Dustin Peterson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 27 | AAAPHI | 448 | .242/.322/.378 | 9 | 6 | 53 | — | .201/.255/.300 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 513 | .262/.355/.476 | 24 | 2 | 91 | — | .190/.257/.356 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 374 | .184/.290/.274 | 6 | 5 | 41 | — | .173/.232/.260 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 172 | 157 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 293 | 343 | 344 | 687 | 51 | 362 | 19 | 5 | 309 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 564 | 527 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 137 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 233 | 275 | 361 | 636 | 127 | 294 | 24 | 4 | 282 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 498 | 446 | 112 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 91 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 251 | 321 | 348 | 669 | 96 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 301 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 578 | 524 | 148 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 100 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 282 | 345 | 431 | 776 | 149 | 327 | 17 | 8 | 344 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 71 | 68 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 324 | 352 | 471 | 823 | 147 | 389 | 18 | 4 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 346 | 314 | 78 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 78 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 318 | 318 | 636 | 70 | 328 | 23 | 8 | 293 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 442 | 406 | 109 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 96 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 268 | 325 | 406 | 731 | 138 | 327 | 22 | 7 | 326 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 47 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 277 | 318 | 595 | 91 | 333 | 30 | 4 | 270 | 72 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 319 | 301 | 86 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 78 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 320 | 439 | 758 | 153 | 349 | 24 | 4 | 333 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 150 | 133 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 602 | 982 | 286 | 298 | 14 | 6 | 419 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 329 | 291 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 350 | 416 | 766 | 144 | 290 | 13 | 9 | 342 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 448 | 400 | 97 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 102 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 242 | 322 | 378 | 700 | 135 | 303 | 23 | 10 | 316 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 348 | 303 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 19 | 37 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 332 | 488 | 821 | 244 | 270 | 24 | 11 | 356 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 165 | 140 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 402 | 450 | 852 | 150 | 374 | 22 | 13 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 35 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 242 | 167 | 409 | 227 | 29 | 9 | 189 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 29 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 180 | 159 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 303 | 352 | 656 | 132 | 286 | 28 | 9 | 295 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 159 | 132 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 144 | 285 | 205 | 489 | 61 | 188 | 23 | 14 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 47 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 277 | 318 | 595 | 91 | 333 | 30 | 4 | 270 | 69 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 172 | 160 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 266 | 263 | 529 | 38 | 297 | 27 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 564 | 534 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 195 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 180 | 216 | 268 | 484 | 88 | 259 | 35 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 498 | 463 | 100 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 127 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 216 | 262 | 294 | 556 | 78 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 578 | 538 | 135 | 33 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 117 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 251 | 298 | 370 | 668 | 119 | 298 | 20 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 346 | 321 | 75 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 95 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 234 | 289 | 299 | 588 | 65 | 327 | 27 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 442 | 413 | 98 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 121 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 284 | 349 | 633 | 111 | 311 | 27 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 47 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 277 | 318 | 595 | 91 | 333 | 30 | 4 | 274 | 72 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 319 | 305 | 76 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 89 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 275 | 390 | 665 | 141 | 309 | 28 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 329 | 299 | 72 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 304 | 351 | 655 | 110 | 266 | 16 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 448 | 417 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 126 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 201 | 255 | 300 | 555 | 98 | 272 | 28 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 348 | 315 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 102 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 257 | 356 | 612 | 165 | 222 | 29 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 35 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 161 | 212 | 161 | 373 | 204 | 37 | 6 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 29 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 180 | 165 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 176 | 236 | 279 | 515 | 103 | 252 | 36 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 172 | 160 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 266 | 263 | 529 | 38 | 310 | 27 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres | — | 172 | 157 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 293 | 343 | 344 | 687 | 51 | 362 | 19 | 5 | 309 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 564 | 534 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 195 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 180 | 216 | 268 | 484 | 88 | 264 | 35 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 564 | 527 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 137 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 233 | 275 | 361 | 636 | 127 | 294 | 24 | 4 | 282 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 498 | 463 | 100 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 127 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 216 | 262 | 294 | 556 | 78 | 278 | 26 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 498 | 446 | 112 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 91 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 251 | 321 | 348 | 669 | 96 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 301 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 649 | 605 | 151 | 37 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 131 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 250 | 296 | 367 | 663 | 117 | 301 | 20 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 649 | 592 | 170 | 43 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 113 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 287 | 346 | 436 | 782 | 149 | 334 | 17 | 7 | 346 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 346 | 321 | 75 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 95 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 234 | 289 | 299 | 588 | 65 | 329 | 27 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 346 | 314 | 78 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 78 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 318 | 318 | 636 | 70 | 328 | 23 | 8 | 293 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 442 | 413 | 98 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 121 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 284 | 349 | 633 | 111 | 313 | 27 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 442 | 406 | 109 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 96 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 268 | 325 | 406 | 731 | 138 | 327 | 22 | 7 | 326 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 366 | 349 | 87 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 278 | 387 | 665 | 138 | 319 | 28 | 3 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 366 | 345 | 96 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 92 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 278 | 314 | 423 | 737 | 145 | 347 | 25 | 4 | 325 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 150 | 133 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 602 | 982 | 286 | 298 | 14 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 150 | 133 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 602 | 982 | 286 | 298 | 14 | 6 | 419 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 329 | 299 | 72 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 304 | 351 | 655 | 110 | 267 | 16 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 329 | 291 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 350 | 416 | 766 | 144 | 290 | 13 | 9 | 342 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 448 | 417 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 126 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 201 | 255 | 300 | 555 | 98 | 273 | 28 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 448 | 400 | 97 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 102 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 242 | 322 | 378 | 700 | 135 | 303 | 23 | 10 | 316 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 464 | 87 | 16 | 1 | 19 | 37 | 151 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 256 | 349 | 606 | 162 | 227 | 29 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 443 | 116 | 21 | 1 | 24 | 58 | 122 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 262 | 355 | 476 | 831 | 214 | 304 | 24 | 11 | 364 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 340 | 58 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 135 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 171 | 236 | 256 | 492 | 85 | 251 | 36 | 6 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 374 | 321 | 59 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 42 | 97 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 184 | 290 | 274 | 564 | 90 | 238 | 26 | 11 | 263 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 172 | 161 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 224 | 266 | 261 | 527 | 37 | 297 | 27 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 564 | 534 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 195 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 180 | 216 | 268 | 484 | 88 | 259 | 35 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 498 | 466 | 100 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 127 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 215 | 262 | 292 | 554 | 77 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 649 | 604 | 151 | 37 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 131 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 250 | 296 | 368 | 664 | 118 | 298 | 20 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 346 | 318 | 75 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 95 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 289 | 302 | 591 | 66 | 327 | 27 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 442 | 412 | 98 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 121 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 238 | 284 | 350 | 634 | 112 | 311 | 27 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 366 | 349 | 87 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 278 | 387 | 665 | 138 | 312 | 28 | 3 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 329 | 299 | 72 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 304 | 351 | 655 | 110 | 266 | 16 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 448 | 415 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 126 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 202 | 255 | 301 | 556 | 99 | 272 | 28 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 465 | 87 | 16 | 1 | 19 | 37 | 151 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 187 | 256 | 348 | 605 | 161 | 222 | 29 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 342 | 58 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 135 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 170 | 236 | 254 | 490 | 85 | 244 | 36 | 6 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 29 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 374 | 342 | 58 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 135 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 170 | 236 | 254 | 490 | 85 | 244 | 36 | 6 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 47 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 277 | 318 | 595 | 91 | 333 | 30 | 4 | 270 | 55 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 609 | 138 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 194 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 227 | 277 | 317 | 594 | 90 | 333 | 30 | 4 | 270 | 55 | -24 | +3 | -7 | -54 | +14 | -6.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4851 | 4498 | 986 | 186 | 10 | 95 | 260 | 1304 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 219 | 270 | 328 | 598 | 109 | 284 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 55 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 132 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 175 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 219 | 270 | 328 | 598 | 109 | 283 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 55 | -24 | +3 | -7 | -54 | +14 | -6.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAltoona Curve · 180 PAwOBA .291 → .231 (−60)K% 28.3% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.33% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.44% | ÷1.022 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 6.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×0.948 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.948 | ×0.860 | ×0.993 | ×0.948 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.993 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.63% | ÷0.844 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 4.06% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 104, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .291 → .231; ISO .132 → .109; BABIP .286 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 35 PAwOBA .196 → .164 (−32)K% 28.6% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.948 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 22.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .196 → .164; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .227 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 348 PAwOBA .351 → .264 (−87)K% 24.4% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.43% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.63% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.89% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×0.982 | 15.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.982 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.105 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×0.982 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.72% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 5.83% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 123, 3B 121, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .351 → .264; ISO .244 → .167; BABIP .270 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 448 PAwOBA .307 → .246 (−61)K% 22.8% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.77% | ÷0.970 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.14% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 19.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.72% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.02% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .307 → .246; ISO .135 → .101; BABIP .303 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAANashville Sounds · 329 PAwOBA .336 → .291 (−45)K% 13.4% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.37% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.12% | ÷0.946 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.27% | ÷0.966 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×1.003 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.07% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.003 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷0.915 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.80% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 105, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .336 → .291; ISO .144 → .114; BABIP .290 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 319 PAwOBA .326 → .285 (−41)K% 24.5% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.45% | ÷1.056 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.39% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.80% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 25.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.096 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.93% | ÷0.888 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 4.82% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .326 → .285; ISO .153 → .140; BABIP .349 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 442 PAwOBA .318 → .279 (−39)K% 21.7% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.72% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.79% | ÷0.947 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×1.048 | 23.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.42% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.048 | 6.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.116 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.55% | ÷0.970 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.22% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 123, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .318 → .279; ISO .138 → .118; BABIP .327 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 346 PAwOBA .286 → .261 (−25)K% 22.5% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×1.050 | 25.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷0.936 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.050 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.005 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×1.050 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.38% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .286 → .261; ISO .070 → .065; BABIP .328 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .