Elijah Dunham
OF Rocket City Trash Pandas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AANYY | 394 | .248/.334/.455 | 15 | 19 | 71 | — | .203/.270/.365 |
| 2025 | 27 | INTLSenadores de … | 106 | .169/.337/.253 | 2 | 0 | 78 | — | |
| 2026 | 28 | AALAA | 135 | .210/.304/.345 | 2 | 1 | 40 | — | .169/.237/.266 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 29 | MLBLAA | 2 | .213/.281/.350 | 0 | 0 | 78 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 30 | MLBLAA | 34 | .211/.279/.345 | 1 | 1 | 77 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 268 | 241 | 62 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 62 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 257 | 327 | 448 | 775 | 191 | 308 | 23 | 8 | 341 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 127 | 98 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 276 | 441 | 500 | 941 | 224 | 324 | 18 | 20 | 419 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 101 | 84 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 357 | 465 | 571 | 1.037 | 214 | 389 | 10 | 14 | 454 | 194 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 485 | 415 | 103 | 26 | 3 | 17 | 59 | 103 | 7 | 37 | 7 | 248 | 351 | 448 | 800 | 200 | 288 | 21 | 12 | 354 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 47 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 300 | 391 | 500 | 891 | 200 | 344 | 17 | 11 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 303 | 259 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 87 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 216 | 330 | 340 | 670 | 124 | 301 | 29 | 13 | 310 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 251 | 217 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 64 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 240 | 335 | 447 | 782 | 207 | 288 | 25 | 11 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 394 | 347 | 86 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 107 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 248 | 334 | 455 | 790 | 207 | 313 | 27 | 11 | 348 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 106 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 337 | 253 | 590 | 84 | 226 | 28 | 19 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 135 | 119 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 304 | 345 | 648 | 134 | 299 | 30 | 10 | 296 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 268 | 247 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 84 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 206 | 263 | 352 | 615 | 146 | 271 | 31 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 127 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 226 | 354 | 396 | 751 | 170 | 287 | 24 | 13 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 485 | 431 | 96 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 126 | 7 | 37 | 7 | 223 | 304 | 381 | 684 | 158 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 303 | 272 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 105 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 184 | 267 | 276 | 543 | 92 | 279 | 35 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 251 | 226 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 78 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 199 | 270 | 350 | 620 | 150 | 261 | 31 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 394 | 359 | 73 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 128 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 203 | 270 | 365 | 635 | 162 | 274 | 32 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 135 | 124 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 169 | 237 | 266 | 503 | 97 | 266 | 36 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 496 | 443 | 94 | 25 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 144 | 10 | 39 | 6 | 212 | 294 | 366 | 659 | 153 | 281 | 29 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 496 | 423 | 119 | 31 | 5 | 15 | 61 | 95 | 10 | 39 | 6 | 281 | 385 | 485 | 869 | 203 | 330 | 19 | 12 | 384 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 472 | 104 | 25 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 138 | 8 | 39 | 7 | 220 | 302 | 375 | 677 | 155 | 277 | 26 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 532 | 455 | 115 | 29 | 4 | 18 | 64 | 111 | 8 | 39 | 7 | 253 | 355 | 453 | 808 | 200 | 293 | 21 | 12 | 356 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 497 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 182 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 193 | 272 | 318 | 590 | 125 | 275 | 33 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 554 | 476 | 108 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 67 | 151 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 227 | 332 | 389 | 721 | 162 | 295 | 27 | 12 | 325 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 394 | 359 | 73 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 128 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 203 | 270 | 365 | 635 | 162 | 279 | 32 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | Somerset Patriots | — | 394 | 347 | 86 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 107 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 248 | 334 | 455 | 790 | 207 | 313 | 27 | 11 | 348 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL MLE | Senadores de San Juan | — | 106 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 337 | 253 | 590 | 84 | 226 | 28 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL RAW | Senadores de San Juan | — | 106 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 337 | 253 | 590 | 84 | 226 | 28 | 19 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 135 | 124 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 169 | 237 | 266 | 503 | 97 | 270 | 36 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 135 | 119 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 304 | 345 | 648 | 134 | 299 | 30 | 10 | 296 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 496 | 442 | 94 | 25 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 144 | 10 | 39 | 6 | 213 | 294 | 367 | 660 | 154 | 276 | 29 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 