Josh Wilson

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1981-03-26

Age (2027)46

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	33	AAATEX	332	.246/.299/.338	5	1	30	—	.186/.229/.244
2014	33	MLBTEX	72	.239/.271/.299	0	1	52	0.3
2015	34	AAADET	293	.252/.319/.347	3	10	39	—	.199/.247/.277
2015	34	MLBDET	41	.316/.350/.395	0	0	112	0.2
2017	36	AAACLE	261	.246/.320/.382	6	1	48	—	.201/.261/.295
2018	37	No MLB games played
2019	38	No MLB games played
2020	39	No MLB games played
2021	40	No MLB games played
2022	41	No MLB games played
2023	42	No MLB games played
2024	43	No MLB games played
2025	44	No MLB games played
2026	45	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	526	135	31	6	17	48	114	9	17	7	257	329	435	765	179	290	19	8	332	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	384	335	103	18	4	10	37	41	4	15	4	307	383	475	858	167	320	11	10	373	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	310	282	67	15	3	2	17	57	5	6	2	238	293	333	626	96	288	18	5	279	75	-9	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.4
2008	27	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	459	405	106	24	1	7	29	71	14	13	5	262	333	378	710	116	300	15	6	315	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	211	192	42	11	1	3	12	44	4	1	2	219	279	333	612	115	269	21	6	274	69	-8	-1	+3	+4	+5	0.2
2009	28	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	121	103	26	5	1	2	9	14	2	2	1	252	325	379	703	126	267	12	7	299	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	388	361	82	14	2	2	14	74	12	5	0	227	279	294	573	66	280	19	4	263	65	-16	+1	+2	+5	+8	0.1
2010	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	86	81	27	11	1	0	0	15	2	0	1	333	349	494	843	160	397	17	0	358	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	92	85	19	5	0	2	4	22	0	1	0	224	258	353	611	129	279	24	4	263	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2011	30	AAA	Reno Aces	—	64	57	20	5	2	1	4	7	2	2	0	351	413	561	974	211	380	11	6	420	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	452	407	98	26	3	5	34	97	6	7	4	241	309	356	665	115	301	21	8	298	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	65	60	12	1	1	1	5	17	0	0	0	200	262	300	562	100	262	26	8	256	54	-4	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.0
2013	32	AAA	Reno Aces	—	206	192	42	8	0	4	13	44	0	1	3	219	268	323	591	104	264	21	6	266	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	72	67	16	4	0	0	2	14	1	1	0	239	271	299	570	60	302	19	3	252	52	-4	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.3
2014	33	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	332	305	75	11	1	5	16	87	7	1	2	246	299	338	636	92	323	26	5	286	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	41	38	12	3	0	0	0	15	2	0	0	316	350	395	745	79	522	37	0	328	112	+1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.2
2015	34	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	293	262	66	14	1	3	22	70	4	10	2	252	319	347	667	95	328	24	8	299	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	261	228	56	13	0	6	15	56	10	1	2	246	320	382	702	136	296	21	6	308	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1179	1085	250	53	7	10	54	243	24	14	4	230	282	320	602	89	287	21	5	270	69	-44	+1	+5	+16	+26	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	540	116	25	5	14	34	147	9	17	7	215	273	357	630	143	250	25	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	384	346	91	15	3	8	26	53	4	15	4	263	322	393	715	130	277	14	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	310	282	67	15	3	2	17	57	5	6	2	238	293	333	626	96	288	18	5	279	75	-9	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.4
2008	27	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	459	415	96	20	1	6	19	85	14	13	5	231	288	328	616	96	267	19	4	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	211	193	42	11	1	3	11	44	4	1	2	218	274	332	606	114	269	21	5	270	69	-8	-1	+3	+4	+5	0.2
2009	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	121	106	23	4	1	2	6	18	2	2	1	217	272	330	602	113	222	15	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	388	361	82	14	2	2	14	74	12	5	0	227	279	294	573	66	280	19	4	265	65	-16	+1	+2	+5	+8	0.1
2010	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	86	81	22	8	1	0	0	19	2	0	1	272	289	395	684	123	319	22	0	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	92	85	19	5	0	2	4	22	0	1	0	224	258	353	611	129	279	24	4	267	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2011	30	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	64	58	16	4	1	1	3	10	2	2	0	276	333	431	764	155	298	16	5	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	452	418	79	19	3	5	23	123	6	7	4	189	242	285	526	96	246	27	5	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	65	60	12	1	1	1	5	17	0	0	0	200	262	300	562	100	262	26	8	248	54	-4	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.0
2013	32	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	206	196	33	6	0	3	9	57	0	1	3	168	205	245	450	77	213	28	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	72	67	16	4	0	0	2	14	1	1	0	239	271	299	570	60	302	19	3	245	52	-4	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.3
2014	33	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	332	311	58	7	1	3	10	111	7	1	2	186	229	244	473	58	266	33	3	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	41	38	12	3	0	0	0	15	2	0	0	316	350	395	745	79	522	37	0	333	112	+1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.2
