Danny MendickSS Charlotte Knights
Age 32 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA
wRC+†vL 11888vR 9
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .283 / .368
PA350
HR10
SB8
K%23
BB%7
ISO148
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -2.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.50.2-0.12628
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 43 / POW 43
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024
CONTACT43
Whiff%
4911.1%
xwOBA
110.263
POWER43
Barrel%
254.9
Avg EV
1086.0
Bat Spd
1066.9
EYE60
Chase%
7227.4%
SPEED45
Sprint
3026.5
Platoon Splits2024 · 141 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
53
88
wRC+
119
9
◀◀L
wOBA
340
197
◀◀L
ISO
192
082
◀◀L
BABIP
286
220
◀◀L
K%
18.9%
28.4%
◀◀L
BB%
9.4%
1.1%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2019
Service   7.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$2M+0.0$0.1M-$2M
Totals $2M $0.1M -$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201521 ROKACL White Sox 208188 37614 12404 82 197260303563 106226 196 242 43
201521 ROKACL White Sox 208180 46815 20284 82 256343394738 139275 1310 328 109
201622 A2 teams 465434 901822 191139 85 207255272527 65274 244 231 35
201622 A2 teams 465417 1072222 36859 85 257329333662 77316 188 303 90
201723 A+3 teams 544495 1031949 341138 166 208270317587 109249 216 256 54
201723 A+3 teams 544479 12527411 50808 166 261341403744 142291 159 331 111
201824 AABirmingham Barons 529467 9422014 4311510 2010 201283338621 137232 228 275 69
201824 AABirmingham Barons 529453 11225014 579010 2010 247344395739 148275 1711 330 110
201925 AAA2 teams 598542 12025112 411365 198 221282338620 116269 237 271 66
201925 AAA2 teams 598516 14526119 671075 198 281369446815 165317 1811 359 133
202026 MLBChicago White Sox 114107 26413 6250 01 243283383666 140287 225 288 78 -3 -0 +1 +0 +3 0.1
202026 MLBChicago White Sox 114107 26413 6250 01 243283383666 140287 225 294 83 -2 -0 +1 +0 +3 0.2
202127 MLB2 teams 291264 59804 22663 12 223291299590 76282 238 263 59 -13 -1 -1 +1 +8 -0.6
202127 MLB2 teams 291260 62905 25623 12 238311331642 92294 219 292 82 -6 -1 -1 +1 +8 0.1
202228 MLB2 teams 145133 36713 9382 32 271326406732 135359 266 323 106 +1 -0 +0 +2 +4 0.7
202228 MLB2 teams 145130 38814 10352 32 292347462809 169374 247 354 129 +5 -0 +0 +2 +4 1.1
202329 AAA2 teams 494450 10720110 38936 152 238306353659 116280 198 290 80
202329 AAA2 teams 494438 11721112 50756 152 267350402752 135299 1510 340 118
202430 AAA2 teams 338317 6517012 17883 95 205252372624 167244 265 268 63
202430 AAA2 teams 338311 7319014 23783 95 235294431725 196269 237 319 103
▸ 2026 Season
202632 MLBCWS 350319 7115110 24794 83 223285370655 147262 237 292 82 -7 +0 -2 +1 +10 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733 MLBCWS 33% 350320 6914110 24813 62 216277359636 144257 237 284 75 -10 +0 -7 +1 +10 -0.5
202834 MLBCWS 28% 306279 591218 21723 41 211274348622 136250 247 273 67 -11 +0 -7 +1 +9 -0.8
202733 MLBCWS 33% 114104 22503 8261 21 212274346620 135258 237 278 71 -4 +0 -2 +0 +3 -0.2
202834 MLBCWS 28% 8679 16302 6201 10 203267316584 114251 237 268 63 -4 +0 -2 +0 +2 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 856787 17831219 561977 113 226284343627 117277 237 282 74 -25 +1 -9 +13 +24 0.4
/ 162G 650598 13624214 431505 82 227285344629 117280 237 282 74 -19 +1 -7 +10 +18 0.3
Career 47324315 93618714101 310105960 11749 217279337616 120262 227 271 65 -186 +4 -20 +22 +134 -4.7
/ 162G 650593 12926214 431458 167 218280339618 121263 227 271 65 -26 +0 -3 +3 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201521 ROKACL White Sox 208180 46815 20284 82 256343394738 139275 1310 328 109 +2 +1 +6 0.9
201622 A+Winston-Salem Dash 5348 6200 5100 00 125208167374 42158 199 183 -2 -6 +0 +2 -0.5
201622 AKannapolis Intimidators 412369 1012022 31759 85 274345355700 81337 188 318 101 +1 -0 +12 1.2
201723 AABirmingham Barons 165147 29503 17270 12 197280293573 95222 1610 264 60 -7 -1 +5 -0.3
201723 A+Winston-Salem Dash 305263 761847 31406 114 289377468844 179315 1310 370 141 +14 +1 +9 2.4
201723 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 7469 20401 2132 40 290329391720 101339 183 320 103 +0 +1 +2 0.3
201824 AABirmingham Barons 529453 11225014 579010 2010 247344395739 148275 1711 330 110 +6 +0 +15 2.2
201925 MLBChicago White Sox 4039 12002 1110 00 308325462787 154385 282 348 124 +1 +0 +1 +6 +1 0.9
201925 AAACharlotte Knights 558477 13326117 66965 198 279372444817 166313 1712 360 133 +21 +1 +16 3.8
202026 MLBChicago White Sox 114107 26413 6250 01 243283383666 140287 225 294 83 -2 -0 +1 +0 +3 0.2
202127 MLBChicago White Sox 186164 36502 18422 01 220304287591 67281 2310 273 67 -7 -0 -1 +1 +5 -0.2
202127 AAACharlotte Knights 10596 26403 7201 11 271324406730 135315 197 326 107 +1 -0 +3 0.4
202228 MLBChicago White Sox 10697 28413 7231 10 289343443786 155352 227 346 123 +3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.8
202228 AAACharlotte Knights 3933 10401 3121 22 303359515874 212450 318 374 144 +2 -0 +1 0.3
202329 MLBNew York Mets 6965 12301 4150 10 185232277509 92224 226 231 35 -5 +0 -4 +2 +2 -0.6
202329 AAASyracuse Mets 425373 10518111 46606 142 282369424793 142311 1411 358 132 +15 +2 +12 3.0
202430 MLBChicago White Sox 141132 26703 6352 60 197243318561 121245 254 251 50 -8 +1 -0 +1 +4 -0.2
202430 AAACharlotte Knights 197179 4712011 17431 35 263330514844 251288 229 369 140 +9 -1 +6 1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 656604 14023214 421515 82 232287346633 114286 236 284 75 -18 +1 -5 +12 +19 0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Chris Woodwardlast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA
91,835339242299370+2-02.22.7
/162664123+0.6-0.00.8pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
68521812224280344+4-40.30.3
/162664149+3.0-2.90.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Danny Mendick (OGILVIE) 32 43 43 45 60 221/283/368 147262 108 23% 7% 82 +0.3
Austin Wynns
2022 · MLB
31 44→51 46→45 48→30 46 222/280/346 124262 156 22% 6% 74 -0.1 240/303/354 114301 125 23% 7% 85 +0.7 240/304/3389830810224%7%78+0.1
Mike Rivera
2009 · MLB
32 42 52→55 44→45 43 221/269/380 158248 219 21% 5% 79 +0.3 212/286/334 122277 127 26% 8% 74 -0.1 192/275/29610426210428%9%55-0.5
Bryan Holaday
2021 · MLB
33 47 44→45 43→40 50 232/301/350 118268 126 18% 8% 84 +0.6 230/290/403 173279 218 25% 7% 93 +1.3 199/253/41021122528427%5%82+0.1
David Matranga
2009 · AAA
32 42 46→45 49→50 42 213/278/339 126281 1410 29% 6% 72 -0.2 223/303/350 127303 139 28% 9% 85 +0.7 209/311/32411528711528%10%82+0.2
Robinson Cancel
2008 · AAA
32 45 45 47→50 42 227/267/352 126272 139 22% 5% 69 -0.4 229/269/331 102263 812 16% 5% 64 -0.8 252/300/3489629881518%6%78+0.1
Guillermo Quiroz
2014 · MLB
32 45 47→50 47→50 44 226/284/365 139286 144 26% 6% 80 +0.4 218/259/318 100285 94 26% 4% 56 -1.3 205/237/3029727710029%3%39-1.1
Angel Chavez
2013 · AAA
32 48→53 43→45 48→50 50 237/295/339 101272 128 18% 7% 77 +0.1 239/297/352 113283 1111 19% 8% 82 +0.5 246/305/334882915816%8%77+0.0
Michael McKenry
2017 · MLB
32 43→47 47→55 44→40 53 212/308/356 143280 147 28% 11% 89 +0.9 202/288/319 117283 116 30% 10% 71 -0.3 165/262/251862377031%11%42-1.0
Justin Leone
2009 · AAA
32 40→41 50 52→55 50 209/290/363 154264 1818 27% 10% 83 +0.6 194/263/323 129274 1413 32% 8% 61 -1.0 130/199/223931949637%8%8-1.9
Chris Owings
2023 · MLB
31 38→48 47→50 50→55 44 198/265/333 135266 1512 31% 8% 64 -0.8 203/276/336 133297 1611 35% 8% 70 -0.3 193/272/319126285161136%9%60-0.6
Edwin Diaz
2007 · AAA
32 45 49→50 44→40 42 229/277/374 144268 179 22% 5% 80 +0.4 248/283/384 136281 158 17% 3% 85 +0.7 271/296/40413329914214%2%91+0.5
Johnny Monell
2018 · MLB
32 46→44 45→50 48→45 45 229/279/349 120274 147 22% 6% 74 -0.1 228/278/352 124318 107 30% 6% 74 -0.1 230/279/3511213366032%6%72-0.1
Cody Ransom
2008 · MLB
32 38→42 52→55 49→50 43 204/267/364 160262 2013 30% 7% 73 -0.1 217/280/392 175273 2110 28% 7% 86 +0.8 216/283/39918329024733%8%87+0.6
Donnie Sadler
2006 · MLB
31 45 45 48→55 48 223/293/350 127278 1212 24% 8% 80 +0.4 225/294/339 114291 814 24% 9% 77 +0.1 214/286/31910528341624%9%65-0.2
Jesus Alberto Vega
2014 · AAA
32 46 51→50 48→40 43 237/290/389 152284 198 24% 6% 89 +1.0 223/271/327 104304 105 29% 5% 64 -0.8 200/248/285842898132%5%40-0.7
Drew Maggi
2021 · AAA
32 47→54 43→45 49→60 45 228/300/341 113293 1112 25% 7% 82 +0.5 192/266/294 102278 1019 32% 7% 55 -1.4 161/228/2407922272229%6%23-1.2
Francisco Peña
2021 · MLB
31 43→46 51→55 48→40 41 229/267/387 159267 207 24% 5% 79 +0.3 210/260/392 182238 266 25% 5% 79 +0.3 180/232/36418518630125%4%60-0.8
Mike DiFelice
2001 · MLB
32 47 50 48→30 47 237/285/393 156266 175 18% 6% 88 +0.9 224/280/350 126271 125 21% 6% 75 -0.0 220/283/36114126115121%7%74-0.0
Israel Nunez
2019 · AAA
33 47 46→40 49→40 44 233/276/359 126274 149 21% 5% 75 -0.0 238/277/338 100281 108 19% 4% 69 -0.4 259/286/315573006016%1%63-0.2
John Mayberry Jr.
2015 · MLB
31 44→48 51→55 44→50 49 226/296/394 168267 195 23% 8% 93 +1.3 214/280/366 152263 167 25% 8% 79 +0.3 160/214/28112120011426%6%28-0.9