Manuel Margot — OGILVIE

Manuel MargotRF Toledo Mud Hens

Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 229 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 287 proj PA

wRC+†vL 9984vR 45

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .302 / .343

PA287

HR4

K%18

BB%6

ISO98

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT55

Whiff%

5810.2%

xwOBA

470.305

POWER40

Barrel%

204.3

Avg EV

3387.8

Bat Spd

4771.1

EYE45

Chase%

4333.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

1025.3

Platoon Splits2024 · 343 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

171

172

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

314

244

◀◀L

ISO

122

076

◀◀L

BABIP

300

246

◀◀L

14.6%

16.9%

◀L

BB%

7.6%

4.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox	—	310	275	58	7	5	3	22	36	8	33	9	211	289	305	594	95	228	12	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox	—	310	260	74	10	7	4	36	25	8	33	9	285	387	423	810	138	297	8	12	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	2 teams	—	469	433	107	18	6	9	26	79	3	42	15	247	294	379	673	132	282	17	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	2 teams	—	469	420	123	25	5	12	39	54	3	42	15	293	357	462	819	169	312	12	8	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	AA	3 teams	—	571	535	129	26	7	8	22	85	2	41	15	241	274	361	634	120	269	15	4	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	AA	3 teams	—	571	517	138	30	10	9	40	70	2	41	15	267	322	416	738	149	289	12	7	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AAA	3 teams	—	760	710	173	27	13	4	32	124	5	47	12	244	281	335	616	92	287	16	4	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AAA	3 teams	—	760	697	203	31	13	8	45	85	5	47	12	291	339	407	746	116	320	11	6	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	MLB	3 teams	—	584	536	141	20	8	15	40	118	2	21	8	263	317	414	731	151	309	20	7	318	102	+1	+1	+9	+2	+17	3.0
2017	22	MLB	3 teams	—	584	537	145	20	8	13	39	113	2	21	8	270	322	410	731	140	317	19	7	323	105	+3	+1	+9	+2	+17	3.3
2018	23	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	519	477	121	28	8	9	32	88	2	11	10	254	303	403	706	149	289	17	6	297	86	-8	-2	+7	+2	+15	1.4
2018	23	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	519	477	117	26	8	8	32	88	2	11	10	245	295	384	679	138	281	17	6	298	86	-8	-2	+7	+2	+15	1.4
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	479	431	104	22	3	14	41	96	3	22	4	241	312	404	715	162	280	20	9	312	97	-2	+3	+9	+2	+14	2.5
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	479	433	100	20	4	12	39	97	3	22	4	231	299	379	678	148	272	20	8	302	89	-6	+3	+9	+2	+14	2.1
2020	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	159	145	38	9	0	1	13	25	0	12	4	262	323	345	668	83	308	16	8	302	89	-2	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.5
2020	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	159	145	39	9	0	1	13	25	0	12	4	269	329	352	681	83	317	16	8	308	94	-1	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.6
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	479	435	110	19	3	11	38	75	1	14	9	253	314	386	701	133	280	16	8	301	88	-6	-1	+10	-5	+14	1.2
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	479	435	111	18	3	10	38	74	1	14	9	255	316	379	696	124	285	15	8	310	95	-3	-1	+10	-5	+14	1.5
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	386	357	95	19	2	4	26	70	2	7	3	266	319	364	684	98	320	18	7	304	91	-4	+0	-1	-4	+11	0.2
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	386	355	97	18	2	4	28	70	2	7	3	273	330	369	699	96	330	18	7	315	100	-0	+0	-1	-4	+11	0.6
