José Caballero

SS New York Yankees
Age 30 R/R 5'9" / 190 lbs MLB HR +14% Svc 3.988 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202427INTLAguilas Cibae…75.169/.260/.2000733—
202427MLBTB483.227/.285/.347944761.3
202528MLBNYY370.236/.341/.347549962.0
202629MLBNYY456.231/.293/.3651434810.6
2027PROJ30MLBNYY333.216/.289/.334829750.4
2028PROJ31MLBNYY314.212/.284/.32472271-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 3.9  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.988First FA2030
2027Arb-1$0.8M2028Arb-2$0.8M2029Ext$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed63
xwOBA26
Barrel%25
Bat Spd24
Avg EV10
Form.212/.288/.329 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .214/.286/.328
CompsDairon Blanco (age 30) · Jorge Mateo (age 29) · Darren Ford (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8075vR 62
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .289 / .334
PA333
HR8
SB29
K%25
BB%8
BABIP269
ISO117
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +3.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +7.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.40.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT40
xAVG
110.219
POWER40
Barrel%
255.0
Avg EV
1084.4
Bat Spd
2468.5
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
6328.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%26%▼28% over 65 PA (60d) · proj 25%
BB%8%·9% over 65 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.116·.123 over 57 AB (60d) · proj .114
HR/BB3.8%·5.0% over 40 BBE (60d) · proj 3.4%
BABIP.269·.289 over 38 BIP (60d) · proj .269
SLASH.212/.288/.329·proj .214/.286/.328
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 946 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
284
662
—
wRC+
107
77
◀◀L
wOBA
326
281
◀L
ISO
173
093
◀◀L
BABIP
347
302
◀L
K%
32.0%
24.6%
▶▶R
BB%
8.8%
7.9%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.988 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.8M+0.4$2M+$0.8M
2028Arb-2$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $1M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201720 ROKMissoula Osprey — 151135 43832 8276 40 319383467849 148380 185 374 66 — — — — — —
201821 AKane County Cougars — 150129 38724 16164 55 295389473862 178312 1111 382 91 — — — — — —
201922 A+Modesto Nuts — 307254 671713 365510 3212 264377374751 110318 1812 338 68 — — — — — —
201922 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 7463 12201 9212 82 190311270581 79268 2812 278 74 — — — — — —
202124 AAArkansas Travelers — 2820 4101 740 21 200407400807 200188 1425 359 93 — — — — — —
202124 A+Everett AquaSox — 2117 5200 341 81 294429412840 118385 1914 386 82 — — — — — —
202124 ROKACL Mariners — 2925 7202 380 10 280357600957 320312 2810 398 71 — — — — — —
202124 INTLPanama — 7162 13101 7222 44 210310274584 65308 3110 277 74 — — — — — —
202225 AAArkansas Travelers — 13497 22402 35222 152 227440330770 103274 1626 371 87 — — — — — —
202225 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 6042 10400 12116 62 238467333800 95323 1820 389 149 — — — — — —
202326 MLBSeattle Mariners — 280231 51914 286617 263 221348320668 100285 2410 311 98 -1 +4 +7 +1 +6 1.8
202326 AAATacoma Rainiers — 4027 9102 1241 51 3335505931.143 259333 1030 500 158 — — — — — —
202427 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 483441 1002419 271339 4416 227285347632 120301 286 282 76 -14 +2 +8 +6 +10 1.3
202427 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 7565 11200 8170 71 169260200460 31224 2311 217 33 — — — — — —
202528 MLBNew York Yankees — 370314 741815 47983 4911 236341347688 111324 2613 312 96 -2 +5 +4 +4 +8 2.0
202629 MLBNew York Yankees — 456411 9513014 291117 3411 231293365658 134278 246 291 81 -10 +2 -1 +5 +10 0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 15891397 32064332 13140836 15341 229311348659 119297 268 297 87 -25 +14 +18 +16 +34 5.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201720 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 151138 31521 5396 40 225282312593 87297 263 266 66 — — — — — —
201821 A MLEKane County Cougars — 150134 32523 11224 55 239315373689 134263 157 302 91 — — — — — —
201922 A+ MLEModesto Nuts — 307266 581314 247610 3212 218307320626 102263 258 269 68 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 2823 4101 450 21 174296348644 174173 1814 306 93 — — — — — —
202124 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 2118 4100 251 81 222333278611 56326 2410 290 82 — — — — — —
202124 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 2926 5102 2120 10 192250462712 269223 417 273 71 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 134107 20302 25262 152 187351271622 84235 1919 297 87 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 280231 51914 286617 263 221348320668 100285 2410 313 98 -1 +4 +7 +1 +6 1.8
