José Caballero — OGILVIE

José CaballeroSS New York Yankees

Age 29 R/R 5'9" / 190 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 2.988S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION298 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 124114vR 88

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .310 / .375

PA198

HR5

SB18

K%25

BB%8

BABIP305

ISO134

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

699.0%

xwOBA

240.278

POWER40

Barrel%

255.0

Avg EV

1084.5

Bat Spd

2468.5

EYE45

Chase%

8025.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

6328.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 946 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

284

662

—

wRC+

108

◀◀L

wOBA

326

281

◀L

ISO

173

093

◀◀L

BABIP

347

302

◀L

32.0%

24.6%

▶▶R

BB%

8.8%

7.9%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.988 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+1.7	$13M	+$10M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.4	$10M	+$6M
2029	Arb-4	$4M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$28M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	20	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	151	138	33	6	2	1	5	39	6	4	0	239	295	333	629	94	320	26	3	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	151	135	43	8	3	2	8	27	6	4	0	319	383	467	849	148	380	18	5	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	150	133	31	5	1	4	12	23	4	5	5	233	315	376	691	143	255	15	8	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	150	129	38	7	2	4	16	16	4	5	5	295	389	473	862	178	312	11	11	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	381	334	71	15	1	6	28	96	12	40	14	213	297	317	614	105	274	25	7	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	381	317	79	19	1	4	45	76	12	40	14	249	364	353	717	104	310	20	12	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	INTL	4 teams	—	149	130	27	7	0	6	14	42	3	15	6	208	299	400	699	192	250	28	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	INTL	4 teams	—	149	124	29	6	0	4	20	38	3	15	6	234	354	379	733	145	298	26	13	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	194	149	31	5	0	3	37	40	8	21	4	208	392	302	694	94	264	21	19	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	194	139	32	8	0	2	47	33	8	21	4	230	448	331	779	101	288	17	24	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	320	262	61	10	1	6	36	71	18	31	4	233	364	347	711	115	291	22	11	322	105	+2	+5	+7	+1	+9	2.4
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	320	258	60	10	1	6	40	70	18	31	4	233	373	349	722	116	290	22	12	334	114	+5	+5	+7	+1	+9	2.8
2024	27	MLB	2 teams	—	558	510	114	29	1	11	31	154	9	51	17	224	280	349	629	125	295	28	6	277	71	-19	+3	+8	+6	+16	1.5
2024	27	MLB	2 teams	—	558	506	111	26	1	9	35	150	9	51	17	219	282	328	610	109	291	27	6	274	68	-20	+3	+8	+6	+16	1.3
2025	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	370	314	73	17	1	5	47	98	3	49	11	232	338	341	679	108	319	26	13	304	91	-4	+5	+4	+4	+10	2.1
2025	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	370	314	74	18	1	5	47	98	3	49	11	236	341	347	688	111	324	26	13	312	97	-1	+5	+4	+4	+10	2.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	NYY	—	298	272	68	10	0	10	16	69	5	22	8	250	304	397	701	147	296	23	5	305	92	-3	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.9
YTD	29	MLB	NYY	—	298	272	68	10	0	10	16	69	5	22	8	250	304	397	701	147	296	23	5	308	94	-2	+1	-1	+3	+8	1.0
ROS	29	MLB	NYY	100%	198	178	43	9	0	5	15	50	3	18	5	241	310	375	685	134	303	25	8	309	95	-1	+2	+1	+2	+6	0.9
ROS	29	MLB	NYY	100%	199	179	43	9	0	5	15	50	3	18	5	240	310	374	684	134	305	25	8	300	88	-3	+2	+1	+2	+6	0.8
FULL	29	MLB	NYY	—	497	451	111	19	0	15	31	119	8	40	13	246	306	388	694	142	299	24	6	303	90	-6	+3	+0	+5	+14	1.7
TOT	29	MLB	NYY	—	496	450	111	19	0	15	31	119	8	40	13	246	306	388	695	142	299	24	6	307	93	-4	+3	+0	+5	+14	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	NYY	92%	399	359	86	18	1	10	31	101	6	33	9	240	311	379	689	139	303	25	8	307	93	-3	+3	+0	+4	+11	1.6
2028	31	MLB	NYY	92%	384	345	82	17	1	9	30	98	6	28	7	238	310	371	681	133	301	26	8	303	90	-4	+3	-1	+4	+11	1.3
2029	32	MLB	NYY	92%	365	328	76	16	1	8	28	95	6	22	6	232	304	360	664	128	297	26	8	297	85	-6	+2	-2	+4	+10	0.9
2030	33	MLB	NYY	92%	335	301	69	14	1	7	26	89	5	16	4	229	301	352	653	123	292	27	8	289	79	-8	+2	-2	+4	+9	0.4
2031	34	MLB	NYY	88%	291	263	57	11	0	6	22	79	4	10	3	217	287	327	614	110	285	27	8	279	72	-9	+1	-3	+3	+8	-0.1
2032	35	MLB	NYY	83%	239	216	44	8	0	4	18	67	3	6	2	204	274	296	571	93	277	28	8	268	63	-10	+0	-4	+3	+7	-0.5
2027	30	MLB	NYY	92%	367	330	80	17	1	9	28	93	6	30	8	242	313	382	695	139	305	25	8	298	86	-6	+3	+0	+4	+10	1.2
2028	31	MLB	NYY	92%	353	317	75	16	1	8	27	90	6	25	7	237	309	369	678	132	303	25	8	294	83	-7	+2	-1	+4	+10	0.9
2029	32	MLB	NYY	92%	336	302	71	15	1	8	26	87	5	20	5	235	306	371	677	136	299	26	8	288	79	-8	+2	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2030	33	MLB	NYY	92%	308	276	64	13	1	7	24	82	5	14	4	232	305	362	667	130	293	27	8	280	73	-10	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.2
2031	34	MLB	NYY	88%	255	230	50	10	0	5	19	69	4	9	2	217	289	326	615	109	286	27	7	270	65	-10	+1	-3	+3	+7	-0.2
2032	35	MLB	NYY	83%	198	178	37	7	0	4	15	55	3	5	1	208	281	315	595	107	278	28	8	259	57	-10	+1	-4	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3149	2798	645	138	7	64	256	823	61	240	62	231	309	353	662	123	301	26	8	291	81	-69	+23	+9	+33	+89	8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	132	28	1	13	53	170	13	50	13	228	308	348	656	119	298	26	8	291	81	-14	+5	+2	+7	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	4484	3960	898	187	11	91	380	1142	96	349	97	227	310	348	658	122	293	25	8	294	83	-87	+31	+8	+46	+127	12.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	130	27	2	13	55	166	14	51	14	226	309	348	658	122	293	26	8	294	83	-13	+5	+1	+7	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	20	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	151	135	43	8	3	2	8	27	6	4	0	319	383	467	849	148	380	18	5	374	144	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2018	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	150	129	38	7	2	4	16	16	4	5	5	295	389	473	862	178	312	11	11	382	150	+9	-1	—	—	+4	1.2
2019	22	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	307	254	67	17	1	3	36	55	10	32	12	264	377	374	751	110	318	18	12	338	117	+6	+2	—	—	+9	1.6
2019	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	74	63	12	2	0	1	9	21	2	8	2	190	311	270	581	79	268	28	12	278	71	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2021	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	28	20	4	1	0	1	7	4	0	2	1	200	407	400	807	200	188	14	25	359	133	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	21	17	5	2	0	0	3	4	1	8	1	294	429	412	840	118	385	19	14	386	154	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	29	25	7	2	0	2	3	8	0	1	0	280	357	600	957	320	312	28	10	398	163	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	24	INTL	Panama	—	71	62	13	1	0	1	7	22	2	4	4	210	310	274	584	65	308	31	10	277	70	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	134	97	22	4	0	2	35	22	2	15	2	227	440	330	770	103	274	16	26	371	142	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
2022	25	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	60	42	10	4	0	0	12	11	6	6	2	238	467	333	800	95	323	18	20	389	156	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	280	231	51	9	1	4	28	66	17	26	3	221	348	320	668	100	285	24	10	311	96	-1	+4	+7	+1	+8	1.9
2023	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	40	27	9	1	0	2	12	4	1	5	1	333	550	593	1.143	259	333	10	30	500	240	+6	+1	—	—	+1	0.8
2024	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	483	441	100	24	1	9	27	133	9	44	16	227	285	347	632	120	301	28	6	282	74	-14	+2	+8	+6	+14	1.6
2024	27	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	75	65	11	2	0	0	8	17	0	7	1	169	260	200	460	31	224	23	11	217	24	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	370	314	74	18	1	5	47	98	3	49	11	236	341	347	688	111	324	26	13	312	97	-1	+5	+4	+4	+10	2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1133	986	225	51	3	18	102	297	29	119	30	228	319	341	659	113	304	26	9	299	87	-17	+12	+19	+11	+32	5.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	10	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
	/162	664	17	32	254	292	403	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Jarrod Dysonlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,833 PA	12	2,833	21	266	244	314	332	+10	+50	11.8	11.6
	/162	664	5	62	244	314	332	+2.4	+11.7	2.8	pk7: 11
#4Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,735	77	296	229	303	350	+37	+50	10.0	9.4
	/162	664	14	53	229	303	350	+6.5	+8.8	1.8	pk7: 9
#5Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	8	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
	/162	664	3	39	259	315	337	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Caballero (OGILVIE)	29	40	40	55	45	246/306/388	142	299	15	40	24%	6%	93	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	48→49	48→50	62→70	41	239/294/378	139	312	16	42	28%	6%	88	+0.9	253/315/388	135	325	14	71	25%	6%	99	+1.7	253/321/383	130	320	13	95	24%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Todd Donovan 2007 · AAA	28	50→53	40	63→65	45	240/295/331	91	293	7	42	20%	6%	76	+0.0	236/301/315	79	301	5	37	21%	8%	73	-0.1	234/314/303	69	308	3	42	23%	10%	74	-0.1
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	46→53	41→45	58→65	44	222/275/316	94	285	9	39	25%	6%	63	-0.8	223/272/305	82	291	6	24	24%	6%	58	-1.2	221/267/269	48	296	1	23	24%	5%	43	-1.6
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→47	52→50	57→65	52	222/331/394	172	292	19	35	29%	11%	109	+2.4	216/319/391	175	291	18	32	30%	11%	103	+1.9	201/303/378	176	270	20	37	31%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Tyler Graham 2013 · AAA	29	52→56	37→40	62→65	44	245/299/321	76	308	3	42	21%	6%	74	-0.1	231/281/311	80	290	6	31	22%	5%	64	-0.8	234/273/287	53	289	4	38	20%	4%	50	-1.3
✕Roman Quinn 2021 · MLB	28	48→53	46→45	65	43	236/295/371	135	320	13	36	30%	7%	85	+0.7	213/300/339	126	330	11	27	35%	9%	81	+0.4	167/275/272	105	312	9	34	44%	11%	53	-0.4
✕Trent Durrington 2006 · MLB	30	52→45	41→40	58→60	47	247/308/350	102	310	8	36	22%	7%	85	+0.7	223/279/301	78	288	6	32	23%	6%	61	-1.0	210/266/270	59	275	3	36	23%	6%	45	-1.2
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	41→48	50→55	60	40	199/273/355	156	329	19	34	43%	9%	74	-0.1	188/261/317	129	343	16	24	46%	8%	59	-1.1	158/241/269	111	299	17	23	49%	9%	37	-1.1
✕Jon Berti 2019 · MLB	29	50→60	44→45	62→60	45	244/305/368	124	304	10	34	22%	6%	89	+1.0	255/337/382	127	325	12	28	23%	10%	107	+2.2	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Jason Bourgeois 2012 · MLB	30	57→58	38→45	63→65	47	269/307/351	81	300	5	44	12%	5%	85	+0.7	244/285/320	76	273	5	27	12%	5%	67	-0.5	249/285/329	80	284	5	14	14%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Drew Stubbs 2013 · MLB	28	46→51	47→50	57→60	46	227/297/355	128	307	15	31	30%	9%	83	+0.6	230/297/362	132	323	14	24	31%	8%	85	+0.7	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	48→50	61→60	40	231/282/370	139	319	16	34	32%	6%	81	+0.4	198/264/334	136	314	15	23	39%	7%	64	-0.8	161/237/290	129	263	15	20	42%	8%	39	-1.2
✕Mallex Smith 2021 · MLB	28	51→61	41→45	65	47	241/308/351	110	307	7	40	22%	8%	86	+0.8	219/292/321	102	304	10	31	29%	9%	72	-0.2	189/274/277	88	282	11	40	34%	10%	50	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→46	47→50	60→65	40	221/269/365	144	285	13	32	27%	5%	74	-0.1	218/266/352	134	276	13	40	25%	6%	69	-0.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Eric Young Jr. 2014 · MLB	29	53→58	39→45	64→65	52	250/314/344	95	298	4	41	17%	8%	87	+0.8	225/289/305	80	278	4	40	19%	7%	66	-0.6	240/297/354	114	300	9	24	22%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Corey Patterson 2008 · MLB	28	51→54	47→55	61→60	44	255/294/391	136	287	14	39	17%	5%	91	+1.1	235/271/365	130	277	13	28	20%	4%	74	-0.1	236/273/356	120	296	11	28	23%	4%	68	-0.3
●Rajai Davis 2009 · MLB	28	53→63	41→50	67→70	47	255/304/356	101	293	7	54	16%	6%	85	+0.7	274/320/383	109	322	6	51	16%	6%	98	+1.6	266/315/413	147	314	13	43	19%	6%	103	+1.5
✕Jarrod Dyson 2014 · MLB	29	53→58	38→45	71→70	50	250/311/335	85	304	4	55	19%	8%	82	+0.5	253/314/350	97	304	5	56	17%	7%	88	+0.9	260/327/367	107	298	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	41→40	57→60	49	216/288/311	95	273	8	35	23%	9%	68	-0.5	227/294/306	79	301	6	35	25%	8%	69	-0.4	226/297/286	59	306	4	40	25%	8%	62	-0.4