2023	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	336	311	81	22	1	4	18	55	4	9	3	260	309	376	686	116	302	16	5	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.8
2023	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	336	311	82	21	1	4	18	55	4	9	3	264	312	376	689	113	306	16	5	307	93	-3	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.9
2024	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	343	315	75	17	1	4	21	54	3	5	0	238	292	337	629	98	273	16	6	278	71	-11	+1	-4	-4	+10	-0.8
2024	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	343	315	75	17	1	4	21	54	3	5	0	238	292	337	629	98	273	16	6	282	74	-10	+1	-4	-4	+10	-0.7
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	164	151	32	2	1	1	8	34	4	0	1	212	270	258	528	46	265	21	5	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	164	147	33	2	1	1	12	33	4	0	1	224	301	272	573	48	281	20	7	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	DET	—	287	263	65	12	1	4	18	52	4	4	1	247	305	346	651	99	294	18	6	293	82	-6	+0	+2	-3	+8	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	DET	100%	268	246	59	11	1	3	16	49	4	3	1	240	297	329	626	89	290	18	6	286	77	-7	+0	-2	-3	+8	-0.4
2028	33	MLB	DET	100%	238	219	51	9	1	2	14	45	3	2	1	233	288	311	599	78	284	19	6	278	71	-8	+0	-3	-3	+7	-0.6
2027	32	MLB	DET	100%	268	246	59	11	1	3	16	49	4	3	1	240	297	329	626	89	285	18	6	272	66	-10	+0	-2	-3	+8	-0.7
2028	33	MLB	DET	100%	238	219	50	9	1	2	14	45	3	2	1	228	284	306	590	78	280	19	6	264	61	-11	+0	-3	-3	+7	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3717	3411	857	170	28	61	248	661	23	101	41	251	306	371	678	120	293	18	7	301	88	-49	+4	+28	-10	+105	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	151	30	5	11	43	116	4	18	7	253	308	376	684	122	295	18	7	301	88	-9	+1	+5	-2	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	6352	5839	1439	268	61	96	387	1085	50	273	96	246	299	363	661	116	285	17	6	289	80	-147	+16	+29	-28	+180	5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	147	27	6	10	40	111	5	28	10	246	299	361	660	115	284	17	6	289	80	-15	+2	+3	-3	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox	—	310	260	74	10	7	4	36	25	8	33	9	285	387	423	810	138	297	8	12	359	133	+12	+3	—	—	+9	2.4
2014	19	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	56	50	17	5	0	2	2	5	1	3	2	340	377	560	937	220	333	9	4	389	156	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2014	19	A	Greenville Drive	—	413	370	106	20	5	10	37	49	2	39	13	286	355	449	803	162	309	12	9	354	129	+13	+3	—	—	+12	2.8
2015	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	282	258	70	21	4	3	21	36	1	19	8	271	329	419	747	147	303	13	7	330	111	+3	+1	—	—	+8	1.2
2015	20	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	198	181	51	6	5	3	11	15	1	20	5	282	326	420	746	138	289	8	6	323	105	+1	+2	—	—	+6	0.9
2015	20	INTL	Toros del Este	—	91	78	17	3	1	3	8	19	0	2	2	218	291	397	688	179	237	21	9	289	80	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2016	21	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	37	37	9	4	1	0	0	7	0	2	0	243	243	405	649	162	300	19	0	280	73	-1	+0	+1	+3	+1	0.4
2016	21	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	566	517	157	21	12	6	36	64	4	30	11	304	354	426	779	122	335	11	6	342	120	+13	+2	—	—	+16	3.1
2016	21	INTL	Toros del Este	—	157	143	37	6	0	2	9	14	1	15	1	259	307	343	650	84	271	9	6	287	78	-4	+3	—	—	+4	0.3
2017	22	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	529	487	128	18	7	13	35	106	2	17	7	263	315	409	724	146	309	20	7	319	102	+1	+1	+9	+2	+15	2.9
2017	22	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	23	20	3	0	1	0	3	4	0	2	0	150	261	250	511	100	188	17	13	240	42	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2017	22	INTL	Toros del Este	—	32	30	14	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	1	467	484	533	1.017	67	500	9	3	441	196	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2018	23	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	519	477	117	26	8	8	32	88	2	11	10	245	295	384	679	138	281	17	6	298	86	-8	-2	+7	+2	+15	1.4
2019	24	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	441	398	93	19	3	12	38	88	2	20	4	234	304	387	691	153	272	20	9	307	93	-3	+2	+9	+2	+12	2.2
2019	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	38	35	7	1	1	0	1	9	1	2	0	200	243	286	529	86	269	24	3	233	37	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2020	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	159	145	39	9	0	1	13	25	0	12	4	269	329	352	681	83	317	16	8	308	94	-1	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.6
2021	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	464	421	107	18	3	10	37	70	1	13	8	254	316	382	698	128	281	15	8	311	96	-2	-1	+10	-5	+13	1.5
2021	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	15	14	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	1	286	333	286	619		400	27	7	288	78	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2022	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	363	336	92	18	2	4	24	68	2	7	3	274	326	375	701	101	332	19	7	315	99	-0	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.5
2022	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	23	19	5	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	263	391	263	654		294	9	17	318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	336	311	82	21	1	4	18	55	4	9	3	264	312	376	689	113	306	16	5	307	93	-3	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.9
2024	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	343	315	75	17	1	4	21	54	3	5	0	238	292	337	629	98	273	16	6	282	74	-10	+1	-4	-4	+10	-0.7
2025	30	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	20	19	6	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	316	316	316	632		429	30	0	271	66	-1	+0	-0	-2	+1	-0.2
2025	30	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	144	128	27	2	1	1	12	27	4	0	1	211	299	266	564	55	260	19	8	267	62	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3211	2946	748	150	26	56	218	567	16	96	39	254	309	379	688	126	295	18	7	306	92	-28	+4	+32	-5	+91	9.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Endy Chavezlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,436 PA	13	3,436	30	106	270	308	364	-15	+29	6.5	8.0
	/162	664	6	20	270	308	364	-2.8	+5.7	1.3	pk7: 9
#2Marlon Andersonlast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,975 PA	9	2,975	57	56	267	318	395	-11	+0	7.3	7.7
	/162	664	13	12	267	318	395	-2.6	+0.1	1.6	pk7: 8
#3Miguel Cairolast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,217 PA	12	3,217	32	98	259	312	359	-9	+1	4.6	5.2
	/162	664	7	20	259	312	359	-1.9	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 6
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	8	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
	/162	664	15	9	253	302	405	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,689	62	100	252	305	373	-40	+27	2.0	2.5
	/162	664	11	18	252	305	373	-7.1	+4.8	0.4	pk7: 3