202326 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 4031 8101 851 51 258425387812 129300 1220 401 158 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 483442 1002519 261339 4416 226283348631 122301 285 281 76 -14 +2 +8 +6 +10 1.3
202528 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 370314 741815 47983 4911 236341347688 111324 2613 311 96 -2 +5 +4 +4 +8 2.0
202629 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 456411 9413013 291117 3411 229291355646 127278 246 288 81 -10 +2 -1 +5 +10 0.6
201720 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 151138 31521 5396 40 225282312593 87300 263 266 66 — — — — — —
201720 ROK RAWMissoula Osprey — 151135 43832 8276 40 319383467849 148380 185 374 66 — — — — — —
201821 A MLEKane County Cougars — 150134 32523 11224 55 239315373689 134266 157 302 91 — — — — — —
201821 A RAWKane County Cougars — 150129 38724 16164 55 295389473862 178312 1111 382 91 — — — — — —
201922 A+ MLE2 teams — 381333 701614 299412 4014 210297300597 90275 258 269 68 — — — — — —
201922 A+ RAW2 teams — 381317 791914 457612 4014 249364353717 104310 2012 326 68 — — — — — —
202124 INTL MLE4 teams — 149129 26705 15423 156 202299372671 171250 2810 289 82 — — — — — —
202124 INTL RAW4 teams — 149124 29604 20383 156 234354379733 145298 2613 331 82 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLE2 teams — 194150 30503 36388 214 200381293675 93248 2019 297 87 — — — — — —
202225 AA RAW2 teams — 194139 32802 47338 214 230448331779 101288 1724 376 87 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLE2 teams — 320262 601015 367118 314 229361332693 103289 2211 324 105 +2 +5 +7 +1 +7 2.2
202326 MLB RAW2 teams — 320258 601016 407018 314 233373349722 116290 2212 334 105 +2 +5 +7 +1 +7 2.2
202427 MLB MLE2 teams — 558511 11528111 301549 5117 225280348628 123297 285 281 76 -16 +3 +8 +6 +12 1.4
202427 MLB RAW2 teams — 558506 1112619 351509 5117 219282328610 109291 276 274 76 -16 +3 +8 +6 +12 1.4
202528 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 370314 741815 47983 4911 236341347688 111324 2613 311 96 -2 +5 +4 +4 +8 2.0
202528 MLB RAWNew York Yankees — 370314 741815 47983 4911 236341347688 111324 2613 312 96 -2 +5 +4 +4 +8 2.0
202629 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 456411 9413013 291117 3411 229291355646 127277 246 288 81 -10 +2 -1 +5 +10 0.6
202629 MLB RAWNew York Yankees — 456411 9513014 291117 3411 231293365658 134278 246 291 81 -10 +2 -1 +5 +10 0.6
201720 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 151139 31521 5396 40 223282309591 86297 263 266 66 — — — — — —
201821 A MLEKane County Cougars — 150134 32523 11224 55 239315373689 134263 157 302 91 — — — — — —
201922 A+ MLE2 teams — 381337 701614 299412 4014 208297297594 89263 258 269 68 — — — — — —
202124 INTL MLE4 teams — 149130 26705 15423 156 200299369669 169233 2810 289 82 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLE2 teams — 194148 30503 36388 214 203381297679 95235 2019 297 87 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLE2 teams — 320263 601015 367118 314 228361331692 103287 2211 324 105 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLE2 teams — 558514 11528111 301549 5117 224280346626 123301 285 281 76 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 370317 741815 47983 4911 233341344685 110324 2613 311 96 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 456417 9413013 291117 3411 225291350641 125278 246 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 MLB MLE2 teams — 558514 11528111 301549 5117 224280346626 123301 285 281 76 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 370317 741815 47983 4911 233341344685 110324 2613 311 96 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 456417 9413013 291117 3411 225291350641 125278 246 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLENYY 100% 429386 821419 341076 378 215288329617 114269 258 279 75 -13 +4 -0 +5 +9 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXNYY 100% 333299 641108 26835 297 216289334623 118269 258 282 75 -10 +3 -0 +4 +7 0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLENYY 100% 314283 591007 24794 225 210283319602 108265 258 273 71 -11 +2 -3 +3 +7 -0.1
202831 MLB CTXNYY 100% 314283 591007 24794 225 212284324608 112265 258 276 71 -11 +2 -3 +3 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19031680 37974339 15548740 17546 226306343649 117291 268 293 81 -35 +17 +15 +19 +41 5.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 12925113 5316614 6016 225306340645 115290 268 293 81 -12 +6 +5 +7 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 33762964 654128864 28883179 30184 221307334641 113281 259 289 81 -45 +20 +15 +23 +48 6.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 12625212 5516015 5816 221305335640 114282 258 289 81 -13 +6 +4 +7 +14 1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAATacoma Rainiers · 40 PAwOBA .488 → .401 (−88)K% 10.0% → 11.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.00%÷1.024×1.200——11.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA30.00%÷1.013×0.690—×1.00320.50%
HBP% /PA2.50%—×0.940—×1.0032.36%
Singles /BIP26.09%÷0.989×0.930—×1.00324.61%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷0.940×0.830—×1.0033.85%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP8.70%÷1.157×0.700—×1.0035.28%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .488 → .401; ISO .259 → .191; BABIP .333 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAArkansas Travelers · 134 PAwOBA .363 → .297 (−66)K% 16.4% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.42%÷1.015×1.220——19.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA26.12%÷0.976×0.700—×0.98818.50%
HBP% /PA1.49%—×0.870—×0.9881.28%
Singles /BIP21.33%÷0.985×0.920×0.950×0.98818.71%
Doubles /BIP5.33%÷0.987×0.840×0.950×0.9884.26%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940×0.950×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP2.67%÷0.909×0.800—×0.9882.32%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .363 → .297; ISO .103 → .094; BABIP .274 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Mariners · 29 PAwOBA .400 → .273 (−128)K% 27.6% → 39.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.59%÷0.996×1.440——39.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷1.024×0.620—×0.9455.92%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷0.992×0.820—×0.94513.79%
Doubles /BIP11.76%÷1.030×0.720—×0.9457.77%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.904×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Home runs /BIP11.76%÷0.904×0.780—×0.9459.59%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 98, 2B 106, 3B 81, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .400 → .273; ISO .320 → .230; BABIP .312 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAArkansas Travelers · 28 PAwOBA .364 → .306 (−59)K% 14.3% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.29%÷1.013×1.220——17.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.00%÷1.144×0.690—×0.99815.05%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.999×0.940—×0.99811.74%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷0.975×0.870—×0.9985.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷0.892×0.780—×0.9985.46%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 103, BB 129 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .364 → .306; ISO .200 → .208; BABIP .188 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Everett AquaSox · 21 PAwOBA .377 → .290 (−87)K% 19.0% → 26.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.05%÷0.985×1.350——26.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.125×0.710—×0.9788.82%
HBP% /PA4.76%—×0.810—×0.9783.77%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷0.978×0.910—×0.97821.00%
Doubles /BIP15.38%÷1.076×0.830—×0.97811.61%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.929×0.820—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.078×0.830—×0.9780.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 86, K 97, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .377 → .290; ISO .118 → .088; BABIP .385 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Modesto Nuts · 307 PAwOBA .334 → .269 (−65)K% 17.9% → 24.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.92%÷0.976×1.340——24.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.40%÷1.052×0.710—×0.9987.68%
HBP% /PA3.26%—×0.790—×0.9982.57%
Singles /BIP23.12%÷1.005×0.910×0.950×0.99819.84%
Doubles /BIP8.54%÷1.050×0.820×0.950×0.9986.33%
Triples /BIP0.50%÷1.022×0.760×0.950×0.9980.35%
Home runs /BIP1.51%÷0.768×0.920—×0.9981.80%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .334 → .269; ISO .110 → .098; BABIP .318 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AKane County Cougars · 150 PAwOBA .372 → .302 (−70)K% 10.7% → 14.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.67%÷0.975×1.360——14.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.67%÷0.974×0.690——7.56%
HBP% /PA2.67%—×0.780——2.08%
Singles /BIP22.12%÷1.014×0.920×0.964—19.34%
Doubles /BIP6.19%÷1.039×0.830×0.964—4.77%
Triples /BIP1.77%÷1.150×0.910×0.964—1.35%
Home runs /BIP3.54%÷0.937×0.800——3.02%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .372 → .302; ISO .178 → .145; BABIP .312 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKMissoula Osprey · 151 PAwOBA .369 → .266 (−102)K% 17.9% → 25.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.88%÷1.000×1.440——25.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.30%÷1.000×0.610—×0.9853.18%
HBP% /PA3.97%—×0.720—×0.9852.82%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.000×0.820×1.007×0.98522.59%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷1.000×0.720×1.007×0.9855.29%
Triples /BIP2.78%÷1.000×0.720×1.007×0.9851.98%
Home runs /BIP1.85%÷1.000×0.750—×0.9851.37%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .369 → .266; ISO .148 → .102; BABIP .380 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .