Anthony Volpe
SS New York Yankees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | MLBNYY | 689 | .243/.294/.364 | 12 | 28 | 82 | 2.5 | |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBNYY | 596 | .212/.275/.391 | 19 | 18 | 81 | 0.4 | |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 203 | .260/.343/.508 | 11 | 12 | 86 | — | .223/.289/.407 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBNYY | 246 | .245/.322/.336 | 2 | 12 | 89 | 0.8 | |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBNYY | 481 | .229/.294/.383 | 13 | 20 | 87 | 0.9 | |
| 2028PROJ | 27 | MLBNYY | 475 | .228/.293/.381 | 13 | 19 | 87 | 0.8 | |
| 2029PROJ | 28 | MLBNYY | 466 | .226/.291/.376 | 13 | 17 | 85 | 0.6 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 256 | 213 | 61 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 58 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 286 | 397 | 587 | 984 | 300 | 319 | 23 | 11 | 421 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 257 | 199 | 60 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 43 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 302 | 457 | 623 | 1.080 | 322 | 331 | 17 | 20 | 462 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 99 | 89 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 236 | 313 | 404 | 718 | 169 | 321 | 30 | 8 | 321 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 497 | 422 | 106 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 88 | 10 | 44 | 6 | 251 | 354 | 472 | 825 | 220 | 272 | 18 | 11 | 360 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 601 | 541 | 113 | 23 | 4 | 21 | 52 | 167 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 209 | 284 | 383 | 667 | 174 | 259 | 28 | 9 | 297 | 84 | -11 | +3 | +5 | +6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 689 | 637 | 155 | 27 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 156 | 4 | 28 | 7 | 243 | 294 | 364 | 658 | 121 | 303 | 23 | 6 | 293 | 82 | -14 | +3 | +14 | +7 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 596 | 539 | 114 | 32 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 150 | 4 | 18 | 8 | 212 | 275 | 391 | 666 | 180 | 252 | 25 | 7 | 291 | 81 | -14 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 246 | 220 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 56 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 245 | 322 | 336 | 659 | 91 | 319 | 23 | 10 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +5 | 0.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 169 | 148 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 264 | 345 | 561 | 906 | 297 | 286 | 24 | 9 | 389 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 34 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 333 | 241 | 575 | 280 | 15 | 12 | 268 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2132 | 1937 | 436 | 94 | 16 | 54 | 162 | 529 | 13 | 82 | 24 | 225 | 289 | 374 | 663 | 149 | 279 | 25 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -37 | +7 | +17 | +25 | +46 | 5.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 256 | 221 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 78 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 226 | 321 | 457 | 778 | 231 | 274 | 30 | 7 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 257 | 214 | 52 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 59 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 243 | 367 | 491 | 858 | 248 | 283 | 23 | 14 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 99 | 92 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 185 | 242 | 304 | 547 | 120 | 279 | 36 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 497 | 436 | 99 | 28 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 108 | 10 | 44 | 6 | 227 | 311 | 406 | 717 | 179 | 255 | 22 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 601 | 541 | 112 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 52 | 167 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 207 | 283 | 375 | 658 | 168 | 259 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -11 | +3 | +5 | +6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 689 | 639 | 154 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 41 | 156 | 4 | 28 | 7 | 241 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 116 | 303 | 23 | 6 | 290 | 82 | -14 | +3 | +14 | +7 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 596 | 539 | 113 | 32 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 150 | 4 | 18 | 8 | 210 | 273 | 384 | 657 | 174 | 252 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -14 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 246 | 220 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 56 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 245 | 322 | 336 | 659 | 91 | 319 | 23 | 10 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +5 | 0.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 169 | 154 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 221 | 286 | 442 | 727 | 221 | 254 | 28 | 7 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 34 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 233 | 536 | 272 | 18 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 435 | 102 | 28 | 5 | 22 | 55 | 137 | 18 | 33 | 9 | 234 | 344 | 474 | 818 | 239 | 285 | 27 | 11 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 412 | 121 | 35 | 6 | 27 | 78 | 101 | 18 | 33 | 9 | 294 | 427 | 604 | 1.032 | 311 | 325 | 20 | 15 | 441 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 528 | 117 | 31 | 5 | 17 | 48 | 144 | 12 | 50 | 7 | 222 | 301 | 396 | 697 | 174 | 267 | 24 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 596 | 511 | 127 | 35 | 5 | 21 | 65 | 118 | 12 | 50 | 7 | 249 | 347 | 460 | 807 | 211 | 279 | 20 | 11 | 353 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 601 | 541 | 112 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 52 | 167 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 207 | 283 | 375 | 658 | 168 | 258 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -11 | +3 | +5 | +6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 601 | 541 | 113 | 23 | 4 | 21 | 52 | 167 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 209 | 284 | 383 | 667 | 174 | 259 | 28 | 9 | 297 | 84 | -11 | +3 | +5 | +6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 689 | 639 | 154 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 41 | 156 | 4 | 28 | 7 | 241 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 116 | 301 | 23 | 6 | 290 | 82 | -14 | +3 | +14 | +7 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 689 | 637 | 155 | 27 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 156 | 4 | 28 | 7 | 243 | 294 | 364 | 658 | 121 | 303 | 23 | 6 | 293 | 82 | -14 | +3 | +14 | +7 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 596 | 539 | 113 | 32 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 150 | 4 | 18 | 8 | 210 | 273 | 384 | 657 | 174 | 251 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -14 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 596 | 539 | 114 | 32 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 150 | 4 | 18 | 8 | 212 | 275 | 391 | 666 | 180 | 252 | 25 | 7 | 291 | 81 | -14 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 449 | 404 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 110 | 3 | 24 | 8 | 235 | 307 | 369 | 676 | 134 | 296 | 24 | 9 | 298 | 88 | -6 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 449 | 397 | 100 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 101 | 3 | 24 | 8 | 252 | 332 | 413 | 745 | 161 | 304 | 22 | 10 | 331 | 88 | -6 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 435 | 102 | 28 | 5 | 22 | 55 | 137 | 18 | 33 | 9 | 234 | 344 | 474 | 818 | 239 | 279 | 27 | 11 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 531 | 117 | 31 | 5 | 17 | 48 | 144 | 12 | 50 | 7 | 220 | 301 | 394 | 695 | 173 | 259 | 24 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 601 | 539 | 112 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 52 | 167 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 208 | 283 | 377 | 659 | 169 | 259 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 689 | 639 | 154 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 41 | 156 | 4 | 28 | 7 | 241 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 116 | 303 | 23 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 596 | 544 | 113 | 32 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 150 | 4 | 18 | 8 | 208 | 273 | 381 | 654 | 173 | 252 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 449 | 404 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 110 | 3 | 24 | 8 | 235 | 307 | 369 | 676 | 134 | 291 | 24 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 689 | 639 | 154 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 41 | 156 | 4 | 28 | 7 | 241 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 116 | 303 | 23 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 596 | 544 | 113 | 32 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 150 | 4 | 18 | 8 | 208 | 273 | 381 | 654 | 173 | 252 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 449 | 404 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 110 | 3 | 24 | 8 | 235 | 307 | 369 | 676 | 134 | 291 | 24 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 551 | 500 | 114 | 24 | 4 | 14 | 42 | 133 | 4 | 23 | 5 | 227 | 292 | 376 | 669 | 149 | 278 | 24 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -8 | +3 | -2 | +6 | +12 | 1.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 481 | 438 | 99 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 116 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 229 | 294 | 383 | 677 | 154 | 278 | 24 | 8 | 300 | 87 | -7 | +2 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.9 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 475 | 432 | 98 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 226 | 291 | 374 | 665 | 148 | 277 | 24 | 8 | 296 | 87 | -8 | +2 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 466 | 424 | 95 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 114 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 225 | 289 | 370 | 659 | 145 | 277 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +2 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 452 | 412 | 92 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 112 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 222 | 287 | 364 | 651 | 141 | 275 | 25 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -9 | +2 | -3 | +5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 438 | 400 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 110 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 220 | 283 | 356 | 640 | 137 | 274 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 79 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 419 | 383 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 106 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 215 | 278 | 347 | 625 | 131 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 475 | 432 | 99 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 115 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 228 | 293 | 381 | 673 | 153 | 277 | 24 | 8 | 299 | 87 | -8 | +2 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 466 | 424 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 114 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 226 | 291 | 376 | 667 | 150 | 276 | 24 | 8 | 296 | 85 | -8 | +2 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 452 | 412 | 92 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 112 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 224 | 288 | 370 | 658 | 146 | 275 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 82 | -9 | +2 | -3 | +5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 438 | 400 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 110 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 221 | 284 | 362 | 647 | 142 | 274 | 25 | 8 | 288 | 79 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 419 | 383 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 106 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 216 | 279 | 352 | 631 | 136 | 270 | 25 | 7 | 282 | 75 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +9 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4382 | 3988 | 894 | 190 | 30 | 113 | 333 | 1086 | 26 | 150 | 40 | 224 | 288 | 372 | 660 | 148 | 278 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 87 | -86 | +14 | +2 | +49 | +95 | 7.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 592 | 132 | 28 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 161 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 223 | 287 | 370 | 657 | 147 | 276 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 87 | -13 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6175 | 5575 | 1247 | 280 | 44 | 165 | 486 | 1537 | 62 | 265 | 64 | 224 | 293 | 378 | 672 | 155 | 277 | 25 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -93 | +16 | +0 | +54 | +105 | 8.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 131 | 29 | 5 | 17 | 51 | 162 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 223 | 293 | 376 | 670 | 153 | 277 | 25 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -12 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 169 PAwOBA .380 → .306 (−74)K% 23.7% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.033 | 15.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.033 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.033 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 7.36% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .380 → .306; ISO .297 → .223; BABIP .286 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AASomerset Patriots · 34 PAwOBA .270 → .247 (−23)K% 14.7% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 28.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .270 → .247; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .280 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASomerset Patriots · 497 PAwOBA .356 → .311 (−46)K% 17.7% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.71% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.47% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 8.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.87% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 15.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.28% | ÷0.972 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 8.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.969 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.39% | ÷1.032 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.28% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .356 → .311; ISO .220 → .187; BABIP .272 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 99 PAwOBA .313 → .245 (−68)K% 30.3% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.30% | ÷1.001 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.08% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.03% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 19.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.71% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .313 → .245; ISO .169 → .126; BABIP .321 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ATampa Tarpons · 257 PAwOBA .452 → .367 (−86)K% 16.7% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 14.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 14.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 9.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 2.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 6.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .452 → .367; ISO .322 → .270; BABIP .331 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 256 PAwOBA .414 → .337 (−78)K% 22.7% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 7.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.69% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 3.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 16.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 9.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 8.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .414 → .337; ISO .300 → .245; BABIP .319 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).