Andy Wilkins
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 28 | AACIN | 274 | .254/.362/.474 | 12 | 2 | 75 | — | .197/.277/.357 |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 437 | .200/.321/.424 | 23 | 2 | 78 | — | .145/.209/.327 |
| 2019 | 30 | AA/A+2 orgs | 211 | .179/.293/.324 | 7 | 0 | 23 | — | .122/.202/.222 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 256 | 218 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 307 | 401 | 463 | 864 | 156 | 332 | 12 | 13 | 381 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 556 | 493 | 137 | 33 | 0 | 23 | 56 | 91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 278 | 352 | 485 | 836 | 207 | 298 | 16 | 10 | 364 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 502 | 435 | 104 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 63 | 94 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 239 | 337 | 425 | 762 | 186 | 266 | 19 | 13 | 339 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 98 | 89 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 330 | 416 | 746 | 146 | 323 | 22 | 8 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 234 | 215 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 265 | 316 | 423 | 739 | 158 | 314 | 22 | 6 | 325 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 285 | 243 | 70 | 16 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 58 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 288 | 389 | 477 | 866 | 189 | 339 | 20 | 13 | 383 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 120 | 105 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 314 | 395 | 476 | 871 | 162 | 353 | 14 | 10 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 45 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 178 | 186 | 364 | 47 | 286 | 49 | 4 | 169 | 0 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.6 |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 529 | 491 | 144 | 38 | 1 | 30 | 34 | 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 293 | 340 | 558 | 898 | 265 | 306 | 17 | 6 | 388 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 497 | 434 | 109 | 29 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 324 | 447 | 771 | 196 | 270 | 19 | 9 | 331 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 34 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 226 | 491 | 32 | 273 | 26 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 27 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 292 | 514 | 167 | 154 | 37 | 11 | 236 | 45 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 374 | 327 | 77 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 91 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 324 | 419 | 743 | 183 | 285 | 24 | 11 | 329 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 274 | 232 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 37 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 254 | 362 | 474 | 836 | 220 | 307 | 26 | 14 | 367 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 80 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 225 | 270 | 495 | 108 | 204 | 29 | 8 | 227 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 159 | 136 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 333 | 537 | 870 | 316 | 214 | 25 | 13 | 377 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 198 | 160 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 350 | 400 | 750 | 200 | 237 | 28 | 16 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 133 | 113 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 313 | 345 | 658 | 142 | 284 | 33 | 13 | 298 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 78 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 260 | 288 | 548 | 152 | 182 | 40 | 14 | 253 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 72 | 67 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 134 | 194 | 224 | 418 | 90 | 235 | 44 | 7 | 194 | 17 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -17 | +2 | -2.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 256 | 233 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 282 | 339 | 621 | 116 | 242 | 18 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 556 | 513 | 113 | 25 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 136 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 271 | 380 | 652 | 160 | 255 | 24 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 502 | 456 | 96 | 26 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 114 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 211 | 279 | 384 | 662 | 173 | 240 | 23 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 234 | 219 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 264 | 352 | 616 | 128 | 276 | 26 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 285 | 256 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 76 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 234 | 307 | 379 | 686 | 145 | 292 | 27 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 45 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 178 | 186 | 364 | 47 | 286 | 49 | 4 | 168 | 0 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.6 |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 529 | 505 | 128 | 32 | 1 | 23 | 20 | 112 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 253 | 283 | 457 | 741 | 204 | 280 | 21 | 4 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 497 | 452 | 94 | 24 | 1 | 17 | 29 | 123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 256 | 378 | 634 | 170 | 221 | 25 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 27 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 292 | 514 | 167 | 154 | 37 | 11 | 235 | 45 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 374 | 343 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 122 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 160 | 222 | 280 | 502 | 120 | 212 | 33 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 274 | 244 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 85 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 197 | 277 | 357 | 633 | 160 | 245 | 31 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 80 | 76 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 118 | 163 | 211 | 373 | 92 | 171 | 35 | 5 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 159 | 145 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 159 | 233 | 386 | 619 | 228 | 166 | 32 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 133 | 119 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 221 | 244 | 465 | 101 | 223 | 41 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | A+ MLE | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 78 | 70 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 169 | 186 | 355 | 100 | 152 | 54 | 9 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 256 | 233 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 282 | 339 | 621 | 116 | 253 | 18 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK RAW | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 256 | 218 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 307 | 401 | 463 | 864 | 156 | 332 | 12 | 13 | 381 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 556 | 513 | 113 | 25 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 136 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 271 | 380 | 652 | 160 | 260 | 24 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 556 | 493 | 137 | 33 | 0 | 23 | 56 | 91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 278 | 352 | 485 | 836 | 207 | 298 | 16 | 10 | 364 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 600 | 545 | 115 | 31 | 1 | 20 | 50 | 137 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 211 | 279 | 382 | 660 | 171 | 242 | 23 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 600 | 524 | 128 | 32 | 1 | 20 | 71 | 116 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 244 | 336 | 424 | 759 | 179 | 276 | 19 | 12 | 337 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 639 | 585 | 134 | 28 | 0 | 17 | 42 | 169 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 229 | 288 | 364 | 652 | 135 | 290 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 639 | 563 | 160 | 35 | 1 | 20 | 64 | 127 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 284 | 363 | 456 | 820 | 172 | 333 | 20 | 10 | 362 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 548 | 134 | 34 | 1 | 23 | 22 | 134 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 245 | 275 | 436 | 711 | 192 | 282 | 23 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 574 | 534 | 150 | 40 | 1 | 30 | 36 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 327 | 528 | 856 | 247 | 305 | 20 | 6 | 371 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 531 | 483 | 99 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 132 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 254 | 373 | 627 | 168 | 233 | 25 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 531 | 465 | 115 | 30 | 1 | 18 | 49 | 103 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 320 | 432 | 753 | 185 | 270 | 19 | 9 | 324 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 367 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 132 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 158 | 222 | 281 | 502 | 123 | 210 | 33 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 401 | 351 | 80 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 101 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 228 | 317 | 410 | 728 | 182 | 278 | 25 | 11 | 322 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 274 | 244 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 85 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 197 | 277 | 357 | 633 | 160 | 255 | 31 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 274 | 232 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 