Lane Thomas — OGILVIE

Lane ThomasCF Kansas City Royals

Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 6.081 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION269 act + 179 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 132116vR 74

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .327 / .407

PA179

HR5

SB7

K%24

BB%10

BABIP299

ISO165

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

897.0%

xwOBA

470.305

POWER45

Barrel%

396.7

Avg EV

4588.8

Bat Spd

4771.0

EYE60

Chase%

9019.3%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.1

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 728 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

220

508

—

wRC+

126

◀◀L

wOBA

350

271

◀◀L

ISO

164

133

◀◀L

BABIP

305

261

◀L

20.0%

28.9%

◀◀L

BB%

12.3%

8.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 6.081 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.1M
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	225	206	42	8	3	1	17	70	1	9	3	204	268	286	554	83	301	31	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	225	196	55	12	4	1	27	49	1	9	3	281	371	398	768	117	367	22	12	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	38	36	2	1	0	0	2	15	0	1	0	56	105	83	189	28	95	39	5	104	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	38	35	4	2	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	114	184	171	356	57	160	26	8	170	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	2 teams	—	355	316	45	12	1	5	34	173	3	19	6	142	232	234	466	92	290	49	10	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	2 teams	—	355	303	70	19	1	8	47	113	3	19	6	231	340	380	719	149	341	32	13	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	347	316	66	11	4	5	23	132	2	10	9	209	267	316	583	108	332	38	7	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	347	309	78	12	7	4	30	94	2	10	9	252	323	375	698	123	343	27	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	3 teams	—	650	599	130	23	7	21	38	197	5	24	13	217	269	384	653	167	282	30	6	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	3 teams	—	650	572	151	24	6	28	64	151	5	24	13	264	343	474	816	210	308	23	10	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA	2 teams	—	348	314	70	15	3	12	25	114	6	12	7	223	293	404	697	182	304	33	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA	2 teams	—	348	303	83	17	3	14	36	88	6	12	7	274	362	488	851	215	338	25	10	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	40	36	4	2	0	1	4	13	0	0	0	111	200	250	450	139	136	32	10	207	17	-4	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
2020	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	40	36	4	2	0	1	4	13	0	0	0	111	200	250	450	139	136	32	10	209	18	-4	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
2021	25	MLB	2 teams	—	404	356	83	20	3	11	45	109	1	9	5	233	321	399	720	166	303	27	11	317	100	+0	-0	-1	+1	+11	1.2
2021	25	MLB	2 teams	—	404	352	88	21	4	12	49	100	1	9	5	250	343	435	778	185	314	25	12	345	122	+10	-0	-1	+1	+11	2.2
2022	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	548	498	120	26	2	17	41	132	4	8	4	241	304	404	707	163	291	24	7	309	95	-3	+0	-3	-6	+16	0.3
2022	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	548	498	120	26	2	17	41	132	4	8	4	241	304	404	707	163	291	24	7	313	98	-2	+0	-3	-6	+16	0.5
2023	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	682	628	168	36	3	28	36	176	11	20	5	268	319	468	787	201	325	26	5	339	118	+14	+2	-3	-7	+19	2.5
2023	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	682	628	168	36	3	28	36	176	11	20	5	268	319	468	787	201	325	26	5	343	121	+16	+2	-3	-7	+19	2.7
2024	28	MLB	2 teams	—	544	486	116	28	3	15	46	140	7	34	14	239	314	401	715	163	301	26	8	312	97	-2	+1	-6	-6	+15	0.3
2024	28	MLB	2 teams	—	544	485	116	28	3	15	47	139	7	34	14	239	315	402	717	163	301	26	9	319	102	+1	+1	-6	-6	+15	0.6
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	169	150	26	3	0	5	15	52	1	5	2	173	253	293	546	120	219	31	9	253	52	-9	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.5
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	169	149	28	4	0	6	16	50	1	5	2	188	271	336	607	148	229	30	9	271	66	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	KC	—	269	231	54	15	0	7	34	60	2	4	3	234	337	390	727	156	283	22	13	323	106	+2	-0	-1	+1	+8	0.9
YTD	30	MLB	KC	—	269	231	54	15	0	7	34	60	2	4	3	234	337	390	727	156	283	22	13	327	108	+3	-0	-1	+1	+8	1.0
ROS	30	MLB	KC	100%	179	157	38	9	1	5	18	43	2	7	2	242	327	407	734	165	295	24	10	327	108	+2	+1	-0	-2	+5	0.5
ROS	30	MLB	KC	100%	179	157	37	8	1	5	18	43	2	7	2	236	322	395	717	159	291	24	10	315	99	-0	+1	-0	-2	+5	0.3
FULL	30	MLB	KC	—	448	388	91	23	1	12	52	103	4	11	5	235	331	392	723	157	286	23	12	320	103	+2	+0	-2	-1	+13	1.2
TOT	30	MLB	KC	—	448	388	92	24	1	12	52	103	4	11	5	237	333	397	730	160	290	23	12	325	107	+3	+0	-2	-1	+13	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	KC	100%	374	329	79	18	2	11	38	91	4	13	3	240	326	407	733	167	294	24	10	324	106	+3	+1	-3	-4	+11	0.7
2028	32	MLB	KC	100%	355	313	73	17	1	10	36	88	3	10	3	233	318	390	708	157	290	25	10	318	102	+1	+1	-4	-4	+10	0.4
2029	33	MLB	KC	100%	325	286	65	14	1	9	33	82	3	7	2	227	314	378	691	150	285	25	10	310	96	-2	+1	-5	-3	+9	0.0
2027	31	MLB	KC	100%	374	329	78	17	2	11	38	91	4	13	3	237	323	401	725	164	290	24	10	312	97	-1	+1	-3	-4	+11	0.4
2028	32	MLB	KC	100%	355	313	72	16	1	10	36	88	3	10	3	230	315	383	699	153	286	25	10	307	93	-3	+1	-4	-4	+10	0.0
2029	33	MLB	KC	100%	325	286	63	14	1	8	33	82	3	7	2	220	307	360	668	140	281	25	10	299	87	-5	+1	-5	-3	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3481	3108	739	162	16	110	305	877	37	108	38	238	313	406	720	169	293	25	9	317	101	+3	+6	-27	-29	+99	5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	138	30	3	21	57	164	7	20	7	238	314	409	722	171	292	25	9	317	101	+1	+1	-5	-5	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	5583	5026	1127	243	34	156	451	1627	53	188	78	224	295	379	674	155	295	29	8	296	85	-98	+6	-27	-47	+158	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	131	28	4	18	53	189	6	22	9	224	295	378	673	154	295	29	8	296	85	-11	+1	-3	-5	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	225	196	55	12	4	1	27	49	1	9	3	281	371	398	768	117	367	22	12	346	123	+6	+1	—	—	+6	1.3
2015	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	38	35	4	2	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	114	184	171	356	57	160	26	8	170	-11	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2016	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	332	282	61	14	1	7	45	107	3	17	5	216	330	348	678	131	321	32	14	310	96	-2	+1	—	—	+9	0.9
2016	20	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	23	21	9	5	0	1	2	6	0	2	1	429	478	810	1.288	381	571	26	9	548	278	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2017	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	347	309	78	12	7	4	30	94	2	10	9	252	323	375	698	123	343	27	9	309	95	-2	-2	—	—	+10	0.6
2018	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	140	131	36	7	2	6	7	33	2	4	1	275	321	496	818	221	326	24	5	358	132	+5	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2018	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	435	384	100	16	4	21	43	101	3	13	9	260	340	487	827	227	298	23	10	359	133	+16	-1	—	—	+12	2.8
2018	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	75	57	15	1	0	1	14	17	0	7	3	263	403	333	736	70	333	23	19	332	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2019	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	44	38	12	0	1	4	4	8	2	1	1	316	409	684	1.093	368	308	18	9	467	215	+6	-0	+1	+1	+1	0.9
2019	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	304	265	71	17	2	10	32	80	4	11	6	268	355	460	816	192	343	26	11	359	133	+11	-0	—	—	+9	2.0
2020	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	40	36	4	2	0	1	4	13	0	0	0	111	200	250	450	139	136	32	10	209	18	-4	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
2021	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	264	226	53	15	2	7	37	63	0	6	3	235	342	412	754	177	293	24	14	338	116	+5	+0	-1	+1	+7	1.3
2021	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	140	126	35	6	2	5	12	37	1	3	2	278	345	476	822	198	353	26	9	360	133	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	548	498	120	26	2	17	41	132	4	8	4	241	304	404	707	163	291	24	7	313	98	-2	+0	-3	-6	+16	0.5
2023	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	682	628	168	36	3	28	36	176	11	20	5	268	319	468	787	201	325	26	5	343	121	+16	+2	-3	-7	+19	2.7
2024	28	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	528	472	112	26	3	15	44	137	7	32	14	237	312	400	712	163	298	26	8	316	100	-0	+1	-6	-6	+15	0.4
2024	28	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	16	13	4	2	0	0	3	2	0	2	0	308	438	462	899	154	364	12	19	404	168	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	29	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	142	125	20	2	0	4	14	44	1	4	1	160	250	272	522	112	203	31	10	240	42	-9	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.6
2025	29	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	27	24	8	2	0	2	2	6	0	1	1	333	385	667	1.051	333	353	22	7	435	191	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2248	2023	489	107	11	76	180	573	25	71	28	242	311	418	730	176	296	25	8	322	105	+12	+3	-15	-16	+64	4.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	12	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
	/162	664	21	9	249	332	430	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	11	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.7
#2Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	/162	664	24	17	252	326	437	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,929	122	128	240	313	408	-32	-23	10.4	10.0
	/162	664	21	22	240	313	408	-5.4	-3.9	1.8	pk7: 10
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Michael Tuckerlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,732 PA	7	2,732	71	71	253	340	419	-23	-26	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	17	17	253	340	419	-5.5	-6.3	1.8	pk7: 7
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lane Thomas (OGILVIE)	30	45	45	60	60	237/333/397	160	290	12	11	23%	12%	107	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→47	52→50	57→65	52	222/331/394	172	292	19	35	29%	11%	109	+2.4	216/319/391	175	291	18	32	30%	11%	103	+1.9	201/303/378	176	270	20	37	31%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Trevor Story 2023 · MLB	30	43→49	53→60	55	48	226/300/405	179	279	21	20	27%	9%	98	+1.6	233/294/394	161	303	19	24	28%	7%	92	+1.2	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	48→51	47→50	57→60	44	235/297/374	138	322	15	24	30%	8%	88	+0.9	222/299/354	132	324	14	22	33%	9%	84	+0.6	204/290/316	112	307	12	23	34%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Hiram Bocachica 2007 · MLB	31	49	54→55	54→55	49	252/326/430	178	295	22	21	23%	8%	115	+2.8	238/321/403	165	270	19	19	19%	9%	106	+2.2	214/303/391	177	236	21	21	20%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Jace Peterson 2021 · MLB	31	47→57	49→50	55	52	236/313/390	155	284	15	18	22%	10%	99	+1.7	236/323/382	146	299	16	18	25%	11%	101	+1.8	227/319/357	130	289	14	20	25%	11%	89	+0.6
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→56	49→55	55	46	253/308/405	152	298	17	21	21%	6%	101	+1.8	239/292/372	133	285	15	23	21%	6%	85	+0.7	242/304/399	157	300	20	16	25%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Hernán Pérez 2021 · MLB	30	46→55	50→55	52→55	43	238/282/393	155	288	19	16	25%	6%	86	+0.8	240/286/377	137	303	16	20	26%	6%	84	+0.6	239/283/364	126	302	16	24	26%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Niko Goodrum 2022 · MLB	30	45→54	49→55	53→55	46	224/298/374	150	315	16	19	32%	9%	89	+1.0	229/321/362	133	325	14	15	31%	12%	95	+1.4	235/336/360	125	330	13	14	29%	13%	98	+0.6
✕Jon Berti 2020 · MLB	30	54→63	46→45	60	48	261/330/398	137	325	13	32	23%	8%	108	+2.3	247/336/366	119	318	11	30	23%	11%	102	+1.9	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Cameron Maybin 2018 · MLB	31	52→60	44→50	57→55	54	252/328/376	123	302	11	30	20%	10%	102	+1.8	252/330/385	133	318	12	20	23%	10%	105	+2.1	256/335/387	131	329	12	16	24%	10%	104	+0.9
●Mike Tauchman 2021 · MLB	30	50→56	49→55	55	53	247/325/405	159	301	15	16	22%	10%	108	+2.3	232/324/367	135	305	13	11	26%	11%	98	+1.6	244/350/366	121	305	13	6	22%	13%	107	+1.6
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	46→48	51→50	55→60	42	236/299/401	164	296	18	20	26%	6%	96	+1.5	216/283/342	126	308	12	24	32%	7%	74	-0.1	198/270/306	108	299	9	29	34%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Chris Young 2014 · MLB	30	42→49	53→60	50→55	53	222/304/406	184	259	20	15	23%	10%	100	+1.7	235/307/414	179	274	20	11	22%	9%	103	+1.9	238/311/419	180	275	21	9	21%	8%	103	+1.1
✕Jonathan Villar 2022 · MLB	31	50→60	50	53→65	49	250/319/403	153	314	18	24	26%	9%	105	+2.1	236/293/378	142	305	15	19	26%	7%	87	+0.8	226/270/352	127	298	11	25	27%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Rafael Ortega 2021 · MLB	30	45→54	50→55	52→55	48	229/290/390	161	268	18	16	22%	8%	89	+1.0	242/319/388	146	292	16	18	22%	10%	101	+1.8	232/322/362	130	281	14	21	21%	11%	92	+0.8
●Ryan Roberts 2011 · MLB	30	47→52	45→50	52→55	50	230/298/355	125	280	12	16	22%	8%	83	+0.6	230/302/369	139	269	16	15	20%	9%	89	+1.0	227/302/364	136	262	16	13	19%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Desmond Jennings 2017 · MLB	30	44→54	47→50	49→60	50	224/296/363	139	265	15	13	22%	9%	85	+0.7	209/268/339	130	263	15	9	26%	7%	66	-0.6	171/216/268	97	218	11	7	27%	5%	24	-1.3
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	255/333/381	126	315	11	18	22%	10%	105	+2.1	236/306/347	111	297	10	16	22%	9%	85	+0.7	221/291/320	99	280	9	15	23%	9%	69	-0.2