2015	34	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	293	271	54	10	1	3	13	84	4	10	2	199	247	277	523	77	263	29	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	261	234	47	10	0	4	9	68	10	1	2	201	261	295	556	94	245	26	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	540	116	25	5	14	34	147	9	17	7	215	273	357	630	143	261	25	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	526	135	31	6	17	48	114	9	17	7	257	329	435	765	179	290	19	8	332	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	384	346	91	15	3	8	26	53	4	15	4	263	322	393	715	130	284	14	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA RAW	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	384	335	103	18	4	10	37	41	4	15	4	307	383	475	858	167	320	11	10	373	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	310	282	67	15	3	2	17	57	5	6	2	238	293	333	626	96	288	18	5	279	75	-9	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.4
2007	26	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	310	282	67	15	3	2	17	57	5	6	2	238	293	333	626	96	288	18	5	279	75	-9	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.4
2008	27	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	459	415	96	20	1	6	19	85	14	13	5	231	288	328	616	96	275	19	4	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA RAW	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	459	405	106	24	1	7	29	71	14	13	5	262	333	378	710	116	300	15	6	315	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	332	299	65	15	2	5	17	62	6	3	3	217	273	331	604	114	255	19	5	264	65	-14	-1	+3	+4	+7	-0.1
2009	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	332	295	68	16	2	5	21	58	6	3	3	231	295	349	644	119	268	17	6	283	65	-14	-1	+3	+4	+7	-0.1
2010	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	474	442	104	22	3	2	14	93	14	5	1	235	281	312	593	77	291	20	3	268	67	-18	+1	+2	+5	+10	-0.0
2010	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	474	442	109	25	3	2	14	89	14	5	1	247	291	330	622	84	302	19	3	280	67	-18	+1	+2	+5	+10	-0.0
2011	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	156	143	35	9	1	3	7	32	2	3	0	245	289	385	674	140	294	21	4	287	81	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2011	30	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	156	142	39	10	2	3	8	29	2	3	0	275	322	437	759	162	324	19	5	327	81	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2012	31	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	452	418	79	19	3	5	23	123	6	7	4	189	242	285	526	96	252	27	5	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Braves	—	452	407	98	26	3	5	34	97	6	7	4	241	309	356	665	115	301	21	8	298	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	256	45	7	1	4	14	74	0	1	3	176	219	258	476	82	230	27	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	271	252	54	9	1	5	18	61	0	1	3	214	267	317	584	103	263	23	7	264	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	404	378	73	11	1	3	12	125	8	2	2	193	234	251	485	58	276	31	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	404	372	91	15	1	5	18	101	8	2	2	245	294	331	625	86	319	25	4	280	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	334	309	67	13	1	3	13	99	6	10	2	217	262	294	557	78	305	30	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	334	300	78	17	1	3	22	85	6	10	2	260	323	353	677	93	349	25	7	302	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	261	234	47	10	0	4	9	68	10	1	2	201	261	295	556	94	261	26	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	—	261	228	56	13	0	6	15	56	10	1	2	246	320	382	702	136	296	21	6	308	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	550	116	25	5	14	34	147	9	17	7	211	273	351	624	140	250	25	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	384	351	91	15	3	8	26	53	4	15	4	259	322	387	709	128	277	14	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	310	285	67	15	3	2	17	57	5	6	2	235	293	330	623	95	288	18	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	459	423	96	20	1	6	19	85	14	13	5	227	288	322	609	95	267	19	4	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	332	306	65	15	2	5	17	62	6	3	3	212	273	324	597	111	252	19	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	474	443	104	22	3	2	14	93	14	5	1	235	281	312	592	77	287	20	3	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	156	146	35	9	1	3	7	32	2	3	0	240	289	377	666	137	287	21	4	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	452	420	79	19	3	5	23	123	6	7	4	188	242	283	525	95	246	27	5	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	255	45	7	1	4	14	74	0	1	3	176	219	259	477	82	225	27	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	404	381	73	11	1	3	12	125	8	2	2	192	234	249	483	58	272	31	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	334	312	67	13	1	3	13	99	6	10	2	215	262	292	554	77	295	30	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	261	240	47	10	0	4	9	68	10	1	2	196	261	287	548	92	245	26	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1179	1085	250	53	7	10	54	243	24	14	4	230	282	320	602	89	287	21	5	270	61	-44	+1	+5	+16	+26	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	138	29	4	6	30	134	13	8	2	231	282	323	605	92	287	21	5	270	61	-24	+1	+3	+9	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4435	4062	885	181	24	59	205	1018	84	83	35	218	270	318	588	100	273	23	5	258	61	-44	+1	+5	+16	+26	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	131	27	4	9	30	149	12	12	5	220	272	324	596	104	275	23	5	258	61	-24	+1	+3	+9	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 261 PAwOBA .304 → .239 (−65)K% 21.5% → 26.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.46%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	26.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.75%	÷1.089	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.42%
HBP% /PA	3.83%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	3.39%
Singles /BIP	21.51%	÷0.945	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	18.90%
Doubles /BIP	7.56%	÷1.018	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	5.50%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.49%	÷1.231	×0.840	—	×0.940	2.24%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .304 → .239; ISO .136 → .094; BABIP .296 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 293 PAwOBA .294 → .226 (−68)K% 23.9% → 28.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.89%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	28.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.51%	÷1.085	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.49%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.21%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.988	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	21.00%
Doubles /BIP	7.29%	÷1.083	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	4.99%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	1.56%	÷0.911	×0.840	—	×0.940	1.35%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 100, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .294 → .226; ISO .095 → .072; BABIP .328 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARound Rock Express · 332 PAwOBA .281 → .212 (−68)K% 26.2% → 33.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.20%	÷1.015	×1.290	—	—	33.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.52%	÷1.033	×0.710	—	×0.942	2.93%
HBP% /PA	2.11%	—	×0.980	—	×0.942	1.95%
Singles /BIP	26.61%	÷0.984	×0.900	×0.989	×0.942	22.66%
Doubles /BIP	5.05%	÷1.055	×0.810	×0.989	×0.942	3.61%
Triples /BIP	0.46%	÷0.953	×0.810	×0.989	×0.942	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	2.29%	÷1.027	×0.780	—	×0.942	1.64%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 91, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .281 → .212; ISO .092 → .062; BABIP .323 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAReno Aces · 206 PAwOBA .257 → .190 (−67)K% 21.4% → 27.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.36%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	27.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.83%	÷0.947	×0.710	—	×0.952	4.16%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.27%	÷1.018	×0.900	×0.985	×0.952	16.80%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷0.994	×0.810	×0.985	×0.952	4.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.985	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷1.121	×0.780	—	×0.952	1.79%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .257 → .190; ISO .104 → .070; BABIP .264 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAGwinnett Braves · 452 PAwOBA .293 → .229 (−63)K% 21.5% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.46%	÷0.944	×1.200	—	—	27.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.52%	÷0.993	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.03%
HBP% /PA	1.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.20%
Singles /BIP	20.65%	÷1.030	×0.930	×0.958	×0.962	17.18%
Doubles /BIP	8.39%	÷0.995	×0.830	×0.958	×0.962	6.45%
Triples /BIP	0.97%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.958	×0.962	0.96%
Home runs /BIP	1.61%	÷0.858	×0.840	—	×0.962	1.52%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 89, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .293 → .229; ISO .115 → .095; BABIP .301 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAReno Aces · 64 PAwOBA .415 → .317 (−98)K% 10.9% → 15.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.94%	÷0.914	×1.290	—	—	15.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.25%	÷1.072	×0.710	—	×0.972	4.02%
HBP% /PA	3.12%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	2.98%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷1.018	×0.900	×0.964	×0.972	19.86%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.016	×0.810	×0.964	×0.972	7.46%
Triples /BIP	4.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.964	×0.972	2.64%
Home runs /BIP	2.00%	÷1.034	×0.780	—	×0.972	1.47%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 83, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .415 → .317; ISO .211 → .149; BABIP .380 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAATacoma Rainiers · 86 PAwOBA .356 → .282 (−74)K% 17.4% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.44%	÷1.012	×1.290	—	—	22.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.968	×0.710	—	×0.982	0.00%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	2.24%
Singles /BIP	22.73%	÷1.034	×0.900	×0.999	×0.982	19.41%
Doubles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.086	×0.810	×0.999	×0.982	12.20%
Triples /BIP	1.52%	÷0.934	×0.810	×0.999	×0.982	1.29%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.031	×0.780	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 117, 3B 87, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .356 → .282; ISO .160 → .119; BABIP .397 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAATacoma Rainiers · 121 PAwOBA .299 → .254 (−45)K% 11.6% → 14.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.57%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	14.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.44%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.992	5.24%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	1.61%
Singles /BIP	20.22%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.961	×0.992	17.36%
Doubles /BIP	5.62%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.961	×0.992	4.34%
Triples /BIP	1.12%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.961	×0.992	0.87%
Home runs /BIP	2.25%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.992	1.74%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .299 → .254; ISO .126 → .104; BABIP .267 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).