472 | 104 | 25 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 138 | 8 | 39 | 7 | 220 | 302 | 375 | 677 | 155 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 495 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 182 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 194 | 272 | 319 | 591 | 125 | 271 | 33 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 394 | 358 | 73 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 128 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 204 | 270 | 366 | 636 | 162 | 274 | 32 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 135 | 123 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 237 | 268 | 505 | 98 | 266 | 36 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 394 | 358 | 73 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 128 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 204 | 270 | 366 | 636 | 162 | 274 | 32 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 135 | 123 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 237 | 268 | 505 | 98 | 266 | 36 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 2% | 200 | 181 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 214 | 282 | 352 | 634 | 138 | 281 | 28 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 281 | 350 | 631 | 137 | 279 | 50 | 0 | 283 | 78 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 23% | 151 | 137 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 281 | 347 | 627 | 134 | 280 | 28 | 8 | 281 | 77 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 23% | 34 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 279 | 345 | 624 | 134 | 277 | 29 | 9 | 280 | 77 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 323 | 587 | 129 | 250 | 29 | 9 | 280 | 65 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 114 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 57 | 191 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 192 | 263 | 320 | 583 | 128 | 248 | 29 | 9 | 280 | 65 | -18 | +4 | -9 | -4 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2473 | 2210 | 451 | 107 | 14 | 58 | 213 | 744 | 34 | 137 | 27 | 204 | 284 | 344 | 628 | 140 | 276 | 30 | 9 | 265 | 65 | -7 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +6 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 118 | 28 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 196 | 9 | 36 | 7 | 203 | 283 | 343 | 626 | 139 | 275 | 30 | 9 | 265 | 65 | -18 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 135 PAwOBA .289 → .228 (−60)K% 29.6% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.968 | 15.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×0.968 | 9.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.010 | ×0.968 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 1.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .289 → .228; ISO .134 → .108; BABIP .299 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AASomerset Patriots · 394 PAwOBA .340 → .273 (−67)K% 27.2% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.16% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.66% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 17.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷0.902 | ×0.860 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷0.934 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .340 → .273; ISO .207 → .165; BABIP .313 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 303 PAwOBA .302 → .246 (−56)K% 28.7% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.71% | ÷0.998 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.87% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.51% | ÷1.029 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 20.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.048 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 81, 3B 110, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .302 → .246; ISO .124 → .098; BABIP .301 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASomerset Patriots · 251 PAwOBA .337 → .278 (−59)K% 25.5% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.50% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.76% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.30% | ÷0.987 | ×0.970 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 17.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.50% | ÷0.958 | ×0.860 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.54% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.93% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .337 → .278; ISO .207 → .164; BABIP .288 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASomerset Patriots · 485 PAwOBA .347 → .297 (−50)K% 21.2% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.24% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.27% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×1.012 | 18.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.972 | ×0.860 | ×1.001 | ×1.012 | 7.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.969 | ×0.950 | ×1.001 | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.032 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.17% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .347 → .297; ISO .200 → .164; BABIP .288 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 268 PAwOBA .334 → .264 (−71)K% 23.1% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.13% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 17.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 8.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.16% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .334 → .264; ISO .191 → .147; BABIP .308 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ATampa Tarpons · 127 PAwOBA .409 → .329 (−80)K% 18.1% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 13.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.15% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.990 | 18.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.990 | 6.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×0.990 | 2.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 4.22% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .409 → .329; ISO .224 → .186; BABIP .324 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .