Harrison Bader — OGILVIE

Harrison BaderLF San Francisco Giants

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 32 R/R 5'11" / 219 lbs MLB BB -3% Svc 8.174 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 0.5 · 2027

wRC+†vL 3752vR 70

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .304 / .386

PA197

HR6

K%25

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

50→50

SPD

60→60

EYE

43↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 8.174 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	—	—	—
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+0.5	$2M	-$8M
Totals		$20M		$0.9M	-$20M

Options · projected decision
2028	MUTUAL OPT	$2026.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	MUTUAL OPT	$10.0M / $1.5M buyout	DECLINE

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	228	211	52	8	2	7	10	56	6	15	6	.246	.300	.403	.702	.156	.302	25	4	.304	91	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2016	22	AA	3 teams	603	555	124	18	6	17	30	197	14	17	15	.223	.280	.369	.650	.146	.310	33	5	.281	73	-18	-3	+0	+2	+17	-0.2
2017	23	AAA	2 teams	571	526	117	16	1	18	29	175	11	17	10	.222	.277	.359	.637	.137	.294	31	5	.276	70	-20	-1	+1	+2	+16	-0.1
2018	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	427	379	100	21	2	13	31	125	11	15	3	.264	.337	.433	.770	.169	.355	29	7	.334	113	+6	+2	+14	+2	+12	3.7
2019	25	MLB	2 teams	481	412	87	17	2	19	52	138	14	14	3	.211	.320	.400	.721	.189	.265	29	11	.315	99	-1	+2	+9	+2	+14	2.6
2020	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	125	106	25	8	2	4	13	40	5	3	1	.236	.347	.462	.809	.226	.333	32	10	.347	123	+3	+0	+2	+0	+4	1.0
2021	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	401	367	97	20	1	17	27	85	5	9	4	.264	.323	.463	.787	.199	.300	21	7	.335	115	+7	+0	+11	+1	+11	3.1
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	336	314	80	12	3	6	16	66	4	18	3	.255	.299	.369	.669	.115	.303	20	5	.290	80	-8	+2	+4	+1	+10	1.0
2023	29	MLB	3 teams	383	357	77	13	2	6	18	69	3	21	3	.216	.259	.314	.573	.098	.248	18	5	.250	50	-22	+3	+6	+1	+11	-0.0
2024	30	MLB	New York Mets	437	402	96	19	0	12	21	95	8	17	8	.239	.290	.376	.666	.137	.279	22	5	.288	79	-11	+0	+7	+2	+12	1.1
2025	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	501	448	120	25	1	15	39	136	11	11	7	.268	.341	.429	.770	.161	.350	27	8	.338	116	+9	-1	+3	+2	+14	2.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	32	MLB	San Francisco Giants	55	52	6	1	0	1	2	17	0	0	0	.115	.148	.192	.340	.077	.143	31	4	.151	-26	-8	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.6
ROS	32	MLB	SF	142	130	28	5	0	4	9	36	2	4	1	.215	.277	.346	.623	.131	.278	25	6	.292	82	-3	+0	+2	+1	+4	0.4
TOT	32	MLB	SF	197	182	34	6	0	5	11	53	2	4	1	.187	.241	.302	.543	.115	.230	27	6	.253	52	-11	+0	+1	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB	SF	408	372	82	15	1	11	26	92	7	10	2	.220	.284	.355	.639	.134	.261	23	6	.287	78	-10	+1	+0	+1	+12	0.4
2028	34	MLB	SF	363	331	72	13	1	10	23	85	6	8	1	.218	.281	.353	.634	.136	.259	23	6	.280	73	-11	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5406	4910	1157	210	24	159	344	1395	107	179	67	.236	.300	.385	.685	.150	.294	26	6	.299	87	-79	+9	+58	+19	+153	16.4
/ 162G	—			650	590	139	25	3	19	41	168	13	22	8	.236	.300	.385	.684	.149	.294	26	6	.299	87	-10	+1	+7	+2	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	228	206	62	11	2	9	15	44	6	15	6	.301	.366	.505	.870	.204	.344	19	7	.382	151	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2016	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	161	147	34	7	1	3	11	38	3	2	3	.231	.298	.354	.652	.122	.292	24	7	.295	84	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.1
2016	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	356	318	90	12	4	16	25	93	10	11	10	.283	.354	.497	.851	.214	.349	26	7	.372	143	+17	-2	—	—	+10	2.6
2016	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	86	79	24	2	1	2	5	14	1	4	2	.304	.353	.430	.783	.127	.344	16	6	.346	123	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2017	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	92	85	20	3	0	3	5	24	1	2	1	.235	.286	.376	.662	.141	.288	26	5	.293	83	-2	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.4
2017	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	479	431	122	18	1	20	34	118	10	15	9	.283	.349	.469	.818	.186	.345	25	7	.360	134	+18	-1	—	—	+14	3.2
2018	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	427	379	100	20	2	12	31	125	11	15	3	.264	.337	.422	.759	.158	.358	29	7	.336	115	+7	+2	+14	+2	+12	3.7
2019	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	406	347	71	14	3	12	46	117	10	11	3	.205	.315	.366	.681	.161	.268	29	11	.308	94	-3	+1	+9	+2	+12	2.1
2019	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	75	63	20	3	0	7	8	16	4	3	0	.317	.427	.698	1.125	.381	.325	21	11	.480	225	+11	+1	—	—	+2	1.4
2020	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	125	106	24	7	2	4	13	40	5	3	1	.226	.339	.443	.782	.217	.317	32	10	.346	123	+3	+0	+2	+0	+4	1.0
2021	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	401	367	98	21	1	16	27	85	5	9	4	.267	.326	.460	.786	.193	.306	21	7	.346	123	+10	+0	+11	+1	+11	3.5
2022	28	MLB	New York Yankees	313	292	73	10	3	5	15	62	4	17	3	.250	.296	.356	.652	.106	.300	20	5	.292	81	-7	+2	+4	+1	+9	1.0
2022	28	AA	Somerset Patriots	23	21	6	2	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	.286	.348	.524	.872	.238	.294	13	9	.381	150	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	344	319	74	12	2	7	17	59	3	20	3	.232	.277	.348	.625	.116	.261	17	5	.277	70	-12	+3	+6	+1	+10	0.8
2023	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	21	19	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	.105	.190	.105	.296	.000	.125	14	10	.153	-25	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	29	AA	Somerset Patriots	18	18	3	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	.167	.167	.222	.389	.056	.231	28	0	.172	-10	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	30	MLB	New York Mets	437	402	95	19	0	12	21	95	8	17	8	.236	.288	.373	.661	.137	.276	22	5	.292	82	-9	+0	+7	+2	+12	1.2
2025	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	501	448	124	24	1	17	39	136	11	11	7	.277	.349	.449	.798	.172	.359	27	8	.354	129	+16	-1	+3	+2	+14	3.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3046	2745	679	130	14	88	214	743	58	105	33	.247	.315	.401	.716	.154	.305	24	7	.318	102	+6	+8	+58	+13	+86	17.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Harrison Bader (OGILVIE)	32	45	50	60	40	.223/.286/.363	.140	.262	6	6	22%	6%	82	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Repko 2012 · MLB	31	45→48	46→50	53→55	44	.227/.283/.349	.122	.282	14	21	25%	6%	76	+0.0	.217/.276/.349	.132	.279	14	14	27%	6%	73	-0.1	.190/.253/.336	.146	.240	15	10	27%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Adam Engel 2023 · MLB	31	48	47→50	54→60	41	.238/.294/.376	.138	.307	14	23	26%	6%	88	+0.9	.211/.287/.344	.133	.316	14	24	35%	8%	76	+0.1	.174/.267/.305	.130	.277	14	30	39%	10%	56	-0.8
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2019 · MLB	32	47→49	46→45	56→60	46	.231/.293/.361	.130	.293	13	24	25%	7%	83	+0.6	.201/.267/.327	.126	.287	14	17	33%	7%	64	-0.8	.155/.226/.250	.096	.233	11	15	37%	6%	25	-2.1
✕Hernán Pérez 2023 · MLB	32	47→56	45→50	55	40	.234/.275/.354	.120	.294	14	22	26%	5%	73	-0.1	.224/.270/.359	.135	.284	16	17	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.208/.257/.346	.139	.257	18	14	27%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Bobby Smith 2006 · AAA	32	48→49	45→50	53→50	44	.239/.288/.361	.122	.286	13	11	22%	6%	80	+0.4	.230/.273/.361	.131	.307	14	11	29%	5%	74	-0.1	.214/.247/.354	.141	.308	14	7	35%	4%	58	-0.4
✕Justin Leone 2009 · AAA	32	40→41	50	52→55	50	.210/.290/.362	.152	.264	18	17	27%	10%	82	+0.5	.193/.264/.323	.130	.271	14	14	32%	8%	61	-1.0	.130/.199/.223	.093	.194	9	6	37%	8%	8	-1.9
✕Kristopher Negrón 2018 · MLB	32	44→50	43→45	54→55	40	.217/.271/.330	.113	.283	11	17	27%	5%	66	-0.6	.228/.288/.354	.126	.327	14	15	33%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.291/.350	.124	.335	15	14	35%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Damon Hollins 2006 · MLB	32	50	50→55	50→45	49	.253/.309/.409	.156	.283	18	13	18%	7%	102	+1.9	.231/.285/.401	.170	.258	21	8	20%	7%	90	+1.0	.202/.260/.366	.165	.225	21	4	22%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	48→58	47→45	60	43	.241/.287/.383	.142	.290	14	29	22%	6%	85	+0.7	.241/.289/.358	.117	.302	11	33	23%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.288/.336	.099	.302	8	39	23%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Dewayne Wise 2010 · MLB	32	48→40	50→60	57→55	42	.241/.286/.412	.170	.283	16	22	22%	5%	93	+1.3	.241/.280/.397	.156	.294	14	21	23%	4%	86	+0.8	.241/.277/.398	.157	.296	15	27	24%	4%	82	+0.2
✕Jayson Nix 2014 · MLB	31	45→49	43→55	53→55	45	.220/.287/.336	.116	.289	11	17	27%	7%	74	-0.1	.202/.255/.294	.092	.265	8	11	26%	6%	50	-1.8	.171/.213/.240	.070	.223	6	4	26%	5%	15	-1.7
✕Jake Marisnick 2023 · MLB	32	46→54	47→60	53→55	38	.226/.283/.365	.140	.314	14	16	32%	5%	80	+0.4	.217/.286/.364	.147	.301	15	18	31%	7%	82	+0.5	.208/.286/.371	.163	.288	17	20	32%	8%	80	+0.1
✕Charlie Culberson 2022 · MLB	33	49→52	47→45	52→50	44	.243/.295/.388	.145	.306	14	12	25%	6%	91	+1.1	.231/.277/.348	.117	.308	11	12	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.214/.243/.287	.073	.305	7	12	31%	4%	40	-0.5
✕Matt Carson 2013 · MLB	32	47→50	52→60	50	40	.241/.286/.409	.169	.298	19	13	26%	5%	93	+1.3	.224/.274/.352	.128	.296	14	13	28%	5%	72	-0.2	.207/.263/.317	.110	.275	13	15	29%	5%	58	-0.7
✕Andy Burns 2022 · MLB	31	43→53	49→50	49→55	51	.220/.299/.366	.147	.274	16	13	26%	10%	87	+0.8	.200/.275/.314	.114	.287	11	12	32%	9%	63	-0.8	.172/.248/.262	.091	.249	10	8	33%	9%	37	-1.4
✕Christian Zazueta 2017 · AAA	32	49→55	46→50	58→60	37	.245/.268/.375	.130	.287	14	27	20%	2%	76	+0.0	.233/.257/.339	.106	.274	11	28	19%	2%	61	-1.0	.231/.256/.320	.088	.268	8	27	17%	2%	52	-1.0
●Marshall McDougall 2011 · AAA	32	47→56	50→55	52→45	46	.242/.282/.393	.151	.257	19	10	15%	5%	87	+0.8	.270/.319/.440	.170	.297	21	7	17%	7%	115	+2.7	.287/.339/.465	.178	.314	23	4	16%	7%	124	+1.7
✕Jack Mayfield 2022 · MLB	31	42→45	54→55	50	43	.226/.275/.406	.180	.256	23	9	23%	6%	88	+0.9	.214/.260/.348	.134	.262	15	11	24%	5%	66	-0.6	.189/.228/.296	.107	.237	10	12	25%	4%	36	-1.4
✕Don Kelly 2012 · MLB	32	50→59	46→45	54→55	47	.249/.295/.374	.125	.270	14	14	15%	6%	87	+0.8	.222/.292/.329	.107	.248	12	10	16%	9%	75	-0.0	.213/.301/.291	.078	.245	8	12	15%	11%	63	-0.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2022 · MLB	30	41→51	45	52→55	47	.202/.302/.325	.123	.271	12	19	28%	9%	79	+0.3	.222/.307/.336	.114	.302	10	22	28%	9%	83	+0.6	.221/.303/.332	.112	.308	10	22	29%	9%	76	+0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)