Oswald Peraza

2B Los Angeles Angels

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB K +5%HR +4% Svc 3.081 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	24	AAA/AA2 orgs	426	.240/.341/.399	15	25	75	—	.215/.294/.323
2025	25	MLBLAA	265	.164/.223/.250	5	9	34	-1.1
2026	26	MLBLAA	370	.226/.283/.334	7	12	75	0.0
2027PROJ	27	MLBLAA	259	.213/.275/.345	7	12	75	0.1
2028PROJ65% MLB	28	MLBLAA	179	.211/.273/.340	5	8	73	-0.0
2029PROJ65% MLB	29	MLBLAA	179	.208/.270/.333	5	7	70	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.081First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.4M2028Arb-2$1M2029Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Speed79

Bat Spd54

Barrel%37

Avg EV27

xwOBA11

Form.205/.269/.311 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .213/.274/.345

CompsMichael Helman (age 27) · Kyle Datres (age 27) · Jorge Mateo (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7775vR 69

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .275 / .345

PA259

HR7

SB12

K%28

BB%6

BABIP270

ISO127

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

xAVG

100.212

POWER45

Barrel%

376.5

Avg EV

2787.3

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

7928.6

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%30%▼32% over 44 PA (60d) · proj 28%

BB%6%·7% over 44 PA (60d) · proj 6%

ISO.106▼.000 over 39 AB (60d) · proj .132

BABIP.275·.360 over 25 BIP (60d) · proj .272

SLASH.205/.269/.311▼proj .213/.274/.345

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 344 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

112

232

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

240

262

▶R

ISO

134

110

◀◀L

BABIP

235

250

▶R

33.0%

26.3%

▶▶R

BB%

6.3%

7.3%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.081 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.4M
2028	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$0.5M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	17	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	258	220	62	13	3	0	23	38	13	13	2	282	383	368	751	86	339	15	9	344	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	159	140	35	3	2	1	14	41	4	8	1	250	335	321	657	71	343	26	9	303	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	208	183	50	5	0	2	16	28	6	18	5	273	351	333	685	60	310	13	8	313	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	20	16	4	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	250	400	312	713	62	400	30	20	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	31	28	8	0	0	1	2	5	0	2	1	286	333	393	726	107	304	16	6	316	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	353	326	96	16	2	12	23	82	4	20	8	294	348	466	815	172	362	23	7	361	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	127	111	34	10	0	5	12	24	3	16	1	306	389	532	920	225	349	19	9	402	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	MLB	New York Yankees	—	57	49	15	3	0	1	6	9	2	2	0	306	404	429	832	122	359	16	11	378	141	+3	+0	+0	+5	+1	1.0
2022	22	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	429	386	100	16	0	19	34	100	7	33	5	259	330	448	778	189	302	23	8	344	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB	New York Yankees	—	191	173	33	8	0	2	13	50	5	4	3	191	267	272	539	81	256	26	7	251	56	-10	-0	+1	+2	+4	-0.3
2023	23	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	300	261	70	9	2	14	29	55	8	16	4	268	359	479	838	211	289	18	10	369	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	83	74	16	4	0	1	6	16	3	1	0	216	301	311	612	95	263	19	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	406	350	86	13	0	13	43	85	9	24	7	246	343	394	738	149	286	21	11	332	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	20	16	2	0	0	2	4	7	0	1	0	125	300	500	800	375		35	20	348	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	265	244	40	6	0	5	17	80	2	9	0	164	223	250	473	86	219	30	6	218	34	-21	+2	+2	+1	+6	-1.1
2026	26	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	370	341	77	12	2	7	17	111	10	12	2	226	283	334	617	109	312	30	5	279	75	-11	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	883	807	165	29	2	15	53	250	19	27	5	204	269	301	570	97	276	28	6	261	63	-39	+3	+3	+10	+19	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	—	258	228	49	9	2	0	15	55	13	13	2	215	301	272	573	57	274	21	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	159	145	26	2	1	1	9	58	4	8	1	179	247	228	474	48	287	36	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	208	188	44	4	0	2	11	38	6	18	5	234	298	287	585	53	274	18	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	31	29	8	0	0	1	1	6	0	2	1	276	300	379	679	103	301	19	3	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	353	333	90	16	2	9	16	98	4	20	8	270	312	411	723	141	355	28	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	127	114	29	8	0	4	9	32	3	16	1	254	325	430	755	175	311	25	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	57	49	15	3	0	1	6	9	2	2	0	306	404	429	832	122	359	16	11	377	141	+3	+0	+0	+5	+1	1.0
2022	22	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	429	397	84	13	0	14	23	120	7	33	5	212	267	350	617	139	264	28	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	191	173	33	8	0	2	13	50	5	4	3	191	267	272	539	81	256	26	7	251	56	-10	-0	+1	+2	+4	-0.3
2023	23	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	300	270	64	9	2	10	20	66	8	16	4	237	309	396	705	159	270	22	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	406	363	81	11	0	9	30	103	9	24	7	223	299	328	626	105	278	25	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	20	17	1	0	0	1	3	8	0	1	0	59	200	235	435	176		40	15	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	265	245	40	6	0	5	17	80	2	9	0	163	223	249	472	86	219	30	6	218	34	-21	+2	+2	+1	+6	-1.1
2026	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	370	341	77	12	2	7	17	111	10	12	2	226	283	334	617	109	312	30	5	280	75	-11	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2017	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	—	258	228	49	9	2	0	15	55	13	13	2	215	301	272	573	57	282	21	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	—	258	220	62	13	3	0	23	38	13	13	2	282	383	368	751	86	339	15	9	344	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	159	145	26	2	1	1	9	58	4	8	1	179	247	228	474	48	287	36	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	Pulaski Yankees	—	159	140	35	3	2	1	14	41	4	8	1	250	335	321	657	71	343	26	9	303	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	208	188	44	4	0	2	11	38	6	18	5	234	298	287	585	53	280	18	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	208	183	50	5	0	2	16	28	6	18	5	273	351	333	685	60	310	13	8	313	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL MLE	Cardenales de Lara	—	20	16	4	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	250	400	312	713	62	400	30	20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL RAW	Cardenales de Lara	—	20	16	4	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	250	400	312	713	62	400	30	20	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	511	476	127	24	2	14	26	136	7	38	10	267	314	414	728	147	345	27	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	511	465	138	26	2	18	37	111	7	38	10	297	358	477	835	181	355	22	7	368	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	446	98	16	0	14	29	129	9	35	5	220	281	350	631	130	276	27	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	486	435	115	19	0	20	40	109	9	35	5	264	339	446	785	182	309	22	8	348	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	574	518	113	20	2	14	38	136	16	21	7	218	292	346	638	127	268	24	7	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	574	508	119	21	2	17	48	121	16	21	7	234	320	384	704	150	274	21	8	318	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	426	380	83	11	0	11	33	112	9	25	7	218	296	334	630	116	277	26	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	426	366	88	13	0	15	47	92	9	25	7	240	341	399	740	158	279	22	11	332	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	265	245	40	6	0	5	17	80	2	9	0	163	223	249	472	86	217	30	6	218	34	-21	+2	+2	+1	+6	-1.1
2025	25	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	265	244	40	6	0	5	17	80	2	9	0	164	223	250	473	86	219	30	6	218	34	-21	+2	+2	+1	+6	-1.1
2026	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	370	341	77	12	2	7	17	111	10	12	2	226	283	334	617	109	312	30	5	280	75	-11	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2026	26	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	370	341	77	12	2	7	17	111	10	12	2	226	283	334	617	109	312	30	5	279	75	-11	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2017	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	—	258	228	49	9	2	0	15	55	13	13	2	215	301	272	573	57	274	21	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	159	145	26	2	1	1	9	58	4	8	1	179	247	228	474	48	287	36	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	208	189	44	4	0	2	11	38	6	18	5	233	298	286	583	53	274	18	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	511	473	127	24	2	14	26	136	7	38	10	268	314	416	731	148	341	27	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	445	98	16	0	14	29	129	9	35	5	220	281	351	632	130	275	27	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	574	515	113	20	2	14	38	136	16	21	7	219	292	348	640	128	265	24	7	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	426	381	83	11	0	11	33	112	9	25	7	218	296	333	630	115	265	26	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	265	244	40	6	0	5	17	80	2	9	0	164	223	250	473	86	219	30	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	370	340	77	12	2	7	17	111	10	12	2	226	283	335	618	109	312	30	5	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	426	381	83	11	0	11	33	112	9	25	7	218	296	333	630	115	265	26	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	265	244	40	6	0	5	17	80	2	9	0	164	223	250	473	86	219	30	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	370	340	77	12	2	7	17	111	10	12	2	226	283	335	618	109	312	30	5	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	LAA	100%	368	336	72	11	2	10	21	103	8	17	3	213	276	345	621	132	272	28	6	279	75	-11	+2	+2	+1	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	LAA	100%	259	237	50	7	1	7	15	72	5	12	2	213	275	345	620	132	270	28	6	278	75	-8	+2	+1	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	LAA	65%	276	252	53	8	1	7	16	78	6	12	2	211	274	340	614	129	271	28	6	276	73	-9	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	LAA	65%	276	252	53	8	1	7	16	78	6	10	2	209	271	334	605	125	269	28	6	272	70	-10	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	LAA	65%	276	253	52	8	1	7	16	79	5	8	2	205	267	325	592	120	267	29	6	267	67	-11	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	LAA	65%	179	163	35	5	1	5	10	50	4	8	2	211	273	340	613	129	269	28	6	275	73	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	LAA	65%	179	163	35	5	1	5	10	51	4	7	1	208	270	333	603	125	268	28	6	271	70	-6	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	LAA	65%	179	163	35	5	1	5	10	51	4	5	1	205	266	325	591	120	265	28	6	266	67	-7	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1420	1296	270	44	5	30	83	402	31	47	9	208	272	319	592	111	276	28	6	265	71	-58	+6	+3	+11	+31	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	123	20	2	14	38	184	14	22	4	207	271	319	590	111	275	28	6	265	71	-27	+3	+1	+5	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4364	3977	870	137	13	96	262	1168	98	221	47	219	284	332	616	113	283	27	6	273	71	-77	+9	+4	+13	+43	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	129	20	2	14	39	174	15	33	7	218	283	329	613	111	283	27	6	273	71	-25	+3	+1	+4	+14	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 406 PAwOBA .325 → .280 (−45)K% 20.9% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.94%	÷0.990	×1.200	—	—	25.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.34%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	×1.048	7.40%
HBP% /PA	2.22%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	2.18%
Singles /BIP	22.64%	÷0.976	×0.930	×1.022	×1.048	23.09%
Doubles /BIP	4.91%	÷1.072	×0.830	×1.022	×1.048	4.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.022	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.91%	÷1.045	×0.700	—	×1.048	3.44%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .325 → .280; ISO .149 → .109; BABIP .286 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AASomerset Patriots · 20 PAwOBA .338 → .249 (−89)K% 35.0% → 41.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.00%	÷1.018	×1.220	—	—	41.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×1.012	14.58%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.050	×0.970	—	×1.012	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.902	×0.860	—	×1.012	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.934	×0.950	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	22.22%	÷1.027	×0.780	—	×1.012	17.08%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .338 → .249; ISO .375 → .278; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 300 PAwOBA .362 → .306 (−55)K% 18.3% → 22.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.33%	÷0.998	×1.200	—	—	22.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.67%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×1.050	6.61%
HBP% /PA	2.67%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	2.63%
Singles /BIP	21.84%	÷1.029	×0.930	×1.002	×1.050	20.77%
Doubles /BIP	4.37%	÷0.903	×0.830	×1.002	×1.050	4.23%
Triples /BIP	0.97%	÷1.048	×0.970	×1.002	×1.050	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	6.80%	÷1.017	×0.700	—	×1.050	4.91%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 81, 3B 110, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .362 → .306; ISO .211 → .165; BABIP .289 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 429 PAwOBA .336 → .269 (−67)K% 23.3% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.31%	÷1.001	×1.200	—	—	27.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.93%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.39%
HBP% /PA	1.63%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.61%
Singles /BIP	22.73%	÷1.047	×0.930	×0.966	×1.050	20.48%
Doubles /BIP	5.59%	÷0.988	×0.830	×0.966	×1.050	4.77%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.966	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.64%	÷1.006	×0.700	—	×1.050	4.85%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .336 → .269; ISO .189 → .140; BABIP .302 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AASomerset Patriots · 353 PAwOBA .351 → .311 (−40)K% 23.2% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.23%	÷1.024	×1.220	—	—	27.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.52%	÷1.036	×0.690	—	×1.050	4.56%
HBP% /PA	1.13%	—	×0.850	—	×1.050	1.01%
Singles /BIP	27.05%	÷1.008	×0.940	×1.005	×1.050	26.61%
Doubles /BIP	6.56%	÷0.905	×0.870	×1.005	×1.050	6.65%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.005	×1.050	0.88%
Home runs /BIP	4.92%	÷1.053	×0.780	—	×1.050	3.82%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .351 → .311; ISO .172 → .144; BABIP .362 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 127 PAwOBA .394 → .325 (−69)K% 18.9% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.90%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	25.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.45%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.027	6.89%
HBP% /PA	2.36%	—	×0.810	—	×1.027	1.97%
Singles /BIP	21.84%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.991	×1.027	20.22%
Doubles /BIP	11.49%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.991	×1.027	9.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.991	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.75%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.027	4.90%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .394 → .325; ISO .225 → .183; BABIP .349 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 31 PAwOBA .318 → .288 (−30)K% 16.1% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.13%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	19.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.45%	÷0.973	×0.690	—	×1.050	4.80%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.43%	÷0.974	×0.930	—	×1.050	30.51%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.915	×0.830	—	×1.050	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷1.149	×0.700	—	×1.050	2.78%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 95, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .318 → .288; ISO .107 → .070; BABIP .304 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ACharleston RiverDogs · 208 PAwOBA .308 → .259 (−49)K% 13.5% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.46%	÷0.972	×1.340	—	—	18.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.69%	÷1.017	×0.660	—	×1.045	5.22%
HBP% /PA	2.88%	—	×0.770	—	×1.045	2.32%
Singles /BIP	27.74%	÷1.026	×0.920	×0.950	×1.045	24.69%
Doubles /BIP	3.23%	÷0.955	×0.820	×0.950	×1.045	2.75%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.950	×1.045	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.29%	÷0.916	×0.820	—	×1.045	1.21%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 105, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .308 → .259; ISO .060 → .054; BABIP .310 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	2.7	1,763	7	55	223*	283*	300*	+10	+9	-0.2	1.3
/162	664	3	21	+3.8	+3.5	-0.1	pk7: 3
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	2.5	1,680	36	59	208	269	320	+6	+6	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	14	23	+2.4	+2.3	-0.3	pk7: -1
#4Hector Torres'68-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	18	7	215*	262*	312*	+16	+3	-2.1	-0.9
/162	664	6	2	+5.7	+1.2	-0.7	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Vic Harris'72-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	13	36	215*	286*	325*	+4	-7	-1.9	-1.1
/162	664	5	13	+1.5	-2.7	-0.7	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oswald Peraza (OGILVIE)	27	35	45	60	45	211/274/342	131	272	7	12	28%	6%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41→42	49→50	58→55	46	213/273/359	146	256	18	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	218/276/366	148	265	17	22	24%	6%	80	-0.2	210/266/364	154	249	17	20	23%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	42→43	49→50	56→55	44	214/289/355	141	288	17	23	31%	8%	83	+0.1	208/287/334	126	288	14	21	31%	8%	77	-0.3	192/277/306	114	267	14	21	31%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→50	48→50	60→65	40	224/272/371	148	287	14	32	27%	5%	79	-0.2	220/268/357	137	277	14	40	25%	6%	74	-0.5	209/250/335	125	273	13	52	28%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	195/258/316	120	275	10	24	32%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/348	126	302	12	17	29%	5%	76	-0.4	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Lane Adams 2017 · AAA	27	45	44→50	59→60	42	223/276/335	113	295	11	32	28%	6%	73	-0.6	208/266/335	127	311	14	29	35%	7%	69	-0.9	187/251/323	136	289	16	28	39%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Luke Williams 2024 · MLB	27	47→44	43→45	59→65	45	228/290/338	110	304	10	34	27%	8%	78	-0.3	201/260/313	112	280	11	35	30%	7%	61	-1.5	174/232/274	100	245	9	44	32%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Max Burt 2024 · AAA	27	39→35	45	55	39	200/257/319	119	279	14	22	33%	6%	62	-1.4	182/240/274	92	269	9	24	34%	6%	45	-2.7	162/221/238	76	241	6	29	34%	5%	28	-1.9
✕Tony Thomas 2013 · AAA	27	40→47	46→50	57→55	39	207/256/342	135	277	14	19	30%	6%	67	-1.1	201/245/329	128	286	11	14	32%	5%	59	-1.6	195/237/322	127	280	10	12	33%	4%	52	-1.7
✕Daz Cameron 2024 · MLB	27	43→48	46→50	54→55	43	215/279/343	128	286	13	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4	226/293/381	155	291	17	23	27%	8%	90	+0.6	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Connor Kaiser 2024 · AAA	27	40	45	55→50	45	198/275/318	121	285	12	18	33%	9%	69	-0.9	194/273/297	103	301	9	10	35%	9%	63	-1.3	184/267/283	99	288	8	6	36%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Nate Eaton 2024 · MLB	27	42→49	46→45	59→60	42	214/270/337	123	277	14	29	28%	6%	71	-0.8	214/267/339	125	280	13	26	27%	6%	70	-0.8	210/267/331	121	274	12	27	27%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Brenton Doyle 2024 · MLB	26	41→47	48→50	56→55	34	208/252/346	139	308	17	22	37%	5%	66	-1.1	229/279/373	144	299	17	24	28%	6%	82	+0.0	234/284/378	144	296	17	27	27%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Chris Basak 2006 · AAA	27	47→46	47→45	57→55	46	235/289/376	142	277	14	22	21%	6%	87	+0.4	222/271/337	115	271	10	19	22%	6%	71	-0.8	213/259/317	104	260	9	19	21%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Elijah Dunham 2024 · AAA	26	42→44	47→50	57→60	45	209/284/346	137	283	14	28	30%	8%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	295	14	20	32%	8%	74	-0.5	192/258/336	144	273	14	17	33%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Trent Giambrone 2021 · AAA	27	39→41	51→50	51→55	41	206/263/360	154	270	19	19	31%	6%	74	-0.5	178/242/264	86	259	8	14	32%	7%	44	-2.8	146/215/204	58	216	4	14	32%	7%	18	-2.2
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	41→45	48→55	54→50	40	211/265/353	142	289	15	14	32%	6%	73	-0.6	214/258/349	135	309	17	16	35%	5%	70	-0.9	207/246/338	131	298	19	19	36%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Ryan Kreidler 2024 · MLB	26	40→46	48→45	51→55	45	202/283/337	135	284	16	19	33%	9%	77	-0.3	188/269/306	118	273	12	19	33%	9%	65	-1.2	182/264/299	117	260	11	19	32%	9%	59	-1.0
✕Jake Slaughter 2024 · AAA	27	42→48	50	52→55	41	216/288/371	154	291	19	22	32%	7%	86	+0.3	227/291/355	128	317	14	19	31%	7%	83	+0.1	229/290/335	106	327	11	21	31%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	45→40	57→55	48	202/300/324	122	284	13	26	31%	10%	80	-0.1	219/310/324	105	288	8	16	25%	10%	84	+0.1	218/323/308	90	279	5	13	21%	12%	84	+0.1
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→44	47→45	59→50	41	232/281/369	137	296	14	22	26%	6%	82	+0.0	222/269/357	135	291	15	14	28%	5%	75	-0.5	181/219/302	120	230	16	3	29%	4%	40	-0.7

Oswald Peraza

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps