Ronnier Mustelier
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 34 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 624 | .348/.421/.485 | 13 | 6 | 111 | — | .294/.342/.432 |
| 2020 | 35 | INTLEstrellas Ori… | 72 | .305/.423/.339 | 0 | 0 | 125 | — | |
| 2021 | 36 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 86 | .192/.280/.219 | 0 | 1 | 41 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 26 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 136 | 126 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 333 | 378 | 524 | 902 | 190 | 361 | 11 | 6 | 393 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | ROK | GCL Yankees | — | 21 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 500 | 524 | 550 | 1.074 | 50 | 556 | 10 | 5 | 482 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 65 | 64 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 344 | 354 | 516 | 869 | 172 | 364 | 11 | 2 | 382 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees | — | 385 | 347 | 105 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 49 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 303 | 363 | 455 | 818 | 153 | 325 | 13 | 7 | 360 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 114 | 102 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 353 | 416 | 598 | 1.014 | 245 | 392 | 17 | 8 | 438 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 233 | 208 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 279 | 342 | 466 | 808 | 188 | 308 | 19 | 8 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 357 | 334 | 91 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 44 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 272 | 319 | 398 | 718 | 126 | 297 | 12 | 6 | 321 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | ROK | GCL Yankees1 | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 375 | 728 | 62 | 385 | 18 | 6 | 330 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 240 | 196 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 276 | 396 | 362 | 758 | 87 | 321 | 14 | 12 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 400 | 353 | 122 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 44 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 346 | 408 | 493 | 901 | 147 | 368 | 11 | 8 | 393 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 124 | 104 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 346 | 443 | 490 | 933 | 144 | 366 | 9 | 12 | 411 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 210 | 189 | 68 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 360 | 418 | 439 | 857 | 79 | 411 | 12 | 8 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 469 | 426 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 291 | 353 | 394 | 748 | 103 | 319 | 10 | 8 | 336 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | INTL | Mexico | — | 297 | 259 | 82 | 28 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 317 | 394 | 494 | 888 | 178 | 328 | 8 | 10 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 198 | 179 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 318 | 381 | 385 | 766 | 67 | 346 | 9 | 9 | 347 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | INTL | Mexico | — | 215 | 183 | 55 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 301 | 396 | 366 | 762 | 66 | 321 | 7 | 13 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 33 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 245 | 218 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 239 | 311 | 344 | 655 | 106 | 258 | 12 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 34 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 457 | 396 | 145 | 28 | 0 | 13 | 49 | 36 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 366 | 442 | 535 | 978 | 169 | 375 | 8 | 11 | 427 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 34 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 167 | 150 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 300 | 364 | 353 | 717 | 53 | 328 | 9 | 8 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 35 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 72 | 59 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 423 | 339 | 762 | 34 | 333 | 8 | 15 | 354 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 36 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 86 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 280 | 219 | 500 | 27 | 222 | 13 | 10 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 26 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 136 | 128 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 312 | 348 | 500 | 848 | 188 | 343 | 15 | 4 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 21 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 400 | 429 | 450 | 879 | 50 | 423 | 14 | 5 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees | — | 385 | 355 | 98 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 276 | 324 | 406 | 729 | 130 | 301 | 16 | 5 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 114 | 105 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 314 | 363 | 514 | 877 | 200 | 366 | 20 | 5 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 357 | 342 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 249 | 280 | 351 | 631 | 102 | 279 | 15 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees1 | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 312 | 607 | 62 | 289 | 24 | 6 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 400 | 365 | 106 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 55 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 290 | 339 | 397 | 737 | 107 | 314 | 14 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 469 | 441 | 113 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 56 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 256 | 298 | 338 | 636 | 82 | 286 | 12 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 198 | 186 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 285 | 325 | 344 | 669 | 59 | 307 | 10 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 34 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 457 | 419 | 123 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 294 | 342 | 432 | 774 | 138 | 296 | 9 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 222 | 211 | 66 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 313 | 344 | 469 | 813 | 156 | 356 | 15 | 4 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 222 | 210 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 352 | 385 | 524 | 908 | 171 | 381 | 11 | 5 | 398 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 732 | 676 | 193 | 32 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 122 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 286 | 330 | 432 | 762 | 146 | 320 | 17 | 5 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 732 | 657 | 199 | 35 | 5 | 24 | 54 | 112 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 303 | 365 | 481 | 846 | 178 | 330 | 15 | 7 | 369 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 614 | 574 | 146 | 30 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 93 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 254 | 297 | 359 | 656 | 105 | 288 | 15 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 614 | 546 | 150 | 29 | 2 | 9 | 54 | 81 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 275 | 350 | 385 | 734 | 110 | 308 | 13 | 9 | 331 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 478 | 139 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 72 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 291 | 340 | 395 | 736 | 105 | 322 | 14 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 524 | 457 | 158 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 55 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 346 | 416 | 492 | 909 | 147 | 368 | 10 | 9 | 397 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 210 | 189 | 68 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 360 | 418 | 439 | 857 | 79 | 411 | 12 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 210 | 189 | 68 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 360 | 418 | 439 | 857 | 79 | 411 | 12 | 8 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 766 | 714 | 185 | 29 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 92 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 259 | 303 | 342 | 645 | 83 | 289 | 12 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 766 | 685 | 206 | 49 | 4 | 11 | 68 | 72 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 301 | 369 | 432 | 801 | 131 | 322 | 9 | 9 | 356 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 386 | 110 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 42 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 285 | 325 | 342 | 667 | 57 | 314 | 10 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 413 | 362 | 112 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 32 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 309 | 389 | 376 | 764 | 66 | 333 | 8 | 11 | 347 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 33 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 245 | 218 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 239 | 311 | 344 | 655 | 106 | 258 | 12 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 33 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 245 | 218 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 239 | 311 | 344 | 655 | 106 | 258 | 12 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 572 | 167 | 34 | 0 | 14 | 36 | 59 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 292 | 341 | 425 | 766 | 133 | 302 | 9 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 624 | 546 | 190 | 36 | 0 | 13 | 62 | 51 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 348 | 421 | 485 | 906 | 137 | 362 | 8 | 10 | 399 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 35 | INTL MLE | Estrellas Orientales | — | 72 | 59 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 423 | 339 | 762 | 34 | 333 | 8 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 35 | INTL RAW | Estrellas Orientales | — | 72 | 59 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 423 | 339 | 762 | 34 | 333 | 8 | 15 | 354 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 36 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 86 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 280 | 219 | 500 | 27 | 222 | 13 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 36 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 86 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 280 | 219 | 500 | 27 | 222 | 13 | 10 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 222 | 210 | 66 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 314 | 344 | 471 | 815 | 157 | 354 | 15 | 4 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 732 | 681 | 193 | 32 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 122 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 283 | 330 | 429 | 759 | 145 | 316 | 17 | 5 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 614 | 574 | 146 | 30 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 93 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 254 | 297 | 359 | 656 | 105 | 279 | 15 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 483 | 139 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 72 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 288 | 340 | 391 | 732 | 104 | 314 | 14 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 766 | 715 | 185 | 29 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 92 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 259 | 303 | 341 | 644 | 83 | 286 | 12 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 387 | 110 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 42 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 284 | 325 | 341 | 666 | 57 | 307 | 10 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 576 | 167 | 34 | 0 | 14 | 36 | 59 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 290 | 341 | 422 | 763 | 132 | 296 | 9 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4508 | 4150 | 1158 | 202 | 16 | 69 | 252 | 585 | 48 | 91 | 27 | 279 | 328 | 385 | 713 | 106 | 308 | 13 | 6 | 266 | 66 | -182 | +7 | +0 | -48 | +98 | -12.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 167 | 29 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 84 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 279 | 327 | 385 | 712 | 105 | 308 | 13 | 6 | 266 | 66 | -26 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 457 PAwOBA .416 → .335 (−82)K% 7.9% → 9.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.88% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.41% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.89% | ÷1.056 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷0.900 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.865 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.75% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 111, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .416 → .335; ISO .169 → .142; BABIP .375 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALeones de Yucatan · 198 PAwOBA .336 → .292 (−45)K% 8.6% → 10.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.59% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.58% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.63% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×0.942 | 26.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.32% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×0.942 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.942 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.945 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.43% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .336 → .292; ISO .067 → .055; BABIP .346 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAGwinnett Braves · 469 PAwOBA .326 → .280 (−46)K% 10.4% → 12.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.45% | ÷1.046 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.93% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 22.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.57% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.132 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 109, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .326 → .280; ISO .103 → .084; BABIP .319 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 400 PAwOBA .387 → .321 (−66)K% 11.0% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.00% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.45% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×0.972 | 25.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.47% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×0.972 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.972 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.24% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 111, 2B 112, 3B 91, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .387 → .321; ISO .147 → .112; BABIP .368 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 357 PAwOBA .312 → .276 (−37)K% 12.3% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.32% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.44% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.72% | ÷0.971 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×0.982 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.24% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×0.982 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.044 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷0.976 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 2.04% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 100, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .312 → .276; ISO .126 → .105; BABIP .297 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Yankees1 · 17 PAwOBA .321 → .218 (−103)K% 17.6% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 5.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .218; ISO .062 → .039; BABIP .385 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees · 385 PAwOBA .354 → .316 (−39)K% 12.7% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.75% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.50% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 23.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.05% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.36% | ÷0.945 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 101, 2B 115, 3B 85, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .354 → .316; ISO .153 → .133; BABIP .325 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AATrenton Thunder · 114 PAwOBA .429 → .373 (−56)K% 16.7% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.955 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.71% | ÷0.980 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×0.968 | 27.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.058 | ×0.860 | ×1.020 | ×0.968 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.020 | ×0.968 | 2.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.02% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 4.66% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .429 → .373; ISO .245 → .201; BABIP .392 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .