Connor Kaiser — OGILVIE

Connor KaiserSS Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 29 R/R 6'3" / 195 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .258 / .261

PA160

HR2

K%36

BB%9

BABIP265

ISO92

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

1015.6%

xwOBA

100.197

POWER50

Barrel%

366.4

Avg EV

1067.8

Bat Spd

4270.5

EYE60

Chase%

6828.3%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	West Virginia Power	—	69	65	17	2	0	1	2	20	0	0	1	262	284	338	622	77	356	29	3	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	West Virginia Power	—	69	63	19	2	0	1	4	15	0	0	1	302	343	381	724	79	375	22	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	343	297	43	11	1	6	34	107	5	4	2	145	244	249	493	104	199	31	10	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	343	280	56	12	1	7	51	77	5	4	2	200	333	325	658	125	247	22	15	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	168	155	26	7	0	4	11	55	1	0	0	168	228	290	518	123	227	33	7	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	168	149	29	7	0	4	17	42	1	0	0	195	281	322	604	128	240	25	10	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	207	184	35	6	0	8	18	76	1	9	1	190	266	353	619	163	267	37	9	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	207	178	36	7	0	7	24	60	1	9	1	202	300	360	660	157	259	29	12	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	363	321	52	10	3	5	38	139	3	16	3	162	257	259	515	97	264	38	10	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	363	307	73	14	5	9	52	96	3	16	3	238	354	404	757	166	315	26	14	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	347	305	51	9	1	4	33	148	5	5	1	167	259	243	502	75	305	43	10	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	347	289	64	12	2	6	49	110	5	5	1	221	344	339	683	118	333	32	14	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	292	255	48	13	2	6	29	97	2	2	1	188	276	325	602	137	276	33	10	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	292	247	56	18	2	6	37	80	2	2	1	227	332	389	721	162	311	27	13	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	KC	—	90	79	9	1	0	0	8	36	1	1	2	114	205	127	331	13	205	40	9	155	-23	-13	-1	+0	+1	+3	-1.0
YTD	29	AAA	KC	—	90	76	9	1	0	0	11	30	1	1	2	118	239	132	370	13	191	33	12	188	2	-10	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
ROS	29	AAA	KC	10%	160	142	24	5	1	2	15	58	2	2	1	169	258	261	518	92	252	36	9	234	37	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
ROS	29	MLB	KC	10%	16	14	2	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		249	38	12	224	30	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
FULL	29	AAA	KC	—	106	93	11	1	0	0	10	42	1	1	2	118	212	129	341	11	212	40	9	165	-15	-14	-1	+0	+1	+3	-1.0
TOT	29	AAA	KC	—	250	221	33	6	1	2	23	94	3	3	3	149	239	213	452	63	244	38	9	206	16	-24	-1	+0	+3	+7	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	KC	27%	354	315	53	11	1	5	33	124	3	4	2	168	254	257	511	89	256	35	9	240	42	-23	+0	-2	+4	+10	-1.1
2027	30	MLB	KC	27%	97	87	14	3	0	1	9	34	1	1	1	161	247	230	477	69	253	35	9	231	35	-7	-0	-0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	132	119	18	4	0	1	12	45	1	1	1	151	235	210	445	59	233	34	9	219	25	-11	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	89	20	0	5	59	222	5	5	5	152	235	212	447	60	234	34	9	219	25	-55	-1	+1	+11	+18	-2.5
Career	—			—	2303	2039	349	74	9	41	213	824	22	42	12	171	257	277	533	105	260	36	9	239	41	-153	+4	-0	+23	+65	-6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	100	21	3	12	60	233	6	12	3	174	259	283	542	110	264	36	9	239	41	-43	+1	-0	+6	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	West Virginia Power	—	69	63	19	2	0	1	4	15	0	0	1	302	343	381	724	79	375	22	6	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2019	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	343	280	56	12	1	7	51	77	5	4	2	200	333	325	658	125	247	22	15	302	89	-4	+0	—	—	+10	0.6
2021	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	168	149	29	7	0	4	17	42	1	0	0	195	281	322	604	128	240	25	10	275	69	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2022	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	207	178	36	7	0	7	24	60	1	9	1	202	300	360	660	157	259	29	12	294	83	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
2023	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	363	307	73	14	5	9	52	96	3	16	3	238	354	404	757	166	315	26	14	342	120	+8	+2	—	—	+10	2.1
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	347	289	64	12	2	6	49	110	5	5	1	221	344	339	683	118	333	32	14	314	98	-1	+1	—	—	+10	1.0
2025	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	19	18	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	111	158	167	325	56	154	26	5	152	-25	-3	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.0
2025	28	AAA	Reno Aces	—	273	229	54	17	2	6	36	75	2	2	1	236	345	406	751	170	324	27	13	331	112	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	19	18	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	111	158	167	325	56	154	26	5	152	-25	-3	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Kaiser (OGILVIE)	29	40	50	45	60	149/239/213	63	244	2	3	38%	9%	16	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	42→50	43→45	41	192/242/290	98	250	9	6	27%	6%	43	-2.2	205/257/330	125	274	14	4	29%	6%	59	-1.1	211/261/316	106	287	8	1	28%	6%	54	-0.4
✕Gift Ngoepe 2019 · MLB	29	40	43→45	45→50	40	191/261/300	110	318	10	7	41%	8%	54	-1.4	198/267/326	128	355	14	10	44%	8%	63	-0.8	149/225/281	131	281	18	8	50%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	38	40	47→55	43	190/255/276	86	266	8	13	31%	7%	45	-2.1	197/261/293	96	305	9	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	152/225/219	67	257	5	5	40%	6%	15	-1.2
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	41→42	41→45	51→50	41	201/265/300	99	287	8	10	31%	7%	56	-1.3	188/252/274	86	318	7	8	40%	7%	43	-2.2	130/202/174	44	264	1	2	47%	8%	-5	-2.2
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	37	45	47→40	39	194/245/315	121	274	14	4	34%	6%	51	-1.7	195/251/321	126	280	15	5	34%	7%	55	-1.4	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB	30	37→41	46→50	46→50	41	185/262/309	123	286	14	5	38%	8%	57	-1.2	196/262/312	116	334	13	10	42%	7%	57	-1.2	165/231/258	94	300	12	12	46%	7%	28	-1.7
✕Max McDowell 2023 · AAA	29	40→48	39→40	47→50	44	192/276/277	85	266	6	9	28%	7%	56	-1.3	193/274/297	104	277	12	6	33%	7%	60	-1.0	168/259/259	91	245	13	1	35%	7%	43	-0.9
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	39	42→45	44→45	43	195/253/296	100	257	10	4	28%	7%	49	-1.8	210/278/339	129	269	14	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Kevin Cash 2007 · MLB	29	38	44→40	42→30	39	196/254/312	116	271	12	4	32%	6%	54	-1.4	196/265/310	114	277	12	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	193/265/272	79	264	9	0	29%	9%	45	-0.5
✕Nash Knight 2022 · AAA	29	36→46	44→45	43→40	45	184/268/299	115	267	12	6	34%	9%	58	-1.2	201/279/314	113	329	11	6	39%	9%	66	-0.6	187/275/287	100	323	9	0	41%	9%	53	-0.8
✕Jackson Williams 2015 · MLB	29	41	43→45	42→40	43	205/260/314	109	265	11	5	27%	7%	56	-1.3	197/252/268	71	254	5	4	23%	6%	41	-2.3	183/237/230	47	234	3	1	22%	6%	22	-1.6
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	37→47	38→45	46→50	39	184/239/256	72	270	6	8	33%	6%	33	-2.9	217/255/317	100	318	11	17	34%	4%	54	-1.4	222/246/322	99	331	13	23	36%	3%	49	-1.1
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→50	48→55	41	179/241/285	105	253	11	13	33%	7%	42	-2.3	189/249/278	89	270	8	15	31%	7%	43	-2.2	160/223/224	65	230	5	19	31%	6%	16	-2.0
✕Ryan Budde 2009 · MLB	29	41	42→45	48→40	40	203/254/309	106	270	9	8	28%	5%	53	-1.5	193/252/284	91	286	8	6	33%	7%	46	-2.0	176/244/251	75	269	8	2	35%	8%	32	-1.3
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA	29	42	43→45	48→40	36	208/251/319	110	295	10	5	32%	5%	53	-1.5	235/274/338	103	323	9	5	29%	4%	69	-0.4	241/277/335	94	316	8	2	25%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Deven Marrero 2019 · MLB	28	40→48	39→45	49→50	38	198/240/284	86	279	7	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	201/253/316	115	287	13	11	33%	6%	54	-1.4	194/251/298	105	272	13	10	33%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2008 · MLB	29	41	43→45	48→30	42	205/254/309	104	259	11	5	25%	6%	53	-1.5	222/270/355	133	287	15	6	27%	6%	72	-0.2	214/263/359	146	274	18	0	29%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→43	43→45	49→55	40	193/262/301	108	283	11	17	34%	7%	55	-1.4	210/295/327	117	333	12	25	37%	9%	76	+0.0	198/294/307	109	322	11	32	38%	10%	68	-0.2