Max McDowell — OGILVIE

Max McDowellC Buffalo Bisons

Age 32 R/R 6'1" / 208 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 204 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .258 / .300

PA204

HR5

K%30

BB%7

ISO120

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	95	82	16	3	0	2	4	14	7	3	0	195	290	305	595	110	209	15	4	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	95	79	18	4	0	2	7	10	7	3	0	228	344	354	699	127	235	11	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	400	354	81	19	1	1	24	81	17	21	3	229	309	297	605	68	291	20	6	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	400	345	93	21	1	1	33	62	17	21	3	270	362	345	707	75	323	16	8	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	306	268	46	9	1	4	20	75	12	6	4	172	260	257	517	86	216	25	7	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	306	257	54	12	1	4	31	52	12	6	4	210	323	311	635	101	243	17	10	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	A+	2 teams	—	301	265	48	8	1	2	19	81	10	5	1	181	262	242	503	60	247	27	6	229	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	A+	2 teams	—	301	255	57	10	1	3	29	54	10	5	1	224	327	306	632	82	267	18	10	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	315	270	48	10	0	4	23	79	13	2	0	178	275	259	534	81	232	25	7	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	315	258	55	14	0	4	35	58	13	2	0	213	337	314	651	101	256	18	11	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	183	151	30	8	0	1	17	52	14	3	1	199	335	272	607	73	296	28	9	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	183	143	31	8	0	1	24	43	14	3	1	217	379	294	673	77	303	23	13	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	215	196	30	8	0	2	14	60	4	3	1	153	224	224	449	71	207	28	7	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	215	187	36	10	0	2	23	50	4	3	1	193	294	278	572	86	250	23	11	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AA	2 teams	—	287	243	45	3	0	5	26	90	14	0	2	185	300	259	560	74	265	31	9	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AA	2 teams	—	287	232	54	4	0	6	36	70	14	0	2	233	367	328	695	95	302	24	13	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	190	173	27	4	0	6	8	76	7	1	0	156	223	283	507	127	228	40	4	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	190	169	29	4	0	7	12	64	7	1	0	172	255	320	575	148	222	34	6	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	TOR	—	204	183	34	6	1	5	14	61	5	3	1	186	262	311	574	126	240	30	7	256	54	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	TOR	27%	162	146	28	5	1	4	11	48	4	2	0	192	267	322	589	130	242	30	7	257	55	-8	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.5
2027	33	MLB	TOR	27%	44	40	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	0	0	175	250	275	525	100	243	30	7	239	41	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	44	40	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	0	0	175	250	275	525	100	231	30	7	239	41	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	104	15	0	15	44	192	15	0	0	176	251	277	528	102	232	30	7	239	41	-43	+0	-17	+12	+18	-3.0
Career	—			—	2658	2331	433	83	5	36	180	717	107	49	13	186	275	272	547	86	248	27	7	244	45	-166	+5	-4	+47	+75	-4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	106	20	1	9	44	175	26	12	3	186	275	272	547	86	247	27	7	244	45	-41	+1	-1	+12	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	95	79	18	4	0	2	7	10	7	3	0	228	344	354	699	127	235	11	7	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2016	22	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	400	345	93	21	1	1	33	62	17	21	3	270	362	345	707	75	323	16	8	324	106	+3	+3	—	—	+11	1.7
2017	23	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	306	257	54	12	1	4	31	52	12	6	4	210	323	311	635	101	243	17	10	292	81	-6	-0	—	—	+9	0.2
2018	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	125	102	23	4	0	1	15	18	5	3	0	225	352	294	647	69	256	14	12	301	89	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
2018	24	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	176	153	34	6	1	2	14	36	5	2	1	222	308	314	622	92	276	20	8	282	74	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2019	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	315	258	55	14	0	4	35	58	13	2	0	213	337	314	651	101	256	18	11	298	86	-5	+0	—	—	+9	0.4
2021	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	162	128	29	6	0	1	20	35	12	3	1	227	379	297	676	70	304	22	12	324	106	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	27	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	21	15	2	2	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	133	381	267	648	133	286	38	19	325	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	215	187	36	10	0	2	23	50	4	3	1	193	294	278	572	86	250	23	11	268	64	-9	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2023	29	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	23	22	7	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	318	348	409	757	91	438	26	4	339	117	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	29	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	264	210	47	2	0	6	35	64	14	0	2	224	369	319	688	95	287	24	13	322	105	+1	-1	—	—	+7	0.8
2024	30	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	190	169	29	4	0	7	12	64	7	1	0	172	255	320	575	148	222	34	6	261	58	-9	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max McDowell (OGILVIE)	32	—	—	—	—	182/258/300	118	240	5	3	30%	7%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2015 · MLB	32	36	46→45	47→40	39	193/249/313	121	249	16	4	30%	5%	53	-1.5	214/268/326	112	275	13	6	26%	6%	63	-0.8	207/263/279	72	262	8	0	23%	7%	48	-0.7
✕Joe Hudson 2023 · MLB	32	36	50→45	48→40	42	196/258/342	146	266	20	6	34%	8%	64	-0.8	200/290/341	141	308	18	9	38%	10%	78	+0.2	186/300/317	131	286	17	10	37%	12%	74	-0.0
✕Dane Sardinha 2011 · MLB	32	35→32	45	47→30	35	188/228/305	118	255	14	4	33%	4%	41	-2.3	197/266/299	102	285	10	7	32%	7%	56	-1.3	129/246/156	26	214	0	0	34%	11%	8	-1.1
✕Luis Flores 2019 · AAA	32	41	47→40	48→45	42	212/253/348	136	251	15	8	23%	5%	63	-0.9	238/278/406	168	275	21	9	22%	5%	89	+0.9	241/272/439	198	255	28	0	19%	4%	92	+0.2
✕J.C. Boscan 2013 · AAA	33	37	40	43→30	39	186/235/273	87	249	8	4	28%	5%	35	-2.8	189/236/254	65	251	5	5	25%	5%	30	-3.1	174/220/209	35	229	2	2	24%	5%	8	-1.4
✕Dustin Garneau 2019 · MLB	31	37	47→50	39→45	44	194/256/327	132	239	15	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	204/282/367	163	265	19	4	29%	8%	81	+0.4	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	37	45	47→50	42	193/259/309	116	250	13	9	28%	6%	56	-1.3	213/284/337	124	283	14	11	28%	7%	73	-0.1	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Eli Whiteside 2014 · MLB	34	34	41→50	44→40	39	176/227/267	91	238	9	4	30%	5%	30	-3.1	186/233/298	112	246	13	7	29%	5%	41	-2.3	149/192/252	103	188	12	2	29%	3%	10	-1.9
✕Yamid Haad 2010 · AAA	32	42	42→45	43→40	39	210/247/310	100	271	10	5	27%	4%	50	-1.8	239/281/352	113	301	11	6	23%	5%	75	-0.0	266/309/373	107	328	9	2	21%	5%	92	+0.6
✕José Briceño 2023 · AAA	30	39	47→45	48→45	37	204/246/335	130	263	15	7	29%	4%	56	-1.3	216/258/366	150	273	20	7	29%	4%	70	-0.3	190/227/342	152	221	26	0	29%	4%	46	-0.6
✕Jed Hansen 2006 · AAA	33	41→40	45	51→50	39	203/265/328	124	281	12	14	31%	6%	63	-0.8	211/268/328	117	268	12	13	25%	6%	64	-0.8	199/258/303	104	244	11	12	23%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Kevin Cash 2008 · MLB	30	35	45→40	43→30	41	183/249/298	115	253	13	4	32%	7%	49	-1.8	202/270/308	106	281	11	4	30%	8%	60	-1.0	193/265/272	79	264	9	0	29%	9%	45	-0.5
✕Sharlon Schoop 2018 · AAA	31	42→44	46→40	44→45	41	213/258/339	126	263	14	4	25%	5%	63	-0.9	221/280/349	128	290	14	7	28%	6%	74	-0.1	194/268/276	82	269	8	0	29%	7%	49	-0.4
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/255/323	140	226	18	4	28%	8%	58	-1.2	193/267/322	129	258	16	4	30%	8%	63	-0.8	168/248/282	114	227	14	0	32%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Drew Butera 2016 · MLB	32	41	42→40	42→40	46	202/263/300	98	248	10	4	23%	7%	55	-1.4	232/290/363	131	290	13	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5	222/282/344	122	277	12	0	24%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Ali Solis 2019 · AAA	31	40	42→45	47→30	34	202/236/305	103	287	10	7	33%	4%	43	-2.2	208/245/354	146	286	19	7	34%	4%	61	-1.0	188/222/339	151	246	22	3	34%	4%	44	-1.3
✕Gookie Dawkins 2011 · AAA	32	41→48	44→45	44→50	39	206/259/325	119	291	12	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	207/263/337	130	285	14	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	181/238/294	114	241	14	12	31%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Chad Moeller 2008 · MLB	33	40	45→50	41→30	42	207/262/327	120	257	14	4	25%	6%	62	-0.9	214/267/319	105	267	9	4	22%	6%	61	-1.0	206/259/298	92	257	5	0	21%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Anthony Bemboom 2023 · MLB	33	41	46→45	48→45	46	209/278/336	127	264	14	5	26%	8%	70	-0.3	214/282/331	117	278	11	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	202/279/310	107	265	9	1	25%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Taylor Motter 2021 · MLB	31	34→44	47→55	46→55	44	185/251/315	130	240	16	9	30%	8%	54	-1.4	225/300/405	180	277	22	6	26%	10%	98	+1.6	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6