Connor Kaiser

SS Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 30 R/R 6'3" / 195 lbs AAA HR -15%K -8% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
AAAROOKIEArb-1FA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202427AAACOL347.221/.344/.3396550—.183/.271/.268
202528AAAARI273.236/.345/.4066266—.200/.281/.333
202528MLBARI19.111/.158/.16700-16-0.0
202629AAAKC90.118/.239/.13201-12—.112/.193/.125
2027PROJ10% MLB30MLBKC12.174/.257/.2610050-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB31MLBKC31.174/.255/.2590049-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2
2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.2M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%68
Chase%47
Speed45
Max EV23
K%11
Z-Con%6
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsAnthony Bemboom (age 30) · Ryan Budde (age 30) · Max McDowell (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .257 / .261
PA12
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP256
ISO81
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT40
xAVG
100.152
POWER50
Barrel%
366.4
Avg EV
1067.8
Bat Spd
4270.5
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2025
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.2M———
2028Arb-2$0.2M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.9M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201821 AWest Virginia Power — 6963 19201 4150 01 302343381724 79375 226 318 63 — — — — — —
201922 AGreensboro Grasshoppers — 343280 561217 51775 42 200333325658 125247 2215 302 36 — — — — — —
202124 AAAltoona Curve — 168149 29704 17421 00 195281322604 128240 2510 275 36 — — — — — —
202225 AASan Antonio Missions — 207178 36707 24601 91 202300360660 157259 2912 294 53 — — — — — —
202326 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes — 363307 731459 52963 163 238354404757 166315 2614 342 63 — — — — — —
202427 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes — 347289 641226 491105 51 221344339683 118333 3214 314 50 — — — — — —
202528 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 1918 2100 150 00 111158167325 56154 265 152 -16 -3 +0 +1 +1 +0 -0.0
202528 AAAReno Aces — 273229 541726 36752 21 236345406751 170324 2713 331 66 — — — — — —
202629 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 9076 9100 11301 12 118239132370 13191 3312 188 -12 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 1918 2100 150 00 111158167325 56154 265 152 -11 -3 +0 +1 +1 +0 -0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201821 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 6965 18201 2200 01 277299354652 77344 293 262 63 — — — — — —
201922 A MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 343297 451016 341055 42 152250253503 101196 3110 221 36 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 168154 25603 12521 00 162228260487 97220 317 222 36 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 207185 33606 17731 91 178251308559 130240 358 246 53 — — — — — —
202326 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 363322 611146 371223 163 189279304583 115281 3410 261 63 — — — — — —
202427 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 347306 561024 321355 51 183271268539 85302 399 242 50 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 1918 2100 150 00 111158167325 56154 265 144 -16 -3 +0 +1 +1 +0 -0.0
202528 AAA MLEReno Aces — 273240 481325 25882 21 200281333614 133282 329 266 66 — — — — — —
202629 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 9080 9100 7361 12 113193125318 12180 408 151 -12 — — — — — —
201821 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 6965 18201 2200 01 277299354652 77378 293 262 63 — — — — — —
201821 A RAWWest Virginia Power — 6963 19201 4150 01 302343381724 79375 226 318 63 — — — — — —
201922 A MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 343297 451016 341055 42 152250253503 101207 3110 221 36 — — — — — —
201922 A RAWGreensboro Grasshoppers — 343280 561217 51775 42 200333325658 125247 2215 302 36 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 168154 25603 12521 00 162228260487 97220 317 222 36 — — — — — —
202124 AA RAWAltoona Curve — 168149 29704 17421 00 195281322604 128240 2510 275 36 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 207185 33606 17731 91 178251308559 130252 358 246 53 — — — — — —
202225 AA RAWSan Antonio Missions — 207178 36707 24601 91 202300360660 157259 2912 294 53 — — — — — —
202326 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 363322 611146 371223 163 189279304583 115282 3410 261 63 — — — — — —
202326 AAA RAWAlbuquerque Isotopes — 363307 731459 52963 163 238354404757 166315 2614 342 63 — — — — — —
202427 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 347306 561024 321355 51 183271268539 85310 399 242 50 — — — — — —
202427 AAA RAWAlbuquerque Isotopes — 347289 641226 491105 51 221344339683 118333 3214 314 50 — — — — — —
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 292258 501425 26932 21 194273322594 128281 329 258 61 — — — — — —
202528 AAA RAW2 teams — 292247 561826 37802 21 227332389721 162311 2713 319 61 — — — — — —
202629 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 9080 9100 7361 12 113193125318 12200 408 151 -12 — — — — — —
202629 AAA RAWOmaha Storm Chasers — 9076 9100 11301 12 118239132370 13191 3312 188 -12 — — — — — —
201821 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 6967 18201 2200 01 269299343642 75344 293 262 63 — — — — — —
201922 A MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 343301 451016 341055 42 150250249499 100196 3110 221 36 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 168153 25603 12521 00 163228261489 98220 317 222 36 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 207187 33606 17731 91 176251305556 128240 358 246 53 — — — — — —
202326 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 363320 611146 371223 163 191279306585 116281 3410 261 63 — — — — — —
202427 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 347307 561024 321355 51 182271267538 85302 399 242 50 — — — — — —
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 292262 501425 26932 21 191273317590 126274 329 258 61 — — — — — —
202629 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 9082 9100 7361 12 110193122315 12180 408 151 -12 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 347307 561024 321355 51 182271267538 85302 399 242 50 — — — — — —
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 292262 501425 26932 21 191273317590 126274 329 258 61 — — — — — —
202629 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 9082 9100 7361 12 110193122315 12180 408 151 -12 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLEKC 10% 200178 31712 18652 21 176258265523 89257 329 242 50 -12 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXKC 10% 1211 1000 140 00 174257261517 87256 338 240 50 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLEKC 27% 115103 18411 10371 11 175257263520 88257 329 240 49 -7 -0 -3 +1 +2 -0.6
202831 MLB CTXKC 27% 3128 4100 3100 00 174255259514 85255 3210 238 49 -2 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5046 6200 4150 00 130200174374 43194 308 205 48 -4 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 782600 521950 00 130200174374 43194 308 205 48 -57 +0 -0 +18 +14 -2.6
Career— MLE — 21181881 334681133 18871320 3913 178259278537 100263 349 240 48 -17 -0 -2 +4 +6 -1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 10221310 582196 124 177259276535 99262 349 240 48 -43 -1 -5 +9 +14 -2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 90 PAwOBA .186 → .151 (−35)K% 33.3% → 40.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.000×1.200——40.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.22%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9728.20%
HBP% /PA1.11%—×0.940—×0.9721.02%
Singles /BIP17.39%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×0.97216.51%
Doubles /BIP2.17%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×0.9721.84%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×0.9720.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9720.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .186 → .151; ISO .013 → .011; BABIP .191 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAReno Aces · 273 PAwOBA .323 → .266 (−56)K% 27.5% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.47%÷1.025×1.200——32.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.19%÷0.964×0.690—×0.9829.27%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.940—×0.9820.68%
Singles /BIP18.83%÷0.994×0.930×1.012×0.98217.50%
Doubles /BIP11.04%÷1.069×0.830×1.012×0.9828.52%
Triples /BIP1.30%÷0.902×0.970×1.012×0.9821.39%
Home runs /BIP3.90%÷0.904×0.700—×0.9822.96%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .323 → .266; ISO .170 → .139; BABIP .324 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 347 PAwOBA .306 → .242 (−64)K% 31.7% → 38.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.70%÷0.979×1.200——38.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.83%÷1.018×0.690—×0.9929.30%
HBP% /PA1.44%—×0.940—×0.9921.34%
Singles /BIP24.58%÷0.990×0.930×1.008×0.99223.11%
Doubles /BIP6.70%÷0.988×0.830×1.008×0.9925.63%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷1.150×0.970×1.008×0.9920.94%
Home runs /BIP3.35%÷1.096×0.700—×0.9922.12%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .306 → .242; ISO .118 → .084; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 363 PAwOBA .334 → .261 (−74)K% 26.4% → 33.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.45%÷0.947×1.200——33.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.33%÷0.984×0.690—×1.00310.07%
HBP% /PA0.83%—×0.940—×1.0030.78%
Singles /BIP21.33%÷1.018×0.930×1.013×1.00319.79%
Doubles /BIP6.64%÷1.002×0.830×1.013×1.0035.58%
Triples /BIP2.37%÷1.150×0.970×1.013×1.0032.03%
Home runs /BIP4.27%÷1.062×0.700—×1.0032.82%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .334 → .261; ISO .166 → .119; BABIP .315 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AASan Antonio Missions · 207 PAwOBA .288 → .246 (−43)K% 29.0% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.99%÷1.008×1.220——35.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.59%÷0.965×0.700—×0.9888.31%
HBP% /PA0.48%—×0.870—×0.9880.42%
Singles /BIP18.64%÷0.979×0.920×1.038×0.98817.96%
Doubles /BIP5.93%÷1.035×0.840×1.038×0.9884.94%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.035×0.940×1.038×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP5.93%÷0.870×0.800—×0.9885.39%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .288 → .246; ISO .157 → .138; BABIP .259 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAltoona Curve · 168 PAwOBA .270 → .222 (−48)K% 25.0% → 30.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.992×1.220——30.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.12%÷1.014×0.690—×0.9986.87%
HBP% /PA0.60%—×0.850—×0.9980.50%
Singles /BIP16.82%÷1.042×0.940×1.021×0.99815.46%
Doubles /BIP6.54%÷0.948×0.870×1.021×0.9986.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×1.021×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP3.74%÷0.947×0.780—×0.9983.07%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .270 → .222; ISO .128 → .107; BABIP .240 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 343 PAwOBA .296 → .221 (−75)K% 22.4% → 30.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.45%÷0.983×1.340——30.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.87%÷0.990×0.660—×0.9909.81%
HBP% /PA1.46%—×0.770—×0.9901.11%
Singles /BIP17.73%÷1.113×0.920×0.950×0.99013.79%
Doubles /BIP5.91%÷0.914×0.820×0.950×0.9904.99%
Triples /BIP0.49%÷0.900×0.940×0.950×0.9900.48%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.009×0.820—×0.9902.77%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 123, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .296 → .221; ISO .125 → .102; BABIP .247 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AWest Virginia Power · 69 PAwOBA .308 → .262 (−46)K% 21.7% → 29.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷0.996×1.340——29.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.35%÷1.038×0.660——2.76%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770——0.00%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.004×0.920×1.014—30.96%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷0.951×0.820×1.014—3.64%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.080×0.940×1.014—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.08%÷1.181×0.820——1.45%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 116, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .308 → .262; ISO .079 → .059; BABIP .375 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).