/343	142	269	17	6	31%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Kevin Pillar 2021 · MLB	32	51→60	51→55	50→55	43	258/296/427	169	281	18	13	16%	4%	102	+1.8	243/291/428	185	272	24	9	20%	5%	100	+1.7	233/278/428	194	258	27	8	22%	4%	94	+0.5
●Marshall McDougall 2011 · AAA	32	47→56	51→55	52→45	46	243/284/397	154	257	19	11	15%	5%	89	+0.9	273/321/450	177	300	22	7	17%	6%	118	+3.0	290/341/476	185	316	24	4	16%	7%	128	+1.8
✕Will Venable 2015 · MLB	32	50→55	50→60	54→60	46	252/309/414	162	303	18	20	23%	7%	103	+1.9	227/290/344	117	289	12	16	24%	8%	77	+0.1	215/281/313	97	279	9	17	25%	8%	62	-0.6