Roger Kieschnick
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 27 | AAAARI | 401 | .260/.318/.461 | 15 | 5 | 48 | — | .185/.230/.315 | |
| 2014 | 27 | MLBARI | 41 | .195/.195/.293 | 1 | 0 | 29 | -0.9 | ||
| 2015 | 28 | AAALAA | 437 | .263/.323/.446 | 15 | 3 | 54 | — | .196/.242/.325 | |
| 2016 | 29 | AAARojos del Agu… | 90 | .218/.299/.397 | 4 | 3 | 51 | — | .195/.241/.329 | |
| 2017 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 563 | 517 | 153 | 37 | 8 | 23 | 36 | 130 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 296 | 348 | 532 | 880 | 236 | 352 | 23 | 6 | 380 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 246 | 223 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 55 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 251 | 310 | 368 | 678 | 117 | 310 | 22 | 7 | 300 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 501 | 459 | 117 | 22 | 5 | 16 | 34 | 121 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 255 | 310 | 429 | 740 | 174 | 309 | 24 | 7 | 324 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 250 | 222 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 68 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 306 | 379 | 604 | 983 | 297 | 376 | 27 | 10 | 421 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 104 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 311 | 391 | 702 | 163 | 274 | 26 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 95 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 295 | 226 | 521 | 24 | 309 | 31 | 12 | 250 | 47 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +2 | -1.0 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 422 | 374 | 102 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 102 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 273 | 345 | 497 | 842 | 225 | 335 | 24 | 9 | 362 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 41 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 195 | 293 | 488 | 98 | 292 | 39 | 0 | 215 | 29 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 401 | 369 | 96 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 88 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 260 | 318 | 461 | 778 | 201 | 303 | 22 | 7 | 342 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 437 | 399 | 105 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 107 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 263 | 323 | 446 | 769 | 183 | 321 | 24 | 7 | 338 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 90 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 299 | 397 | 696 | 179 | 255 | 29 | 10 | 301 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 136 | 125 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 265 | 248 | 513 | 48 | 304 | 33 | 8 | 239 | 48 | -8 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +3 | -1.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 563 | 529 | 128 | 29 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 174 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 242 | 281 | 433 | 714 | 191 | 310 | 31 | 4 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 246 | 229 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 68 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 231 | 273 | 341 | 613 | 109 | 295 | 28 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 501 | 471 | 99 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 151 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 210 | 250 | 335 | 585 | 125 | 276 | 30 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 250 | 230 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 93 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 248 | 302 | 487 | 789 | 239 | 345 | 37 | 6 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 95 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 274 | 221 | 495 | 23 | 309 | 31 | 9 | 238 | 47 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +2 | -1.0 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 422 | 384 | 83 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 133 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 275 | 385 | 660 | 169 | 289 | 32 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 41 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 195 | 293 | 488 | 98 | 292 | 39 | 0 | 211 | 29 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 401 | 378 | 70 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 117 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 185 | 230 | 315 | 545 | 130 | 240 | 29 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 437 | 409 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 145 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 196 | 242 | 325 | 567 | 130 | 268 | 33 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 90 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 195 | 241 | 329 | 571 | 134 | 225 | 34 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 563 | 529 | 128 | 29 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 174 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 242 | 281 | 433 | 714 | 191 | 318 | 31 | 4 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 563 | 517 | 153 | 37 | 8 | 23 | 36 | 130 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 296 | 348 | 532 | 880 | 236 | 352 | 23 | 6 | 380 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 246 | 229 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 68 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 231 | 273 | 341 | 613 | 109 | 304 | 28 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 246 | 223 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 55 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 251 | 310 | 368 | 678 | 117 | 310 | 22 | 7 | 300 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 501 | 471 | 99 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 151 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 210 | 250 | 335 | 585 | 125 | 280 | 30 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 501 | 459 | 117 | 22 | 5 | 16 | 34 | 121 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 255 | 310 | 429 | 740 | 174 | 309 | 24 | 7 | 324 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 327 | 82 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 131 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 251 | 302 | 502 | 804 | 251 | 350 | 37 | 6 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 354 | 314 | 89 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 95 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 283 | 359 | 541 | 900 | 258 | 345 | 27 | 10 | 389 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 470 | 100 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 162 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 275 | 355 | 630 | 143 | 295 | 31 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 517 | 458 | 119 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 51 | 131 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 335 | 448 | 783 | 188 | 330 | 25 | 10 | 342 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 419 | 78 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 133 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 186 | 227 | 313 | 539 | 126 | 243 | 30 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 442 | 410 | 104 | 26 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 104 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 254 | 306 | 444 | 750 | 190 | 302 | 24 | 6 | 330 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 437 | 409 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 145 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 196 | 242 | 325 | 567 | 130 | 270 | 33 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 437 | 399 | 105 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 107 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 263 | 323 | 446 | 769 | 183 | 321 | 24 | 7 | 338 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 90 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 195 | 241 | 329 | 571 | 134 | 255 | 34 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 90 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 299 | 397 | 696 | 179 | 255 | 29 | 10 | 301 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 563 | 529 | 128 | 29 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 174 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 242 | 281 | 433 | 714 | 191 | 310 | 31 | 4 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 246 | 231 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 68 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 229 | 273 | 338 | 610 | 108 | 295 | 28 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 501 | 471 | 99 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 151 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 210 | 250 | 335 | 585 | 125 | 276 | 30 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 327 | 82 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 131 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 251 | 302 | 502 | 804 | 251 | 345 | 37 | 6 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 472 | 100 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 162 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 275 | 354 | 628 | 142 | 293 | 31 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 417 | 78 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 133 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 187 | 227 | 314 | 541 | 127 | 245 | 30 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 437 | 409 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 145 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 196 | 242 | 325 | 567 | 130 | 268 | 33 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 90 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 188 | 241 | 318 | 559 | 129 | 225 | 34 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 136 | 125 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 265 | 248 | 513 | 48 | 304 | 33 | 8 | 239 | 71 | -8 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +3 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 120 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 266 | 251 | 517 | 50 | 305 | 33 | 8 | 239 | 71 | -40 | +0 | -10 | -49 | +14 | -8.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3150 | 2936 | 636 | 126 | 29 | 89 | 164 | 995 | 19 | 39 | 19 | 217 | 263 | 370 | 633 | 154 | 290 | 32 | 5 | 274 | 71 | -8 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +3 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 131 | 26 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 205 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 216 | 262 | 368 | 630 | 152 | 290 | 32 | 5 | 274 | 71 | -40 | +0 | -10 | -49 | +14 | -8.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 90 PAwOBA .294 → .243 (−51)K% 28.9% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.89% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.78% | ÷0.931 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.15% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×0.982 | 19.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.982 | 3.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 5.29% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .294 → .243; ISO .179 → .132; BABIP .255 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASalt Lake Bees · 437 PAwOBA .330 → .248 (−82)K% 24.5% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.49% | ÷0.952 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.86% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.26% | ÷1.012 | ×0.900 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 19.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.001 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.14% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 4.06% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .330 → .248; ISO .183 → .132; BABIP .321 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAReno Aces · 401 PAwOBA .333 → .239 (−95)K% 21.9% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.95% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.22% | ÷1.047 | ×0.900 | ×0.968 | ×1.003 | 16.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.90% | ÷1.047 | ×0.810 | ×0.968 | ×1.003 | 6.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.968 | ×1.003 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.34% | ÷1.116 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .333 → .239; ISO .201 → .134; BABIP .303 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 422 PAwOBA .357 → .288 (−69)K% 24.2% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.17% | ÷0.989 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.49% | ÷0.999 | ×0.900 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 17.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.93% | ÷0.974 | ×0.810 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 8.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.954 | ×0.810 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 2.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.78% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 91, K 98, BB 82 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .357 → .288; ISO .225 → .174; BABIP .335 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 250 PAwOBA .411 → .339 (−72)K% 27.2% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.20% | ÷0.945 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.20% | ÷1.068 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.38% | ÷1.001 | ×0.900 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 22.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.44% | ÷0.964 | ×0.810 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 7.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.60% | ÷0.940 | ×0.810 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 2.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.74% | ÷0.834 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 9.41% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 100, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 89, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .411 → .339; ISO .297 → .253; BABIP .376 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 501 PAwOBA .318 → .255 (−63)K% 24.2% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.15% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.89% | ÷1.075 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 20.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.51% | ÷1.048 | ×0.860 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.140 | ×0.950 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.081 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.46% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 115, 2B 110, 3B 128, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .318 → .255; ISO .174 → .130; BABIP .309 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 246 PAwOBA .295 → .266 (−30)K% 22.4% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.36% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.91% | ÷1.018 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.40% | ÷1.035 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 23.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.008 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.813 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.35% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 102, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .295 → .266; ISO .117 → .109; BABIP .310 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+San Jose Giants · 563 PAwOBA .372 → .303 (−69)K% 23.1% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 20.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 7.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 5.53% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .372 → .303; ISO .236 → .193; BABIP .352 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .