Max McDowell — OGILVIE

Max McDowellC Buffalo Bisons

Age 32 R/R 6'1" / 208 lbs AAA HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .265 / .305

PA204

HR5

K%33

BB%7

MLB%10%

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.1peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-2M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	AZL Brewers	95	82	16	3	0	2	4	14	7	3	0	.195	.290	.305	.595	.110	.209	15	4	.246	46	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2016	22	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	400	354	81	18	0	1	24	77	17	21	3	.229	.309	.288	.597	.059	.287	19	6	.264	60	-18	+3	+0	+7	+11	0.4
2017	23	A+	Carolina Mudcats	306	269	47	9	1	4	19	75	12	6	4	.175	.260	.260	.520	.086	.221	25	6	.233	37	-22	-0	+0	+5	+9	-0.8
2018	24	A+	2 teams	301	265	51	8	1	3	19	78	10	5	1	.192	.272	.264	.536	.072	.255	26	6	.236	39	-21	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.6
2019	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	315	270	49	11	0	4	23	77	13	2	0	.181	.278	.267	.544	.085	.234	24	7	.240	42	-21	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.6
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	183	151	29	7	0	1	17	52	14	3	1	.192	.330	.258	.588	.066	.286	28	9	.272	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2022	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	215	195	31	8	0	2	15	60	4	3	1	.159	.234	.231	.464	.072	.216	28	7	.210	19	-20	+0	+0	+4	+6	-1.0
2023	29	AA	2 teams	287	243	48	3	0	5	26	89	14	0	2	.198	.311	.272	.583	.074	.283	31	9	.265	61	-13	-1	+0	+5	+8	-0.0
2024	30	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	190	173	25	3	0	6	8	77	7	1	0	.145	.213	.266	.479	.121	.209	41	4	.212	20	-17	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	TOR	204	182	35	6	1	5	14	68	6	3	1	.192	.272	.319	.591	.126	.266	33	7	.262	59	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB 20%	TOR	162	146	29	5	1	4	11	54	4	1	0	.199	.273	.329	.602	.130	.267	33	7	.263	59	-7	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.4
2028	34	MLB 33%	TOR	134	121	22	4	0	3	9	44	3	1	0	.182	.256	.289	.545	.107	.268	33	7	.261	58	-6	+0	-5	+2	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2792	2451	463	85	4	40	189	765	111	49	13	.189	.277	.276	.553	.087	.253	27	7	.247	47	-167	+5	-9	+50	+79	-4.3
/ 162G	—			650	571	108	20	1	9	44	178	26	11	3	.189	.278	.275	.553	.086	.254	27	7	.247	47	-39	+1	-2	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	AZL Brewers	95	79	18	4	0	2	7	10	7	3	0	.228	.344	.354	.699	.127	.235	11	7	.318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2016	22	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	400	345	93	21	1	1	33	62	17	21	3	.270	.362	.345	.707	.075	.323	16	8	.324	106	+3	+3	—	—	+11	1.7
2017	23	A+	Carolina Mudcats	306	257	54	12	1	4	31	52	12	6	4	.210	.323	.311	.635	.101	.243	17	10	.292	81	-6	-0	—	—	+9	0.2
2018	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	125	102	23	4	0	1	15	18	5	3	0	.225	.352	.294	.647	.069	.256	14	12	.301	89	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
2018	24	A+	Carolina Mudcats	176	153	34	6	1	2	14	36	5	2	1	.222	.308	.314	.622	.092	.276	20	8	.282	74	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2019	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	315	258	55	14	0	4	35	58	13	2	0	.213	.337	.314	.651	.101	.256	18	11	.298	86	-5	+0	—	—	+9	0.4
2021	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	162	128	29	6	0	1	20	35	12	3	1	.227	.379	.297	.676	.070	.304	22	12	.324	106	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	27	AA	Somerset Patriots	21	15	2	2	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	.133	.381	.267	.648	.133	.286	38	19	.325	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	215	187	36	10	0	2	23	50	4	3	1	.193	.294	.278	.572	.086	.250	23	11	.268	64	-9	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2023	29	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	23	22	7	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	.318	.348	.409	.757	.091	.438	26	4	.339	117	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	29	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	264	210	47	2	0	6	35	64	14	0	2	.224	.369	.319	.688	.095	.287	24	13	.322	105	+1	-1	—	—	+7	0.8
2024	30	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	190	169	29	4	0	7	12	64	7	1	0	.172	.255	.320	.575	.148	.222	34	6	.261	58	-9	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max McDowell (OGILVIE)	32	—	—	—	—	.187/.265/.305	.118	.266	5	3	33%	7%	59	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2015 · MLB	32	37	45	47→40	40	.193/.251/.306	.113	.249	14	3	29%	6%	52	-1.6	.210/.265/.321	.111	.268	13	6	26%	6%	61	-1.0	.206/.263/.282	.076	.258	8	0	22%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Joe Hudson 2022 · MLB	31	36	44→45	47→40	39	.188/.240/.299	.111	.269	13	5	35%	6%	44	-2.1	.203/.283/.350	.147	.288	19	8	34%	9%	77	+0.1	.183/.287/.336	.152	.261	22	8	36%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Brett Hayes 2016 · MLB	32	34	49→45	46→40	37	.188/.222/.326	.138	.231	18	5	28%	4%	44	-2.1	.185/.230/.285	.100	.260	10	5	32%	5%	36	-2.7	.153/.203/.226	.073	.229	6	0	35%	5%	7	-1.3
✕David Matranga 2009 · AAA	32	41	46→45	49→50	42	.210/.274/.334	.124	.276	14	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.222/.302/.348	.126	.301	13	9	28%	9%	84	+0.6	.209/.311/.324	.115	.287	11	5	28%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Dane Sardinha 2011 · MLB	32	35→32	45	47→30	35	.184/.225/.297	.113	.253	13	4	33%	4%	37	-2.6	.193/.262/.291	.098	.281	10	6	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.132/.248/.158	.026	.219	0	0	34%	11%	7	-1.2
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB	30	37→40	46→50	47→50	40	.188/.262/.313	.125	.291	14	6	38%	8%	58	-1.2	.194/.263/.307	.113	.327	12	10	41%	8%	57	-1.2	.169/.240/.260	.091	.301	11	12	45%	8%	32	-1.5
✕Ryan Budde 2012 · AAA	32	40	41→45	41→40	41	.195/.260/.286	.092	.293	9	5	35%	8%	50	-1.8	.191/.252/.279	.088	.296	8	9	35%	7%	44	-2.1	.141/.201/.189	.048	.226	2	8	36%	7%	-2	-1.8
✕Gookie Dawkins 2011 · AAA	32	40→48	43→45	44→50	38	.201/.250/.311	.110	.287	11	8	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.205/.258/.333	.128	.288	14	11	32%	6%	61	-1.0	.182/.238/.301	.119	.246	15	12	32%	6%	42	-1.4
✕Jed Hansen 2006 · AAA	33	41→40	45	51→50	39	.205/.267/.330	.125	.284	12	14	31%	6%	65	-0.7	.209/.267/.326	.117	.266	12	13	25%	6%	63	-0.8	.199/.258/.303	.104	.244	11	12	23%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Yamid Haad 2010 · AAA	32	43	42→45	44→40	39	.213/.250/.313	.100	.274	10	6	26%	5%	52	-1.6	.236/.279/.346	.110	.295	10	6	23%	5%	72	-0.2	.264/.309/.367	.103	.320	8	2	19%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Mike Rose 2009 · AAA	32	41	47→50	41→40	43	.211/.269/.345	.133	.279	15	5	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.216/.265/.330	.114	.309	12	9	32%	6%	63	-0.9	.172/.218/.240	.068	.261	10	4	37%	6%	20	-0.7
✕Ali Solis 2019 · AAA	31	40	42→45	46→30	34	.201/.236/.300	.100	.285	10	6	33%	4%	42	-2.3	.210/.246/.358	.148	.285	19	6	33%	4%	63	-0.9	.196/.230/.353	.157	.249	23	3	32%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Jason Smith 2009 · MLB	32	40→35	51→55	48→50	34	.212/.247/.369	.157	.295	19	6	35%	4%	66	-0.6	.187/.222/.303	.116	.274	13	12	36%	4%	37	-2.6	.138/.170/.206	.068	.206	8	18	37%	3%	-12	-3.1
✕Deven Marrero 2022 · MLB	31	40→48	46→45	49→50	41	.204/.260/.327	.122	.285	15	9	33%	7%	60	-1.0	.218/.277/.332	.114	.295	13	12	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.271/.286	.080	.268	9	15	25%	8%	49	-0.5
✕Jeff Arnold 2018 · AAA	30	37	44→50	42→40	37	.183/.248/.296	.114	.298	11	4	40%	7%	48	-1.9	.180/.244/.281	.101	.329	10	5	45%	7%	42	-2.3	.132/.201/.198	.066	.266	7	0	50%	8%	0	-2.0
✕Chad Wallach 2023 · MLB	31	36→46	46→50	49→40	42	.187/.258/.312	.125	.264	15	4	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.266/.335	.136	.282	17	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	.192/.260/.330	.139	.268	19	2	35%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Luis Flores 2019 · AAA	32	41	47→40	48→45	43	.210/.254/.348	.138	.245	15	7	22%	5%	63	-0.8	.236/.276/.402	.166	.272	21	8	22%	5%	86	+0.8	.238/.270/.431	.193	.253	26	0	19%	4%	88	+0.2
✕Dusty Coleman 2018 · MLB	31	39→43	47→50	51→50	35	.198/.251/.338	.139	.298	15	14	38%	5%	59	-1.1	.171/.223/.301	.130	.330	15	12	50%	5%	39	-2.5	.114/.167/.218	.104	.254	13	11	58%	5%	-9	-3.2
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	41→38	49→50	44→45	45	.210/.289/.361	.151	.270	17	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	.197/.276/.372	.175	.256	22	5	31%	8%	80	+0.4	.153/.238/.328	.175	.182	24	1	32%	7%	52	-0.5
✕J.C. Boscan 2013 · AAA	33	38	39→40	43→30	40	.191/.240/.276	.085	.251	7	4	27%	5%	38	-2.6	.190/.238/.256	.066	.252	5	5	25%	5%	32	-3.0	.177/.223/.214	.037	.233	2	2	23%	5%	11	-1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)