37 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 254 | 362 | 474 | 836 | 220 | 307 | 26 | 14 | 367 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 437 | 400 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 20 | 29 | 145 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 152 | 222 | 338 | 560 | 185 | 174 | 33 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 437 | 370 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 23 | 59 | 118 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 321 | 424 | 745 | 224 | 222 | 27 | 14 | 333 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 211 | 188 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 97 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 207 | 223 | 430 | 101 | 202 | 46 | 9 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 211 | 179 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 293 | 324 | 617 | 145 | 250 | 36 | 13 | 281 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 256 | 235 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 221 | 282 | 336 | 618 | 115 | 242 | 18 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 556 | 515 | 113 | 25 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 136 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 219 | 271 | 379 | 650 | 159 | 255 | 24 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 600 | 544 | 115 | 31 | 1 | 20 | 50 | 137 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 211 | 279 | 382 | 661 | 171 | 240 | 23 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 639 | 586 | 134 | 28 | 0 | 17 | 42 | 169 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 229 | 288 | 363 | 651 | 135 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 546 | 134 | 34 | 1 | 23 | 22 | 134 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 245 | 275 | 438 | 713 | 192 | 280 | 23 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 531 | 494 | 99 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 132 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 254 | 364 | 619 | 164 | 221 | 25 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 368 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 132 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 158 | 222 | 280 | 502 | 122 | 208 | 33 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 274 | 245 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 85 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 196 | 277 | 355 | 632 | 159 | 245 | 31 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 437 | 398 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 20 | 29 | 145 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 153 | 222 | 339 | 562 | 186 | 168 | 33 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 211 | 189 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 97 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 207 | 222 | 429 | 101 | 197 | 46 | 9 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 72 | 67 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 134 | 194 | 224 | 418 | 90 | 235 | 44 | 7 | 194 | 69 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -17 | +2 | -2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 605 | 81 | 27 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 289 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 134 | 194 | 223 | 417 | 89 | 235 | 44 | 7 | 194 | 69 | -64 | +2 | -13 | -157 | +14 | -22.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4479 | 4106 | 837 | 192 | 7 | 146 | 300 | 1212 | 22 | 32 | 12 | 204 | 262 | 361 | 622 | 157 | 247 | 27 | 7 | 271 | 69 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -17 | +2 | -2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 121 | 28 | 1 | 21 | 44 | 176 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 203 | 262 | 359 | 621 | 156 | 246 | 27 | 7 | 271 | 69 | -64 | +2 | -13 | -157 | +14 | -22.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAMississippi Braves · 133 PAwOBA .295 → .219 (−76)K% 33.1% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.08% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.78% | ÷0.967 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.940 | 8.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.940 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.068 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 16.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.80% | ÷0.906 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 4.84% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 114, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .295 → .219; ISO .142 → .115; BABIP .284 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Florida Fire Frogs · 78 PAwOBA .250 → .172 (−78)K% 39.7% → 54.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.74% | ÷1.036 | ×1.420 | — | — | 54.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.10% | ÷1.057 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.940 | 9.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 12.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.115 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.940 | 2.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.920 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.940 | 7.71% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 123, 3B 107, K 107, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .250 → .172; ISO .152 → .109; BABIP .182 → .152. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 159 PAwOBA .365 → .269 (−96)K% 25.2% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.16% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.58% | ÷1.078 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.948 | 7.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.948 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.948 | 9.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.979 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×0.948 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.955 | ×0.948 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 9.72% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 114, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 92, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .365 → .269; ISO .316 → .246; BABIP .214 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAARochester Red Wings · 80 PAwOBA .221 → .171 (−50)K% 28.7% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.75% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.69% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×0.971 | ×0.972 | 13.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.009 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×0.972 | 3.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.971 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.92% | ÷0.879 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 3.64% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .221 → .171; ISO .108 → .090; BABIP .204 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 274 PAwOBA .360 → .279 (−81)K% 25.5% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.55% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.14% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 9.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.75% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | ×0.958 | 16.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.084 | ×0.910 | ×0.952 | ×0.958 | 7.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.880 | ×0.952 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 5.82% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 104, K 102, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .360 → .279; ISO .220 → .172; BABIP .307 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 374 PAwOBA .319 → .227 (−92)K% 24.3% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.33% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.89% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.22% | ÷1.046 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 14.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.196 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 4.04% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 109, 2B 139, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .227; ISO .183 → .129; BABIP .285 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 497 PAwOBA .329 → .269 (−60)K% 18.9% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.91% | ÷0.984 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.85% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.94% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 14.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.53% | ÷0.965 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 6.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.29% | ÷0.866 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 4.78% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .329 → .269; ISO .196 → .172; BABIP .270 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAACharlotte Knights · 529 PAwOBA .376 → .317 (−58)K% 17.2% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.20% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.48% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.966 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 18.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.50% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 8.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.25% | ÷0.910 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.50% | ÷1.118 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 5.73% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 82, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .376 → .317; ISO .265 → .209; BABIP .306 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .