Carlos Eduardo Gonzalez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30 | AAAVaqueros de l… | 182 | .261/.339/.385 | 3 | 2 | 51 | — | .208/.261/.298 |
| 2016 | 31 | AAAVaqueros de l… | 53 | .238/.360/.381 | 1 | 2 | 70 | — | .227/.320/.364 |
| 2017 | 32 | AAAVaqueros Unio… | 51 | .282/.404/.538 | 2 | 0 | 106 | — | .262/.340/.500 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 21 | AAA | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 38 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 281 | 361 | 406 | 767 | 125 | 391 | 24 | 8 | 327 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 231 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 259 | 232 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 284 | 331 | 362 | 693 | 78 | 349 | 18 | 5 | 300 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 200 | 172 | 43 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 250 | 328 | 308 | 636 | 58 | 305 | 16 | 8 | 283 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 306 | 281 | 73 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 51 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 260 | 302 | 356 | 658 | 96 | 316 | 17 | 5 | 288 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 173 | 154 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 273 | 317 | 383 | 700 | 110 | 360 | 23 | 4 | 298 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 127 | 115 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 276 | 304 | 581 | 78 | 298 | 24 | 6 | 257 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 32 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 219 | 107 | 326 | 143 | 22 | 9 | 173 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 182 | 161 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 339 | 385 | 724 | 124 | 310 | 18 | 10 | 324 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 53 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 238 | 360 | 381 | 741 | 143 | 300 | 21 | 11 | 320 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 51 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 282 | 404 | 538 | 943 | 256 | 300 | 16 | 16 | 380 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 21 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 38 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 273 | 333 | 394 | 727 | 121 | 373 | 29 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 225 | 7 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 259 | 236 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 275 | 310 | 347 | 658 | 72 | 334 | 21 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 200 | 178 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 230 | 286 | 281 | 567 | 51 | 272 | 19 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 306 | 286 | 66 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 64 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 231 | 262 | 311 | 573 | 80 | 287 | 21 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 173 | 156 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 244 | 280 | 340 | 620 | 96 | 317 | 28 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 127 | 117 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 228 | 256 | 484 | 68 | 260 | 29 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 32 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 188 | 103 | 291 | 133 | 25 | 6 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 182 | 168 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 208 | 261 | 298 | 559 | 89 | 257 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 53 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 227 | 320 | 364 | 684 | 136 | 269 | 25 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 51 | 42 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 340 | 500 | 840 | 238 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 38 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 273 | 333 | 394 | 727 | 121 | 409 | 29 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 38 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 281 | 361 | 406 | 767 | 125 | 391 | 24 | 8 | 327 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 231 | 7 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2008 | 23 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 231 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 259 | 236 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 275 | 310 | 347 | 658 | 72 | 354 | 21 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 259 | 232 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 284 | 331 | 362 | 693 | 78 | 349 | 18 | 5 | 300 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 200 | 178 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 230 | 286 | 281 | 567 | 51 | 289 | 19 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 200 | 172 | 43 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 250 | 328 | 308 | 636 | 58 | 305 | 16 | 8 | 283 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 306 | 286 | 66 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 64 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 231 | 262 | 311 | 573 | 80 | 296 | 21 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 306 | 281 | 73 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 51 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 260 | 302 | 356 | 658 | 96 | 316 | 17 | 5 | 288 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 173 | 156 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 244 | 280 | 340 | 620 | 96 | 349 | 28 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 173 | 154 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 273 | 317 | 383 | 700 | 110 | 360 | 23 | 4 | 298 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 127 | 117 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 228 | 256 | 484 | 68 | 266 | 29 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 127 | 115 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 276 | 304 | 581 | 78 | 298 | 24 | 6 | 257 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 32 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 188 | 103 | 291 | 143 | 25 | 6 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 32 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 219 | 107 | 326 | 143 | 22 | 9 | 173 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 182 | 168 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 208 | 261 | 298 | 559 | 89 | 262 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 182 | 161 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 339 | 385 | 724 | 124 | 310 | 18 | 10 | 324 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 53 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 227 | 320 | 364 | 684 | 136 | 300 | 25 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 53 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 238 | 360 | 381 | 741 | 143 | 300 | 21 | 11 | 320 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 51 | 42 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 340 | 500 | 840 | 238 | 290 | 20 | 10 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 51 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 282 | 404 | 538 | 943 | 256 | 300 | 16 | 16 | 380 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 38 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 257 | 333 | 371 | 705 | 114 | 373 | 29 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 225 | 7 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 259 | 245 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 265 | 310 | 335 | 645 | 69 | 334 | 21 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 200 | 184 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 223 | 286 | 272 | 558 | 49 | 272 | 19 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 306 | 291 | 66 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 64 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 227 | 262 | 306 | 568 | 79 | 287 | 21 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 173 | 163 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 233 | 280 | 325 | 606 | 92 | 317 | 28 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 127 | 120 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 228 | 250 | 478 | 67 | 260 | 29 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 32 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 188 | 103 | 291 | 133 | 25 | 6 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 182 | 168 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 208 | 261 | 298 | 559 | 89 | 257 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 53 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 320 | 340 | 660 | 128 | 269 | 25 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 51 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 340 | 457 | 797 | 217 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1436 | 1303 | 303 | 55 | 14 | 8 | 65 | 326 | 17 | 22 | 23 | 233 | 278 | 315 | 593 | 82 | 303 | 23 | 5 | 251 | 56 | -76 | -5 | +0 | +15 | +31 | -3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 137 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 148 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 232 | 278 | 315 | 593 | 83 | 302 | 23 | 4 | 251 | 56 | -34 | -2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAVaqueros Union Laguna · 51 PAwOBA .378 → .325 (−53)K% 15.7% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.69% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.69% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 10.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 13.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.90% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 10.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.879 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 4.89% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .378 → .325; ISO .256 → .233; BABIP .300 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 53 PAwOBA .312 → .271 (−42)K% 20.8% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.75% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.32% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 3.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.962 | 20.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.962 | 2.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.962 | 2.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.34% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 93, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .271; ISO .143 → .122; BABIP .300 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 182 PAwOBA .316 → .244 (−71)K% 17.6% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.58% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.89% | ÷1.084 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.48% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×0.997 | ×0.972 | 19.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×0.972 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.080 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.972 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.57% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 110, 2B 109, 3B 116, K 91, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .316 → .244; ISO .124 → .092; BABIP .310 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 32 PAwOBA .170 → .141 (−29)K% 21.9% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 13.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .170 → .141; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .143 → .133. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 127 PAwOBA .250 → .207 (−43)K% 23.6% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.62% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.51% | ÷0.937 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.35% | ÷1.057 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×0.992 | 19.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×0.992 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.129 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.72% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 111, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 93, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .250 → .207; ISO .078 → .060; BABIP .298 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAAcereros del Norte · 173 PAwOBA .290 → .248 (−42)K% 22.5% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷0.946 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.05% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.22% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 23.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.100 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.173 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.52% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 112, 3B 120, K 89, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .290 → .248; ISO .110 → .084; BABIP .360 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 306 PAwOBA .281 → .246 (−35)K% 16.7% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.58% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.17% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×1.018 | 20.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.39% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.018 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.018 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 91, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .281 → .246; ISO .096 → .082; BABIP .316 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 200 PAwOBA .279 → .247 (−33)K% 16.5% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.50% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.50% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.90% | ÷1.073 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 23.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.88% | ÷1.118 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 2.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.16% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.033 | 1.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 115, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 106, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .279 → .247; ISO .058 → .050; BABIP .305 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).