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Margot (OGILVIE)	31	55	40	50	45	246/302/343	97	294	4	4	18%	6%	82	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Robertson 2017 · MLB	31	53→58	40→45	49→55	48	253/298/350	97	281	7	13	13%	6%	81	+0.4	252/307/355	103	293	9	15	16%	6%	86	+0.8	255/316/349	93	302	8	17	17%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Eder Salcedo 2015 · AAA	32	54→58	42→40	48→50	44	263/297/361	98	304	10	11	17%	4%	83	+0.6	239/270/332	93	274	9	9	16%	4%	64	-0.8	250/276/325	76	285	7	7	15%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Rusney Castillo 2017 · MLB	30	53→58	40→45	51→50	42	255/292/355	100	310	7	13	20%	5%	79	+0.3	263/296/373	110	311	10	13	18%	4%	87	+0.8	269/301/381	112	311	11	12	17%	3%	87	+0.6
✕Dixon Machado 2023 · MLB	31	53→55	39→45	48→55	49	251/314/340	89	297	7	10	17%	7%	85	+0.7	226/305/322	96	274	9	7	20%	9%	79	+0.3	208/300/290	82	254	9	4	21%	11%	66	-0.3
✕Juan Lagares 2019 · MLB	30	53→63	42→45	51→50	45	253/302/361	109	304	8	15	20%	6%	86	+0.8	233/287/356	123	296	11	9	24%	7%	79	+0.3	224/271/350	126	285	11	5	25%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Joe McEwing 2004 · MLB	31	49→55	40→45	46→50	47	234/295/328	94	282	8	9	20%	7%	75	-0.0	239/285/321	82	290	7	12	19%	6%	68	-0.5	251/284/329	77	301	7	16	19%	4%	65	-0.3
✕Josh Wilson 2012 · MLB	31	48→50	41→45	50	42	231/279/336	104	280	7	8	20%	4%	70	-0.3	202/250/299	97	271	8	7	27%	5%	48	-1.9	210/255/282	72	293	6	7	29%	3%	44	-1.2
✕Rubén Tejada 2021 · AAA	31	48→58	42→40	46→50	45	232/291/334	102	282	9	8	21%	6%	75	-0.0	221/286/297	76	287	6	7	24%	7%	63	-0.8	208/280/235	26	278	1	2	23%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Adrián Sanchez 2022 · MLB	31	53→45	43→45	48→50	43	257/297/369	111	305	11	13	20%	5%	85	+0.7	233/276/343	110	291	8	10	22%	6%	70	-0.3	225/264/330	105	285	3	6	21%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Elian Herrera 2016 · MLB	31	51→55	42→40	50→60	43	248/292/356	108	309	9	12	23%	6%	80	+0.4	231/283/338	107	307	10	9	26%	7%	72	-0.2	177/239/193	16	274	0	0	33%	8%	15	-0.8
✕Dariel Álvarez 2019 · AAA	30	48→58	42→45	48→45	41	233/265/338	105	275	9	10	19%	4%	64	-0.8	237/268/361	124	253	16	9	14%	3%	72	-0.2	239/265/351	112	249	17	7	12%	2%	65	-0.6
✕Sergio Palafox 2011 · AAA	31	50	38→40	46→45	49	234/288/314	80	268	5	10	15%	7%	68	-0.5	219/266/307	88	254	7	11	16%	6%	57	-1.2	224/257/270	46	264	2	8	15%	3%	39	-0.6
✕Nick Buss 2018 · MLB	31	50→58	43→50	52→55	44	243/288/365	122	293	9	12	20%	6%	81	+0.4	228/278/347	119	287	11	12	24%	6%	72	-0.2	191/244/276	85	249	7	11	25%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Mike Edwards 2007 · MLB	30	49	41→45	45	47	236/287/336	100	274	7	8	17%	6%	73	-0.1	231/279/339	108	273	9	11	18%	6%	71	-0.3	231/271/321	91	270	6	13	16%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Vinny Rottino 2011 · AAA	31	53→57	41→45	53→55	50	252/307/354	102	285	8	15	15%	7%	86	+0.8	252/303/370	118	289	10	17	16%	6%	89	+1.0	245/300/356	111	291	10	13	19%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Alberto Carreon 2019 · AAA	31	50→55	40→45	45→50	42	242/280/335	93	291	7	12	20%	4%	69	-0.4	236/288/327	91	285	7	8	19%	4%	72	-0.2	238/292/312	74	289	5	5	18%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Darwin Barney 2017 · MLB	31	50→58	42→40	44→50	47	242/289/343	101	274	9	7	16%	6%	76	+0.1	235/283/345	110	273	11	11	18%	6%	74	-0.1	226/269/320	94	263	10	12	18%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Jason Ellison 2009 · MLB	31	48→54	37→40	46→50	49	225/289/299	74	273	4	14	18%	7%	65	-0.7	225/283/305	80	278	6	14	20%	6%	64	-0.8	229/285/292	63	284	5	15	20%	6%	58	-1.0
✕Jermaine Curtis 2018 · AAA	31	52→62	41→40	48→50	50	248/330/348	99	303	9	7	20%	8%	95	+1.4	221/307/316	95	291	8	10	25%	8%	78	+0.2	172/289/220	48	234	4	9	25%	10%	50	-0.5
✕Jason Bowers 2009 · AAA	31	48→52	42→45	52→50	45	233/279/342	109	274	8	15	19%	6%	72	-0.2	223/274/325	102	277	7	12	21%	6%	65	-0.7	215/269/303	89	270	4	8	21%	6%	53	-0.9