Jorge Mateo — OGILVIE

Jorge MateoSS Atlanta Braves

Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 91 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9580vR 43

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .275 / .384

PA91

HR2

SB7

K%26

BB%5

BABIP300

ISO151

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

748.5%

xwOBA

230.277

POWER40

Barrel%

315.7

Avg EV

3888.2

Bat Spd

7073.5

EYE40

Chase%

7926.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

9030.3

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 291 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

129

162

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

305

238

◀◀L

ISO

181

122

◀◀L

BABIP

318

237

◀◀L

27.1%

26.5%

—

BB%

3.9%

5.6%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.4M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.7M
Totals		$0.4M		$1M	+$0.7M

Options · projected decision
2027	CLUB OPT	$1.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	CLUB OPT	$5.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	69	60	11	1	1	1	7	16	0	4	1	183	269	283	552	100	227	23	10	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	69	55	14	2	1	1	12	11	0	4	1	255	388	382	770	127	295	16	17	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	299	271	55	6	4	5	21	75	5	49	10	203	273	310	583	107	259	25	7	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	299	258	74	9	6	7	34	52	5	49	10	287	380	450	830	163	333	17	11	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	GCL Yankees1	—	65	61	11	3	1	0	4	25	0	11	1	180	231	262	493	82	306	38	6	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	GCL Yankees1	—	65	58	16	5	1	0	7	17	0	11	1	276	354	397	750	121	390	26	11	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	2 teams	—	500	466	100	18	8	2	26	139	3	82	17	215	261	300	561	86	301	28	5	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	2 teams	—	500	449	125	23	11	2	43	98	3	82	17	278	345	392	737	114	351	20	9	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	2 teams	—	553	517	103	16	6	10	25	171	4	41	16	199	242	311	553	112	274	31	5	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	2 teams	—	553	506	125	17	10	8	36	118	4	41	16	247	302	368	670	121	305	21	7	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	3 teams	—	708	656	122	28	16	15	35	267	8	62	13	186	236	346	582	160	282	38	5	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	3 teams	—	708	647	167	33	20	15	44	174	8	62	13	258	313	440	754	182	328	25	6	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	581	544	103	17	11	3	24	184	6	27	12	189	232	278	509	88	277	32	4	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	581	529	118	19	17	3	39	152	6	27	12	223	284	340	624	117	304	26	7	277	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	738	704	144	29	11	14	27	249	4	30	12	205	238	337	575	132	293	34	4	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	738	683	185	33	15	19	48	182	4	30	12	271	322	447	769	176	342	25	7	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL	2 teams	—	103	97	16	12	0	0	4	40	1	5	2	165	206	289	495	124	281	39	4	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL	2 teams	—	103	94	25	6	1	2	7	26	1	5	2	266	324	415	738	149	348	25	7	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	209	194	46	10	1	4	9	55	4	10	3	237	285	361	646	124	309	26	4	285	77	-6	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.3
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	209	194	48	11	1	4	9	55	4	10	3	247	295	376	671	129	324	26	4	298	86	-3	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.5
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	533	496	105	23	7	12	27	147	5	35	9	212	259	359	618	147	274	28	5	272	66	-20	+3	+12	+6	+15	1.6
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	533	494	109	25	7	13	27	147	5	35	9	221	267	379	646	158	286	28	5	283	75	-15	+3	+12	+6	+15	2.1
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	394	357	75	15	2	7	25	92	2	32	5	210	266	322	588	112	259	23	6	256	54	-20	+4	+1	+4	+11	0.0
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	394	358	83	15	3	7	23	89	2	32	5	232	281	349	630	117	285	23	6	276	69	-14	+4	+1	+4	+11	0.7
2024	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	208	192	43	13	2	5	10	48	1	13	2	224	266	391	657	167	268	23	5	276	69	-7	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2024	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	208	192	44	14	2	5	10	48	1	13	2	229	271	401	672	172	275	23	5	289	79	-5	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2025	30	INTL	3 teams	—	262	247	55	11	0	4	12	79	2	26	3	223	264	316	580	93	311	30	5	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	3 teams	—	262	239	55	9	2	3	20	65	2	26	3	230	295	322	617	92	304	25	8	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	ATL	—	134	126	30	5	0	4	8	41	0	9	1	238	284	373	657	135	321	31	6	290	80	-3	+1	+2	+1	+4	0.5
YTD	31	MLB	ATL	—	134	126	30	5	0	4	8	41	0	9	1	238	284	373	657	135	321	31	6	294	83	-3	+1	+2	+1	+4	0.6
ROS	31	MLB	ATL	100%	91	86	20	5	1	2	5	24	0	7	1	233	275	384	658	151	286	26	5	285	77	-2	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.2
ROS	31	MLB	ATL	100%	91	86	20	5	1	2	5	24	0	7	1	233	275	384	658	151	286	26	5	283	75	-3	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.2
FULL	31	MLB	ATL	—	225	212	50	10	1	6	13	65	0	16	2	236	280	377	657	142	312	29	6	288	78	-6	+2	+1	+2	+6	0.7
TOT	31	MLB	ATL	—	225	212	50	10	1	6	13	65	0	16	2	236	280	377	657	142	312	29	6	288	79	-5	+2	+1	+2	+6	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	ATL	100%	218	203	44	10	2	5	12	59	1	15	2	217	264	360	623	143	280	27	6	278	71	-7	+2	-4	+2	+6	-0.1
2028	33	MLB	ATL	100%	188	176	37	9	1	4	10	52	0	10	1	210	253	341	594	131	275	28	5	270	65	-7	+2	-5	+2	+5	-0.4
2027	32	MLB	ATL	100%	218	203	44	10	2	5	12	59	1	15	2	217	264	360	623	143	280	27	6	276	69	-8	+2	-4	+2	+6	-0.1
2028	33	MLB	ATL	100%	188	176	37	9	1	4	10	52	0	10	1	210	253	341	594	131	275	28	5	268	64	-8	+2	-5	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1908	1768	389	95	16	41	100	508	12	138	25	220	266	361	627	141	283	27	5	276	69	-66	+18	-1	+18	+54	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	132	32	5	14	34	173	4	47	9	219	265	359	624	140	282	27	5	276	69	-22	+6	-0	+6	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	5719	5327	1090	226	74	93	283	1722	46	459	110	205	251	327	578	123	281	30	5	251	50	-321	+48	-1	+56	+162	-5.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	124	26	8	11	32	196	5	52	13	205	250	329	579	124	281	30	5	251	50	-36	+5	-0	+6	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	69	55	14	2	1	1	12	11	0	4	1	255	388	382	770	127	295	16	17	343	121	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2013	18	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	299	258	74	9	6	7	34	52	5	49	10	287	380	450	830	163	333	17	11	369	140	+14	+6	—	—	+8	2.8
2014	19	ROK	GCL Yankees1	—	65	58	16	5	1	0	7	17	0	11	1	276	354	397	750	121	390	26	11	338	117	+1	+2	—	—	+2	0.5
2015	20	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	91	84	27	5	3	0	7	18	0	11	2	321	374	452	826	131	409	20	8	366	139	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2015	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	409	365	98	18	8	2	36	80	3	71	15	268	339	378	717	110	338	20	9	320	103	+1	+8	—	—	+12	2.2
2016	21	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	507	464	118	16	9	8	33	108	3	36	15	254	308	379	687	125	312	21	7	304	90	-5	+1	—	—	+14	1.0
2016	21	INTL	Toros del Este	—	46	42	7	1	1	0	3	10	1	5	1	167	239	238	477	71	219	22	7	223	29	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2017	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	287	257	76	14	10	8	24	65	2	24	10	296	360	521	882	226	364	23	8	379	148	+16	+1	—	—	+8	2.5
2017	22	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	297	275	66	16	8	4	16	79	3	28	3	240	289	400	689	160	321	27	5	301	89	-4	+4	—	—	+8	0.9
2017	22	INTL	Toros del Este	—	124	115	25	3	2	3	4	30	3	10	0	217	262	357	619	139	265	24	3	272	66	-5	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2018	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	510	470	108	17	16	3	29	139	5	25	10	230	282	353	635	123	316	27	6	280	73	-16	+1	—	—	+14	-0.0
2018	23	INTL	Toros del Este	—	71	59	10	2	1	0	10	13	1	2	2	169	300	237	537	68	217	18	14	257	55	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2019	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	566	532	154	29	14	19	29	145	4	24	11	289	331	504	835	214	366	26	5	364	136	+23	+0	—	—	+16	4.1
2019	24	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	172	151	31	4	1	0	19	37	0	6	1	205	294	245	539	40	267	22	11	253	52	-9	+1	—	—	+5	-0.4
2020	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	28	26	4	3	0	0	1	11	0	1	0	154	185	269	454	115	267	39	4	195	7	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
2020	25	INTL	Toros del Este	—	75	68	21	3	1	2	6	15	1	4	2	309	373	471	844	162	373	20	8	375	145	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	209	194	48	11	1	4	9	55	4	10	3	247	295	376	671	129	324	26	4	298	86	-3	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.5
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	533	494	109	25	7	13	27	147	5	35	9	221	267	379	646	158	286	28	5	283	75	-15	+3	+12	+6	+15	2.1
2023	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	350	318	69	14	2	7	22	82	1	32	5	217	269	340	609	123	267	23	6	267	63	-15	+4	+1	+4	+10	0.5
2023	28	INTL	Toros del Este	—	44	40	14	1	1	0	1	7	1	0	0	350	381	425	806	75	400	16	2	345	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	208	192	44	14	2	5	10	48	1	13	2	229	271	401	672	172	275	23	5	289	79	-5	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2025	30	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	83	79	14	4	0	1	4	30	0	15	2	177	217	266	483	89	271	36	5	219	26	-7	+2	-4	+1	+2	-0.5
2025	30	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	47	44	14	2	0	1	3	7	0	2	0	318	362	432	794	114	361	15	6	355	130	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	30	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	132	116	27	3	2	1	13	28	2	9	1	233	321	319	640	86	299	21	10	293	83	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1411	1303	288	71	12	30	73	373	11	106	21	221	268	363	631	142	284	26	5	277	70	-48	+13	+9	+13	+40	2.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	10	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.2
	/162	664	19	24	227	280	381	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	6	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	16	25	252	281	387	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	2,148	49	159	223	266	364	+23	+20	3.5	3.6
	/162	664	15	49	223	266	364	+7.1	+6.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Mateo (OGILVIE)	31	40	40	60	40	236/280/377	142	312	6	16	29%	6%	79	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	48→49	48→50	62→70	41	239/294/378	139	312	16	42	28%	6%	88	+0.9	253/315/388	135	325	14	71	25%	6%	99	+1.7	253/321/383	130	320	13	95	24%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	46→53	41→45	58→65	44	222/275/316	94	285	9	39	25%	6%	63	-0.8	223/272/305	82	291	6	24	24%	6%	58	-1.2	221/267/269	48	296	1	23	24%	5%	43	-1.6
✕Trent Durrington 2006 · MLB	30	52→45	41→40	58→60	47	247/308/350	102	310	8	36	22%	7%	85	+0.7	223/279/301	78	288	6	32	23%	6%	61	-1.0	210/266/270	59	275	3	36	23%	6%	45	-1.2
✕Rajai Davis 2013 · MLB	32	53→63	42→50	64→70	45	254/301/370	116	304	8	50	19%	6%	88	+0.9	264/312/396	132	312	11	47	18%	6%	99	+1.7	266/315/413	147	314	13	43	19%	6%	103	+1.5
✕Todd Donovan 2009 · AAA	30	51→53	37→40	61→65	48	239/299/311	72	305	4	38	22%	8%	72	-0.2	229/308/315	86	300	5	31	23%	10%	78	+0.2	220/315/297	77	287	4	38	22%	12%	74	-0.0
✕Matt Lipka 2022 · AAA	30	51→56	46→45	58→60	39	249/298/381	131	340	14	31	30%	5%	90	+1.0	227/285/340	113	331	11	34	32%	7%	74	-0.1	191/259/268	78	299	5	59	35%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Jason Bourgeois 2012 · MLB	30	57→58	38→45	63→65	47	269/307/351	81	300	5	44	12%	5%	85	+0.7	244/285/320	76	273	5	27	12%	5%	67	-0.5	249/285/329	80	284	5	14	14%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Esix Snead 2006 · AAA	30	47	37→30	63→65	50	219/294/292	73	267	4	44	19%	8%	66	-0.6	220/283/304	84	267	7	33	19%	7%	63	-0.8	204/265/243	38	243	4	46	16%	8%	38	-0.7
✕Elliot Johnson 2014 · MLB	30	45→53	42→45	59→60	45	219/274/323	104	281	10	33	25%	7%	65	-0.7	206/265/318	112	272	9	17	26%	7%	59	-1.1	186/247/294	108	249	8	12	27%	7%	44	-1.0
✕Tyler Graham 2013 · AAA	29	52→56	37→40	62→65	44	245/299/321	76	308	3	42	21%	6%	74	-0.1	231/281/311	80	290	6	31	22%	5%	64	-0.8	234/273/287	53	289	4	38	20%	4%	50	-1.3
✕Billy Hamilton 2022 · MLB	31	44→54	42→40	61→70	41	212/262/323	111	292	8	32	30%	6%	59	-1.1	191/251/285	94	294	8	32	35%	7%	46	-2.0	134/203/173	39	225	2	52	38%	8%	-6	-1.1
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	47→45	61→60	44	233/280/372	139	279	14	30	22%	6%	80	+0.4	234/283/346	112	296	10	33	23%	6%	75	-0.0	231/283/327	95	299	8	39	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Christian Zazueta 2017 · AAA	32	48→55	46→50	58→60	37	242/265/372	130	284	14	29	21%	2%	73	-0.1	229/254/333	104	270	10	27	19%	2%	58	-1.2	227/252/314	87	264	8	27	17%	2%	49	-1.1
✕Andrew Velazquez 2023 · MLB	29	43→51	46→50	60	39	214/267/340	126	306	13	31	34%	6%	66	-0.6	207/258/322	115	316	13	33	37%	6%	58	-1.2	211/254/305	94	318	10	30	35%	5%	48	-1.3
●Donzell McDonald II 2006 · AAA	31	49→59	50	66→65	49	247/320/407	160	295	16	43	22%	8%	106	+2.2	256/325/405	149	317	12	35	22%	9%	108	+2.3	281/345/432	151	346	10	22	20%	8%	121	+2.5
✕Justin Christian 2009 · MLB	29	52→57	41→45	63→65	45	248/288/349	101	285	8	39	16%	5%	76	+0.1	250/294/363	113	286	9	31	15%	5%	83	+0.6	261/315/390	129	290	11	30	14%	6%	96	+1.2
✕Eric Young Jr. 2016 · MLB	31	47→57	37→45	64→65	50	222/289/300	78	273	3	41	19%	8%	65	-0.7	231/288/325	94	287	8	30	21%	6%	71	-0.3	240/297/354	114	300	9	24	22%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Jarrod Dyson 2016 · MLB	31	52→58	40→45	73→70	49	248/308/351	103	297	6	58	18%	7%	85	+0.7	251/320/355	104	288	6	44	14%	8%	92	+1.2	245/320/337	93	280	5	47	13%	8%	82	+0.3
●Gilberto Mejia 2013 · AAA	30	50→60	39→45	64→65	50	237/295/331	95	282	6	42	18%	8%	75	-0.0	271/326/377	106	326	6	40	18%	6%	100	+1.7	284/339/394	110	341	6	44	17%	6%	106	+1.8
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	52→57	43→45	60→65	45	244/333/363	119	323	10	34	26%	7%	102	+1.8	226/314/349	123	299	10	35	26%	7%	90	+1.0	218/308/337	119	293	9	40	27%	7%	82	+0.2